1689 – William Cleland, Scottish poet and soldier, is born.
1721 – Lucretia W van Winter-van Merken, Dutch poet
, is born.
1929 – X. J. Kennedy, American poet, is born.
1940 – Ernest Lawrence Thayer, American poet (b. 1863)
, dies.
2005 – Dahlia Ravikovitch, Israeli poet (b. 1936), dies.
Remember you promised to come on the holiday
One hour after dark.
For my part, I won't keep count of wraths
Or wrongs till you come.
And you: Don't believe a word I say
Even when it's wondrous or perverse.
—from "Trying" by Dahlia Ravikovitch
Jamaica Poetry Festival Provides Feast
The fittingly tranquil atmosphere of the Louise Bennett Garden Theatre venue was an indicator that there were few other ideal venues for The Jamaica Poetry Festival held on Sunday night. A moderate-size group of poetry lovers from across Jamaica came out to feast their ears and minds on the works of some of the finest literary artists around. "Good night." The opening words from the last performer, the barefooted Mutabaruka. It seemed as if that formal greeting was enough of an introduction as everybody tuned in to his words as soon as he began reading. Read more at the Jamaica-Gleaner.
The World's Two Smallest Humans by Julia Copus – Review
by Kate Kellaway
Reading Julia Copus's remarkable collection – her third – makes one think about the risks involved in writing personal poetry. "Write about what you know" is not fail-safe advice because intimate poetry, unless of the highest quality, often comes across as paradoxically anonymous. Or worse, as many of the collections that come my way reveal, it can be as unsavoury and depressing as rummaging through dresses in a secondhand clothes shop. The wonder of Copus's poems is that although they could hardly be more personal – childhood; the end of an affair; a sequence on IVF treatment – there is no self-indulgence and no sense, for the reader, of being an intruder. Read more at the Guardian.
A Hushed and Controlled Beauty
by Colm Tóibín
Harry Clifton's realm has always been somewhere in the distance, or close to the exotic, or it has been a borrowed space, or it is nowhere much. He is content to be out of place. Exile is for him a natural state where his uneasy companions are bemusement, calm watchfulness, restlessness, regret and warm intelligence. His poetry is a hard-won poetry of the self. The self in this instance has a solitary disposition, a well-stocked mind and is capable of a sour philosophy. Read more at the Irish Times.
"Embracing Geography": Does New York City Incubate Poets?
by Lauren Spiro
Poet, playwright, and novelist William Packard moderates this 1968 broadcast: Is there a New York poet? Joining Packard are the poets Stephen Stepanchev and Norman Rosten. Originally from Chicago, Stephanchev is the author of a critical survey of American poetry since 1945. Rosten, a native New Yorker and recipient of a Ford Foundation grant, is the author of several books of poetry and the plays "Come Slowly Eden" and "Thrive Upon the Rock." Packard himself was considered part of the circle of poets to which the broadcast is devoted, yet he separates himself from them in service of objectively posing the question of the night. Read more at WNYC.
Blake in the Academe
by David X. Novak
In 1969, Northrop Frye introduced the new edition of his groundbreaking study of the works of the poet William Blake, with some offhand comments about its genesis: "The doctoral thesis is useful for encouraging intensive reading, but of very little use for gaining literary perspective, which takes years to develop and cannot be hurried. The present book never went through the thesis stage, and my interest in Blake had from the beginning been of the extensive kind." Read more at Critical Flame.
Three Tendencies in English Language Poetry
by Amit Majmudar
A broad characterization of three tendencies in English language poetry, by no means exhaustive. Read more at the Kenyon Review.
When Bad Poetry and Basic Computer Graphics Collide
Series of 1960s films tried to merge graphics with poetry and freeform jazz.
Fall Poetry Festival Lineups Announced
Poetry may make nothing happen, as W. H. Auden once wrote. But in October it will bring an unusual number of poets and poetry mavens to the greater New York area. The United States poet laureate Natasha Trethewey, the Pulitzer Prize-winner C. K. Williams, the former New Jersey poet laureate Amiri Baraka and dozens of others will gather in Newark on Oct. 11-14 for the 14th Geraldine R. Dodge Poetry Festival, a biennial event that bills itself as North America's largest poetry event. Read more at the New York Times.
FBI Files on Sylvia Plath's Father Shed New Light on Poet
When FBI officers noted the "morbid disposition" of a German-born US suspect called Otto Plath during a first world war investigation, little did they realise how incisive their psychological assessment was, or its significance. Fourteen years later, he fathered Sylvia Plath, one of the 20th century's most influential poets who continually battled against depression. Read more at the Guardian.
Poetry for Pedestrians
If you take your smartphone with a QR decoder along Bucknell University's Poetry Path you'll be able to hear contemporary poets read their work. Each of the 10 markers along the path through the campus and downtown Lewisburg is designed to let your phone link with a recording of the verse, or you can enjoy a printed version of a poem simply by reading it from the marker. Read more at the Standard-Journal.
The Collected Poems of Lucille Clifton 1965–2010 by Lucille Clifton
[Hardcover] BOA Editions Ltd., 720 pp., $35.00
The Collected Poems of Lucille Clifton 1965–2010 combines all eleven of Lucille Clifton's published collections with more than fifty previously unpublished poems. The unpublished poems feature early poems from 1965–1969, a collection-in-progress titled the book of days (2008), and a poignant selection of final poems. An insightful foreword by Nobel Prize–winning author Toni Morrison and comprehensive afterword by noted poet Kevin Young frames Clifton's lifetime body of work, providing the definitive statement about this major America poet's career.
On Poetry by Glyn Maxwell
[Hardcover] Oberon Books, 160 pp., $23.95
A collection of small essays and chapters each tackling a different element of this enchanting art form, all written by prolific & acclaimed British poet Glyn Maxwell. Each essay illustrates Maxwell's "take" on poetry, his inspirations, his favorite writers, and indeed his thoughts on what makes a "good poem."
Elected Friends edited by Matthew Spencer
[Paperback] Other Press, 258 pp., $17.00
Robert Frost and Edward Thomas met in a bookshop in London in 1913. During the next four years, the two writers—Frost, an unknown poet who had sold his farm in New Hampshire in order to take his family to England for one last gamble on poetry and Thomas, a sad literary journalist—formed the most important friendship between poets since that of Wordsworth and Coleridge. Their friendship only ended with Thomas' death in Arras, France, a casualty of the First World War. This book presents for the first time the full record, arranged chronologically, of what the poets wrote to, for, and about one another—their letters, poems, and Thomas' review of Frost's first two books.
Poems: Inside and Out by Omar Pound
[Hardcover] Stephen F. Austin University Press, 106 pp., $150.00
Poems: Inside and Out provides a selection of works by the poet Omar S. Pound, son of Ezra Pound and Dorothy Shakespear Pound. The late Omar Pound was a gifted translator, an authority on Persian poetry, and a gifted poet in his own right. 125 copies were hand set in Cloister Old Style type and printed on Somerset and superfine papers. The covers are printed blue book cloth over boards. The images are linoleum cuts by John Daniel and were printed from the original blocks.
How Poet Laureate Natasha Trethewey Wrote Her Father's "Elegy"
by Alex Hoyt
Six or seven years ago, my father and I were fishing the Miramichi River in New Brunswick. It's a great salmon river. We met a writer friend of his named Dave Richards, a novelist, and Dave hired a guide for us. This was a famous guide who'd taken people like Bill Clinton fishing on the Miramichi. Once we got out there into the river the guide gave us a quick lesson about how to fly-fish, how to cast. We practiced the motions, then we got our rods and started fishing. There was this almost mystical look to the river. It seemed reverent just to be quiet, going through the mist. Read more at The Atlantic.
An Interview with Jee Leong Koh
by Rose Kelleher
You're clearly a well-rounded poet with a wide range of interests, but this being the Fetish issue I want to start by asking you about your racier poems. (Does anyone still say "racy"?) Many formal poetry journals tend to be somewhat conservative in their tastes, and I don't see many of those on your book's acknowledgments page. At the same time, many other journals aren't terribly receptive to formal verse. So where do you submit a poem like "Chapter Six: Anal Sex" that's sexually explicit as well as rhymed and metered? Read more at the Shit Creek Review.
An English-to-English Translation of Emily Dickinson's Poetry
by Emily Temple
So like everyone else, you love Emily Dickinson's poems — but have you ever wished they were a little, well, shorter? No? They're already generally quite short, you say? Well, hear us out. In The Emily Dickinson Reader: An English-to-English Translation of Emily Dickinson's Complete Poems, published this week, Paul Legault "translates" each of Dickinson's 1,789 poems into pithy, irreverent, and often insightful modern missives. There's still just as much death, despair, flowers, and sexiness, but in a new streamlined form perfect for cocktail parties. Read more at Flavorwire.
