Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: PEP (PepsiCo) at $145.12. 1-Hour chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. Key support: $128.33. Key resistance: $163.78. ATR: neutral | MACD: bullish crossover, histogram expanding | Bollinger Bands: price at lower band (potential bounce). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Symmetrical Triangle. BIAS: Neutral — wait for breakout direction. ENTRY: $145.12 — Wait for decisive break of either support or resistance with volume. STOP: $137.86 — Place stop on opposite side of the breakout. TARGET: $159.63 (R:R = 2.0:1) — Target measured move equal to the widest point of the triangle. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: JPM Q1 FY2024: Revenue $75.0B (+16.2% YoY, -2.2% vs consensus). EPS $19.85 (+25.4% YoY, -17.2% vs consensus). Gross margin 60.0% vs 55.3% prior year. Operating margin 10.7%. FCF $13.1B. CEO: 'We expect headwinds to persist through at least the next two quarters.' Guidance: Next quarter revenue $76.9B, above consensus $73.8B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bullish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 8/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 16.2% is moderate but sustainable. (2) FCF of $13.1B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Any deceleration in coming quarters will trigger outsized selloff from elevated expectations. TRADE: Maintain long. Raise stop to breakeven after initial post-earnings move settles.


Instruction: Synthesize these multi-factor trading signals into an actionable trade recommendation. Provide OVERALL SIGNAL, CONVICTION (1-10), TRADE details, and RISK MANAGEMENT plan.

Input: MA (Mastercard) at $31.52. Fundamental: MA trades at 25.8x P/E, 40% discount to sector. Revenue growing 31% YoY. FCF yield 8.5%. Technical: Double Bottom pattern on daily chart. OBV: bearish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume contracting. Sentiment: Social media mentions up 322% this week. News sentiment negative. Options flow: unusual call buying detected. Catalyst: No near-term catalyst identified.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LONG. CONVICTION: 9/10. TRADE: Enter long at $31.31 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $29.82. Target: $37.12. R:R = 3.9:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 3% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Enter with defined-risk options (spread) to limit downside to premium paid.


Instruction: Analyze this options scenario and suggest an appropriate strategy. Provide STRATEGY, RATIONALE, STRUCTURE, and RISK/REWARD profile.

Input: PEP (PepsiCo) at $50.97. IV: 25.4% (IV Rank: 46). DTE: 7 days. Outlook: Looking to generate income on existing PEP long position of 600 shares at $50.97.

Output: STRATEGY: Covered Call (overwrite). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 46 makes buying options relatively cheap (debit strategies). The income outlook aligns with Covered Call (overwrite) structure. STRUCTURE: Sell 55.0 call against existing shares. MAX PROFIT: premium + appreciation to strike = ~$4.84. MAX LOSS: stock decline minus premium = risk below $50.21. BREAKEVEN: strike price + premium = $55.81.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: DOJ opens antitrust investigation into Starbucks's AI practices

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -4-12% (This is a material negative that analysts had not modeled.) TIMEFRAME: Sharp selloff at open, potential dead-cat bounce in 1 days.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: Initial Jobless Claims: Actual 344K vs Estimate 352K vs Prior 364K. 4-week moving average: 332K. Continuing claims: 1.77M. Fed last action: signaled a hawkish pause. Market pricing 0 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Negative — softer data raises caution. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Positive. USD: Mildly Negative. SECTOR ROTATION: Mild defensive tilt. Wait for confirmation before major rotation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Assess the investment implications of these earnings figures. Include SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, and detailed ANALYSIS.

Input: AFRM Q3 FY2025: Revenue $74.3B (+7.7% YoY, +7.9% vs consensus). EPS $3.4 (+28.2% YoY, +5.2% vs consensus). Gross margin 65.2% vs 64.0% prior year. Operating margin 55.8%. FCF $10.0B. CEO: 'We are seeing unprecedented demand across all segments.' Guidance: Next quarter revenue $77.1B, above consensus $77.5B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bullish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 8/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 7.7% is moderate but sustainable. (2) Gross margin of 65.2% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $10.0B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Valuation at 29.9x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: Initiate or add to long position. Target $450.97 over next 5 months.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: AFRM (Nvidia) at $387.42. Weekly chart shows a bear flag pattern forming. Key support: $333.57. Key resistance: $435.68. Stochastic Oscillator: bearish signal | MACD: bullish crossover, histogram expanding. Volume spike of 232% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Bear Flag. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $333.57 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $445.89 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $231.46 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: Assess the trading implications of this headline. Give DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE (percentage range), and TIMEFRAME for the expected move.

Input: Walmart faces Australia regulatory ban on key product line

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -2-4% (Sell-side will likely cut estimates and price targets in coming days.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 1 weeks.


Instruction: Evaluate this company's financial metrics. Respond with overall HEALTH assessment, notable STRENGTHS, CONCERNS, and VALUATION opinion.

Input: META (Meta Platforms) — Communication Services. Price: $158.75. Market Cap: $389.3B. P/E: 13.9x. Revenue: $80.3B (+37.5% YoY). EPS: $14.95 (-1.4% YoY). Gross Margin: 45.7%. Operating Margin: 37.4%. Net Margin: 2.6%. Debt/Equity: 0.5. Current Ratio: 0.59. ROE: 14.8%. FCF: $12.1B. Dividend Yield: 1.34%.

Output: HEALTH: 6/10 (Moderate). STRENGTHS: (1) Strong revenue growth (37.5%) signals robust demand. WEAKNESSES: (1) Current ratio below 1.0 (0.59) raises short-term liquidity concerns. RECOMMENDATION: Mixed fundamentals. Consider entry only at pullbacks or with clear catalyst. Position size should be moderate.


Instruction: Evaluate the significance of this regulatory filing. Respond with EVENT type, expected IMPACT, SEVERITY rating, and trading RECOMMENDATION.

Input: Item 1.01: Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. UnitedHealth signed a definitive technology sharing agreement. Under the terms, UnitedHealth will co-develop next-generation products for total consideration of $22.1B over 5 years.

Output: EVENT: Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. IMPACT: Neutral. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 3-8% move. TRADE: No immediate action. Monitor for follow-up disclosures.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: HOOD (Home Depot) at $29.56. Daily chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. Key support: $26.97. Key resistance: $31.5. OBV: falling while price holds (distribution) | Fibonacci Retracement: bullish signal | Moving Average (200-day): $30.08 (price below). Volume trending above 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Symmetrical Triangle. BIAS: Neutral — wait for breakout direction. ENTRY: $29.56 — Wait for decisive break of either support or resistance with volume. STOP: $28.08 — Place stop on opposite side of the breakout. TARGET: $32.52 (R:R = 2.0:1) — Target measured move equal to the widest point of the triangle. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: CrowdStrike faces Brazil regulatory ban on key product line

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -3-9% (Sell-side will likely cut estimates and price targets in coming days.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual decline over 2 weeks as estimates get revised down.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: COIN Q2 FY2023: Revenue $66.5B (+18.9% YoY, +0.4% vs consensus). EPS $4.75 (-23.9% YoY, -0.1% vs consensus). Gross margin 33.4% vs 33.7% prior year. Operating margin 19.4%. FCF $4.4B. CEO: 'We believe we are at an inflection point for long-term growth.' Guidance: Full-year revenue raised to $271.4B from prior $258.4B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 3/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 18.9% is moderate but sustainable. (2) FCF of $4.4B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Any deceleration in coming quarters will trigger outsized selloff from elevated expectations. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: Analyst downgrade: Oppenheimer cuts SOFI to Underperform, cites margin compression

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -4-7% (This is a material negative that analysts had not modeled.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 3 sessions.


Instruction: Evaluate this company's financial metrics. Respond with overall HEALTH assessment, notable STRENGTHS, CONCERNS, and VALUATION opinion.

Input: MDB (Caterpillar) — Financials. Price: $181.95. Market Cap: $1701.6B. P/E: 18.7x. Revenue: $27.9B (+30.0% YoY). EPS: $3.07 (+34.5% YoY). Gross Margin: 39.4%. Operating Margin: 33.8%. Net Margin: 10.0%. Debt/Equity: 0.42. Current Ratio: 2.77. ROE: 34.2%. FCF: $8.1B. Dividend Yield: 2.87%.

