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Browse files- results_new/drift_merged_tvae.csv +15 -15
- results_new/drift_merged_tvae_lag2.csv +15 -15
- results_new/drift_merged_vae.csv +15 -15
- results_new/drift_merged_vae_lag2.csv +15 -15
- results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h1n1.csv +17 -17
- results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h1n1_lag2.csv +16 -16
- results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h3n2.csv +17 -17
- results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h3n2_lag2.csv +16 -16
- results_new/drift_scores_vae_h1n1.csv +17 -17
- results_new/drift_scores_vae_h1n1_lag2.csv +17 -17
- results_new/drift_scores_vae_h3n2.csv +17 -17
- results_new/drift_scores_vae_h3n2_lag2.csv +17 -17
- results_new/latent_diversity_tvae_h3n2.csv +18 -18
- results_new/latent_diversity_vae_h3n2.csv +18 -18
- results_new/loo_cv_vae.csv +16 -0
- results_new/sirc_params_tvae.csv +6 -7
- results_new/sirc_params_vae.csv +6 -7
- results_new/sirc_params_vae_lag2.csv +10 -0
- results_new/sirc_simulation_tvae.csv +13 -13
- results_new/sirc_simulation_vae.csv +14 -14
- results_new/sirc_simulation_vae_lag2.csv +14 -0
results_new/drift_merged_tvae.csv
CHANGED
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@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
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| 1 |
season,pct_h1n1,pct_h3n2,hosp_rate_overall,covid_excluded,drift_h1n1,drift_h3n2,drift_h1n1_raw,drift_h3n2_raw,drift_blended,blend_method
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results_new/drift_merged_tvae_lag2.csv
CHANGED
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@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
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results_new/drift_merged_vae.csv
CHANGED
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@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
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|
| 1 |
season,pct_h1n1,pct_h3n2,hosp_rate_overall,covid_excluded,drift_h1n1,drift_h3n2,drift_h1n1_raw,drift_h3n2_raw,drift_blended,blend_method
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results_new/drift_merged_vae_lag2.csv
CHANGED
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@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
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| 1 |
season,pct_h1n1,pct_h3n2,hosp_rate_overall,covid_excluded,drift_h1n1,drift_h3n2,drift_h1n1_raw,drift_h3n2_raw,drift_blended,blend_method
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| 16 |
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2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.2989198565483093,0.8088287115097046,1.4632588624954224,2.3938071727752686,0.7472401555785677,observed
|
results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h1n1.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
-
2009-10,1.
|
| 3 |
-
2010-11,0.
|
| 4 |
-
2011-12,0.
|
| 5 |
-
2012-13,0.
|
| 6 |
-
2013-14,0.
|
| 7 |
-
2014-15,2.
|
| 8 |
-
2015-16,2.
|
| 9 |
-
2016-17,0.
|
| 10 |
-
2017-18,0.
|
| 11 |
-
2018-19,0.
|
| 12 |
-
2019-20,0.
|
| 13 |
-
2020-21,0.
|
| 14 |
-
2021-22,0.
|
| 15 |
-
2022-23,1.
|
| 16 |
-
2023-24,0.
|
| 17 |
-
2024-25,0.
|
| 18 |
-
2025-26,1.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
+
2009-10,1.1482972,646,0.5
|
| 3 |
+
2010-11,0.35515317,134,0.0
|
| 4 |
+
2011-12,0.38899013,42,0.04266181215643883
|
| 5 |
+
2012-13,0.27162054,34,0.0
|
| 6 |
+
2013-14,0.290016,112,0.020983166992664337
|
| 7 |
+
2014-15,2.4670823,140,1.0
|
| 8 |
+
2015-16,2.5533848,1524,1.0
|
| 9 |
+
2016-17,0.266432,548,0.0
|
| 10 |
+
2017-18,0.2912122,1146,0.010835472494363785
|
| 11 |
+
2018-19,0.46172708,2432,0.08539533615112305
|
| 12 |
+
2019-20,0.39786124,2032,0.05746915936470032
|
| 13 |
+
2020-21,0.5415923,12,0.12031744420528412
|
| 14 |
+
2021-22,0.85009384,105,0.25521376729011536
|
| 15 |
+
2022-23,1.3437672,2158,0.47107887268066406
|
| 16 |
+
2023-24,0.41641176,6766,0.06558061391115189
|
| 17 |
+
2024-25,0.12275167,6155,0.0
|
| 18 |
+
2025-26,1.0064228,89,0.3635559380054474
|
results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h1n1_lag2.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
-
2010-11,0.
