Upload folder using huggingface_hub

results_new/correlation_comparison.csv

@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
 Metric,rho,p,CI_lo,CI_hi,n,CI
-DiffAE lag-1 (blended),0.38551827275025324,0.15585899037368892,-0.16386050129229068,0.7589931501658211,15,"[-0.16, 0.76]"
-DiffAE lag-2 (blended),0.3818813079129867,0.16013360492815723,-0.18514376606126362,0.840433981224313,15,"[-0.19, 0.84]"
-VAE lag-1 (blended),0.3927922024247863,0.14753955763888887,-0.1637729838026484,0.7556708662049411,15,"[-0.16, 0.76]"
-VAE lag-2 (blended),0.4037030969365859,0.13562827630878244,-0.17109575303805602,0.8437232950191448,15,"[-0.17, 0.84]"
-TVAE lag-1 (blended),0.49099025303098287,0.0630989066582577,-0.046989258091308675,0.8380416712690478,15,"[-0.05, 0.84]"
-TVAE lag-2 (blended),0.46553149917011705,0.08032984536217488,-0.06803267873382532,0.8839678548206559,15,"[-0.07, 0.88]"
+DiffAE lag-1 (blended),0.4509836398210509,0.09156012139132494,-0.08230678312025709,0.78657442768004,15,"[-0.08, 0.79]"
+DiffAE lag-2 (blended),0.4255248859601851,0.11380100835183467,-0.15675655456203463,0.8470255585702305,15,"[-0.16, 0.85]"
+VAE lag-1 (blended),0.4364357804719848,0.10385510395975796,-0.06938106307033166,0.7790487408719494,15,"[-0.07, 0.78]"
+VAE lag-2 (blended),0.3600595188893874,0.18741406766247667,-0.2067294244964042,0.81380181951844,15,"[-0.21, 0.81]"
+TVAE lag-1 (blended),0.4473466749837844,0.09453231766224783,-0.10159838895824447,0.84109096824881,15,"[-0.10, 0.84]"
+TVAE lag-2 (blended),0.2945941518185897,0.28648727436863436,-0.2973112417001159,0.7678557759194542,15,"[-0.30, 0.77]"
 Hamming H3N2 lag-1,0.007405376032788813,0.9791035961351728,-0.5507549288055146,0.5589298744299823,15,"[-0.55, 0.56]"
 Hamming H3N2 lag-2,0.033958905427861195,0.9043678210462518,-0.5201586903828396,0.579691735485091,15,"[-0.52, 0.58]"
 H1N1 co-circulation,0.13939393939393938,0.7009318849100584,-0.7583165363218578,0.8313772647105978,10,"[-0.76, 0.83]"

results_new/drift_merged_diffae.csv

@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 season,pct_h1n1,pct_h3n2,hosp_rate_overall,covid_excluded,drift_h1n1,drift_h3n2,drift_h1n1_raw,drift_h3n2_raw,drift_blended
-2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.0,0.0,0.019403398036956787,0.06124913692474365,0.0
-2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.3718109428882599,0.0,0.06576895713806152,0.016620218753814697,0.0
-2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.07695521414279938,1.0,0.02899986505508423,0.1659024953842163,0.0
-2013-14,,,35.1,False,0.5938134789466858,0.4628381133079529,0.09345310926437378,0.08571374416351318,0.0
-2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.6717933416366577,0.3268595337867737,0.11690706014633179,0.0
-2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,1.0,0.5515461564064026,0.5610330104827881,0.09895628690719604,0.629938108086586
-2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,0.011179001070559025,1.0,0.02545827627182007,0.17705434560775757,0.7442682960256934
-2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.28075674176216125,1.0,0.1714695692062378,0.325991153717041,0.6278832415938377
-2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.02334611304104328,1.0,0.03204834461212158,0.5921335220336914,0.43213997878134247
-2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.24206581711769104,1.0,0.1505134105682373,0.6195746064186096,0.16953694888949397
-2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.7433327436447144,0.0,0.42201441526412964,0.014556348323822021,0.003716663718223572
-2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.35339540243148804,0.4185779094696045,0.21081280708312988,0.3944040536880493,0.3758812240958214
-2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.09139998257160187,0.790522575378418,0.06890833377838135,0.7319334149360657,0.2572216870039702
-2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.540651261806488,0.0685829296708107,0.31223613023757935,0.07679343223571777,0.29813376612216236
-2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.23248238861560822,0.45992955565452576,0.1453227400779724,0.4319295287132263,0.39742862610518936
+2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.0,0.0,0.24803349375724792,0.6334457993507385,0.0
+2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.42737308144569397,0.0,0.47171881794929504,0.35185497999191284,0.0
+2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.1634288728237152,1.0,0.33357149362564087,0.8725459575653076,0.0
+2013-14,,,35.1,False,0.4886437654495239,0.2716849446296692,0.503787636756897,0.4933188855648041,0.0
+2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.1430070996284485,1.3686156272888184,0.4263174831867218,0.0
+2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,1.0,0.1593417078256607,1.6669636964797974,0.43482276797294617,0.5695386230051518
+2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,0.0,0.3545049726963043,0.22882866859436035,0.5364425182342529,0.2637516996860504
+2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.23939938843250275,0.697869598865509,0.5731173157691956,0.7152293920516968,0.44296208325028413
+2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.018407050520181656,1.0,0.25530049204826355,1.0809413194656372,0.4295716662704944
+2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.1415252536535263,0.9556406140327454,0.43236109614372253,1.0485994815826416,0.11433117486536504
+2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.22000403702259064,0.0,0.5452241897583008,0.13374482095241547,0.0011000201851129531
+2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.09678124636411667,0.6215881705284119,0.3680131733417511,0.7248035669326782,0.4344884437248111
+2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.0,0.8864315748214722,0.2231203019618988,0.9766391515731812,0.2393365252017975
+2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.19730809330940247,0.18943163752555847,0.5080022811889648,0.31387248635292053,0.18064643988013268
+2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.20791903138160706,1.0,0.5233228206634521,1.1456024646759033,0.8310790124833585

results_new/drift_merged_diffae_lag2.csv

@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 season,pct_h1n1,pct_h3n2,hosp_rate_overall,covid_excluded,drift_h1n1,drift_h3n2,drift_h1n1_raw,drift_h3n2_raw,drift_blended
-2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.5,0.5,0.14873802661895752,0.11010384559631348,0.0
-2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.0,0.0,0.11635911464691162,0.05659991502761841,0.0
-2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.0,1.0,0.034369587898254395,0.23855775594711304,0.0
-2013-14,,,35.1,False,1.0,1.0,0.19507408142089844,0.29527735710144043,0.0
-2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,1.0,0.485450804233551,0.29961395263671875,0.0
-2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,0.29067638516426086,0.20866797864437103,0.16548824310302734,0.10730916261672974,0.19055349862575532
-2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,1.0,0.5314030647277832,0.514673113822937,0.18573832511901855,0.4193638801574707
-2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.4307566285133362,1.0,0.2412635087966919,0.4758920669555664,0.644383229136467
-2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.43961992859840393,1.0,0.24552059173583984,0.6298485994338989,0.64860236287117
-2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.40794679522514343,1.0,0.23030787706375122,0.8302085399627686,0.2576197482645512
-2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,1.0,0.8828786015510559,0.5474648475646973,1.0147404670715332,0.8755183011293411
-2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,1.0,0.30180490016937256,0.883577823638916,0.3841325044631958,0.48638040471076965
-2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.29947394132614136,0.6599213480949402,0.28868532180786133,0.7727769613265991,0.3216267818808556
-2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.3886423110961914,0.7357478141784668,0.36440783739089966,0.8550673723220825,0.5142883810997009
-2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.5333930253982544,0.32271715998649597,0.4873313307762146,0.406827449798584,0.319962091088295
+2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.5,0.5,0.7833124995231628,0.8496021628379822,0.0
+2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.0,0.0,0.6248018145561218,0.6389385461807251,0.0
+2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.0,1.0,0.31427979469299316,1.1452760696411133,0.0
+2013-14,,,35.1,False,1.0,0.9233310222625732,0.7889097332954407,1.106455683708191,0.0
+2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.3624316453933716,1.5993640422821045,0.8224512934684753,0.0
+2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,0.24735108017921448,0.0,0.6321467757225037,0.417932391166687,0.1348063386976719
+2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,1.0,0.2079770714044571,1.615738868713379,0.5692031979560852,0.17873494112491606
+2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.2806801497936249,0.685522735118866,0.6795735359191895,0.9165430068969727,0.4401318893432617
+2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.2683355510234833,0.869451642036438,0.6635075211524963,1.0503225326538086,0.5047041761875153
+2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.21788424253463745,0.9902697801589966,0.5978472232818604,1.1381988525390625,0.15629759377241137
+2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.24649176001548767,0.7569119334220886,0.6350787281990051,1.1520017385482788,0.7475476251542568
+2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.3952478766441345,0.29455509781837463,0.8286787271499634,0.7035982012748718,0.30686567032337186
+2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.08233045786619186,0.5973102450370789,0.42142951488494873,0.9972165822982788,0.2007100554779172
+2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.18349717557430267,0.684760570526123,0.5530938506126404,1.082027792930603,0.3902549684047699
+2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.38171088695526123,0.7308134436607361,0.811060905456543,1.1266908645629883,0.6328671709299089

