"""The label-noise model: per-stratum Beta posteriors for the perturbation. The uncertainty interval a benchmark run reports comes from perturbing the released labels. Two error rates drive it, both estimated per confidence stratum from the audit: ``alpha`` (a marked node the audit rejected -- a false positive to remove) and ``gamma`` (an unmarked node the audit added -- an omission to introduce). Each is a Beta(1+a, 1+b) posterior over its rate; a draw samples a rate per stratum and flips labels by it. ``noise.json`` carries both rates, produced by the pipeline's ``scripts/noise.py`` from the same audit assets the evaluation notebook uses: {"bins": 3, "alpha": {"0": [a, b], "1": [a, b], "2": [a, b]}, "gamma": {"0": [a, b], "1": [a, b], "2": [a, b]}} """ from __future__ import annotations import json from pathlib import Path import numpy as np class NoiseModel: """Per-stratum Beta posteriors for the node-level alpha and gamma rates.""" def __init__(self, bins: int, alpha: dict[int, tuple[int, int]], gamma: dict[int, tuple[int, int]]) -> None: self._bins = bins self._strata = list(range(bins)) self._alpha = {int(k): tuple(v) for k, v in alpha.items()} self._gamma = {int(k): tuple(v) for k, v in gamma.items()} @classmethod def load(cls, path: str | Path) -> "NoiseModel": """Load the noise model from a noise.json at *path*.""" document = json.loads(Path(path).read_text(encoding="utf-8")) bins = int(document.get("bins", 3)) return cls(bins, document["alpha"], document["gamma"]) @property def bins(self) -> int: """The number of confidence strata.""" return self._bins def index(self) -> dict[int, int]: """Map a stratum id to its row in the ``alpha_beta``/``gamma_beta`` arrays.""" return {stratum: row for row, stratum in enumerate(self._strata)} def alpha_beta(self) -> np.ndarray: """The (strata, 2) Beta(1+a, 1+b) parameters of the alpha rate per stratum.""" return self._beta(self._alpha) def gamma_beta(self) -> np.ndarray: """The (strata, 2) Beta(1+a, 1+b) parameters of the gamma rate per stratum.""" return self._beta(self._gamma) def _beta(self, counts: dict[int, tuple[int, int]]) -> np.ndarray: rows = [] for stratum in self._strata: a, b = counts.get(stratum, (0, 0)) rows.append((1 + a, 1 + b)) return np.asarray(rows, dtype=float)