Output: HEALTH: 8/10 (Strong). STRENGTHS: (1) Strong revenue growth (30.0%) signals robust demand. (2) Conservative leverage (D/E: 0.42) provides financial flexibility. (3) ROE of 34.2% demonstrates efficient capital deployment. (4) Strong liquidity (current ratio: 2.77) provides cushion against shocks. WEAKNESSES: (1) No material financial weaknesses identified. RECOMMENDATION: Attractive investment candidate. Fundamentals support a long position at current levels.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: IBM Q4 FY2025: Revenue $96.6B (+36.8% YoY, -1.6% vs consensus). EPS $13.79 (+54.8% YoY, -9.0% vs consensus). Gross margin 41.8% vs 38.5% prior year. Operating margin 33.6%. FCF $16.9B. CEO: 'Demand softened in the back half of the quarter.' Guidance: Full-year revenue raised to $395.2B from prior $384.0B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 36.8% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $16.9B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Sector rotation out of Real Estate could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: Amazon gross margins expand 475bps YoY to 69.5%

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +4-9% (The magnitude of the beat/raise suggests conservative prior guidance.) TIMEFRAME: Gap up at open, consolidation over 5 days.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: ZS (Bristol-Myers Squibb), Industrials. Portfolio weight: 12.4%. Holding period: 1 month. Entry: $326.6, Current: $410.67 (+25.7%). 20-day volatility: 34.4%. Beta: 0.63. Short interest: 14.3%. P/E: 34.5x. Debt/Equity: 0.48. Upcoming catalysts: major product launch this quarter; tariff risk on 50% of supply chain; antitrust ruling pending.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 4/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Concentrated position (12.4%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (2) Tariff exposure introduces policy-driven downside risk. MITIGATION: (1) Trim to max 10% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 10% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: OKTA (UnitedHealth) at $135.7. Daily chart shows a triple bottom pattern forming. Key support: $128.78. Key resistance: $150.86. MACD: divergence from price (bullish) | Moving Average (50-day): $125.42 (price above) | Fibonacci Retracement: bearish signal. Volume spike of 396% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Triple Bottom. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $150.86 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $126.57 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $172.94 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: CrowdStrike files 10-K with SEC, no material changes from preliminary results

Output: DIRECTION: Neutral. MAGNITUDE: +/-1% (noise range). No surprises here — stock trades on other catalysts. TIMEFRAME: No sustained directional move expected.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Tesla key executive sells $26.0M in shares via 10b5-1 plan

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -6-11% (The market will price in elevated uncertainty for several weeks.) TIMEFRAME: Sharp selloff at open, potential dead-cat bounce in 2 days.


Instruction: Evaluate the significance of this regulatory filing. Respond with EVENT type, expected IMPACT, SEVERITY rating, and trading RECOMMENDATION.

Input: Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers. The Board of Directors of Broadcom announced that CFO Sarah Johnson will will step down effective end of fiscal year. No successor has been named.

Output: EVENT: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers. IMPACT: Mildly Negative. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 8-2% move. TRADE: Short-term avoid. Wait for market to fully price the negative event.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: LLY (Eli Lilly), Healthcare. Portfolio weight: 13.7%. Holding period: 1 month. Entry: $346.03, Current: $265.0 (-23.4%). 20-day volatility: 57.5%. Beta: 1.42. Short interest: 20.3%. P/E: 48.6x. Debt/Equity: 0.01. Upcoming catalysts: major product launch upcoming; CEO transition in progress.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 6/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (57.5%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) Concentrated position (13.7%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (3) High short interest (20.3%) creates squeeze risk in both directions. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <6.1% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Trim to max 6.1% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 6.1% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Assess the investment implications of these earnings figures. Include SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, and detailed ANALYSIS.

Input: AAPL Q4 FY2025: Revenue $33.2B (+29.8% YoY, +13.5% vs consensus). EPS $8.37 (+37.7% YoY, -2.3% vs consensus). Gross margin 35.3% vs 35.0% prior year. Operating margin 28.0%. FCF $6.8B. CEO: 'We are seeing mixed signals across our end markets.' Guidance: Next quarter revenue $37.9B, above consensus $31.7B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bullish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 9/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 29.8% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $6.8B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Macro headwinds (geopolitical risk) could weigh on near-term price action. TRADE: Maintain long. Raise stop to breakeven after initial post-earnings move settles.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Analyst downgrade: Morgan Stanley cuts MSFT to Underperform, cites slowing growth trajectory

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-11% (The market will price in elevated uncertainty for several weeks.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 2 weeks.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: TXN Q3 FY2024: Revenue $85.2B (-14.5% YoY, +7.3% vs consensus). EPS $18.59 (+55.8% YoY, -7.8% vs consensus). Gross margin 71.1% vs 71.5% prior year. Operating margin 36.4%. FCF $14.6B. CEO: 'We are seeing mixed signals across our end markets.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $340.8B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -14.5% signals weakening demand. (2) Gross margin of 71.1% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $14.6B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Sector rotation out of Real Estate could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: Synthesize these multi-factor trading signals into an actionable trade recommendation. Provide OVERALL SIGNAL, CONVICTION (1-10), TRADE details, and RISK MANAGEMENT plan.

Input: NVDA (Nvidia) at $195.74. Fundamental: NVDA P/E at 72.7x, 46% premium to sector. Revenue decelerating from 26% to 12% YoY. Margin pressure. Technical: Cup And Handle pattern on daily chart. Moving Average (50-day): bearish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume expanding. Sentiment: Analyst consensus Buy (8 analysts). Short interest 8.2%. Insider activity: net selling over last 90 days. Catalyst: Product launch next quarter.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LEAN SHORT. CONVICTION: 4/10. TRADE: Enter short at $198.7 (rally to resistance or breakdown with volume). Stop loss: $206.07. Target: $183.09. R:R = 2.1:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 1% of portfolio (short positions sized conservatively). RISK MANAGEMENT: Scale in: 50% at entry, 50% on confirmation. Move stop to breakeven after 1R profit.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: DKNG (Block) at $390.51. 1-Hour chart shows a bear flag pattern forming. Key support: $336.54. Key resistance: $468.19. Moving Average (200-day): $399.06 (price below) | Bollinger Bands: bands expanding (trend strengthening) | Moving Average (50-day): $397.64 (price below). Volume spike of 292% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Bear Flag. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $336.54 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $481.36 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $204.89 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 7.01: Regulation FD Disclosure. Pfizer furnished an investor presentation disclosing revised capital allocation framework. Key highlights include margin expansion roadmap to 35%+ and R&D investment increase of 25%.

Output: EVENT: Regulation FD Disclosure. IMPACT: Mildly Positive. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 3-5% move. TRADE: Initiate position. Set stop below pre-announcement price.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: BRK.B (Adobe) at $292.01. 1-Hour chart shows a double top pattern forming. Key support: $269.7. Key resistance: $328.47. Volume Profile: POC (Point of Control) at nearby resistance | OBV: confirming price trend (healthy) | Fibonacci Retracement: bullish signal | ATR: bearish signal. Volume spike of 260% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Double Top. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $269.7 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $334.35 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $210.93 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Merck free cash flow jumps 17% to $11.4B in Q2

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +1-5% (Institutional buyers will accumulate on any dips.) TIMEFRAME: Initial spike within first hour, sustained over 2 trading sessions.


Instruction: Assess the trading implications of this headline. Give DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE (percentage range), and TIMEFRAME for the expected move.

Input: Home Depot data breach exposes 160M customer records

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -3-7% (The market will price in elevated uncertainty for several weeks.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate selloff, may stabilize at next support level within 1-2 days.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: UPST (GE Aerospace) at $167.64. 1-Hour chart shows a descending triangle pattern forming. Key support: $153.62. Key resistance: $189.76. OBV: confirming price trend (healthy) | Fibonacci Retracement: bullish signal. Volume trending above 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Descending Triangle. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $153.62 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $193.37 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $117.48 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: Initial Jobless Claims: Actual 181K vs Estimate 193K vs Prior 197K. 4-week moving average: 195K. Continuing claims: 2.24M. Fed last action: cut rates by 50bps. Market pricing 2 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Negative — softer data raises caution. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Positive. USD: Mildly Negative. SECTOR ROTATION: Mild defensive tilt. Wait for confirmation before major rotation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 8.01: Other Events. Walmart announced a $13.7B accelerated share repurchase program. The increase reflects strong cash flow generation.

Output: EVENT: Other Events. IMPACT: Positive. SEVERITY: Low — historical base rate for this event type suggests 4-6% move. TRADE: Buy the breakout if price clears resistance with volume confirmation.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: JPMorgan Chase recalls 0.8M units over software safety concerns

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-12% (Sell-side will likely cut estimates and price targets in coming days.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 4 sessions.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) at $388.42. Daily chart shows a double top pattern forming. Key support: $330.22. Key resistance: $450.67. MACD: divergence from price (bullish) | Fibonacci Retracement: neutral | VWAP: bullish signal | Moving Average (50-day): $402.67 (price below). Volume trending above 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Double Top. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $330.22 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $462.72 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $209.77 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Analyze these market conditions and classify the current regime. Include REGIME type, DURATION estimate, and PORTFOLIO implications.

Input: S&P 500: +17.1% (3-month return). VIX: 26.1. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 0.42. New 52-week highs: 278, lows: 426. 10Y yield: 2.69%, 2Y yield: 5.65% (spread: -2.96%). High-yield credit spread: 5.88%. Put/Call ratio: 0.73. Margin debt change: -7.3% MoM. Sector leaders: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Industrials. Sector laggards: Technology, Healthcare, Financials.

