market_id stringlengths 6 38 | event_id stringlengths 4 33 | question stringlengths 14 206 | description stringlengths 1 2.04k | categories listlengths 1 3 | z_score float64 -4.78 96.8 | news listlengths 1 100 | attributions listlengths 1 100 | history listlengths 16 16 | target dict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
253611 | 903198 | Will Ron DeSantis win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ron DeSantis wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market wi... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | -0.25 | [
{
"title": "Election 2024 live updates: Haley seeks to gain ground on Trump ahead of New Hampshire's primary",
"description": "Donald Trump and Nikki Haley campaign ahead of the 2024 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire. Ron DeSantis is traveling to South Carolina.",
"url": "https://www.nbcn... | [
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RTGLADIATOR2-85 | RTGLADIATOR2 | Gladiator 2 Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 85 | [
"Entertainment"
] | -0.5584 | [
{
"title": "'Gladiator 2': Paul Mescal fights opponents in final trailer",
"description": "The last trailer for \"Gladiator 2\" shows conflict inside and outside the Colosseum.",
"url": "https://www.upi.com/Entertainment_News/Movies/2024/11/18/paul-mescal-gladiator-2-final-trailer/9301731950729/",
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502295 | 11034 | Will National Rally win the most seats in the National Assembly? | French legislative elections are are scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Elections for the National Assembly, which is the lower house of France's bicameral parliament, are conducted over 2 rounds of voting. A single representative is chosen for each of 577 constituencies, and the sum total of representatives makes... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | -0.55 | [
{
"title": "Who is Jordan Bardella and what might the far-right National Rally (RN) do in power?",
"description": "Jordan Bardella’s political rise as leader of the French National Rally (RN) party has been swift. Next week, at just 28, he could become France’s prime minister.",
"url": "https://edition.... | [
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254200 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on June 1, 2024, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to ... | [
"Politics",
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{
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253612 | 903198 | Will Chris Christie win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Christie wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market ... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
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{
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"description": "Donald Trump and Nikki Haley are the final two Republican presidential candidates going into New Hampshire's primary on Tuesday.",
"url": "https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2024/01/22/new-hampshire-prima... | [
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502295 | 11034 | Will National Rally win the most seats in the National Assembly? | French legislative elections are are scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Elections for the National Assembly, which is the lower house of France's bicameral parliament, are conducted over 2 rounds of voting. A single representative is chosen for each of 577 constituencies, and the sum total of representatives makes... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 0.2 | [
{
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"description": "The Left rejoiced as exit polling in France's parliamentary elections suggested much lower than expected gains for the Right-wing National Rally Party.",
"url": "https://www.newsweek.com/france-uk-ele... | [
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250471 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on August 1, 2023, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve t... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 0.05 | [
{
"title": "Biden says being asked whether he is the 'big guy' is a 'dumb question'",
"description": "President Joe Biden snapped at a question about whether he was the \"big guy,\" saying it was a \"dumb question.\"",
"url": "https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/white-house/joe-biden-big-guy-dumb-qu... | [
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253612 | 903198 | Will Chris Christie win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Christie wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market ... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 0 | [
{
"title": "Trump beats Haley in New Hampshire Republican primary",
"description": "Trump's defeat of Nikki Haley in New Hampshire's presidential primary effectively puts the Republican presidential nomination in his grasp for the third time.",
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507263 | 12633 | Will Joe Manchin endorse Kamala? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Joe Manchin announces that he will vote for Kamala Harris or endorses Harris for President of the United States by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Joe Manchin announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | -0.7494 | [
{
"title": "Tim Walz 'Honored' By Bruce Springsteen's Kamala Harris Endorsement",
"description": "Gov.",
"url": "https://www.billboard.com/music/rock/gov-tim-walz-honored-bruce-springsteen-kamala-harris-endorsement-1235793000/",
"published_at": "2024-10-04T12:12:51",
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KXPCTVOTEMAMR1-25-ZMAM-T45 | KXPCTVOTEMAMR1-25 | What percent of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary first round? | 45% or more | [
"Elections"
] | -0.6745 | [
{
"title": "Zohran Mamdani distances himself from phrase 'globalize the intifada,' New Yorkers skeptical",
"description": "As the leading New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani distances himself from phrase 'globalize the intifada,' many New Yorkers are remaining skeptical.",
"url": "https://www... | [
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{
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{
... | {
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250471 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on August 1, 2023, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve t... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | -0.05 | [
{
"title": "‘May be worth looking at’ disclosures for presidential family members",
"description": "Sen. Chris Coons, Joe Biden's campaign co-chair, said Sunday on NBC's on \"Meet the Press\" that it \"may be worth looking at” a congressional code of ethics for presidential family members.",
"url": "htt... | [
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{
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{
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253613 | 903198 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | -0.1 | [
{
"title": "New Hampshire Republican primary comes down to Donald Trump, Nikki Haley",
"description": "Donald Trump and Nikki Haley are the final two Republican presidential candidates going into New Hampshire's primary on Tuesday.",
"url": "https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2024/01/22/new-hampshire-prima... | [
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KXRTTHERUNNINGMAN-90 | KXRTTHERUNNINGMAN | The Running Man Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 90 | [
"Entertainment"
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{
"title": "The Running Man 4DX Poster: Glen Powell In Action-Packed Stephen King Remake",
"description": "ScreenRant is proud to exclusively debut the 4DX poster for The Running Man, showing a death-defying stunt from Glen Powell's Stephen King remake.",
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{
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... | {
