{ "total_samples": 290, "accuracy": 0.7448275862068966, "avg_max_confidence": 0.7203736276851689, "avg_entropy": 1.0532811748542703, "max_possible_entropy": 2.0, "entropy_ratio": 0.5266405874271352, "avg_true_author_prob": 0.6315125613083626, "per_sample_results": [ { "text": "- Laws can be made in two ways.\n- In one way, people ask what problems regular voters face.\n- In that way, people try to find ways to fix those problems.\n- In another way, people ask what problems pol...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5975735566313531, "true_author_prob": 0.5975735566313531, "entropy": 1.2801418620217375, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.04560321723933668, "David Brooks": 0.5975735566313531, "Maureen Dowd": 0.017939845129081273, "Paul Krugman": 0.33888338100022886 } }, { "text": "- The person called their brother, Kevin.\n- The person asked Kevin if he would spend Independence Day with them.\n- The person mentioned Thomas Jefferson and John Adams in the question.\n\n- Monticello h...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.3842685444083636, "true_author_prob": 0.351620922324983, "entropy": 1.8251866484584023, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.15666295391051935, "David Brooks": 0.3842685444083636, "Maureen Dowd": 0.351620922324983, "Paul Krugman": 0.10744757935613401 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump is described as unlikable.\n- The author says Donald Trump acted in a mean way.\n- The author says Donald Trump said things that upset people.\n- The author says Donald Trump said things t...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9141350807498485, "true_author_prob": 0.9141350807498485, "entropy": 0.5308486935305693, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.006120191076558521, "David Brooks": 0.9141350807498485, "Maureen Dowd": 0.04928820933217644, "Paul Krugman": 0.030456518841416536 } }, { "text": "- The Vatican made a written statement.\n- The statement compared two things: pedophilia and allowing women to become priests.\n- Some people think this comparison is not a good way to show the Vatican ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7424733174829488, "true_author_prob": 0.7424733174829488, "entropy": 1.1483553344232695, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1678409701417394, "David Brooks": 0.03312941232395776, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7424733174829488, "Paul Krugman": 0.05655630005135405 } }, { "text": "- The text asks a question about marrying God after kissing a king.\n- The question uses symbols or ideas about God and a king.\n- The question is not meant to be taken as something that can happen in r...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9800555427284992, "true_author_prob": 0.9800555427284992, "entropy": 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"true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6026911496688648, "true_author_prob": 0.6026911496688648, "entropy": 1.4570186606068114, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1191939522000622, "David Brooks": 0.24802273828905724, "Maureen Dowd": 0.6026911496688648, "Paul Krugman": 0.03009215984201578 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump has not been discussed in this article for four years.\n- The writer says they are now looking again at Donald Trump’s thoughts.\n- The writer jokes that Donald Trump’s ego is very big.\n-...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7103141996746916, "true_author_prob": 0.7103141996746916, "entropy": 1.2628577327668284, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.049230405371826685, "David Brooks": 0.7103141996746916, "Maureen Dowd": 0.1743201488369685, "Paul Krugman": 0.06613524611651336 } }, { "text": "- A man talked to the author’s father in West Virginia.\n- The man asked about rumors that President Franklin Roosevelt had trouble walking.\n- The man said he would hurt the author’s father if he said ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7684599378953445, "true_author_prob": 0.7684599378953445, "entropy": 1.1425694136274898, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.07994970579966411, "David Brooks": 0.059661968995504466, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7684599378953445, "Paul Krugman": 0.09192838730948698 } }, { "text": "- The writer says they miss Barack Obama during this election season.\n- The writer does not agree with all of Obama’s policy choices.\n- The writer was not happy with some parts of Obama’s time as pres...