import Mathlib import OAI.Probability.GaussianRegression.Main import OAI.Probability.MemoryPrecision.KernelSphere namespace OAI open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Set Filter EuclideanGeometry open scoped ENNReal NNReal RealInnerProductSpace Topology Pointwise noncomputable section universe u v open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Set Filter open scoped ENNReal NNReal RealInnerProductSpace Topology Pointwise namespace MemoryPrecision open NoiselessRegression def uniformChordSuccess {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (L : Learner d M T Ω) (ρ : Measure Ω) (ε : ℝ) : ℝ≥0∞ := ((uniformSphere d).prod (ρ.prod (sampleLaw d T))) {z | dist (L.estimate z.1 z.2.1 z.2.2).val z.1.val ≤ ε} end MemoryPrecision namespace MemoryPrecision open NoiselessRegression lemma real_route_cap_bound {d N : ℕ} (hd : 16 ≤ d) (hN : 1 ≤ N) {δ : ℕ → Fin N → (Space d × ℝ) → Fin N} (hδ : ∀ n j, Measurable (δ n j)) (y : Fin N → Space d) {ε α : ℝ} (hε : 0 < ε) (hαlo : ((d:ℝ)-1)/2 ≤ α) (hαhi : α ≤ (d:ℝ)/2) (k : ℕ) (j : Fin N) : ((SpherePrior d).prod (Measure.pi (fun _ : Fin k => stdGaussian (Space d)))) {z | dist z.1.val (y (streamRoute δ 0 k j (z.2,fun i => ⟪z.1.val,z.2 i⟫))) ≤ ε} ≤ ENNReal.ofReal ((3*4^d:ℝ)*ε^((d:ℝ)-1-α) * RealStep d N ^ BlockCount k (d/8)) := by let : NeZero d := ⟨by omega⟩ let : NeZero N := ⟨by omega⟩ let : IsProbabilityMeasure (SpherePrior d) := (show IsProbabilityMeasure (sphereLaw (E := Space d)) from inferInstance) let w : ℕ → Fin N → Space d → ℝ≥0∞ := fun _ j => capWeight (y j) ε have he (s : Space d) : continuation δ w 0 k j s = ∫⁻ A : Fin k → Space d, capWeight (y (streamRoute δ 0 k j (A,fun i => ⟪s,A i⟫))) ε s ∂Measure.pi (fun _ => stdGaussian (Space d)) := by simpa [w, blockValue, continuation] using continuation_unroll (w := w) hδ 0 k 0 j s let S : Set (Sphere d × (Fin k → Space d)) := {z | dist z.1.val (y (streamRoute δ 0 k j (z.2,fun i => ⟪z.1.val,z.2 i⟫))) ≤ ε} have hS : MeasurableSet S := by apply measurableSet_le _ measurable_const exact measurable_subtype_coe.comp measurable_fst |>.dist ((measurable_of_finite y).comp ((measurable_streamRoute hδ 0 k j).comp (by fun_prop))) change ((SpherePrior d).prod _) S ≤ _ rw [← one_mul (((SpherePrior d).prod _) S), ← lintegral_indicator_const hS 1, lintegral_prod _ (measurable_const.indicator hS).aemeasurable] have hf : ∀ s : Sphere d, (∫⁻ A, S.indicator (fun _ => (1 : ℝ≥0∞)) (s,A) ∂Measure.pi (fun _ => stdGaussian (Space d))) = continuation δ w 0 k j s.val := by intro s rw [he] apply lintegral_congr intro A classical change (if dist s.val (y (streamRoute δ 0 k j (A,fun i => ⟪s.val,A i⟫))) ≤ ε then 1 else 0) = _ unfold capWeight rw [Set.indicator_apply] rfl simp_rw [hf] exact real_continuation_cap_integral hd hN hδ (fun _ => y) hε hαlo hαhi 0 k j lemma real_prefix_route_cap_bound {d N : ℕ} (hd : 16 ≤ d) (hN : 1 ≤ N) {δ : ℕ → Fin N → (Space d × ℝ) → Fin