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KXPCTVOTEMAMR1-25-ZMAM-T45 | KXPCTVOTEMAMR1-25 | What percent of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary first round? | 45% or more | [
"Elections"
] | -0.7505 | [
{
"title": "Zohran Mamdani sticks to socialist guns, 'tax the rich' plan during highly anticipated sitdown with NYC big business leaders",
"description": "Mayoral frontrunner Zohran Mamdani stuck to his socialist guns during a highly anticipated powwow with Big Apple business leaders Tuesday -- doubling dow... | [
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250471 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on August 1, 2023, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve t... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | -0.25 | [
{
"title": "Joe Biden raises eyebrows with 'Flamin' Hot' Eva Longoria hug",
"description": "President Biden was accused of getting a little handsy with actress Eva Longoria Thursday night at the White House.",
"url": "https://nypost.com/2023/06/16/biden-gets-handsy-with-eva-longoria-at-white-house/",
... | [
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{
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{... | {
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253613 | 903198 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | -0.1 | [
{
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"description": "Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina is expected to endorse former President Donald Trump ahead of Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary.",
"url": "https://www.wistv.com/2024/01/19/tim-scott-endorse-donald-trum... | [
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253522 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on April 1, 2024, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | -0.1 | [
{
"title": "Takeaways from Trump's roller-coaster day in court: From the Politics Desk",
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253614 | 903198 | Will Asa Hutchinson win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Asa Hutchinson wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market ... | [
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{
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"description": "Trump's defeat of Nikki Haley in New Hampshire's presidential primary effectively puts the Republican presidential nomination in his grasp for the third time.",
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KXRTTHERUNNINGMAN-90 | KXRTTHERUNNINGMAN | The Running Man Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 90 | [
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] | -0.3117 | [
{
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253522 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on April 1, 2024, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
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{
"title": "Why AP isn't using 'presumptive nominee' to describe Trump, Biden",
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253614 | 903198 | Will Asa Hutchinson win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Asa Hutchinson wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market ... | [
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"url": "https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/21/anti-trump-crew-rallying-around-nikki-haley-00136825",
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253522 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on April 1, 2024, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to... | [
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"Election"
] | 0.15 | [
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253614 | 903198 | Will Asa Hutchinson win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Asa Hutchinson wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market ... | [
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504491 | 11827 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's November 2024 meeting the upper boun... | [
"Politics"
] | -0.5 | [
{
"title": "Average 30-year mortgage rate drops to lowest level in 15 months",
"description": "Mortgage rates are expected to continue trending lower overall this year, as signs of waning inflation and a cooling job market have raised expectations of Fed rate cuts.",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/news... | [
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248451 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on April 1, 2023, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 0 | [
{
"title": "U.S. history hasn't been a ‘fairy tale'",
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{
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253615 | 903198 | Will anyone else win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone other than Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, or Asa Hutchinson wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in ... | [
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{
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248451 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on April 1, 2023, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
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"title": "Tougher work requirements for federal aid programs pose obstacle in debt limit talks",
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253615 | 903198 | Will anyone else win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone other than Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, or Asa Hutchinson wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If no such primary takes place in ... | [
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"Election"
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{
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501482 | 10600 | Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelensky remains the President of Ukraine without interruption from May 6, 2024 through September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | [
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{
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504491 | 11827 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's November 2024 meeting the upper boun... | [
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248509 | 901206 | Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? | This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on June 1, 2023, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to ... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
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{
"title": "Woman who accused Biden of sexual assault says she will seek Russian citizenship",
"description": "A woman who has accused President Joe Biden of sexually assaulting her 30 years ago when she was his staffer will apply for Russian citizenship.",
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KXPAYROLLS-25SEP-T125000 | KXPAYROLLS-25SEP | Will above 125000 jobs be added in September 2025? | Above 125,000 | [
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{
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"url": "https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2025/oct/03/us-job-growth-is-slowing-even-withou... | [
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501483 | 10601 | RFK Jr. wins a state? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not c... | [
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{
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"description": "RFK Jr. is saying he’s been promised power over major health agencies, and Trump officials believe his nonsense.",
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501483 | 10601 | RFK Jr. wins a state? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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253653 | 903204 | Mexican Presidential Election: Will Claudia Sheinbaum win? | The 2024 Mexican presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."