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8714301556553005, "true_author_prob": 0.8714301556553005, "entropy": 0.7441576502484666, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.034336424796875924, "David 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"confidence": 0.9701259114545259, "true_author_prob": 0.9701259114545259, "entropy": 0.23638470301720263, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.007591071729847817, "David Brooks": 0.9701259114545259, "Maureen Dowd": 0.016636912122792908, "Paul Krugman": 0.005646104692833572 } }, { "text": "- The Republican health care bill is seen as a big change in U.S. politics.\n- Some people think this bill marks the end of an older way of doing politics.\n\n- In 1974, Ted Kennedy proposed a new law.\n-...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9302568510521866, "true_author_prob": 0.9302568510521866, "entropy": 0.44415022992456965, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.00797703463005482, "David Brooks": 0.9302568510521866, "Maureen Dowd": 0.01177474016315363, "Paul Krugman": 0.04999137415460484 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump chose several military leaders early in his presidency.\n- The leaders were John Kelly, Michael Flynn, H.R. McMaster, and Jim Mattis.\n- These men had military backgrounds.\n- Donald Trump...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6796369779861541, "true_author_prob": 0.6796369779861541, "entropy": 1.3150211091842685, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.180660589616245, "David Brooks": 0.6796369779861541, "Maureen Dowd": 0.024540517402420654, "Paul Krugman": 0.11516191499518023 } }, { "text": "- American politics has changed over time.\n- From 1933 to 1963, leaders liked putting power in one central place.\n- Leaders during that time wanted to build large projects.\n- Franklin Roosevelt create...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5449392736746654, "true_author_prob": 0.5449392736746654, "entropy": 1.6018031275242075, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.11814484816668232, "David Brooks": 0.5449392736746654, "Maureen Dowd": 0.06181858231107917, "Paul Krugman": 0.2750972958475731 } }, { "text": "- The author asks if people have noticed that the world seems very hot.\n- The author thinks something bad is happening in the world.\n\n- People in Iran are shouting slogans against a leader.\n- The gove...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8135576524095922, "true_author_prob": 0.8135576524095922, "entropy": 0.9052697870900103, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.134277027487928, "David Brooks": 0.8135576524095922, "Maureen Dowd": 0.02373691862326599, "Paul Krugman": 0.028428401479213727 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- Newt is described as the perfect man.\n- The text says this in many ways.\n\n- He is said to know how to pi...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6798039669532848, "true_author_prob": 0.6798039669532848, "entropy": 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"true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9666221776856285, "true_author_prob": 0.9666221776856285, "entropy": 0.26084744985001695, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.014282987862039432, "David Brooks": 0.9666221776856285, "Maureen Dowd": 0.013295889170047152, "Paul Krugman": 0.00579894528228471 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- Barack Obama was aware that snow in the capital would melt quickly.\n- The author says Dick Cheney’s hear...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9234208364594353, "true_author_prob": 0.9234208364594353, "entropy": 0.4959405803447112, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.045337793675427826, "David Brooks": 0.015894270793305257, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9234208364594353, "Paul Krugman": 0.015347099071831564 } }, { "text": "- Bernie Sanders did not go to a party after “Saturday Night Live.”\n- The party was in the Flatiron district.\n- Some people think the party was very fun.\n- Bernie Sanders is 74 years old.\n- Bernie San...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9939477574987396, "true_author_prob": 0.9939477574987396, "entropy": 0.06165636839536952, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0035917678953709432, "David Brooks": 0.0012790925999966332, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9939477574987396, "Paul Krugman": 0.001181382005892859 } }, { "text": "- People are trying to find out if Joe Biden will run for president again.\n- Many people are paying close attention to this question.\n\n- The person gave a speech called the State of the Union.\n- Peopl...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9098102263194366, "true_author_prob": 0.9098102263194366, "entropy": 0.5788820881366866, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.02493375923794875, "David Brooks": 0.03055277968709119, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9098102263194366, "Paul Krugman": 0.03470323475552341 } }, { "text": "- People in Boston are talking about prices going down.