import OAI.Probability.DirectionalWalk.WordPosterior namespace OAI open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter Preorder open scoped ENNReal BigOperators Topology namespace DirectionalZeroOne open scoped Classical noncomputable def freshPathKernel {d : ℕ} (x : Site d) : Kernel (Environment d) (Path d) := (quenchedKernel d).comap (fun ω => (ω,x)) (measurable_id.prodMk measurable_const) instance {d : ℕ} (x : Site d) : IsMarkovKernel (freshPathKernel x) := by unfold freshPathKernel infer_instance noncomputable def freshJoint {d : ℕ} (μ : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (x : Site d) : Measure (Environment d × Path d) := environmentLaw μ ⊗ₘ freshPathKernel x instance {d : ℕ} (μ : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (x : Site d) : IsProbabilityMeasure (freshJoint μ x) := by unfold freshJoint infer_instance lemma freshJoint_apply {d : ℕ} (μ : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (x : Site d) {A : Set (Environment d × Path d)} (hA : MeasurableSet A) : freshJoint μ x A = ∫⁻ ω, quenchedKernel d (ω,x) (Prod.mk ω ⁻¹' A) ∂environmentLaw μ := by rw [freshJoint,Measure.compProd_apply hA] rfl lemma freshJoint_path_marginal {d : ℕ} (μ : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (x : Site d) : MeasurePreserving Prod.snd (freshJoint μ x) (annealed μ x) := by refine ⟨measurable_snd,?_⟩ ext A hA rw [Measure.map_apply measurable_snd hA,freshJoint_apply μ x (hA.preimage measurable_snd),annealed_apply μ x hA] rfl lemma freshJoint_lintegral {d : ℕ} (μ : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (x : Site d) (f : Environment d × Path d → ℝ≥0∞) (hf : Measurable f) : (∫⁻ ξ, f ξ ∂freshJoint μ x) = ∫⁻ ω, ∫⁻ X, f (ω,X) ∂quenchedKernel d (ω,x) ∂environmentLaw μ := by rw [freshJoint,Measure.lintegral_compProd hf] rfl lemma measurable_random_visitAfter {d : ℕ} (R K : Set (Site d)) (A : Environment d → Set (Site d)) (hA : ∀ y, MeasurableSet {ω | y ∈ A ω}) : MeasurableSet {ξ : Environment d × Path d | ξ.2 ∈ visitAfter R (A ξ.1) K} := by have he : {ξ : Environment d × Path d | ξ.2 ∈ visitAfter R (A ξ.1) K} = ⋃ y : Site d, {ξ | y ∈ A ξ.1} ∩ {ξ | ξ.2 ∈ visitAfter R {y} K} := by ext ⟨ω,X⟩ simp only [Set.mem_iUnion,Set.mem_inter_iff,Set.mem_ofPred_eq] constructor · rintro ⟨n,hAn,hR,hK⟩ exact ⟨X n,hAn,n,rfl,hR,hK⟩ · rintro ⟨y,hy,n,hAn,hR,hK⟩ exact ⟨n,hAn ▸ hy,hR,hK⟩ rw [he] exact MeasurableSet.iUnion (fun y => ((hA y).preimage measurable_fst).inter ((measurableSet_visitAfter R {y} K).preimage measurable_snd)) noncomputable def quenchedReturn {d : ℕ} (e : Step d) (k N : ℤ) (ω : Environment d) (y : Site d) : ℝ≥0∞ := quenchedKernel d (ω,y) (hitBefore (axisLower e k) (axisUpper e N)) lemma measurable_quenchedReturn {d : ℕ} (e : Step d) (k N : ℤ) (y : Site d) : Measurable (fun ω => quenchedReturn e k N ω y) := ((quenchedKernel d).measurable_coe (measurableSet_hitBefore _ _)).comp (measurable_id.prodMk measurable_const) def returnAtLeast {d : ℕ} (e : Step d) (k N : ℤ) (a : ℝ≥0∞) (ω : Environment d) : Set (Site d) := {y | k ≤ axisHeight e y ∧ axisHeight e y < N ∧ a ≤ quenchedReturn e k N ω y} def returnBin {d : ℕ} (e : Step d) (k N : ℤ) (a : ℝ≥0∞) (ω : Environment d) : Set (Site d) := {y | y ∈ returnAtLeast e k N a ω ∧ quenchedReturn e k N ω y < 2*a} lemma measurableSet_returnAtLeast {d : ℕ} (e : Step d) (k N : ℤ) (a : ℝ≥0∞) (y : Site d) : MeasurableSet {ω | y ∈ returnAtLeast e k N a ω} := (MeasurableSet.const _).inter ((MeasurableSet.const _).inter (measurableSet_le measurable_const (measurable_quenchedReturn e k N y))) lemma measurableSet_returnBin {d : ℕ} (e : Step d) (k N : ℤ) (a : ℝ≥0∞) (y : Site d) : MeasurableSet {ω | y ∈ returnBin e k N a