Instruction: Classify the current market regime based on these indicators. Provide REGIME type, CONFIDENCE level, and recommended POSITIONING.

Input: S&P 500: +2.2% (3-month return). VIX: 43.7. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 2.06. New 52-week highs: 378, lows: 35. 10Y yield: 3.97%, 2Y yield: 4.47% (spread: -0.5%). High-yield credit spread: 4.43%. Put/Call ratio: 1.32. Margin debt change: +0.3% MoM. Sector leaders: Real Estate, Healthcare, Financials. Sector laggards: Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples.

Output: REGIME: High Volatility — Crisis/Stress. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Elevated VIX signals stress and uncertainty. Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. Elevated put/call ratio (1.32) suggests bearish sentiment (contrarian bullish). POSITIONING: Maximum defensive positioning. Overweight cash, short-term bonds, gold. Sell premium only with defined risk (iron condors). Look for capitulation signals (VIX > 45, put/call > 1.3) for contrarian long entry.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: Non-Farm Payrolls: Actual 365K vs Estimate 396K vs Prior 238K (revised from 247K). Unemployment rate: 5.0%. Average hourly earnings: +2.6% YoY. Fed last action: held rates steady. Market pricing 2 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Negative — weaker growth raises recession concerns. BONDS: Positive — flight to safety and rate cut expectations boost bonds. USD: Negative — growth concerns weaken dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Defensives, Healthcare, Utilities, Consumer Staples. Avoid: Cyclicals, Small caps. FED POLICY: Dovish lean — weak growth may accelerate rate cuts.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: PG (Procter & Gamble) at $303.16. 1-Hour chart shows a double top pattern forming. Key support: $270.9. Key resistance: $343.69. Moving Average (50-day): $325.71 (price below) | Moving Average (200-day): $330.54 (price below) | MACD: bullish crossover, histogram expanding | Volume Profile: high volume node at current price (support). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Double Top. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $270.9 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $350.97 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $198.11 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Uber warns of semiconductor supply chain disruptions through H2 2025

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-11% (The market will price in elevated uncertainty for several weeks.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate selloff, may stabilize at next support level within 1-2 days.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Shopify faces UK regulatory ban on key product line

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-10% (This is a material negative that analysts had not modeled.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 3 weeks.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: V (Visa), Financials. Portfolio weight: 5.8%. Holding period: 1 year. Entry: $119.56, Current: $99.79 (-16.5%). 20-day volatility: 33.3%. Beta: 0.76. Short interest: 9.2%. P/E: 50.1x. Debt/Equity: 0.77. Upcoming catalysts: CEO transition in progress; earnings report in 17 days; tariff risk on 52% of supply chain.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 3/10 (Low). KEY RISKS: (1) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. (2) Tariff exposure introduces policy-driven downside risk. MITIGATION: (1) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 10% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Assess the investment implications of these earnings figures. Include SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, and detailed ANALYSIS.

Input: COST Q3 FY2025: Revenue $42.1B (+11.2% YoY, -9.6% vs consensus). EPS $7.3 (+35.4% YoY, -9.5% vs consensus). Gross margin 30.2% vs 31.3% prior year. Operating margin 17.0%. FCF $2.8B. CEO: 'We are prioritizing profitability over top-line growth.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $39.9B, below consensus $43.7B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 8/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 11.2% is moderate but sustainable. (2) FCF of $2.8B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Macro headwinds (FX) could weigh on near-term price action. TRADE: Reduce position by 32%. Re-evaluate at next earnings.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: Retail Sales: Actual 3.9% vs Estimate 3.4% vs Prior 5.4%.  Fed last action: announced tapering of asset purchases. Market pricing 1 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — stronger growth supports earnings expectations. BONDS: Mildly Negative — stronger growth reduces rate cut urgency. USD: Positive — economic strength supports dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Cyclicals, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary (growth beneficiaries). Avoid: Defensives, Utilities. FED POLICY: Hawkish lean — strong growth reduces urgency for accommodation.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Actual -1.0% vs Estimate 0.3% vs Prior 0.9%.  Fed last action: raised rates by 25bps. Market pricing 4 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Negative — softer data raises caution. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Positive. USD: Mildly Negative. SECTOR ROTATION: Mild defensive tilt. Wait for confirmation before major rotation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Block loses major patent dispute, ordered to pay $8.9B

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-9% (This creates an overhang that will weigh on the stock near-term.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 4 sessions.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: MDB (Johnson & Johnson) at $271.32. Weekly chart shows a descending triangle pattern forming. Key support: $245.11. Key resistance: $296.41. RSI: 52 (neutral) | VWAP: bearish signal. Volume trending above 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Descending Triangle. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $245.11 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $301.54 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $193.81 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Assess the trading implications of this headline. Give DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE (percentage range), and TIMEFRAME for the expected move.

Input: Salesforce CFO resigns unexpectedly; shares drop 5% after hours

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -3-11% (Institutional holders will reduce positions into strength.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual decline over 2 weeks as estimates get revised down.


Instruction: Analyze these market conditions and classify the current regime. Include REGIME type, DURATION estimate, and PORTFOLIO implications.

Input: S&P 500: +28.1% (3-month return). VIX: 10.0. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 1.07. New 52-week highs: 405, lows: 182. 10Y yield: 4.02%, 2Y yield: 2.65% (spread: +1.37%). High-yield credit spread: 4.69%. Put/Call ratio: 1.4. Margin debt change: -18.5% MoM. Sector leaders: Materials, Utilities, Healthcare. Sector laggards: Technology, Financials, Consumer Discretionary.

Output: REGIME: Bull Market — Low Volatility Uptrend. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Low VIX supports risk-on positioning. Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. Elevated put/call ratio (1.4) suggests bearish sentiment (contrarian bullish). POSITIONING: Full equity allocation. Overweight momentum and growth. Sell put spreads for income (premium is cheap). Use trailing stops rather than fixed stops. Watch for complacency signals (VIX < 12, extreme margin debt).


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: NET Q4 FY2024: Revenue $72.7B (+43.7% YoY, -2.9% vs consensus). EPS $18.31 (+8.2% YoY, +15.2% vs consensus). Gross margin 34.2% vs 31.7% prior year. Operating margin 22.7%. FCF $12.7B. CEO: 'We expect headwinds to persist through at least the next two quarters.' Guidance: Full-year revenue raised to $311.0B from prior $279.3B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 3/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 43.7% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $12.7B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Macro headwinds (FX) could weigh on near-term price action. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: DOJ opens antitrust investigation into Costco's search practices

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -2-10% (This creates an overhang that will weigh on the stock near-term.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 4 weeks.


Instruction: Assess the risk profile of this portfolio position. Provide RISK LEVEL, KEY RISKS, MITIGATION strategies, and POSITION SIZING recommendation.

Input: Position: QCOM (Tesla), Consumer Staples. Portfolio weight: 9.9%. Holding period: 1 year. Entry: $107.65, Current: $123.51 (+14.7%). 20-day volatility: 55.4%. Beta: 1.81. Short interest: 7.7%. P/E: 48.5x. Debt/Equity: 1.0. Upcoming catalysts: antitrust ruling pending; contract renewal with largest customer (33% of revenue); FDA decision expected next week; earnings report in 24 days.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 6/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (55.4%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) High beta (1.81) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (3) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. (4) FDA decision is a high-impact binary event with extreme outcome dispersion. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <5.0% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (3) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 5.0% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Identify the market regime from this data. Respond with REGIME classification, supporting EVIDENCE, and STRATEGY adjustments.

Input: S&P 500: +26.9% (3-month return). VIX: 42.4. S&P vs 200-day MA: below. Advance/Decline ratio: 2.04. New 52-week highs: 60, lows: 50. 10Y yield: 2.8%, 2Y yield: 5.43% (spread: -2.63%). High-yield credit spread: 3.38%. Put/Call ratio: 0.91. Margin debt change: -10.4% MoM. Sector leaders: Industrials, Technology, Materials. Sector laggards: Healthcare, Financials, Consumer Discretionary.

Output: REGIME: High Volatility — Crisis/Stress. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Elevated VIX signals stress and uncertainty. Price below 200-day MA confirms downtrend. POSITIONING: Maximum defensive positioning. Overweight cash, short-term bonds, gold. Sell premium only with defined risk (iron condors). Look for capitulation signals (VIX > 45, put/call > 1.3) for contrarian long entry.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: IBM (IBM) at $37.35. 1-Hour chart shows a bull flag pattern forming. Key support: $34.62. Key resistance: $40.87. VWAP: neutral | MACD: bearish crossover, histogram contracting. Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Bull Flag. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $40.87 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $33.99 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $47.12 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Walt Disney refinances $11.4B in debt at 3.74% vs prior 7.56%

Output: DIRECTION: Neutral. MAGNITUDE: +/-1% (noise range). This is expected news with no new information for the market. TIMEFRAME: No sustained directional move expected.


Instruction: Evaluate these overlapping trading signals and provide a final recommendation. Respond with SIGNAL, CONVICTION, TRADE plan, and RISK parameters.