|
| 3 |
-
2011-12,0.
|
| 4 |
-
2012-13,0.
|
| 5 |
-
2013-14,0.
|
| 6 |
-
2014-15,2.
|
| 7 |
-
2015-16,0.
|
| 8 |
-
2016-17,2.
|
| 9 |
-
2017-18,0.
|
| 10 |
-
2018-19,0.
|
| 11 |
-
2019-20,0.
|
| 12 |
-
2020-21,0.
|
| 13 |
-
2021-22,1.
|
| 14 |
-
2022-23,2.
|
| 15 |
-
2023-24,1.
|
| 16 |
-
2024-25,0.
|
| 17 |
-
2025-26,0.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
+
2010-11,0.9439809,134,0.5
|
| 3 |
+
2011-12,0.07290561,42,0.0
|
| 4 |
+
2012-13,0.3420196,34,0.30894458293914795
|
| 5 |
+
2013-14,0.1792963,112,0.12213719636201859
|
| 6 |
+
2014-15,2.5593936,140,1.0
|
| 7 |
+
2015-16,0.17388023,1524,0.04060933366417885
|
| 8 |
+
2016-17,2.6364274,548,1.0
|
| 9 |
+
2017-18,0.07982029,1146,0.0026973371859639883
|
| 10 |
+
2018-19,0.7008631,2432,0.24495890736579895
|
| 11 |
+
2019-20,0.09470843,2032,0.008505025878548622
|
| 12 |
+
2020-21,0.17886892,12,0.041335053741931915
|
| 13 |
+
2021-22,1.3718964,105,0.5067211389541626
|
| 14 |
+
2022-23,2.1680326,2158,0.8172846436500549
|
| 15 |
+
2023-24,1.0240027,6766,0.371011883020401
|
| 16 |
+
2024-25,0.5335096,6155,0.17967624962329865
|
| 17 |
+
2025-26,0.90812415,89,0.3258090317249298
|
results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h3n2.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
-
2009-10,0.
|
| 3 |
-
2010-11,0.
|
| 4 |
-
2011-12,0.
|
| 5 |
-
2012-13,0.
|
| 6 |
-
2013-14,0.
|
| 7 |
-
2014-15,0.
|
| 8 |
-
2015-16,0.
|
| 9 |
-
2016-17,0.
|
| 10 |
-
2017-18,0.
|
| 11 |
-
2018-19,1.
|
| 12 |
-
2019-20,2.
|
| 13 |
-
2020-21,0.
|
| 14 |
-
2021-22,0.
|
| 15 |
-
2022-23,0.
|
| 16 |
-
2023-24,0.
|
| 17 |
-
2024-25,0.
|
| 18 |
-
2025-26,0.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
+
2009-10,0.71142685,7,0.5
|
| 3 |
+
2010-11,0.4677198,143,0.0
|
| 4 |
+
2011-12,0.1386296,73,0.0
|
| 5 |
+
2012-13,0.16799583,1091,0.05126809701323509
|
| 6 |
+
2013-14,0.078335665,86,0.0
|
| 7 |
+
2014-15,0.16184475,1432,0.13190686702728271
|
| 8 |
+
2015-16,0.2297543,1238,0.23917347192764282
|
| 9 |
+
2016-17,0.26513824,2591,0.29506421089172363
|
| 10 |
+
2017-18,0.080023475,2414,0.0026659821160137653
|
| 11 |
+
2018-19,1.48043,3758,1.0
|
| 12 |
+
2019-20,2.011853,929,1.0
|
| 13 |
+
2020-21,0.2276887,82,0.07724421471357346
|
| 14 |
+
2021-22,0.05187507,5129,0.0
|
| 15 |
+
2022-23,0.062054347,3827,0.005193567369133234
|
| 16 |
+
2023-24,0.08465396,5038,0.016724111512303352
|
| 17 |
+
2024-25,0.19401582,6957,0.07252160459756851
|
| 18 |
+
2025-26,0.13267078,520,0.04122276231646538
|
results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h3n2_lag2.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
-
2010-11,0.
|
| 3 |
-
2011-12,0.
|
| 4 |
-
2012-13,0.