Perfect for cocktail parties? I remember my parents having novelty cocktail napkins with drawings and jokes on them; maybe something like that would work. As much as I try to understand the purpose of publishing this (might it take people back to the originals and give them a fresh look at them?), I just can't. It's clever after a fashion, but finally, it is a novelty. How many times, after the first, would you go to it on the shelf? Maybe there's more to it than can be gleaned from the review above. But it reminds me of a more ambitious novelty: The Brand-X Anthology of Poetry, a parody of the [Burnt] Norton, which covers the whole of English poetry from the Middle-Aged [sic] to the Twentieth Century (which begins with Ezra Pound issuing the "Harriet Monroe Doctrine"). Seriously funny. But there were many hands at work in providing the parodies including Henry Taylor, Kenneth Koch, Michael Heffernan, and many others. Speaking of translating Emily into contemporary English, Robert Frost in the Brand-X Anthology is quoted as saying "Writing free verse is like playing tennis without a hairnet." Who could disgree with that? I can heartily recommend this novelty for all students of English poetry.


Related Gene(s)
Related Condition(s)
Quick links to this topic
Genetic and Rare Diseases Information Center
Information about genetic conditions and rare diseases
Additional NIH Resources
Gene Reviews
Clinical summary
Gene Tests
Genetic disorder catalog
Genetic Conditions >
Genetic changes
Glossary definitions
Reviewed December 2008
What is Alzheimer disease?
Alzheimer disease is a degenerative disease of the brain that causes dementia, which is a gradual loss of memory, judgment, and ability to function. This disorder usually appears in people older than age 65, but less common forms of the disease appear earlier in adulthood.
Memory loss is the most common sign of Alzheimer disease. Forgetfulness may be subtle at first, but the loss of memory worsens over time until it interferes with most aspects of daily living. Even in familiar settings, a person with Alzheimer disease may get lost or become confused. Routine tasks such as preparing meals, doing laundry, and performing other household chores can be challenging. Additionally, it may become difficult to recognize people and name objects. Affected people increasingly require help with dressing, eating, and personal care.
As the disorder progresses, some people with Alzheimer disease experience personality and behavioral changes and have trouble interacting in a socially appropriate manner. Other common symptoms include agitation, restlessness, withdrawal, and loss of language skills. People with this disease usually require total care during the advanced stages of the disease. Affected individuals usually survive 8 to 10 years after the appearance of symptoms, but the course of the disease can range from 1 to 25 years. Death usually results from pneumonia, malnutrition, or general body wasting (inanition).
Alzheimer disease can be classified as early-onset or late-onset. The signs and symptoms of the early-onset form appear before age 65, while the late-onset form appears after age 65. The early-onset form is much less common than the late-onset form, accounting for less than 5 percent of all cases of Alzheimer disease.
How common is Alzheimer disease?
Alzheimer disease currently affects an estimated 2.4 million to 4.5 million Americans. Because the risk of developing Alzheimer disease increases with age and more people are living longer, the number of people with this disease is expected to increase significantly in coming decades.
What genes are related to Alzheimer disease?
Most cases of early-onset Alzheimer disease are caused by gene mutations that can be passed from parent to child. Researchers have found that this form of the disorder can result from mutations in one of three genes: APP, PSEN1, or PSEN2. When any of these genes is altered, large amounts of a toxic protein fragment called amyloid beta peptide are produced in the brain. This peptide can build up in the brain to form clumps called amyloid plaques, which are characteristic of Alzheimer disease. A buildup of toxic amyloid beta peptide and amyloid plaques may lead to the death of nerve cells and the progressive signs and symptoms of this disorder.
Some evidence indicates that people with Down syndrome have an increased risk of developing Alzheimer disease. Down syndrome, a condition characterized by intellectual disability and other health problems, occurs when a person is born with an extra copy of chromosome 21 in each cell. As a result, people with Down syndrome have three copies of many genes in each cell, including the APP gene, instead of the usual two copies. Although the connection between Down syndrome and Alzheimer disease is unclear, the production of excess amyloid beta peptide in cells may account for the increased risk. People with Down syndrome account for less than 1 percent of all cases of Alzheimer disease.
The causes of late-onset Alzheimer disease are less clear. The late-onset form does not clearly run in families, although clusters of cases have been reported in some families. This disorder is probably related to variations in one or more genes in combination with lifestyle and environmental factors. A gene called APOE has been studied extensively as a risk factor for the disease. In particular, a variant of this gene called the e4 allele seems to increase an individual's risk for developing late-onset Alzheimer disease. Researchers are investigating many additional genes that may play a role in Alzheimer disease risk.
Read more about the APOE, APP, PSEN1, and PSEN2 genes.
Read more about Down syndrome.
How do people inherit Alzheimer disease?
The early-onset form of Alzheimer disease is inherited in an autosomal dominant pattern, which means one copy of the altered gene in each cell is sufficient to cause the disorder. In most cases, an affected person inherits the altered gene from one affected parent.
The inheritance pattern of late-onset Alzheimer disease is uncertain. People who inherit one copy of the APOE e4 allele have an increased chance of developing the disease; those who inherit two copies of the allele are at even greater risk. It is important to note that people with the APOE e4 allele inherit an increased risk of developing Alzheimer disease, not the disease itself. Not all people with Alzheimer disease have the e4 allele, and not all people who have the e4 allele will develop the disease.
Where can I find information about diagnosis or management of Alzheimer disease?
These resources address the diagnosis or management of Alzheimer disease and may include treatment providers.
Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Washington University School of Medicine
Gene Review: Alzheimer Disease
Gene Review: Early-Onset Familial Alzheimer Disease
Gene Tests: Alzheimer Disease Risk Factor (APOE Genotype)
Gene Tests: Alzheimer Disease Type 1
MedlinePlus Encyclopedia: Alzheimer's Disease
Michigan Alzheimer's Disease Research Center
University of California Davis Alzheimer's Disease Center
You might also find information on the diagnosis or management of Alzheimer disease in Educational resources and Patient support.
General information about the diagnosis and management of genetic conditions is available in the Handbook.
To locate a healthcare provider, see How can I find a genetics professional in my area? in the Handbook.
Where can I find additional information about Alzheimer disease?
You may find the following resources about Alzheimer disease helpful. These materials are written for the general public.
MedlinePlus - Health information (3 links)
Genetic and Rare Diseases Information Center - Information about genetic conditions and rare diseases (5 links)
Additional NIH Resources - National Institutes of Health (5 links)
Educational resources - Information pages (8 links)
Patient support - For patients and families (6 links)
You may also be interested in these resources, which are designed for healthcare professionals and researchers.
Gene Reviews - Clinical summary (2 links)
Gene Tests - Genetic tests ordered by healthcare professionals (4 links)
ClinicalTrials.gov - Linking patients to medical research
PubMed - Recent literature
OMIM - Genetic disorder catalog (4 links)
What other names do people use for Alzheimer disease?
Alzheimer dementia (AD)
Alzheimer sclerosis
Alzheimer syndrome
Alzheimer-type dementia (ATD)
familial Alzheimer disease (FAD)
Presenile and senile dementia
Primary Senile Degenerative Dementia
For more information about naming genetic conditions, see the Genetics Home Reference Condition Naming Guidelines and How are genetic conditions and genes named? in the Handbook.
What if I still have specific questions about Alzheimer disease?
Ask the Genetic and Rare Diseases Information Center .
Where can I find general information about genetic conditions?
The Handbook provides basic information about genetics in clear language.
What does it mean if a disorder seems to run in my family?
What are the different ways in which a genetic condition can be inherited?
If a genetic disorder runs in my family, what are the chances that my children will have the condition?
Why are some genetic conditions more common in particular ethnic groups?
These links provide additional genetics resources that may be useful.
Resources for Patients and Families
What glossary definitions help with understanding Alzheimer disease?
allele ; amyloid ; amyloid plaque ; autosomal ; autosomal dominant ; cell ; chromosome ; degenerative ; dementia ; familial ; gene ; inanition ; inheritance ; inheritance pattern ; mutation ; nerve cell ; neurofibrillary tangles ; parkinsonism ; peptide ; plaque ; pneumonia ; protein ; risk factors ; sclerosis ; sign ; stage ; symptom ; syndrome ; tau proteins ; toxic ; wasting
You may find definitions for these and many other terms in the Genetics Home Reference Glossary.
See also Understanding Medical Terminology.
References (16 links)
The resources on this site should not be used as a substitute for professional medical care or advice. Users seeking information about a personal genetic disease, syndrome, or condition should consult with a qualified healthcare professional. See How can I find a genetics professional in my area? in the Handbook.
Reviewed: December 2008


The Devil is a Part-Timer!! episode 6
Posted bytheronm4 August 20, 2022 Posted inUncategorized
Rating: B
Last episode ended with the not-so-vague impression that something was out in the fog, and the more vague impression that Amane had more of a sense of something genuinely supernatural in that fog than she was letting on. This episode not only confirms both of those suspicions but also further suggests that there's something inhuman (or at least not ordinarily human) about Mikitty and her family. In the process, however, the episode also raises a whole batch of new questions.