\n- People in Washington are talking about prices going up.\n\n- The president is described as someone who uses technology.\n- The president’s batter...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6247835580282523, "true_author_prob": 0.6247835580282523, "entropy": 1.3911861556309162, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.06252863137113103, "David Brooks": 0.26497216140529456, "Maureen Dowd": 0.6247835580282523, "Paul Krugman": 0.047715649195322375 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- A man who does not forgive others is now asking for forgiveness.\n- Some people find this situation hard ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.528445359160049, "true_author_prob": 0.1887148280127237, "entropy": 1.7364976836861357, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1277232904304114, "David Brooks": 0.528445359160049, "Maureen Dowd": 0.1887148280127237, "Paul Krugman": 0.15511652239681598 } }, { "text": "- George H.W. Bush ran for president in 1988.\n- He visited a flag factory in New Jersey during his campaign.\n- The factory made American flags out of red, white, and blue nylon.\n- He wanted people to ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8344474744594941, "true_author_prob": 0.8344474744594941, "entropy": 0.8881765243274926, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.08550122117730273, "David Brooks": 0.028652805221785593, "Maureen Dowd": 0.8344474744594941, "Paul Krugman": 0.05139849914141773 } }, { "text": "- Barack Obama spoke in Pittsburgh on Thursday.\n- He talked about Black men and their support for Kamala Harris.\n- He said some men do not like the idea of a woman being president.\n- He told them they...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7926225904767596, "true_author_prob": 0.7926225904767596, "entropy": 1.0524207846542906, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0918492380200529, "David Brooks": 0.0437281815157179, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7926225904767596, "Paul Krugman": 0.07179998998746959 } }, { "text": "- Many artists and musicians were at the political conventions.\n- Some people wonder how much artists should talk about politics.\n- Some people wonder how artists can help make society better.\n\n- Fred...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6452340520063409, "true_author_prob": 0.6452340520063409, "entropy": 1.205966563067348, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.04175361490365763, "David Brooks": 0.6452340520063409, "Maureen Dowd": 0.2990615095741439, "Paul Krugman": 0.013950823515857566 } }, { "text": "- TV networks usually do not like shows that take place in the past.\n\n- TV executives believe younger people are not interested in history.\n- TV executives try to attract younger viewers.\n- TV executi...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9319894127273743, "true_author_prob": 0.9319894127273743, "entropy": 0.45467644738553326, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.009734243417465734, "David Brooks": 0.03598491014387628, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9319894127273743, "Paul Krugman": 0.02229143371128353 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- The person says there is mean stuff written about them online.\n- The person says reading it would make t...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.48076002360151554, "true_author_prob": 0.48076002360151554, "entropy": 1.6820595707026056, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.31438300076020925, "David Brooks": 0.14328481922874747, "Maureen Dowd": 0.48076002360151554, "Paul Krugman": 0.061572156409527665 } }, { "text": "- The text says the author learned two things from covering politics.\n- The author works in politics reporting.\n\n- John Edwards is described as slick.\n- Hillary Clinton is described as someone who doe...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.820366909538272, "true_author_prob": 0.820366909538272, "entropy": 0.8968325355830126, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03445011840290766, "David Brooks": 0.12245393011253304, "Maureen Dowd": 0.820366909538272, "Paul Krugman": 0.022729041946287276 } }, { "text": "- The president is in the White House residence.\n- The president is doing work during a time called “Executive Time.”\n- The president is described as being very busy.\n\n- The person is very busy in the...