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README.md
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| 1 |
+
π¬ Movie Revenue Prediction Project
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| 2 |
+
π Regression β Feature Engineering β Clustering β Classification β Model Deployment
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| 3 |
+
π¦ Overview
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| 4 |
+
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| 5 |
+
This project predicts movie revenue using both regression and classification models,
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| 6 |
+
powered by advanced feature engineering, clustering, and smart evaluation techniques.
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| 7 |
+
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| 8 |
+
It was built as part of a Data Science assignment using the Movies Metadata dataset
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| 9 |
+
(Kaggle), processed and modeled in Google Colab.
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| 10 |
+
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| 11 |
+
The final models are exported and published in a HuggingFace repository.
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| 12 |
+
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| 13 |
+
ποΈ 1. Dataset
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| 14 |
+
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| 15 |
+
Source: Kaggleβs Movies Metadata dataset
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| 16 |
+
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| 17 |
+
Rows after cleaning: ~5,300
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| 18 |
+
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| 19 |
+
Original target: revenue
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| 20 |
+
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| 21 |
+
Classification target (later): revenue_class (high vs. low revenue)
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| 22 |
+
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| 23 |
+
π Main features used
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| 24 |
+
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| 25 |
+
budget
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| 26 |
+
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| 27 |
+
runtime
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| 28 |
+
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| 29 |
+
vote_average
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| 30 |
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| 31 |
+
vote_count
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| 32 |
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| 33 |
+
popularity
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| 34 |
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| 35 |
+
release_date β converted into release_year, decade
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| 36 |
+
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| 37 |
+
overview β transformed into text length feature
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| 38 |
+
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| 39 |
+
π§Ή 2. Data Cleaning & Preprocessing
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| 40 |
+
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| 41 |
+
β Converted numeric fields to proper types
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| 42 |
+
β Removed impossible values (zero budget/revenue/runtime)
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| 43 |
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β Parsed release_date into datetime
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| 44 |
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β Handled missing values
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β Selected only meaningful rows for modeling
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π 3. Exploratory Data Analysis
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| 48 |
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π Budget vs Revenue
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| 49 |
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| 50 |
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Higher budget β generally higher revenue, though with big spread and outliers.
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| 51 |
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| 52 |
+
β±οΈ Runtime vs Revenue
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| 53 |
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| 54 |
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No strong linear trend, but most successful films fall within typical runtime (80β150 mins).
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| 55 |
+
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π Top Original Languages
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| 57 |
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English overwhelmingly dominates the dataset.
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| 59 |
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Each insight was supported by Matplotlib/Seaborn visualizations.
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| 61 |
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+
π§± 4. Baseline Regression Model
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| 63 |
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π― Goal
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| 64 |
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Predict movie revenue using simple numeric features.
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| 66 |
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| 67 |
+
π§© Features
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| 68 |
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| 69 |
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budget, runtime, vote_average, vote_count
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| 70 |
+
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| 71 |
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βοΈ Model
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| 72 |
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| 73 |
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Linear Regression
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| 74 |
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| 75 |
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π Metrics
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| 76 |
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| 77 |
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MAE, MSE, RMSE, RΒ²
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| 78 |
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| 79 |
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π Insight
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| 80 |
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| 81 |
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Good as a baseline, but not enough for real predictive power β motivates feature engineering.
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| 82 |
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| 83 |
+
π οΈ 5. Feature Engineering
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| 84 |
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| 85 |
+
Created new features:
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| 86 |
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profit = revenue β budget
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| 88 |
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profit_ratio = profit / budget
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overview_length (text length)
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release_year, decade
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Encoded categoricals (original_language, status)
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Standardized numeric features using StandardScaler
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Added cluster-based features from K-Means:
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cluster_group
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distance_to_centroid
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This significantly improved model learning capabilities.
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π― 6. Clustering (K-Means + PCA)
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π€ Unsupervised Learning
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| 109 |
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K-Means with k = 4
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Features: budget, runtime, vote stats, popularity, profit
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| 113 |
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π PCA Visualization
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2D scatter plot revealing structured groups:
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| 117 |
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Low-budget films
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| 119 |
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| 120 |
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Mid-tier films
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High-budget blockbusters
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Clusters later used as new predictive features.
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π 7. Improved Regression Models
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| 127 |
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| 128 |
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Trained 3 regression models:
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Linear Regression (improved)
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Random Forest Regressor
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Gradient Boosting Regressor β π Winner
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| 135 |
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π Winning Model
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Gradient Boosting Regressor
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Why?
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Best RΒ²
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Lowest MAE & RMSE
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Handles non-linear relationships beautifully
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Exported as:
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winning_model.pkl
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π 8. Regression β Classification
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| 152 |
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| 153 |
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The regression target was reframed into a binary classification problem:
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| 154 |
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ποΈ Creating revenue_class
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| 156 |
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Median split
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Class 0 β below median
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Class 1 β at or above median
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βοΈ Class Balance
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| 164 |
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Perfectly balanced (~50/50).
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π§ Business Reasoning
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| 168 |
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| 169 |
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Precision is more important than recall
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| 170 |
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| 171 |
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False Positives are more dangerous than False Negatives
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| 172 |
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Predicting a movie as high-revenue when it wonβt be β wastes millions.
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| 173 |
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π€ 9. Classification Models
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| 175 |
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Trained 3 classifiers:
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Logistic Regression
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| 179 |
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| 180 |
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Random Forest Classifier
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| 181 |
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| 182 |
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Gradient Boosting Classifier β π Winner
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| 183 |
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+
π§ͺ Metrics Evaluated:
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| 185 |
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| 186 |
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Accuracy
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| 187 |
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Precision
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| 189 |
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Recall
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| 191 |
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F1-score
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Classification report
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| 195 |
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+
Confusion matrix
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| 197 |
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| 198 |
+
π Winning Model: Gradient Boosting Classifier
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Highest precision (0.990)
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Highest F1-score (0.990)
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Lowest rate of harmful errors
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Exported as:
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winning_classifier.pkl
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