import Mathlib import OAI.Probability.CriticalPercolation.ProductMeasure.ProductConditioning namespace OAI section section noncomputable section open Set Function MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory open scoped Classical BigOperators ENNReal namespace CriticalPercolation.BernoulliProduct variable {E I : Type*} lemma block_event_disjoint_forceOn (X Y : Set E) (hXY : Disjoint X Y) (A : Set (Set E)) (hA : MeasurableSet[blockSigma Y] A) (σ ω : Set E) : forceOn X σ ω∈A ↔ ω∈A := by have he : forceOn Y (forceOn X σ ω) ω=ω := by ext e by_cases heY : e∈Y · have heX : e∉X := fun h => Set.disjoint_left.mp hXY h heY simp only [mem_forceOn,ite_eq_left heY,ite_eq_right heX] · simp only [mem_forceOn,ite_eq_right heY] have hh := block_event_forceOn Y A hA (forceOn X σ ω) ω rw [he] at hh exact hh.symm def selectedEvent (d : Set E → I) (A : I → Set (Set E)) : Set (Set E) := {ω | ω∈A (d ω)} lemma selectedEvent_eq_iUnion (d : Set E → I) (A : I → Set (Set E)) : selectedEvent d A=⋃ i, ({ω | d ω=i}∩A i) := by ext ω simp only [selectedEvent,Set.mem_ofPred_eq,Set.mem_iUnion,Set.mem_inter_iff] exact ⟨fun h => ⟨d ω,rfl,h⟩,fun ⟨i,hi,h⟩ => hi.symm ▸ h⟩ lemma measurableSet_selectedEvent [Countable I] (d : Set E → I) (A : I → Set (Set E)) (hd : ∀ i, MeasurableSet {ω | d ω=i}) (hA : ∀ i, MeasurableSet (A i)) : MeasurableSet (selectedEvent d A) := by rw [selectedEvent_eq_iUnion] exact MeasurableSet.iUnion (fun i => (hd i).inter (hA i)) theorem blockProbability_selected (q : E → unitInterval) (X Y : Set E) (hXY : Disjoint X Y) (d : Set E → I) (A : I → Set (Set E)) (hd : ∀ i, MeasurableSet[blockSigma X] {ω | d ω=i}) (hA : ∀ i, MeasurableSet[blockSigma Y] (A i)) (σ : Set E) : blockProbability q X (selectedEvent d A) σ=law q (A (d σ)) := by unfold blockProbability congr 1 ext ω change forceOn X σ ω∈A (d (forceOn X σ ω)) ↔ ω∈A (d σ) have hh : d (forceOn X σ ω)=d σ := (block_event_forceOn X {τ | d τ=d σ} (hd _) σ ω).mpr rfl rw [hh] exact block_event_disjoint_forceOn X Y hXY (A (d σ)) (hA _) σ ω theorem selected_fresh_bound [Countable I] (q : E → unitInterval) (X Y : Set E) (hXY : Disjoint X Y) (d : Set E → I) (A : I → Set (Set E)) (hd : ∀ i, MeasurableSet[blockSigma X] {ω | d ω=i}) (hA : ∀ i, MeasurableSet[blockSigma Y] (A i)) (C : Set (Set E)) (hC : MeasurableSet[blockSigma X] C) (r : ℝ) (hr : 0 ≤ r) (hb : ∀ σ∈C, (law q).real (A (d σ)) ≤ r) : (law q).real (C∩selectedEvent d A) ≤ r*(law q).real C := by have hmA := measurableSet_selectedEvent d A (fun i => blockSigma_le X _ (hd i)) (fun i => blockSigma_le Y _ (hA i)) have hk (σ : Set E) (hσ : σ∈C) : blockProbability q X (selectedEvent d A) σ ≤ ENNReal.ofReal r := by rw [blockProbability_selected q X Y hXY d A hd hA σ] apply (ENNReal.toReal_le_toReal (measure_ne_top _ _) ENNReal.ofReal_ne_top).mp rw [ENNReal.toReal_ofReal hr] exact hb σ hσ have hh : law q (selectedEvent d A∩C) ≤ ENNReal.ofReal r*law q C := by rw [← setLIntegral_blockProbability q X _ C hmA hC] calc (∫⁻ σ in C, blockProbability q X (selectedEvent d A) σ ∂law q) ≤ ∫⁻ _ in C, ENNReal.ofReal r ∂law q := setLIntegral_mono' (blockSigma_le X _ hC) hk _ = _ := by rw [lintegral_const,Measure.restrict_apply_univ] have ht := ENNReal.toReal_mono (ENNReal.mul_ne_top ENNReal.ofReal_ne_top (measure_ne_top _ _)) hh simpa only [Set.inter_comm (selectedEvent d A) C,ENNReal.toReal_mul, ENNReal.toReal_ofReal hr,Measure.real] using ht end CriticalPercolation.BernoulliProduct end end end end OAI