diff --git "a/task_b_7b/train.json" "b/task_b_7b/train.json"
new file mode 100644--- /dev/null
+++ "b/task_b_7b/train.json"
@@ -0,0 +1,15752 @@
+[
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl161_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl161_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl162_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl162_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl163_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl163_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl164_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl164_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl166_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl166_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl167_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl167_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl168_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl168_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl172_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl172_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl173_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl173_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl175_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl175_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl178_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl178_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl26_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl26_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl29_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl29_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl30_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl30_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl364_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl364_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl367_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl367_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl369_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl369_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl370_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl370_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl371_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl371_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl373_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl373_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl375_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl375_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl377_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl377_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl378_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl378_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl379_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl379_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl381_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl381_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl382_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl382_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl383_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl383_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl386_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl386_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl388_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl388_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl393_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl393_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl394_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl394_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl395_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl395_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl399_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl399_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl400_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl400_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl402_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl402_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl404_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl404_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl405_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl405_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl406_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl406_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl407_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl407_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl408_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl408_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl409_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl409_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl410_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl410_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl411_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl411_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl412_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl412_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl413_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl413_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl414_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl414_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl415_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl415_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl416_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl416_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl417_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl417_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl418_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl418_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl419_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl419_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl420_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl420_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl421_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl421_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl422_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl422_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl423_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl423_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl449_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl449_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl452_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl452_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl453_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl453_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl458_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl458_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl611_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl611_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl618_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl618_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl61_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl61_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl627_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl627_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl630_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl630_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl638_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl638_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl644_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl644_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl646_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl646_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl661_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl661_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl667_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl667_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl668_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl668_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl673_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl673_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl674_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl674_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl677_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl677_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl678_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl678_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl681_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl681_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl682_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl682_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl685_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl685_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl686_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl686_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl691_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl691_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl695_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl695_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl698_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl698_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl702_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl702_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl70_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl70_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl805_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl805_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl827_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl827_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl829_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl829_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl831_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl831_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl832_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl832_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl833_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl833_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl844_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl844_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl846_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl846_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl847_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl847_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl848_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl848_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl849_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl849_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl850_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl850_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl854_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl854_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl855_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl855_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl856_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl856_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl860_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl860_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl97_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl97_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl161_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl161_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl163_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl163_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl164_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl164_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl166_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl166_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl167_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl167_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl168_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl168_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl172_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl172_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl173_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl173_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl175_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl175_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl178_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl178_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl26_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl26_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl29_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl29_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl30_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl30_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl364_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl364_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl367_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl367_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl369_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl369_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl370_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl370_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl371_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl371_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl373_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl373_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl375_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl375_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl377_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl377_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl378_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl378_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl379_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl379_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl381_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl381_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl382_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl382_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl383_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl383_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl386_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl386_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl388_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl388_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl390_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl390_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl393_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl393_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl394_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl394_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl395_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl395_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl399_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl399_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl400_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl400_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl402_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl402_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl404_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl404_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl405_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl405_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl406_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl406_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl407_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl407_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl408_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl408_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl409_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl409_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl410_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl410_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl411_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl411_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl412_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl412_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl413_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl413_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl414_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 ��)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl414_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl415_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl415_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl416_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl416_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl417_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl417_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl418_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl418_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl419_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl419_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl420_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl420_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl421_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl421_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl422_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl422_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl423_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl423_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl449_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl449_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl452_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl452_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl453_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl453_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl458_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl458_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl611_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl611_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl618_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl618_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl61_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 ��)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl61_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl627_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl627_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl630_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl630_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl638_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl638_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl644_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl644_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl646_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl646_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl661_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl661_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl667_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl667_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl668_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl668_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl673_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl673_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl674_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl674_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl677_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl677_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl678_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl678_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl681_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl681_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl682_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl682_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl685_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl685_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl686_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl686_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl691_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl691_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl695_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl695_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl698_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl698_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl702_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl702_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl70_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl70_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl805_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl805_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl822_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl822_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl827_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl827_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl829_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl829_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl831_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl831_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl832_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl832_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl833_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl833_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl844_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl844_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl846_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl846_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl847_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl847_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl848_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl848_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl849_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl849_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl850_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl850_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl854_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl854_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl855_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl855_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl856_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl856_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_stay_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl97_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_stay",
+    "oracle": "D,G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_stay_7b_gpu2_failed_stay_3turn_diverse_targets_clean_v3_repeat3_20260512_1342_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl97_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl122_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl122_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl124_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl124_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl126_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl126_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl128_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl128_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl130_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl130_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl134_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl134_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl136_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl136_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl137_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl137_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl138_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl138_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl13_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl13_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl140_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl140_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl143_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl143_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl145_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl145_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl146_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl146_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl148_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl148_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl151_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl151_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl154_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl154_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl155_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl155_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl156_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl156_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl161_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl161_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl164_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl164_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl172_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl172_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl173_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl173_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl174_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl174_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl175_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl175_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl179_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl179_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl17_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl17_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl182_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl182_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl185_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl185_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl186_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl186_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl191_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl191_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl193_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl193_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl194_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl194_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl196_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl196_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl197_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl197_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl199_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl199_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl1_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl1_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl200_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl200_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl202_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl202_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl204_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl204_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl205_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl205_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl206_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl206_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl209_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl209_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl211_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl211_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl214_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl214_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl215_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl215_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl216_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl216_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl217_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl217_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl218_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl218_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl222_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 ��)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl222_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl224_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl224_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl226_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl226_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl229_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl229_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl22_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl22_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl230_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl230_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl234_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl234_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl238_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl238_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl239_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl239_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl23_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl23_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl244_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl244_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl246_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl246_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl247_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl247_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl248_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl248_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl24_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl24_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl250_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl250_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl253_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl253_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl256_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl256_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl259_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl259_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl25_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl25_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl260_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl260_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl263_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl263_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl264_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl264_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl268_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl268_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl270_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl270_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl271_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl271_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl272_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl272_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl277_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl277_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl279_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl279_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl27_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl27_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl281_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl281_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl287_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl287_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl289_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl289_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl28_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl28_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl293_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl293_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl295_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl295_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl296_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl296_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl297_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl297_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl299_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl299_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl29_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl29_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl2_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl2_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl302_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl302_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl303_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl303_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl35_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl35_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl371_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl371_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl372_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl372_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl374_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl374_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl375_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl375_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl376_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl376_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl378_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl378_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl379_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl379_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl382_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl382_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl385_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl385_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl388_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl388_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl389_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl389_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl390_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl390_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl391_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl391_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl3_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl3_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl40_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl40_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl42_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl42_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl457_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl457_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl458_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl458_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl45_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl45_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl464_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl464_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl465_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl465_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl468_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl468_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl471_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl471_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl472_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl472_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl475_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl475_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl478_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl478_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl482_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl482_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl486_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl486_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl487_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl487_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl48_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl48_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl4_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl4_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl517_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl517_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl527_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl527_