Input: CSCO (Chevron) at $295.03. Fundamental: CSCO fairly valued at 17.4x P/E. Stable 7% revenue growth. Margins in line with peers. Technical: Broadening Formation pattern on daily chart. Fibonacci Retracement: bearish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume expanding. Sentiment: Social media mentions up 75% this week. News sentiment negative. Options flow: unusual call buying detected. Catalyst: Sector rotation favoring Technology names.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LONG. CONVICTION: 7/10. TRADE: Enter long at $289.47 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $267.53. Target: $323.11. R:R = 1.5:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 2% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Trail stop using 16-day ATR. Take partial profits at 1R, let remainder run.


Instruction: Analyze the downside risks of this position. Respond with RISK LEVEL, RISK FACTORS, worst-case SCENARIO, and recommended RISK MANAGEMENT actions.

Input: Position: MRK (Merck), Healthcare. Portfolio weight: 12.7%. Holding period: 1 year. Entry: $302.9, Current: $278.46 (-8.1%). 20-day volatility: 30.8%. Beta: 0.59. Short interest: 16.5%. P/E: 77.2x. Debt/Equity: 2.65. Upcoming catalysts: major product launch upcoming; earnings report in 2 days; CEO transition in progress.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 4/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Concentrated position (12.7%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (2) High short interest (16.5%) creates squeeze risk in both directions. (3) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. MITIGATION: (1) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (2) Trim to max 10% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 10% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Evaluate these overlapping trading signals and provide a final recommendation. Respond with SIGNAL, CONVICTION, TRADE plan, and RISK parameters.

Input: LYFT (Netflix) at $367.71. Fundamental: LYFT fairly valued at 21.6x P/E. Stable 7% revenue growth. Margins in line with peers. Technical: Ascending Triangle pattern on daily chart. MACD: bullish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume average. Sentiment: Social media mentions up 68% this week. News sentiment mixed. Options flow: unusual call buying detected. Catalyst: Macro tailwind from cut rates by 25bps.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LONG. CONVICTION: 8/10. TRADE: Enter long at $362.8 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $339.99. Target: $438.49. R:R = 3.3:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 2% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Trail stop using 16-day ATR. Take partial profits at 1R, let remainder run.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Starbucks raises dividend by 11% to $4.41 per share

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +1-5% (Market will re-rate the stock higher on improved forward estimates.) TIMEFRAME: Gap up at open, consolidation over 2 days.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: UBER Q1 FY2024: Revenue $59.1B (-4.5% YoY, -0.5% vs consensus). EPS $4.89 (+14.6% YoY, +2.6% vs consensus). Gross margin 63.8% vs 68.4% prior year. Operating margin 39.1%. FCF $12.8B. CEO: 'We are investing aggressively because the opportunity is enormous.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $236.4B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 3/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -4.5% signals weakening demand. (2) Gross margin of 63.8% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $12.8B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Sector rotation out of Materials could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: Consumer Confidence: Actual 6.3% vs Estimate 7.1% vs Prior 7.0%.  Fed last action: raised rates by 25bps. Market pricing 4 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Negative — softer data raises caution. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Positive. USD: Mildly Negative. SECTOR ROTATION: Mild defensive tilt. Wait for confirmation before major rotation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: PCE Price Index: Actual 4.1% YoY vs Estimate 5.1% vs Prior 2.7%. Core PCE Price Index (ex food & energy): 3.3% YoY. Fed last action: cut rates by 50bps. Market pricing 4 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — cooling inflation supports rate cut expectations, expands multiples. BONDS: Positive — yields fall (prices rise) on lower rate expectations. USD: Negative — rate cut expectations weaken dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Growth tech, REITs, Small caps (rate-sensitive beneficiaries). Avoid: Energy, Commodity plays. FED POLICY: Dovish — increases probability of rate cuts. Market may price in earlier and/or larger cuts.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: ROKU (Starbucks) at $335.6. Weekly chart shows a broadening formation pattern forming. Key support: $297.55. Key resistance: $376.58. Bollinger Bands: bands expanding (trend strengthening) | MACD: bullish crossover, histogram expanding | Moving Average (200-day): $323.53 (price above). Volume spike of 273% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Broadening Formation. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $297.55 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $384.48 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $218.52 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: UPST (Intel), Financials. Portfolio weight: 24.5%. Holding period: 1 year. Entry: $423.72, Current: $490.58 (+15.8%). 20-day volatility: 21.9%. Beta: 2.3. Short interest: 2.9%. P/E: 25.8x. Debt/Equity: 0.21. Upcoming catalysts: CEO transition in progress; major product launch upcoming; FDA decision expected next month; earnings report in 18 days.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 7/10 (High). KEY RISKS: (1) High beta (2.3) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (2) Concentrated position (24.5%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (3) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. (4) FDA decision is a high-impact binary event with extreme outcome dispersion. MITIGATION: (1) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (2) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. (3) Trim to max 9.9% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 9.9% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Evaluate this company's financial metrics. Respond with overall HEALTH assessment, notable STRENGTHS, CONCERNS, and VALUATION opinion.

Input: SBUX (Starbucks) — Utilities. Price: $269.29. Market Cap: $1975.9B. P/E: 9.4x. Revenue: $54.0B (+49.8% YoY). EPS: $19.59 (+27.8% YoY). Gross Margin: 36.3%. Operating Margin: 16.4%. Net Margin: 13.5%. Debt/Equity: 2.72. Current Ratio: 3.02. ROE: 38.0%. FCF: $4.7B. Dividend Yield: 1.48%.

Output: HEALTH: 6/10 (Moderate). STRENGTHS: (1) Strong revenue growth (49.8%) signals robust demand. (2) ROE of 38.0% demonstrates efficient capital deployment. (3) Strong liquidity (current ratio: 3.02) provides cushion against shocks. (4) Attractive valuation (P/E: 9.4x) provides margin of safety. WEAKNESSES: (1) High leverage (D/E: 2.72) increases financial risk and interest burden. RECOMMENDATION: Mixed fundamentals. Consider entry only at pullbacks or with clear catalyst. Position size should be moderate.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: ABT (Alphabet) at $326.44. Weekly chart shows a triple bottom pattern forming. Key support: $288.88. Key resistance: $387.22. OBV: rising while price consolidates (accumulation) | Moving Average (50-day): $316.14 (price above). Volume spike of 244% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Triple Bottom. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $387.22 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $279.05 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $485.56 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: DOJ opens antitrust investigation into Intel's payments practices

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -6-13% (Sell-side will likely cut estimates and price targets in coming days.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 2 weeks.


Instruction: Analyze this options scenario and suggest an appropriate strategy. Provide STRATEGY, RATIONALE, STRUCTURE, and RISK/REWARD profile.

Input: ORCL (Boeing) at $139.34. IV: 41.6% (IV Rank: 76). DTE: 7 days. Outlook: Expecting ORCL to stay range-bound between $132.37 and $146.31 over next 7 days.

Output: STRATEGY: Iron Condor (credit). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 76 favors selling premium (credit strategies). The neutral outlook aligns with Iron Condor (credit) structure. STRUCTURE: Sell 132.0 put / Buy 125.0 put / Sell 146.0 call / Buy 153.0 call. MAX PROFIT: total premium received. MAX LOSS: width of wider spread minus premium = ~$2.79. BREAKEVEN: between $128.19 and $150.49.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: IBM CFO resigns unexpectedly; shares drop 9% after hours

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -2-9% (This is a material negative that analysts had not modeled.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate selloff, may stabilize at next support level within 1-2 days.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Johnson & Johnson announces ${buyback_b}B share buyback program

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +3-6% (The magnitude of the beat/raise suggests conservative prior guidance.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual appreciation over 2 weeks as analysts revise targets.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: SBUX (Starbucks) at $64.84. Daily chart shows a descending triangle pattern forming. Key support: $57.05. Key resistance: $71.93. Moving Average (50-day): $65.6 (price below) | Moving Average (200-day): $58.66 (price above) | RSI: 28 (oversold). Volume spike of 330% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Descending Triangle. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $57.05 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $73.42 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $42.17 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: XOM (ExxonMobil), Energy. Portfolio weight: 9.0%. Holding period: 6 months. Entry: $167.73, Current: $199.3 (+18.8%). 20-day volatility: 39.6%. Beta: 1.95. Short interest: 15.3%. P/E: 37.9x. Debt/Equity: 1.02. Upcoming catalysts: earnings report in 7 days; FDA decision expected in Q2; CEO transition in progress; tariff risk on 32% of supply chain.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 6/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) High beta (1.95) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (2) High short interest (15.3%) creates squeeze risk in both directions. (3) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. (4) FDA decision is a high-impact binary event with extreme outcome dispersion. (5) Tariff exposure introduces policy-driven downside risk. MITIGATION: (1) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (2) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 6.5% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Synthesize these multi-factor trading signals into an actionable trade recommendation. Provide OVERALL SIGNAL, CONVICTION (1-10), TRADE details, and RISK MANAGEMENT plan.