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5588727895432143, "true_author_prob": 0.5588727895432143, "entropy": 1.1697863955125785, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.4126618758876982, "David Brooks": 0.011236438881199544, "Maureen Dowd": 0.5588727895432143, "Paul Krugman": 0.01722889568788784 } }, { "text": "- The show \"Homeland\" had a story that was not as strange as this one.\n- The writer thinks this situation is very unusual.\n\n- The C.I.A. accessed computers used by Senate staff in a C.I.A. building.\n-...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7831807473976574, "true_author_prob": 0.7831807473976574, "entropy": 1.073234823972814, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1020295528516145, "David Brooks": 0.035683463328003914, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7831807473976574, "Paul Krugman": 0.07910623642272416 } }, { "text": "- The author remembers past elections.\n- Mitt Romney ran against Barack Obama in one election.\n- John Kerry ran against George W. Bush in another election.\n- The author thinks politics and society fel...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9924038619080282, "true_author_prob": 0.9924038619080282, "entropy": 0.07611900464884759, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.003408414717644376, "David Brooks": 0.9924038619080282, "Maureen Dowd": 0.0021791459521452324, "Paul Krugman": 0.0020085774221821435 } }, { "text": "- In 1992, it was a cold day in Washington.\n- The person’s boss made a quiet joke.\n- The boss told the person to try to look younger.\n\n- Richard Nixon was a former president.\n- He met with reporters.\n...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.912835781388334, "true_author_prob": 0.912835781388334, "entropy": 0.5612427246916822, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.039434784970425366, "David Brooks": 0.023391750905869837, "Maureen Dowd": 0.912835781388334, "Paul Krugman": 0.02433768273537073 } }, { "text": "- The Berlin Wall fell 25 years ago.\n- Many people thought the countries that were once under communism would become rich and join other European countries.\n- Most of those countries did not become as...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8765967927948225, "true_author_prob": 0.8765967927948225, "entropy": 0.6610601277174643, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.09507326936988221, "David Brooks": 0.8765967927948225, "Maureen Dowd": 0.009506881572976167, "Paul Krugman": 0.01882305626231904 } }, { "text": "- At least 27 out of every 100 Americans do not talk to a family member.\n- About 40 out of every 100 Americans have had a time when they did not talk to a family member.\n\n- The most common type of fam...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9808717816935, "true_author_prob": 0.9808717816935, "entropy": 0.16583768826182863, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.004078225971682637, "David Brooks": 0.9808717816935, "Maureen Dowd": 0.0071345987821266185, "Paul Krugman": 0.007915393552690842 } }, { "text": "- C.S. Lewis’s mother died when he was a child.\n- He said that after her death, he lost feelings of calm and safety.\n- He wrote that he still had happy moments and times of joy.\n- He said those happy ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.6005926094094406, "true_author_prob": 0.0550236894228437, "entropy": 1.44119285362818, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.27989295805020903, "David Brooks": 0.0550236894228437, "Maureen Dowd": 0.6005926094094406, "Paul Krugman": 0.06449074311750672 } }, { "text": "- In the early 1990s, the author worked for The Wall Street Journal in Europe.\n- The author covered news about the Soviet Union ending.\n- Ukrainians voted to be independent from the Soviet Union.\n- Ea...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5634286591346536, "true_author_prob": 0.5634286591346536, "entropy": 1.6342298605488352, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.2070768803135181, "David Brooks": 0.5634286591346536, "Maureen Dowd": 0.07588867725788372, "Paul Krugman": 0.1536057832939447 } }, { "text": "- The Atlantic magazine published a summary of a book called “The Confidence Code.”\n- The book’s authors are Katty Kay and Claire Shipman.\n- The summary says women often feel less sure of themselves t...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9763689130913634, "true_author_prob": 0.9763689130913634, "entropy": 0.19446489897407104, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.010593082898291162, "David Brooks": 0.9763689130913634, "Maureen Dowd": 0.002727510151086623, "Paul Krugman": 0.010310493859258793 } }, { "text": "- The text starts in Washington.\n- The author is going to talk about two people.\n- One person is called \"America’s Mayor.\"\n- Another person is called \"America’s Nightmare.\"\n- The author wants to say s...