First, the creature seemingly out in the fog is revealed to be a demon, and not just one. Why demons are popping up in the fog, seemingly without being aware of the presence of Satan, Alciel, and Lucifer is a mystery almost as big as the fog manipulation that's terrorizing them (with the intent of driving them off, it would seem), but at least the latter mystery gets revealed by the end of the episode. Why Satan's adjutant and regent, the bird-themed Camio, has also appeared is also still a mystery, as one would think that he'd be too busy to be out and about personally when problems exist in the demon realm. Looks like we'll have to wait until next episode to find out about that. At least Camio reverting to a bird is easy enough to surmise: that's his natural form when he lacks sufficient demonic power for his more humanoid form.
Even based on anime-only content, though, some reasonable speculation can be made about Amane, the one Camio acknowledges as defeating him. She lives at the farthest eastern point on Japan's main island, which would be a natural place to be if one were a guardian against portals and/or other supernatural phenomena that might appear out at sea. (Or the fact the that beach restaurant was in such decrepit shape might mean that she doesn't always live out her but came out at this time because she sensed trouble in the area.) If she does, indeed, play that role, then Mikitty also in some way being a protector of Earth would logically follow, which would then mean that neither the new "Devil King's Castle" being where it is nor the devils having been invited out to work here were coincidences.
Beyond this, the episode otherwise involves the ladies around Maou helping out when Maou and crew get overwhelmed by business, which could also be looked at as an excuse to have the ladies traipsing around in swimsuits (albeit remarkably tasteful ones). Lucifer also has an interesting talk with Emilia and some background details about how Camio fits into the picture also get elaborated on, helping to fill out the story's background a little more. However, all of that is far less interesting than what's going on with the main plot. Whatever the mysteries at hand turn out to be, next episode (which could well conclude the adaptation of the fourth novel at the pace that the story is progressing) should be a much more intense one.
Is It Wrong to Try to Pick Up Girls in a Dungeon? IV episode 5


Why We Should Care About 4,000th Ichiro Pro Hit
Why We Should Care About 4,000th Ichiro Pro Hit — Daily Intelligencer:
But in at least one way, it doesn't matter whether 4,000 professional hits is exactly as impressive as we're trained to think it is because a lot of them came in Japan. Sports fans love round numbers, and we especially love large round numbers — the kind that take a career to accumulate. We make a big deal when a pitcher gets to 300 wins, or a slugger hits his 500th home run, or a hitter gets his 3,000th (or 4,000th) hit, and the main reason we do so is because it allows us a natural opportunity to reflect on the player's career, which almost by definition is an impressive one. All-time greats like Ichiro deserve this sort of treatment; he and players like him ought to be celebrated as their careers wind down. New York fans have been through this a lot lately, with future Hall of Famers Derek Jeter and Mariano Rivera reaching significant milestones in recent years. The prime of Ichiro's career happened outside of New York, of course, but he's in that class of player.
And so too much debate about the legitimacy of Ichiro's 4,000 hits would obscure what should be (and for the most part is) happening now: a celebration of one of the most iconic baseball players ever. Yankee fans are watching an Ichiro whose best days are behind him, but even if we focus just on his American career, his time in Seattle was incredible. (At least his unorthodox-but-effective slap-swing — the one that helped him pick up an insane 262 hits in 2004 — still remains.) Ichiro's American numbers are plenty good enough for induction into Cooperstown — he has a .320 career average thanks to a steady stream of singles — but it's possible he won't reach any major round-number milestones. (He's 278 major-league hits away from 3,000, but he turns 40 this fall.) Which means this might be our best opportunity to collectively celebrate his career before it ends. Let's be sure to take it.
[Let's not forget this article that says a lot about how he went about this. With the recent debate over 10,000 hours (genetics vs. practice) let's not forget that there's always a practice component. There's always relentless, focused, efficient practice involved.]
Source: Gruber


Rights group says China detains legal activist
August 28, 2013 Comments Off on Rights group says China detains legal activist
Originally published by LAS VEGAS SUN on August 18, 2013
Chinese authorities have detained Yang Maodong, a leading member of the country's loose New Citizens campaign that promotes democratic rights, his friend and an international human rights advocacy group said Saturday.
It is the second such detention of a leader of the group after Xu Zhiyong was detained several weeks ago in Beijing.
Journalist Xiao Shu said that a sister of Yang was notified by the Tianhe branch of the Guangzhou police in southern China that Yang, who writes under the alias Guo Feixiong, was detained on Aug. 8 on the criminal charge of disrupting public order.
The Chinese Human Rights Defenders also reported Yang's detention on Saturday. A woman at a local police office referred questions to a detention center, but the detention center refused to comment.
"Guo is the leading figure in southern China for the New Citizens movement, and Xu is the movement's leading figure in northern China," Xiao Shu said. "The way the authorities handle Guo's case is exactly how they have been handling Xu."
Xu is considered a moderate but outspoken voice in China's beleaguered rights movement, campaigning for issues that include equal rights to education, and for officials to declare their assets.
While behind bars, Xu last week urged citizens to unite in pursuing democratic freedoms in a taped video that was posted online.
Yang, 47, is a legal activist and dissident writer. He had served a five-year jail sentence between 2006 and 2011, and the writer's advocacy group, International PEN, has said Yang was targeted for his book that allegedly exposed official corruption in a northeastern Chinese city.
Since his release, Yang continued to work on rights issues, his wife Zhang Qing said.
Zhang said she last spoke to Yang on Aug. 7 and detected no sign of trouble. But he was out of contact from the next day.
His friends and supporters learned his fate only on Saturday when the official notification to his sister confirmed his detention.


Domino's lover was saved after he hadn't ordered in 11 days
Kirk Alexander, 47, of Salem, Oregon, was found on the ground of his home on Sunday after staff at a Salem Domino's Pizza called 911 when he wouldn't answer his door.
This is the Oregon man whose life was saved by Domino's Pizza staff after they realized their favorite customer hasn't ordered food in 11 days.
Kirk Alexander, 47, was found on the ground of his home on Sunday after staff at a Salem Domino's Pizza called 911 when he wouldn't answer his door.
Employees at the Salem shop became worried after Alexander - who has been a regular customer for seven years - hadn't called in to the store in nearly two weeks, so they sent a delivery driver to his home to check up on him.
Tracey Hamblen, an employee, knocked on Alexander's door on Sunday, just after midnight, but he didn't respond. She could see lights and a television on inside.
Kirk Alexander, 47, was found on the ground of his Salem, Oregon, home on Sunday after staff at a Salem Domino's Pizza called 911
Sarah Fuller, a general manager at a Domino's Pizza in Salem, Oregon, says her staff helped save the well-known customer after becoming worried that he hadn't ordered from the store in 11 days
A delivery driver was sent to Alexander's home (pictured) for a wellness check just after midnight on Sunday, and after he didn't answer the door, she called 911. Marion County sheriff's deputies found Alexander suffering medical problems that could have ended his life
Hamblen tried to call the customer, but it went straight to voicemail.
After not hearing from Alexander, Hamblen called 911, while Jenny Seiber, a Domino's assistant manager, called authorities' non-emergency line, according to Oregon Live.
Marion County sheriff's deputies arrived and heard a man calling for help from inside the home.
They found Alexander suffering medical problems that could have ended his life, Marion County Sheriff's Office spokesman Lt Chris Baldridge said.
He was taken to the hospital and was in stable condition as of Monday morning, the sheriff's office said in a statement.
The office would not reveal what medical problems Alexander was experiencing, but said he suffers from severe health problems.
Paramedics told KOIN, however, that Alexander was on the ground of his home when they arrived, and that they believed he had a stroke. It is unknown when he suffered the medical problems.
Seiber said that Alexander is a very well-known customer, but he doesn't have a regular order - he'll order anything from pasta or pizza to sandwiches or wings.
'It's never the same thing every time,' she said.
She added that Alexander is quiet, but friendly and nice, saying employees at the restaurant were 'worried a little bit' after not hearing from him for 11 days.
Staff said Alexander is a very well-known customer at the restaurant (pictured), but he doesn't have a regular order - he'll order anything from pasta or pizza to sandwiches or wings
General manager Sarah Fuller told KOIN that Alexander has been ordering from the restaurant since 2009.
'He orders every day, every other day,' Fuller said. 'His order pops up on the screen because he orders online. So we see it come across the screen and we're like, "Oh, Kirk's order".'
She added that Alexander is 'just an important customer that's part of our family here at Domino's.
'He orders all the time, so we know him. I think we were just doing our job checking in on someone we know who orders a lot. We felt like we needed to do something.'
Jenny Fouracre, director of public relations at Domino's headquarters in Ann Arbor, Michigan, told the Statesman Journal that the store's efforts were consistent with the company's customer service standards.
She said: 'We are proud of our team members who took the initiative to reach out and help a regular customer who was in distress.
