import OAI.Probability.MatroidProphet.Main import OAI.Probability.MatroidSecretary.Secretary.TripleKernelModel import Mathlib.Algebra.BigOperators.Finprod import Mathlib.Probability.ProbabilityMassFunction.Constructions import Mathlib.Tactic namespace OAI /-! Explicit normalized one-label reconstruction kernel from secretary.tex, lines 64--81. These are finite identities, including the zero-mask case. -/ namespace MatroidProphet.Secretary open Finset lemma tripleWeight_sum (t : ℝ) : (∑ x : MaskTriple, tripleWeight t x) = 1 := by simp [MaskTriple, Fintype.sum_prod_type, tripleWeight] ring lemma tripleWeight_nonneg {t : ℝ} (ht0 : 0 ≤ t) (ht1 : t ≤ 1) (x : MaskTriple) : 0 ≤ tripleWeight t x := by rcases x with ⟨h,d,c⟩ cases d <;> cases c <;> norm_num [tripleWeight] <;> linarith lemma tripleWeight_zero (t : ℝ) : tripleWeight t (false, false, false) = 3 / 8 * (1-t) := by norm_num [tripleWeight] lemma mainRevealRate_eq_source : mainRevealRate = (5 : ℝ) / 8 + 3 * ((2 : ℝ)^143)⁻¹ := by norm_num [mainRevealRate, thinningRate] lemma mainRevealRate_pos : 0 < mainRevealRate := by norm_num [mainRevealRate, thinningRate] lemma mainRevealRate_lt_one : mainRevealRate < 1 := by norm_num [mainRevealRate, thinningRate] lemma mainRevealRate_complement : 1 - mainRevealRate = tripleWeight thinningRate (false, false, false) := by simp [mainRevealRate, tripleWeight] ring lemma tripleRevealed_eq_false (x : MaskTriple) : tripleRevealed x = false ↔ x = (false, false, false) := by rcases x with ⟨h,d,c⟩ cases h <;> cases d <;> cases c <;> decide lemma conditionalTripleWeight_nonneg (b : Bool) (x : MaskTriple) : 0 ≤ conditionalTripleWeight b x := by have ht0 : 0 ≤ thinningRate := constants_positive.2.2.1.le have ht1 : thinningRate ≤ 1 := by norm_num [thinningRate] unfold conditionalTripleWeight split_ifs · exact div_nonneg (tripleWeight_nonneg ht0 ht1 x) mainRevealRate_pos.le · norm_num · norm_num · norm_num lemma conditionalTripleWeight_sum (b : Bool) : (∑ x : MaskTriple, conditionalTripleWeight b x) = 1 := by cases b · simp [conditionalTripleWeight] · simp [MaskTriple, Fintype.sum_prod_type, conditionalTripleWeight, tripleRevealed, tripleWeight] field_simp [ne_of_gt mainRevealRate_pos] simp [mainRevealRate] ring lemma conditionalTripleWeight_support (b : Bool) (x : MaskTriple) (h : tripleRevealed x ≠ b) : conditionalTripleWeight b x = 0 := by rcases x with ⟨x,y,z⟩ cases b <;> cases x <;> cases y <;> cases z <;> simp_all [conditionalTripleWeight, tripleRevealed] /-- Multiplying the explicit conditional kernel by the observed-bit law recovers the original joint law, not just a marginal event probability. -/ lemma conditionalTripleWeight_joint (b : Bool) (x : MaskTriple) : revealBitWeight b * conditionalTripleWeight b x = if tripleRevealed x = b then tripleWeight thinningRate x else 0 := by rcases x with ⟨x,y,z⟩ cases b <;> cases x <;> cases y <;> cases z <;> simp [revealBitWeight, conditionalTripleWeight, tripleRevealed, mainRevealRate_complement] <;> field_simp [ne_of_gt mainRevealRate_pos] lemma conditionalTripleWeight_reconstruct (x : MaskTriple) : (∑ b : Bool, revealBitWeight b * conditionalTripleWeight b x) = tripleWeight thinningRate x := by simp only [conditionalTripleWeight_joint, Fintype.sum_bool] cases h : tripleRevealed x <;> simp lemma revealBitWeight_pos (b : Bool) : 0 < revealBitWeight b := by cases b · exact sub_pos.mpr mainRevealRate_lt_one · exact mainRevealRate_pos lemma revealBitWeight_sum : (∑ b : Bool, revealBitWeight b) = 1 := by simp [revealBitWeight] lemma tripleWeight_source_pos (x : MaskTriple) : 0 < tripleWeight thinningRate x := by rcases x with ⟨h,d,c⟩ cases d <;> cases c <;> norm_num [tripleWeight, thinningRate] /-- Exactly seven triples are compatible with an observed label. -/ lemma card_revealed_triples : Fintype.card {x : MaskTriple // tripleRevealed x = true} = 7 := by decide lemma conditionalTripleWeight_pos_iff (b : Bool) (x : MaskTriple) : 0 < conditionalTripleWeight b x ↔ tripleRevealed x = b := by constructor · intro hx by_contra h rw [conditionalTripleWeight_support b x h] at hx exact (lt_irrefl (0 : ℝ)) hx · intro hx have h := conditionalTripleWeight_joint b x rw [ite_eq_left hx] at h have hp : 0 < revealBitWeight b * conditionalTripleWeight b x := by rw [h] exact tripleWeight_source_pos x exact (mul_pos_iff_of_pos_left (revealBitWeight_pos b)).mp hp end MatroidProphet.Secretary end OAI