Input: AAPL (Apple) at $188.97. Fundamental: AAPL P/E at 72.7x, 22% premium to sector. Revenue decelerating from 29% to 9% YoY. Margin pressure. Technical: Falling Wedge pattern on daily chart. Fibonacci Retracement: bullish signal. Price below 50-day MA. Volume average. Sentiment: Analyst consensus Hold (30 analysts). Short interest 9.9%. Insider activity: net buying over last 90 days. Catalyst: Macro tailwind from cut rates by 50bps.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LEAN LONG. CONVICTION: 4/10. TRADE: Enter long at $185.71 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $172.46. Target: $229.21. R:R = 3.3:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 5% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Trail stop using 20-day ATR. Take partial profits at 1R, let remainder run.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: NVDA (Nvidia), Technology. Portfolio weight: 17.7%. Holding period: 1 week. Entry: $225.28, Current: $251.05 (+11.4%). 20-day volatility: 74.9%. Beta: 1.1. Short interest: 24.4%. P/E: 78.8x. Debt/Equity: 0.11. Upcoming catalysts: debt maturity of $3.8B in 3 months; earnings report in 2 days; contract renewal with largest customer (14% of revenue); major product launch this quarter.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 7/10 (High). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (74.9%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) Concentrated position (17.7%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (3) High short interest (24.4%) creates squeeze risk in both directions. (4) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. (5) Near-term debt maturity creates refinancing risk. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <6.1% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (3) Trim to max 6.1% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 6.1% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Recommend an options strategy for this scenario. Include STRATEGY name, STRUCTURE (legs), MAX PROFIT, MAX LOSS, and BREAKEVEN.

Input: MDB (Nike) at $348.85. IV: 64.9% (IV Rank: 46). DTE: 30 days. Outlook: Expecting MDB to decline 6% over next 30 days.

Output: STRATEGY: Bear Put Spread (debit). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 46 makes buying options relatively cheap (debit strategies). The bearish outlook aligns with Bear Put Spread (debit) structure. STRUCTURE: Buy 349.0 put, sell 314.0 put. MAX PROFIT: width of spread minus debit = ~$20.93. MAX LOSS: debit paid. BREAKEVEN: long strike minus debit paid.


Instruction: Evaluate this company's financial metrics. Respond with overall HEALTH assessment, notable STRENGTHS, CONCERNS, and VALUATION opinion.

Input: MSFT (Microsoft) — Technology. Price: $422.8. Market Cap: $598.2B. P/E: 62.3x. Revenue: $4.7B (+2.6% YoY). EPS: $16.32 (+2.0% YoY). Gross Margin: 61.2%. Operating Margin: 42.1%. Net Margin: 10.5%. Debt/Equity: 2.51. Current Ratio: 0.9. ROE: 35.7%. FCF: $0.3B. Dividend Yield: 1.35%.

Output: HEALTH: 5/10 (Moderate). STRENGTHS: (1) Exceptional gross margin (61.2%) indicates strong pricing power and competitive moat. (2) ROE of 35.7% demonstrates efficient capital deployment. WEAKNESSES: (1) High leverage (D/E: 2.51) increases financial risk and interest burden. (2) Current ratio below 1.0 (0.9) raises short-term liquidity concerns. (3) Elevated valuation (P/E: 62.3x) prices in significant future growth. Vulnerable to multiple compression. RECOMMENDATION: Mixed fundamentals. Consider entry only at pullbacks or with clear catalyst. Position size should be moderate.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: LOW (GE Aerospace) at $49.81. Weekly chart shows a triple bottom pattern forming. Key support: $42.37. Key resistance: $59.34. OBV: confirming price trend (healthy) | RSI: 66 (neutral) | MACD: flat, no clear signal | Stochastic Oscillator: bullish signal. Volume trending below 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Triple Bottom. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $59.34 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $40.67 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $76.31 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Identify the market regime from this data. Respond with REGIME classification, supporting EVIDENCE, and STRATEGY adjustments.

Input: S&P 500: +11.8% (3-month return). VIX: 52.9. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 2.63. New 52-week highs: 63, lows: 107. 10Y yield: 5.28%, 2Y yield: 2.16% (spread: +3.12%). High-yield credit spread: 3.32%. Put/Call ratio: 1.01. Margin debt change: -6.6% MoM. Sector leaders: Financials, Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary. Sector laggards: Technology, Healthcare, Consumer Staples.

Output: REGIME: High Volatility — Crisis/Stress. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Elevated VIX signals stress and uncertainty. Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. Elevated put/call ratio (1.01) suggests bearish sentiment (contrarian bullish). POSITIONING: Maximum defensive positioning. Overweight cash, short-term bonds, gold. Sell premium only with defined risk (iron condors). Look for capitulation signals (VIX > 45, put/call > 1.3) for contrarian long entry.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: QCOM Q4 FY2024: Revenue $52.0B (+17.1% YoY, -7.9% vs consensus). EPS $17.0 (+45.6% YoY, +4.2% vs consensus). Gross margin 37.4% vs 36.9% prior year. Operating margin 10.5%. FCF $8.3B. CEO: 'Demand softened in the back half of the quarter.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $48.0B, below consensus $54.6B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 9/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 17.1% is moderate but sustainable. (2) FCF of $8.3B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Sector rotation out of Technology could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: Reduce position by 28%. Re-evaluate at next earnings.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 2.06: Material Impairments. Bristol-Myers Squibb determined that a non-cash impairment charge of approximately $5.9B is required related to its goodwill assets. The impairment reflects competitive pressures.

Output: EVENT: Material Impairments. IMPACT: Positive. SEVERITY: Low — historical base rate for this event type suggests 10-2% move. TRADE: Initiate position. Set stop below pre-announcement price.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: RIVN (Chevron) at $381.57. Weekly chart shows a bear flag pattern forming. Key support: $353.92. Key resistance: $453.51. Fibonacci Retracement: bullish signal | Ichimoku Cloud: bullish signal | ATR: bullish signal | Moving Average (200-day): $375.35 (price above). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Bear Flag. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $353.92 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $463.47 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $254.33 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: Johnson & Johnson warns of lithium battery supply chain disruptions through H2 2025

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -3-7% (This is a material negative that analysts had not modeled.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate selloff, may stabilize at next support level within 1-2 days.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: COP (UnitedHealth) at $363.65. 1-Hour chart shows a cup and handle pattern forming. Key support: $310.52. Key resistance: $389.49. OBV: rising while price consolidates (accumulation) | Moving Average (200-day): $366.0 (price below). Volume spike of 276% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Cup And Handle. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $389.49 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $302.62 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $468.46 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: COST Q2 FY2023: Revenue $46.1B (-10.0% YoY, +4.4% vs consensus). EPS $11.19 (+6.3% YoY, +20.1% vs consensus). Gross margin 48.6% vs 46.3% prior year. Operating margin 26.7%. FCF $13.1B. CEO: 'Adoption is accelerating faster than our most optimistic projections.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $184.4B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -10.0% signals weakening demand. (2) FCF of $13.1B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Macro headwinds (FX) could weigh on near-term price action. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Evaluate these overlapping trading signals and provide a final recommendation. Respond with SIGNAL, CONVICTION, TRADE plan, and RISK parameters.

Input: PFE (Pfizer) at $120.58. Fundamental: PFE fairly valued at 18.8x P/E. Stable 6% revenue growth. Margins in line with peers. Technical: Inverse Head And Shoulders pattern on daily chart. Bollinger Bands: neutral. Price above 50-day MA. Volume contracting. Sentiment: Analyst consensus Buy (35 analysts). Short interest 4.0%. Insider activity: net selling over last 90 days. Catalyst: Product launch next quarter.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LEAN SHORT. CONVICTION: 6/10. TRADE: Enter short at $120.76 (rally to resistance or breakdown with volume). Stop loss: $125.69. Target: $105.8. R:R = 3.0:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 3% of portfolio (short positions sized conservatively). RISK MANAGEMENT: Scale in: 50% at entry, 50% on confirmation. Move stop to breakeven after 1R profit.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: V Q3 FY2023: Revenue $71.0B (+27.7% YoY, +8.9% vs consensus). EPS $19.13 (+26.4% YoY, +6.2% vs consensus). Gross margin 69.2% vs 69.4% prior year. Operating margin 62.1%. FCF $5.9B. CEO: 'Our competitive moat has never been wider.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $284.0B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 27.7% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) Gross margin of 69.2% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $5.9B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Sector rotation out of Financials could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: ISM Services PMI: Actual 59.0 vs Estimate 57.1 vs Prior 58.2. New orders: 61.1. Employment: 47.4. Prices paid: 67.2. Reading indicates expansion territory. Fed last action: raised rates by 25bps. Market pricing 1 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — stronger growth supports earnings expectations. BONDS: Mildly Negative — stronger growth reduces rate cut urgency. USD: Positive — economic strength supports dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Cyclicals, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary (growth beneficiaries). Avoid: Defensives, Utilities. FED POLICY: Hawkish lean — strong growth reduces urgency for accommodation.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: Housing Starts: Actual 5.8% vs Estimate 4.6% vs Prior 6.2%.  Fed last action: signaled a dovish pivot. Market pricing 0 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Positive — better-than-expected data supports economic outlook. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Negative. USD: Mildly Positive. SECTOR ROTATION: No strong rotation signal. Monitor follow-up data for trend confirmation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: GRAB Q1 FY2024: Revenue $20.3B (+24.4% YoY, +7.0% vs consensus). EPS $17.76 (+50.5% YoY, +13.2% vs consensus). Gross margin 65.1% vs 67.5% prior year. Operating margin 8.9%. FCF $3.7B. CEO: 'Our competitive moat has never been wider.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $81.2B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 24.4% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) Gross margin of 65.1% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $3.7B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Sector rotation out of Consumer Staples could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Recommend an options strategy for this scenario. Include STRATEGY name, STRUCTURE (legs), MAX PROFIT, MAX LOSS, and BREAKEVEN.

