import OAI.Probability.GammaPassage.CheapPath import Mathlib.Data.List.OfFn import Mathlib.Data.Fintype.BigOperators namespace OAI namespace GammaFPP open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory PlanarFPP Finset open scoped ENNReal /-- There are four possible nearest-neighbor steps on the square lattice. -/ local instance cheapStepFintype : Fintype Step where elems := {Step.east, Step.west, Step.north, Step.south} complete d := by cases d <;> simp private lemma cheapStep_card : Fintype.card Step = 4 := by decide /-- Includes every actual step list of length n, without a simplicity restriction. -/ noncomputable def fixedStepLists (n : ℕ) : Finset (List Step) := Finset.univ.image (fun f : Fin n → Step => List.ofFn f) lemma mem_fixedStepLists (n : ℕ) (ds : List Step) : ds ∈ fixedStepLists n ↔ ds.length = n := by classical constructor · intro h obtain ⟨f, _, rfl⟩ := Finset.mem_image.mp h exact List.length_ofFn · intro h subst n apply Finset.mem_image.mpr exact ⟨ds.get, Finset.mem_univ _, List.ofFn_get ds⟩ lemma card_fixedStepLists_le (n : ℕ) : (fixedStepLists n).card ≤ 4 ^ n := by classical calc (fixedStepLists n).card ≤ (Finset.univ : Finset (Fin n → Step)).card := Finset.card_image_le _ = 4 ^ n := by rw [Finset.card_univ, Fintype.card_fun, cheapStep_card, Fintype.card_fin] /-- The probability bound uses only the subfamily with distinct undirected edges. -/ noncomputable def fixedTrailLists (p : Vertex) (n : ℕ) : Finset (List Step) := by classical exact (fixedStepLists n).filter (fun ds => ((trace p ds).map traversalEdge).Nodup) lemma mem_fixedTrailLists (p : Vertex) (n : ℕ) (ds : List Step) : ds ∈ fixedTrailLists p n ↔ ds.length = n ∧ ((trace p ds).map traversalEdge).Nodup := by classical simp only [fixedTrailLists, Finset.mem_filter, mem_fixedStepLists] lemma card_fixedTrailLists_le (p : Vertex) (n : ℕ) : (fixedTrailLists p n).card ≤ 4 ^ n := by classical exact (Finset.card_filter_le _ _).trans (card_fixedStepLists_le n) /-- Exact event equality; there is no hidden restriction to a selected optimizer. -/ lemma fixedTrail_event_eq {Ω : Type*} (τ : Edge → Ω → ℝ) (p : Vertex) (n : ℕ) (t : ℝ) : {ω | ∃ ds : List Step, ds.length = n ∧ ((trace p ds).map traversalEdge).Nodup ∧ pathCost (fun e => τ e ω) p ds ≤ t} = {ω | ∃ ds ∈ fixedTrailLists p n, pathCost (fun e => τ e ω) p ds ≤ t} := by ext ω simp only [Set.mem_ofPred_eq, mem_fixedTrailLists] constructor · rintro ⟨ds, hl, hn, hc⟩ exact ⟨ds, ⟨hl, hn⟩, hc⟩ · rintro ⟨ds, ⟨hl, hn⟩, hc⟩ exact ⟨ds, hl, hn, hc⟩ variable {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω} variable {τ : Edge → Ω → ℝ} {shape rate : ℝ} /-- All actual fixed-length trails, with a proved four-way exponential count. -/ theorem GammaEnvironment.cheap_fixed_length_probability (h : GammaEnvironment shape rate P τ) (hs : 0 < shape) (hr : 0 < rate) (s : ℝ) (hsp : 0 < s) (p : Vertex) (n : ℕ) (t : ℝ) : P {ω | ∃ ds : List Step, ds.length = n ∧ ((trace p ds).map traversalEdge).Nodup ∧ pathCost (fun e => τ e ω) p ds ≤ t} ≤ ((4 ^ n : ℕ) : ℝ≥0∞) * ((ENNReal.ofReal ((rate / (rate + s)) ^ shape)) ^ n / ENNReal.ofReal (Real.exp (-s * t))) := by rw [fixedTrail_event_eq] have hb := h.cheap_path_family_probability hs hr s hsp p (fixedTrailLists p n) n (fun ds hds => ((mem_fixedTrailLists p n ds).mp hds).symm) t refine hb.trans (mul_le_mul_left ?_ _) exact_mod_cast card_fixedTrailLists_le p n end GammaFPP end OAI