results_new/drift_merged_tvae.csv

@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 season,pct_h1n1,pct_h3n2,hosp_rate_overall,covid_excluded,drift_h1n1,drift_h3n2,drift_h1n1_raw,drift_h3n2_raw,drift_blended
-2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.0,0.0,0.00047069787979125977,1.9669532775878906e-06,0.0
-2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.0,0.0,0.000340878963470459,5.960464477539063e-08,0.0
-2012-13,,,44.0,False,1.0,0.1794871836900711,0.007382631301879883,4.76837158203125e-07,0.0
-2013-14,,,35.1,False,0.9713139533996582,0.07692307978868484,0.007180631160736084,2.384185791015625e-07,0.0
-2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.05128205195069313,0.013018429279327393,1.7881393432617188e-07,0.0
-2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,1.0,0.0,0.014466464519500732,5.960464477539063e-08,0.545
-2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,0.0,0.5641025900840759,3.4749507904052734e-05,1.3709068298339844e-06,0.4196923270225525
-2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.0,1.0,1.3709068298339844e-06,7.271766662597656e-06,0.597
-2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.0032387797255069017,1.0,4.8220157623291016e-05,7.68899917602539e-06,0.42168416545726356
-2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.004503799136728048,0.515625,6.651878356933594e-05,3.993511199951172e-06,0.023532142341602592
-2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.07900809496641159,0.0,0.0011442303657531738,5.960464477539063e-08,0.00039504047483205794
-2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.06184585765004158,0.0,0.0008959770202636719,0.0,0.017873452860862015
-2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.012868585996329784,0.07751937955617905,0.0001875162124633789,5.960464477539062e-07,0.02709428517241031
-2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.014281947165727615,0.03875968977808952,0.0002079606056213379,2.980232238769531e-07,0.02402183022722602
-2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.0015328575391322374,0.13953489065170288,2.3543834686279297e-05,1.0728836059570312e-06,0.11291433883341961
+2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.0,0.0,0.08079483360052109,0.320244699716568,0.0
+2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.21383173763751984,0.0,0.17818517982959747,0.12218787521123886,0.0
+2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.7733900547027588,0.43146035075187683,0.43303781747817993,0.24581404030323029,0.0
+2013-14,,,35.1,False,0.5718334317207336,0.337878942489624,0.34123820066452026,0.2190001904964447,0.0
+2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.0,0.9574033617973328,0.022658227011561394,0.0
+2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,1.0,0.29587820172309875,1.0173341035842896,0.13688474893569946,0.5905652430653573
+2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,0.08112185448408127,0.08684959262609482,0.15676863491535187,0.05618731305003166,0.0665630214214325
+2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.16338147222995758,0.42963555455207825,0.2338080108165741,0.18852300941944122,0.27446438801288603
+2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.0,0.07815849781036377,0.03403310850262642,0.05283203721046448,0.03282656908035278
+2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.09114177525043488,0.05713794752955437,0.12365290522575378,0.044716861099004745,0.05073893850669265
+2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.5637027621269226,0.033023394644260406,0.5883225798606873,0.043643608689308167,0.03537958092987538
+2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.15211695432662964,0.0019688101019710302,0.18360985815525055,0.023909347131848335,0.045249401607085016
+2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.04300299659371376,0.010120192542672157,0.07631799578666687,0.02908930741250515,0.023330887354910373
+2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.06481684744358063,0.0956893041729927,0.09776757657527924,0.08346592634916306,0.0739653822556138
+2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.1349097639322281,0.1895759403705597,0.16669000685214996,0.14312808215618134,0.16815234361588957

results_new/drift_merged_tvae_lag2.csv

@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 season,pct_h1n1,pct_h3n2,hosp_rate_overall,covid_excluded,drift_h1n1,drift_h3n2,drift_h1n1_raw,drift_h3n2_raw,drift_blended
-2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.5,0.5,7.903575897216797e-05,4.172325134277344e-07,0.0
-2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.0,1.0,1.2099742889404297e-05,2.086162567138672e-06,0.0
-2012-13,,,44.0,False,1.0,0.1071428582072258,0.004568338394165039,5.960464477539062e-07,0.0
-2013-14,,,35.1,False,0.0,0.0714285746216774,5.0067901611328125e-06,5.364418029785156e-07,0.0
-2014-15,,,64.1,False,0.29908567667007446,0.0,0.0013698339462280273,2.980232238769531e-07,0.0
-2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,0.012813479639589787,0.0,6.347894668579102e-05,2.384185791015625e-07,0.006983346403576434
-2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,1.0,0.8387096524238586,0.014205634593963623,1.7881393432617188e-06,0.6479999814033508
-2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.0023505017161369324,1.0,3.838539123535156e-05,1.3232231140136719e-05,0.597258555188775
-2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.004218311049044132,0.01834862306714058,6.490945816040039e-05,4.76837158203125e-07,0.009899943433701992
-2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.015462944284081459,0.17431192100048065,0.00022459030151367188,2.5033950805664062e-06,0.015357612175866961
-2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.020923662930727005,0.3920265734195709,0.0003021359443664551,7.271766662597656e-06,0.38664281970635056
-2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.0008478595991618931,0.0,1.704692840576172e-05,5.960464477539063e-08,0.0002450314241577871
-2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.018426254391670227,0.02631578966975212,0.00026667118072509766,5.364418029785156e-07,0.015931439064443113
-2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.0,0.04934210702776909,2.6226043701171875e-06,9.5367431640625e-07,0.02156250077113509
-2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.0064040422439575195,0.03618421033024788,9.357929229736328e-05,7.152557373046875e-07,0.029947690635919573
+2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.5,0.5,0.5056044459342957,0.13971289992332458,0.0
+2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.0,1.0,0.12553001940250397,0.28015580773353577,0.0
+2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.4559493064880371,0.9528692364692688,0.2988246977329254,0.2735366225242615,0.0
+2013-14,,,35.1,False,0.23055991530418396,0.0,0.2131599485874176,0.08889779448509216,0.0
+2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.7059916257858276,0.9414147138595581,0.22392435371875763,0.0
+2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,0.0,0.16588278114795685,0.10051466524600983,0.12062420696020126,0.025545948296785356
+2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,1.0,0.3445604145526886,0.9701524376869202,0.1547977328300476,0.2803529484272003
+2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.2871667444705963,0.41392672061920166,0.35024571418762207,0.16806459426879883,0.27870259410142895
+2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.1701364517211914,0.36577433347702026,0.24847175180912018,0.15885506570339203,0.24209617495536806
+2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.03521346300840378,0.0,0.13113762438297272,0.04299630969762802,0.018698348857462407
+2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,1.0,1.0,1.0426045656204224,0.6996221542358398,0.991
+2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.6128271222114563,0.0,0.6778529286384583,0.04089906066656113,0.17710703831911087
+2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.056875184178352356,0.0,0.15409620106220245,0.01642473228275776,0.02724321322143078
+2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.044452518224716187,0.10983920842409134,0.14239293336868286,0.09146659821271896,0.07004818312078714
+2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.026521535590291023,0.29856252670288086,0.12550033628940582,0.22040188312530518,0.24418241202645005