'There are thousands of Domino's stores across the country, but every store is really a part of their neighborhood, delivering to people in their homes, which means we often get to know our customers well.
'We have many stories of how our stores have helped regular customers in ways that are big and small over the years, which is a level of customer service and commitment to our communities that we hope everyone will emulate.'
Fuller told the Statesman Journal that she agreed with Fouracre's statement.
'We're like a family here, and we were glad we were able to do something to help,' she said. 'We hope he's able to fully recover from this.'
Jenny Fouracre, director of public relations at Domino's headquarters in Ann Arbor, Michigan, said that the store's (pictured) efforts were consistent with the company's customer service standards
That post exemplifies the root of the problem - a historical legacy of centuries of propaganda based on the premise of European racial supremacy. It portrays the white colonial master that is the savior to the ever thankful poor black slave. Thank God, I'm an emancipated African - and I don't worship at the feet of white gods - the Queen or the Governor, who are simply relics of outmoded colonialism built on the tenets of racist institutions of white supremacy that colonized and enslaved Africans for centuries.
As Bob Marley said, "Emancipate yourself from mental slavery," because sometimes, "shit is just shit!"


Middle East Chapter Hosts Golf Tournament, Annual Meeting
In November, the Council's Middle East Chapter hosted its first sold-out golf tournament, as well as its annual meeting during the ADIPEC Conference.
The tournament, sponsored by Cummins Arabia, NOV and SPM Oil & Gas, was an opportunity for peers and customers to connect after months of remote events. In 2022, the Chapter plans to further grow the tournament as a cornerstone of the Chapter's activities, similar to its annual meeting.
During the ADIPEC Technical Conference, the Chapter hosted its annual meeting at the USA Pavilion inside the Expo 2020 Dubai. Erick Kish, U.S. Commercial Service Abu Dhabi, opened the meeting, discussing what his company is hearing from energy companies in the region, the support that U.S. Commercial Services can provide to U.S. firms, and how U.S. businesses are engaging in the Middle East.
Shahin Shamsabadi, FTI Consulting, and Michael Carstensen, DSV Air and Sea, shared keynote remarks to attendees. Carstensen's insights on the current global trade disruptions focused on the mix of events at ports and the unequal recovery of air trade routes following COVID-19, with the message that old strategies do not work in a post-COVID world. Striking the right balance between cost, flexibility and resilience is not easy but the need to prepare for the unexpected, minimize vulnerability and manage risk is not to be ignored, he said.
Shamsabadi, who also addressed the group in 2018, shared thoughts on how the Gulf reacted to COVID-19 from a political and business perspective and how it is adapting to new markets. Overall, he said, the energy industries are concerned about potential variant resistant strain and how this affects future planning. Other important factors he discussed were ESG and sustainability developments, as well as growing concerns about securing financing.
In 2022, newly elected Chapter Chair Daniel Watson, Energy Alloys, plans to continue to grow the Chapter's best practice and networking events.
The Executive Leadership Program's Middle East cohort is now open for registration. For more information, contact Council Vice President Programs & Events Peggy Helfert.
Participants Share Key Takeaways, Best Practices as Council Programs Draw to a Close
High-Performer Spotlight: Orleth Bryan-Tortolero, Vallourec


Leran Hadar
Estates Agent
E: leran(at)aaronkirman(dotted)com
Born and raised in Los Angeles, Leran Hadar knows L.A. inside and out. After studying abroad for a few years, including boarding school in Switzerland and colleges in both Rome, Italy and London, England, he came back to his home to begin working on his career. Beginning in the fashion retail industry, he quickly worked his way up and served as general brand manager at legendary fashion retailer, H. Lorenzo for 8 years. Through his work there, he has built an impressive network of L.A.'s most celebrated and renowned clients from both the entertainment and music industries.
Capitalizing on his experience, people skills and work ethic, Leran soon after opened his own chain of retail concept stores with his now wife, Marine Azria. The stores are called The Piece Collective and together they own several locations including one on Abbot Kinney and The Glen Centre in Bel Air.
With a strong drive and passion, Leran Hadar is dedicated to his clients as a real-estate agent with Aaron Kirman Team (John Arrow Group). He continues to pursue his career with the same passion, integrity and commitment to his clients as he has throughout his career. As he often likes to say, "without integrity, nothing works". Inquire


Home » Artificial intelligence » AI will create millions more jobs than are lost because of economic growth
AI will create millions more jobs than are lost because of economic growth
October 6, 2018 by Brian Wang
AI and related technologies such as robots, drones and autonomous vehicles could provide a net boost to employment in China of around 12% over the next two decades, equating to around 90 million additional jobs.
Around 26% of existing jobs in China could be automated over the next 20 years, but this is projected to be more than offset by job creation of 38%, giving an estimated net gain of 12%.
Services (+29%) and construction (+23%) could see the largest net increases in jobs by 2037 in China, offset by estimated net job losses of around 10% in agriculture.
PwC estimates that the boost from AI and related technologies to economic growth in China could create millions of new jobs, more than offsetting displacement of existing jobs. But the report argues there is no room for complacency given the projected scale of disruption to the labor market from these technologies.
This new analysis for China contrasts with PwC's earlier research suggesting a broadly neutral net impact of AI and related technologies on jobs in the UK. In that analysis, PwC found that these technologies could displace around 20% of existing UK jobs by 2037, but could create a similar number of additional jobs by boosting economic growth. Based on previous research, PwC judges that results for the UK are likely to be broadly similar to the average across OECD countries.
Most of the new jobs created will have nothing directly to do with AI or robots, but will simply be the product of a richer society with consequent increased demand for goods and services of all kinds.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
Categories Artificial intelligence, Science, Technology, World Tags artificial intellgence, future, jobs, predictions, world Post navigation
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163 thoughts on "AI will create millions more jobs than are lost because of economic growth"
MarkStewart
I don't think it is as complicated as that. Keynes's problem is that he pointed out that the economy won't fix itself in a timely manner, which meant that the government might have to interfere with the economy to expedite its recovery. Many capitalist prefer the concept of laissez-faire because it gives them a free hand to rip people off. We must always remember that no manner how painful a Depression or a Recession is there are people who will profit quite well from it and these people won't be happy with a quick recovery. Vultures always eat quite well during a drought or a famine.
I don't think it is as complicated as that. Keynes's problem is that he pointed out that the economy won't fix itself in a timely manner which meant that the government might have to interfere with the economy to expedite its recovery. Many capitalist prefer the concept of laissez-faire because it gives them a free hand to rip people off. We must always remember that no manner how painful a Depression or a Recession is there are people who will profit quite well from it and these people won't be happy with a quick recovery. Vultures always eat quite well during a drought or a famine.
doctorpat
You've missed the point of UBI. Not your fault; most people who go on about UBI also miss the point, which is why their arguments don't make sense, the math doesn't work, and various trials around the world have all failed. UBI is not a solution to current problems (if any), because, as you point out, it's just too expensive. UBI is a solution to a future (possible) problem of "AIs are so productive that (30%? 50% 90%??) of humans are unemployable". Under those circumstances, the government CAN grab say 5% of GDP and use it to give everyone a payment that gives them a decent life as part of the leisure class. Of course people read this, think it sounds idyllic, think that it would be cool NOW, and then can't work out why it can't be paid for without the advanced AI and robotics that the idea is based on.
You've missed the point of UBI.Not your fault; most people who go on about UBI also miss the point which is why their arguments don't make sense the math doesn't work and various trials around the world have all failed.UBI is not a solution to current problems (if any) because as you point out it's just too expensive.UBI is a solution to a future (possible) problem of AIs are so productive that (30{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12}? 50{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} 90{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12}??) of humans are unemployable"".Under those circumstances"" the government CAN grab say 5{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} of GDP and use it to give everyone a payment that gives them a decent life as part of the leisure class.Of course people read this think it sounds idyllic think that it would be cool NOW"" and then can't work out why it can't be paid for without the advanced AI and robotics that the idea is based on."""
WarrenTheApe
What secret code? You know what wu mau means. You are one, after all.
NextBigAsshole
What secret code? You know what wu mau means. You are one after all.
More clever than you are, wu mau.
More clever than you are wu mau.
What ignorance? You claimed I think you are leftist when I said no such thing. I called you for what you are…a wu mau. And you fully know what that term means. You just don't want to admit it. So you play games. Everyone on here knows you are wu mau. You didn't exactly hide yourself well.
What ignorance? You claimed I think you are leftist when I said no such thing. I called you for what you are…a wu mau.And you fully know what that term means. You just don't want to admit it. So you play games.Everyone on here knows you are wu mau. You didn't exactly hide yourself well.
TominPuertoRico
Keynesiantardism.. gee aren't you clever?
Tom in
You must like your secret code. Did it come with your magic decoder ring?
Your ignorance is on full display. Learn some english.
It's comical that you think i'm a leftist." I said you were a wu mau. Learn to read.