The primary re... | [
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KXEARNINGSMENTIONMSFT-25JUL29-OAI | KXEARNINGSMENTIONMSFT-25JUL29 | What will say during their next earnings call? | OpenAI | [
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501484 | 10602 | Will RFK Jr. place second in any state? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the second most votes in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will ... | [
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501484 | 10602 | Will RFK Jr. place second in any state? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the second most votes in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will ... | [
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248735 | 901280 | Will Tim Ryan be the next Secretary of Labor? | The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Timothy Ryan is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This ... | [
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253676 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of cre... | [
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510045 | 13474 | Will Kamala win 60% of women? | This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.
This market will resolve to “Yes” Kamala Harris's share of female voters is 60% or greater in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No... | [
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253676 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of cre... | [
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KXNYCFINALMARGIN-25-ACUO-B17.5 | KXNYCFINALMARGIN-25 | Margin of victory for Andrew Cuomo in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? | 15.01-20% | [
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502308 | 11040 | Hunter Biden sentenced to 1-3 years in gun case? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend between 1 year (inclusive) and 3 years (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison as part of "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden" related to his 2023 federal gun charges. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This mark... | [
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504562 | 11863 | Keir Starmer out as UK PM before October? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between August 4, 2024, and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time within this market's timefra... | [
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KXTRUMPNOMW-25 | KXTRUMPNOMW-25 | Will another one of Trump's nominees withdraw before Inauguration Day? | Yes | [
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KXEMMYCACTO-77-ADA | KXEMMYCACTO-77 | Will Adam Brody win Comedy Actor at the Emmy Awards? | Adam Brody | [
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KXEMMYCACTO-77-ADA | KXEMMYCACTO-77 | Will Adam Brody win Comedy Actor at the Emmy Awards? | Adam Brody | [
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"pub... | [
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254570 | 903506 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between February 21, 11:00 AM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both ... | [
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"url": "https://edition.cnn.co... | [
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509577 | 13341 | Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points? | This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote in New York by 10.0% or more when compared with the second-place candidate in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the ab... | [
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{
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509577 | 13341 | Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points? | This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote in New York by 10.0% or more when compared with the second-place candidate in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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509577 | 13341 | Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points? | This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote in New York by 10.0% or more when compared with the second-place candidate in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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KXEARNINGSMENTIONTSLA-25OCT22-CHIN | KXEARNINGSMENTIONTSLA-25OCT22 | What will Tesla, Inc. say during their next earnings call? | China | [
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KXEARNINGSMENTIONTSLA-25JUL21-TAR | KXEARNINGSMENTIONTSLA-25JUL21 | What will say during their next earnings call? | Tariff | [
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KXNEWTAYLOR-TS-25 | KXNEWTAYLOR-TS-25 | Will Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year? | In 2025 | [
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510047 | 13476 | Will Trump do better with Latinos than in 2020? | This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.