Output: REGIME: Bull Market — Normal Volatility. CONFIDENCE: Moderate-High. EVIDENCE: Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. POSITIONING: Above-average equity allocation. Balance growth and value. Maintain hedges at reduced size. Buy pullbacks to key moving averages.


Instruction: Synthesize these multi-factor trading signals into an actionable trade recommendation. Provide OVERALL SIGNAL, CONVICTION (1-10), TRADE details, and RISK MANAGEMENT plan.

Input: LIN (Walmart) at $300.65. Fundamental: LIN fairly valued at 18.7x P/E. Stable 8% revenue growth. Margins in line with peers. Technical: Ascending Triangle pattern on daily chart. Moving Average (200-day): bearish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume contracting. Sentiment: Analyst consensus Hold (19 analysts). Short interest 5.1%. Insider activity: net buying over last 90 days. Catalyst: Product launch next quarter.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LEAN LONG. CONVICTION: 4/10. TRADE: Enter long at $292.44 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $281.04. Target: $345.78. R:R = 4.7:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 5% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Enter with defined-risk options (spread) to limit downside to premium paid.


Instruction: Analyze this options scenario and suggest an appropriate strategy. Provide STRATEGY, RATIONALE, STRUCTURE, and RISK/REWARD profile.

Input: WMT (Walmart) at $32.71. IV: 72.2% (IV Rank: 27). DTE: 60 days. Outlook: Expecting WMT to decline 5% over next 60 days.

Output: STRATEGY: Bear Put Spread (debit). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 27 makes buying options relatively cheap (debit strategies). The bearish outlook aligns with Bear Put Spread (debit) structure. STRUCTURE: Buy 33.0 put, sell 29.0 put. MAX PROFIT: width of spread minus debit = ~$1.96. MAX LOSS: debit paid. BREAKEVEN: long strike minus debit paid.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: HOOD (Tesla), Materials. Portfolio weight: 16.6%. Holding period: 6 months. Entry: $112.09, Current: $135.83 (+21.2%). 20-day volatility: 63.6%. Beta: 1.97. Short interest: 21.6%. P/E: 45.3x. Debt/Equity: 2.55. Upcoming catalysts: CEO transition in progress; FDA decision expected next week.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 8/10 (High). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (63.6%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) High beta (1.97) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (3) Concentrated position (16.6%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (4) High short interest (21.6%) creates squeeze risk in both directions. (5) FDA decision is a high-impact binary event with extreme outcome dispersion. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <4.0% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (3) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. (4) Trim to max 4.0% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 4.0% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Review these financial ratios and provide an investment-oriented analysis. Include HEALTH rating (1-10), STRENGTHS, WEAKNESSES, and RECOMMENDATION.

Input: JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) — Healthcare. Price: $319.86. Market Cap: $1410.7B. P/E: 56.0x. Revenue: $88.7B (+43.0% YoY). EPS: $15.36 (-7.8% YoY). Gross Margin: 55.6%. Operating Margin: 41.1%. Net Margin: 13.5%. Debt/Equity: 2.33. Current Ratio: 0.98. ROE: 32.1%. FCF: $16.2B. Dividend Yield: 1.5%.

Output: HEALTH: 6/10 (Moderate). STRENGTHS: (1) Strong revenue growth (43.0%) signals robust demand. (2) ROE of 32.1% demonstrates efficient capital deployment. WEAKNESSES: (1) High leverage (D/E: 2.33) increases financial risk and interest burden. (2) Current ratio below 1.0 (0.98) raises short-term liquidity concerns. (3) Elevated valuation (P/E: 56.0x) prices in significant future growth. Vulnerable to multiple compression. RECOMMENDATION: Mixed fundamentals. Consider entry only at pullbacks or with clear catalyst. Position size should be moderate.


Instruction: Evaluate this company's financial metrics. Respond with overall HEALTH assessment, notable STRENGTHS, CONCERNS, and VALUATION opinion.

Input: PFE (Pfizer) — Communication Services. Price: $76.18. Market Cap: $690.7B. P/E: 52.4x. Revenue: $13.3B (+45.7% YoY). EPS: $5.45 (+48.0% YoY). Gross Margin: 56.4%. Operating Margin: 35.8%. Net Margin: 2.8%. Debt/Equity: 1.91. Current Ratio: 2.71. ROE: 11.4%. FCF: $3.4B. Dividend Yield: 2.57%.

Output: HEALTH: 6/10 (Moderate). STRENGTHS: (1) Strong revenue growth (45.7%) signals robust demand. (2) Strong liquidity (current ratio: 2.71) provides cushion against shocks. WEAKNESSES: (1) Elevated valuation (P/E: 52.4x) prices in significant future growth. Vulnerable to multiple compression. RECOMMENDATION: Mixed fundamentals. Consider entry only at pullbacks or with clear catalyst. Position size should be moderate.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Netflix loses major patent dispute, ordered to pay $6.7B

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -4-8% (Sell-side will likely cut estimates and price targets in coming days.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 4 weeks.


Instruction: Review this earnings data and provide a trading-oriented analysis with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, RISK factors, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: MRK Q4 FY2025: Revenue $42.3B (-5.1% YoY, -7.5% vs consensus). EPS $14.95 (+9.3% YoY, -9.9% vs consensus). Gross margin 40.6% vs 36.6% prior year. Operating margin 9.7%. FCF $8.5B. CEO: 'We are navigating a challenging macro environment.' Guidance: Next quarter revenue $48.6B, above consensus $41.7B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bullish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 7/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -5.1% signals weakening demand. (2) FCF of $8.5B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Valuation at 79.1x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: Maintain long. Raise stop to breakeven after initial post-earnings move settles.


Instruction: Classify the current market regime based on these indicators. Provide REGIME type, CONFIDENCE level, and recommended POSITIONING.

Input: S&P 500: +15.3% (3-month return). VIX: 53.9. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 0.55. New 52-week highs: 340, lows: 81. 10Y yield: 5.82%, 2Y yield: 3.29% (spread: +2.53%). High-yield credit spread: 4.71%. Put/Call ratio: 1.17. Margin debt change: +6.1% MoM. Sector leaders: Energy, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials. Sector laggards: Technology, Healthcare, Financials.

Output: REGIME: High Volatility — Crisis/Stress. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Elevated VIX signals stress and uncertainty. Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. Elevated put/call ratio (1.17) suggests bearish sentiment (contrarian bullish). POSITIONING: Maximum defensive positioning. Overweight cash, short-term bonds, gold. Sell premium only with defined risk (iron condors). Look for capitulation signals (VIX > 45, put/call > 1.3) for contrarian long entry.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: CrowdStrike beats earnings estimates by 17%, raises full-year guidance

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +5-10% (Institutional buyers will accumulate on any dips.) TIMEFRAME: Initial spike within first hour, sustained over 5 trading sessions.


Instruction: Assess the trading implications of this headline. Give DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE (percentage range), and TIMEFRAME for the expected move.

Input: Eli Lilly beats earnings estimates by 15%, raises full-year guidance

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +4-7% (Revenue acceleration signals sustainable demand growth.) TIMEFRAME: Initial spike within first hour, sustained over 4 trading sessions.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: NOW Q1 FY2024: Revenue $13.5B (+26.2% YoY, -1.4% vs consensus). EPS $4.69 (+39.0% YoY, -13.1% vs consensus). Gross margin 48.7% vs 52.4% prior year. Operating margin 15.5%. FCF $1.9B. CEO: 'We are seeing mixed signals across our end markets.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $54.0B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 3/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 26.2% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $1.9B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Macro headwinds (FX) could weigh on near-term price action. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: Housing Starts: Actual 4.1% vs Estimate 4.2% vs Prior 2.4%.  Fed last action: announced tapering of asset purchases. Market pricing 3 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Negative — softer data raises caution. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Positive. USD: Mildly Negative. SECTOR ROTATION: Mild defensive tilt. Wait for confirmation before major rotation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Synthesize these multi-factor trading signals into an actionable trade recommendation. Provide OVERALL SIGNAL, CONVICTION (1-10), TRADE details, and RISK MANAGEMENT plan.

Input: MA (Mastercard) at $50.85. Fundamental: MA P/E at 57.9x, 15% premium to sector. Revenue decelerating from 37% to 10% YoY. Margin pressure. Technical: Inverse Head And Shoulders pattern on daily chart. Bollinger Bands: bullish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume expanding. Sentiment: Social media mentions up 411% this week. News sentiment negative. Options flow: unusual put buying detected. Catalyst: Macro tailwind from cut rates by 50bps.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LONG. CONVICTION: 8/10. TRADE: Enter long at $50.17 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $46.26. Target: $54.31. R:R = 1.1:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 3% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Scale in: 50% at entry, 50% on confirmation. Move stop to breakeven after 1R profit.