|
| 5 |
-
2013-14,0.
|
| 6 |
-
2014-15,0.
|
| 7 |
-
2015-16,0.
|
| 8 |
-
2016-17,0.
|
| 9 |
-
2017-18,0.
|
| 10 |
-
2018-19,1.
|
| 11 |
-
2019-20,0.
|
| 12 |
-
2020-21,2.
|
| 13 |
-
2021-22,0.
|
| 14 |
-
2022-23,0.
|
| 15 |
-
2023-24,0.
|
| 16 |
-
2024-25,0.
|
| 17 |
-
2025-26,0.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
+
2010-11,0.93139327,143,0.5
|
| 3 |
+
2011-12,0.39552924,73,0.0
|
| 4 |
+
2012-13,0.108071096,1091,0.0
|
| 5 |
+
2013-14,0.10879779,86,0.0008826343109831214
|
| 6 |
+
2014-15,0.20932811,1432,0.12298589944839478
|
| 7 |
+
2015-16,0.12270895,1238,0.01777900569140911
|
| 8 |
+
2016-17,0.29510787,2591,0.22717325389385223
|
| 9 |
+
2017-18,0.29039407,2414,0.2214479148387909
|
| 10 |
+
2018-19,1.531815,3758,1.0
|
| 11 |
+
2019-20,0.83242416,929,0.5087664127349854
|
| 12 |
+
2020-21,2.2325468,82,1.0
|
| 13 |
+
2021-22,0.24127646,5129,0.06270033866167068
|
| 14 |
+
2022-23,0.05598324,3827,0.0
|
| 15 |
+
2023-24,0.08345813,5038,0.012623059563338757
|
| 16 |
+
2024-25,0.24425153,6957,0.0864979550242424
|
| 17 |
+
2025-26,0.12746367,520,0.03284095600247383
|
results_new/drift_scores_vae_h1n1.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
|
| 2 |
-
2009-10,1.
|
| 3 |
-
2010-11,0.
|
| 4 |
-
2011-12,1.
|
| 5 |
-
2012-13,1.
|
| 6 |
-
2013-14,0.
|
| 7 |
-
2014-15,3.
|
| 8 |
-
2015-16,3.
|
| 9 |
-
2016-17,0.
|
| 10 |
-
2017-18,0.
|
| 11 |
-
2018-19,0.
|
| 12 |
-
2019-20,1.
|
| 13 |
-
2020-21,1.
|
| 14 |
-
2021-22,1.
|
| 15 |
-
2022-23,0.
|
| 16 |
-
2023-24,0.
|
| 17 |
-
2024-25,0.
|
| 18 |
-
2025-26,0.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
|
| 2 |
+
2009-10,1.4508255,646,0.5,H1N1
|
| 3 |
+
2010-11,0.47653595,134,0.0,H1N1
|
| 4 |
+
2011-12,1.2336639,42,0.7771077752113342,H1N1
|
| 5 |
+
2012-13,1.315683,34,0.8612912893295288,H1N1
|
| 6 |
+
2013-14,0.8869689,112,0.42126384377479553,H1N1
|
| 7 |
+
2014-15,3.229831,140,1.0,H1N1
|
| 8 |
+
2015-16,3.2830133,1524,1.0,H1N1
|
| 9 |
+
2016-17,0.4732108,548,0.0,H1N1
|
| 10 |
+
2017-18,0.8554825,1146,0.1360493153333664,H1N1
|
| 11 |
+
2018-19,0.55094934,2432,0.02766689844429493,H1N1
|
| 12 |
+
2019-20,1.0523647,2032,0.20611907541751862,H1N1
|
| 13 |
+
2020-21,1.0806494,12,0.21618549525737762,H1N1
|
| 14 |
+
2021-22,1.5635442,105,0.3880462646484375,H1N1
|
| 15 |
+
2022-23,0.7888527,2158,0.11233596503734589,H1N1
|
| 16 |
+
2023-24,0.48950127,6766,0.005797722842544317,H1N1
|
| 17 |
+
2024-25,0.92285734,6155,0.16002780199050903,H1N1
|
| 18 |
+
2025-26,0.9353826,89,0.16448549926280975,H1N1
|
results_new/drift_scores_vae_h1n1_lag2.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
|
|
| 1 |
-
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
-
2010-11,1.