results_new/drift_merged_vae.csv

@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 season,pct_h1n1,pct_h3n2,hosp_rate_overall,covid_excluded,drift_h1n1,drift_h3n2,drift_h1n1_raw,drift_h3n2_raw,drift_blended
-2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.0,1.0,0.0010563135147094727,0.012005209922790527,0.0
-2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.5640940070152283,0.0,0.006980955600738525,0.0016401410102844238,0.0
-2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.6601384878158569,0.6578146815299988,0.007989704608917236,0.008458435535430908,0.0
-2013-14,,,35.1,False,0.24834571778774261,0.0,0.003664672374725342,0.0014861226081848145,0.0
-2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.0,0.049722492694854736,0.0013374686241149902,0.0
-2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,1.0,0.14585836231708527,0.052637577056884766,0.0028934478759765625,0.5674621877968312
-2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,0.00024382070114370435,0.12821902334690094,0.00106889009475708,0.0027052760124206543,0.09540080506692174
-2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.04647384583950043,0.3568040132522583,0.003453493118286133,0.00514376163482666,0.21812411895394324
-2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.008987855166196823,1.0,0.001519918441772461,0.02551358938217163,0.42467368468642236
-2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.07663480937480927,0.8349095582962036,0.0050092339515686035,0.021522343158721924,0.07492437566816806
-2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.20402246713638306,0.0,0.011580049991607666,0.0007395744323730469,0.0010201123356819153
-2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.036115508526563644,0.32487085461616516,0.0029191970825195312,0.008787930011749268,0.22290292088314892
-2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.0,0.7448362708091736,0.0009711980819702148,0.019192159175872803,0.20110579311847687
-2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.05085727199912071,0.010545209050178528,0.003598809242248535,0.001000821590423584,0.02983346326649189
-2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.05342528596520424,0.6346396803855896,0.0037314891815185547,0.01646214723587036,0.5187190684936941
+2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.0,1.0,0.476488322019577,1.8258570432662964,0.0
+2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.7770040035247803,0.0,1.2336010932922363,0.6962480545043945,0.0
+2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.861312747001648,0.7928884625434875,1.315751552581787,1.5919020175933838,0.0
+2013-14,,,35.1,False,0.4213981330394745,0.0,0.8870986700057983,0.6545810103416443,0.0
+2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.006791088730096817,3.2299582958221436,0.6625352501869202,0.0
+2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,1.0,0.20741674304008484,3.283143997192383,0.8975232839584351,0.5769421784281731
+2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,0.0,0.17912256717681885,0.4732435941696167,0.8643829822540283,0.13326718997955322
+2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.13598857820034027,0.5260452628135681,0.8553579449653625,1.2707252502441406,0.32900776550173755
+2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.027668969705700874,1.0,0.550990641117096,2.76682710647583,0.43438786424696446
+2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.20609280467033386,0.913719117641449,1.0523438453674316,2.584580659866333,0.1468977631032467
+2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.3879867196083069,0.0,1.5634475946426392,0.4437234699726105,0.0019399335980415345
+2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.11232626438140869,0.5009061694145203,0.7888692021369934,1.6073803901672363,0.3600549252033234
+2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.005798465106636286,0.8240612745285034,0.48953670263290405,2.3581032752990723,0.22527400890877472
+2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.1600038856267929,0.046174898743629456,0.922838568687439,0.5509925484657288,0.09954035802185535
+2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.16457200050354004,0.7662527561187744,0.9356744885444641,2.2238080501556396,0.6373997189998627

results_new/drift_merged_vae_lag2.csv

@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 season,pct_h1n1,pct_h3n2,hosp_rate_overall,covid_excluded,drift_h1n1,drift_h3n2,drift_h1n1_raw,drift_h3n2_raw,drift_blended
-2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.5,0.5,0.014805197715759277,0.014244914054870605,0.0
-2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.0,0.0,0.0089913010597229,0.011034250259399414,0.0
-2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.0,0.23716259002685547,0.002029240131378174,0.01179569959640503,0.0
-2013-14,,,35.1,False,0.8699479699134827,0.0545613169670105,0.013143658638000488,0.011209428310394287,0.0
-2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.0,0.05169111490249634,0.003906309604644775,0.0
-2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,0.24634896218776703,0.0,0.014263391494750977,0.0017910599708557129,0.13426018439233303
-2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,1.0,0.2340373545885086,0.054611921310424805,0.0047057271003723145,0.1981237918138504
-2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.061492353677749634,0.47189876437187195,0.0052626729011535645,0.007668018341064453,0.28848772123456
-2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.03489607200026512,1.0,0.0038641691207885742,0.017674148082733154,0.43814595744013785
-2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.12707339227199554,0.8641105890274048,0.008711099624633789,0.015515804290771484,0.10290450544655325
-2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.27215874195098877,0.7569926381111145,0.01634007692337036,0.020148515701293945,0.7477555348873138
-2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.39726656675338745,0.2339206039905548,0.02291858196258545,0.0074637532234191895,0.26779411280155185
-2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.02075287513434887,0.7043450474739075,0.0031204819679260254,0.018871784210205078,0.2001137900073081
-2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.03481332212686539,0.7465909123420715,0.0038598179817199707,0.019896268844604492,0.3435276364684105
-2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.13678783178329468,0.713965117931366,0.009221911430358887,0.019105076789855957,0.5920672646164894
+2010-11,,,21.5,False,0.5,0.5,1.6838973760604858,1.978998064994812,0.0
+2011-12,,,8.7,False,0.0,0.0,1.3985306024551392,1.709227204322815,0.0
+2012-13,,,44.0,False,0.0,0.49838268756866455,0.6572085022926331,1.8436763286590576,0.0
+2013-14,,,35.1,False,1.0,0.37862053513526917,1.6867097616195679,1.8113679885864258,0.0
+2014-15,,,64.1,False,1.0,0.0,3.275761365890503,1.0837401151657104,0.0
+2015-16,0.545,0.154,31.4,False,0.41470545530319214,0.0,1.7431367635726929,0.7172863483428955,0.22601447314023973
+2016-17,0.024,0.744,62.0,False,1.0,0.3215678632259369,3.3538360595703125,1.1230123043060303,0.26324649024009705
+2017-18,0.11,0.597,102.9,False,0.14222688972949982,0.6185199022293091,1.0407414436340332,1.4976801872253418,0.3849013395011425
+2018-19,0.52,0.42,63.6,False,0.0958743691444397,1.0,0.9157459735870361,2.315122604370117,0.4698546719551086
+2019-20,0.531,0.041,66.0,False,0.26432496309280396,0.9182058572769165,1.3699945211410522,2.1844289302825928,0.17800299555063248
+2021-22,0.005,0.986,17.5,False,0.43359997868537903,0.8200694918632507,1.8264662027359009,2.4169564247131348,0.8107565188705921
+2022-23,0.289,0.654,62.4,False,0.5711405873298645,0.36288025975227356,2.197361946105957,1.4693893194198608,0.40238331961631774
+2023-24,0.479,0.27,83.5,False,0.04119563475251198,0.7947002649307251,0.7682977914810181,2.3643763065338135,0.23430178057774903
+2024-25,0.496,0.437,126.2,False,0.11070064455270767,0.8125025629997253,0.9557269215583801,2.401273250579834,0.409971139729023
+2025-26,0.111,0.808,78.2,False,0.2990052103996277,0.8088775873184204,1.4635142087936401,2.3937602043151855,0.6867626689076424

results_new/drift_scores_diffae_h1n1.csv

@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
-2009-10,0.14410537,646,0.5,H1N1
-2010-11,0.019403398,134,0.0,H1N1
-2011-12,0.06576896,42,0.3718109428882599,H1N1
-2012-13,0.028999865,34,0.07695521414279938,H1N1
-2013-14,0.09345311,112,0.5938134789466858,H1N1
-2014-15,0.32685953,140,1.0,H1N1
-2015-16,0.561033,1524,1.0,H1N1
-2016-17,0.025458276,548,0.011179001070559025,H1N1
-2017-18,0.17146957,1146,0.28075674176216125,H1N1
-2018-19,0.032048345,2432,0.02334611304104328,H1N1
-2019-20,0.15051341,2032,0.24206581711769104,H1N1
-2020-21,0.106968224,12,0.16166919469833374,H1N1
-2021-22,0.42201442,105,0.7433327436447144,H1N1
-2022-23,0.2108128,2158,0.35339540243148804,H1N1
-2023-24,0.068908334,6766,0.09139998257160187,H1N1
-2024-25,0.31223613,6155,0.540651261806488,H1N1
-2025-26,0.14532274,89,0.23248238861560822,H1N1
+2009-10,0.77142936,646,0.5,H1N1
+2010-11,0.2480335,134,0.0,H1N1
+2011-12,0.47171882,42,0.42737308144569397,H1N1
+2012-13,0.3335715,34,0.1634288728237152,H1N1
+2013-14,0.50378764,112,0.4886437654495239,H1N1
+2014-15,1.3686156,140,1.0,H1N1
+2015-16,1.6669637,1524,1.0,H1N1
+2016-17,0.22882867,548,0.0,H1N1
+2017-18,0.5731173,1146,0.23939938843250275,H1N1
+2018-19,0.2553005,2432,0.018407050520181656,H1N1
+2019-20,0.4323611,2032,0.1415252536535263,H1N1
+2020-21,0.30452573,12,0.05263557657599449,H1N1
+2021-22,0.5452242,105,0.22000403702259064,H1N1
+2022-23,0.36801317,2158,0.09678124636411667,H1N1
+2023-24,0.2231203,6766,0.0,H1N1
+2024-25,0.5080023,6155,0.19730809330940247,H1N1
+2025-26,0.5233228,89,0.20791903138160706,H1N1

