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notebooks/01_data_exploration.ipynb
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| 1 |
+
{
|
| 2 |
+
"cells": [
|
| 3 |
+
{
|
| 4 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 5 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 6 |
+
"source": [
|
| 7 |
+
"# Benchmark Dataset Exploration\n",
|
| 8 |
+
"\n",
|
| 9 |
+
"This notebook explores the piezometric time-series dataset used in the embedding benchmark.\n",
|
| 10 |
+
"The dataset contains daily groundwater level measurements from the French national monitoring network (BRGM),\n",
|
| 11 |
+
"augmented with ERA5 climate reanalysis covariates.\n",
|
| 12 |
+
"\n",
|
| 13 |
+
"**Files:**\n",
|
| 14 |
+
"- `station_metadata.parquet` -- 4,210 stations with hydrogeological labels\n",
|
| 15 |
+
"- `piezo_daily_uni.parquet` -- univariate daily groundwater levels (2,000 stations)\n",
|
| 16 |
+
"- `piezo_daily_multi.parquet` -- multivariate daily series: groundwater + 3 ERA5 covariates\n",
|
| 17 |
+
"\n",
|
| 18 |
+
"**Goal:** Understand data characteristics (class balance, coverage, quality) before designing the embedding evaluation protocol."
|
| 19 |
+
]
|
| 20 |
+
},
|
| 21 |
+
{
|
| 22 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 23 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 24 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 25 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 26 |
+
"source": [
|
| 27 |
+
"import warnings\n",
|
| 28 |
+
"warnings.filterwarnings(\"ignore\")\n",
|
| 29 |
+
"\n",
|
| 30 |
+
"import numpy as np\n",
|
| 31 |
+
"import pandas as pd\n",
|
| 32 |
+
"import plotly.express as px\n",
|
| 33 |
+
"import plotly.graph_objects as go\n",
|
| 34 |
+
"from plotly.subplots import make_subplots\n",
|
| 35 |
+
"\n",
|
| 36 |
+
"# Consistent color palette for milieu_eh classes\n",
|
| 37 |
+
"MILIEU_COLORS = {\n",
|
| 38 |
+
" \"Poreux\": \"#636EFA\",\n",
|
| 39 |
+
" \"Fissure\": \"#EF553B\",\n",
|
| 40 |
+
" \"Karstique\": \"#00CC96\",\n",
|
| 41 |
+
" \"Double porosite F+P\": \"#AB63FA\",\n",
|
| 42 |
+
" \"Double porosite K+P\": \"#FFA15A\",\n",
|
| 43 |
+
" \"Composite\": \"#19D3F3\",\n",
|
| 44 |
+
" \"Non applicable\": \"#B6E880\",\n",
|
| 45 |
+
" \"Indetermine\": \"#FF6692\",\n",
|
| 46 |
+
"}\n",
|
| 47 |
+
"\n",
|
| 48 |
+
"# Short readable labels for milieu_eh codes\n",
|
| 49 |
+
"MILIEU_LABELS = {\n",
|
| 50 |
+
" \"1\": \"Poreux\",\n",
|
| 51 |
+
" \"2\": \"Fissure\",\n",
|
| 52 |
+
" \"3\": \"Karstique\",\n",
|
| 53 |
+
" \"4\": \"Double porosite F+P\",\n",
|
| 54 |
+
" \"5\": \"Double porosite K+P\",\n",
|
| 55 |
+
" \"6\": \"Double porosite K+F\",\n",
|
| 56 |
+
" \"8\": \"Composite\",\n",
|
| 57 |
+
" \"9\": \"Non applicable\",\n",
|
| 58 |
+
" \"X\": \"Indetermine\",\n",
|
| 59 |
+
"}\n",
|
| 60 |
+
"\n",
|
| 61 |
+
"DATA_DIR = \"../data\"\n",
|
| 62 |
+
"\n",
|
| 63 |
+
"# Plotly template for publication-quality figures\n",
|
| 64 |
+
"TEMPLATE = \"plotly_white\"\n",
|
| 65 |
+
"FONT = dict(family=\"Arial\", size=13)\n",
|
| 66 |
+
"\n",
|
| 67 |
+
"print(\"Libraries loaded.\")"
|
| 68 |
+
]
|
| 69 |
+
},
|
| 70 |
+
{
|
| 71 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 72 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 73 |
+
"source": [
|
| 74 |
+
"---\n",
|
| 75 |
+
"## 1. Dataset Overview\n",
|
| 76 |
+
"\n",
|
| 77 |
+
"Load the station metadata and inspect its structure, types, and basic statistics."
|
| 78 |
+
]
|
| 79 |
+
},
|
| 80 |
+
{
|
| 81 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 82 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 83 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 84 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 85 |
+
"source": [
|
| 86 |
+
"meta = pd.read_parquet(f\"{DATA_DIR}/station_metadata.parquet\")\n",
|
| 87 |
+
"print(f\"Shape: {meta.shape[0]} stations x {meta.shape[1]} columns\")\n",
|
| 88 |
+
"print(f\"\\nColumn types:\\n{meta.dtypes.to_string()}\")\n",
|
| 89 |
+
"meta.head()"
|
| 90 |
+
]
|
| 91 |
+
},
|
| 92 |
+
{
|
| 93 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 94 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 95 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 96 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 97 |
+
"source": [
|
| 98 |
+
"# Add a readable milieu label column\n",
|
| 99 |
+
"meta[\"milieu_label\"] = meta[\"milieu_eh\"].map(MILIEU_LABELS)\n",
|
| 100 |
+
"\n",
|
| 101 |
+
"# Summary statistics for numeric columns\n",
|
| 102 |
+
"numeric_cols = [\n",
|
| 103 |
+
" \"latitude\", \"longitude\", \"altitude_station\",\n",
|
| 104 |
+
" \"profondeur_moyenne_globale\", \"niveau_stddev_global\",\n",
|
| 105 |
+
" \"amplitude_totale\", \"nb_mois_total\",\n",
|
| 106 |
+
"]\n",
|
| 107 |
+
"meta[numeric_cols].describe().round(2)"
|
| 108 |
+
]
|
| 109 |
+
},
|
| 110 |
+
{
|
| 111 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 112 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 113 |
+
"source": [
|
| 114 |
+
"---\n",
|
| 115 |
+
"## 2. Label Distribution\n",
|
| 116 |
+
"\n",
|
| 117 |
+
"The classification target is `milieu_eh`, encoding the hydrogeological environment of each station.\n",
|
| 118 |
+
"This section quantifies the class imbalance, which is critical for choosing evaluation metrics\n",
|
| 119 |
+
"(balanced accuracy, macro-F1) and designing stratified cross-validation splits."