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514333 | 14555 | Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel is confirmed as Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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... | [
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512956 | 14555 | Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Zeldin is confirmed as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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512234 | 14033 | Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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KXVSFANTASYBRA-25DEC31-ADR | KXVSFANTASYBRA-25DEC31 | Will Adriana Lima wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra,” during the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2025? | Adriana Lima | [
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KXVSFANTASYBRA-25DEC31-ADR | KXVSFANTASYBRA-25DEC31 | Will Adriana Lima wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra,” during the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2025? | Adriana Lima | [
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512956 | 14555 | Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Zeldin is confirmed as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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253253 | 902958 | Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 12 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between December 1 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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The primary resolution so... | [
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KXEMMYCSACTO-77-HAR | KXEMMYCSACTO-77 | Will Harrison Ford win Comedy Supporting Actor at the Emmy Awards? | Harrison Ford | [
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KXLEASTSTREAMEDSONGTLOASG-25OCT10-WOO | KXLEASTSTREAMEDSONGTLOASG-25OCT10 | Least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10, 2025? | Wood | [
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255312 | 903735 | Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley explicitly endorses Donald Trump by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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512243 | 14033 | Will Steve Scalise be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Scalise becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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KXLEASTSTREAMEDSONGTLOASG-25OCT10-WOO | KXLEASTSTREAMEDSONGTLOASG-25OCT10 | Least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10, 2025? | Wood | [
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{
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253254 | 902959 | Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Bitcoin ETF receives approval from the SEC by January 15, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | [
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KXLEASTSTREAMEDSONGTLOASG-25OCT10-WOO | KXLEASTSTREAMEDSONGTLOASG-25OCT10 | Least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10, 2025? | Wood | [
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{
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253254 | 902959 | Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Bitcoin ETF receives approval from the SEC by January 15, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | [
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509697 | 13380 | Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris individually or Donald Trump individually win every swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market considers the following states as "swing states": Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsyl... | [
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512243 | 14033 | Will Steve Scalise be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Scalise becomes the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 119th United States Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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502310 | 11040 | Hunter Biden sentenced to over 10 years in gun case? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend over 10 years in the custody of a jail or prison as part of "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden" related to his 2023 federal gun charges. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately based on ... | [
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507276 | 12641 | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the TikTok app is banned for download and/or use by the majority of Americans in the United States by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", a ban mandated by US federal law, policy, or the court system must ha... | [
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506913 | 12544 | Will Mitt Romney endorse Kamala? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitt Romney announces that he will vote for Kamala Harris or endorses Harris for President of the United States by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Mitt Romney announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candida... | [
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253682 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 0 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible ... | [
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] | 0.65 | [
{
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506930 | 12547 | Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams announces that he will resign from his position as Mayor of New York City, or otherwise ceases to be Mayor for any length of time, between September 11, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resi... | [
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253682 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 0 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible ... | [
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{
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{... | {
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506930 | 12547 | Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams announces that he will resign from his position as Mayor of New York City, or otherwise ceases to be Mayor for any length of time, between September 11, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resi... | [
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507276 | 12641 | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the TikTok app is banned for download and/or use by the majority of Americans in the United States by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes", a ban mandated by US federal law, policy, or the court system must ha... | [
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514499 | 15039 | Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams announces that he will resign from his position as Mayor of New York City, or otherwise ceases to be Mayor for any length of time, between December 2, 2024 and March 31 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resig... | [
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... | [
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514499 | 15039 | Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams announces that he will resign from his position as Mayor of New York City, or otherwise ceases to be Mayor for any length of time, between December 2, 2024 and March 31 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resig... | [
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{... | {
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253684 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credibl... | [
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] | -0.15 | [
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510050 | 13479 | Who will win Latino men? | This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.
This market will resolve to “Harris” if Kamala Harris wins a greater share of Latino men than Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election.