Instruction: Assess the trading implications of this headline. Give DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE (percentage range), and TIMEFRAME for the expected move.

Input: Pfizer gross margins expand 444bps YoY to 56.4%

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +1-7% (This is a material positive catalyst that was not priced in.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate jump at open, may see profit-taking by end of day.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers. The Board of Directors of Chevron announced that COO Michael Chen will retired effective immediately. The Board has appointed the current CFO as interim CEO.

Output: EVENT: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers. IMPACT: Negative. SEVERITY: High — historical base rate for this event type suggests 8-2% move. TRADE: Reduce exposure immediately. Re-evaluate at next filing.


Instruction: Identify the market regime from this data. Respond with REGIME classification, supporting EVIDENCE, and STRATEGY adjustments.

Input: S&P 500: +11.8% (3-month return). VIX: 33.8. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 1.11. New 52-week highs: 226, lows: 106. 10Y yield: 4.18%, 2Y yield: 4.82% (spread: -0.64%). High-yield credit spread: 3.32%. Put/Call ratio: 0.85. Margin debt change: +16.1% MoM. Sector leaders: Financials, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials. Sector laggards: Technology, Healthcare, Consumer Staples.

Output: REGIME: High Volatility — Crisis/Stress. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Elevated VIX signals stress and uncertainty. Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. POSITIONING: Maximum defensive positioning. Overweight cash, short-term bonds, gold. Sell premium only with defined risk (iron condors). Look for capitulation signals (VIX > 45, put/call > 1.3) for contrarian long entry.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers. Palantir's COO Maria Garcia will step down effective end of fiscal year. The current COO has been appointed as successor. The company cited strategic differences.

Output: EVENT: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers. IMPACT: Mildly Negative. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 8-2% move. TRADE: Reduce exposure immediately. Re-evaluate at next filing.


Instruction: Analyze the downside risks of this position. Respond with RISK LEVEL, RISK FACTORS, worst-case SCENARIO, and recommended RISK MANAGEMENT actions.

Input: Position: GS (Goldman Sachs), Financials. Portfolio weight: 15.1%. Holding period: 1 month. Entry: $490.6, Current: $500.05 (+1.9%). 20-day volatility: 77.7%. Beta: 1.71. Short interest: 4.0%. P/E: 9.1x. Debt/Equity: 2.91. Upcoming catalysts: contract renewal with largest customer (27% of revenue); antitrust ruling pending; CEO transition in progress.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 7/10 (High). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (77.7%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) High beta (1.71) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (3) Concentrated position (15.1%) — single-stock risk is elevated. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <3.8% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. (3) Trim to max 3.8% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 3.8% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Amazon recalls 0.4M units over software safety concerns

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -2-9% (The market will price in elevated uncertainty for several weeks.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate selloff, may stabilize at next support level within 1-2 days.


Instruction: Recommend an options strategy for this scenario. Include STRATEGY name, STRUCTURE (legs), MAX PROFIT, MAX LOSS, and BREAKEVEN.

Input: SE (Bristol-Myers Squibb) at $109.71. IV: 44.1% (IV Rank: 46). DTE: 7 days. Outlook: Expecting a large move in SE (either direction) due to upcoming product launch in 7 days.

Output: STRATEGY: Long Straddle. RATIONALE: IV Rank at 46 makes buying options relatively cheap (debit strategies). The volatile outlook aligns with Long Straddle structure. STRUCTURE: Buy 110.0 call + Buy 110.0 put. MAX PROFIT: theoretically unlimited. MAX LOSS: total debit of ~$8.78. BREAKEVEN: $100.93 and $118.49.


Instruction: Assess the trading implications of this headline. Give DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE (percentage range), and TIMEFRAME for the expected move.

Input: Amazon customer churn rate rises to 10.7%, highest since 2019

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -2-4% (The market will price in elevated uncertainty for several weeks.) TIMEFRAME: Sharp selloff at open, potential dead-cat bounce in 2 days.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: JNJ (Johnson & Johnson), Healthcare. Portfolio weight: 5.8%. Holding period: 1 month. Entry: $410.83, Current: $361.87 (-11.9%). 20-day volatility: 53.7%. Beta: 1.79. Short interest: 19.3%. P/E: 62.2x. Debt/Equity: 0.75. Upcoming catalysts: antitrust ruling pending; tariff risk on 39% of supply chain; CEO transition in progress; debt maturity of $8.9B in 3 months.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 6/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (53.7%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) High beta (1.79) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (3) High short interest (19.3%) creates squeeze risk in both directions. (4) Near-term debt maturity creates refinancing risk. (5) Tariff exposure introduces policy-driven downside risk. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <5.2% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 5.2% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Review this earnings data and provide a trading-oriented analysis with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, RISK factors, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: ZM Q3 FY2025: Revenue $94.5B (-3.7% YoY, +14.6% vs consensus). EPS $0.93 (-7.9% YoY, +20.7% vs consensus). Gross margin 60.4% vs 63.6% prior year. Operating margin 47.6%. FCF $24.8B. CEO: 'We are seeing unprecedented demand across all segments.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $378.0B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -3.7% signals weakening demand. (2) Gross margin of 60.4% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $24.8B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Sector rotation out of Consumer Staples could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Analyze this options scenario and suggest an appropriate strategy. Provide STRATEGY, RATIONALE, STRUCTURE, and RISK/REWARD profile.

Input: NET (Nvidia) at $42.78. IV: 32.0% (IV Rank: 39). DTE: 21 days. Outlook: Expecting NET to stay range-bound between $40.64 and $44.92 over next 21 days.

Output: STRATEGY: Calendar Spread. RATIONALE: IV Rank at 39 makes buying options relatively cheap (debit strategies). The neutral outlook aligns with Calendar Spread structure. STRUCTURE: Sell front-month 43.0 call, buy back-month 43.0 call. MAX PROFIT: theoretically unlimited (IV expansion + time decay). MAX LOSS: debit paid. BREAKEVEN: approximately $43.0 at front-month expiration.


Instruction: Evaluate the significance of this regulatory filing. Respond with EVENT type, expected IMPACT, SEVERITY rating, and trading RECOMMENDATION.

Input: Item 8.01: Other Events. Chevron announced a 29% increase in quarterly dividend. The program is expected to be completed within 12 months.

Output: EVENT: Other Events. IMPACT: Positive. SEVERITY: Low — historical base rate for this event type suggests 4-6% move. TRADE: Buy the breakout if price clears resistance with volume confirmation.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Analyst upgrade: Morgan Stanley raises HD to Overweight with $324 target

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +4-8% (Revenue acceleration signals sustainable demand growth.) TIMEFRAME: Gap up at open, consolidation over 1 days.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Costco suspends Q2 dividend amid cash flow concerns

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-7% (This is a material negative that analysts had not modeled.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 5 sessions.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: Mastercard recalls 2.2M units over display safety concerns

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-10% (Institutional holders will reduce positions into strength.) TIMEFRAME: Sharp selloff at open, potential dead-cat bounce in 3 days.


Instruction: Combine these fundamental, technical, and sentiment signals into a single trading decision. Include SIGNAL direction, CONVICTION level, ENTRY/EXIT plan, and POSITION SIZE.

Input: LLY (Eli Lilly) at $74.36. Fundamental: LLY fairly valued at 24.0x P/E. Stable 9% revenue growth. Margins in line with peers. Technical: Double Bottom pattern on daily chart. VWAP: bearish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume expanding. Sentiment: Social media mentions up 487% this week. News sentiment positive. Options flow: unusual call buying detected. Catalyst: Sector rotation favoring Healthcare names.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LONG. CONVICTION: 8/10. TRADE: Enter long at $73.3 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $68.64. Target: $85.52. R:R = 2.6:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 2% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Full position at entry. Hard stop, no averaging down. Re-evaluate thesis if stopped out.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: DIS (Walt Disney), Communication Services. Portfolio weight: 7.4%. Holding period: 1 year. Entry: $494.93, Current: $418.44 (-15.5%). 20-day volatility: 19.9%. Beta: 2.43. Short interest: 19.6%. P/E: 29.2x. Debt/Equity: 2.68. Upcoming catalysts: tariff risk on 52% of supply chain; CEO transition in progress.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 6/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) High beta (2.43) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (2) High short interest (19.6%) creates squeeze risk in both directions. (3) Tariff exposure introduces policy-driven downside risk. MITIGATION: (1) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 10% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: ORCL (Apple) at $316.55. Daily chart shows a falling wedge pattern forming. Key support: $283.64. Key resistance: $355.95. OBV: falling while price holds (distribution) | RSI: 59 (neutral) | VWAP: bearish signal. Volume trending below 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Falling Wedge. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $355.95 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $276.41 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $428.26 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: FTNT (Amazon), Energy. Portfolio weight: 15.7%. Holding period: 1 week. Entry: $366.81, Current: $376.08 (+2.5%). 20-day volatility: 50.4%. Beta: 1.94. Short interest: 8.4%. P/E: 26.9x. Debt/Equity: 2.87. Upcoming catalysts: tariff risk on 52% of supply chain; major product launch this quarter; contract renewal with largest customer (34% of revenue).