results_new/drift_scores_diffae_h1n1_lag2.csv

@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
-2010-11,0.14873803,134,0.5,H1N1
-2011-12,0.116359115,42,0.0,H1N1
-2012-13,0.034369588,34,0.0,H1N1
-2013-14,0.19507408,112,1.0,H1N1
-2014-15,0.4854508,140,1.0,H1N1
-2015-16,0.16548824,1524,0.29067638516426086,H1N1
-2016-17,0.5146731,548,1.0,H1N1
-2017-18,0.24126351,1146,0.4307566285133362,H1N1
-2018-19,0.24552059,2432,0.43961992859840393,H1N1
-2019-20,0.23030788,2032,0.40794679522514343,H1N1
-2020-21,0.37785548,12,0.7151433825492859,H1N1
-2021-22,0.54746485,105,1.0,H1N1
-2022-23,0.8835778,2158,1.0,H1N1
-2023-24,0.28868532,6766,0.29947394132614136,H1N1
-2024-25,0.36440784,6155,0.3886423110961914,H1N1
-2025-26,0.48733133,89,0.5333930253982544,H1N1
+2010-11,0.7833125,134,0.5,H1N1
+2011-12,0.6248018,42,0.0,H1N1
+2012-13,0.3142798,34,0.0,H1N1
+2013-14,0.78890973,112,1.0,H1N1
+2014-15,1.599364,140,1.0,H1N1
+2015-16,0.6321468,1524,0.24735108017921448,H1N1
+2016-17,1.6157389,548,1.0,H1N1
+2017-18,0.67957354,1146,0.2806801497936249,H1N1
+2018-19,0.6635075,2432,0.2683355510234833,H1N1
+2019-20,0.5978472,2032,0.21788424253463745,H1N1
+2020-21,0.62997675,12,0.24257156252861023,H1N1
+2021-22,0.6350787,105,0.24649176001548767,H1N1
+2022-23,0.8286787,2158,0.3952478766441345,H1N1
+2023-24,0.4214295,6766,0.08233045786619186,H1N1
+2024-25,0.55309385,6155,0.18349717557430267,H1N1
+2025-26,0.8110609,89,0.38171088695526123,H1N1

results_new/drift_scores_diffae_h3n2.csv

@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
-2009-10,0.105393946,7,0.5,H3N2
-2010-11,0.061249137,143,0.0,H3N2
-2011-12,0.016620219,73,0.0,H3N2
-2012-13,0.1659025,1091,1.0,H3N2
-2013-14,0.085713744,86,0.4628381133079529,H3N2
-2014-15,0.11690706,1432,0.6717933416366577,H3N2
-2015-16,0.09895629,1238,0.5515461564064026,H3N2
-2016-17,0.17705435,2591,1.0,H3N2
-2017-18,0.32599115,2414,1.0,H3N2
-2018-19,0.5921335,3758,1.0,H3N2
-2019-20,0.6195746,929,1.0,H3N2
-2020-21,0.9220283,82,1.0,H3N2
-2021-22,0.014556348,5129,0.0,H3N2
-2022-23,0.39440405,3827,0.4185779094696045,H3N2
-2023-24,0.7319334,5038,0.790522575378418,H3N2
-2024-25,0.07679343,6957,0.0685829296708107,H3N2
-2025-26,0.43192953,520,0.45992955565452576,H3N2
+2009-10,0.84775805,7,0.5,H3N2
+2010-11,0.6334458,143,0.0,H3N2
+2011-12,0.35185498,73,0.0,H3N2
+2012-13,0.87254596,1091,1.0,H3N2
+2013-14,0.4933189,86,0.2716849446296692,H3N2
+2014-15,0.42631748,1432,0.1430070996284485,H3N2
+2015-16,0.43482277,1238,0.1593417078256607,H3N2
+2016-17,0.5364425,2591,0.3545049726963043,H3N2
+2017-18,0.7152294,2414,0.697869598865509,H3N2
+2018-19,1.0809413,3758,1.0,H3N2
+2019-20,1.0485995,929,0.9556406140327454,H3N2
+2020-21,1.0846297,82,1.0,H3N2
+2021-22,0.13374482,5129,0.0,H3N2
+2022-23,0.72480357,3827,0.6215881705284119,H3N2
+2023-24,0.97663915,5038,0.8864315748214722,H3N2
+2024-25,0.3138725,6957,0.18943163752555847,H3N2
+2025-26,1.1456025,520,1.0,H3N2

results_new/drift_scores_diffae_h3n2_lag2.csv

@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
-2010-11,0.110103846,143,0.5,H3N2
-2011-12,0.056599915,73,0.0,H3N2
-2012-13,0.23855776,1091,1.0,H3N2
-2013-14,0.29527736,86,1.0,H3N2
-2014-15,0.29961395,1432,1.0,H3N2
-2015-16,0.10730916,1238,0.20866797864437103,H3N2
-2016-17,0.18573833,2591,0.5314030647277832,H3N2
-2017-18,0.47589207,2414,1.0,H3N2
-2018-19,0.6298486,3758,1.0,H3N2
-2019-20,0.83020854,929,1.0,H3N2
-2020-21,1.1418461,82,1.0,H3N2
-2021-22,1.0147405,5129,0.8828786015510559,H3N2
-2022-23,0.3841325,3827,0.30180490016937256,H3N2
-2023-24,0.77277696,5038,0.6599213480949402,H3N2
-2024-25,0.8550674,6957,0.7357478141784668,H3N2
-2025-26,0.40682745,520,0.32271715998649597,H3N2
+2010-11,0.84960216,143,0.5,H3N2
+2011-12,0.63893855,73,0.0,H3N2
+2012-13,1.1452761,1091,1.0,H3N2
+2013-14,1.1064557,86,0.9233310222625732,H3N2
+2014-15,0.8224513,1432,0.3624316453933716,H3N2
+2015-16,0.4179324,1238,0.0,H3N2
+2016-17,0.5692032,2591,0.2079770714044571,H3N2
+2017-18,0.916543,2414,0.685522735118866,H3N2
+2018-19,1.0503225,3758,0.869451642036438,H3N2
+2019-20,1.1381989,929,0.9902697801589966,H3N2
+2020-21,1.3877537,82,1.0,H3N2
+2021-22,1.1520017,5129,0.7569119334220886,H3N2
+2022-23,0.7035982,3827,0.29455509781837463,H3N2
+2023-24,0.9972166,5038,0.5973102450370789,H3N2
+2024-25,1.0820278,6957,0.684760570526123,H3N2
+2025-26,1.1266909,520,0.7308134436607361,H3N2

results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h1n1.csv

@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
-2009-10,0.0009293556,646,0.5
-2010-11,0.00047069788,134,0.0
-2011-12,0.00034087896,42,0.0
-2012-13,0.0073826313,34,1.0
-2013-14,0.007180631,112,0.9713139533996582
-2014-15,0.013018429,140,1.0
-2015-16,0.0144664645,1524,1.0
-2016-17,3.4749508e-05,548,0.0
-2017-18,1.3709068e-06,1146,0.0
-2018-19,4.8220158e-05,2432,0.0032387797255069017
-2019-20,6.651878e-05,2032,0.004503799136728048
-2020-21,0.00030636787,12,0.02108503319323063
-2021-22,0.0011442304,105,0.07900809496641159
-2022-23,0.000895977,2158,0.06184585765004158
-2023-24,0.00018751621,6766,0.012868585996329784
-2024-25,0.0002079606,6155,0.014281947165727615
-2025-26,2.3543835e-05,89,0.0015328575391322374
+2009-10,0.536248,646,0.5
+2010-11,0.08079483,134,0.0
+2011-12,0.17818518,42,0.21383173763751984
+2012-13,0.43303782,34,0.7733900547027588
+2013-14,0.3412382,112,0.5718334317207336
+2014-15,0.95740336,140,1.0
+2015-16,1.0173341,1524,1.0
+2016-17,0.15676863,548,0.08112185448408127
+2017-18,0.23380801,1146,0.16338147222995758
+2018-19,0.03403311,2432,0.0
+2019-20,0.123652905,2032,0.09114177525043488
+2020-21,0.4903989,12,0.46411606669425964
+2021-22,0.5883226,105,0.5637027621269226
+2022-23,0.18360986,2158,0.15211695432662964
+2023-24,0.076317996,6766,0.04300299659371376
+2024-25,0.09776758,6155,0.06481684744358063
+2025-26,0.16669,89,0.1349097639322281

results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h1n1_lag2.csv

@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
-2010-11,7.903576e-05,134,0.5
-2011-12,1.2099743e-05,42,0.0
-2012-13,0.0045683384,34,1.0
-2013-14,5.00679e-06,112,0.0
-2014-15,0.001369834,140,0.29908567667007446
-2015-16,6.347895e-05,1524,0.012813479639589787
-2016-17,0.014205635,548,1.0
-2017-18,3.838539e-05,1146,0.0023505017161369324
-2018-19,6.490946e-05,2432,0.004218311049044132
-2019-20,0.0002245903,2032,0.015462944284081459
-2020-21,9.101629e-05,12,0.00605673948302865
-2021-22,0.00030213594,105,0.020923662930727005
-2022-23,1.7046928e-05,2158,0.0008478595991618931
-2023-24,0.00026667118,6766,0.018426254391670227
-2024-25,2.6226044e-06,6155,0.0
-2025-26,9.357929e-05,89,0.0064040422439575195
+2010-11,0.50560445,134,0.5
+2011-12,0.12553002,42,0.0
+2012-13,0.2988247,34,0.4559493064880371
+2013-14,0.21315995,112,0.23055991530418396
+2014-15,0.9414147,140,1.0
+2015-16,0.100514665,1524,0.0
+2016-17,0.97015244,548,1.0
+2017-18,0.3502457,1146,0.2871667444705963
+2018-19,0.24847175,2432,0.1701364517211914
+2019-20,0.13113762,2032,0.03521346300840378
+2020-21,0.45181143,12,0.4039575755596161
+2021-22,1.0426046,105,1.0
+2022-23,0.6778529,2158,0.6128271222114563
+2023-24,0.1540962,6766,0.056875184178352356
+2024-25,0.14239293,6155,0.044452518224716187
+2025-26,0.12550034,89,0.026521535590291023

