Figure 1. Dependent-event prediction exposes the seriality gap.
(a) Hard-sphere dynamics separate non-serial from serial video prediction.
(i) In the single-ball control, any future state can be computed directly from the initial state, without resolving intermediate states.
(ii) With multiple balls, each ball-ball collision changes the state governing later collisions, creating dependent-event chains that must be resolved in temporal order.
(b) Given initial frames, can a diffusion model remain accurate as longer prediction horizons demand more serial computation?
## Download a Model
Clone the [seriality-gap GitHub repository](https://github.com/jdiazchao/seriality-gap), then follow its [setup instructions](https://github.com/jdiazchao/seriality-gap#setup).
```bash
git clone https://github.com/jdiazchao/seriality-gap
cd seriality-gap
```
Once setup is complete, download a checkpoint by passing its training configuration to `download.sh`:
```bash
bash download.sh configs/49f-5n/Train-20k-49f-5n-0c-B-768d-30l-64b-2e4lr.yaml
```
You may equivalently pass the model name directly:
```bash
bash download.sh 20k-49f-5n-0c-B-768d-30l-64b-2e4lr
```
Downloaded weights are saved to:
```text
ckpt/huggingface//model-avg.safetensors
```
## BibTeX
```bibtex
@misc{chao2026serialitygapvideodiffusion,
title={The Seriality Gap in Video Diffusion Models},
author={Jorge Diaz Chao and Konpat Preechakul and Yuxi Liu and Yutong Bai},
year={2026},
eprint={2607.13031},
archivePrefix={arXiv},
primaryClass={cs.LG},
url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.13031},
}
```