import Mathlib namespace OAI /-! # Arctangent centers of probability laws Every real probability law has a unique arctangent center without moment assumptions. The center depends only on the law, is translation-equivariant, and is continuous for weak convergence. Convergence of translated log-diameter laws yields scalar normalization limits; no FK/spanning-tree GHP convergence theorem is asserted. -/ open MeasureTheory Filter Set open scoped Topology BoundedContinuousFunction noncomputable section namespace MetricMeasureLimits.DiameterCenter /-- Expected arctangent after centering at a deterministic real number. -/ def score (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (t : ℝ) : ℝ := ∫ y, Real.arctan (y - t) ∂(μ : Measure ℝ) private lemma norm_arctan_le (x : ℝ) : ‖Real.arctan x‖ ≤ Real.pi / 2 := by rw [Real.norm_eq_abs, abs_le] exact ⟨(Real.arctan_mem_Ioo x).1.le, (Real.arctan_mem_Ioo x).2.le⟩ lemma integrable_score (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (t : ℝ) : Integrable (fun y => Real.arctan (y - t)) (μ : Measure ℝ) := by apply (integrable_const (Real.pi / 2)).mono' · exact (Real.continuous_arctan.comp (continuous_id.sub continuous_const)).aestronglyMeasurable · exact ae_of_all _ fun y => norm_arctan_le (y - t) lemma continuous_score (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : Continuous (score μ) := by refine continuous_of_dominated (bound := fun _ => Real.pi / 2) ?_ ?_ (integrable_const _) ?_ · intro t exact (Real.continuous_arctan.comp (continuous_id.sub continuous_const)).aestronglyMeasurable · intro t exact ae_of_all _ fun y => norm_arctan_le (y - t) · exact ae_of_all _ fun y => Real.continuous_arctan.comp (continuous_const.sub continuous_id) lemma strictAnti_score (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : StrictAnti (score μ) := by intro s t hst have hpos (y : ℝ) : 0 < Real.arctan (y - s) - Real.arctan (y - t) := by exact sub_pos.mpr (Real.arctan_strictMono (sub_lt_sub_left hst y)) have hint : Integrable (fun y => Real.arctan (y - s) - Real.arctan (y - t)) (μ : Measure ℝ) := (integrable_score μ s).sub (integrable_score μ t) have hsupp : Function.support (fun y => Real.arctan (y - s) - Real.arctan (y - t)) = Set.univ := by ext y simp only [Function.mem_support, mem_univ, iff_true] exact (hpos y).ne' have hi : 0 < ∫ y, Real.arctan (y - s) - Real.arctan (y - t) ∂(μ : Measure ℝ) := by rw [integral_pos_iff_support_of_nonneg (fun y => (hpos y).le) hint, hsupp] simp rw [integral_sub (integrable_score μ s) (integrable_score μ t)] at hi exact sub_pos.mp hi lemma tendsto_score_atTop (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : Tendsto (score μ) atTop (𝓝 (-(Real.pi / 2))) := by have h : Tendsto (score μ) atTop (𝓝 (∫ _ : ℝ, -(Real.pi / 2) ∂(μ : Measure ℝ))) := by refine tendsto_integral_filter_of_dominated_convergence (fun _ => Real.pi / 2) ?_ ?_ (integrable_const _) ?_ · exact Eventually.of_forall fun t => (integrable_score μ t).aestronglyMeasurable · exact Eventually.of_forall fun t => ae_of_all _ fun y => norm_arctan_le (y - t) · refine ae_of_all _ fun y => ?_ apply Real.tendsto_arctan_atBot.mono_right nhdsWithin_le_nhds |>.comp change Tendsto (fun t : ℝ => y - t) _ _ simpa only [sub_eq_add_neg] using tendsto_atBot_add_const_left atTop y tendsto_neg_atTop_atBot simpa using h lemma tendsto_score_atBot (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : Tendsto (score μ) atBot (𝓝 (Real.pi / 2)) := by have h : Tendsto (score μ) atBot (𝓝 (∫ _ : ℝ, Real.pi / 2 ∂(μ : Measure ℝ))) := by refine tendsto_integral_filter_of_dominated_convergence (fun _ => Real.pi / 2) ?_ ?_ (integrable_const _) ?_ · exact Eventually.of_forall fun t => (integrable_score μ t).aestronglyMeasurable · exact Eventually.of_forall fun t => ae_of_all _ fun y => norm_arctan_le (y - t) · refine ae_of_all _ fun y => ?