|
| 3 |
-
2011-12,1.
|
| 4 |
-
2012-13,0.
|
| 5 |
-
2013-14,1.
|
| 6 |
-
2014-15,3.
|
| 7 |
-
2015-16,1.
|
| 8 |
-
2016-17,3.
|
| 9 |
-
2017-18,1.
|
| 10 |
-
2018-19,0.
|
| 11 |
-
2019-20,1.
|
| 12 |
-
2020-21,1.
|
| 13 |
-
2021-22,1.
|
| 14 |
-
2022-23,2.
|
| 15 |
-
2023-24,0.
|
| 16 |
-
2024-25,0.
|
| 17 |
-
2025-26,1.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
+
2010-11,1.6838403,134,0.5
|
| 3 |
+
2011-12,1.3984897,42,0.0
|
| 4 |
+
2012-13,0.6571969,34,0.0
|
| 5 |
+
2013-14,1.6866795,112,1.0
|
| 6 |
+
2014-15,3.2755878,140,1.0
|
| 7 |
+
2015-16,1.7431539,1524,0.414742112159729
|
| 8 |
+
2016-17,3.3537793,548,1.0
|
| 9 |
+
2017-18,1.0407159,1146,0.14222411811351776
|
| 10 |
+
2018-19,0.9158257,2432,0.09590986371040344
|
| 11 |
+
2019-20,1.3699495,2032,0.26431700587272644
|
| 12 |
+
2020-21,1.69493,12,0.3848327100276947
|
| 13 |
+
2021-22,1.826437,105,0.4336007535457611
|
| 14 |
+
2022-23,2.1974437,2158,0.5711848139762878
|
| 15 |
+
2023-24,0.7683378,6766,0.04121546819806099
|
| 16 |
+
2024-25,0.9557891,6155,0.1107298731803894
|
| 17 |
+
2025-26,1.4632589,89,0.2989198565483093
|
results_new/drift_scores_vae_h3n2.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
|
| 2 |
-
2009-10,1.
|
| 3 |
-
2010-11,1.
|
| 4 |
-
2011-12,0.
|
| 5 |
-
2012-13,1.
|
| 6 |
-
2013-14,0.
|
| 7 |
-
2014-15,0.
|
| 8 |
-
2015-16,0.
|
| 9 |
-
2016-17,0.
|
| 10 |
-
2017-18,1.
|
| 11 |
-
2018-19,2.
|
| 12 |
-
2019-20,2.
|
| 13 |
-
2020-21,2.
|
| 14 |
-
2021-22,0.
|
| 15 |
-
2022-23,1.
|
| 16 |
-
2023-24,2.
|
| 17 |
-
2024-25,0.
|
| 18 |
-
2025-26,2.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
|
| 2 |
+
2009-10,1.404895,7,0.5,H3N2
|
| 3 |
+
2010-11,1.8256962,143,1.0,H3N2
|
| 4 |
+
2011-12,0.6962887,73,0.0,H3N2
|
| 5 |
+
2012-13,1.591804,1091,0.792907178401947,H3N2
|
| 6 |
+
2013-14,0.6546985,86,0.0,H3N2
|
| 7 |
+
2014-15,0.66253877,1432,0.00669538090005517,H3N2
|
| 8 |
+
2015-16,0.89745814,1238,0.20731009542942047,H3N2
|
| 9 |
+
2016-17,0.86437684,2591,0.17905956506729126,H3N2
|
| 10 |
+
2017-18,1.2708439,2414,0.5261712670326233,H3N2
|
| 11 |
+
2018-19,2.7669494,3758,1.0,H3N2
|
| 12 |
+
2019-20,2.5847852,929,0.9137583374977112,H3N2
|
| 13 |
+
2020-21,2.1798491,82,0.7220500111579895,H3N2
|
| 14 |
+
2021-22,0.44398916,5129,0.0,H3N2
|
| 15 |
+
2022-23,1.6075354,3827,0.5008893609046936,H3N2
|
| 16 |
+
2023-24,2.3582237,5038,0.8240495920181274,H3N2
|
| 17 |
+
2024-25,0.5509789,6957,0.04605749621987343,H3N2
|
| 18 |
+
2025-26,2.224057,520,0.7662928104400635,H3N2
|
results_new/drift_scores_vae_h3n2_lag2.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
|
|
| 1 |
-
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
-
2010-11,1.