results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h3n2.csv

@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
-2009-10,2.3841858e-06,7,0.5
-2010-11,1.9669533e-06,143,0.0
-2011-12,5.9604645e-08,73,0.0
-2012-13,4.7683716e-07,1091,0.1794871836900711
-2013-14,2.3841858e-07,86,0.07692307978868484
-2014-15,1.7881393e-07,1432,0.05128205195069313
-2015-16,5.9604645e-08,1238,0.0
-2016-17,1.3709068e-06,2591,0.5641025900840759
-2017-18,7.2717667e-06,2414,1.0
-2018-19,7.688999e-06,3758,1.0
-2019-20,3.993511e-06,929,0.515625
-2020-21,6.4969063e-06,82,0.84375
-2021-22,5.9604645e-08,5129,0.0
-2022-23,0.0,3827,0.0
-2023-24,5.9604645e-07,5038,0.07751937955617905
-2024-25,2.9802322e-07,6957,0.03875968977808952
-2025-26,1.0728836e-06,520,0.13953489065170288
+2009-10,0.40871748,7,0.5
+2010-11,0.3202447,143,0.0
+2011-12,0.122187875,73,0.0
+2012-13,0.24581404,1091,0.43146035075187683
+2013-14,0.21900019,86,0.337878942489624
+2014-15,0.022658227,1432,0.0
+2015-16,0.13688475,1238,0.29587820172309875
+2016-17,0.056187313,2591,0.08684959262609482
+2017-18,0.18852301,2414,0.42963555455207825
+2018-19,0.052832037,3758,0.07815849781036377
+2019-20,0.04471686,929,0.05713794752955437
+2020-21,0.6581284,82,1.0
+2021-22,0.04364361,5129,0.033023394644260406
+2022-23,0.023909347,3827,0.0019688101019710302
+2023-24,0.029089307,5038,0.010120192542672157
+2024-25,0.08346593,6957,0.0956893041729927
+2025-26,0.14312808,520,0.1895759403705597

results_new/drift_scores_tvae_h3n2_lag2.csv

@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm
-2010-11,4.172325e-07,143,0.5
-2011-12,2.0861626e-06,73,1.0
-2012-13,5.9604645e-07,1091,0.1071428582072258
-2013-14,5.364418e-07,86,0.0714285746216774
-2014-15,2.9802322e-07,1432,0.0
-2015-16,2.3841858e-07,1238,0.0
-2016-17,1.7881393e-06,2591,0.8387096524238586
-2017-18,1.3232231e-05,2414,1.0
-2018-19,4.7683716e-07,3758,0.01834862306714058
-2019-20,2.503395e-06,929,0.17431192100048065
-2020-21,1.8179417e-05,82,1.0
-2021-22,7.2717667e-06,5129,0.3920265734195709
-2022-23,5.9604645e-08,3827,0.0
-2023-24,5.364418e-07,5038,0.02631578966975212
-2024-25,9.536743e-07,6957,0.04934210702776909
-2025-26,7.1525574e-07,520,0.03618421033024788
+2010-11,0.1397129,143,0.5
+2011-12,0.2801558,73,1.0
+2012-13,0.27353662,1091,0.9528692364692688
+2013-14,0.088897794,86,0.0
+2014-15,0.22392435,1432,0.7059916257858276
+2015-16,0.12062421,1238,0.16588278114795685
+2016-17,0.15479773,2591,0.3445604145526886
+2017-18,0.1680646,2414,0.41392672061920166
+2018-19,0.15885507,3758,0.36577433347702026
+2019-20,0.04299631,929,0.0
+2020-21,0.6902948,82,1.0
+2021-22,0.69962215,5129,1.0
+2022-23,0.04089906,3827,0.0
+2023-24,0.016424732,5038,0.0
+2024-25,0.0914666,6957,0.10983920842409134
+2025-26,0.22040188,520,0.29856252670288086

results_new/drift_scores_vae_h1n1.csv

@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
-2009-10,0.011559248,646,0.5,H1N1
-2010-11,0.0010563135,134,0.0,H1N1
-2011-12,0.0069809556,42,0.5640940070152283,H1N1
-2012-13,0.007989705,34,0.6601384878158569,H1N1
-2013-14,0.0036646724,112,0.24834571778774261,H1N1
-2014-15,0.049722493,140,1.0,H1N1
-2015-16,0.052637577,1524,1.0,H1N1
-2016-17,0.0010688901,548,0.00024382070114370435,H1N1
-2017-18,0.0034534931,1146,0.04647384583950043,H1N1
-2018-19,0.0015199184,2432,0.008987855166196823,H1N1
-2019-20,0.005009234,2032,0.07663480937480927,H1N1
-2020-21,0.005769849,12,0.0913807675242424,H1N1
-2021-22,0.01158005,105,0.20402246713638306,H1N1
-2022-23,0.002919197,2158,0.036115508526563644,H1N1
-2023-24,0.0009711981,6766,0.0,H1N1
-2024-25,0.0035988092,6155,0.05085727199912071,H1N1
-2025-26,0.0037314892,89,0.05342528596520424,H1N1
+2009-10,1.4508884,646,0.5,H1N1
+2010-11,0.47648832,134,0.0,H1N1
+2011-12,1.2336011,42,0.7770040035247803,H1N1
+2012-13,1.3157516,34,0.861312747001648,H1N1
+2013-14,0.88709867,112,0.4213981330394745,H1N1
+2014-15,3.2299583,140,1.0,H1N1
+2015-16,3.283144,1524,1.0,H1N1
+2016-17,0.4732436,548,0.0,H1N1
+2017-18,0.85535794,1146,0.13598857820034027,H1N1
+2018-19,0.55099064,2432,0.027668969705700874,H1N1
+2019-20,1.0523438,2032,0.20609280467033386,H1N1
+2020-21,1.080398,12,0.2160768359899521,H1N1
+2021-22,1.5634476,105,0.3879867196083069,H1N1
+2022-23,0.7888692,2158,0.11232626438140869,H1N1
+2023-24,0.4895367,6766,0.005798465106636286,H1N1
+2024-25,0.92283857,6155,0.1600038856267929,H1N1
+2025-26,0.9356745,89,0.16457200050354004,H1N1

results_new/drift_scores_vae_h1n1_lag2.csv

@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
-2010-11,0.014805198,134,0.5,H1N1
-2011-12,0.008991301,42,0.0,H1N1
-2012-13,0.0020292401,34,0.0,H1N1
-2013-14,0.013143659,112,0.8699479699134827,H1N1
-2014-15,0.051691115,140,1.0,H1N1
-2015-16,0.0142633915,1524,0.24634896218776703,H1N1
-2016-17,0.05461192,548,1.0,H1N1
-2017-18,0.005262673,1146,0.061492353677749634,H1N1
-2018-19,0.0038641691,2432,0.03489607200026512,H1N1
-2019-20,0.0087111,2032,0.12707339227199554,H1N1
-2020-21,0.013545036,12,0.2190035879611969,H1N1
-2021-22,0.016340077,105,0.27215874195098877,H1N1
-2022-23,0.022918582,2158,0.39726656675338745,H1N1
-2023-24,0.003120482,6766,0.02075287513434887,H1N1
-2024-25,0.003859818,6155,0.03481332212686539,H1N1
-2025-26,0.009221911,89,0.13678783178329468,H1N1
+2010-11,1.6838974,134,0.5,H1N1
+2011-12,1.3985306,42,0.0,H1N1
+2012-13,0.6572085,34,0.0,H1N1
+2013-14,1.6867098,112,1.0,H1N1
+2014-15,3.2757614,140,1.0,H1N1
+2015-16,1.7431368,1524,0.41470545530319214,H1N1
+2016-17,3.353836,548,1.0,H1N1
+2017-18,1.0407414,1146,0.14222688972949982,H1N1
+2018-19,0.915746,2432,0.0958743691444397,H1N1
+2019-20,1.3699945,2032,0.26432496309280396,H1N1
+2020-21,1.694672,12,0.38472625613212585,H1N1
+2021-22,1.8264662,105,0.43359997868537903,H1N1
+2022-23,2.197362,2158,0.5711405873298645,H1N1
+2023-24,0.7682978,6766,0.04119563475251198,H1N1
+2024-25,0.9557269,6155,0.11070064455270767,H1N1
+2025-26,1.4635142,89,0.2990052103996277,H1N1