Input: LOW (Coinbase) at $113.12. IV: 73.0% (IV Rank: 62). DTE: 30 days. Outlook: Looking to generate income on existing LOW long position of 1000 shares at $113.12.

Output: STRATEGY: Covered Call (overwrite). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 62 favors selling premium (credit strategies). The income outlook aligns with Covered Call (overwrite) structure. STRUCTURE: Sell 119.0 call against existing shares. MAX PROFIT: premium + appreciation to strike = ~$7.92. MAX LOSS: stock decline minus premium = risk below $110.86. BREAKEVEN: strike price + premium = $121.04.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: Consumer Confidence: Actual 1.1% vs Estimate 0.5% vs Prior 2.3%.  Fed last action: raised rates by 50bps. Market pricing 3 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Positive — better-than-expected data supports economic outlook. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Negative. USD: Mildly Positive. SECTOR ROTATION: No strong rotation signal. Monitor follow-up data for trend confirmation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Evaluate the trading implications of this economic indicator. Include expected IMPACT on major asset classes and SECTOR rotation signals.

Input: Unemployment Rate: Actual 4.2% vs Estimate 3.1% vs Prior 3.6%.  Fed last action: raised rates by 50bps. Market pricing 4 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Positive — better-than-expected data supports economic outlook. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Negative. USD: Mildly Positive. SECTOR ROTATION: No strong rotation signal. Monitor follow-up data for trend confirmation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Identify the market regime from this data. Respond with REGIME classification, supporting EVIDENCE, and STRATEGY adjustments.

Input: S&P 500: -20.7% (3-month return). VIX: 21.0. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 1.94. New 52-week highs: 427, lows: 407. 10Y yield: 3.06%, 2Y yield: 4.02% (spread: -0.96%). High-yield credit spread: 2.24%. Put/Call ratio: 1.3. Margin debt change: +17.7% MoM. Sector leaders: Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Consumer Staples. Sector laggards: Technology, Healthcare, Financials.

Output: REGIME: Late Cycle — Yield Curve Inversion. CONFIDENCE: Moderate. EVIDENCE: Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. Elevated put/call ratio (1.3) suggests bearish sentiment (contrarian bullish). POSITIONING: Gradually reduce cyclical exposure. Increase quality and defensive allocation. Begin building short-term bond positions. Historically 12-18 months to recession after sustained inversion — not an immediate sell signal.


Instruction: Evaluate the trading implications of this economic indicator. Include expected IMPACT on major asset classes and SECTOR rotation signals.

Input: GDP Growth: Actual 6.4% annualized vs Estimate 5.7% vs Prior 5.8%. Personal consumption: +3.2%. Business investment: +4.2%. Fed last action: signaled a hawkish pause. Market pricing 2 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — stronger growth supports earnings expectations. BONDS: Mildly Negative — stronger growth reduces rate cut urgency. USD: Positive — economic strength supports dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Cyclicals, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary (growth beneficiaries). Avoid: Defensives, Utilities. FED POLICY: Hawkish lean — strong growth reduces urgency for accommodation.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: GOOGL Q2 FY2023: Revenue $16.9B (+13.9% YoY, +11.0% vs consensus). EPS $8.63 (+52.8% YoY, -6.4% vs consensus). Gross margin 31.4% vs 34.2% prior year. Operating margin 6.0%. FCF $1.4B. CEO: 'We expect to significantly outperform the market this year.' Guidance: Next quarter revenue $18.7B, above consensus $16.3B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bullish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 7/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 13.9% is moderate but sustainable. (2) FCF of $1.4B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Sector rotation out of Communication Services could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: Initiate or add to long position. Target $264.24 over next 2 months.


Instruction: Assess the investment implications of these earnings figures. Include SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, and detailed ANALYSIS.

Input: HUBS Q1 FY2025: Revenue $73.0B (-11.4% YoY, +5.9% vs consensus). EPS $4.75 (+18.1% YoY, +6.1% vs consensus). Gross margin 68.5% vs 65.4% prior year. Operating margin 16.2%. FCF $13.3B. CEO: 'We expect to significantly outperform the market this year.' Guidance: Full-year revenue raised to $301.5B from prior $285.7B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 4/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -11.4% signals weakening demand. (2) Gross margin of 68.5% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $13.3B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Sector rotation out of Healthcare could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 2.05: Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. JPMorgan Chase announced a restructuring plan expected to result in pre-tax charges of $270.0M-$631.0M. The plan includes the elimination of approximately 811 positions and the closure of 17 facilities.

Output: EVENT: Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. IMPACT: Negative. SEVERITY: High — historical base rate for this event type suggests 6-3% move. TRADE: Short-term avoid. Wait for market to fully price the negative event.


Instruction: Review these financial ratios and provide an investment-oriented analysis. Include HEALTH rating (1-10), STRENGTHS, WEAKNESSES, and RECOMMENDATION.

Input: PYPL (PayPal) — Real Estate. Price: $98.19. Market Cap: $440.4B. P/E: 30.4x. Revenue: $94.1B (+45.7% YoY). EPS: $5.59 (+10.6% YoY). Gross Margin: 55.9%. Operating Margin: 26.4%. Net Margin: 13.1%. Debt/Equity: 1.93. Current Ratio: 1.79. ROE: 5.4%. FCF: $17.7B. Dividend Yield: 3.48%.

Output: HEALTH: 6/10 (Moderate). STRENGTHS: (1) Strong revenue growth (45.7%) signals robust demand. WEAKNESSES: (1) Low ROE (5.4%) suggests suboptimal capital allocation. RECOMMENDATION: Mixed fundamentals. Consider entry only at pullbacks or with clear catalyst. Position size should be moderate.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: FDA grants breakthrough designation to JPMorgan Chase's lead drug candidate

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +4-10% (This is a material positive catalyst that was not priced in.) TIMEFRAME: Gap up at open, consolidation over 2 days.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: COP (AbbVie) at $253.26. Weekly chart shows a falling wedge pattern forming. Key support: $237.19. Key resistance: $273.47. RSI: 60 (neutral) | VWAP: bearish signal | Volume Profile: high volume node at current price (support) | Moving Average (200-day): $275.17 (price below). Volume trending below 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Falling Wedge. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $273.47 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $233.56 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $309.75 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: AbbVie free cash flow jumps 78% to $1.3B in Q1

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +1-3% (Institutional buyers will accumulate on any dips.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate jump at open, may see profit-taking by end of day.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: ISM Services PMI: Actual 59.3 vs Estimate 59.0 vs Prior 58.6. New orders: 47.2. Employment: 49.7. Prices paid: 42.4. Reading indicates expansion territory. Fed last action: cut rates by 50bps. Market pricing 0 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — stronger growth supports earnings expectations. BONDS: Mildly Negative — stronger growth reduces rate cut urgency. USD: Positive — economic strength supports dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Cyclicals, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary (growth beneficiaries). Avoid: Defensives, Utilities. FED POLICY: Hawkish lean — strong growth reduces urgency for accommodation.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: Palo Alto Networks key executive sells $38.0M in shares via 10b5-1 plan

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -6-8% (Institutional holders will reduce positions into strength.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual decline over 1 weeks as estimates get revised down.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: NKE (Nike) at $45.86. 4-Hour chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. Key support: $39.16. Key resistance: $49.76. OBV: rising while price consolidates (accumulation) | ATR: bullish signal | RSI: 45 (neutral) | Ichimoku Cloud: neutral. Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Symmetrical Triangle. BIAS: Neutral — wait for breakout direction. ENTRY: $45.86 — Wait for decisive break of either support or resistance with volume. STOP: $43.57 — Place stop on opposite side of the breakout. TARGET: $50.45 (R:R = 2.0:1) — Target measured move equal to the widest point of the triangle. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Classify the current market regime based on these indicators. Provide REGIME type, CONFIDENCE level, and recommended POSITIONING.

Input: S&P 500: -8.5% (3-month return). VIX: 35.5. S&P vs 200-day MA: below. Advance/Decline ratio: 1.39. New 52-week highs: 455, lows: 195. 10Y yield: 4.97%, 2Y yield: 4.26% (spread: +0.71%). High-yield credit spread: 4.33%. Put/Call ratio: 0.84. Margin debt change: -5.7% MoM. Sector leaders: Consumer Staples, Materials, Real Estate. Sector laggards: Technology, Healthcare, Financials.