Output: RISK LEVEL: 6/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (50.4%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) High beta (1.94) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (3) Concentrated position (15.7%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (4) Tariff exposure introduces policy-driven downside risk. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <5.1% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. (3) Trim to max 5.1% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 5.1% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 2.06: Material Impairments. Coinbase determined that a non-cash impairment charge of approximately $4.5B is required related to its goodwill assets. The impairment reflects regulatory changes.

Output: EVENT: Material Impairments. IMPACT: Neutral. SEVERITY: Low — historical base rate for this event type suggests 10-2% move. TRADE: Hold current position. File contains no new tradeable signal.


Instruction: Combine these fundamental, technical, and sentiment signals into a single trading decision. Include SIGNAL direction, CONVICTION level, ENTRY/EXIT plan, and POSITION SIZE.

Input: BABA (Procter & Gamble) at $92.11. Fundamental: BABA P/E at 38.9x, 43% premium to sector. Revenue decelerating from 36% to 5% YoY. Margin pressure. Technical: Descending Triangle pattern on daily chart. Stochastic Oscillator: bullish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume average. Sentiment: Analyst consensus Hold (10 analysts). Short interest 11.2%. Insider activity: net selling over last 90 days. Catalyst: Macro tailwind from raised rates by 25bps.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LEAN SHORT. CONVICTION: 6/10. TRADE: Enter short at $92.71 (rally to resistance or breakdown with volume). Stop loss: $99.38. Target: $84.95. R:R = 1.2:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 2% of portfolio (short positions sized conservatively). RISK MANAGEMENT: Full position at entry. Hard stop, no averaging down. Re-evaluate thesis if stopped out.


Instruction: Assess the trading implications of this headline. Give DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE (percentage range), and TIMEFRAME for the expected move.

Input: Snowflake inventory builds 60% QoQ, raising channel stuffing concerns

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -6-11% (Institutional holders will reduce positions into strength.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 4 weeks.


Instruction: Analyze this options scenario and suggest an appropriate strategy. Provide STRATEGY, RATIONALE, STRUCTURE, and RISK/REWARD profile.

Input: UNP (Merck) at $284.91. IV: 36.1% (IV Rank: 92). DTE: 21 days. Outlook: Looking to generate income on existing UNP long position of 200 shares at $284.91.

Output: STRATEGY: Covered Call (overwrite). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 92 favors selling premium (credit strategies). The income outlook aligns with Covered Call (overwrite) structure. STRUCTURE: Sell 299.0 call against existing shares. MAX PROFIT: premium + appreciation to strike = ~$19.94. MAX LOSS: stock decline minus premium = risk below $279.21. BREAKEVEN: strike price + premium = $304.85.


Instruction: Assess the investment implications of these earnings figures. Include SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, and detailed ANALYSIS.

Input: COST Q3 FY2025: Revenue $70.2B (+24.7% YoY, -3.9% vs consensus). EPS $13.36 (-1.1% YoY, -15.3% vs consensus). Gross margin 33.1% vs 28.4% prior year. Operating margin 14.2%. FCF $16.6B. CEO: 'Results were in line with our expectations.' Guidance: Full-year revenue raised to $303.2B from prior $276.1B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 24.7% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $16.6B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Any deceleration in coming quarters will trigger outsized selloff from elevated expectations. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: SQ (Block) at $29.14. 1-Hour chart shows a head and shoulders pattern forming. Key support: $24.81. Key resistance: $32.32. RSI: 46 (neutral) | Fibonacci Retracement: neutral | Volume Profile: POC (Point of Control) at nearby resistance. Volume trending below 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Head And Shoulders. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $24.81 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $33.07 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $17.3 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: LYFT (Meta Platforms) at $137.91. 1-Hour chart shows a bull flag pattern forming. Key support: $123.22. Key resistance: $153.65. Fibonacci Retracement: bearish signal | Moving Average (200-day): $142.67 (price below) | VWAP: neutral. Volume trending above 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Bull Flag. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $153.65 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $120.18 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $184.08 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Assess the trading implications of this headline. Give DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE (percentage range), and TIMEFRAME for the expected move.

Input: UnitedHealth data breach exposes 166M customer records

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -6-10% (The market will price in elevated uncertainty for several weeks.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual decline over 1 weeks as estimates get revised down.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: CrowdStrike same-store sales up 4.2% vs 1.5% expected

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +2-4% (Revenue acceleration signals sustainable demand growth.) TIMEFRAME: Multi-day rally lasting 6 sessions.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: TXN (Broadcom) at $113.13. 1-Hour chart shows a inverse head and shoulders pattern forming. Key support: $106.75. Key resistance: $126.79. MACD: bearish crossover, histogram contracting | ATR: bearish signal | VWAP: bullish signal | Fibonacci Retracement: neutral. Volume trending above 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Inverse Head And Shoulders. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $126.79 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $104.75 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $146.83 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: CPI: Actual 6.2% YoY vs Estimate 6.1% vs Prior 7.6%. Core CPI (ex food & energy): 5.3% YoY. Fed last action: raised rates by 50bps. Market pricing 3 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Negative — higher inflation raises rate hike expectations, compresses multiples. BONDS: Negative — yields rise (prices fall) on higher rate expectations. USD: Positive — higher rates support dollar strength. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Energy, Commodities, Financials (rate beneficiaries). Avoid: Growth tech, REITs, Utilities (rate sensitive). FED POLICY: Hawkish — reduces probability of near-term rate cuts. Market may reprice terminal rate higher.


Instruction: Review this earnings data and provide a trading-oriented analysis with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, RISK factors, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: WMT Q3 FY2025: Revenue $48.6B (-11.8% YoY, +5.1% vs consensus). EPS $11.62 (+6.3% YoY, -5.4% vs consensus). Gross margin 66.6% vs 62.2% prior year. Operating margin 47.0%. FCF $6.8B. CEO: 'We believe we are at an inflection point for long-term growth.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $194.4B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 3/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -11.8% signals weakening demand. (2) Gross margin of 66.6% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $6.8B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Valuation at 25.9x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Microsoft to acquire Uber for $59.2B, expanding defense business

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +2-6% (Market will re-rate the stock higher on improved forward estimates.) TIMEFRAME: Gap up at open, consolidation over 1 days.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: Bristol-Myers Squibb refinances $6.4B in debt at 4.75% vs prior 5.31%

Output: DIRECTION: Neutral. MAGNITUDE: +/-1% (noise range). Routine corporate action with no material impact on fundamentals. TIMEFRAME: No sustained directional move expected.


Instruction: Evaluate the trading implications of this economic indicator. Include expected IMPACT on major asset classes and SECTOR rotation signals.

Input: Retail Sales: Actual -0.6% vs Estimate -0.4% vs Prior -0.3%.  Fed last action: announced tapering of asset purchases. Market pricing 2 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Negative — weaker growth raises recession concerns. BONDS: Positive — flight to safety and rate cut expectations boost bonds. USD: Negative — growth concerns weaken dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Defensives, Healthcare, Utilities, Consumer Staples. Avoid: Cyclicals, Small caps. FED POLICY: Dovish lean — weak growth may accelerate rate cuts.


Instruction: Evaluate the significance of this regulatory filing. Respond with EVENT type, expected IMPACT, SEVERITY rating, and trading RECOMMENDATION.

Input: Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers. The Board of Directors of Palo Alto Networks announced that CEO John Smith will retired effective within 30 days. The current COO has been appointed as successor.

Output: EVENT: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers. IMPACT: Mildly Negative. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 8-2% move. TRADE: Sell on any bounce to resistance. This overhang persists.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Palantir announces leadership transition: CFO to retire, successor named

Output: DIRECTION: Neutral. MAGNITUDE: +/-1% (noise range). This is expected news with no new information for the market. TIMEFRAME: No sustained directional move expected.


Instruction: Synthesize these multi-factor trading signals into an actionable trade recommendation. Provide OVERALL SIGNAL, CONVICTION (1-10), TRADE details, and RISK MANAGEMENT plan.