N} (hδ : ∀ n j, Measurable (δ n j)) (y : Fin N → Space d) {ε α : ℝ} (hε : 0 < ε) (hαlo : ((d:ℝ)-1)/2 ≤ α) (hαhi : α ≤ (d:ℝ)/2) {k T : ℕ} (hk : k ≤ T) (j : Fin N) : ((SpherePrior d).prod (Measure.pi (fun _ : Fin T => stdGaussian (Space d)))) {z | dist z.1.val (y (streamRoute δ 0 k j ((fun i => z.2 (Fin.castLE hk i)),fun i => ⟪z.1.val,z.2 (Fin.castLE hk i)⟫))) ≤ ε} ≤ ENNReal.ofReal ((3*4^d:ℝ)*ε^((d:ℝ)-1-α) * RealStep d N ^ BlockCount T (d/8)) := by let : NeZero d := ⟨by omega⟩ let : NeZero N := ⟨by omega⟩ let : IsProbabilityMeasure (SpherePrior d) := (show IsProbabilityMeasure (sphereLaw (E := Space d)) from inferInstance) have hp := (MeasurePreserving.id (SpherePrior d)).prod (measurePreserving_pi_prefix (stdGaussian (Space d)) hk) have hs : MeasurableSet {z : Sphere d × (Fin k → Space d) | dist z.1.val (y (streamRoute δ 0 k j (z.2,fun i => ⟪z.1.val,z.2 i⟫))) ≤ ε} := by apply measurableSet_le _ measurable_const exact (measurable_subtype_coe.comp measurable_fst).dist ((measurable_of_finite y).comp ((measurable_streamRoute hδ 0 k j).comp (by fun_prop))) apply (le_of_eq (hp.measure_preimage hs.nullMeasurableSet)).trans apply (real_route_cap_bound hd hN hδ y hε hαlo hαhi k j).trans exact ENNReal.ofReal_le_ofReal (mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_left (pow_le_pow_right₀ (realStep_one d hN) (blockCount_mono hk)) (by positivity)) open NoiselessRegression.Learner lemma frozen_chord_real_bound {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u} (L : Learner d M T Ω) (ω : Ω) (hd : 16 ≤ d) (htrans : ∀ t j, AEMeasurable (fun obs => (L.transition t ω j obs).2) (observationReference d)) {ε : ℝ} (hε : 0 < ε) {α : ℝ} (hαlo : ((d:ℝ)-1)/2 ≤ α) (hαhi : α ≤ (d:ℝ)/2) : ((uniformSphere d).prod (sampleLaw d T)) {z | dist z.1.val (L.estimate z.1 ω z.2).val ≤ ε} ≤ (T+1 : ℝ≥0∞) * ENNReal.ofReal ((3*4^d:ℝ)*ε^((d:ℝ)-1-α) * RealStep d (2^M) ^ BlockCount T (d/8)) := by classical let : NeZero d := ⟨by omega⟩ let δ : ℕ → State M → (Vector d × ℝ) → State M := fun t j => (htrans t j).mk _ have hδ (t : ℕ) (j : State M) : Measurable (δ t j) := (htrans t j).measurable_mk let μ := (uniformSphere d).prod (sampleLaw d T) have hgood : ∀ᵐ z ∂μ, ∀ t j (i : Fin T), (L.transition t ω j (z.2 i,⟪z.1.val,z.2 i⟫)).2 = δ t j (z.2 i,⟪z.1.val,z.2 i⟫) := by simp only [ae_all_iff] intro t j i exact (sphere_sample_observation_quasi (by simpa using (show 3 ≤ d by omega)) i).ae (htrans t j).ae_eq_mk let S : Fin (T+1) → Set (UnitSphere d × Samples d T) := fun t => {z | dist z.1.val (L.output t ω (streamRoute δ 0 t (L.initialChoice ω).2 ((fun i => z.2 (Fin.castLE (by omega) i)),fun i => ⟪z.1.val,z.2 (Fin.castLE (by omega) i)⟫))).val ≤ ε} have hmono : {z : UnitSphere d × Samples d T | dist z.1.val (L.estimate z.1 ω z.2).val ≤ ε} ≤ᵐ[μ] ⋃ t, S t := by filter_upwards [hgood] with z hz intro hs rcases L.terminal_forced_witness z.1 ω z.2 with ⟨t,ht,he⟩ have hf : L.forcedRun z.1 ω z.2 t = streamRoute δ 0 t (L.initialChoice ω).2 ((fun i => z.2 (Fin.castLE ht i)),fun i => ⟪z.1.val,z.2 (Fin.castLE ht i)⟫) := by rw [L.forcedRun_eq_route z.1 ω z.2 ht] exact streamRoute_congr _ _ 0 t _ _ _ (fun n j i => hz n j (Fin.castLE ht i)) refine Set.mem_iUnion.mpr ⟨⟨t,by omega⟩, ?