|
| 3 |
-
2011-12,1.
|
| 4 |
-
2012-13,1.
|
| 5 |
-
2013-14,1.
|
| 6 |
-
2014-15,1.
|
| 7 |
-
2015-16,0.
|
| 8 |
-
2016-17,1.
|
| 9 |
-
2017-18,1.
|
| 10 |
-
2018-19,2.
|
| 11 |
-
2019-20,2.
|
| 12 |
-
2020-21,2.
|
| 13 |
-
2021-22,2.
|
| 14 |
-
2022-23,1.
|
| 15 |
-
2023-24,2.
|
| 16 |
-
2024-25,2.
|
| 17 |
-
2025-26,2.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
|
| 2 |
+
2010-11,1.9789424,143,0.5
|
| 3 |
+
2011-12,1.7089306,73,0.0
|
| 4 |
+
2012-13,1.8436345,1091,0.498881459236145
|
| 5 |
+
2013-14,1.8113368,86,0.3792654573917389
|
| 6 |
+
2014-15,1.0838722,1432,0.0
|
| 7 |
+
2015-16,0.7172887,1238,0.0
|
| 8 |
+
2016-17,1.122981,2591,0.3215559720993042
|
| 9 |
+
2017-18,1.497807,2414,0.6186470985412598
|
| 10 |
+
2018-19,2.3151267,3758,1.0
|
| 11 |
+
2019-20,2.1846282,929,0.9183281064033508
|
| 12 |
+
2020-21,2.790062,82,1.0
|
| 13 |
+
2021-22,2.417266,5129,0.8201462626457214
|
| 14 |
+
2022-23,1.4695538,3827,0.3629269003868103
|
| 15 |
+
2023-24,2.3646626,5038,0.7947680354118347
|
| 16 |
+
2024-25,2.4013884,6957,0.8124862313270569
|
| 17 |
+
2025-26,2.3938072,520,0.8088287115097046
|
results_new/latent_diversity_tvae_h3n2.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,19 +1,19 @@
|
|
| 1 |
season,latent_spread,latent_spread_std,latent_var_trace,n_sequences
|
| 2 |
-
2008-09,1.
|
| 3 |
-
2009-10,1.
|
| 4 |
-
2010-11,0.
|
| 5 |
-
2011-12,0.
|
| 6 |
-
2012-13,0.
|
| 7 |
-
2013-14,0.
|
| 8 |
-
2014-15,0.
|
| 9 |
-
2015-16,0.
|
| 10 |
-
2016-17,0.
|
| 11 |
-
2017-18,0.
|
| 12 |
-
2018-19,1.
|
| 13 |
-
2019-20,0.
|
| 14 |
-
2020-21,0.
|
| 15 |
-
2021-22,0.
|
| 16 |
-
2022-23,0.
|
| 17 |
-
2023-24,0.
|
| 18 |
-
2024-25,0.
|
| 19 |
-
2025-26,0.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
season,latent_spread,latent_spread_std,latent_var_trace,n_sequences
|
| 2 |
+
2008-09,1.6528769,0.37178797,2.882389975757355,237
|
| 3 |
+
2009-10,1.2650309,0.9221124,2.859027044148079,7
|
| 4 |
+
2010-11,0.35291559,1.1953477,1.5643449021371456,143
|
| 5 |
+
2011-12,0.36904284,0.66225415,0.5827561025417668,73
|
| 6 |
+
2012-13,0.13861772,0.74733365,0.578252454976218,1091
|
| 7 |
+
2013-14,0.24609643,0.5534105,0.3711422310312873,86
|
| 8 |
+
2014-15,0.4044687,0.5132068,0.427274485063817,1432
|
| 9 |
+
2015-16,0.35879156,0.6205946,0.5142844714246497,1238
|
| 10 |
+
2016-17,0.7118693,0.9502042,1.410190087867415,2591
|
| 11 |
+
2017-18,0.71073097,1.0491612,1.6065430376894203,2414
|
| 12 |
+
2018-19,1.3001629,0.8057143,2.3402217269300474,3758
|
| 13 |
+
2019-20,0.5340063,0.7917862,0.9130710086031294,929
|
| 14 |
+
2020-21,0.17419215,0.4487606,0.2345898033404107,82
|
| 15 |
+
2021-22,0.12717092,0.48492965,0.2513782113855686,5129
|
| 16 |
+
2022-23,0.2114976,0.63053393,0.4424198596041804,3827
|
| 17 |
+
2023-24,0.15584156,0.57115036,0.3505689565974345,5038
|
| 18 |
+
2024-25,0.47226152,0.67469484,0.6783415841394247,6957
|
| 19 |
+
2025-26,0.2761017,0.44809172,0.2775520874757965,520
|
results_new/latent_diversity_vae_h3n2.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,19 +1,19 @@
|
|
| 1 |
season,latent_spread,latent_spread_std,latent_var_trace,n_sequences
|
| 2 |
-
2008-09,1.