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl528_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl528_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl529_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl529_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl52_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl52_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl54_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl54_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl554_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl554_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl555_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl555_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl558_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl558_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl559_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl559_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl577_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl577_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl57_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl57_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl587_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl587_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl58_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl58_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl593_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl593_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl594_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl594_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl595_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl595_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl597_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl597_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl59_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl59_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl600_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl600_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl607_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl607_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl608_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl608_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl611_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl611_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl612_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl612_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl615_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl615_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl619_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl619_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl61_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl61_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl623_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl623_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl625_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl625_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl628_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl628_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl630_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl630_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl632_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl632_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl635_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl635_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl637_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl637_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl639_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl639_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl63_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl63_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl640_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl640_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl642_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl642_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl644_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl644_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl646_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl646_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl647_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl647_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl649_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl649_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl64_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl64_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl650_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl650_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl651_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl651_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl654_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl654_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl657_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl657_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl65_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl65_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl660_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl660_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl661_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl661_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl664_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl664_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl665_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl665_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl66_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl66_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl67_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl67_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl70_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl70_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl71_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl71_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl72_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl72_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl75_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl75_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl761_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl761_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl763_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl763_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl79_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl79_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl7_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl7_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl81_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl81_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl83_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl83_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl867_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl867_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl871_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl871_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl873_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl873_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl874_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl874_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl879_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl879_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl87_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, C, D, E, F, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl87_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl881_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl881_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl882_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl882_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl884_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl884_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl886_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl886_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl89_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl89_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl93_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl93_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl962_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl962_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl963_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl963_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl967_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl967_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl979_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl979_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl97_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl97_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl980_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl980_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl981_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl981_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl99_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl99_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl9_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "B",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_B_tpl9_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl120_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl120_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl121_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl121_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl123_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl123_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl125_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl125_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl127_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl127_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl129_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl129_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl168_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl168_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl174_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl174_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl176_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl176_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl204_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl204_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl205_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl205_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl210_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl210_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl211_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl211_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl213_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl213_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl260_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl260_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl261_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl261_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl264_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl264_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl267_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl267_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl318_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl318_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl454_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl454_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl455_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl455_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl458_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl458_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl460_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl460_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl461_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl461_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl476_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl476_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl477_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl477_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl482_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl482_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl509_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl509_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl524_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl524_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl536_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl536_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl538_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl538_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl539_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl539_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl545_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl545_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl557_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl557_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl560_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl560_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl563_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl563_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl680_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl680_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl681_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl681_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl690_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl690_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl696_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl696_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl699_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl699_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl72_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl72_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl748_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl748_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl751_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl751_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl754_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl754_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl756_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl756_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl757_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl757_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl75_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"E\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl75_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl766_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl766_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl769_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl769_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl780_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl780_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl782_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl782_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl783_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl783_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl786_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl786_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl78_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl78_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl792_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl792_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl793_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl793_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl795_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl795_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl798_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl798_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl799_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl799_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl81_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl81_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl841_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl841_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl862_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl862_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl918_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl918_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl920_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl920_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl921_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl921_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl931_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl931_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl933_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl933_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl935_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl935_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl936_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl936_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl981_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl981_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl984_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl984_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl989_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl989_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl990_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "C",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"C\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_C_tpl990_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl212_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl212_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl214_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl214_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl217_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl217_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl220_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl220_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl223_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl223_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl224_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl224_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl