import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Brownian.FiltrationSquare import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Estimates.ContinuousOptionalStopping import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Martingales.StrongMaximal import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Stochastic.StoppedBrownianIntegral namespace OAI noncomputable section open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter open scoped NNReal Topology namespace Problem367.ContinuousOptionalStopping variable {Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {μ : Measure Ω} [IsFiniteMeasure μ] {F : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ} {M A : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} {τ : Ω → WithTop ℝ≥0} theorem martingale_stopped_compensatedSquare_of_memLp_two (hM : Martingale M F μ) (hM2 : ∀ t, MemLp (M t) 2 μ) (hcomp : Martingale (fun t ω => M t ω ^ 2 - A t ω) F μ) (hprogM : IsStronglyProgressive F M) (hprogA : IsStronglyProgressive F A) (hcM : ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, Continuous (fun t => M t ω)) (hcA : ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, Continuous (fun t => A t ω)) (hA0 : ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, ∀ t, 0 ≤ A t ω) (hAmono : ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, Monotone (fun t => A t ω)) (hAint : ∀ t, Integrable (A t) μ) (hτ : IsStoppingTime F τ) : Martingale (fun t ω => stoppedProcess M τ t ω ^ 2 - stoppedProcess A τ t ω) F μ := by have hprog : IsStronglyProgressive F (fun t ω => M t ω ^ 2 - A t ω) := by intro t exact ((hprogM t).pow 2).sub (hprogA t) have hc : ∀ᵐ ω ∂μ, Continuous (fun t => M t ω ^ 2 - A t ω) := by filter_upwards [hcM, hcA] with ω hm ha exact (hm.pow 2).sub ha apply martingale_stoppedProcess_of_continuous_dominated hcomp hprog hc _ hτ intro T refine ⟨fun ω => MartingaleStrongMaximal.maximalSquare M T ω + A T ω, (MartingaleStrongMaximal.integrable_maximalSquare hM hM2 hcM T).add (hAint T), ?_⟩ filter_upwards [MartingaleStrongMaximal.ae_all_sq_le_maximalSquare hM hM2 hcM T, hA0, hAmono] with ω hmax hpos hmono intro t ht calc |M t ω ^ 2 - A t ω| ≤ |M t ω ^ 2| + |A t ω| := abs_sub _ _ _ = M t ω ^ 2 + A t ω := by rw [abs_of_nonneg (sq_nonneg _), abs_of_nonneg (hpos t)] _ ≤ _ := add_le_add (hmax t ht) (hmono ht) end Problem367.ContinuousOptionalStopping namespace Problem367.BrownianFiltration variable {Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω} {F : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ} {B : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} {τ : Ω → WithTop ℝ≥0} theorem stopped_square_sub_clock_martingale (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B P) (hprog : IsStronglyProgressive F B) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => B t ω - B s ω) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hc : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Continuous (fun t => B t ω)) (hτ : IsStoppingTime F τ) : Martingale (fun t ω => stoppedProcess B τ t ω ^ 2 - ((min (t : WithTop ℝ≥0) (τ ω)).untopA : ℝ)) F P := by let : IsProbabilityMeasure P := hB.isGaussianProcess.isProbabilityMeasure have htime : IsStronglyProgressive F (fun t (_ : Ω) => (t : ℝ)) := by intro t let : MeasurableSpace Ω := F t apply Measurable.stronglyMeasurable fun_prop exact ContinuousOptionalStopping.martingale_stopped_compensatedSquare_of_memLp_two (martingale_of_independent_past hB hprog.stronglyAdapted hind) (fun t => (hB.isGaussianProcess.hasGaussianLaw_eval t).memLp_two) (square_sub_time_martingale hB hprog.stronglyAdapted hind) hprog htime hc (Eventually.of_forall (fun ω => NNReal.continuous_coe)) (Eventually.of_forall (fun ω t => t.coe_nonneg)) (Eventually.of_forall (fun ω s t hst => by exact_mod_cast hst)) (fun t => integrable_const (t : ℝ)) hτ end Problem367.BrownianFiltration end end OAI