import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Brownian.ContinuousRowCompletion import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Gibbs.CovarianceNativeRowCauchy import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Ising.InnovationIndependence import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Ising.MixedFiltering namespace OAI noncomputable section open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter open scoped NNReal Topology BigOperators namespace Problem367.IsingInnovation variable {d : ℕ} {A : Type*} [MeasurableSpace A] theorem finiteCovariance_fullTime_interval_energy_cauchy (hd : 3 ≤ d) {beta : ℝ} {μ : Measure (TreeVertex d → IsingSpin)} (hμ : HasFreeIsingLaw (Real.tanh beta) μ) (hb : 0 ≤ beta) (hcrit : ((d - 1 : ℕ) : ℝ) * Real.tanh beta ^ 2 ≤ 1) (ν : Measure A) {B : ℝ≥0 → A → ℝ} (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B ν) (hmB : ∀ t, Measurable (B t)) (hcB : ∀ a, Continuous (fun t => B t a)) (v : TreeVertex d) {T : ℝ} (hT : 0 ≤ T) : let P := μ.prod (Measure.infinitePi (fun _ : TreeVertex d => ν)) (∀ n, Summable (fun u => ∫ t in (0 : ℝ)..T, ∫ q, finiteCovariance beta B v u n t.toNNReal q ^ 2 ∂P)) ∧ (∀ n k, Summable (fun u => ∫ t in (0 : ℝ)..T, ∫ q, (finiteCovariance beta B v u n t.toNNReal q - finiteCovariance beta B v u k t.toNNReal q) ^ 2 ∂P)) ∧ ∀ ε > (0 : ℝ), ∃ N : ℕ, ∀ n ≥ N, ∀ k ≥ N, (∑' u, ∫ t in (0 : ℝ)..T, ∫ q, (finiteCovariance beta B v u n t.toNNReal q - finiteCovariance beta B v u k t.toNNReal q) ^ 2 ∂P) < ε := by have h := hμ.finiteGibbsCovariance_fullTime_interval_energy_cauchy hd hb hcrit (fun _ : TreeVertex d => ν) (fun _ => hB) (fun _ => hmB) (fun _ => hcB) v hT simpa only [finiteCovariance, plantedArrayObservation, ArrayPosteriorStationarity.spinArray, add_comm] using h theorem exists_continuous_covariance_integral (hd : 3 ≤ d) {beta : ℝ} {μ : Measure (TreeVertex d → IsingSpin)} (hμ : HasFreeIsingLaw (Real.tanh beta) μ) (hb : 0 ≤ beta) (hcrit : ((d - 1 : ℕ) : ℝ) * Real.tanh beta ^ 2 ≤ 1) (ν : Measure A) {B : ℝ≥0 → A → ℝ} (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B ν) (hmB : ∀ t, Measurable (B t)) (hcB : ∀ a, Continuous (fun t => B t a)) (v : TreeVertex d) : let P := μ.prod (Measure.infinitePi (fun _ : TreeVertex d => ν)) let F := ArrayPosteriorStationarity.filtration B hmB ∃ (I : ℕ → TreeVertex d → ℝ≥0 → State d A → ℝ) (Y : ℕ → ℝ≥0 → State d A → ℝ) (Z : ℝ≥0 → State d A → ℝ) (hI2 : ∀ n u t, MemLp (I n u t) 2 P) (hY2 : ∀ n t, MemLp (Y n t) 2 P) (_hZ2 : ∀ t, MemLp (Z t) 2 P), (∀ n, IsStronglyPredictable F (Y n) ∧ Martingale (Y n) F P ∧ (∀ᵐ q ∂P, Continuous (fun t => Y n t q))) ∧ (∀ n u (N : ℕ), 0 < N → Tendsto (fun k => ∫ q, (BrownianGrid.uniformSum (innovation beta B u) (finiteCovariance beta B v u n) N k q - I n u N q) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) ∧ (∀ n t, HasSum (fun u => (hI2 n u t).toLp (I n u t)) ((hY2 n t).toLp (Y n t))) ∧ (∀ n t, (∫ q, Y n t q ^ 2 ∂P) = ∑' u, ∫ s in (0 : ℝ)..(t : ℝ), ∫ q, finiteCovariance beta B v u n s.toNNReal q ^ 2 ∂P) ∧ (∀ n m (N : ℕ), 0 < N → (∫ q, (Y n N q - Y m N q) ^ 2 ∂P) = ∑' u, ∫ s in (0 : ℝ)..(N : ℝ), ∫ q, (finiteCovariance beta B v u n s.toNNReal q - finiteCovariance beta B v u m s.toNNReal q) ^ 2 ∂P) ∧ IsStronglyPredictable F Z ∧ Martingale Z F P ∧ (∀ᵐ q ∂P, Continuous (fun t => Z t q)) ∧ Z 0 =ᵐ[P] 0 ∧ (∀ t, (∫ q, Z t q ∂P) = 0) ∧ (∀ t, Tendsto (fun n => ∫ q, (Y n t q - Z t q) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) ∧ (∀ t : ℝ≥0, Tendsto (fun n => ∑' u, ∫ s in (0 : ℝ)..(t : ℝ), ∫ q, finiteCovariance beta B v u n s.toNNReal q ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 (∫ q, Z t q ^ 2 ∂P))) ∧ (∀ T, Tendsto (fun n => ∫ q, MartingaleStrongMaximal.maximalSquare (Y n - Z) T q ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) := by let : IsProbabilityMeasure μ := hμ.isProbabilityMeasure let : IsProbabilityMeasure ν := hB.isGaussianProcess.isProbabilityMeasure let P := μ.prod (Measure.infinitePi (fun _ : TreeVertex d => ν)) have hW (u : TreeVertex d) := isBrownianReal_innovation hμ ν hB hmB hcB u have hAd (u : TreeVertex d) := (innovation_martingale hμ ν hB hmB hcB u).stronglyAdapted have hcross (s t : ℝ≥0) (hst : s ≤ t) : Pairwise fun u w => IndepFun (fun q => innovation beta B u t q - innovation beta B u s q) (fun q => innovation beta B w t q - innovation beta B w s q) P := by intro u w huw exact (innovation_increment_law_and_indep hμ ν hB hmB hcB (Y := fun _ => ()) s t hst measurable_const).2.1.indepFun huw have hrow (N : ℕ) := finiteCovariance_fullTime_interval_energy_cauchy hd hμ hb hcrit ν hB hmB hcB v (Nat.cast_nonneg N) exact BrownianArrayFiltration.exists_global_continuous_integral_limit_of_row_energy_cauchy (fun u => (hW u).toIsPreBrownianReal) hAd (innovation_increment_indep_filtration hμ ν hB hmB hcB) hcross (fun u => (hW u).cont) (fun n u => finiteCovariance beta B v u n) (fun n u => finiteCovariance_stronglyAdapted beta B hmB v u n) (fun n u => Eventually.of_forall (finiteCovariance_continuous beta B hcB v u n)) (fun _ _ => 2) (fun _ _ => by norm_num) (fun n u => Eventually.of_forall (fun q t => finiteCovariance_abs_le_two beta B v u n t q)) (fun n N => (hrow N).1 n) (fun N _hN => (hrow N).2.2) end Problem367.IsingInnovation end end OAI