Output: REGIME: High Volatility — Crisis/Stress. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Elevated VIX signals stress and uncertainty. Price below 200-day MA confirms downtrend. POSITIONING: Maximum defensive positioning. Overweight cash, short-term bonds, gold. Sell premium only with defined risk (iron condors). Look for capitulation signals (VIX > 45, put/call > 1.3) for contrarian long entry.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Uber enters AI agents market, analysts see $113.2B TAM opportunity

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +5-10% (Institutional buyers will accumulate on any dips.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual appreciation over 2 weeks as analysts revise targets.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: CRM (Salesforce) at $372.85. Daily chart shows a double top pattern forming. Key support: $325.32. Key resistance: $433.48. Moving Average (200-day): $385.91 (price below) | Volume Profile: POC (Point of Control) at nearby resistance | Ichimoku Cloud: bullish signal. Volume spike of 334% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Double Top. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $325.32 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $444.3 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $217.16 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: BRK.B (IBM), Healthcare. Portfolio weight: 18.5%. Holding period: 1 year. Entry: $476.89, Current: $442.59 (-7.2%). 20-day volatility: 48.5%. Beta: 2.35. Short interest: 14.9%. P/E: 61.7x. Debt/Equity: 0.27. Upcoming catalysts: FDA decision expected next week; CEO transition in progress; earnings report in 20 days; contract renewal with largest customer (30% of revenue).

Output: RISK LEVEL: 8/10 (High). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (48.5%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) High beta (2.35) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (3) Concentrated position (18.5%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (4) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. (5) FDA decision is a high-impact binary event with extreme outcome dispersion. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <4.4% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (3) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. (4) Trim to max 4.4% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 4.4% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Analyze this SEC filing disclosure for trading implications. Include EVENT classification, IMPACT assessment, and recommended ACTION.

Input: Item 2.01: Completion of Acquisition or Disposition. Starbucks completed the sale of its media division to Nike for $26.5B. The transaction is expected to be dilutive to EPS by $0.11 in the first year.

Output: EVENT: Completion of Acquisition or Disposition. IMPACT: Mildly Positive. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 5-10% move. TRADE: Initiate position. Set stop below pre-announcement price.


Instruction: Classify the current market regime based on these indicators. Provide REGIME type, CONFIDENCE level, and recommended POSITIONING.

Input: S&P 500: +4.4% (3-month return). VIX: 51.1. S&P vs 200-day MA: below. Advance/Decline ratio: 2.1. New 52-week highs: 460, lows: 344. 10Y yield: 4.28%, 2Y yield: 4.98% (spread: -0.7%). High-yield credit spread: 1.66%. Put/Call ratio: 1.26. Margin debt change: +13.6% MoM. Sector leaders: Financials, Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary. Sector laggards: Technology, Consumer Staples, Energy.

Output: REGIME: High Volatility — Crisis/Stress. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Elevated VIX signals stress and uncertainty. Price below 200-day MA confirms downtrend. Elevated put/call ratio (1.26) suggests bearish sentiment (contrarian bullish). POSITIONING: Maximum defensive positioning. Overweight cash, short-term bonds, gold. Sell premium only with defined risk (iron condors). Look for capitulation signals (VIX > 45, put/call > 1.3) for contrarian long entry.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) at $292.09. 1-Hour chart shows a falling wedge pattern forming. Key support: $261.01. Key resistance: $340.95. Moving Average (50-day): $295.17 (price below) | MACD: divergence from price (bullish). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Falling Wedge. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $340.95 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $253.02 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $420.89 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: Unemployment Rate: Actual 5.5% vs Estimate 5.1% vs Prior 5.9%.  Fed last action: cut rates by 25bps. Market pricing 2 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Positive — better-than-expected data supports economic outlook. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Negative. USD: Mildly Positive. SECTOR ROTATION: No strong rotation signal. Monitor follow-up data for trend confirmation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: JOLTS Job Openings: Actual 6.3% vs Estimate 7.7% vs Prior 6.8%.  Fed last action: announced tapering of asset purchases. Market pricing 3 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Mildly Negative — softer data raises caution. BONDS: Neutral to Mildly Positive. USD: Mildly Negative. SECTOR ROTATION: Mild defensive tilt. Wait for confirmation before major rotation. FED POLICY: No material change to Fed expectations from this single data point.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 8.01: Other Events. Walt Disney announced a $14.5B accelerated share repurchase program. Operations are expected to begin in Q3.

Output: EVENT: Other Events. IMPACT: Positive. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 4-6% move. TRADE: Buy the breakout if price clears resistance with volume confirmation.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) at $62.3. 1-Hour chart shows a rising wedge pattern forming. Key support: $58.74. Key resistance: $74.47. Ichimoku Cloud: bullish signal | RSI: 43 (neutral) | VWAP: bullish signal | Volume Profile: high volume node at current price (support). Volume trending below 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Rising Wedge. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $58.74 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $76.04 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $43.01 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Synthesize these multi-factor trading signals into an actionable trade recommendation. Provide OVERALL SIGNAL, CONVICTION (1-10), TRADE details, and RISK MANAGEMENT plan.

Input: UPS (CrowdStrike) at $73.53. Fundamental: UPS trades at 40.5x P/E, 33% discount to sector. Revenue growing 21% YoY. FCF yield 7.5%. Technical: Double Bottom pattern on daily chart. VWAP: bullish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume average. Sentiment: Social media mentions up 229% this week. News sentiment negative. Options flow: unusual call buying detected. Catalyst: Sector rotation favoring Financials names.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LONG. CONVICTION: 7/10. TRADE: Enter long at $72.91 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $69.44. Target: $86.48. R:R = 3.9:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 2% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Full position at entry. Hard stop, no averaging down. Re-evaluate thesis if stopped out.


Instruction: Evaluate these overlapping trading signals and provide a final recommendation. Respond with SIGNAL, CONVICTION, TRADE plan, and RISK parameters.

Input: ORCL (AMD) at $346.24. Fundamental: ORCL trades at 40.9x P/E, 38% discount to sector. Revenue growing 11% YoY. FCF yield 6.2%. Technical: Inverse Head And Shoulders pattern on daily chart. Bollinger Bands: bearish signal. Price below 50-day MA. Volume contracting. Sentiment: Social media mentions up 139% this week. News sentiment mixed. Options flow: unusual put buying detected. Catalyst: Earnings in 17 days. Whisper number 5% above consensus.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LEAN LONG. CONVICTION: 5/10. TRADE: Enter long at $344.27 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $325.2. Target: $382.68. R:R = 2.0:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 2% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Scale in: 50% at entry, 50% on confirmation. Move stop to breakeven after 1R profit.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Chevron reports negative free cash flow of -$202.0M for first time in 3 years

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -3-7% (Sell-side will likely cut estimates and price targets in coming days.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 2 weeks.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: SOFI Q3 FY2023: Revenue $99.3B (+29.2% YoY, -4.3% vs consensus). EPS $0.75 (+53.4% YoY, +13.7% vs consensus). Gross margin 60.6% vs 63.7% prior year. Operating margin 5.5%. FCF $10.7B. CEO: 'We expect to significantly outperform the market this year.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $91.3B, below consensus $103.4B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 6/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 29.2% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) Gross margin of 60.6% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $10.7B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Valuation at 21.6x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: Exit long positions. Wait for stabilization before re-entry.


Instruction: Analyze this SEC filing disclosure for trading implications. Include EVENT classification, IMPACT assessment, and recommended ACTION.

Input: Item 2.02: Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Palantir reported preliminary Q3 results: Revenue $79.1B (14.8% YoY), Net income $3604.0M. Full results to be filed within 60 days.

Output: EVENT: Results of Operations and Financial Condition. IMPACT: Neutral. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 8-8% move. TRADE: No immediate action. Monitor for follow-up disclosures.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: PPI: Actual 0.5% YoY vs Estimate 1.8% vs Prior 1.3%. Core PPI (ex food & energy): -0.1% YoY. Fed last action: raised rates by 50bps. Market pricing 2 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — cooling inflation supports rate cut expectations, expands multiples. BONDS: Positive — yields fall (prices rise) on lower rate expectations. USD: Negative — rate cut expectations weaken dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Growth tech, REITs, Small caps (rate-sensitive beneficiaries). Avoid: Energy, Commodity plays. FED POLICY: Dovish — increases probability of rate cuts. Market may price in earlier and/or larger cuts.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Goldman Sachs launches digital payment solution to strong initial demand, pre-orders exceed expectations

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +2-4% (Institutional buyers will accumulate on any dips.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate jump at open, may see profit-taking by end of day.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: Durable Goods Orders: Actual 3.2% vs Estimate 2.9% vs Prior 5.0%.  Fed last action: raised rates by 25bps. Market pricing 4 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — stronger growth supports earnings expectations. BONDS: Mildly Negative — stronger growth reduces rate cut urgency. USD: Positive — economic strength supports dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Cyclicals, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary (growth beneficiaries). Avoid: Defensives, Utilities. FED POLICY: Hawkish lean — strong growth reduces urgency for accommodation.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: IBM (IBM) at $76.06. 1-Hour chart shows a ascending triangle pattern forming. Key support: $66.56. Key resistance: $87.8. Moving Average (200-day): $75.2 (price above) | RSI: 51 (neutral) | Moving Average (50-day): $80.96 (price below) | MACD: flat, no clear signal. Volume trending above 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Ascending Triangle. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $87.8 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $64.44 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $109.04 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: PayPal CFO resigns unexpectedly; shares drop 6% after hours