results_new/drift_scores_vae_h3n2.csv

@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
-2009-10,0.0070052743,7,0.5,H3N2
-2010-11,0.01200521,143,1.0,H3N2
-2011-12,0.001640141,73,0.0,H3N2
-2012-13,0.008458436,1091,0.6578146815299988,H3N2
-2013-14,0.0014861226,86,0.0,H3N2
-2014-15,0.0013374686,1432,0.0,H3N2
-2015-16,0.0028934479,1238,0.14585836231708527,H3N2
-2016-17,0.002705276,2591,0.12821902334690094,H3N2
-2017-18,0.0051437616,2414,0.3568040132522583,H3N2
-2018-19,0.02551359,3758,1.0,H3N2
-2019-20,0.021522343,929,0.8349095582962036,H3N2
-2020-21,0.01629734,82,0.6187871098518372,H3N2
-2021-22,0.00073957443,5129,0.0,H3N2
-2022-23,0.00878793,3827,0.32487085461616516,H3N2
-2023-24,0.01919216,5038,0.7448362708091736,H3N2
-2024-25,0.0010008216,6957,0.010545209050178528,H3N2
-2025-26,0.016462147,520,0.6346396803855896,H3N2
+2009-10,1.4049138,7,0.5,H3N2
+2010-11,1.825857,143,1.0,H3N2
+2011-12,0.69624805,73,0.0,H3N2
+2012-13,1.591902,1091,0.7928884625434875,H3N2
+2013-14,0.654581,86,0.0,H3N2
+2014-15,0.66253525,1432,0.006791088730096817,H3N2
+2015-16,0.8975233,1238,0.20741674304008484,H3N2
+2016-17,0.864383,2591,0.17912256717681885,H3N2
+2017-18,1.2707253,2414,0.5260452628135681,H3N2
+2018-19,2.766827,3758,1.0,H3N2
+2019-20,2.5845807,929,0.913719117641449,H3N2
+2020-21,2.179455,82,0.7219206094741821,H3N2
+2021-22,0.44372347,5129,0.0,H3N2
+2022-23,1.6073804,3827,0.5009061694145203,H3N2
+2023-24,2.3581033,5038,0.8240612745285034,H3N2
+2024-25,0.55099255,6957,0.046174898743629456,H3N2
+2025-26,2.223808,520,0.7662527561187744,H3N2

results_new/drift_scores_vae_h3n2_lag2.csv

@@ -1,17 +1,17 @@
 season,drift_raw,n_sequences,drift_norm,subtype
-2010-11,0.014244914,143,0.5,H3N2
-2011-12,0.01103425,73,0.0,H3N2
-2012-13,0.0117957,1091,0.23716259002685547,H3N2
-2013-14,0.011209428,86,0.0545613169670105,H3N2
-2014-15,0.0039063096,1432,0.0,H3N2
-2015-16,0.00179106,1238,0.0,H3N2
-2016-17,0.004705727,2591,0.2340373545885086,H3N2
-2017-18,0.0076680183,2414,0.47189876437187195,H3N2
-2018-19,0.017674148,3758,1.0,H3N2
-2019-20,0.015515804,929,0.8641105890274048,H3N2
-2020-21,0.026041567,82,1.0,H3N2
-2021-22,0.020148516,5129,0.7569926381111145,H3N2
-2022-23,0.007463753,3827,0.2339206039905548,H3N2
-2023-24,0.018871784,5038,0.7043450474739075,H3N2
-2024-25,0.019896269,6957,0.7465909123420715,H3N2
-2025-26,0.019105077,520,0.713965117931366,H3N2
+2010-11,1.9789981,143,0.5,H3N2
+2011-12,1.7092272,73,0.0,H3N2
+2012-13,1.8436763,1091,0.49838268756866455,H3N2
+2013-14,1.811368,86,0.37862053513526917,H3N2
+2014-15,1.0837401,1432,0.0,H3N2
+2015-16,0.71728635,1238,0.0,H3N2
+2016-17,1.1230123,2591,0.3215678632259369,H3N2
+2017-18,1.4976802,2414,0.6185199022293091,H3N2
+2018-19,2.3151226,3758,1.0,H3N2
+2019-20,2.184429,929,0.9182058572769165,H3N2
+2020-21,2.789879,82,1.0,H3N2
+2021-22,2.4169564,5129,0.8200694918632507,H3N2
+2022-23,1.4693893,3827,0.36288025975227356,H3N2
+2023-24,2.3643763,5038,0.7947002649307251,H3N2
+2024-25,2.4012733,6957,0.8125025629997253,H3N2
+2025-26,2.3937602,520,0.8088775873184204,H3N2

results_new/full_model_comparison.csv

@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 Model,Split,RMSE,MAE,r,rho
-DiffAE lag-1,Calib,24.453047715751815,20.8268985748291,0.4805652629575084,0.32732683535398854
-DiffAE lag-1,Valid,45.613358530068346,41.47363090515137,0.5199037494883089,0.051298917604257706
-DiffAE lag-1,All,34.17883366902508,28.767949471106895,0.19729320726945393,-0.12735463688844548
-VAE lag-1,Calib,21.27963731355251,17.07371435165405,0.825050977249249,0.627376434428478
-VAE lag-1,Valid,15.817885401639272,13.775167694091797,0.8402969018651129,0.3
-VAE lag-1,All,19.36215818880429,15.805042560283953,0.8134943844640508,0.6330209818846932
-TVAE lag-1,Calib,46.39452823340613,34.32750282287598,-0.5370477214378062,-0.39440531887330776
-TVAE lag-1,Valid,40.22642849598766,36.660963439941405,-0.0680930014789966,0.7
-TVAE lag-1,All,44.12433982745768,35.224987675593454,-0.32861010759527765,0.0946433304848482
-DiffAE lag-2,Calib,15.33315413227114,11.644674205780028,0.8332667156690649,0.5182674893104819
-DiffAE lag-2,Valid,76.04158434283927,54.98284149169922,-0.9075449941307687,-0.7999999999999999
-DiffAE lag-2,All,48.66878455595186,28.31320008497972,0.05845559868325538,0.31085851788980473
-DiffAE combined,Calib,46.39452823340613,34.32750282287598,-0.5370477214378062,-0.39440531887330776
-DiffAE combined,Valid,61.6530979642301,57.709837436676025,0.16876092254588715,0.35355339059327373
-DiffAE combined,All,52.787775714092476,43.3207084435683,-0.48405546729360127,-0.3335621924974955
+DiffAE lag-1,Calib,22.323917069756334,18.37680444717407,0.6143669122699478,0.4637130167514838
+DiffAE lag-1,Valid,13.815042392488792,11.274394989013672,0.8629681118871249,0.19999999999999998
+DiffAE lag-1,All,19.49582828794639,15.645108501727764,0.7065318730031063,0.47476573641351993
+VAE lag-1,Calib,20.99418747602644,17.29197368621826,0.7985959909997646,0.5182674893104819
+VAE lag-1,Valid,13.738709183458699,10.966610565185547,0.9443396190245661,0.3
+VAE lag-1,All,18.542690685937565,14.859141716590292,0.8191675733083476,0.6782367663050285
+TVAE lag-1,Calib,21.054660006974473,17.548118686676023,0.8405077068822446,0.627376434428478
+TVAE lag-1,Valid,24.801054302929714,22.986775207519532,-0.15704515676167294,-0.3
+TVAE lag-1,All,22.569296940003497,19.639909656231218,0.6957236663337133,0.5369374399914808
+DiffAE lag-2,Calib,16.686078268217162,13.502550983428954,0.7987288699056319,0.5182674893104819
+DiffAE lag-2,Valid,137.1873527535412,83.99655624389648,-0.9313202351931937,-0.7999999999999999
+DiffAE lag-2,All,86.08102195981827,40.61562992976262,-0.12971766271148052,0.33911838315251425
+DiffAE combined,Calib,22.680748614231156,18.513526916503906,0.578400170750442,0.4364357804719847
+DiffAE combined,Valid,27.530240531711936,22.10288314819336,-0.39407472429699153,-0.6
+DiffAE combined,All,24.659062275959073,19.894048544076774,0.4391112366893099,0.31085851788980473

results_new/latent_diversity_diffae_h3n2.csv

@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 season,latent_spread,latent_spread_std,latent_var_trace,n_sequences
-2008-09,0.347987,0.17535543,0.1524878753025316,237
-2009-10,0.90721303,0.4639445,1.2113266381031922,7
-2010-11,0.5297071,0.48135173,0.5158967894301156,143
-2011-12,0.6694304,0.45950186,0.668435630424155,73
-2012-13,0.58300686,0.3053392,0.4335263990244395,1091
-2013-14,0.54057443,0.13682967,0.3146012225135144,86
-2014-15,0.5508578,0.30058613,0.39407152051934646,1432
-2015-16,0.8517246,0.17398377,0.7563161165979323,1238
-2016-17,0.7739091,0.28207147,0.6787616314370017,2591
-2017-18,0.64390117,0.42344794,0.5941629964172117,2414
-2018-19,0.8192312,0.33510643,0.7836446972267441,3758
-2019-20,0.81788504,0.25054094,0.7324951690819379,929
+2008-09,0.3479869,0.17535543,0.1524878694887088,237
+2009-10,0.9072131,0.46394446,1.2113266381031922,7
+2010-11,0.5297071,0.48135176,0.5158967894301155,143
+2011-12,0.6694304,0.45950183,0.6684356466002415,73
+2012-13,0.58300686,0.3053392,0.4335263997504738,1091
+2013-14,0.54057443,0.13682966,0.3146012149692702,86
+2014-15,0.5508577,0.30058625,0.3940715170041662,1432
+2015-16,0.8517246,0.17398384,0.7563161179383423,1238
+2016-17,0.7739091,0.28207156,0.6787616335959384,2591
+2017-18,0.6439013,0.42344782,0.5941629999069,2414
+2018-19,0.81923133,0.33510625,0.7836446966697295,3758
+2019-20,0.81788504,0.2505409,0.7324951709220148,929
 2020-21,0.4543805,0.1872162,0.24449315948622538,82
 2021-22,0.5339615,0.2853101,0.3665882131894259,5129
 2022-23,0.5956991,0.27208915,0.42900196133832713,3827

