{
  "model_name": "canrun-fps-predictor",
  "version": "1.0",
  "generated_at": 1792020807,
  "elapsed_seconds": 57.6,
  "dataset_summary": {
    "total_records": 636225,
    "primary_benchmark_curves": 127245,
    "unique_games": 1697,
    "unique_gpus": 25,
    "unique_cpus": 5,
    "steam_store_specs_fetched": 700
  },
  "leave_games_out_cv": {
    "M0_Legacy_Naive_Spec_Heuristic": {
      "MAPE_pct": 12.8,
      "MdAPE_pct": 9.49,
      "MAE_fps": 13.82,
      "RMSE_fps": 29.03,
      "R2": 0.727,
      "R2_log": 0.9134,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 27.52,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 0.0
    },
    "M1_Legacy_v8_Lookup_Model": {
      "MAPE_pct": 30.38,
      "MdAPE_pct": 15.23,
      "MAE_fps": 30.85,
      "RMSE_fps": 52.9,
      "R2": 0.0932,
      "R2_log": 0.6409,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 20.68,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 11.17
    },
    "M2_Physics_Log_Ridge_Prior_Only": {
      "MAPE_pct": 7.24,
      "MdAPE_pct": 3.76,
      "MAE_fps": 7.3,
      "RMSE_fps": 17.59,
      "R2": 0.8998,
      "R2_log": 0.9547,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 62.04,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 0.0
    },
    "M3_Single_Stage_Unconstrained_GBDT": {
      "MAPE_pct": 4.58,
      "MdAPE_pct": 1.38,
      "MAE_fps": 4.12,
      "RMSE_fps": 11.26,
      "R2": 0.959,
      "R2_log": 0.9697,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 79.33,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 0.02
    },
    "M4_New_v9_TwoStage_LogRidge_Monotonic_GBDT": {
      "MAPE_pct": 4.48,
      "MdAPE_pct": 1.19,
      "MAE_fps": 3.97,
      "RMSE_fps": 11.27,
      "R2": 0.9589,
      "R2_log": 0.9692,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 80.01,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 0.01
    }
  },
  "leave_gpus_out_cv": {
    "M0_Legacy_Naive_Spec_Heuristic": {
      "MAPE_pct": 12.8,
      "MdAPE_pct": 9.49,
      "MAE_fps": 13.82,
      "RMSE_fps": 29.03,
      "R2": 0.727,
      "R2_log": 0.9134,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 11.65,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 0.0
    },
    "M1_Legacy_v8_Lookup_Model": {
      "MAPE_pct": 30.35,
      "MdAPE_pct": 15.23,
      "MAE_fps": 30.79,
      "RMSE_fps": 52.85,
      "R2": 0.0949,
      "R2_log": 0.6424,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 8.42,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 11.16
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    "M2_Physics_Log_Ridge_Prior_Only": {
      "MAPE_pct": 7.24,
      "MdAPE_pct": 3.79,
      "MAE_fps": 7.27,
      "RMSE_fps": 17.0,
      "R2": 0.9064,
      "R2_log": 0.9557,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 25.77,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 0.0
    },
    "M3_Single_Stage_Unconstrained_GBDT": {
      "MAPE_pct": 6.05,
      "MdAPE_pct": 3.18,
      "MAE_fps": 5.09,
      "RMSE_fps": 10.39,
      "R2": 0.965,
      "R2_log": 0.9687,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 27.06,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 0.77
    },
    "M4_New_v9_TwoStage_LogRidge_Monotonic_GBDT": {
      "MAPE_pct": 1.08,
      "MdAPE_pct": 0.55,
      "MAE_fps": 0.9,
      "RMSE_fps": 1.97,
      "R2": 0.9987,
      "R2_log": 0.999,
      "Conformal_80_Coverage_pct": 80.0,
      "Monotonicity_Violation_pct": 0.0
    }
  },
  "conformal_quantiles": {
    "unseen_game_spec": {
      "1080p": 0.0441,
      "1440p": 0.0535,
      "4K": 0.0571
    },
    "known_game_curve": {
      "1080p": 0.0116,
      "1440p": 0.0158,
      "4K": 0.0151
    }
  },
  "pure_python_max_diff_fps": 2.5546125357323035e-06
}