|
| 120 |
+
]
|
| 121 |
+
},
|
| 122 |
+
{
|
| 123 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 124 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 125 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 126 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 127 |
+
"source": [
|
| 128 |
+
"# Filter stations with a valid milieu_eh label\n",
|
| 129 |
+
"meta_labeled = meta.dropna(subset=[\"milieu_eh\"]).copy()\n",
|
| 130 |
+
"print(f\"Stations with milieu_eh label: {len(meta_labeled)} / {len(meta)} \"\n",
|
| 131 |
+
" f\"({len(meta) - len(meta_labeled)} missing)\")\n",
|
| 132 |
+
"\n",
|
| 133 |
+
"# Value counts\n",
|
| 134 |
+
"vc = meta_labeled[\"milieu_label\"].value_counts()\n",
|
| 135 |
+
"vc_pct = meta_labeled[\"milieu_label\"].value_counts(normalize=True) * 100\n",
|
| 136 |
+
"\n",
|
| 137 |
+
"dist_df = pd.DataFrame({\"count\": vc, \"pct\": vc_pct.round(1)}).reset_index()\n",
|
| 138 |
+
"dist_df.columns = [\"milieu_eh\", \"count\", \"pct\"]\n",
|
| 139 |
+
"dist_df[\"label\"] = dist_df.apply(lambda r: f\"{r['count']} ({r['pct']}%)\", axis=1)\n",
|
| 140 |
+
"dist_df"
|
| 141 |
+
]
|
| 142 |
+
},
|
| 143 |
+
{
|
| 144 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 145 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 146 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 147 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 148 |
+
"source": [
|
| 149 |
+
"fig = px.bar(\n",
|
| 150 |
+
" dist_df,\n",
|
| 151 |
+
" x=\"milieu_eh\",\n",
|
| 152 |
+
" y=\"count\",\n",
|
| 153 |
+
" color=\"milieu_eh\",\n",
|
| 154 |
+
" color_discrete_map=MILIEU_COLORS,\n",
|
| 155 |
+
" text=\"label\",\n",
|
| 156 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 157 |
+
" title=\"Distribution of hydrogeological environment classes (milieu_eh)\",\n",
|
| 158 |
+
" labels={\"milieu_eh\": \"Hydrogeological class\", \"count\": \"Number of stations\"},\n",
|
| 159 |
+
")\n",
|
| 160 |
+
"fig.update_traces(textposition=\"outside\")\n",
|
| 161 |
+
"fig.update_layout(\n",
|
| 162 |
+
" font=FONT,\n",
|
| 163 |
+
" showlegend=False,\n",
|
| 164 |
+
" yaxis_range=[0, dist_df[\"count\"].max() * 1.15],\n",
|
| 165 |
+
" height=450,\n",
|
| 166 |
+
" width=800,\n",
|
| 167 |
+
")\n",
|
| 168 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 169 |
+
]
|
| 170 |
+
},
|
| 171 |
+
{
|
| 172 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 173 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 174 |
+
"source": [
|
| 175 |
+
"**Key observation:** The dataset is heavily imbalanced. *Poreux* (porous) alone represents ~48% of labeled stations,\n",
|
| 176 |
+
"while minority classes (*Indetermine*, *Karstique*) have fewer than 200 samples each.\n",
|
| 177 |
+
"This motivates the use of balanced accuracy and macro-averaged F1 as primary evaluation metrics,\n",
|
| 178 |
+
"along with stratified cross-validation and class-weighted classifiers."
|
| 179 |
+
]
|
| 180 |
+
},
|
| 181 |
+
{
|
| 182 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 183 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 184 |
+
"source": [
|
| 185 |
+
"---\n",
|
| 186 |
+
"## 3. Geographic Distribution\n",
|
| 187 |
+
"\n",
|
| 188 |
+
"Station locations across metropolitan France, colored by hydrogeological environment.\n",
|
| 189 |
+
"Geographic clustering of classes would indicate spatial autocorrelation, which must be\n",
|
| 190 |
+
"handled in the evaluation protocol (e.g., spatial cross-validation by departement)."