_⟩ change dist z.1.val (L.output t ω _) ≤ ε change dist z.1.val (L.estimate z.1 ω z.2).val ≤ ε at hs simpa only [estimate, he, hf] using hs let B : ℝ≥0∞ := ENNReal.ofReal ((3*4^d:ℝ)*ε^((d:ℝ)-1-α) * RealStep d (2^M) ^ BlockCount T (d/8)) have hb (t : Fin (T+1)) : μ (S t) ≤ B := by simpa only [B, μ, S, uniformSphere, SpherePrior, MemoryPrecision.Kernel.UniformSphere, sampleLaw] using real_prefix_route_cap_bound (N := 2^M) hd (one_le_pow₀ (by norm_num)) hδ (fun j => (L.output t ω j).val) hε hαlo hαhi (by omega : (t : ℕ) ≤ T) (L.initialChoice ω).2 calc _ ≤ μ (⋃ t, S t) := measure_mono_ae hmono _ ≤ ∑' t, μ (S t) := measure_iUnion_le S _ ≤ ∑' _ : Fin (T+1), B := ENNReal.tsum_le_tsum hb _ = _ := by simp [B, tsum_fintype, nsmul_eq_mul, mul_assoc] lemma chord_real_bound {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (L : Learner d M T Ω) (ρ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure ρ] (hL : L.Admissible ρ) (hd : 16 ≤ d) {ε : ℝ} (hε : 0 < ε) {α : ℝ} (hαlo : ((d:ℝ)-1)/2 ≤ α) (hαhi : α ≤ (d:ℝ)/2) : uniformChordSuccess L ρ ε ≤ (T+1 : ℝ≥0∞) * ENNReal.ofReal ((3*4^d:ℝ)*ε^((d:ℝ)-1-α) * RealStep d (2^M) ^ BlockCount T (d/8)) := by let : NeZero d := ⟨by omega⟩ let : SigmaFinite (observationReference d) := by unfold observationReference; infer_instance have hω : ∀ᵐ ω ∂ρ, ∀ t j, AEMeasurable (fun obs => (L.transition t ω j obs).2) (observationReference d) := by simp only [ae_all_iff] intro t j filter_upwards [ae_fiber_aemeasurable (hL.transition t j).prod_swap] with ω hω exact measurable_snd.comp_aemeasurable hω have hp := ((MeasurePreserving.id (uniformSphere d)).prod (Measure.measurePreserving_swap (μ := sampleLaw d T) (ν := ρ))).comp (measurePreserving_prodAssoc (uniformSphere d) (sampleLaw d T) ρ) let S := {z : UnitSphere d × (Ω × Samples d T) | dist (L.estimate z.1 z.2.1 z.2.2).val z.1.val ≤ ε} have hS : NullMeasurableSet S ((uniformSphere d).prod (ρ.prod (sampleLaw d T))) := nullMeasurableSet_le ((measurable_subtype_coe.comp_aemeasurable hL.uniform_experiment).dist (measurable_subtype_coe.comp measurable_fst).aemeasurable) aemeasurable_const have he := hp.measure_preimage hS have hb := prod_null_set_bound (hS.preimage hp.quasiMeasurePreserving) (c := (T+1 : ℝ≥0∞) * ENNReal.ofReal ((3*4^d:ℝ)*ε^((d:ℝ)-1-α) * RealStep d (2^M) ^ BlockCount T (d/8))) (by filter_upwards [hω] with ω hω change ((uniformSphere d).prod (sampleLaw d T)) {z | dist (L.estimate z.1 ω z.2).val z.1.val ≤ ε} ≤ _ simpa only [dist_comm] using frozen_chord_real_bound L ω hd hω hε hαlo hαhi) simpa only [he, measure_univ, mul_one, S, uniformChordSuccess] using hb end MemoryPrecision end end OAI