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -3-5% (This creates an overhang that will weigh on the stock near-term.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 1 weeks.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: UBER (Uber), Healthcare. Portfolio weight: 11.2%. Holding period: 6 months. Entry: $478.96, Current: $607.6 (+26.9%). 20-day volatility: 55.0%. Beta: 1.72. Short interest: 10.4%. P/E: 57.6x. Debt/Equity: 1.43. Upcoming catalysts: debt maturity of $1.8B in 1 months; antitrust ruling pending.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 6/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (55.0%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) High beta (1.72) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (3) Concentrated position (11.2%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (4) Near-term debt maturity creates refinancing risk. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <5.3% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. (3) Trim to max 5.3% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 5.3% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: WMT (Walmart) at $140.84. Daily chart shows a rounding bottom pattern forming. Key support: $120.49. Key resistance: $155.55. RSI: 56 (neutral) | Fibonacci Retracement: bearish signal | Moving Average (50-day): $133.93 (price above). Volume spike of 184% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Rounding Bottom. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $155.55 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $116.98 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $190.61 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: Meta Platforms CFO resigns unexpectedly; shares drop 9% after hours

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -6-12% (This creates an overhang that will weigh on the stock near-term.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate selloff, may stabilize at next support level within 1-2 days.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Alphabet data breach exposes 41M customer records

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -3-10% (Institutional holders will reduce positions into strength.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual decline over 2 weeks as estimates get revised down.


Instruction: Analyze this technical chart setup and provide a trading recommendation. Include PATTERN, BIAS, ENTRY, STOP, and TARGET.

Input: NOW (Palo Alto Networks) at $348.95. 4-Hour chart shows a head and shoulders pattern forming. Key support: $315.15. Key resistance: $406.47. Moving Average (200-day): $338.55 (price above) | VWAP: bearish signal. Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Head And Shoulders. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $315.15 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $415.6 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $223.83 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: Durable Goods Orders: Actual 3.0% vs Estimate 4.1% vs Prior 4.9%.  Fed last action: announced tapering of asset purchases. Market pricing 1 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Negative — weaker growth raises recession concerns. BONDS: Positive — flight to safety and rate cut expectations boost bonds. USD: Negative — growth concerns weaken dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Defensives, Healthcare, Utilities, Consumer Staples. Avoid: Cyclicals, Small caps. FED POLICY: Dovish lean — weak growth may accelerate rate cuts.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) at $226.21. Daily chart shows a falling wedge pattern forming. Key support: $198.14. Key resistance: $259.89. Stochastic Oscillator: bullish signal | Moving Average (50-day): $222.51 (price above) | OBV: falling while price holds (distribution). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Falling Wedge. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $259.89 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $191.96 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $321.64 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Synthesize these multi-factor trading signals into an actionable trade recommendation. Provide OVERALL SIGNAL, CONVICTION (1-10), TRADE details, and RISK MANAGEMENT plan.

Input: HD (Home Depot) at $198.9. Fundamental: HD fairly valued at 15.9x P/E. Stable 15% revenue growth. Margins in line with peers. Technical: Ascending Triangle pattern on daily chart. Bollinger Bands: bearish signal. Price above 50-day MA. Volume average. Sentiment: Social media mentions up 386% this week. News sentiment negative. Options flow: unusual put buying detected. Catalyst: Macro tailwind from raised rates by 50bps.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: LONG. CONVICTION: 9/10. TRADE: Enter long at $198.1 (pullback to support or breakout with volume). Stop loss: $184.76. Target: $231.88. R:R = 2.5:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 4% of portfolio (conviction-adjusted). RISK MANAGEMENT: Enter with defined-risk options (spread) to limit downside to premium paid.


Instruction: Analyze this macroeconomic data release and its market implications. Provide IMPACT on equities, bonds, and USD, plus SECTOR implications.

Input: PPI: Actual 0.8% YoY vs Estimate 0.4% vs Prior 0.0%. Core PPI (ex food & energy): -0.2% YoY. Fed last action: raised rates by 25bps. Market pricing 4 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Negative — higher inflation raises rate hike expectations, compresses multiples. BONDS: Negative — yields rise (prices fall) on higher rate expectations. USD: Positive — higher rates support dollar strength. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Energy, Commodities, Financials (rate beneficiaries). Avoid: Growth tech, REITs, Utilities (rate sensitive). FED POLICY: Hawkish — reduces probability of near-term rate cuts. Market may reprice terminal rate higher.


Instruction: Evaluate this financial headline for its stock price impact. Include DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME in your analysis.

Input: Nike to acquire Intel for $29.8B, expanding healthcare business

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +1-5% (Market will re-rate the stock higher on improved forward estimates.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual appreciation over 2 weeks as analysts revise targets.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: PG Q3 FY2025: Revenue $53.5B (+42.1% YoY, 0.0% vs consensus). EPS $4.62 (+3.0% YoY, -18.9% vs consensus). Gross margin 62.7% vs 66.2% prior year. Operating margin 35.3%. FCF $6.8B. CEO: 'We remain focused on our long-term strategy.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $48.6B, below consensus $56.0B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 6/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 42.1% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) Gross margin of 62.7% indicates strong pricing power. (3) FCF of $6.8B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Valuation at 17.0x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: Reduce position by 43%. Re-evaluate at next earnings.


Instruction: Analyze this SEC filing disclosure for trading implications. Include EVENT classification, IMPACT assessment, and recommended ACTION.

Input: Item 7.01: Regulation FD Disclosure. PepsiCo furnished an investor presentation disclosing updated long-term financial targets. Key highlights include new $5B addressable market entry and new strategic partnership pipeline.

Output: EVENT: Regulation FD Disclosure. IMPACT: Mildly Positive. SEVERITY: Low — historical base rate for this event type suggests 3-5% move. TRADE: Initiate position. Set stop below pre-announcement price.


Instruction: Analyze these financial ratios and assess the company's financial health. Provide HEALTH rating, KEY STRENGTHS, KEY WEAKNESSES, and INVESTMENT THESIS.

Input: META (Meta Platforms) — Communication Services. Price: $55.5. Market Cap: $441.1B. P/E: 66.6x. Revenue: $62.8B (-12.5% YoY). EPS: $12.4 (-21.1% YoY). Gross Margin: 31.8%. Operating Margin: 24.2%. Net Margin: 10.9%. Debt/Equity: 2.09. Current Ratio: 2.3. ROE: 17.3%. FCF: $8.0B. Dividend Yield: 3.1%.

Output: HEALTH: 2/10 (Weak). STRENGTHS: (1) No standout financial strengths identified. WEAKNESSES: (1) Declining revenue (-12.5%) raises sustainability concerns. (2) High leverage (D/E: 2.09) increases financial risk and interest burden. (3) Elevated valuation (P/E: 66.6x) prices in significant future growth. Vulnerable to multiple compression. RECOMMENDATION: Unattractive fundamentals. Avoid or short. Multiple red flags suggest deteriorating business quality.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: AMD reports Q4 earnings in line with expectations

Output: DIRECTION: Neutral. MAGNITUDE: +/-1% (noise range). No surprises here — stock trades on other catalysts. TIMEFRAME: No sustained directional move expected.


Instruction: Analyze this SEC filing disclosure for trading implications. Include EVENT classification, IMPACT assessment, and recommended ACTION.

Input: Item 2.02: Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Shopify reported preliminary Q4 results: Revenue $27.7B (22.0% YoY), Net income $3942.0M. Full results to be filed within 60 days.

Output: EVENT: Results of Operations and Financial Condition. IMPACT: Mildly Positive. SEVERITY: Low — historical base rate for this event type suggests 8-8% move. TRADE: Add on pullbacks. This is a material positive catalyst.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: MSFT (Microsoft) at $238.57. Weekly chart shows a bear flag pattern forming. Key support: $219.14. Key resistance: $258.82. MACD: divergence from price (bullish) | OBV: falling while price holds (distribution) | Moving Average (50-day): $227.43 (price above) | Fibonacci Retracement: neutral. Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Bear Flag. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $219.14 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $262.79 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $179.46 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Recommend an options strategy for this scenario. Include STRATEGY name, STRUCTURE (legs), MAX PROFIT, MAX LOSS, and BREAKEVEN.

Input: ZS (Palantir) at $109.89. IV: 23.9% (IV Rank: 46). DTE: 45 days. Outlook: Expecting ZS to decline 9% over next 45 days.

Output: STRATEGY: Bear Put Spread (debit). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 46 makes buying options relatively cheap (debit strategies). The bearish outlook aligns with Bear Put Spread (debit) structure. STRUCTURE: Buy 110.0 put, sell 99.0 put. MAX PROFIT: width of spread minus debit = ~$6.59. MAX LOSS: debit paid. BREAKEVEN: long strike minus debit paid.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb) at $171.68. Daily chart shows a ascending triangle pattern forming. Key support: $149.49. Key resistance: $196.91. Bollinger Bands: bands expanding (trend strengthening) | Moving Average (200-day): $168.0 (price above) | VWAP: bearish signal | ATR: bearish signal. Volume spike of 155% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Ascending Triangle. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $196.91 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $144.75 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $244.33 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Combine these fundamental, technical, and sentiment signals into a single trading decision. Include SIGNAL direction, CONVICTION level, ENTRY/EXIT plan, and POSITION SIZE.