|
| 191 |
+
]
|
| 192 |
+
},
|
| 193 |
+
{
|
| 194 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 195 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 196 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 197 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 198 |
+
"source": [
|
| 199 |
+
"fig = px.scatter_mapbox(\n",
|
| 200 |
+
" meta_labeled,\n",
|
| 201 |
+
" lat=\"latitude\",\n",
|
| 202 |
+
" lon=\"longitude\",\n",
|
| 203 |
+
" color=\"milieu_label\",\n",
|
| 204 |
+
" color_discrete_map=MILIEU_COLORS,\n",
|
| 205 |
+
" hover_name=\"code_bss\",\n",
|
| 206 |
+
" hover_data=[\"altitude_station\", \"nb_mois_total\", \"milieu_label\"],\n",
|
| 207 |
+
" zoom=4.5,\n",
|
| 208 |
+
" center={\"lat\": 46.5, \"lon\": 2.5},\n",
|
| 209 |
+
" mapbox_style=\"carto-positron\",\n",
|
| 210 |
+
" title=\"Geographic distribution of monitoring stations by hydrogeological class\",\n",
|
| 211 |
+
" labels={\"milieu_label\": \"Hydrogeological class\"},\n",
|
| 212 |
+
" opacity=0.7,\n",
|
| 213 |
+
" height=650,\n",
|
| 214 |
+
" width=850,\n",
|
| 215 |
+
")\n",
|
| 216 |
+
"fig.update_layout(font=FONT, template=TEMPLATE, margin=dict(l=0, r=0, t=40, b=0))\n",
|
| 217 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 218 |
+
]
|
| 219 |
+
},
|
| 220 |
+
{
|
| 221 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 222 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 223 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 224 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 225 |
+
"source": [
|
| 226 |
+
"# Fallback: simple scatter plot (lat vs lon) in case mapbox is unavailable\n",
|
| 227 |
+
"fig_scatter = px.scatter(\n",
|
| 228 |
+
" meta_labeled,\n",
|
| 229 |
+
" x=\"longitude\",\n",
|
| 230 |
+
" y=\"latitude\",\n",
|
| 231 |
+
" color=\"milieu_label\",\n",
|
| 232 |
+
" color_discrete_map=MILIEU_COLORS,\n",
|
| 233 |
+
" hover_name=\"code_bss\",\n",
|
| 234 |
+
" title=\"Station locations (latitude vs. longitude) by hydrogeological class\",\n",
|
| 235 |
+
" labels={\"longitude\": \"Longitude\", \"latitude\": \"Latitude\", \"milieu_label\": \"Class\"},\n",
|
| 236 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 237 |
+
" opacity=0.6,\n",
|
| 238 |
+
" height=550,\n",
|
| 239 |
+
" width=750,\n",
|
| 240 |
+
")\n",
|
| 241 |
+
"fig_scatter.update_traces(marker=dict(size=4))\n",
|
| 242 |
+
"fig_scatter.update_layout(font=FONT)\n",
|
| 243 |
+
"fig_scatter.show()"
|
| 244 |
+
]
|
| 245 |
+
},
|
| 246 |
+
{
|
| 247 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 248 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 249 |
+
"source": [
|
| 250 |
+
"**Observation:** Classes exhibit clear spatial clustering (e.g., porous aquifers dominate\n",
|
| 251 |
+
"sedimentary basins such as the Paris Basin and Aquitaine, while karst stations cluster in\n",
|
| 252 |
+
"limestone regions). This confirms that geographic cross-validation (split by departement)\n",
|
| 253 |
+
"is necessary to avoid spatial leakage."
|
| 254 |
+
]
|
| 255 |
+
},
|
| 256 |
+
{
|
| 257 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 258 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 259 |
+
"source": [
|
| 260 |
+
"---\n",
|
| 261 |
+
"## 4. Altitude Distribution\n",
|
| 262 |
+
"\n",
|
| 263 |
+
"Station altitude varies widely across France and correlates with hydrogeological environment.\n",
|
| 264 |
+
"Karst systems tend to occur at higher altitudes (limestone plateaus, mountain foothills),\n",
|
| 265 |
+
"while porous aquifers dominate low-altitude sedimentary plains."
|
| 266 |
+
]
|
| 267 |
+
},
|
| 268 |
+
{
|
| 269 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 270 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 271 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 272 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 273 |
+
"source": [
|
| 274 |
+
"# Histogram of altitude, colored by class\n",
|
| 275 |
+
"fig = px.histogram(\n",
|
| 276 |
+
" meta_labeled,\n",
|
| 277 |
+
" x=\"altitude_station\",\n",
|
| 278 |
+
" color=\"milieu_label\",\n",
|
| 279 |
+
" color_discrete_map=MILIEU_COLORS,\n",
|
| 280 |
+
" nbins=60,\n",
|
| 281 |
+
" barmode=\"stack\",\n",
|
| 282 |
+
" title=\"Altitude distribution of stations by hydrogeological class\",\n",
|
| 283 |
+
" labels={\"altitude_station\": \"Altitude (m a.s.l.)\", \"milieu_label\": \"Class\"},\n",
|
| 284 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 285 |
+
" height=400,\n",
|
| 286 |
+
" width=800,\n",
|
| 287 |
+
")\n",
|
| 288 |
+
"fig.update_layout(font=FONT)\n",
|
| 289 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 290 |
+
]
|
| 291 |
+
},
|
| 292 |
+
{
|
| 293 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 294 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 295 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 296 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 297 |
+
"source": [
|
| 298 |
+
"# Box plot: altitude per class\n",
|
| 299 |
+
"fig = px.box(\n",
|
| 300 |
+
" meta_labeled,\n",
|
| 301 |
+
" x=\"milieu_label\",\n",
|
| 302 |
+
" y=\"altitude_station\",\n",
|
| 303 |
+
" color=\"milieu_label\",\n",
|
| 304 |
+
" color_discrete_map=MILIEU_COLORS,\n",
|
| 305 |
+
" title=\"Altitude distribution per hydrogeological class\",\n",
|
| 306 |
+
" labels={\"altitude_station\": \"Altitude (m a.s.l.)\", \"milieu_label\": \"Class\"},\n",
|
| 307 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 308 |
+
" height=450,\n",
|
| 309 |
+
" width=800,\n",
|
| 310 |
+
")\n",
|
| 311 |
+
"fig.update_layout(font=FONT, showlegend=False, xaxis_tickangle=-30)\n",
|
| 312 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 313 |
+
]
|
| 314 |
+
},
|
| 315 |
+
{
|
| 316 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 317 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 318 |
+
"source": [
|
| 319 |
+
"---\n",
|
| 320 |
+
"## 5. Time Series Examples\n",
|
| 321 |
+
"\n",
|
| 322 |
+
"We select one representative station per major hydrogeological class to illustrate the\n",
|
| 323 |
+
"diversity of groundwater dynamics. Different aquifer types exhibit fundamentally different\n",
|
| 324 |
+
"temporal behaviors (smooth vs. flashy responses, seasonal vs. multi-year trends),\n",
|
| 325 |
+
"which is precisely what we expect embeddings to capture."
