import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Estimates.ContinuousHorizonGluing import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Martingales.L2Closure import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Martingales.PredictableL2Completion import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Martingales.StrongMaximal namespace OAI noncomputable section open MeasureTheory Filter Finset open scoped NNReal Topology namespace Problem367.MartingaleSpatialLimit variable {Ω ι : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {μ : Measure Ω} def finiteSum (M : ι → ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ) (s : Finset ι) (t : ℝ≥0) (ω : Ω) : ℝ := ∑ i ∈ s, M i t ω theorem finiteSum_memLp {M : ι → ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (h2 : ∀ i t, MemLp (M i t) 2 μ) (s : Finset ι) (t : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (finiteSum M s t) 2 μ := memLp_finsetSum s (fun i _ => h2 i t) theorem finiteSum_martingale {F : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ} {M : ι → ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (hM : ∀ i, Martingale (M i) F μ) (s : Finset ι) : Martingale (finiteSum M s) F μ := by classical induction s using Finset.induction_on with | empty => have heq : finiteSum M ∅ = 0 := by funext t ω; simp [finiteSum] rw [heq] exact martingale_zero ℝ F μ | @insert i s hi ih => have heq : finiteSum M (insert i s) = M i + finiteSum M s := by funext t ω simp only [finiteSum, sum_insert hi, Pi.add_apply] rw [heq] exact (hM i).add ih theorem finiteSum_ae_continuous {M : ι → ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (hc : ∀ i, ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, Continuous (fun t => M i t ω)) (s : Finset ι) : ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, Continuous (fun t => finiteSum M s t ω) := by have hall : ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, ∀ i ∈ s, Continuous (fun t => M i t ω) := (Filter.eventually_all_finite s.finite_toSet).mpr (fun i _ => hc i) filter_upwards [hall] with ω hω exact continuous_finsetSum s hω theorem summable_energy_of_integer [IsFiniteMeasure μ] {F : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ} {M : ι → ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (hM : ∀ i, Martingale (M i) F μ) (h2 : ∀ i t, MemLp (M i t) 2 μ) (henergy : ∀ N : ℕ, Summable (fun i => ∫ ω, M i (N : ℝ≥0) ω ^ 2 ∂μ)) (t : ℝ≥0) : Summable (fun i => ∫ ω, M i t ω ^ 2 ∂μ) := by obtain ⟨N, hN⟩ := exists_nat_ge t exact Summable.of_nonneg_of_le (fun i => integral_nonneg (fun ω => sq_nonneg _)) (fun i => MartingaleSquareMaximal.integral_sq_le (hM i) (h2 i) hN) (henergy N) theorem summable_toLp {M : ι → ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (h2 : ∀ i t, MemLp (M i t) 2 μ) (t : ℝ≥0) (horth : Pairwise (fun i j => ∫ ω, M i t ω * M j t ω ∂μ = 0)) (henergy : Summable (fun i => ∫ ω, M i t ω ^ 2 ∂μ)) : Summable (fun i => (h2 i t).toLp (M i t)) := by apply PredictableL2.summable_of_orthogonal_sq · intro i j hij simpa only [PredictableL2.inner_toLp] using horth hij · simpa only [PredictableL2.norm_toLp_sq] using henergy theorem exists_continuous_martingale_sum [Countable ι] [IsFiniteMeasure μ] {F : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ} {M : ι → ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (hM : ∀ i, Martingale (M i) F μ) (h2 : ∀ i t, MemLp (M i t) 2 μ) (hc : ∀ i, ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, Continuous (fun t => M i t ω)) (horth : ∀ t, Pairwise (fun i j => ∫ ω, M i t ω * M j t ω ∂μ = 0)) (henergy : ∀ N : ℕ, Summable (fun i => ∫ ω, M i (N : ℝ≥0) ω ^ 2 ∂μ)) : ∃ (L : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ) (hL2 : ∀ t, MemLp (L t) 2 μ), IsStronglyPredictable F L ∧ Martingale L F μ ∧ (∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, Continuous (fun t => L t ω)) ∧ (∀ t, HasSum (fun i => (h2 i t).toLp (M i t)) ((hL2 t).toLp (L t))) ∧ (∀ T : ℝ≥0, Tendsto (fun s : Finset ι => ∫ ω, MartingaleStrongMaximal.maximalSquare (finiteSum M s - L) T ω ∂μ) atTop (𝓝 0)) := by classical obtain ⟨s, hs⟩ := Filter.exists_seq_tendsto (atTop : Filter (Finset ι)) have hsum (t : ℝ≥0) : Summable (fun i => (h2 i t).toLp (M i t)) := summable_toLp h2 t (horth t) (summable_energy_of_integer hM h2 henergy t) have heq (n : ℕ) (t : ℝ≥0) : (finiteSum_memLp h2 (s n) t).toLp (finiteSum M (s n) t) = ∑ i ∈ s n, (h2 i t).toLp (M i t) := PredictableL2.toLp_finsetSum (fun i => M i t) (fun i => h2 i t) (s n) have hseq (t : ℝ≥0) : Tendsto (fun n => (finiteSum_memLp h2 (s n) t).toLp (finiteSum M (s n) t)) atTop (𝓝 (∑' i, (h2 i t).toLp (M i t))) := by simp_rw [heq] exact (hsum t).hasSum.comp hs obtain ⟨L, hpred, hLc, hlim⟩ := MartingaleSquareMaximal.exists_global_predictable_continuous_L2_limit (fun n => finiteSum_martingale hM (s n)) (fun n t => finiteSum_memLp h2 (s n) t) (fun n => finiteSum_ae_continuous hc (s n)) (fun N => (hseq (N : ℝ≥0)).cauchySeq) choose hL2 hLlim using hlim have hLM : Martingale L F μ := MartingaleSquareMaximal.martingale_of_L2_limits (fun n => finiteSum_martingale hM (s n)) (fun n t => finiteSum_memLp h2 (s n) t) hpred.stronglyAdapted hL2 hLlim have hHasSum (t : ℝ≥0) : HasSum (fun i => (h2 i t).toLp (M i t)) ((hL2 t).toLp (L t)) := by have heq := tendsto_nhds_unique (hseq t) (hLlim t) rw [← heq] exact (hsum t).hasSum refine ⟨L, hL2, hpred, hLM, hLc, hHasSum, ?_⟩ intro T have hterminal := PredictableL2.tendsto_integral_sq_error_of_hasSum (fun i => M i T) (fun i => h2 i T) (hL2 T) (hHasSum T) apply squeeze_zero (fun q => integral_nonneg (fun ω => ENNReal.toReal_nonneg)) (fun q => ?_) (show Tendsto (fun q : Finset ι => 4 * ∫ ω, ((∑ i ∈ q, M i T ω) - L T ω) ^ 2 ∂μ) atTop (𝓝 0) from by simpa only [mul_zero] using hterminal.const_mul 4) have hbound := MartingaleStrongMaximal.integral_maximalSquare_le ((finiteSum_martingale hM q).sub hLM) (fun t => (finiteSum_memLp h2 q t).sub (hL2 t)) (show ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, Continuous (fun t => (finiteSum M q - L) t ω) from by filter_upwards [finiteSum_ae_continuous hc q, hLc] with ω hq hl exact hq.sub hl) T simpa only [Pi.sub_apply, finiteSum, MartingaleStrongMaximal.maximalSquare] using hbound end Problem367.MartingaleSpatialLimit end end OAI