It's comical that you think i'm a leftist.""I said you were a wu mau. Learn to read."""
STFU, Wu Mau.
STFU Wu Mau.
BrendanLu
I hope the robots take over everything one day, it's be nice not lacking for anything and just enjoy life. Of course, life will get dull very quickly unless there's a new focus on what "living" actually entails once we're not preoccupied with bringing in the paychecks as we do now.
Brendan Lu
I hope the robots take over everything one day it's be nice not lacking for anything and just enjoy life. Of course life will get dull very quickly unless there's a new focus on what living"" actually entails once we're not preoccupied with bringing in the paychecks as we do now."""
AlanFraser
What nonsense. A new job is created, do you hire the human who works 8 hrs a day, and costs $8/hr, or do you buy a AI enabled android who costs 40K, but works 23 hrs a day, spends a hr recharging, and does so for less then $1/hr? Or do you rent one for $3/hr? Theres NOTHING humans will be better at eventually. And once that occurs those newly created jobs will not be filled by them. PERIOD.
What nonsense. A new job is created do you hire the human who works 8 hrs a day and costs $8/hr or do you buy a AI enabled android who costs 40K but works 23 hrs a day spends a hr recharging and does so for less then $1/hr? Or do you rent one for $3/hr?Theres NOTHING humans will be better at eventually. And once that occurs those newly created jobs will not be filled by them. PERIOD.
Mostly the lost of jobs hype. What normally happens when there is an improvement in productivity in a particular type of job there is a lost of jobs in that field. But the workers eventually migrate to other types of jobs. The same thing will happen as it had happened time and time again. The consumers will pay less for the product produced thru improved productivity which will leave them money to buy other products and services. And the increased demand for these products and services will generated new jobs.
Wanna bet that you can't 'shut' me up? You can't see through anything. You're too ignorant. It's comical that you think i'm a leftist. You just don't know how far to the left YOU are! And as is usual for leftists, you attack the person and ignore the argument when you don't have a convincing argument.
Wanna bet that you can't 'shut' me up?You can't see through anything. You're too ignorant. It's comical that you think i'm a leftist. You just don't know how far to the left YOU are! And as is usual for leftists you attack the person and ignore the argument when you don't have a convincing argument.
+1 Jan
STFU, wu mau scûm! The rest of us see right through your bûllsh!t. Tell Beijing that during your next status update meeting.
STFU wu mau scûm!The rest of us see right through your bûllsh!t. Tell Beijing that during your next status update meeting."
You've missed the point of UBI.
Not your fault; most people who go on about UBI also miss the point, which is why their arguments don't make sense, the math doesn't work, and various trials around the world have all failed.
UBI is not a solution to current problems (if any), because, as you point out, it's just too expensive.
UBI is a solution to a future (possible) problem of "AIs are so productive that (30%? 50% 90%??) of humans are unemployable".
Under those circumstances, the government CAN grab say 5% of GDP and use it to give everyone a payment that gives them a decent life as part of the leisure class.
Of course people read this, think it sounds idyllic, think that it would be cool NOW, and then can't work out why it can't be paid for without the advanced AI and robotics that the idea is based on.
You are correct Brian. Don't listen to the naysayers. Their arguments are infantile.
We're ALWAYS living in 'unprecedented times'.
What secret code?
You know what wu mau means. You are one, after all.
What ignorance? You claimed I think you are leftist when I said no such thing. I called you for what you are…a wu mau.
And you fully know what that term means. You just don't want to admit it. So you play games.
Everyone on here knows you are wu mau. You didn't exactly hide yourself well.
Tom in Puerto Rico
"It's comical that you think i'm a leftist."
I said you were a wu mau.
Learn to read.
glockman
You are right, AI will help China be more productive as their population decreases. Same goes for Japan, for example. that might be good for the productivity of the country (or company) but not necessarily for the individual. It all depends on where the workers are and timing. China may lose about 150m-180m in their working population between now and 2050 (aging demos). They have currently about 120m manufacturing workers. You could argue that if automation reduces the number of factory employees at the rate they retire, then no problems. But automation labor-displacement is much, much faster. HonHai can reduce their labor force in China by about 900k-1m and replace it with a force of 10-20k in various regions around the world. So they are doing this. Modern automation is sudden. Demographics is gradual.
You are right AI will help China be more productive as their population decreases. Same goes for Japan for example. that might be good for the productivity of the country (or company) but not necessarily for the individual. It all depends on where the workers are and timing.China may lose about 150m-180m in their working population between now and 2050 (aging demos). They have currently about 120m manufacturing workers. You could argue that if automation reduces the number of factory employees at the rate they retire then no problems. But automation labor-displacement is much much faster. HonHai can reduce their labor force in China by about 900k-1m and replace it with a force of 10-20k in various regions around the world. So they are doing this. Modern automation is sudden. Demographics is gradual.
What nonsense. A new job is created, do you hire the human who works 8 hrs a day, and costs $8/hr, or do you buy a AI enabled android who costs 40K, but works 23 hrs a day, spends a hr recharging, and does so for less then $1/hr? Or do you rent one for $3/hr?
Theres NOTHING humans will be better at eventually. And once that occurs those newly created jobs will not be filled by them. PERIOD.
Mostly the lost of jobs hype. What normally happens when there is an improvement in productivity in a particular type of job there is a lost of jobs in that field. But the workers eventually migrate to other types of jobs. The same thing will happen as it had happened time and time again.
The consumers will pay less for the product produced thru improved productivity which will leave them money to buy other products and services. And the increased demand for these products and services will generated new jobs.
Wanna bet that you can't 'shut' me up?
You can't see through anything. You're too ignorant. It's comical that you think i'm a leftist. You just don't know how far to the left YOU are! And as is usual for leftists, you attack the person and ignore the argument when you don't have a convincing argument.
A limit of how many of everything, but no limit on the number of things. In other words, the author is right and you're wrong.
A limit of how many of everything but no limit on the number of things. In other words the author is right and you're wrong.
STFU, wu mau scûm!
The rest of us see right through your bûllsh!t. Tell Beijing that during your next status update meeting.
You are right, AI will help China be more productive as their population decreases. Same goes for Japan, for example. that might be good for the productivity of the country (or company) but not necessarily for the individual. It all depends on where the workers are and timing.
China may lose about 150m-180m in their working population between now and 2050 (aging demos). They have currently about 120m manufacturing workers. You could argue that if automation reduces the number of factory employees at the rate they retire, then no problems. But automation labor-displacement is much, much faster. HonHai can reduce their labor force in China by about 900k-1m and replace it with a force of 10-20k in various regions around the world. So they are doing this.
Modern automation is sudden. Demographics is gradual.
westcoastdog
In Japan there are as many job openings as unemployed, who do not have the qualifications for the positions. Similarly, many manufacturers in the Midwest cannot find workers to fill their technical positions and are forced to use robots or train workers. Disregard any projections beyond a few years. The employment situation now is a good indication of future prospects and problems.
In Japan there are as many job openings as unemployed who do not have the qualifications for the positions. Similarly many manufacturers in the Midwest cannot find workers to fill their technical positions and are forced to use robots or train workers.Disregard any projections beyond a few years. The employment situation now is a good indication of future prospects and problems.
UBI is nonsensical. To fund UBI, Uncle Sam would have to confiscate wealth (the real rich don't have much income, it's in wealth). That means nationalizing Musk's Tesla shares, Bezos' Amazon shares, Brin's Google shares, liquidating Buffett's empire, etc for instance. Then what? To convert it into cash (to pay for UBI) they have to find a buyer. But buyers are nowhere because the government has taken their money. And some assets, like Musk, bleed cash. I guess you can simply print money and give it to people. That will last about as long as the stuff people want to buy is no longer being produced because the companies that make the stuff no longer have any money. You can confiscate all the income of the top 1%. They make about $500k a year in median income and account for about 21% of all adjusted gross income. Is 21% of ALL income enough to spread out to the mass unemployed? No. Then what do you do in year 2? The 1% are probably not that keen to work much because whatever they make will be taken. Where will you take the money from then? I guess you can go full retard and do a Mao or Lenin and go communist. Then rest assured having UBI is the least of your worries. The UBI debate is a great example of how people can't think ahead, or unable to. I don't expect a bloodbath. Humans are fairly complacent. The richest of the rich can give everyone VR helmets and let them play Fortnite and put Xanax in the food chain. Oh wait…..
