English
weather,
agriculture,
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---
license: mit
datasets:
- notadib/NASA-Power-Daily-Weather
language:
- en
metrics:
- r_squared
tags:
- weather,
- agriculture,
---

# VITA: Variational Pretraining of Transformers for Climate-Robust Crop Yield Forecasting

This is the official pretrained model weights for the paper [arXiv:2508.03589](https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03589). VITA is a variational pretraining framework that learns weather representations from rich satellite data and transfers them to yield prediction tasks with limited ground-based measurements.

## Overview

VITA addresses the data asymmetry problem in agricultural AI: pretraining uses 31 meteorological variables from NASA POWER satellite data, while deployment relies on only 6 basic weather features. Through variational pretraining with a seasonality-aware sinusoidal prior, VITA achieves state-of-the-art performance in predicting corn and soybean yields across 763 U.S. Corn Belt counties, particularly during extreme weather years.

## Citation

```bibtex
@inproceedings{hasan2026vita,
      title={VITA: Variational Pretraining of Transformers for Climate-Robust Crop Yield Forecasting},
      author={Adib Hasan and Mardavij Roozbehani and Munther Dahleh},
      booktitle={Proceedings of the 40th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence},
      year={2026},
      url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03589},
}
```