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9792165447741187, "true_author_prob": 0.9792165447741187, "entropy": 0.1766383494583144, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.007809189818991413, "David Brooks": 0.0035424575866436782, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9792165447741187, "Paul Krugman": 0.009431807820246158 } }, { "text": "- Tina Fey made a movie called “Mean Girls” in 2004.\n- “Mean Girls” is about teenagers.\n- Tina Fey turned the movie into a Broadway musical.\n- Tina Fey is making a new movie based on the musical.\n\n- T...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9565668783487623, "true_author_prob": 0.9565668783487623, "entropy": 0.3240718461254541, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.017997305891024412, "David Brooks": 0.0165488030488507, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9565668783487623, "Paul Krugman": 0.008887012711362597 } }, { "text": "- This year, there was a lesson about feeling worried.\n- The election is not mainly about plans for solving problems.\n- The election is not mainly about new ideas or being hopeful.\n- Two people are ru...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8972259399177948, "true_author_prob": 0.8972259399177948, "entropy": 0.6272595970115065, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05484211249555853, "David Brooks": 0.8972259399177948, "Maureen Dowd": 0.020240287618581827, "Paul Krugman": 0.027691659968064934 } }, { "text": "- Melania learned some things.\n- The person she learned from is called \"the master.\"\n\n- The first lady is said to not be as good as her husband at posting funny or mean messages online.\n- Her husband ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.908042658062939, "true_author_prob": 0.908042658062939, "entropy": 0.58510432701769, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.030059303769420034, "David Brooks": 0.03967953954647614, "Maureen Dowd": 0.908042658062939, "Paul Krugman": 0.022218498621164675 } }, { "text": "- The author wants to share some facts.\n- The author says these facts are real.\n- The author is starting to talk about something important.\n\n- Mark Rutte is the secretary general of NATO.\n- Mark Rutte...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.4117316544731382, "true_author_prob": 0.4117316544731382, "entropy": 1.7293850060935956, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.11913354063796401, "David Brooks": 0.4117316544731382, "Maureen Dowd": 0.38223665192712886, "Paul Krugman": 0.08689815296176889 } }, { "text": "- Money cannot buy love.\n- Some people wish they had enough money to buy things they want.\n\n- The person is saying they are here to help.\n- The person wants to offer assistance.\n\n- It is said that one...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7063827695480173, "true_author_prob": 0.7063827695480173, "entropy": 1.1238321412054648, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0357910983879907, "David Brooks": 0.7063827695480173, "Maureen Dowd": 0.24001457369039447, "Paul Krugman": 0.017811558373597585 } }, { "text": "- The person used to not know if God existed.\n- The person thought being religious meant being sure God is real.\n- The person believed religious people think Bible stories are true.\n- The person looke...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.917077205538819, "true_author_prob": 0.917077205538819, "entropy": 0.47038945508396185, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.009967907816322003, "David Brooks": 0.917077205538819, "Maureen Dowd": 0.07079267846380519, "Paul Krugman": 0.002162208181053908 } }, { "text": "- People are thinking less about positive memories of Clinton.\n- People are feeling more discomfort or annoyance about Clinton.\n\n- America’s family is talked about in a good way when people think abou...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.45334406251890086, "true_author_prob": 0.45334406251890086, "entropy": 1.7363300739963352, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.15096558724865317, "David Brooks": 0.32036327112258, "Maureen Dowd": 0.45334406251890086, "Paul Krugman": 0.07532707910986586 } }, { "text": "- President Obama is described as not being in front in some situations.\n- The author says President Obama is behind Bill Clinton in some way.\n- The text compares President Obama to former President B...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8846220177268672, "true_author_prob": 0.8846220177268672, "entropy": 0.6965460036964511, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03800040604669936, "David Brooks": 0.04642226983267214, "Maureen Dowd": 0.8846220177268672, "Paul Krugman": 0.030955306393761303 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- The TV show “The Rifleman” is shown on Saturday mornings.