Input: RTX (JPMorgan Chase) at $179.06. Fundamental: RTX P/E at 73.9x, 41% premium to sector. Revenue decelerating from 21% to 13% YoY. Margin pressure. Technical: Broadening Formation pattern on daily chart. Fibonacci Retracement: neutral. Price above 50-day MA. Volume contracting. Sentiment: Analyst consensus Sell (27 analysts). Short interest 8.6%. Insider activity: net selling over last 90 days. Catalyst: Earnings in 16 days. Whisper number 3% above consensus.

Output: OVERALL SIGNAL: SHORT. CONVICTION: 8/10. TRADE: Enter short at $179.83 (rally to resistance or breakdown with volume). Stop loss: $191.87. Target: $161.31. R:R = 1.5:1. POSITION SIZE: Size: 3% of portfolio (short positions sized conservatively). RISK MANAGEMENT: Trail stop using 19-day ATR. Take partial profits at 1R, let remainder run.


Instruction: Assess how this macro data point affects the market outlook. Respond with IMPACT on equities/bonds/FX, SECTOR effects, and FED POLICY implications.

Input: PCE Price Index: Actual 1.7% YoY vs Estimate 2.2% vs Prior 3.5%. Core PCE Price Index (ex food & energy): 1.3% YoY. Fed last action: expanded balance sheet operations. Market pricing 4 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — cooling inflation supports rate cut expectations, expands multiples. BONDS: Positive — yields fall (prices rise) on lower rate expectations. USD: Negative — rate cut expectations weaken dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Growth tech, REITs, Small caps (rate-sensitive beneficiaries). Avoid: Energy, Commodity plays. FED POLICY: Dovish — increases probability of rate cuts. Market may price in earlier and/or larger cuts.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: PG Q1 FY2023: Revenue $79.3B (+20.3% YoY, +1.7% vs consensus). EPS $11.89 (-14.3% YoY, -5.2% vs consensus). Gross margin 54.1% vs 50.3% prior year. Operating margin 7.3%. FCF $4.3B. CEO: 'We expect to significantly outperform the market this year.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $317.2B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 5/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 20.3% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $4.3B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Valuation at 43.5x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: DOJ opens antitrust investigation into Broadcom's advertising practices

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -3-7% (Sell-side will likely cut estimates and price targets in coming days.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual decline over 2 weeks as estimates get revised down.


Instruction: Analyze this SEC filing disclosure for trading implications. Include EVENT classification, IMPACT assessment, and recommended ACTION.

Input: Item 2.01: Completion of Acquisition or Disposition. Mastercard completed the previously announced acquisition of Netflix for $12.7B in cash and stock. The acquisition adds manufacturing capacity to Mastercard's portfolio.

Output: EVENT: Completion of Acquisition or Disposition. IMPACT: Mildly Positive. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 5-10% move. TRADE: Add on pullbacks. This is a material positive catalyst.


Instruction: Classify this SEC filing event and assess its market impact. Provide EVENT type, IMPACT direction, SEVERITY, and TRADE recommendation.

Input: Item 2.01: Completion of Acquisition or Disposition. Walmart completed the previously announced acquisition of Apple for $5.3B in cash and stock. The acquisition adds AI capabilities to Walmart's portfolio.

Output: EVENT: Completion of Acquisition or Disposition. IMPACT: Positive. SEVERITY: Moderate — historical base rate for this event type suggests 5-10% move. TRADE: Add on pullbacks. This is a material positive catalyst.


Instruction: Evaluate this technical analysis scenario. Respond with PATTERN identified, directional BIAS, and specific ENTRY/STOP/TARGET levels.

Input: SOFI (Bristol-Myers Squibb) at $75.34. Daily chart shows a inverse head and shoulders pattern forming. Key support: $68.44. Key resistance: $85.8. Moving Average (50-day): $81.53 (price below) | Volume Profile: low volume node (price likely to move quickly through) | Bollinger Bands: price at upper band (potential reversal) | MACD: flat, no clear signal. Volume trending below 20-day average.

Output: PATTERN: Inverse Head And Shoulders. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $85.8 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $66.7 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $103.16 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Wait for a daily close beyond the level — intraday fakeouts are common with this pattern.


Instruction: Evaluate the trading implications of this economic indicator. Include expected IMPACT on major asset classes and SECTOR rotation signals.

Input: PPI: Actual 3.2% YoY vs Estimate 4.5% vs Prior 3.7%. Core PPI (ex food & energy): 2.5% YoY. Fed last action: expanded balance sheet operations. Market pricing 2 rate cuts in next 12 months.

Output: EQUITIES: Positive — cooling inflation supports rate cut expectations, expands multiples. BONDS: Positive — yields fall (prices rise) on lower rate expectations. USD: Negative — rate cut expectations weaken dollar. SECTOR ROTATION: Rotate to: Growth tech, REITs, Small caps (rate-sensitive beneficiaries). Avoid: Energy, Commodity plays. FED POLICY: Dovish — increases probability of rate cuts. Market may price in earlier and/or larger cuts.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: NU (Broadcom) at $118.48. Weekly chart shows a inverse head and shoulders pattern forming. Key support: $102.61. Key resistance: $137.46. Stochastic Oscillator: neutral | Ichimoku Cloud: neutral | Volume Profile: low volume node (price likely to move quickly through). Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Inverse Head And Shoulders. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $137.46 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $99.12 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $172.31 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Volume must be at least 1.5x average on the breakout candle for confirmation.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: HOOD Q3 FY2023: Revenue $90.2B (+8.7% YoY, +12.2% vs consensus). EPS $6.89 (+44.7% YoY, -14.2% vs consensus). Gross margin 42.8% vs 38.2% prior year. Operating margin 12.5%. FCF $19.5B. CEO: 'We remain focused on our long-term strategy.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $79.1B, below consensus $90.6B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 7/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 8.7% is moderate but sustainable. (2) FCF of $19.5B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Any deceleration in coming quarters will trigger outsized selloff from elevated expectations. TRADE: Short on rallies to resistance at $458.92. Stop above recent high.


Instruction: Given this market outlook and position, recommend an options trade. Include STRATEGY, detailed STRUCTURE with strikes, MAX PROFIT, MAX LOSS, and BREAKEVEN levels.

Input: VEEV (Bristol-Myers Squibb) at $134.76. IV: 78.8% (IV Rank: 5). DTE: 14 days. Outlook: Expecting VEEV to move higher by 12% over next 14 days.

Output: STRATEGY: Bull Call Spread (debit). RATIONALE: IV Rank at 5 makes buying options relatively cheap (debit strategies). The bullish outlook aligns with Bull Call Spread (debit) structure. STRUCTURE: Buy 135.0 call, sell 148.0 call. MAX PROFIT: width of spread minus debit = ~$8.09. MAX LOSS: debit paid. BREAKEVEN: long strike plus debit paid.


Instruction: Identify the market regime from this data. Respond with REGIME classification, supporting EVIDENCE, and STRATEGY adjustments.

Input: S&P 500: +20.2% (3-month return). VIX: 13.8. S&P vs 200-day MA: above. Advance/Decline ratio: 0.59. New 52-week highs: 99, lows: 361. 10Y yield: 4.5%, 2Y yield: 5.4% (spread: -0.9%). High-yield credit spread: 1.87%. Put/Call ratio: 0.53. Margin debt change: -11.7% MoM. Sector leaders: Industrials, Consumer Staples, Communication Services. Sector laggards: Technology, Healthcare, Financials.

Output: REGIME: Bull Market — Low Volatility Uptrend. CONFIDENCE: High. EVIDENCE: Low VIX supports risk-on positioning. Price above 200-day MA confirms uptrend. Low put/call ratio (0.53) suggests complacency (contrarian bearish). POSITIONING: Full equity allocation. Overweight momentum and growth. Sell put spreads for income (premium is cheap). Use trailing stops rather than fixed stops. Watch for complacency signals (VIX < 12, extreme margin debt).


Instruction: Assess the trading implications of this headline. Give DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE (percentage range), and TIMEFRAME for the expected move.

Input: Goldman Sachs beats earnings estimates by 19%, raises full-year guidance

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +1-3% (Institutional buyers will accumulate on any dips.) TIMEFRAME: Immediate jump at open, may see profit-taking by end of day.