Input: TTD (Home Depot) at $359.87. Fundamental: TTD P/E at 62.0x, 20% premium to sector. Revenue decelerating from 26% to 9% YoY. Margin pressure. Technical: Broadening Formation pattern on daily chart. Volume Profile: bullish signal. Price below 50-day MA. Volume expanding. Sentiment: Analyst consensus Sell (30 analysts). Short interest 8.3%. Insider activity: net buying over last 90 days. Catalyst: No near-term catalyst identified.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: NEUTRAL — WAIT. CONVICTION: 3/10. TRADE: No trade. Wait for signal alignment across fundamental, technical, and sentiment factors. POSITION SIZE: 0% — preserve capital for higher-conviction setups. RISK MANAGEMENT: Full position at entry. Hard stop, no averaging down. Re-evaluate thesis if stopped out.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: DOJ opens antitrust investigation into UnitedHealth's search practices

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-11% (Institutional holders will reduce positions into strength.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 3 sessions.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: TXN Q1 FY2024: Revenue $25.0B (+38.1% YoY, -9.7% vs consensus). EPS $16.93 (+30.4% YoY, +18.2% vs consensus). Gross margin 43.6% vs 43.8% prior year. Operating margin 33.6%. FCF $3.4B. CEO: 'We are navigating a challenging macro environment.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $100.0B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 4/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 38.1% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $3.4B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Valuation at 16.8x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Given this market outlook and position, recommend an options trade. Include STRATEGY, detailed STRUCTURE with strikes, MAX PROFIT, MAX LOSS, and BREAKEVEN levels.

Input: ZM (Snowflake) at $137.21. IV: 33.6% (IV Rank: 38). DTE: 14 days. Outlook: Looking to generate income on existing ZM long position of 200 shares at $137.21.

Output: STRATEGY: Covered Call (overwrite). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 38 makes buying options relatively cheap (debit strategies). The income outlook aligns with Covered Call (overwrite) structure. STRUCTURE: Sell 148.0 call against existing shares. MAX PROFIT: premium + appreciation to strike = ~$13.03. MAX LOSS: stock decline minus premium = risk below $135.15. BREAKEVEN: strike price + premium = $150.24.


Instruction: Analyze this SEC filing disclosure for trading implications. Include EVENT classification, IMPACT assessment, and recommended ACTION.

Input: Item 2.02: Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Alphabet reported preliminary Q4 results: Revenue $86.4B (18.3% YoY), Net income $4423.0M. Full results to be filed within 60 days.

Output: EVENT: Results of Operations and Financial Condition. IMPACT: Mildly Positive. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 8-8% move. TRADE: Buy the breakout if price clears resistance with volume confirmation.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: AMD (AMD), Technology. Portfolio weight: 17.4%. Holding period: 3 months. Entry: $193.33, Current: $222.08 (+14.9%). 20-day volatility: 32.5%. Beta: 1.28. Short interest: 2.1%. P/E: 34.4x. Debt/Equity: 0.68. Upcoming catalysts: FDA decision expected in Q2; major product launch this quarter; earnings report in 15 days; CEO transition in progress.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 5/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Concentrated position (17.4%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (2) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. (3) FDA decision is a high-impact binary event with extreme outcome dispersion. MITIGATION: (1) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (2) Trim to max 10% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 10% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Review this earnings data and provide a trading-oriented analysis with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, RISK factors, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: NEE Q4 FY2023: Revenue $55.3B (+25.6% YoY, +10.4% vs consensus). EPS $4.62 (+4.6% YoY, +23.9% vs consensus). Gross margin 51.4% vs 55.5% prior year. Operating margin 33.5%. FCF $11.1B. CEO: 'We expect to significantly outperform the market this year.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $51.7B, below consensus $56.5B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 6/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 25.6% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $11.1B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Any deceleration in coming quarters will trigger outsized selloff from elevated expectations. TRADE: Reduce position by 59%. Re-evaluate at next earnings.


Instruction: Assess the investment implications of these earnings figures. Include SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, and detailed ANALYSIS.

Input: COST Q3 FY2025: Revenue $68.1B (+3.9% YoY, -0.7% vs consensus). EPS $19.3 (-12.5% YoY, -13.5% vs consensus). Gross margin 67.3% vs 70.3% prior year. Operating margin 39.6%. FCF $14.6B. CEO: 'We remain focused on our long-term strategy.' Guidance: Full-year revenue raised to $289.4B from prior $264.2B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 3.9% is moderate but sustainable. (2) Gross margin of 67.3% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $14.6B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Valuation at 45.6x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Assess the risk profile of this portfolio position. Provide RISK LEVEL, KEY RISKS, MITIGATION strategies, and POSITION SIZING recommendation.

Input: Position: HON (Meta Platforms), Communication Services. Portfolio weight: 3.5%. Holding period: 6 months. Entry: $297.58, Current: $376.62 (+26.6%). 20-day volatility: 16.5%. Beta: 0.91. Short interest: 8.2%. P/E: 10.6x. Debt/Equity: 0.49. Upcoming catalysts: antitrust ruling pending; contract renewal with largest customer (26% of revenue).

Output: RISK LEVEL: 3/10 (Low). KEY RISKS: (1) Standard market risk applies. No exceptional risk factors identified. MITIGATION: (1) Standard stop-loss at 2x ATR below current price is sufficient. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 10% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: PLTR (Palantir) at $156.51. 4-Hour chart shows a broadening formation pattern forming. Key support: $142.86. Key resistance: $173.94. Fibonacci Retracement: neutral | Moving Average (200-day): $156.25 (price above). Volume spike of 286% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Broadening Formation. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $142.86 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $177.05 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $111.78 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: MCD (Pfizer) at $223.89. Weekly chart shows a bull flag pattern forming. Key support: $211.55. Key resistance: $243.14. OBV: falling while price holds (distribution) | Moving Average (50-day): $201.55 (price above) | Stochastic Oscillator: neutral | Moving Average (200-day): $240.95 (price below). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Bull Flag. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $243.14 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $208.39 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $274.73 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: PCE Price Index: Actual 4.7% YoY vs Estimate 3.5% vs Prior 2.9%. Core PCE Price Index (ex food & energy): 3.9% YoY. Fed last action: signaled a hawkish pause. Market pricing 1 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Negative — higher inflation raises rate hike expectations, compresses multiples. BONDS: Negative — yields rise (prices fall) on higher rate expectations. USD: Positive — higher rates support dollar strength. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Energy, Commodities, Financials (rate beneficiaries). Avoid: Growth tech, REITs, Utilities (rate sensitive). FED POLICY: Hawkish — reduces probability of near-term rate cuts. Market may reprice terminal rate higher.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: TMO (IBM) at $328.28. 4-Hour chart shows a falling wedge pattern forming. Key support: $300.25. Key resistance: $361.77. Fibonacci Retracement: bearish signal | Bollinger Bands: squeeze forming (breakout imminent). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Falling Wedge. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $361.77 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $294.1 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $423.29 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: PFE (Pfizer) at $62.73. Daily chart shows a descending triangle pattern forming. Key support: $55.94. Key resistance: $67.79. ATR: bearish signal | Moving Average (200-day): $56.69 (price above) | VWAP: bearish signal. Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Descending Triangle. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $55.94 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $68.98 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $44.09 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: HUBS (Block) at $61.03. Daily chart shows a double top pattern forming. Key support: $52.48. Key resistance: $65.79. MACD: bullish crossover, histogram expanding | VWAP: bearish signal | Volume Profile: POC (Point of Control) at nearby resistance | Bollinger Bands: price at upper band (potential reversal). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Double Top. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $52.48 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $67.12 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $39.17 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Nvidia secures major partnership with Intel for cloud migration services

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +1-3% (Institutional buyers will accumulate on any dips.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate jump at open, may see profit-taking by end of day.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Eli Lilly reports record Q2 revenue of $21.9B

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +3-9% (The magnitude of the beat/raise suggests conservative prior guidance.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate jump at open, may see profit-taking by end of day.


Instruction: Assess the risk profile of this portfolio position. Provide RISK LEVEL, KEY RISKS, MITIGATION strategies, and POSITION SIZING recommendation.

Input: Position: PANW (Palo Alto Networks), Utilities. Portfolio weight: 16.9%. Holding period: 3 months. Entry: $175.2, Current: $218.8 (+24.9%). 20-day volatility: 20.1%. Beta: 1.3. Short interest: 4.0%. P/E: 47.7x. Debt/Equity: 0.85. Upcoming catalysts: major product launch upcoming; contract renewal with largest customer (32% of revenue); antitrust ruling pending.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 4/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Concentrated position (16.9%) — single-stock risk is elevated. MITIGATION: (1) Trim to max 10% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 10% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Block to acquire Merck for $7.9B, expanding cloud business

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +2-8% (This is a material positive catalyst that was not priced in.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual appreciation over 2 weeks as analysts revise targets.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: PayPal free cash flow jumps 29% to $5.3B in Q4

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +5-9% (Market will re-rate the stock higher on improved forward estimates.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual appreciation over 1 weeks as analysts revise targets.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: AFRM (Walmart), Utilities. Portfolio weight: 24.4%. Holding period: 1 week. Entry: $265.66, Current: $293.32 (+10.4%). 20-day volatility: 62.3%. Beta: 1.31. Short interest: 6.9%. P/E: 52.7x. Debt/Equity: 2.09. Upcoming catalysts: major product launch upcoming; FDA decision expected next week; antitrust ruling pending; contract renewal with largest customer (35% of revenue).