ω} := (measurableSet_returnAtLeast e k N a y).inter (measurableSet_lt (measurable_quenchedReturn e k N y) measurable_const) lemma freshJoint_return_visit_bound {d : ℕ} (μ : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ] (hell : StrictEllipticity μ) (e : Step d) {r N : ℕ} (hrN : r ≤ N) (a : ℝ≥0∞) : a * freshJoint μ 0 {ξ | ξ.2 ∈ visitAfter (axisUpper e r) (returnAtLeast e 0 N a ξ.1) (axisLower e 0 ∪ axisUpper e N)} ≤ axisReachProb μ e r - axisReachProb μ e N := by rw [freshJoint_apply μ 0 (measurable_random_visitAfter _ _ _ (measurableSet_returnAtLeast e 0 N a))] exact annealed_axis_visitAfter_bound μ hell e hrN a _ (by filter_upwards [] with ω exact fun y hy => hy.2.2) lemma weighted_disjoint_measure_bound_ae {Ω ι : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] [Countable ι] (μ : Measure Ω) (s : ι → Set Ω) (hs : ∀ i, MeasurableSet (s i)) (hd : Pairwise (fun i j => Disjoint (s i) (s j))) (w : ι → ℝ≥0∞) (F : Ω → ℝ≥0∞) (E : Set Ω) (hsub : ∀ i, s i ⊆ E) (hbound : ∀ i, ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, ω ∈ s i → w i ≤ F ω) : ∑' i, w i * μ (s i) ≤ ∫⁻ ω in E, F ω ∂μ := by calc ∑' i, w i * μ (s i) ≤ ∑' i, ∫⁻ ω in s i, F ω ∂μ := by apply ENNReal.tsum_le_tsum intro i rw [← setLIntegral_const] exact lintegral_mono_ae ((ae_restrict_iff' (hs i)).mpr (hbound i)) _ = ∫⁻ ω in ⋃ i, s i, F ω ∂μ := (lintegral_iUnion hs hd F).symm _ ≤ _ := lintegral_mono_set (Set.iUnion_subset hsub) lemma weighted_contact_bin_bound_ae {d : ℕ} (P Q : Measure (Path d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure P] [IsProbabilityMeasure Q] (A : Set (Word d)) (D V : Set (Path d)) (K : Set (Site d)) (hD : MeasurableSet D) (w : Word d → ℝ≥0∞) (M : Path d → ℝ≥0∞) (hM : Measurable M) (hA : ∀ a ∈ A, wordEnd a ∈ K) (hAV : ∀ a ∈ A, wordCylinder a ⊆ V) (hw : ∀ a ∈ A, ∀ᵐ X ∂P, X ∈ wordCylinder a → w a ≤ M X) (c : ℝ≥0∞) (hc : Q (D ∩ {B | ∃ n, B n ∈ K}) ≤ c) : ∑' a : A, w a * (P (wordCylinder a) * Q (D ∩ contactAvoid a)) ≤ c * ∫⁻ X in V, M X ∂P := by let R : Set (Path d) := D ∩ {B | ∃ n, B n ∈ K} have hR : MeasurableSet R := hD.inter (by simp only [Set.ofPred_exists] exact MeasurableSet.iUnion (fun n => (Set.to_countable K).measurableSet.preimage (measurable_pi_apply n))) have hs (a : A) : MeasurableSet (wordCylinder a.val ×ˢ (D ∩ contactAvoid a.val)) := (measurableSet_pathCylinder _ _).prod (hD.inter (measurableSet_contactAvoid _)) have hd : Pairwise (fun a b : A => Disjoint (wordCylinder a.val ×ˢ (D ∩ contactAvoid a.val)) (wordCylinder b.val ×ˢ (D ∩ contactAvoid b.val))) := by intro a b hab apply (contactRectangles_disjoint (i := a.val) (j := b.val) (fun h => hab (Subtype.ext h))).mono · exact fun _ h => ⟨h.1,h.2.2⟩ · exact fun _ h => ⟨h.1,h.2.2⟩ have hsub (a : A) : wordCylinder a.val ×ˢ (D ∩ contactAvoid a.val) ⊆ V ×ˢ R := by rintro ⟨X,B⟩ ⟨hX,hB⟩ obtain ⟨n,hn⟩ := hB.2.1 exact ⟨hAV _ a.property hX,hB.1,n,hn ▸ hA _ a.property⟩ have hb (a : A) : ∀ᵐ p ∂P.prod Q, p ∈ wordCylinder a.val ×ˢ (D ∩ contactAvoid a.val) → w a.val ≤ M p.1 := by have hfst : ∀ᵐ p ∂P.prod Q, p.1 ∈ wordCylinder a.val → w a.val ≤ M p.1 := (measurePreserving_fst (μ := P) (ν := Q)).quasiMeasurePreserving.ae (hw a a.property) filter_upwards [hfst] with p hp exact fun h => hp h.1 have h := weighted_disjoint_measure_bound_ae (P.prod Q) (fun a : A => wordCylinder a.val ×ˢ (D ∩ contactAvoid a.val)) hs hd (fun a => w a) (fun p => M p.1) (V ×ˢ R) hsub hb simp only [Measure.prod_prod] at h apply h.trans rw [setLIntegral_prod (fun p : Path d × Path d => M p.1) (hM.comp measurable_fst).aemeasurable.restrict] simp only [setLIntegral_const] rw [lintegral_mul_const _ hM,mul_comm] exact mul_le_mul_left hc _ end DirectionalZeroOne end OAI