import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Conditioning.CopyFiltration import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Stochastic.WienerSampler namespace OAI noncomputable section open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory open scoped NNReal namespace Problem367.ContinuousObservationHistory open WienerSampler def stoppedPath (s : ℝ≥0) (f : Path) : Path := ⟨fun t => f (min t s), f.continuous.comp (continuous_id.min continuous_const)⟩ @[simp] theorem stoppedPath_apply (s : ℝ≥0) (f : Path) (t : ℝ≥0) : stoppedPath s f t = f (min t s) := rfl theorem measurable_stoppedPath (s : ℝ≥0) : Measurable (stoppedPath s) := by apply measurable_path_of_eval intro t exact (continuous_eval_const (min t s)).measurable theorem stoppedPath_stoppedPath {s t : ℝ≥0} (hst : s ≤ t) (f : Path) : stoppedPath s (stoppedPath t f) = stoppedPath s f := by ext u simp only [stoppedPath_apply, min_eq_left ((min_le_right u s).trans hst)] variable {ι : Type*} def stoppedArray (s : ℝ≥0) (f : ι → Path) : ι → Path := fun i => stoppedPath s (f i) theorem measurable_stoppedArray (s : ℝ≥0) : Measurable (stoppedArray (ι := ι) s) := by exact Measurable.of_eval fun index => (measurable_stoppedPath s).comp (measurable_pi_apply index) theorem stoppedArray_stoppedArray {s t : ℝ≥0} (hst : s ≤ t) (f : ι → Path) : stoppedArray s (stoppedArray t f) = stoppedArray s f := by funext i exact stoppedPath_stoppedPath hst (f i) theorem monotone_stoppedArray_comap : Monotone (fun s => MeasurableSpace.comap (stoppedArray (ι := ι) s) inferInstance) := by intro s t hst have h := MeasurableSpace.comap_mono (g := stoppedArray (ι := ι) t) (measurable_stoppedArray (ι := ι) s).comap_le simpa only [MeasurableSpace.comap_comp, Function.comp_def, stoppedArray_stoppedArray hst] using h theorem measurable_stoppedArray_of_eval {Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] (s : ℝ≥0) (F : Ω → ι → Path) (hF : ∀ i t, t ≤ s → Measurable (fun ω => F ω i t)) : Measurable (fun ω => stoppedArray s (F ω)) := by apply Measurable.of_eval intro i apply measurable_path_of_eval intro t exact hF i (min t s) (min_le_right t s) theorem measurable_past_of_stoppedArray {Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] (s : ℝ≥0) (F : Ω → ι → Path) (hF : Measurable (fun ω => stoppedArray s (F ω))) : Measurable (fun ω i (t : Set.Iic s) => F ω i t) := by apply Measurable.of_eval intro i apply Measurable.of_eval intro t have h := (continuous_eval_const (t : ℝ≥0)).measurable.comp ((measurable_pi_apply i).comp hF) simpa only [Function.comp_def, stoppedArray, stoppedPath_apply, min_eq_left (show (t : ℝ≥0) ≤ s from t.property)] using h theorem stoppedArray_comap_eq_past (s : ℝ≥0) : MeasurableSpace.comap (stoppedArray (ι := ι) s) inferInstance = MeasurableSpace.comap (fun f : ι → Path => fun i (t : Set.Iic s) => f i t) inferInstance := by apply le_antisymm · let m := MeasurableSpace.comap (fun f : ι → Path => fun i (t : Set.Iic s) => f i t) inferInstance have hp : @Measurable (ι → Path) (ι → Set.Iic s → ℝ) m inferInstance (fun f i t => f i t) := comap_measurable _ have hs := measurable_stoppedArray_of_eval (mΩ := m) s (fun f : ι → Path => f) (fun i t ht => (measurable_pi_apply (⟨t, ht⟩ : Set.Iic s)).comp ((measurable_pi_apply i).comp hp)) exact hs.comap_le · exact (measurable_past_of_stoppedArray (mΩ := MeasurableSpace.comap (stoppedArray (ι := ι) s) inferInstance) s (fun f : ι → Path => f) (comap_measurable _)).comap_le theorem stoppedArray_comap_eq_natural (s : ℝ≥0) : MeasurableSpace.comap (stoppedArray (ι := ι) s) inferInstance = ⨆ i : ι, Filtration.natural (fun t (f : ι → Path) => f i t) (fun t => ((continuous_eval_const t).measurable.comp (measurable_pi_apply i)).stronglyMeasurable) s := by rw [stoppedArray_comap_eq_past] simp only [MeasurableSpace.comap_process_pi, Filtration.natural_eq_comap] def joinedFiltration : Filtration ℝ≥0 (inferInstance : MeasurableSpace ((ℝ≥0 → ι → ℝ) × ((ι → Path) × (ι → Path)))) := ConditionalCopyBrownian.joinedFiltration stoppedArray measurable_stoppedArray monotone_stoppedArray_comap theorem commonNoise_martingale [Countable ι] (i : ι) (rho : Measure (ℝ≥0 → ι → ℝ)) [IsProbabilityMeasure rho] (hB : IsPreBrownianReal (fun t (w : ℝ≥0 → ι → ℝ) => w t i) rho) (eta : Kernel (ℝ≥0 → ι → ℝ) (ι → Path)) [IsMarkovKernel eta] (hind : ∀ s, IndepFun (fun q : (ℝ≥0 → ι → ℝ) × (ι → Path) => (PathSplit.pastPath s q.1, stoppedArray s q.2)) (fun q => PathSplit.futureIncrements s q.1) (rho ⊗ₘ eta)) : Martingale (fun t (q : (ℝ≥0 → ι → ℝ) × ((ι → Path) × (ι → Path))) => q.1 t i) joinedFiltration (rho ⊗ₘ (eta ×ₖ eta)) := ConditionalCopyArrayBrownian.commonNoise_martingale_joinedFiltration i rho hB eta stoppedArray measurable_stoppedArray monotone_stoppedArray_comap hind end Problem367.ContinuousObservationHistory end end OAI