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  Classifier is fine-tuned from [deberta-v3-base](https://huggingface.co/microsoft/deberta-v3-base) on [this forecastability classification dataset](https://huggingface.co/datasets/noanabeshima/forecastability_classification_2) to predict if Claude 3.7 Sonnet thinks a [fineweb](https://huggingface.co/datasets/HuggingFaceFW/fineweb/viewer/default/train) document is 'forecastable', i.e. is a useful seed for generating pastcasting questions.
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- Despite having a ROC AUC of .9625, only ~2% of fineweb documents are considered forecastable, so this classifier's precision/recall curves on random fineweb documents look like this:
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  ![image/png](https://cdn-uploads.huggingface.co/production/uploads/62cdc97b3a2cecfdabed40dc/44NnVScT0QdM5ydWWxaeR.png)
 
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  Classifier is fine-tuned from [deberta-v3-base](https://huggingface.co/microsoft/deberta-v3-base) on [this forecastability classification dataset](https://huggingface.co/datasets/noanabeshima/forecastability_classification_2) to predict if Claude 3.7 Sonnet thinks a [fineweb](https://huggingface.co/datasets/HuggingFaceFW/fineweb/viewer/default/train) document is 'forecastable', i.e. is a useful seed for generating pastcasting questions.
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+ Despite having a ROC AUC of .9625, only ~2% of fineweb documents are considered forecastable, so this classifier's precision/recall curves on random unseen fineweb documents look like this:
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  ![image/png](https://cdn-uploads.huggingface.co/production/uploads/62cdc97b3a2cecfdabed40dc/44NnVScT0QdM5ydWWxaeR.png)