225_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl225_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl226_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl226_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl228_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl228_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl259_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl259_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl264_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl264_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl270_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl270_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl276_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl276_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl298_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl298_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl303_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl303_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl364_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl364_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl369_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl369_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl370_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl370_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl375_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl375_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl380_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl380_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl490_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl490_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl491_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl491_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl494_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl494_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl495_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl495_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl497_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl497_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl498_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl498_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl502_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl502_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl505_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl505_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl507_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl507_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl509_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl509_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl510_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl510_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl616_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl616_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl617_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl617_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl621_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl621_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl622_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl622_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl623_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl623_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl624_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl624_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl626_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl626_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl683_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl683_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl686_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl686_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl687_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl687_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl689_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl689_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl690_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl690_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl691_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl691_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl692_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl692_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl732_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl732_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl733_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl733_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl849_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl849_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl851_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl851_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl852_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl852_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl853_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl853_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl854_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl854_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl857_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl857_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl860_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl860_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl861_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl861_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl863_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl863_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl865_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl865_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl866_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl866_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl872_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl872_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl874_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl874_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl876_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl876_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl877_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl877_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl879_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl879_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl882_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl882_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl883_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl883_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl884_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl884_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl885_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl885_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl886_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl886_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl887_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl887_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl888_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl888_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl890_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl890_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl893_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl893_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl894_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl894_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl895_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl895_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl896_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl896_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl922_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl922_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl923_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl923_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl929_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl929_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl930_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl930_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl933_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl933_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl939_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl939_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl943_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "D",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_D_tpl943_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl231_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl231_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl232_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl232_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl236_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl236_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl237_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl237_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl239_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl239_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl241_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl241_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl247_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"E\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl247_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl248_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl248_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl251_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl251_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl264_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl264_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl272_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl272_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl274_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"E\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl274_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl275_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl275_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl276_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl276_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl283_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl283_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl284_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl284_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl490_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl490_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl493_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl493_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl496_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl496_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl498_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl498_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl501_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl501_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl502_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl502_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl508_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl508_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl510_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl510_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl656_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl656_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl663_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl663_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl664_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl664_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl665_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl665_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl666_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl666_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl667_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl667_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl669_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl669_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl670_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl670_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl682_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl682_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl683_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl683_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl684_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl684_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl685_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl685_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl791_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl791_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl792_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl792_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl807_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl807_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl809_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl809_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl845_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl845_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl846_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl846_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl853_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl853_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl856_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl856_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl857_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl857_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl858_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl858_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl862_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl862_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl863_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl863_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl864_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl864_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl865_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl865_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl866_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"B\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl866_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl868_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl868_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl869_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl869_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl870_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl870_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl873_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl873_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl874_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl874_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl875_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl875_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl877_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl877_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl889_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl889_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl895_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl895_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl896_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl896_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl897_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl897_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl898_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl898_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl901_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl901_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl902_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl902_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl906_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl906_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl908_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl908_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl910_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl910_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl911_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl911_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl912_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl912_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl913_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl913_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl934_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl934_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl953_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl953_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl972_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl972_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl988_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl988_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl989_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl989_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl990_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl990_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl991_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "F",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"F\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_F_tpl991_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl110_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl110_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl111_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl111_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl135_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl135_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl139_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl139_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl163_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl163_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl192_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl192_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl234_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl234_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl235_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl235_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl236_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl236_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl237_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl237_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl298_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl298_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl299_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl299_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl300_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl300_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl301_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl301_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl303_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl303_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl337_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl337_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl339_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl339_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl361_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl361_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl373_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"E\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl373_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl375_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl375_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl405_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl405_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl406_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl406_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl407_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl407_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl411_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl411_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl440_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl440_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl441_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"E\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl441_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl442_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"E\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl442_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl480_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl480_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl483_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"E\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl483_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl489_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl489_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl490_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl490_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl505_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl505_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl513_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl513_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl514_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"E\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl514_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl517_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl517_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl518_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl518_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl534_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl534_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl537_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl537_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl579_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl579_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl580_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl580_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl585_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl585_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl588_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl588_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl619_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl619_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl621_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl621_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl622_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl622_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl623_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl623_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl633_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl633_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl634_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl634_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl635_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl635_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl636_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl636_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl637_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl637_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl662_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl662_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl663_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl663_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl668_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl668_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl671_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl671_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl672_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"E\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, E</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl672_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl676_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl676_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl679_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl679_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl680_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Current (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl680_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl696_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl696_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl700_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl700_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl717_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl717_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl718_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl718_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl721_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl721_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl722_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl722_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl729_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl729_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl730_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl730_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl733_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, E, F</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl733_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl734_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"E\", \"F\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, E, F, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): > 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"E\", \"F\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): > 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, E, F\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl734_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl805_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl805_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl806_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl806_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl809_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"A\", \"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>A, B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl809_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl829_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl829_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl830_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl830_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl834_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"B\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>B, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl834_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl845_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl845_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl847_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl847_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl848_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl848_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl851_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl851_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl855_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl855_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl857_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl857_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl863_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl863_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl864_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl864_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl865_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl865_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl891_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl891_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl892_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl892_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl896_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl896_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl897_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl897_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl899_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl899_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl900_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl900_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl901_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl901_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl903_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl903_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl906_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl906_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl907_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl907_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl967_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl967_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl968_run0_capability_turn0",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 0:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Current (R2): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.",
+    "selected_turn": 0,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl968_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl969_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl969_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl973_run0_capability_turn1",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"D\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 1:\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.",
+    "selected_turn": 1,
+    "train_kind": "capability",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl973_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl975_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl975_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl976_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl976_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 1,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl977_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl977_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl978_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl978_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl979_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (Main): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl979_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl980_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl980_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl981_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Current (R1): = 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: A, B, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl981_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl984_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R1): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl984_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 0,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  },
+  {
+    "case_id": "failed_update_stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl985_run0_belief_turn2",
+    "task": "task_b",
+    "task_name": "Circuit Diagnosis",
+    "model_setting": "7B",
+    "split": "train",
+    "cbm_challenge_type": "failed_update",
+    "oracle": "G",
+    "target_set_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "system_prompt": "You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\n\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\n\nFault IDs:\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\n\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\n\nExamples for later turns:\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\n\nOutput format (strict):\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\n\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\n",
+    "turns_json": "[{\"prompt\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\", \"golden\": [\"C\", \"D\", \"G\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\", \"golden\": [\"D\"]}, {\"prompt\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\", \"golden\": [\"G\"]}]",
+    "messages_json": "[{\"role\": \"system\", \"content\": \"You are diagnosing a circuit-fault benchmark.\\nExactly one hidden fault exists.\\n\\nTurns are cumulative. A later turn does not restart the diagnosis.\\nKeep all previous measurements active unless a correction explicitly says to discard or replace one of them.\\n\\nFault IDs:\\n  A: Battery no output (the battery cannot provide usable voltage at its external terminals in this benchmark)\\n  B: Switch stuck open (not conducting)\\n  C: Switch stuck closed (conducting)\\n  D: R1 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  E: R1 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n  F: R2 open path (resistor branch broken or burned out)\\n  G: R2 short path (resistor branch failed short, 0 Ω)\\n\\nEach turn may include a fault-prediction table. Use it to find which faults match the current measurements, then maintain the cumulative set of faults consistent with all active measurements.\\n\\nExamples for later turns:\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, E, F, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, D, G; next output is <hypothesis>G</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>A, B, E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: C, E, F; next output is <hypothesis>E</hypothesis>.\\n- Previous <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>; Current matching fault IDs: B, E, G; next output is <hypothesis>E, G</hypothesis>.\\n\\nOutput format (strict):\\n<hypothesis>fault_id_1, fault_id_2</hypothesis>\\n\\n- Include exactly one `<hypothesis>...</hypothesis>` tag in every reply.\\n- Do not output explanatory text outside the `<hypothesis>` tag.\\n- `<hypothesis>` must contain comma-separated fault IDs from the listed fault IDs, or `none`.\\n\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 0:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (Main): > 0\\n  - Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (Main): = 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): = 0\\n  - G -> Current (Main): > 0; Current (R2): > 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: C, D, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nInitialize the consistent fault IDs from this measurement.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>C, D, G</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 1:\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Current (R1): = 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): > 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Current (R1): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Current (R1): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: D\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nRead your last <hypothesis>. Keep only IDs that also appear in Current matching fault IDs. Remove all other IDs. Do not add new IDs.\"}, {\"role\": \"assistant\", \"content\": \"<hypothesis>D</hypothesis>\"}, {\"role\": \"user\", \"content\": \"Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\\n\\n- Measurements:\\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nFault predictions for these measurements:\\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\\n\\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\\n\\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.\"}]",
+    "gt_survivors_json": "[\"G\"]",
+    "selected_prompt": "Turn 2 (CORRECTION):\nDiscard the measurement from Turn 1 and replace it with these corrected measurements.\n\n- Measurements:\n  - Voltage (Battery): > 0\n  - Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nFault predictions for these measurements:\n  - A -> Voltage (Battery): = 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - B -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - C -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - D -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - E -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n  - F -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): > 0\n  - G -> Voltage (Battery): > 0; Voltage (R2): = 0\n\nCurrent matching fault IDs: B, E, G\nFor this turn, matching faults are the rows whose prediction matches these measurements.\n\nTurn 1 is discarded. Ignore your last <hypothesis>. Use the Turn 0 matching fault IDs and the Current matching fault IDs above. Keep only IDs that appear in both.",
+    "selected_turn": 2,
+    "train_kind": "belief",
+    "source_category": "belief_failure",
+    "source_file": "task_b/outputs/parallel_r12_series_quick_failed_update_7b_gpu2_failed_update_broad_filtered_v2_repeat3_20260512_0402_gpu2/belief_failure/stats_parallel_r12_series_G_tpl985_run0.json",
+    "source_repeat_index": 2,
+    "source_repeat_count": -1
+  }
+]