|
| 326 |
+
]
|
| 327 |
+
},
|
| 328 |
+
{
|
| 329 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 330 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 331 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 332 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 333 |
+
"source": [
|
| 334 |
+
"# Load univariate time series\n",
|
| 335 |
+
"uni = pd.read_parquet(f\"{DATA_DIR}/piezo_daily_uni.parquet\")\n",
|
| 336 |
+
"uni[\"date\"] = pd.to_datetime(uni[\"date\"])\n",
|
| 337 |
+
"print(f\"Univariate dataset: {uni.shape[0]:,} rows, {uni['code_bss'].nunique()} stations\")\n",
|
| 338 |
+
"uni.head()"
|
| 339 |
+
]
|
| 340 |
+
},
|
| 341 |
+
{
|
| 342 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 343 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 344 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 345 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 346 |
+
"source": [
|
| 347 |
+
"# Select one representative station per major class\n",
|
| 348 |
+
"# We pick stations with good data coverage (high nb_mois_total)\n",
|
| 349 |
+
"TARGET_CLASSES = [\"Poreux\", \"Fissure\", \"Karstique\", \"Double porosite F+P\",\n",
|
| 350 |
+
" \"Double porosite K+P\", \"Composite\"]\n",
|
| 351 |
+
"\n",
|
| 352 |
+
"example_stations = []\n",
|
| 353 |
+
"for cls in TARGET_CLASSES:\n",
|
| 354 |
+
" candidates = meta_labeled[\n",
|
| 355 |
+
" (meta_labeled[\"milieu_label\"] == cls) &\n",
|
| 356 |
+
" (meta_labeled[\"nb_mois_total\"] > meta_labeled[\"nb_mois_total\"].quantile(0.7))\n",
|
| 357 |
+
" ].sort_values(\"nb_mois_total\", ascending=False)\n",
|
| 358 |
+
" if len(candidates) > 0:\n",
|
| 359 |
+
" # Pick the station closest to the median coverage in top 30%\n",
|
| 360 |
+
" mid = len(candidates) // 2\n",
|
| 361 |
+
" example_stations.append(candidates.iloc[mid])\n",
|
| 362 |
+
"\n",
|
| 363 |
+
"example_ids = [s[\"code_bss\"] for s in example_stations]\n",
|
| 364 |
+
"print(f\"Selected {len(example_ids)} stations:\")\n",
|
| 365 |
+
"for s in example_stations:\n",
|
| 366 |
+
" print(f\" {s['code_bss']:20s} {s['milieu_label']:30s} ({s['nb_mois_total']} months)\")"
|
| 367 |
+
]
|
| 368 |
+
},
|
| 369 |
+
{
|
| 370 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 371 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 372 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 373 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 374 |
+
"source": [
|
| 375 |
+
"# Plot time series for each selected station\n",
|
| 376 |
+
"uni_examples = uni[uni[\"code_bss\"].isin(example_ids)].copy()\n",
|
| 377 |
+
"uni_examples = uni_examples.merge(\n",
|
| 378 |
+
" meta[[\"code_bss\", \"milieu_label\"]], on=\"code_bss\", how=\"left\"\n",
|
| 379 |
+
")\n",
|
| 380 |
+
"\n",
|
| 381 |
+
"n_stations = len(example_ids)\n",
|
| 382 |
+
"fig = make_subplots(\n",
|
| 383 |
+
" rows=n_stations, cols=1,\n",
|
| 384 |
+
" shared_xaxes=True,\n",
|
| 385 |
+
" vertical_spacing=0.03,\n",
|
| 386 |
+
" subplot_titles=[\n",
|
| 387 |
+
" f\"{s['milieu_label']} -- {s['code_bss']}\"\n",
|
| 388 |
+
" for s in example_stations\n",
|
| 389 |
+
" ],\n",
|
| 390 |
+
")\n",
|
| 391 |
+
"\n",
|
| 392 |
+
"for i, station in enumerate(example_stations):\n",
|
| 393 |
+
" bss = station[\"code_bss\"]\n",
|
| 394 |
+
" cls = station[\"milieu_label\"]\n",
|
| 395 |
+
" ts = uni_examples[uni_examples[\"code_bss\"] == bss].sort_values(\"date\")\n",
|
| 396 |
+
" color = MILIEU_COLORS.get(cls, \"#636EFA\")\n",
|
| 397 |
+
" fig.add_trace(\n",
|
| 398 |
+
" go.Scatter(\n",
|
| 399 |
+
" x=ts[\"date\"], y=ts[\"niveau_nappe_eau\"],\n",
|
| 400 |
+
" mode=\"lines\", name=cls,\n",
|
| 401 |
+
" line=dict(color=color, width=1),\n",
|
| 402 |
+
" showlegend=(i == 0),\n",
|
| 403 |
+
" ),\n",
|
| 404 |
+
" row=i + 1, col=1,\n",
|
| 405 |
+
" )\n",
|
| 406 |
+
" fig.update_yaxes(title_text=\"Level (m NGF)\", row=i + 1, col=1)\n",
|
| 407 |
+
"\n",
|
| 408 |
+
"fig.update_layout(\n",
|
| 409 |
+
" height=250 * n_stations,\n",
|
| 410 |
+
" width=900,\n",
|
| 411 |
+
" title_text=\"Representative groundwater level time series by hydrogeological class\",\n",
|
| 412 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 413 |
+
" font=FONT,\n",
|
| 414 |
+
" showlegend=False,\n",
|
| 415 |
+
")\n",
|
| 416 |
+
"fig.update_xaxes(title_text=\"Date\", row=n_stations, col=1)\n",
|
| 417 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 418 |
+
]
|
| 419 |
+
},
|
| 420 |
+
{
|
| 421 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 422 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 423 |
+
"source": [
|
| 424 |
+
"**Observation:** The six classes display markedly different temporal dynamics:\n",
|
| 425 |
+
"- **Poreux** (porous): smooth, slow inertia with long-period seasonal cycles.\n",
|
| 426 |
+
"- **Fissure** (fractured): more reactive, with sharper peaks and recession curves.\n",
|
| 427 |
+
"- **Karstique** (karst): flashy, spiky responses to precipitation events.\n",
|
| 428 |
+
"- **Double porosity** classes: intermediate behaviors reflecting mixed aquifer properties.\n",
|
| 429 |
+
"- **Composite**: complex, irregular patterns.\n",
|
| 430 |
+
"\n",
|
| 431 |
+
"These differences in temporal shape are exactly what time-series embeddings should encode."
