import numpy as np import pandas as pd from typing import Tuple import time from tqdm import tqdm from utils import convert_hex_to_int, ROOT_DIR, TMP_DIR from get_mech_info import read_all_trades_profitability from tools_metrics import prepare_tools from predict_kpis import compute_markets_agent_roi def determine_market_status(row): current_answer = row["currentAnswer"] """Determine the market status of a trade.""" if (current_answer is np.nan or current_answer is None) and time.time() >= int( row["openingTimestamp"] ): return "pending" if current_answer is np.nan or current_answer is None: return "open" if row["fpmm.isPendingArbitration"]: return "arbitrating" if row["fpmm.answerFinalizedTimestamp"] and time.time() < int( row["fpmm.answerFinalizedTimestamp"] ): return "finalizing" return "closed" def compute_market_metrics(all_trades: pd.DataFrame): print("Preparing dataset") all_trades.rename( columns={ "fpmm.currentAnswer": "currentAnswer", "fpmm.openingTimestamp": "openingTimestamp", "fpmm.id": "market_id", }, inplace=True, ) all_trades["currentAnswer"] = all_trades["currentAnswer"].apply( lambda x: convert_hex_to_int(x) ) all_trades["market_status"] = all_trades.apply( lambda x: determine_market_status(x), axis=1 ) closed_trades = all_trades.loc[all_trades["market_status"] == "closed"] print("Computing metrics") nr_trades = ( closed_trades.groupby("market_id")["id"].count().reset_index(name="nr_trades") ) total_traders = ( closed_trades.groupby("market_id")["trader_address"] .nunique() .reset_index(name="total_traders") ) final_dataset = nr_trades.merge(total_traders, on="market_id") markets = closed_trades[ ["market_id", "title", "market_creator", "openingTimestamp"] ] markets.drop_duplicates("market_id", inplace=True) market_metrics = markets.merge(final_dataset, on="market_id") print("Saving dataset") market_metrics.to_parquet(ROOT_DIR / "closed_market_metrics.parquet", index=False) print(market_metrics.head()) def prepare_traders_data() -> Tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame]: """Prepare traders data for weekly metrics computation.""" trades = read_all_trades_profitability() trades["creation_timestamp"] = pd.to_datetime(trades["creation_timestamp"]) trades["creation_timestamp"] = trades["creation_timestamp"].dt.tz_convert("UTC") trades["creation_date"] = trades["creation_timestamp"].dt.date trades = trades.sort_values(by="creation_timestamp", ascending=True) unique_addresses = trades.trader_address.unique() closed_markets = trades.title.unique() # filter the mech requests done these traders on closed markets try: tools_df = pd.read_parquet(TMP_DIR / "tools.parquet") tools_df = prepare_tools(tools_df, total_included=False) except Exception as e: print(f"Error reading tools parquet file {e}") return None traders_activity = tools_df[ tools_df["trader_address"].isin(unique_addresses) ].copy() traders_activity = traders_activity[traders_activity["title"].isin(closed_markets)] traders_activity["request_time"] = pd.to_datetime( traders_activity["request_time"], utc=True ) traders_activity = traders_activity.sort_values(by="request_time", ascending=True) traders_activity["request_date"] = traders_activity["request_time"].dt.date return trades, traders_activity def compute_weekly_trader_metrics(): trades_data, mechs_data = prepare_traders_data() trades_data["week_start"] = ( trades_data["creation_timestamp"].dt.to_period("W").dt.start_time ) grouped_trades = trades_data.groupby("week_start") contents = [] traders = trades_data.trader_address.unique() # Iterate through the groups (each group represents a week) for week, week_data in grouped_trades: print(f"Week: {week}") # Print the week identifier # for all closed markets closed_markets = week_data.title.unique() for trader in tqdm( traders, total=len(traders), desc="Computing metrics for traders" ): # compute all trades done by the trader on those markets, no matter from which week trader_trades = trades_data[ (trades_data["trader_address"] == trader) & (trades_data["title"].isin(closed_markets)) ] if len(trader_trades) == 0: # no trading activity continue # filter mech requests done by the trader on those markets trader_mech_calls = mechs_data.loc[ (mechs_data["trader_address"] == trader) & (mechs_data["title"].isin(closed_markets)) ] # compute the ROI for that market, that trader and that week try: # Convert the dictionary to DataFrame before appending roi_dict = compute_markets_agent_roi( trader_trades, trader_mech_calls, trader, "week", week ) contents.append(pd.DataFrame([roi_dict])) except ValueError as e: print(f"Skipping ROI calculation: {e}") continue traders_weekly_metrics = pd.concat(contents, ignore_index=True) return traders_weekly_metrics if __name__ == "__main__": all_trades = pd.read_parquet(TMP_DIR / "fpmmTrades.parquet") compute_market_metrics(all_trades) weekly_metrics_df = compute_weekly_trader_metrics() weekly_metrics_df.to_parquet( ROOT_DIR / "traders_weekly_metrics.parquet", index=False )