|
| 3 |
-
2009-10,2.
|
| 4 |
-
2010-11,2.
|
| 5 |
-
2011-12,2.
|
| 6 |
-
2012-13,1.
|
| 7 |
-
2013-14,1.
|
| 8 |
-
2014-15,1.
|
| 9 |
-
2015-16,1.
|
| 10 |
-
2016-17,1.
|
| 11 |
-
2017-18,1.
|
| 12 |
-
2018-19,1.
|
| 13 |
-
2019-20,1.
|
| 14 |
-
2020-21,1.
|
| 15 |
-
2021-22,1.
|
| 16 |
-
2022-23,1.
|
| 17 |
-
2023-24,1.
|
| 18 |
-
2024-25,1.
|
| 19 |
-
2025-26,1.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
season,latent_spread,latent_spread_std,latent_var_trace,n_sequences
|
| 2 |
+
2008-09,1.118246,0.45251998,1.4614145552013456,237
|
| 3 |
+
2009-10,2.7893622,1.1113915,10.51835534333123,7
|
| 4 |
+
2010-11,2.154125,0.77902246,5.284081581164202,143
|
| 5 |
+
2011-12,2.0850751,0.94474834,5.312866482901702,73
|
| 6 |
+
2012-13,1.4296755,0.62001055,2.430612622182104,1091
|
| 7 |
+
2013-14,1.344636,0.48236609,2.064731626802776,86
|
| 8 |
+
2014-15,1.2798865,0.5708023,1.965296888298682,1432
|
| 9 |
+
2015-16,1.7440839,0.3955756,3.200894235629856,1238
|
| 10 |
+
2016-17,1.6630814,0.51961464,3.037011743619697,2591
|
| 11 |
+
2017-18,1.5632828,0.8058375,3.0945094018395682,2414
|
| 12 |
+
2018-19,1.9605918,0.8083236,4.498504110298732,3758
|
| 13 |
+
2019-20,1.7020274,0.62496185,3.2910171567461917,929
|
| 14 |
+
2020-21,1.4102268,0.5317966,2.2995912191600194,82
|
| 15 |
+
2021-22,1.4071878,0.594125,2.333616857844206,5129
|
| 16 |
+
2022-23,1.6020731,0.57157767,2.894095524533272,3827
|
| 17 |
+
2023-24,1.0709511,0.47559032,1.3733950570133384,5038
|
| 18 |
+
2024-25,1.3575284,0.4634549,2.0579693733329956,6957
|
| 19 |
+
2025-26,1.112448,0.82856077,1.927760638537799,520
|
results_new/loo_cv_vae.csv
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,16 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
season,hosp_obs,hosp_pred,abs_err,rel_err
|
| 2 |
+
2010-11,21.5,476.4806823730469,454.9806823730469,21.161892203397528
|
| 3 |
+
2011-12,8.699999809265137,0.26641762256622314,8.433582186698914,0.9693772840911445
|
| 4 |
+
2012-13,44.0,555.6311645507812,511.63116455078125,11.627981012517756
|
| 5 |
+
2013-14,35.099998474121094,295.7825927734375,260.6825942993164,7.426854861304775
|
| 6 |
+
2014-15,64.0999984741211,0.5626089572906494,63.537389516830444,0.9912229489752985
|
| 7 |
+
2015-16,31.399999618530273,576.2598876953125,544.8598880767822,17.35222594573666
|
| 8 |
+
2016-17,62.0,1.0237582921981812,60.97624170780182,0.9834877694806745
|
| 9 |
+
2017-18,102.9000015258789,91.24146270751953,11.658538818359375,0.11329969529132905
|
| 10 |
+
2018-19,63.599998474121094,143.1614227294922,79.5614242553711,1.2509658201917209
|
| 11 |
+
2019-20,66.0,8.857613563537598,57.1423864364624,0.865793733885794