_ apply Real.tendsto_arctan_atTop.mono_right nhdsWithin_le_nhds |>.comp change Tendsto (fun t : ℝ => y - t) _ _ simpa only [sub_eq_add_neg] using tendsto_atTop_add_const_left atBot y tendsto_neg_atBot_atTop simpa using h /-- Every real probability law has a unique arctangent center, without a moment assumption. This is the existence/uniqueness part of `measure:center`. -/ theorem existsUnique_center (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : ∃! t : ℝ, score μ t = 0 := by have hneg : ∃ t, score μ t < 0 := ((tendsto_score_atTop μ).eventually_lt_const (by have := Real.pi_pos; linarith)).exists have hpos : ∃ t, 0 < score μ t := ((tendsto_score_atBot μ).eventually_const_lt (by have := Real.pi_pos; linarith)).exists obtain ⟨m, hm⟩ := mem_range_of_exists_le_of_exists_ge (continuous_score μ) (hneg.imp fun _ h => h.le) (hpos.imp fun _ h => h.le) refine ⟨m, hm, ?_⟩ intro t ht exact (strictAnti_score μ).injective (ht.trans hm.symm) /-- The center is a function of the unconditional probability law alone. -/ def center (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : ℝ := (existsUnique_center μ).choose @[simp] theorem score_center (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : score μ (center μ) = 0 := (existsUnique_center μ).choose_spec.1 lemma center_eq_of_score_eq_zero (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) {t : ℝ} (ht : score μ t = 0) : center μ = t := (strictAnti_score μ).injective ((score_center μ).trans ht.symm) lemma score_pos_iff (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (t : ℝ) : 0 < score μ t ↔ t < center μ := by rw [← score_center μ, (strictAnti_score μ).lt_iff_gt] lemma score_neg_iff (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (t : ℝ) : score μ t < 0 ↔ center μ < t := by rw [← score_center μ, (strictAnti_score μ).lt_iff_gt] /-- Push a probability law forward by translation by `c`. -/ def translate (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (c : ℝ) : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ := μ.map (fun y => y + c) lemma score_translate (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (c t : ℝ) : score (translate μ c) (t + c) = score μ t := by unfold score translate rw [ProbabilityMeasure.toMeasure_map, integral_map_of_stronglyMeasurable (measurable_id'.add_const c)] · congr 1 ext y congr 1 ring · exact (Real.continuous_arctan.comp (continuous_id.sub continuous_const)).stronglyMeasurable /-- Translation equivariance in `measure:center`. -/ theorem center_translate (μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (c : ℝ) : center (translate μ c) = center μ + c := by apply center_eq_of_score_eq_zero rw [score_translate, score_center] /-- A bounded continuous arctangent test of a law. -/ def arctanTest (t : ℝ) : ℝ →ᵇ ℝ := BoundedContinuousFunction.mkOfBound ⟨fun y => Real.arctan (y - t), Real.continuous_arctan.comp (continuous_id.sub continuous_const)⟩ Real.pi (fun x y => by calc dist (Real.arctan (x - t)) (Real.arctan (y - t)) ≤ ‖Real.arctan (x - t)‖ + ‖Real.arctan (y - t)‖ := dist_le_norm_add_norm _ _ _ ≤ Real.pi / 2 + Real.pi / 2 := add_le_add (norm_arctan_le _) (norm_arctan_le _) _ = Real.pi := by ring) lemma continuous_score_law (t : ℝ) : Continuous (fun μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ => score μ t) := ProbabilityMeasure.continuous_integral_boundedContinuousFunction (arctanTest t) /-- Continuity under weak convergence of real probability laws in `measure:center`. The filter is arbitrary, not just a filter on subsequences. -/ theorem tendsto_center {ι : Type*} {l : Filter ι} {μs : ι → ProbabilityMeasure ℝ} {μ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ} (h : Tendsto μs l (𝓝 μ)) : Tendsto (fun i => center (μs i)) l (𝓝 (center μ)) := by refine tendsto_order.mpr ⟨?_, ?_⟩ · intro a ha have ht := ((continuous_score_law a).tendsto μ).comp h have he := ht.eventually_const_lt ((score_pos_iff μ a).mpr ha) filter_upwards [he] with i hi exact (score_pos_iff (μs i) a).mp hi · intro b hb have ht := ((continuous_score_law b).tendsto μ).comp h have he := ht.eventually_lt_const ((score_neg_iff μ b).mpr hb) filter_upwards [he] with i hi exact (score_neg_iff (μs i) b).mp hi /-- The no-moment arctangent center is continuous for the usual weak topology on probability measures. -/ theorem continuous_center : Continuous center := by rw [continuous_iff_continuousAt] intro μ exact tendsto_center tendsto_id section RandomVariables variable {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] /-- Rewriting the law-level score as an expectation on a probability space. Only measurability, not integrability of the random variable, is needed. -/ lemma score_map (P : ProbabilityMeasure