This market will resolv... | [
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{
"title": "Harris faces a critical vulnerability in Arizona: Latino men",
"description": "Trump’s appeal to Latino men is an economic one, on lowering inflation, building opportunities, and returning to policies that were better for their wallets.",
"url": "https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campa... | [
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253683 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 5 and 14 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
] | 0 | [
{
"title": "Want Gemini and ChatGPT to Write Political Campaigns? Just Gaslight Them",
"description": "Google and OpenAI's chatbots have almost no safeguards against creating AI disinformation for the 2024 presidential election.",
"url": "https://gizmodo.com/want-gemini-chatgpt-write-political-campaigns... | [
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{... | {
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253683 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 5 and 14 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible... | [
"Politics",
"Election"
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{
"title": "When is the State of the Union address?",
"description": "President Joe Biden will give his third State of the Union address on March 7, likely his final speech before Congress ahead of the 2024 presidential election this fall.",
"url": "https://www.wcia.com/news/national/when-is-the-state-o... | [
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{... | {
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253685 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 35 and 64 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credibl... | [
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"title": "'This has been litigated': CNN's Dana Bash shuts down MAGA lawmaker's PA election claims",
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{... | {
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502312 | 11041 | Hunter Biden fined over 100k in gun case? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is fined over $100,000 for convictions in his federal gun charges case "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no sentence is rendered before December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "N... | [
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"title": "Hunter Biden gun case sentencing after election",
"description": "Hunter Biden, son of President Joe Biden, will not be sentenced in his gun case until after the election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.",
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253686 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credib... | [
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"title": "Ken Griffin says Nikki Haley has 'narrower road' to presidency",
"description": "Hedge fund billionaire Ken Griffin cast doubt on Nikki Haley's chances of winning the 2024 presidential election despite donating $5 million to a pro-Haley super PAC.",
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253686 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credib... | [
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"title": "The Biden-Trump rematch comes into view with dueling visits to Georgia",
"description": "The 2024 presidential election campaign will pick up Saturday where the 2020 contest left off.",
"url": "https://www.clickondetroit.com/news/politics/2024/03/09/the-biden-trump-rematch-comes-into-view-wi... | [
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253687 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credi... | [
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"title": "Pennsylvania election official on the greatest threat in the 2024 presidential election",
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253687 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credi... | [
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{
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502313 | 11041 | Hunter Biden sentenced to rehab in gun case? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is ordered to attend any drug treatment or rehabilitation program for convictions in his federal gun charges case "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no sentence is rendered before December 31, 2024, ... | [
"Politics"
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{
"title": "Weiss blasts Hunter Biden for attempting to dismiss tax case over special counsel argument",
"description": "Prosecutors for special counsel David Weiss tore into Hunter Biden in a court response, accusing the first son of making an untimely request in his tax case.",
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{... | {
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253687 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154 | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credi... | [
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{
"title": "Celebrities Who Won't Vote for Joe Biden",
"description": "Polls show a tightly contested race between the incumbent and Donald Trump ahead of the 2024 presidential election.",
"url": "https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-celebrities-2024-election-donald-trump-1897985",
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500662 | 10233 | Will none of The Squad lose their primaries? | "The Squad" refers to an informal group of eight Democratic members of the US House of Representatives known for progressive views. All are running for reelection in the 2024 US general election.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no listed members of "The Squad" lose their 2024 primaries. Otherwise, this market wil... | [
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{
"title": "Progressive Rep. Jamaal Bowman runs as an outsider as he fights for a third term",
"description": "Progressive Rep. Jamaal Bowman, a member of \"The Squad\" and TikTok defender, is running for re-election and faces a New York primary against Democrat George Latimer.",
"url": "https://www.nbc... | [
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{... | {
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253688 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+ | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the... | [
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] | 0.1 | [
{
"title": "7 Key Issues That Will Influence the 2024 Presidential Election: From Economy to Abortion",
"description": "Here are seven crucial topics that will shape the conversation and course of the 2024 presidential election as voters get ready to cast their ballots.",
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500662 | 10233 | Will none of The Squad lose their primaries? | "The Squad" refers to an informal group of eight Democratic members of the US House of Representatives known for progressive views. All are running for reelection in the 2024 US general election.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no listed members of "The Squad" lose their 2024 primaries. Otherwise, this market wil... | [
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] | 0 | [
{
"title": "Lionel Messi’s Teammate Reveals the One Inter Miami Star the Argentine Has Become Close Friends in Recent Times",
"description": "MLS club Inter Miami's defender names one person in the squad with whom Lionel Messi became a close friend.",
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{
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{... | {
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502313 | 11041 | Hunter Biden sentenced to rehab in gun case? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is ordered to attend any drug treatment or rehabilitation program for convictions in his federal gun charges case "The United States of America vs. Robert Hunter Biden". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no sentence is rendered before December 31, 2024, ... | [
"Politics"
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{
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"description": "One of the closest confidantes to President Joe Biden as he fights to remain the Democratic Party's nominee is his embattled son, Hunter Biden.",
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{... | {
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253688 | 903211 | 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+ | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the... | [
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"Election"
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{
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