|
| 12 |
+
2021-22,17.5,0.10405305027961731,17.395946949720383,0.9940541114125933
|
| 13 |
+
2022-23,62.400001525878906,232.78256225585938,170.38256072998047,2.730489688518972
|
| 14 |
+
2023-24,83.5,13.71446704864502,69.78553295135498,0.8357548856449698
|
| 15 |
+
2024-25,126.19999694824219,0.545316755771637,125.65468019247055,0.9956789479480314
|
| 16 |
+
2025-26,78.19999694824219,321.3847961425781,243.18479919433594,3.1097801622075685
|
results_new/sirc_params_tvae.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,11 +1,10 @@
|
|
| 1 |
,0
|
| 2 |
-
|
| 3 |
-
|
| 4 |
-
|
| 5 |
-
|
| 6 |
-
S0_base,0.3508189022541046
|
| 7 |
beta,0.3
|
| 8 |
gamma,0.2
|
|
|
|
| 9 |
mu,3.6529680365296805e-05
|
| 10 |
-
|
| 11 |
-
calib_rmse,63.387779235839844
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
,0
|
| 2 |
+
delta_min,0.007038555108010769
|
| 3 |
+
delta_max,0.022579779848456383
|
| 4 |
+
S0_base,0.45876216888427734
|
| 5 |
+
ihr,0.011086582206189632
|
|
|
|
| 6 |
beta,0.3
|
| 7 |
gamma,0.2
|
| 8 |
+
sigma,0.008333333333333333
|
| 9 |
mu,3.6529680365296805e-05
|
| 10 |
+
calib_rrmse,5.81939172744751
|
|
|
results_new/sirc_params_vae.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,11 +1,10 @@
|
|
| 1 |
,0
|
| 2 |
-
|
| 3 |
-
|
| 4 |
-
|
| 5 |
-
|
| 6 |
-
S0_base,0.3455941379070282
|
| 7 |
beta,0.3
|
| 8 |
gamma,0.2
|
|
|
|
| 9 |
mu,3.6529680365296805e-05
|
| 10 |
-
|
| 11 |
-
calib_rmse,55.91606140136719
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
,0
|
| 2 |
+
delta_min,0.004633043427020311
|
| 3 |
+
delta_max,0.022853728383779526
|
| 4 |
+
S0_base,0.39085841178894043
|
| 5 |
+
ihr,0.011377371847629547
|
|
|
|
| 6 |
beta,0.3
|
| 7 |
gamma,0.2
|
| 8 |
+
sigma,0.008333333333333333
|
| 9 |
mu,3.6529680365296805e-05
|
| 10 |
+
calib_rrmse,7.088802337646484
|
|
|
results_new/sirc_params_vae_lag2.csv
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
,0
|
| 2 |
+
delta_min,0.00540465023368597
|
| 3 |
+
delta_max,0.022085100412368774
|
| 4 |
+
S0_base,0.3931453227996826
|
| 5 |
+
ihr,0.011196274310350418
|
| 6 |
+
beta,0.3
|
| 7 |
+
gamma,0.2
|
| 8 |
+
sigma,0.008333333333333333
|
| 9 |
+
mu,3.6529680365296805e-05
|
| 10 |
+
calib_rrmse,5.030581951141357
|
results_new/sirc_simulation_tvae.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_blended,hosp_obs,hosp_sim
|
| 2 |
-
2010-11,0.0,21.5,
|
| 3 |
-
2011-12,0.
|
| 4 |
-
2012-13,0.
|
| 5 |
-
2013-14,0.
|
| 6 |
-
2014-15,0.
|
| 7 |
-
2015-16,0.
|
| 8 |
-
2016-17,0.
|
| 9 |
-
2017-18,0.
|
| 10 |
-
2018-19,0.
|
| 11 |
-
2019-20,0.
|
| 12 |
-
2021-22,0.
|
| 13 |
-
2022-23,0.