\n- The show has old episodes that are played ag...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.38465482324405276, "true_author_prob": 0.38465482324405276, "entropy": 1.9073807918125254, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.25149863635285274, "David Brooks": 0.22954357296847566, "Maureen Dowd": 0.38465482324405276, "Paul Krugman": 0.13430296743461892 } }, { "text": "- Some people in U.S. politics tell a story about the past.\n- The story says America used to make things in factories.\n- People could work in factories and earn enough money to live comfortably.\n- Thi...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9160857340334281, "true_author_prob": 0.9160857340334281, "entropy": 0.5179242990207733, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.01160859458937989, "David Brooks": 0.9160857340334281, "Maureen Dowd": 0.015094476258670124, "Paul Krugman": 0.05721119511852199 } }, { "text": "- Ezekiel Emanuel wrote an essay in The Atlantic.\n- He said he would prefer to die around age 75.\n- He wants to die when his body and mind are still working well.\n- He does not want to live through a ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9781595277239159, "true_author_prob": 0.9781595277239159, "entropy": 0.1859389472787433, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.008383137161901704, "David Brooks": 0.9781595277239159, "Maureen Dowd": 0.005882764080796654, "Paul Krugman": 0.007574571033385655 } }, { "text": "- The author saw their friend Makoto Fujimura two times recently.\n- Makoto gave the author a ceramic bowl each time.\n- The bowls are 300 to 400 years old.\n- The bowls had broken into pieces at some po...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9573079539339282, "true_author_prob": 0.9573079539339282, "entropy": 0.31157781067605145, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.012144547909095927, "David Brooks": 0.9573079539339282, "Maureen Dowd": 0.025263369272928052, "Paul Krugman": 0.005284128884047947 } }, { "text": "- Mitt Romney is described as a good husband and father.\n- Mitt Romney helped start a business that made money.\n- Mitt Romney helped run the 2002 Winter Olympics.\n- Mitt Romney was a governor of a sta...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9516333916906695, "true_author_prob": 0.9516333916906695, "entropy": 0.3474222282239632, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.013256970916957472, "David Brooks": 0.9516333916906695, "Maureen Dowd": 0.00791017218311399, "Paul Krugman": 0.027199465209259057 } }, { "text": "- The event in 1990 involved Conservative politicians trying to remove Margaret Thatcher from her leadership role.\n- Margaret Thatcher was the prime minister at the time.\n- Some politicians believed s...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.686297405536831, "true_author_prob": 0.686297405536831, "entropy": 1.3476519951123636, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1671231921552787, "David Brooks": 0.686297405536831, "Maureen Dowd": 0.09458874950784667, "Paul Krugman": 0.05199065280004363 } }, { "text": "- Democrats are described as doing their best when they work to make life fairer for people with less money.\n- Franklin Roosevelt created a plan called the New Deal to help people during hard times.\n-...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5548376303297645, "true_author_prob": 0.5548376303297645, "entropy": 1.5070366781343252, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.04167611347792773, "David Brooks": 0.5548376303297645, "Maureen Dowd": 0.30942121247648774, "Paul Krugman": 0.09406504371581999 } }, { "text": "- The writer wants to talk to Bernie Sanders.\n- The writer wants to ask Bernie about Balenciaga.\n- The writer wants to ask Bernie about Britney Spears.\n- The writer wants to ask Bernie about Dua Lipa....", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9825826948806582, "true_author_prob": 0.9825826948806582, "entropy": 0.15363300447115086, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.00712878741963854, "David Brooks": 0.006240979324033712, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9825826948806582, "Paul Krugman": 0.004047538375669592 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- Tom DeLay was putting ice on his foot.\n- Tom DeLay was resting his bottom.\n\n- He danced for a long time ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8781048861011244, "true_author_prob": 0.8781048861011244, "entropy": 0.7269655383426539, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03909660635943468, "David Brooks": 0.03617302104594874, "Maureen Dowd": 0.8781048861011244, "Paul Krugman": 0.04662548649349214 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Tampa, Florida.