Output: RISK LEVEL: 7/10 (High). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (62.3%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) Concentrated position (24.4%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (3) FDA decision is a high-impact binary event with extreme outcome dispersion. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <6.1% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (3) Trim to max 6.1% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 6.1% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Identify the market regime from this data. Respond with REGIME classification, supporting EVIDENCE, and STRATEGY adjustments.

Input: S&P 500: -13.4% (3-month return). VIX: 44.9. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 2.68. New 52-week highs: 266, lows: 236. 10Y yield: 2.98%, 2Y yield: 6.12% (spread: -3.14%). High-yield credit spread: 5.66%. Put/Call ratio: 1.01. Margin debt change: -15.8% MoM. Sector leaders: Consumer Discretionary, Real Estate, Financials. Sector laggards: Technology, Healthcare, Consumer Staples.

Output: REGIME: High Volatility — Crisis/Stress. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Elevated VIX signals stress and uncertainty. Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. Elevated put/call ratio (1.01) suggests bearish sentiment (contrarian bullish). POSITIONING: Maximum defensive positioning. Overweight cash, short-term bonds, gold. Sell premium only with defined risk (iron condors). Look for capitulation signals (VIX > 45, put/call > 1.3) for contrarian long entry.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 8.01: Other Events. ExxonMobil announced a 28% increase in quarterly dividend. The increase reflects strong cash flow generation.

Output: EVENT: Other Events. IMPACT: Positive. SEVERITY: Low — historical base rate for this event type suggests 4-6% move. TRADE: Buy the breakout if price clears resistance with volume confirmation.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: UnitedHealth reports negative free cash flow of -$325.0M for first time in 5 years

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -4-7% (This is a material negative that analysts had not modeled.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 3 sessions.


Instruction: Identify the market regime from this data. Respond with REGIME classification, supporting EVIDENCE, and STRATEGY adjustments.

Input: S&P 500: +17.5% (3-month return). VIX: 19.2. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 0.63. New 52-week highs: 258, lows: 234. 10Y yield: 5.66%, 2Y yield: 4.22% (spread: +1.44%). High-yield credit spread: 4.69%. Put/Call ratio: 0.62. Margin debt change: -8.6% MoM. Sector leaders: Consumer Staples, Communication Services, Financials. Sector laggards: Technology, Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary.

Output: REGIME: Bull Market — Low Volatility Uptrend. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. POSITIONING: Full equity allocation. Overweight momentum and growth. Sell put spreads for income (premium is cheap). Use trailing stops rather than fixed stops. Watch for complacency signals (VIX < 12, extreme margin debt).


Instruction: Identify the market regime from this data. Respond with REGIME classification, supporting EVIDENCE, and STRATEGY adjustments.

Input: S&P 500: +26.8% (3-month return). VIX: 30.8. S&P vs 200-day MA: below. Advance/Decline ratio: 2.89. New 52-week highs: 437, lows: 468. 10Y yield: 5.66%, 2Y yield: 2.24% (spread: +3.42%). High-yield credit spread: 5.37%. Put/Call ratio: 1.17. Margin debt change: -2.3% MoM. Sector leaders: Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials. Sector laggards: Healthcare, Consumer Staples, Energy.

Output: REGIME: High Volatility — Crisis/Stress. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Elevated VIX signals stress and uncertainty. Price below 200-day MA confirms downtrend. Elevated put/call ratio (1.17) suggests bearish sentiment (contrarian bullish). POSITIONING: Maximum defensive positioning. Overweight cash, short-term bonds, gold. Sell premium only with defined risk (iron condors). Look for capitulation signals (VIX > 45, put/call > 1.3) for contrarian long entry.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: UNP (Microsoft) at $369.47. Daily chart shows a inverse head and shoulders pattern forming. Key support: $342.87. Key resistance: $433.47. Volume Profile: low volume node (price likely to move quickly through) | MACD: flat, no clear signal. Volume spike of 165% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Inverse Head And Shoulders. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $433.47 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $333.81 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $524.07 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Analyze this SEC filing disclosure for trading implications. Include EVENT classification, IMPACT assessment, and recommended ACTION.

Input: Item 2.05: Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. PayPal announced a restructuring plan expected to result in pre-tax charges of $350.0M-$534.0M. The plan includes the elimination of approximately 719 positions and the closure of 17 facilities.

Output: EVENT: Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. IMPACT: Negative. SEVERITY: High — historical base rate for this event type suggests 6-3% move. TRADE: Reduce exposure immediately. Re-evaluate at next filing.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: Durable Goods Orders: Actual 6.2% vs Estimate 5.7% vs Prior 5.2%.  Fed last action: cut rates by 50bps. Market pricing 1 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — stronger growth supports earnings expectations. BONDS: Mildly Negative — stronger growth reduces rate cut urgency. USD: Positive — economic strength supports dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Cyclicals, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary (growth beneficiaries). Avoid: Defensives, Utilities. FED POLICY: Hawkish lean — strong growth reduces urgency for accommodation.


Instruction: Evaluate this company's financial metrics. Respond with overall HEALTH assessment, notable STRENGTHS, CONCERNS, and VALUATION opinion.

Input: TXN (Walmart) — Technology. Price: $386.25. Market Cap: $2851.8B. P/E: 52.9x. Revenue: $93.1B (-13.7% YoY). EPS: $12.03 (+39.2% YoY). Gross Margin: 64.3%. Operating Margin: 13.3%. Net Margin: 8.3%. Debt/Equity: 0.03. Current Ratio: 2.77. ROE: 5.4%. FCF: $17.4B. Dividend Yield: 2.23%.

Output: HEALTH: 4/10 (Moderate). STRENGTHS: (1) Exceptional gross margin (64.3%) indicates strong pricing power and competitive moat. (2) Conservative leverage (D/E: 0.03) provides financial flexibility. (3) Strong liquidity (current ratio: 2.77) provides cushion against shocks. WEAKNESSES: (1) Declining revenue (-13.7%) raises sustainability concerns. (2) Low ROE (5.4%) suggests suboptimal capital allocation. (3) Elevated valuation (P/E: 52.9x) prices in significant future growth. Vulnerable to multiple compression. RECOMMENDATION: Mixed fundamentals. Consider entry only at pullbacks or with clear catalyst. Position size should be moderate.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: AVGO (Broadcom) at $392.96. Daily chart shows a rising wedge pattern forming. Key support: $342.11. Key resistance: $415.33. Ichimoku Cloud: bullish signal | RSI: 58 (neutral). Volume spike of 209% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Rising Wedge. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $342.11 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $422.65 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $268.89 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Assess the investment implications of these earnings figures. Include SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, and detailed ANALYSIS.

Input: AMD Q2 FY2024: Revenue $84.0B (+33.3% YoY, -10.8% vs consensus). EPS $17.21 (+42.4% YoY, -9.4% vs consensus). Gross margin 31.7% vs 29.7% prior year. Operating margin 26.0%. FCF $16.3B. CEO: 'We expect headwinds to persist through at least the next two quarters.' Guidance: Full-year revenue raised to $352.1B from prior $325.3B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 4/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 33.3% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $16.3B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Macro headwinds (inflation) could weigh on near-term price action. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: Evaluate this company's financial metrics. Respond with overall HEALTH assessment, notable STRENGTHS, CONCERNS, and VALUATION opinion.

Input: ABNB (Nike) — Energy. Price: $332.61. Market Cap: $3028.9B. P/E: 16.4x. Revenue: $11.1B (+33.8% YoY). EPS: $13.14 (+40.4% YoY). Gross Margin: 59.1%. Operating Margin: 12.6%. Net Margin: 4.1%. Debt/Equity: 2.98. Current Ratio: 3.14. ROE: 12.3%. FCF: $1.9B. Dividend Yield: 0.0%.

Output: HEALTH: 6/10 (Moderate). STRENGTHS: (1) Strong revenue growth (33.8%) signals robust demand. (2) Strong liquidity (current ratio: 3.14) provides cushion against shocks. WEAKNESSES: (1) High leverage (D/E: 2.98) increases financial risk and interest burden. RECOMMENDATION: Mixed fundamentals. Consider entry only at pullbacks or with clear catalyst. Position size should be moderate.


Instruction: Assess the investment implications of these earnings figures. Include SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, and detailed ANALYSIS.