UBI is nonsensical. To fund UBI Uncle Sam would have to confiscate wealth (the real rich don't have much income it's in wealth). That means nationalizing Musk's Tesla shares Bezos' Amazon shares Brin's Google shares liquidating Buffett's empire etc for instance. Then what? To convert it into cash (to pay for UBI) they have to find a buyer. But buyers are nowhere because the government has taken their money. And some assets like Musk bleed cash. I guess you can simply print money and give it to people. That will last about as long as the stuff people want to buy is no longer being produced because the companies that make the stuff no longer have any money.You can confiscate all the income of the top 1{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12}. They make about $500k a year in median income and account for about 21{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} of all adjusted gross income. Is 21{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} of ALL income enough to spread out to the mass unemployed? No. Then what do you do in year 2? The 1{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} are probably not that keen to work much because whatever they make will be taken. Where will you take the money from then?I guess you can go full retard and do a Mao or Lenin and go communist. Then rest assured having UBI is the least of your worries. The UBI debate is a great example of how people can't think ahead or unable to. I don't expect a bloodbath. Humans are fairly complacent. The richest of the rich can give everyone VR helmets and let them play Fortnite and put Xanax in the food chain. Oh wait…..
TomCraver
A couple of points: – China is still around 40% rural and that will decline. So they've likely got a lot of economic growth that can create new urban jobs, even as agriculture gets more automated. – In 20 years, China's population will have peaked, but will have only declined back close to where it is now. Total working age population will be only about 1.5% smaller. But since the working age population will be about the same size, they'd currently have to have over 12% unemployed to take on the 12% excess new jobs. I guess if many jobs are only part time in 20 years, the 12% figure could work out numerically…
Tom Craver
A couple of points: – China is still around 40{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} rural and that will decline. So they've likely got a lot of economic growth that can create new urban jobs even as agriculture gets more automated.- In 20 years China's population will have peaked but will have only declined back close to where it is now. Total working age population will be only about 1.5{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} smaller.But since the working age population will be about the same size they'd currently have to have over 12{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} unemployed to take on the 12{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} excess new jobs. I guess if many jobs are only part time in 20 years the 12{22800fc54956079738b58e74e4dcd846757aa319aad70fcf90c97a58f3119a12} figure could work out numerically…
JanJansson
Do you think it is a meaningful state for humans to have no other purpose than to consume goods? I think that it is a terrible idea for people to loose the one thing that anchors them to normal behavior: work. I see a lot of people being able to wage social wars, and nobody busy with normal chores….
Jan Jansson
Do you think it is a meaningful state for humans to have no other purpose than to consume goods? I think that it is a terrible idea for people to loose the one thing that anchors them to normal behavior: work. I see a lot of people being able to wage social wars and nobody busy with normal chores….
And you don't think an AI could do that cheaper and faster than a human?
garyoblock
Well, China has demographic issues that were going to cause labor shortages in the future so maybe it's true that the impact of AI won't be as sharp there but the same is not true here in the US.
gary oblock
Well China has demographic issues that were going to cause labor shortages in the future so maybe it's true that the impact of AI won't be as sharp there but the same is not true here in the US.
In Japan there are as many job openings as unemployed, who do not have the qualifications for the positions. Similarly, many manufacturers in the Midwest cannot find workers to fill their technical positions and are forced to use robots or train workers.
Disregard any projections beyond a few years. The employment situation now is a good indication of future prospects and problems.
In defense of Keynes…and I say this even though I trash Keynesiantardism whenever I get the chance …he had no idea that the rise of debt-consumerism would occur when he wrote that. And you are correct how modern Keynesiantardism has bastardized what he stood for.
In defense of Keynes…and I say this even though I trash Keynesiantardism whenever I get the chance …he had no idea that the rise of debt-consumerism would occur when he wrote that.And you are correct how modern Keynesiantardism has bastardized what he stood for.
It is really sad when Brian goes full metal wu mau with NBF.
New jobs will be something like posting bullsh!t blog posts that propagandize what our AI Overlords want propagandized, I would imagine.
New jobs will be something like posting bullsh!t blog posts that propagandize what our AI Overlords want propagandized I would imagine.
Holy Krap! Everyone on here seems to have zeroed in on the same thing, despite the fact that we don't agree on a lot. Even Shiggity piped up. Same thing! You Mark, Goatguy…and of course you can count me in, as well.
Holy Krap!Everyone on here seems to have zeroed in on the same thing despite the fact that we don't agree on a lot.Even Shiggity piped up. Same thing!You Mark Goatguy…and of course you can count me in as well.
Most of the new jobs created will have nothing directly to do with AI or robots, but will simply be the product of a richer society with consequent increased demand for goods and services of all kinds." BS. There is an upper limit on how many cars people own, how many homes, how many of everything. Services, not so much but still there's an upper limit to most of those also. This is why building infrastructure in the US doesn't deliver the same ROI than it does in poorer nations. Law of Diminishing Returns.
Most of the new jobs created will have nothing directly to do with AI or robots" but will simply be the product of a richer society with consequent increased demand for goods and services of all kinds.""BS. There is an upper limit on how many cars people own"" how many homes how many of everything. Services"" not so much but still there's an upper limit to most of those also.This is why building infrastructure in the US doesn't deliver the same ROI than it does in poorer nations. Law of Diminishing Returns."""
Shigg! You back? Oh, and you beat me to what I wanted to post. Good for you!
Shigg! You back?Oh and you beat me to what I wanted to post. Good for you!
UBI is nonsensical. To fund UBI, Uncle Sam would have to confiscate wealth (the real rich don't have much income, it's in wealth). That means nationalizing Musk's Tesla shares, Bezos' Amazon shares, Brin's Google shares, liquidating Buffett's empire, etc for instance. Then what? To convert it into cash (to pay for UBI) they have to find a buyer. But buyers are nowhere because the government has taken their money. And some assets, like Musk, bleed cash. I guess you can simply print money and give it to people. That will last about as long as the stuff people want to buy is no longer being produced because the companies that make the stuff no longer have any money.
You can confiscate all the income of the top 1%. They make about $500k a year in median income and account for about 21% of all adjusted gross income. Is 21% of ALL income enough to spread out to the mass unemployed? No. Then what do you do in year 2? The 1% are probably not that keen to work much because whatever they make will be taken. Where will you take the money from then?
I guess you can go full retard and do a Mao or Lenin and go communist. Then rest assured having UBI is the least of your worries.
The UBI debate is a great example of how people can't think ahead, or unable to.
I don't expect a bloodbath. Humans are fairly complacent. The richest of the rich can give everyone VR helmets and let them play Fortnite and put Xanax in the food chain. Oh wait…..
– China is still around 40% rural and that will decline. So they've likely got a lot of economic growth that can create new urban jobs, even as agriculture gets more automated.
– In 20 years, China's population will have peaked, but will have only declined back close to where it is now. Total working age population will be only about 1.5% smaller.
But since the working age population will be about the same size, they'd currently have to have over 12% unemployed to take on the 12% excess new jobs. I guess if many jobs are only part time in 20 years, the 12% figure could work out numerically…
Shigg
It was the best of times it was the worst of times.
Lol who are you trying to convince Brian, us or yourself?
Lol who are you trying to convince Brian us or yourself?
goatguy
Myself, I kind of wonder what all the new jobs will be. I think about the AI-are-coming sentiment and wonder, what exactly are ordinary people going to do? AIs will by definition have no particular form. They're like brains compared to bodies. AIs likewise will have a (likely bewildering) array of waldos¹ at their behest. Some mobile, some on wheels, some bipedal, some quadrapedal. Some bugforms, some like eels, fish; some attached to walls, to factory floors with bolts. Or with large magnets for operational stability AND ease of repositioning. If — as my favorite example — one were to AI-ize a McDonald's eatery kitchen, what would the 'bots look like? Well… many changes to the machines (but not too many so that humans could assist at first), but also mobile waldos¹ that could unload bags of fries, burgers, buns into refrigerated bins; other assembly-line permanently mounted arms, cameras, claspers and actuators, to roast things, fry things, make burgers, fill bags with orders. If it takes at least 3 people to competently staff a low-demand McDonald's kitchen today, it probably will take 10 or more 'bots of various forms to produce the same product line. But the difference couldn't be clearer: once "the bugs" are worked out, the 'bot + AI powered McDonald's fry kitchen will easily be a 24-hour-a-day operation. So long as the orders are competently entered in, the output won't have missing items, or with tired employees, slovenly presentation. Oh, the kitchen, like most, will definitely need to be end-to-end cleaned at least a couple of times a day. And people will initially be better at this than 'bots. After awhile though, will people be needed at all? Even for the frozen goods, taking out trash, cleaning shop? People will still be desired for the public-facing side of the operation. People to clean the dining room. People to refill the catsup, mustard and napkins. People to service the beverage machine, its cups and unfailingly quirky
Myself I kind of wonder what all the new jobs will be. I think about the AI-are-coming sentiment and wonder what exactly are ordinary people going to do? AIs will by definition have no particular form. They're like brains compared to bodies.AIs likewise will have a (likely bewildering) array of waldos¹ at their behest. Some mobile some on wheels some bipedal some quadrapedal. Some bugforms some like eels fish; some attached to walls to factory floors with bolts. Or with large magnets for operational stability AND ease of repositioning. If — as my favorite example — one were to AI-ize a McDonald's eatery kitchen what would the 'bots look like? Well… many changes to the machines (but not too many so that humans could assist at first) but also mobile waldos¹ that could unload bags of fries burgers buns into refrigerated bins; other assembly-line permanently mounted arms cameras claspers and actuators to roast things fry things make burgers fill bags with orders. If it takes at least 3 people to competently staff a low-demand McDonald's kitchen today it probably will take 10 or more 'bots of various forms to produce the same product line. But the difference couldn't be clearer: once "the bugs" are worked out the 'bot + AI powered McDonald's fry kitchen will easily be a 24-hour-a-day operation. So long as the orders are competently entered in the output won't have missing items or with tired employees slovenly presentation. Oh the kitchen like most will definitely need to be end-to-end cleaned at least a couple of times a day. And people will initially be better at this than 'bots. After awhile though will people be needed at all?Even for the frozen goods taking out trash cleaning shop? People will still be desired for the public-facing side of the operation. People to clean the dining room. People to refill the catsup mustard and napkins. People to service the beverage machine its cups and unfailingly quirky ice mak
+1 … mmm … but WHICH hype? The AI-will-be-great hype, or the AI-will-be-a-disaster hype? … doesn't matter which, still +1 GoatGuy
+1… mmm … but WHICH hype? The AI-will-be-great hype or the AI-will-be-a-disaster hype?… doesn't matter which still +1GoatGuy"
Could you explain how Keynes is responsible for this.