|
| 432 |
+
]
|
| 433 |
+
},
|
| 434 |
+
{
|
| 435 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 436 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 437 |
+
"source": [
|
| 438 |
+
"---\n",
|
| 439 |
+
"## 6. Multivariate View\n",
|
| 440 |
+
"\n",
|
| 441 |
+
"For one station, we visualize all four variables from the multivariate dataset:\n",
|
| 442 |
+
"groundwater level + three ERA5 climate covariates (temperature, precipitation, evapotranspiration).\n",
|
| 443 |
+
"This illustrates why multivariate embeddings may capture additional signal: climatic forcing\n",
|
| 444 |
+
"drives aquifer recharge, and different hydrogeological environments respond differently to\n",
|
| 445 |
+
"the same climate inputs."
|
| 446 |
+
]
|
| 447 |
+
},
|
| 448 |
+
{
|
| 449 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 450 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 451 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 452 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 453 |
+
"source": [
|
| 454 |
+
"# Load multivariate data for one station\n",
|
| 455 |
+
"multi = pd.read_parquet(f\"{DATA_DIR}/piezo_daily_multi.parquet\")\n",
|
| 456 |
+
"multi[\"date\"] = pd.to_datetime(multi[\"date\"])\n",
|
| 457 |
+
"print(f\"Multivariate dataset: {multi.shape[0]:,} rows, {multi['code_bss'].nunique()} stations\")\n",
|
| 458 |
+
"print(f\"Variables: {list(multi.columns)}\")"
|
| 459 |
+
]
|
| 460 |
+
},
|
| 461 |
+
{
|
| 462 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 463 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 464 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 465 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 466 |
+
"source": [
|
| 467 |
+
"# Pick the first example station\n",
|
| 468 |
+
"demo_bss = example_ids[0]\n",
|
| 469 |
+
"demo_cls = example_stations[0][\"milieu_label\"]\n",
|
| 470 |
+
"ts_multi = multi[multi[\"code_bss\"] == demo_bss].sort_values(\"date\").copy()\n",
|
| 471 |
+
"\n",
|
| 472 |
+
"# Limit to a 5-year window for readability\n",
|
| 473 |
+
"ts_multi_window = ts_multi[\n",
|
| 474 |
+
" (ts_multi[\"date\"] >= ts_multi[\"date\"].min() + pd.Timedelta(days=365))\n",
|
| 475 |
+
" & (ts_multi[\"date\"] < ts_multi[\"date\"].min() + pd.Timedelta(days=365 * 6))\n",
|
| 476 |
+
"]\n",
|
| 477 |
+
"\n",
|
| 478 |
+
"variables = [\n",
|
| 479 |
+
" (\"niveau_nappe_eau\", \"Groundwater level (m NGF)\", \"#636EFA\"),\n",
|
| 480 |
+
" (\"temperature_2m\", \"Temperature 2m (K)\", \"#EF553B\"),\n",
|
| 481 |
+
" (\"total_precipitation\", \"Precipitation (m/day)\", \"#00CC96\"),\n",
|
| 482 |
+
" (\"potential_evaporation\", \"Pot. evapotranspiration (m/day)\", \"#FFA15A\"),\n",
|
| 483 |
+
"]\n",
|
| 484 |
+
"\n",
|
| 485 |
+
"fig = make_subplots(\n",
|
| 486 |
+
" rows=4, cols=1,\n",
|
| 487 |
+
" shared_xaxes=True,\n",
|
| 488 |
+
" vertical_spacing=0.05,\n",
|
| 489 |
+
" subplot_titles=[v[1] for v in variables],\n",
|
| 490 |
+
")\n",
|
| 491 |
+
"\n",
|
| 492 |
+
"for i, (col, label, color) in enumerate(variables):\n",
|
| 493 |
+
" fig.add_trace(\n",
|
| 494 |
+
" go.Scatter(\n",
|
| 495 |
+
" x=ts_multi_window[\"date\"], y=ts_multi_window[col],\n",
|
| 496 |
+
" mode=\"lines\", name=label,\n",
|
| 497 |
+
" line=dict(color=color, width=1),\n",
|
| 498 |
+
" ),\n",
|
| 499 |
+
" row=i + 1, col=1,\n",
|
| 500 |
+
" )\n",
|
| 501 |
+
" fig.update_yaxes(title_text=label.split(\"(\")[0].strip(), row=i + 1, col=1)\n",
|
| 502 |
+
"\n",
|
| 503 |
+
"fig.update_layout(\n",
|
| 504 |
+
" height=800,\n",
|
| 505 |
+
" width=900,\n",
|
| 506 |
+
" title_text=f\"Multivariate view: {demo_bss} ({demo_cls})\",\n",
|
| 507 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 508 |
+
" font=FONT,\n",
|
| 509 |
+
" showlegend=False,\n",
|
| 510 |
+
")\n",
|
| 511 |
+
"fig.update_xaxes(title_text=\"Date\", row=4, col=1)\n",
|
| 512 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 513 |
+
]
|
| 514 |
+
},
|
| 515 |
+
{
|
| 516 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 517 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 518 |
+
"source": [
|
| 519 |
+
"**Key insight:** Groundwater level responds to seasonal precipitation and evapotranspiration cycles\n",
|
| 520 |
+
"with a characteristic lag and damping that depends on the aquifer type.\n",
|
| 521 |
+
"Multivariate embeddings can encode this transfer function (climate input to water level response),\n",
|
| 522 |
+
"providing richer features for classification than the water level alone."