|
| 14 |
-
2023-24,0.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
season,drift_blended,hosp_obs,hosp_sim
|
| 2 |
+
2010-11,0.0,21.5,2.857899
|
| 3 |
+
2011-12,0.011039922781705238,8.7,3.3282125
|
| 4 |
+
2012-13,0.04832648488952488,44.0,5.5810604
|
| 5 |
+
2013-14,0.018241647687090103,35.1,3.6774483
|
| 6 |
+
2014-15,0.13678379474061259,64.1,18.104736
|
| 7 |
+
2015-16,0.8323787048309828,31.4,544.0487
|
| 8 |
+
2016-17,0.28584345430135727,62.0,90.802925
|
| 9 |
+
2017-18,0.003937048511513769,102.9,3.0171282
|
| 10 |
+
2018-19,0.49404848382828087,63.6,313.45987
|
| 11 |
+
2019-20,0.12502818815149627,66.0,15.593646
|
| 12 |
+
2021-22,0.001287657756256889,17.5,2.9089863
|
| 13 |
+
2022-23,0.14797283909239137,62.4,20.81644
|
| 14 |
+
2023-24,0.047968790616506884,83.5,5.5535364
|
results_new/sirc_simulation_vae.csv
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
|
|
| 1 |
-
season,drift_blended,hosp_obs,hosp_sim
|
| 2 |
-
2010-11,0.6188340807174887,21.5,0.
|
| 3 |
-
2011-12,0.
|
| 4 |
-
2012-13,0.
|
| 5 |
-
2013-14,0.
|
| 6 |
-
2014-15,0.
|
| 7 |
-
2015-16,0.
|
| 8 |
-
2016-17,0.
|
| 9 |
-
2017-18,0.
|
| 10 |
-
2018-19,0.
|
| 11 |
-
2019-20,0.
|
| 12 |
-
2021-22,0.
|
| 13 |
-
2022-23,0.
|
| 14 |
-
2023-24,0.
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
season,drift_blended,hosp_obs,hosp_sim,delta_used,S0_used,ihr_used
|
| 2 |
+
2010-11,0.6188340807174887,21.5,249.1108,0.015908624252279374,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 3 |
+
2011-12,0.20109811088043633,8.7,1.6920033,0.008297188750772174,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 4 |
+
2012-13,0.7968308568977918,44.0,453.01157,0.019151847434379463,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 5 |
+
2013-14,0.3662243465981891,35.1,21.824533,0.011305901869880907,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 6 |
+
2014-15,0.012275743928706546,64.1,0.23915042,0.004856715889755123,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 7 |
+
2015-16,0.8253587334708594,31.4,476.22537,0.019671644885902638,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 8 |
+
2016-17,0.1734639536589384,62.0,1.0982257,0.007793675477993708,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 9 |
+
2017-18,0.4654733678997827,102.9,73.768425,0.01311428701928393,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 10 |
+
2018-19,0.46211360339471635,63.6,71.16625,0.013053069808708214,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 11 |
+
2019-20,0.25684147007711283,66.0,4.172247,0.009312870937126284,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 12 |
+
2021-22,0.0019578519911626516,17.5,0.2308248,0.00466871683134325,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 13 |
+
2022-23,0.38180990024121164,62.4,26.96871,0.011589881332687093,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
| 14 |
+
2023-24,0.3007616810233287,83.5,8.3582945,0.01011312726401169,0.39085841178894043,0.011377371847629547
|
results_new/sirc_simulation_vae_lag2.csv
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,14 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
season,drift_blended,hosp_obs,hosp_sim
|
| 2 |
+
2010-11,0.49999999999999994,21.5,106.323265
|
| 3 |
+
2011-12,0.0,8.7,0.2764276
|
| 4 |
+
2012-13,0.47025711321439895,44.0,81.48026
|
| 5 |
+
2013-14,0.9188990044833427,35.1,510.29135
|
| 6 |
+
2014-15,0.005617977528089888,64.1,0.28465596
|
| 7 |
+
2015-16,0.323368313486484,31.4,15.211896
|
| 8 |
+
2016-17,0.34275734797120094,62.0,19.591478
|
| 9 |
+
2017-18,0.544521882350239,102.9,150.67207
|
| 10 |
+
2018-19,0.49986503098873386,63.6,106.202034
|
| 11 |
+
2019-20,0.3111954239177537,66.0,12.9229765
|
| 12 |
+
2021-22,0.8181959825796268,17.5,444.68375
|
| 13 |
+
2022-23,0.4267514359407435,62.4,52.670418
|
| 14 |
+
2023-24,0.31285658054481524,83.5,13.216221
|