Don't believe the hype.
Whenever I read articles like this I have to wonder what the authors are thinking. Why won't the AI and robotics simply replace the "new jobs"? Given the exponential nature of computation, science, information processing, robotics, and progress in general, we will reach a point where the "new" jobs can't be created fast enough to replace the ones lost to automation. In the past, society had plenty of time to adapt to changes from automation. That's becoming less and less the case.
Whenever I read articles like this I have to wonder what the authors are thinking. Why won't the AI and robotics simply replace the ew jobs""? Given the exponential nature of computation"" science information processing robotics and progress in general"" we will reach a point where the """"new"""" jobs can't be created fast enough to replace the ones lost to automation. In the past"""" society had plenty of time to adapt to changes from automation. That's becoming less and less the case."""
yeah. Two words: Jeff and Bezos.
Has nothing to do with Keynes and everything to do with political corruption. Exhibit A: https://youtu.be/5tu32CCA_Ig
Has nothing to do with Keynes and everything to do with political corruption. Exhibit A:https://youtu.be/5tu32CCA_Ig
Has nothing to do with Keynes and everything to do with corporatism. Keynesian economics isn't the reason we have virtual monopolies in cable, ISP, social, etc., for example. This is the result of a corrupt political system that favors the wealthy and ignores everyone else. https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-echochambers-27074746 https://youtu.be/5tu32CCA_Ig
Has nothing to do with Keynes and everything to do with corporatism. Keynesian economics isn't the reason we have virtual monopolies in cable ISP social etc. for example. This is the result of a corrupt political system that favors the wealthy and ignores everyone else. https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-echochambers-27074746https://youtu.be/5tu32CCA_Ig
I was wondering the same thing. Not sure what planet Sanjay lives on. But productivity gains from automation will simply be used to increase stock price and line the pockets of the already rich. In the absence of laws to prevent it, capital tends to accumulate in the hands of a few. The numbers speak for themselves. Just look at the immense wealth/income disparity that exists today.
I was wondering the same thing. Not sure what planet Sanjay lives on. But productivity gains from automation will simply be used to increase stock price and line the pockets of the already rich. In the absence of laws to prevent it capital tends to accumulate in the hands of a few. The numbers speak for themselves. Just look at the immense wealth/income disparity that exists today.
In defense of Keynes…and I say this even though I trash Keynesiantardism whenever I get the chance …he had no idea that the rise of debt-consumerism would occur when he wrote that.
And you are correct how modern Keynesiantardism has bastardized what he stood for.
laws will redistribute the fruits of that productivity to the masses". You really believe that? Hasn't happened so far so why would it happen in the future (outside of fascist totalitarians like Stalin and Mao)? Democracies are not democratic.
I don't believe PWC's report for a second when it comes to job creation. They took their "sizing the prize" methodology and tried to fit it into the official PRC situation. They basically said "lots of jobs lost but the Communist Party says there will be an open tech-based society that will create jobs so we'll use their assumptions". IE this is just another paid piece of moronic analysis to fit the 5-year plan. PWC doesn't consider that China's working population is decreasing (at an accelerated rate), nor that the "service" sector (which supposedly will be the biggest net winners in an automated world) are precisely those jobs that can be automated! Garbage analysis. Generally, PWC makes a very big error regarding the topic of automation (sizing the prize) when they fail to take into account that automation and productivity doesn't stand still. The jobs of tomorrow as PWC likes to call them, can very well become redundant with the technologies being developed today. Automation is out-running job creation. Sure, the "economy" will grow, but the spoils will only be for the very few (who have jobs and/or own the production).
I don't believe PWC's report for a second when it comes to job creation. They took their sizing the prize"" methodology and tried to fit it into the official PRC situation. They basically said """"lots of jobs lost but the Communist Party says there will be an open tech-based society that will create jobs so we'll use their assumptions"""".IE this is just another paid piece of moronic analysis to fit the 5-year plan.PWC doesn't consider that China's working population is decreasing (at an accelerated rate)"""" nor that the """"service"""" sector (which supposedly will be the biggest net winners in an automated world) are precisely those jobs that can be automated!Garbage analysis. Generally"" PWC makes a very big error regarding the topic of automation (sizing the prize) when they fail to take into account that automation and productivity doesn't stand still. The jobs of tomorrow as PWC likes to call them can very well become redundant with the technologies being developed today. Automation is out-running job creation. Sure"" the """"economy"""" will grow"""" but the spoils will only be for the very few (who have jobs and/or own the production)."""
Holy Krap!
Everyone on here seems to have zeroed in on the same thing, despite the fact that we don't agree on a lot.
Even Shiggity piped up. Same thing!
You Mark, Goatguy…and of course you can count me in, as well.
BS. There is an upper limit on how many cars people own, how many homes, how many of everything. Services, not so much but still there's an upper limit to most of those also.
This is why building infrastructure in the US doesn't deliver the same ROI than it does in poorer nations. Law of Diminishing Returns.
Shigg! You back?
Oh, and you beat me to what I wanted to post. Good for you!
AI can do more than just replace jobs in offices, warehouses, factories and fields. AI robots can do work for us at the bottom of the sea, or in outer space, on the Moon, Mars, or the asteroid belt, etc. AI could help us to tame every environment that's hostile to human beings. AI will take care of productivity, while laws will redistribute the fruits of that productivity to the masses. Our job will simply be to choose which fruits to consume. We humans will be reduced to our most salient distinguishing attribute – our power of choice that comes from our free will.
AI can do more than just replace jobs in offices warehouses factories and fields. AI robots can do work for us at the bottom of the sea or in outer space on the Moon Mars or the asteroid belt etc. AI could help us to tame every environment that's hostile to human beings. AI will take care of productivity while laws will redistribute the fruits of that productivity to the masses. Our job will simply be to choose which fruits to consume. We humans will be reduced to our most salient distinguishing attribute – our power of choice that comes from our free will.
Keynes, the source of the always wrong so far yet commonly instituted economic theory, once claimed there would be such efficiency due to standard industrialization that people would work 15 hour weeks for the mere purpose of having something to do. Modern Keynesian economics have conspired to take all those productive gains from the worker, mostly in the form of inflation and laws that prohibit competition. Until this stops every non truly free society (including the US) will continue to see the workers produce more and earn less.
Keynes the source of the always wrong so far yet commonly instituted economic theory once claimed there would be such efficiency due to standard industrialization that people would work 15 hour weeks for the mere purpose of having something to do. Modern Keynesian economics have conspired to take all those productive gains from the worker mostly in the form of inflation and laws that prohibit competition. Until this stops every non truly free society (including the US) will continue to see the workers produce more and earn less.
Myself, I kind of wonder what all the new jobs will be. I think about the AI-are-coming sentiment and wonder, what exactly are ordinary people going to do?
AIs will by definition have no particular form. They're like brains compared to bodies.
AIs likewise will have a (likely bewildering) array of waldos¹ at their behest. Some mobile, some on wheels, some bipedal, some quadrapedal. Some bugforms, some like eels, fish; some attached to walls, to factory floors with bolts. Or with large magnets for operational stability AND ease of repositioning.
If — as my favorite example — one were to AI-ize a McDonald's eatery kitchen, what would the 'bots look like? Well… many changes to the machines (but not too many so that humans could assist at first), but also mobile waldos¹ that could unload bags of fries, burgers, buns into refrigerated bins; other assembly-line permanently mounted arms, cameras, claspers and actuators, to roast things, fry things, make burgers, fill bags with orders. If it takes at least 3 people to competently staff a low-demand McDonald's kitchen today, it probably will take 10 or more 'bots of various forms to produce the same product line.