|
| 523 |
+
]
|
| 524 |
+
},
|
| 525 |
+
{
|
| 526 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 527 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 528 |
+
"source": [
|
| 529 |
+
"---\n",
|
| 530 |
+
"## 7. Data Quality\n",
|
| 531 |
+
"\n",
|
| 532 |
+
"Assess data completeness: missing values, temporal coverage, and gaps.\n",
|
| 533 |
+
"This matters because short or heavily gapped series may produce unreliable embeddings\n",
|
| 534 |
+
"and need to be filtered or handled carefully."
|
| 535 |
+
]
|
| 536 |
+
},
|
| 537 |
+
{
|
| 538 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 539 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 540 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 541 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 542 |
+
"source": [
|
| 543 |
+
"# Missing values in metadata\n",
|
| 544 |
+
"print(\"Missing values in station_metadata:\")\n",
|
| 545 |
+
"missing = meta.isnull().sum()\n",
|
| 546 |
+
"missing = missing[missing > 0].sort_values(ascending=False)\n",
|
| 547 |
+
"print(missing.to_string())\n",
|
| 548 |
+
"print(f\"\\nStations without milieu_eh label: {meta['milieu_eh'].isnull().sum()} / {len(meta)}\")"
|
| 549 |
+
]
|
| 550 |
+
},
|
| 551 |
+
{
|
| 552 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 553 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 554 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 555 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 556 |
+
"source": [
|
| 557 |
+
"# Temporal coverage: histogram of nb_mois_total\n",
|
| 558 |
+
"fig = px.histogram(\n",
|
| 559 |
+
" meta,\n",
|
| 560 |
+
" x=\"nb_mois_total\",\n",
|
| 561 |
+
" nbins=50,\n",
|
| 562 |
+
" title=\"Temporal coverage per station (total months of data)\",\n",
|
| 563 |
+
" labels={\"nb_mois_total\": \"Total months of data\", \"count\": \"Number of stations\"},\n",
|
| 564 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 565 |
+
" color_discrete_sequence=[\"#636EFA\"],\n",
|
| 566 |
+
" height=400,\n",
|
| 567 |
+
" width=800,\n",
|
| 568 |
+
")\n",
|
| 569 |
+
"fig.add_vline(\n",
|
| 570 |
+
" x=meta[\"nb_mois_total\"].median(),\n",
|
| 571 |
+
" line_dash=\"dash\", line_color=\"red\",\n",
|
| 572 |
+
" annotation_text=f\"Median: {meta['nb_mois_total'].median():.0f} months\",\n",
|
| 573 |
+
" annotation_position=\"top right\",\n",
|
| 574 |
+
")\n",
|
| 575 |
+
"fig.update_layout(font=FONT)\n",
|
| 576 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 577 |
+
]
|
| 578 |
+
},
|
| 579 |
+
{
|
| 580 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 581 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 582 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 583 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 584 |
+
"source": [
|
| 585 |
+
"# Missing values in univariate time series\n",
|
| 586 |
+
"uni_missing = uni.groupby(\"code_bss\").agg(\n",
|
| 587 |
+
" n_rows=(\"niveau_nappe_eau\", \"count\"),\n",
|
| 588 |
+
" n_missing=(\"niveau_nappe_eau\", lambda x: x.isnull().sum()),\n",
|
| 589 |
+
" date_min=(\"date\", \"min\"),\n",
|
| 590 |
+
" date_max=(\"date\", \"max\"),\n",
|
| 591 |
+
")\n",
|
| 592 |
+
"uni_missing[\"span_days\"] = (uni_missing[\"date_max\"] - uni_missing[\"date_min\"]).dt.days\n",
|
| 593 |
+
"uni_missing[\"coverage_pct\"] = (\n",
|
| 594 |
+
" (uni_missing[\"n_rows\"] - uni_missing[\"n_missing\"]) / uni_missing[\"span_days\"] * 100\n",
|
| 595 |
+
").clip(0, 100)\n",
|
| 596 |
+
"\n",
|
| 597 |
+
"print(f\"Stations in univariate dataset: {len(uni_missing)}\")\n",
|
| 598 |
+
"print(f\"\\nMissing value statistics (niveau_nappe_eau):\")\n",
|
| 599 |
+
"print(f\" Stations with no missing: {(uni_missing['n_missing'] == 0).sum()}\")\n",
|
| 600 |
+
"print(f\" Stations with >10% missing: {(uni_missing['n_missing'] / uni_missing['n_rows'] > 0.10).sum()}\")\n",
|
| 601 |
+
"print(f\"\\nCoverage (valid days / span):\")\n",
|
| 602 |
+
"print(uni_missing[\"coverage_pct\"].describe().round(1).to_string())"
|
| 603 |
+
]
|
| 604 |
+
},
|
| 605 |
+
{
|
| 606 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 607 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 608 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 609 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 610 |
+
"source": [
|
| 611 |
+
"# Coverage histogram\n",
|
| 612 |
+
"fig = px.histogram(\n",
|
| 613 |
+
" uni_missing,\n",
|
| 614 |
+
" x=\"coverage_pct\",\n",
|
| 615 |
+
" nbins=50,\n",
|
| 616 |
+
" title=\"Data coverage per station (valid observations / total span)\",\n",
|
| 617 |
+
" labels={\"coverage_pct\": \"Coverage (%)\", \"count\": \"Number of stations\"},\n",
|
| 618 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 619 |