Instruction: What is the likely stock price reaction to this headline? Specify DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Netflix announces 13K layoffs as part of restructuring

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -2-9% (Sell-side will likely cut estimates and price targets in coming days.) TIMEFRAME: Extended weakness lasting 1 weeks.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: SNOW Q4 FY2025: Revenue $47.1B (-11.1% YoY, +5.5% vs consensus). EPS $9.96 (+11.9% YoY, +4.1% vs consensus). Gross margin 58.5% vs 54.4% prior year. Operating margin 47.5%. FCF $5.8B. CEO: 'Our competitive moat has never been wider.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $43.4B, below consensus $47.7B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 8/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -11.1% signals weakening demand. (2) FCF of $5.8B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Sector rotation out of Technology could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: Reduce position by 68%. Re-evaluate at next earnings.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: HUBS Q1 FY2024: Revenue $1.6B (-9.7% YoY, +10.6% vs consensus). EPS $1.17 (+36.0% YoY, +14.0% vs consensus). Gross margin 42.8% vs 46.7% prior year. Operating margin 21.9%. FCF $0.1B. CEO: 'We are investing aggressively because the opportunity is enormous.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $1.4B, below consensus $1.7B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 7/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -9.7% signals weakening demand. (2) FCF of $0.1B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Any deceleration in coming quarters will trigger outsized selloff from elevated expectations. TRADE: Exit long positions. Wait for stabilization before re-entry.


Instruction: Evaluate the risk factors for this investment. Include RISK LEVEL (1-10), specific RISKS identified, and HEDGING recommendations.

Input: Position: NET (ExxonMobil), Materials. Portfolio weight: 5.4%. Holding period: 1 month. Entry: $469.07, Current: $371.49 (-20.8%). 20-day volatility: 75.4%. Beta: 0.78. Short interest: 9.9%. P/E: 27.1x. Debt/Equity: 0.49. Upcoming catalysts: antitrust ruling pending; major product launch upcoming; earnings report in 28 days.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 4/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (75.4%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <8.5% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 8.5% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Analyze this earnings report excerpt for trading signals. Provide SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), and ANALYSIS.

Input: BA Q1 FY2023: Revenue $26.6B (+27.7% YoY, -11.8% vs consensus). EPS $8.45 (-7.5% YoY, -8.6% vs consensus). Gross margin 38.9% vs 38.1% prior year. Operating margin 23.2%. FCF $4.4B. CEO: 'We are navigating a challenging macro environment.' Guidance: Maintained full-year outlook unchanged at $106.4B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 3/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 27.7% shows strong demand acceleration. (2) FCF of $4.4B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Valuation at 33.8x P/E prices in continued execution. TRADE: Maintain current position. No new information to trade on.


Instruction: Assess the investment implications of these earnings figures. Include SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH, and detailed ANALYSIS.

Input: HUBS Q3 FY2023: Revenue $43.8B (-0.2% YoY, -2.3% vs consensus). EPS $17.19 (-15.5% YoY, -3.5% vs consensus). Gross margin 52.8% vs 50.8% prior year. Operating margin 22.9%. FCF $12.6B. CEO: 'We are executing on our strategic plan.' Guidance: Full-year revenue raised to $192.5B from prior $166.7B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Neutral. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 4/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue decline of -0.2% signals weakening demand. (2) FCF of $12.6B represents healthy cash conversion. RISK: Sector rotation out of Technology could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: No action required. Monitor for catalysts.


Instruction: Analyze the downside risks of this position. Respond with RISK LEVEL, RISK FACTORS, worst-case SCENARIO, and recommended RISK MANAGEMENT actions.

Input: Position: MCD (JPMorgan Chase), Healthcare. Portfolio weight: 3.4%. Holding period: 6 months. Entry: $125.51, Current: $129.15 (+2.9%). 20-day volatility: 58.1%. Beta: 1.92. Short interest: 5.2%. P/E: 65.9x. Debt/Equity: 0.46. Upcoming catalysts: antitrust ruling pending; contract renewal with largest customer (10% of revenue); earnings report in 7 days; FDA decision expected in Q2.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 5/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) Elevated volatility (58.1%) increases potential for large adverse moves. (2) High beta (1.92) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (3) Upcoming earnings creates binary event risk. (4) FDA decision is a high-impact binary event with extreme outcome dispersion. MITIGATION: (1) Reduce position to <4.5% to normalize volatility contribution. (2) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (3) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 4.5% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: LIN (Nvidia) at $96.74. 4-Hour chart shows a broadening formation pattern forming. Key support: $85.8. Key resistance: $104.48. Ichimoku Cloud: neutral | Moving Average (50-day): $104.02 (price below) | MACD: divergence from price (bullish) | Volume Profile: POC (Point of Control) at nearby resistance. Volume declining into pattern — watch for breakout volume confirmation.

Output: PATTERN: Broadening Formation. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $85.8 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $106.35 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $67.12 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: ExxonMobil enters green hydrogen market, analysts see $27.9B TAM opportunity

Output: DIRECTION: Positive. MAGNITUDE: +1-4% (This is a material positive catalyst that was not priced in.) TIMEFRAME: Gradual appreciation over 2 weeks as analysts revise targets.


Instruction: Classify this headline's impact on stock price. Respond with DIRECTION, MAGNITUDE, and TIMEFRAME.

Input: Johnson & Johnson inventory builds 31% QoQ, raising channel stuffing concerns

Output: DIRECTION: Negative. MAGNITUDE: -5-10% (This is a material negative that analysts had not modeled.) TIMEFRAME: Initial gap down, continued selling for 4 sessions.


Instruction: Assess the risk profile of this portfolio position. Provide RISK LEVEL, KEY RISKS, MITIGATION strategies, and POSITION SIZING recommendation.

Input: Position: COIN (Coinbase), Utilities. Portfolio weight: 20.7%. Holding period: 1 week. Entry: $174.88, Current: $209.59 (+19.8%). 20-day volatility: 38.4%. Beta: 1.57. Short interest: 5.9%. P/E: 26.5x. Debt/Equity: 0.26. Upcoming catalysts: major product launch this quarter; FDA decision expected next week; contract renewal with largest customer (15% of revenue); CEO transition in progress.

Output: RISK LEVEL: 6/10 (Moderate). KEY RISKS: (1) High beta (1.57) amplifies market drawdown exposure. (2) Concentrated position (20.7%) — single-stock risk is elevated. (3) FDA decision is a high-impact binary event with extreme outcome dispersion. MITIGATION: (1) Consider protective puts or collar strategy ahead of binary event. (2) Hedge with index puts or pair with low-beta names to reduce portfolio beta. (3) Trim to max 8.3% to prevent outsized single-name impact. POSITION SIZING: Max recommended weight is 8.3% given current volatility and beta profile.


Instruction: Assess this price action setup for trading opportunities. Provide PATTERN, BIAS, key LEVELS, and TRADE plan.

Input: HUBS (Coca-Cola) at $318.11. Weekly chart shows a falling wedge pattern forming. Key support: $298.31. Key resistance: $341.52. Moving Average (200-day): $336.13 (price below) | Moving Average (50-day): $318.48 (price below) | Volume Profile: high volume node at current price (support) | Fibonacci Retracement: neutral. Volume spike of 328% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Falling Wedge. BIAS: Bullish. ENTRY: $341.52 — Enter long on breakout above resistance with volume confirmation. STOP: $293.99 — Place stop below pattern low / most recent swing low. TARGET: $384.73 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakout. CONFIRMATION: Enter half position on break, add remaining half on successful retest.


Instruction: Analyze the likely market reaction to this news headline. Provide DIRECTION, estimated MAGNITUDE, and expected TIMEFRAME.

Input: Amazon files 10-K with SEC, no material changes from preliminary results

Output: DIRECTION: Neutral. MAGNITUDE: +/-1% (noise range). Routine corporate action with no material impact on fundamentals. TIMEFRAME: No sustained directional move expected.


Instruction: Review this technical setup and recommend a trade. Include PATTERN recognition, BIAS, ENTRY point, STOP loss, and profit TARGET.

Input: DIS (Walt Disney) at $111.08. Weekly chart shows a broadening formation pattern forming. Key support: $94.67. Key resistance: $116.72. Moving Average (200-day): $121.15 (price below) | OBV: falling while price holds (distribution) | RSI: 30 (neutral) | Moving Average (50-day): $118.37 (price below). Volume spike of 284% on recent candle.

Output: PATTERN: Broadening Formation. BIAS: Bearish. ENTRY: $94.67 — Enter short on breakdown below support with volume confirmation. STOP: $118.92 — Place stop above pattern high / most recent swing high. TARGET: $72.62 (R:R = 0.9:1) — Target measured move equal to pattern height projected from breakdown. CONFIRMATION: Look for a retest of the breakout level as new support/resistance before full entry.


Instruction: Evaluate these quarterly earnings results. Respond with SENTIMENT, SIGNAL STRENGTH (1-10), key ANALYSIS points, and a TRADE recommendation.

Input: HUBS Q1 FY2024: Revenue $62.2B (+12.2% YoY, -10.9% vs consensus). EPS $2.84 (+39.6% YoY, +23.8% vs consensus). Gross margin 43.5% vs 42.4% prior year. Operating margin 10.5%. FCF $6.4B. CEO: 'The near-term outlook remains uncertain.' Guidance: Lowered next quarter revenue to $57.5B, below consensus $65.1B.

Output: SENTIMENT: Bearish. SIGNAL STRENGTH: 6/10. ANALYSIS: (1) Revenue growth of 12.2% is moderate but sustainable. (2) FCF of $6.4B is below optimal — monitor capital allocation. RISK: Sector rotation out of Industrials could offset fundamental strength. TRADE: Reduce position by 34%. Re-evaluate at next earnings.