Ω) (Y : Ω → ℝ) (hY : AEMeasurable Y (P : Measure Ω)) (t : ℝ) : score (P.map Y) t = ∫ ω, Real.arctan (Y ω - t) ∂(P : Measure Ω) := by unfold score rw [ProbabilityMeasure.toMeasure_map] exact integral_map hY (Real.continuous_arctan.comp (continuous_id.sub continuous_const)).aestronglyMeasurable /-- The existence/uniqueness assertion of `measure:center` for an arbitrary finite real random variable. The defining expectation is with respect to its unconditional probability law. -/ theorem existsUnique_randomVariable_center (P : ProbabilityMeasure Ω) (Y : Ω → ℝ) (hY : AEMeasurable Y (P : Measure Ω)) : ∃! m : ℝ, (∫ ω, Real.arctan (Y ω - m) ∂(P : Measure Ω)) = 0 := by simpa only [score_map P Y hY] using existsUnique_center (P.map Y) /-- Law equality implies equality of the centers; a change of probability space causes no ambiguity. -/ theorem center_eq_of_law_eq {Ω' : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω'] (P : ProbabilityMeasure Ω) (Y : Ω → ℝ) (_hY : AEMeasurable Y (P : Measure Ω)) (P' : ProbabilityMeasure Ω') (Y' : Ω' → ℝ) (_hY' : AEMeasurable Y' (P' : Measure Ω')) (h : P.map Y = P'.map Y') : center (P.map Y) = center (P'.map Y') := congrArg center h end RandomVariables /-! The next lemmas establish only the scalar step in `measure:normalization`. Here `ν` is a law of a logarithmic (truncated) diameter, and `τ` is the law of the logarithm of the limiting diameter. No assertion that FK or tree maps satisfy the needed distributional convergence is made. -/ /-- The deterministic scale `exp(m(ν) - m(τ))` from the normalization lemma. -/ def diameterScale (ν τ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : ℝ := Real.exp (center ν - center τ) lemma diameterScale_pos (ν τ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : 0 < diameterScale ν τ := Real.exp_pos _ /-- The proposed distance rescaling is positive even when no moments exist. -/ lemma inv_diameterScale_pos (ν τ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) : 0 < (diameterScale ν τ)⁻¹ := inv_pos.mpr (diameterScale_pos ν τ) /-- Along any already-established convergence of the centered log-diameter laws, the deterministic scale ratio converges to the deterministic multiplier. This is the scalar step in `measure:normalization`, not the subsequential geometric/probabilistic input required by `thm:main`. -/ theorem tendsto_diameterScale_ratio {ι : Type*} {l : Filter ι} (ν : ι → ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (τ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (s : ι → ℝ) (hs : ∀ i, 0 < s i) (c : ℝ) (hc : 0 < c) (h : Tendsto (fun i => translate (ν i) (-Real.log (s i))) l (𝓝 (translate τ (Real.log c)))) : Tendsto (fun i => diameterScale (ν i) τ / s i) l (𝓝 c) := by have hm := (tendsto_center h).sub_const (center τ) simp only [center_translate] at hm have hexp := Real.continuous_exp.continuousAt.tendsto.comp hm have hterm (i : ι) : Real.exp (center (ν i) + -Real.log (s i) - center τ) = diameterScale (ν i) τ / s i := by rw [show center (ν i) + -Real.log (s i) - center τ = (center (ν i) - center τ) - Real.log (s i) by ring] rw [Real.exp_sub, Real.exp_log (hs i)] rfl simpa only [Function.comp_def, hterm, add_sub_cancel_left, Real.exp_log hc] using hexp /-- Reciprocal scales tend to zero along such a subsequence when its reference scale tends to infinity. This conclusion concerns only real numbers; no GHP convergence is assumed or asserted. -/ theorem tendsto_inv_diameterScale_zero {ι : Type*} {l : Filter ι} (ν : ι → ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (τ : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ) (s : ι → ℝ) (hs : ∀ i, 0 < s i) (c : ℝ) (hc : 0 < c) (h : Tendsto (fun i => translate (ν i) (-Real.log (s i))) l (𝓝 (translate τ (Real.log c)))) (hsInf : Tendsto s l atTop) : Tendsto (fun i => (diameterScale (ν i) τ)⁻¹) l (𝓝 (0 : ℝ)) := by have hr := (tendsto_diameterScale_ratio ν τ s hs c hc h).inv₀ hc.ne' have hz := tendsto_inv_atTop_zero.comp hsInf have hp := hr.mul hz have heq (i : ι) : (diameterScale (ν i) τ / s i)⁻¹ * (s i)⁻¹ = (diameterScale (ν i) τ)⁻¹ := by rw [inv_div, div_eq_mul_inv] field_simp [(hs i).ne', (diameterScale_pos (ν i) τ).ne'] simpa only [Function.comp_def, heq, mul_zero] using hp end MetricMeasureLimits.DiameterCenter end end OAI