results_new/latent_diversity_tvae_h3n2.csv

@@ -1,19 +1,19 @@
 season,latent_spread,latent_spread_std,latent_var_trace,n_sequences
-2008-09,7.9300036e-05,0.00014011207,2.602971489239697e-08,237
-2009-10,0.0005705773,0.00033778843,5.129360324818144e-07,7
-2010-11,0.00030569764,0.0008754141,8.658558356666331e-07,143
-2011-12,0.0002807052,0.00034157909,1.9818654396098403e-07,73
-2012-13,0.00025108585,0.00046704983,2.8143721146455634e-07,1091
-2013-14,0.00012766742,8.518785e-05,2.383306673823905e-08,86
-2014-15,9.80178e-05,8.960367e-05,1.764852658103922e-08,1432
-2015-16,0.0001513847,0.0001111708,3.530478408109851e-08,1238
-2016-17,0.00047002488,0.00049366924,4.6481176263829245e-07,2591
-2017-18,0.00042964402,0.00056620635,5.05392377756833e-07,2414
-2018-19,0.00044081,0.0002999185,2.843399666534199e-07,3758
-2019-20,0.00057469,0.00012665374,3.4668298319523156e-07,929
-2020-21,8.5427695e-05,0.00016032775,3.341029945842962e-08,82
-2021-22,9.679496e-05,0.00014286311,2.978427996750329e-08,5129
-2022-23,0.000118606855,0.00015142615,3.70067557509334e-08,3827
-2023-24,0.00013388623,0.00028931274,1.0164470966745111e-07,5038
-2024-25,0.00018824854,0.00031510906,1.3475044243798944e-07,6957
-2025-26,0.00010341611,8.440803e-05,1.7853915756260216e-08,520
+2008-09,0.1899764,0.19351427,0.07385040583798541,237
+2009-10,0.5922931,0.4404251,0.6355828654668045,7
+2010-11,0.20078479,0.9103973,0.875258329948087,143
+2011-12,0.26957983,0.4062723,0.24103226877451583,73
+2012-13,0.4275964,0.62010306,0.5678870001493532,1091
+2013-14,0.13375627,0.32071406,0.12216881250179627,86
+2014-15,0.07714817,0.23228972,0.059952215957067914,1432
+2015-16,0.31921768,0.3100089,0.19816552347615943,1238
+2016-17,0.37609914,0.5024158,0.39402427606994095,2591
+2017-18,0.10600445,0.51372564,0.27526502915460127,2414
+2018-19,0.064659216,0.16585153,0.031695980192220724,3758
+2019-20,0.103144124,0.2695105,0.08336435446274423,929
+2020-21,0.0961059,0.14732282,0.03132233933810927,82
+2021-22,0.049744286,0.17980039,0.03480946393661324,5129
+2022-23,0.07566522,0.22994825,0.05861674037382261,3827
+2023-24,0.04411942,0.2841048,0.08267847937216721,5038
+2024-25,0.19573814,0.48494548,0.27352485445850283,6957
+2025-26,0.3271324,0.48455364,0.34246640710653276,520

results_new/latent_diversity_vae_h3n2.csv

@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
 season,latent_spread,latent_spread_std,latent_var_trace,n_sequences
-2008-09,1.1181061,0.4525268,1.4611071439171985,237
-2009-10,2.789356,1.1115389,10.51869599741131,7
-2010-11,2.154007,0.77886915,5.283329676710073,143
-2011-12,2.0851157,0.94465184,5.312853754055158,73
-2012-13,1.4297531,0.61995405,2.430765032928371,1091
-2013-14,1.3447421,0.48231575,2.0649712086230574,86
-2014-15,1.2799011,0.5707753,1.965303589500262,1432
-2015-16,1.7439562,0.39557502,3.2004482361981337,1238
-2016-17,1.6629968,0.5196129,3.0367278305134584,2591
-2017-18,1.5631871,0.80580133,3.0941512852831887,2414
-2018-19,1.9605093,0.80830425,4.498149497081549,3758
-2019-20,1.7020738,0.6248811,3.291074130282821,929
+2008-09,1.1181064,0.4525268,1.461107117649001,237
+2009-10,2.789356,1.1115388,10.51869599741131,7
+2010-11,2.154007,0.7788693,5.283329682528248,143
+2011-12,2.0851161,0.9446519,5.312853754055158,73
+2012-13,1.4297533,0.6199536,2.4307650245629553,1091
+2013-14,1.3447422,0.4823158,2.0649712012284365,86
+2014-15,1.2799011,0.5707754,1.9653036164503788,1432
+2015-16,1.7439564,0.3955747,3.2004481696948806,1238
+2016-17,1.6629968,0.5196129,3.036727824554738,2591
+2017-18,1.5631881,0.8057993,3.094151298636868,2414
+2018-19,1.9605098,0.80830324,4.4981494967124025,3758
+2019-20,1.7020738,0.6248811,3.2910740769374645,929
 2020-21,1.409919,0.53167903,2.298585792477243,82
 2021-22,1.4070408,0.5941305,2.333209929302637,5129
 2022-23,1.6019987,0.5715492,2.8938246012376405,3827

results_new/sirc_params_diffae.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
 ,0
-beta,0.4139403700828552
-sigma_inv,39.61676025390625
-delta_min,0.008777824230492115
-delta_max,0.14170865714550018
-k_map,0.6789180040359497
-S0_base,0.41266560554504395
+beta,0.48389822244644165
+sigma_inv,147.46902465820312
+delta_min,0.011883496306836605
+delta_max,0.04333692789077759
+k_map,2.7173585891723633
+S0_base,0.4452793598175049
 gamma,0.2
 mu,3.6529680365296805e-05
-sigma,0.02524184192727872
-calib_rmse,24.453046798706055
+sigma,0.0067810850605254476
+calib_rmse,22.323917388916016

results_new/sirc_params_diffae_combined.csv

@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
 ,0
-beta,0.47337761521339417
-sigma_inv,139.61973571777344
-delta_min,0.0115370387211442
-delta_max,0.08588424324989319
-k_map,1.8061528205871582
-S0_base,0.43816202878952026
-calib_rmse,46.394527435302734
+beta,0.5424662232398987
+sigma_inv,150.30841064453125
+delta_min,0.0120062455534935
+delta_max,0.0357445552945137
+k_map,2.2547366619110107
+S0_base,0.4623242914676666
+calib_rmse,22.680747985839844

results_new/sirc_params_diffae_lag2.csv

@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
 ,0
-beta,0.55953049659729
-sigma_inv,150.88345336914062
-delta_min,0.011531926691532135
-delta_max,0.04855962097644806
-k_map,1.4778271913528442
-S0_base,0.4606151282787323
-calib_rmse,15.333155632019043
+beta,0.5816060304641724
+sigma_inv,129.8426971435547
+delta_min,0.010107808746397495
+delta_max,0.052520036697387695
+k_map,2.1105055809020996
+S0_base,0.4578218162059784
+calib_rmse,16.686077117919922

results_new/sirc_params_tvae.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
 ,0
-beta,0.4747428894042969
-sigma_inv,140.34988403320312
-delta_min,0.011555270291864872
-delta_max,0.08522973954677582
-k_map,1.795747995376587
-S0_base,0.438698947429657
+beta,0.49641501903533936
+sigma_inv,139.9803924560547
+delta_min,0.010710853151977062
+delta_max,0.05030184984207153
+k_map,2.850681781768799
+S0_base,0.44433867931365967
 gamma,0.2
 mu,3.6529680365296805e-05
-sigma,0.007125050418733699
-calib_rmse,46.394527435302734
+sigma,0.007143857667879729
+calib_rmse,21.054658889770508

results_new/sirc_params_vae.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
 ,0
-beta,0.5039941668510437
-sigma_inv,138.3162384033203
-delta_min,0.01046446617692709
-delta_max,0.05240003019571304
-k_map,2.807021379470825
-S0_base,0.4452969431877136
+beta,0.49291330575942993
+sigma_inv,139.94635009765625
+delta_min,0.010888866148889065
+delta_max,0.0468725860118866
+k_map,2.8331964015960693
+S0_base,0.4437076449394226
 gamma,0.2
 mu,3.6529680365296805e-05
-sigma,0.007229809106607361
-calib_rmse,21.279638290405273
+sigma,0.007145595432122295
+calib_rmse,20.994186401367188