Input: SHOP Q1 FY2023: Revenue $68.8B (+49.8% YoY, -3.5% vs consensus). EPS $12.53 (-18.3% YoY, -14.1% vs consensus). Gross margin 54.8% vs 53.9% prior year. Operating margin 42.0%. FCF $11.2B. CEO: 'We expect headwinds to persist through at least the next two quarters.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $66.0B, below consensus $69.3B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 7/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 49.8% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $11.2B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Macro headwinds (rising rates) could weigh on near-term price action. TRADE: Short on rallies to resistance at $221.07. Stop above recent high.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: ABBV (AbbVie) at $29.64. Weekly chart shows a rounding bottom pattern forming. Key support: $27.62. Key resistance: $33.11. Volume Profile: low volume node (price likely to move quickly through) | MACD: bearish crossover, histogram contracting. Volume trending below 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Rounding Bottom. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $33.11 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $27.07 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $38.6 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Caterpillar to acquire Walt Disney for $59.9B, expanding defense business

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +2-7% (Revenue acceleration signals sustainable demand growth.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual appreciation over 1 weeks as analysts revise targets.


Instruction: Evaluate the significance of this regulatory filing. Respond with EVENT type, expected IMPACT, SEVERITY rating, and trading RECOMMENDATION.

Input: Item 2.02: Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Home Depot reported preliminary Q4 results: Revenue $84.8B (17.4% YoY), Net income $1501.0M. Full results to be filed within 60 days.

Output: EVENT: Results of Operations and Financial Condition. IMPACT: Neutral. SEVERITY: Low — historical base rate for this event type suggests 8-8% move. TRADE: Hold current position. File contains no new tradeable signal.


Instruction: Evaluate these overlapping trading signals and provide a final recommendation. Respond with SIGNAL, CONVICTION, TRADE plan, and RISK parameters.

Input: NVDA (Nvidia) at $199.82. Fundamental: NVDA trades at 30.9x P/E, 13% discount to sector. Revenue growing 33% YoY. FCF yield 3.4%. Technical: Rounding Bottom pattern on daily chart. VWAP: bearish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume contracting. Sentiment: Social media mentions up 151% this week. News sentiment negative. Options flow: unusual call buying detected. Catalyst: Macro tailwind from expanded balance sheet operations.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LONG. CONVICTION: 9/10. TRADE: Enter long at $196.5 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $188.75. Target: $228.32. R:R = 4.1:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 4% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Full position at entry. Hard stop, no averaging down. Re-evaluate thesis if stopped out.


Instruction: Analyze this SEC filing disclosure for trading implications. Include EVENT classification, IMPACT assessment, and recommended ACTION.

Input: Item 2.05: Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. GE Aerospace announced a restructuring plan expected to result in pre-tax charges of $296.0M-$886.0M. The plan includes the elimination of approximately 2474 positions and the closure of 15 facilities.

Output: EVENT: Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. IMPACT: Negative. SEVERITY: High — historical base rate for this event type suggests 6-3% move. TRADE: Sell on any bounce to resistance. This overhang persists.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: CVX Q4 FY2023: Revenue $98.2B (+1.6% YoY, +13.2% vs consensus). EPS $3.14 (-14.1% YoY, -16.6% vs consensus). Gross margin 38.5% vs 41.2% prior year. Operating margin 9.6%. FCF $20.2B. CEO: 'We are seeing mixed signals across our end markets.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $392.8B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 1.6% is moderate but sustainable. (2) FCF of $20.2B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Valuation at 10.3x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: Walt Disney misses revenue estimates, guides below consensus for next quarter

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -2-6% (Institutional holders will reduce positions into strength.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 3 sessions.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: AVGO (Broadcom) at $195.41. 4-Hour chart shows a ascending triangle pattern forming. Key support: $182.5. Key resistance: $205.94. VWAP: bearish signal | Stochastic Oscillator: neutral | ATR: neutral. Volume spike of 315% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Ascending Triangle. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $205.94 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $180.16 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $229.38 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Analyze this SEC filing disclosure for trading implications. Include EVENT classification, IMPACT assessment, and recommended ACTION.

Input: Item 2.01: Completion of Acquisition or Disposition. Walt Disney completed the sale of its legacy software division to Coinbase for $9.3B. The transaction is expected to be dilutive to EPS by $0.11 in the first year.

Output: EVENT: Completion of Acquisition or Disposition. IMPACT: Positive. SEVERITY: Moderate-High — historical base rate for this event type suggests 5-10% move. TRADE: Buy the breakout if price clears resistance with volume confirmation.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: SNAP (Adobe) at $321.87. 4-Hour chart shows a descending triangle pattern forming. Key support: $287.95. Key resistance: $367.72. Volume Profile: high volume node at current price (support) | Moving Average (50-day): $327.59 (price below) | Stochastic Oscillator: bearish signal | Moving Average (200-day): $314.72 (price above). Volume spike of 275% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Descending Triangle. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $287.95 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $375.7 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $208.18 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: GDP Growth: Actual 0.0% annualized vs Estimate -1.5% vs Prior -0.3%. Personal consumption: +3.9%. Business investment: -1.6%. Fed last action: expanded balance sheet operations. Market pricing 2 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — stronger growth supports earnings expectations. BONDS: Mildly Negative — stronger growth reduces rate cut urgency. USD: Positive — economic strength supports dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Cyclicals, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary (growth beneficiaries). Avoid: Defensives, Utilities. FED POLICY: Hawkish lean — strong growth reduces urgency for accommodation.


Instruction: Analyze this options scenario and suggest an appropriate strategy. Provide STRATEGY, RATIONALE, STRUCTURE, and RISK/REWARD profile.

Input: PFE (Pfizer) at $284.0. IV: 37.7% (IV Rank: 79). DTE: 7 days. Outlook: Expecting PFE to stay range-bound between $269.8 and $298.2 over next 7 days.

Output: STRATEGY: Iron Condor (credit). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 79 favors selling premium (credit strategies). The neutral outlook aligns with Iron Condor (credit) structure. STRUCTURE: Sell 270.0 put / Buy 256.0 put / Sell 298.0 call / Buy 312.0 call. MAX PROFIT: total premium received. MAX LOSS: width of wider spread minus premium = ~$5.68. BREAKEVEN: between $261.28 and $306.72.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Merck loses major patent dispute, ordered to pay $4.5B

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -3-6% (Sell-side will likely cut estimates and price targets in coming days.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 5 sessions.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: UBER Q2 FY2023: Revenue $78.5B (+14.1% YoY, +3.6% vs consensus). EPS $4.19 (-10.9% YoY, -7.0% vs consensus). Gross margin 78.0% vs 73.7% prior year. Operating margin 46.9%. FCF $18.1B. CEO: 'We are executing on our strategic plan.' Guidance: Full-year revenue raised to $344.5B from prior $302.4B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 14.1% is moderate but sustainable. (2) Gross margin of 78.0% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $18.1B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Any deceleration in coming quarters will trigger outsized selloff from elevated expectations. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Combine these fundamental, technical, and sentiment signals into a single trading decision. Include SIGNAL direction, CONVICTION level, ENTRY/EXIT plan, and POSITION SIZE.

Input: MELI (Goldman Sachs) at $95.45. Fundamental: MELI trades at 37.1x P/E, 13% discount to sector. Revenue growing 21% YoY. FCF yield 9.8%. Technical: Head And Shoulders pattern on daily chart. Bollinger Bands: bearish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume contracting. Sentiment: Analyst consensus Strong Buy (5 analysts). Short interest 17.6%. Insider activity: net buying over last 90 days. Catalyst: Product launch next week.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LONG. CONVICTION: 9/10. TRADE: Enter long at $94.44 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $86.93. Target: $105.96. R:R = 1.5:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 5% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Enter with defined-risk options (spread) to limit downside to premium paid.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: MA Q4 FY2024: Revenue $59.3B (+19.7% YoY, +2.1% vs consensus). EPS $11.95 (+23.1% YoY, +18.4% vs consensus). Gross margin 75.5% vs 79.1% prior year. Operating margin 60.7%. FCF $4.4B. CEO: 'We are seeing unprecedented demand across all segments.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $237.2B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 4/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 19.7% is moderate but sustainable. (2) Gross margin of 75.5% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $4.4B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Any deceleration in coming quarters will trigger outsized selloff from elevated expectations. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Analyst downgrade: Bernstein cuts LIN to Underperform, cites management execution risk

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -2-6% (This is a material negative that analysts had not modeled.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual decline over 2 weeks as estimates get revised down.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Adobe recalls 2.2M units over software safety concerns

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -4-12% (This creates an overhang that will weigh on the stock near-term.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual decline over 3 weeks as estimates get revised down.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: GS (Goldman Sachs) at $380.73. 1-Hour chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. Key support: $327.1. Key resistance: $428.45. OBV: falling while price holds (distribution) | MACD: flat, no clear signal | Stochastic Oscillator: bullish signal | Moving Average (200-day): $354.62 (price above). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Symmetrical Triangle. BIAS: Neutral — wait for breakout direction. ENTRY: $380.73 — Wait for decisive break of either support or resistance with volume. STOP: $361.69 — Place stop on opposite side of the breakout. TARGET: $418.8 (R:R = 2.0:1) — Target measured move equal to the widest point of the triangle. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Walmart faces Germany regulatory ban on key product line

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-9% (Institutional holders will reduce positions into strength.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 4 sessions.