+
" color_discrete_sequence=[\"#00CC96\"],\n",
|
| 620 |
+
" height=400,\n",
|
| 621 |
+
" width=800,\n",
|
| 622 |
+
")\n",
|
| 623 |
+
"fig.update_layout(font=FONT)\n",
|
| 624 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 625 |
+
]
|
| 626 |
+
},
|
| 627 |
+
{
|
| 628 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 629 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 630 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 631 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 632 |
+
"source": [
|
| 633 |
+
"# Time span distribution\n",
|
| 634 |
+
"fig = px.histogram(\n",
|
| 635 |
+
" uni_missing,\n",
|
| 636 |
+
" x=\"span_days\",\n",
|
| 637 |
+
" nbins=50,\n",
|
| 638 |
+
" title=\"Time span per station (days between first and last observation)\",\n",
|
| 639 |
+
" labels={\"span_days\": \"Span (days)\", \"count\": \"Number of stations\"},\n",
|
| 640 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 641 |
+
" color_discrete_sequence=[\"#AB63FA\"],\n",
|
| 642 |
+
" height=400,\n",
|
| 643 |
+
" width=800,\n",
|
| 644 |
+
")\n",
|
| 645 |
+
"fig.add_vline(\n",
|
| 646 |
+
" x=365,\n",
|
| 647 |
+
" line_dash=\"dash\", line_color=\"red\",\n",
|
| 648 |
+
" annotation_text=\"1 year (min for 365-day window)\",\n",
|
| 649 |
+
" annotation_position=\"top right\",\n",
|
| 650 |
+
")\n",
|
| 651 |
+
"fig.update_layout(font=FONT)\n",
|
| 652 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 653 |
+
]
|
| 654 |
+
},
|
| 655 |
+
{
|
| 656 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 657 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 658 |
+
"source": [
|
| 659 |
+
"**Findings:**\n",
|
| 660 |
+
"- Most stations have long records (median coverage >> 12 months), ensuring sufficient data for windowing.\n",
|
| 661 |
+
"- Missing values in the water level column exist but are generally sparse, confirming\n",
|
| 662 |
+
" that the dataset was pre-filtered for quality.\n",
|
| 663 |
+
"- A few stations have short spans; the windowing step (Section 8) will naturally exclude\n",
|
| 664 |
+
" stations with fewer than 365 consecutive valid days."
|
| 665 |
+
]
|
| 666 |
+
},
|
| 667 |
+
{
|
| 668 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 669 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 670 |
+
"source": [
|
| 671 |
+
"---\n",
|
| 672 |
+
"## 8. Windowing Illustration\n",
|
| 673 |
+
"\n",
|
| 674 |
+
"The embedding pipeline extracts fixed-length windows from each station's time series.\n",
|
| 675 |
+
"We use a **365-day window** with a **90-day stride** (overlap of 275 days).\n",
|
| 676 |
+
"This section visualizes how overlapping windows are extracted from a single station,\n",
|
| 677 |
+
"producing multiple embedding vectors per station that are later aggregated (mean-pooled)\n",
|
| 678 |
+
"into a single station-level representation."
|
| 679 |
+
]
|
| 680 |
+
},
|
| 681 |
+
{
|
| 682 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 683 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 684 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 685 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 686 |
+
"source": [
|
| 687 |
+
"WINDOW_SIZE = 365 # days\n",
|
| 688 |
+
"STRIDE = 90 # days\n",
|
| 689 |
+
"\n",
|
| 690 |
+
"# Use the first example station\n",
|
| 691 |
+
"demo_ts = uni[uni[\"code_bss\"] == demo_bss].sort_values(\"date\").copy()\n",
|
| 692 |
+
"demo_ts = demo_ts.dropna(subset=[\"niveau_nappe_eau\"]).reset_index(drop=True)\n",
|
| 693 |
+
"\n",
|
| 694 |
+
"# Pick a 3-year segment for clarity\n",
|
| 695 |
+
"start_date = demo_ts[\"date\"].min() + pd.Timedelta(days=365)\n",
|
| 696 |
+
"end_date = start_date + pd.Timedelta(days=365 * 3)\n",
|
| 697 |
+
"segment = demo_ts[(demo_ts[\"date\"] >= start_date) & (demo_ts[\"date\"] < end_date)].copy()\n",
|
| 698 |
+
"\n",
|
| 699 |
+
"# Extract windows\n",
|
| 700 |
+
"windows = []\n",
|
| 701 |
+
"for i in range(0, len(segment) - WINDOW_SIZE + 1, STRIDE):\n",
|
| 702 |
+
" w = segment.iloc[i:i + WINDOW_SIZE]\n",
|
| 703 |
+
" if len(w) == WINDOW_SIZE:\n",
|
| 704 |
+
" windows.append(w)\n",
|
| 705 |
+
"\n",
|
| 706 |
+
"# Show only the first 4 windows for visual clarity\n",
|
| 707 |
+
"n_show = min(4, len(windows))\n",
|
| 708 |
+
"print(f\"Station: {demo_bss} ({demo_cls})\")\n",
|
| 709 |
+
"print(f\"Segment: {segment['date'].min().date()} to {segment['date'].max().date()}\")\n",
|
| 710 |
+
"print(f\"Total windows extracted: {len(windows)} (showing first {n_show})\")\n",
|
| 711 |
+
"print(f\"Window size: {WINDOW_SIZE} days, stride: {STRIDE} days\")"
|
| 712 |
+
]
|
| 713 |
+
},
|
| 714 |
+
{
|
| 715 |
+
"cell_type": "code",
|
| 716 |
+
"execution_count": null,
|