But the difference couldn't be clearer: once "the bugs" are worked out, the 'bot + AI powered McDonald's fry kitchen will easily be a 24-hour-a-day operation. So long as the orders are competently entered in, the output won't have missing items, or with tired employees, slovenly presentation. Oh, the kitchen, like most, will definitely need to be end-to-end cleaned at least a couple of times a day. And people will initially be better at this than 'bots.
After awhile though, will people be needed at all?
Even for the frozen goods, taking out trash, cleaning shop? People will still be desired for the public-facing side of the operation. People to clean the dining room. People to refill the catsup, mustard and napkins. People to service the beverage machine, its cups and unfailingly quirky ice maker.
But with some significant (and ultimately cosmetic) rearrangement of things, all these subsystems — except cleaning the dining room floor and tables — could be processed by AI waldos¹ behind the counter. And, people these days being entirely comfortable with their smart phones, perhaps even the ubiquitous tired order-clerk position would mostly go away. Bring in your phone or tablet, and order up what you want, confirm it, pay for it … in advance of having it in hand.
So this is what causes me to wonder.
What all the new jobs will be.
Just saying,
^waldo – remote controlled arm typically, but can be any remote controlled humaniform device.
… mmm … but WHICH hype? The AI-will-be-great hype, or the AI-will-be-a-disaster hype?
… doesn't matter which, still +1
Has nothing to do with Keynes and everything to do with political corruption.
Exhibit A:
https://youtu.be/5tu32CCA_Ig
Has nothing to do with Keynes and everything to do with corporatism. Keynesian economics isn't the reason we have virtual monopolies in cable, ISP, social, etc., for example. This is the result of a corrupt political system that favors the wealthy and ignores everyone else.
https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-echochambers-27074746
I don't believe PWC's report for a second when it comes to job creation. They took their "sizing the prize" methodology and tried to fit it into the official PRC situation. They basically said "lots of jobs lost but the Communist Party says there will be an open tech-based society that will create jobs so we'll use their assumptions".
IE this is just another paid piece of moronic analysis to fit the 5-year plan.
PWC doesn't consider that China's working population is decreasing (at an accelerated rate), nor that the "service" sector (which supposedly will be the biggest net winners in an automated world) are precisely those jobs that can be automated!
Garbage analysis. Generally, PWC makes a very big error regarding the topic of automation (sizing the prize) when they fail to take into account that automation and productivity doesn't stand still. The jobs of tomorrow as PWC likes to call them, can very well become redundant with the technologies being developed today. Automation is out-running job creation. Sure, the "economy" will grow, but the spoils will only be for the very few (who have jobs and/or own the production).
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Fairy Tail 2 – 22-23
Opinions (B):
Its been about two weeks since I saw Fairy Tail, and now that I'm back the latest arc of the series is finally wrapping up. More so than any other arc, I have very mixed feelings about how this one ended, and where we're at when everything's said and done.
With episode 23, the battle is, for all intents and purposes over. In many ways, the ending of the arc and the state of the battle field kind of mirror each other. The battle is over, and technically the good guys won, but it feels very much like a hollow victory.
I think the one part of the final act of this arc that resonated well with me was Ultear and her ultimate end. If there were a climax in this arc, the moment where Ultear decided to give her life was it.
I must admit, I hadn't thought that the Ultear thing would work for me, but the way it was used wasn't bad. The major reason for the sort of dues ex machine plot device actually working, was that it wasn't a complete dues ex machina. It wasn't a complete reset, much as Ultear had hoped. The Magic spell she used, Arc of Time – Last Ages was the ultimate double edged sword, and I can't help but marvel at how effective and balanced of a plot device it is.
The first major element of Last Ages is the fact that it carries a heavy price. Ultear has to use up her life to turn back time, that's a given. The thing that really hit me was how little a life is worth.
I think the most gutt wrenching and painful moment was when Ultear gave her life and managed to turn back time… but only for a minute.
And poor Ultear, as she died thinking that her entire life and her sacrifice had been in vain. Of course, Ultear's ultimate sacrifice helped save everyone that died, especially the people she cares about like Gray. That one minute is all that is needed to save everyone, and it kind of makes sense.
If there was a way to reverse all that death, this would probably be it. In the end, the reason this all works so bad is because the heroes do indeed have to pay a price. The price is Ultear's life, and the gain is a simple minute to get back and keep going.
Another reason why this worked so well, at least for me, is that it doesn't automatically fix everything. No, Ultear's life and magic paves the way for the good guys to get a second chance, and win.
Its like an extra life or a continue if this were a video game, and not much else. The fact that Ultear's final magic is used as a way to extend the battle rather than something that's a "stop gap fix" for everything is what makes it believable. It also makes it powerful and downright tragic.
Ultear's character arc is one of the few achievements for this arc. I legit felt a sense of loss at losing Ultear, and unlike say Gray, I'm not so sure she's coming back. Looking at Ultear's life as a whole. its been nothing but painful. She lost her mother at a young age, probably thinking she was abandoned. Then she ran into Purehito and got mixed up in his plans. Then she became Zeref and began manipulating and hurting people. Then she ended up running into Gray and seeing the error of her ways, and then had to atone for them.
If I were in Ultear's shoes, I'd like to think I'd do the same thing, but I doubt it. It takes real strength of character to just sacrifice yourself for everyone. Added to that, at this point, no one really knows that it was Ultear that ended up saving the day, at the cost of her own life. That's a rather bitter pill to swallow, but it gives Ultear a fitting, unsung hero like place.
Does Ultear's sacrifice make up for what she had done? That's still debatable. Maybe nothing she can ever do will atone for the crimes she committed, but then again, there was nothing more to do after this, I suppose.
I'm not sure how Mashima-sensei went about planning this ending, but its clear that he sacrificed one of his characters to make this ending believable and palatable. As I've mentioned often, there's rarely death in Shounen series, and when it, its either reversed or some kind of trick. This is hopefully, one of those rare moments where the death sticks. If nothing else, this death has real purpose and impact.
Ultear's big sacrifice aside, the rest of the resolution wasn't all that impressive. The next big part, for instance, is Lucy finding out that her future self left a note stating that destroying the Eclipse Gate would fix everything. Okay, I'm with you in terms of simple time travel logic. What bothers me about this is how exceedingly absurd this sounds.
So you're telling me that Future Lucy was running around, trying to warn everyone and she didn't mention this rather important "solution" to the problem? Yes I know you could argue that this particular method would erase her existence too, but at the point she was at, having lost everyone, I doubt self preservation was at the top of her list of priorities. Its an absurd oversight, and one that really sticks out.
And honestly, this whole plot point didn't even need to be explained via future Lucy. In the end, Natsu ends up smacking both Future Rogue and an entire Dragon into the gate anyway, without anyone telling him to.
So all in all, once Ultear had turned back time, everything was set. Its not like Mashima-sensei to make such mistakes, and I think I'm inclined to agree with some of the past comments here on AE, and assume that at this point, the arc just needed to end.
I did like how some of that apparent frustration of not being able to find a satisfying ending made it into the actual story. The fact that, as Mavis points out, none of the Dragon Slayers were able to take down even one dragon, puts our heroes in quite a bad place. If push comes to shove, Arcnologia could wipe the face off the planet with everyone. It really was Ultear's sacrifice that bailed everyone out of the worst jam yet.
The other thing that did add something interesting to the mix was Future Rogue's final words to Natsu. I have to say, I felt a little cheated by the fact that we didn't learn the actual identity of Frosche's killer, but I suppose that's something for the later. Whatever that knowledge is, combined with what all the Dragon Slayers learned because of this battle, is probably enough to fix/change the future though.
As Future Lucy returns to her own time, its shown that she ends up going to a place where Natsu and the rest of Fairy Tail is still around. I'm not exactly sure if this is a symbolic place, i.e something along the lines of Heaven, where Future Lucy is reunited with the rest of her comrades, or if its actually in the future.
The golden fields and pure blue clouds, plus the fact that we aren't able to see most of Fairy Tail's faces, means that its probably the after life, or the series' version of it. Its a bittersweet ending, but at least Future Lucy gets to get a somewhat happy ending as well.
And yes, I'll give the series props, they end with a gigantic Natsu x Lucy scene to cap off everything:
So with that, I suppose this arc is over. In the end, this wasn't Fairy Tail's best work, but it had some good moments near the end, that kind of at least made it decent. I'm interested to see where Fairy Tail goes from here, and given the comments from manga readers, the series only gets better from here. Here's hoping we don't get stuck in Filler land for too long before the next big bit of awesome.
Seems like its celebration time at the Castle. I guess we'll find out next week if we're going into a new arc or a filler arc. See ya all next week!
Posted on September 8, 2014 at 12:11 am
in Fairy Tail
Tags: Fairy Tail, fairy tail 2 episode 22, fairy tail 2 episode 23, fairy tail anime blog, fairy tail anime screencaps, fairy tail episode review, fairy tail episode summary, fairy tail images, fairy tail series 2, ultear's death, Ultear's past