results_new/sirc_simulation_diffae.csv

@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
 season,drift_blended,hosp_obs,hosp_sim,delta_used,S0_used
-2010-11,0.0,21.5,34.72866,0.008777824230492115,0.41266560554504395
-2011-12,0.0,8.7,34.72866,0.008777824230492115,0.41266560554504395
-2012-13,0.0,44.0,34.72866,0.008777824230492115,0.41266560554504395
-2013-14,0.0,35.1,34.72866,0.008777824230492115,0.41266560554504395
-2014-15,0.0,64.1,34.72866,0.008777824230492115,0.41266560554504395
-2015-16,0.629938108086586,31.4,59.243202,0.10591052052767545,0.5071563217580318
-2016-17,0.7442682960256934,62.0,78.521805,0.11755570345037117,0.524305849948898
-2017-18,0.6278832415938377,102.9,58.921158,0.10569529380091819,0.5068480917841196
-2018-19,0.43213997878134247,63.6,34.116043,0.08398245828005313,0.4774866023622453
-2019-20,0.16953694888949397,66.0,0.0,0.04862150259701668,0.43809614787846807
-2021-22,0.003716663718223572,17.5,0.0,0.011756059707257766,0.4132231051027775
-2022-23,0.3758812240958214,62.4,29.650032,0.07718788080145125,0.46904778915941714
-2023-24,0.2572216870039702,83.5,21.86577,0.06165556929731458,0.45124885859563946
+2010-11,0.0,21.5,36.69405,0.011883496306836605,0.4452793598175049
+2011-12,0.0,8.7,36.69405,0.011883496306836605,0.4452793598175049
+2012-13,0.0,44.0,36.69405,0.011883496306836605,0.4452793598175049
+2013-14,0.0,35.1,36.69405,0.011883496306836605,0.4452793598175049
+2014-15,0.0,64.1,36.69405,0.011883496306836605,0.4452793598175049
+2015-16,0.5695386230051518,31.4,57.39029,0.018696472162488542,0.5307101532682776
+2016-17,0.2637516996860504,62.0,65.05264,0.01272459705927206,0.48484211477041245
+2017-18,0.44296208325028413,102.9,64.42255,0.015324769484394068,0.5117236723050476
+2018-19,0.4295716662704944,63.6,64.97025,0.015049374832349936,0.509715109758079
+2019-20,0.11433117486536504,66.0,52.420242,0.01197026512866699,0.4624290360473096
+2021-22,0.0011000201851129531,17.5,36.855877,0.01188349659397594,0.44544436284527184
+2022-23,0.4344884437248111,62.4,64.77615,0.015148811187068706,0.5104526263762266
+2023-24,0.2393365252017975,83.5,63.810066,0.012529466912195381,0.4811798385977745

results_new/sirc_simulation_diffae_combined.csv

@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
 season,drift_combined,hosp_obs,hosp_sim
-2010-11,0.0,21.5,34.679977
-2011-12,0.0,8.7,34.679977
-2012-13,0.0,44.0,34.679977
-2013-14,0.0,35.1,34.679977
-2014-15,0.0,64.1,34.679977
-2015-16,0.41024580335617067,31.4,0.0
-2016-17,0.5818160880915821,62.0,0.0
-2017-18,0.6361332353651523,102.9,0.0
-2018-19,0.5403711708262562,63.6,0.0
-2019-20,0.21357834857702257,66.0,4.450813
-2021-22,0.43961748242378235,17.5,0.0
-2022-23,0.43113081440329554,62.4,0.0
-2023-24,0.2894242344424129,83.5,0.0
+2010-11,0.0,21.5,32.590313
+2011-12,0.0,8.7,32.590313
+2012-13,0.0,44.0,32.590313
+2013-14,0.0,35.1,32.590313
+2014-15,0.0,64.1,32.590313
+2015-16,0.35217248085141184,31.4,69.9926
+2016-17,0.22124332040548322,62.0,61.218067
+2017-18,0.4415469862967729,102.9,74.576004
+2018-19,0.4671379212290049,63.6,75.94362
+2019-20,0.1353143843188882,66.0,52.433834
+2021-22,0.37432382266968484,17.5,71.15288
+2022-23,0.3706770570240915,62.4,70.96472
+2023-24,0.22002329033985735,83.5,61.11297

results_new/sirc_simulation_diffae_lag2.csv

@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
 season,drift_blended,hosp_obs,hosp_sim
-2010-11,0.0,21.5,34.49826
-2011-12,0.0,8.7,34.49826
-2012-13,0.0,44.0,34.49826
-2013-14,0.0,35.1,34.49826
-2014-15,0.0,64.1,34.49826
-2015-16,0.19055349862575532,31.4,36.094933
-2016-17,0.4193638801574707,62.0,55.047153
-2017-18,0.644383229136467,102.9,105.907875
-2018-19,0.64860236287117,63.6,107.04991
-2019-20,0.2576197482645512,66.0,37.620888
-2021-22,0.8755183011293411,17.5,173.95645
-2022-23,0.48638040471076965,62.4,67.65054
-2023-24,0.3216267818808556,83.5,42.12181
+2010-11,0.0,21.5,33.4235
+2011-12,0.0,8.7,33.4235
+2012-13,0.0,44.0,33.4235
+2013-14,0.0,35.1,33.4235
+2014-15,0.0,64.1,33.4235
+2015-16,0.1348063386976719,31.4,48.56613
+2016-17,0.17873494112491606,62.0,50.884365
+2017-18,0.4401318893432617,102.9,103.06214
+2018-19,0.5047041761875153,63.6,139.7638
+2019-20,0.15629759377241137,66.0,49.771606
+2021-22,0.7475476251542568,17.5,312.52707
+2022-23,0.30686567032337186,62.4,61.38915
+2023-24,0.2007100554779172,83.5,51.947327

results_new/sirc_simulation_tvae.csv

@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
 season,drift_blended,hosp_obs,hosp_sim
-2010-11,0.0,21.5,34.679977
-2011-12,0.0,8.7,34.679977
-2012-13,0.0,44.0,34.679977
-2013-14,0.0,35.1,34.679977
-2014-15,0.0,64.1,34.679977
-2015-16,0.545,31.4,0.0
-2016-17,0.4196923270225525,62.0,0.0
-2017-18,0.597,102.9,0.0
-2018-19,0.42168416545726356,63.6,0.0
-2019-20,0.023532142341602592,66.0,36.524757
-2021-22,0.00039504047483205794,17.5,34.734203
-2022-23,0.017873452860862015,62.4,36.292164
-2023-24,0.02709428517241031,83.5,36.612465
+2010-11,0.0,21.5,42.16406
+2011-12,0.0,8.7,42.16406
+2012-13,0.0,44.0,42.16406
+2013-14,0.0,35.1,42.16406
+2014-15,0.0,64.1,42.16406
+2015-16,0.5905652430653573,31.4,40.69233
+2016-17,0.0665630214214325,62.0,51.481964
+2017-18,0.27446438801288603,102.9,67.289474
+2018-19,0.03282656908035278,63.6,46.84572
+2019-20,0.05073893850669265,66.0,49.341515
+2021-22,0.03537958092987538,17.5,47.205223
+2022-23,0.045249401607085016,62.4,48.583523
+2023-24,0.023330887354910373,83.5,45.50059

results_new/sirc_simulation_vae.csv

@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
 season,drift_blended,hosp_obs,hosp_sim
-2010-11,0.0,21.5,42.340324
-2011-12,0.0,8.7,42.340324
-2012-13,0.0,44.0,42.340324
-2013-14,0.0,35.1,42.340324
-2014-15,0.0,64.1,42.340324
-2015-16,0.5674621877968312,31.4,38.236946
-2016-17,0.09540080506692174,62.0,55.2831
-2017-18,0.21812411895394324,102.9,65.004456
-2018-19,0.42467368468642236,63.6,54.884167
-2019-20,0.07492437566816806,66.0,52.751587
-2021-22,0.0010201123356819153,17.5,42.487175
-2022-23,0.22290292088314892,62.4,65.15117
-2023-24,0.20110579311847687,83.5,64.32675
+2010-11,0.0,21.5,40.215836
+2011-12,0.0,8.7,40.215836
+2012-13,0.0,44.0,40.215836
+2013-14,0.0,35.1,40.215836
+2014-15,0.0,64.1,40.215836
+2015-16,0.5769421784281731,31.4,45.54793
+2016-17,0.13326718997955322,62.0,57.597935
+2017-18,0.32900776550173755,102.9,66.13004
+2018-19,0.43438786424696446,63.6,59.976025
+2019-20,0.1468977631032467,66.0,58.998672
+2021-22,0.0019399335980415345,17.5,40.493042
+2022-23,0.3600549252033234,62.4,65.010574
+2023-24,0.22527400890877472,83.5,64.89587