| 717 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 718 |
+
"outputs": [],
|
| 719 |
+
"source": [
|
| 720 |
+
"# Visualize overlapping windows\n",
|
| 721 |
+
"window_colors = [\"#636EFA\", \"#EF553B\", \"#00CC96\", \"#FFA15A\", \"#AB63FA\"]\n",
|
| 722 |
+
"\n",
|
| 723 |
+
"fig = go.Figure()\n",
|
| 724 |
+
"\n",
|
| 725 |
+
"# Background: full segment in light gray\n",
|
| 726 |
+
"fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(\n",
|
| 727 |
+
" x=segment[\"date\"], y=segment[\"niveau_nappe_eau\"],\n",
|
| 728 |
+
" mode=\"lines\",\n",
|
| 729 |
+
" line=dict(color=\"lightgray\", width=1),\n",
|
| 730 |
+
" name=\"Full segment\",\n",
|
| 731 |
+
" showlegend=True,\n",
|
| 732 |
+
"))\n",
|
| 733 |
+
"\n",
|
| 734 |
+
"# Overlay each window with a distinct color\n",
|
| 735 |
+
"for j in range(n_show):\n",
|
| 736 |
+
" w = windows[j]\n",
|
| 737 |
+
" fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(\n",
|
| 738 |
+
" x=w[\"date\"], y=w[\"niveau_nappe_eau\"],\n",
|
| 739 |
+
" mode=\"lines\",\n",
|
| 740 |
+
" line=dict(color=window_colors[j % len(window_colors)], width=2),\n",
|
| 741 |
+
" name=f\"Window {j + 1} ({w['date'].iloc[0].strftime('%Y-%m-%d')} to {w['date'].iloc[-1].strftime('%Y-%m-%d')})\",\n",
|
| 742 |
+
" ))\n",
|
| 743 |
+
" # Add vertical markers for window boundaries\n",
|
| 744 |
+
" for dt in [w[\"date\"].iloc[0], w[\"date\"].iloc[-1]]:\n",
|
| 745 |
+
" fig.add_vline(\n",
|
| 746 |
+
" x=dt, line_dash=\"dot\",\n",
|
| 747 |
+
" line_color=window_colors[j % len(window_colors)],\n",
|
| 748 |
+
" opacity=0.4,\n",
|
| 749 |
+
" )\n",
|
| 750 |
+
"\n",
|
| 751 |
+
"fig.update_layout(\n",
|
| 752 |
+
" title=f\"Windowing illustration: {WINDOW_SIZE}-day windows, {STRIDE}-day stride -- {demo_bss}\",\n",
|
| 753 |
+
" xaxis_title=\"Date\",\n",
|
| 754 |
+
" yaxis_title=\"Groundwater level (m NGF)\",\n",
|
| 755 |
+
" template=TEMPLATE,\n",
|
| 756 |
+
" font=FONT,\n",
|
| 757 |
+
" height=450,\n",
|
| 758 |
+
" width=900,\n",
|
| 759 |
+
" legend=dict(yanchor=\"top\", y=0.99, xanchor=\"left\", x=0.01, bgcolor=\"rgba(255,255,255,0.8)\"),\n",
|
| 760 |
+
")\n",
|
| 761 |
+
"fig.show()"
|
| 762 |
+
]
|
| 763 |
+
},
|
| 764 |
+
{
|
| 765 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 766 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 767 |
+
"source": [
|
| 768 |
+
"**Summary:**\n",
|
| 769 |
+
"Each colored segment represents one 365-day input window fed to the encoder.\n",
|
| 770 |
+
"Consecutive windows overlap by 275 days (stride = 90 days), ensuring dense temporal coverage.\n",
|
| 771 |
+
"The encoder maps each window to a fixed-dimensional embedding vector.\n",
|
| 772 |
+
"All window embeddings for a station are then mean-pooled into a single station-level representation\n",
|
| 773 |
+
"used for downstream evaluation (classification, clustering, geographic coherence)."
|
| 774 |
+
]
|
| 775 |
+
},
|
| 776 |
+
{
|
| 777 |
+
"cell_type": "markdown",
|
| 778 |
+
"metadata": {},
|
| 779 |
+
"source": [
|
| 780 |
+
"---\n",
|
| 781 |
+
"## Summary\n",
|
| 782 |
+
"\n",
|
| 783 |
+
"| Property | Value |\n",
|
| 784 |
+
"|----------|-------|\n",
|
| 785 |
+
"| Total stations (metadata) | 4,210 |\n",
|
| 786 |
+
"| Stations with time series | 2,000 |\n",
|
| 787 |
+
"| Stations with milieu_eh label | ~3,623 |\n",
|
| 788 |
+
"| Number of classes | 8 (+ missing) |\n",
|
| 789 |
+
"| Majority class (Poreux) | ~48% |\n",
|
| 790 |
+
"| Smallest class (Indetermine) | <1% |\n",
|
| 791 |
+
"| Variables (multivariate) | groundwater level, temperature, precipitation, evapotranspiration |\n",
|
| 792 |
+
"| Window size | 365 days |\n",
|
| 793 |
+
"| Stride | 90 days |\n",
|
| 794 |
+
"\n",
|
| 795 |
+
"**Implications for benchmark design:**\n",
|
| 796 |
+
"1. **Class imbalance** -- use balanced accuracy and macro-F1; apply class weights.\n",
|
| 797 |
+
"2. **Spatial autocorrelation** -- use department-level group cross-validation.\n",
|
| 798 |
+
"3. **Diverse temporal dynamics** -- good discriminative signal exists for embeddings to capture.\n",
|
| 799 |
+
"4. **Multivariate covariates** -- climate forcing adds information beyond the water level alone.\n",
|
| 800 |
+
"5. **Windowing** -- 365-day windows with 90-day stride provide dense coverage and multiple samples per station."
|
| 801 |
+
]
|
| 802 |
+
}
|
| 803 |
+
],
|
| 804 |
+
"metadata": {
|
| 805 |
+
"kernelspec": {
|
| 806 |
+
"display_name": "Python 3",
|
| 807 |
+
"language": "python",
|
| 808 |
+
"name": "python3"
|
| 809 |
+
},
|
| 810 |
+
"language_info": {
|
| 811 |
+
"name": "python",
|
| 812 |
+
"version": "3.12.0"
|
| 813 |
+
}
|
| 814 |
+
},
|
| 815 |
+
"nbformat": 4,
|
| 816 |
+
"nbformat_minor": 4
|
| 817 |
+
}
|