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- Mitt Romney does not make people feel strong emotions like Ronald Reagan did in Detroit.\n- Ronald Re...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7194025709574159, "true_author_prob": 0.7194025709574159, "entropy": 1.287637152074772, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.07998579951428969, "David Brooks": 0.12800823170121908, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7194025709574159, "Paul Krugman": 0.07260339782707532 } }, { "text": "- A person is asking if Hollywood will let a 67-year-old woman be the main character in a big movie.\n- The movie would have a lot of money to make it.\n- The woman is older than most main characters in...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9868957106298345, "true_author_prob": 0.9868957106298345, "entropy": 0.11847235344821534, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.002619894618953272, "David Brooks": 0.008000669757622179, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9868957106298345, "Paul Krugman": 0.002483724993589915 } }, { "text": "- The person used to like going to the Beverly Hills Hotel.\n- The hotel is on Sunset Boulevard.\n- The walls have a pattern that looks like banana leaves.\n- The person thought the hotel had memories of...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9874601933289955, "true_author_prob": 0.9874601933289955, "entropy": 0.11075947320974253, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.00929871988025662, "David Brooks": 0.0017507964047888942, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9874601933289955, "Paul Krugman": 0.0014902903859589799 } }, { "text": "- Anne Applebaum wrote an essay in The Atlantic.\n- In the essay, she remembers a party she had on December 31, 1999.\n- The party was at her house in Poland.\n- About a hundred people came to the party....", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9533392593399076, "true_author_prob": 0.9533392593399076, "entropy": 0.32347618971386083, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.006537688897831694, "David Brooks": 0.9533392593399076, "Maureen Dowd": 0.00589699640288136, "Paul Krugman": 0.03422605535937929 } }, { "text": "- Nancy Pelosi is a person in politics.\n- Donald Trump is a person in politics.\n- The author says Nancy Pelosi and Donald Trump share many things.\n\n- Neither person drinks alcohol.\n- Both people have ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9957319150008012, "true_author_prob": 0.9957319150008012, "entropy": 0.04452262810584398, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0030551301599207755, "David Brooks": 0.0008184337965196243, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9957319150008012, "Paul Krugman": 0.0003945210427585728 } }, { "text": "- Some people who seem very tough still want to feel like they are doing the right thing.\n- People who make big decisions in politics sometimes want to believe they are part of something very importan...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7985689151265042, "true_author_prob": 0.7985689151265042, "entropy": 0.9810252383185003, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.13178886133021406, "David Brooks": 0.7985689151265042, "Maureen Dowd": 0.030515908526123636, "Paul Krugman": 0.03912631501715816 } }, { "text": "- Stormy was doing a job that involves loud or strong language.\n- The judge was very angry.\n\n- Justice Juan Merchan spoke to Donald Trump’s lawyer, Susan Necheles.\n- The judge asked why she did not st...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9151319052264533, "true_author_prob": 0.9151319052264533, "entropy": 0.5010433389902543, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.06620742681609744, "David Brooks": 0.01211400247160301, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9151319052264533, "Paul Krugman": 0.00654666548584633 } }, { "text": "- Charlie Kirk was killed.\n- After his death, some people mixed religion and politics more.\n- Tucker Carlson talked about Christianity on his TV show.\n- He said Christianity is about love.\n- He said C...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8394240765081651, "true_author_prob": 0.8394240765081651, "entropy": 0.8725927916145315, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03655874407020288, "David Brooks": 0.8394240765081651, "Maureen Dowd": 0.08389148462924348, "Paul Krugman": 0.040125694792388714 } }, { "text": "- Successful presidential candidates tell stories.\n- These stories help people understand what is happening now.\n- The stories make some people seem like heroes.\n- The stories make other people seem l...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9848680695536994, "true_author_prob": 0.9848680695536994, "entropy": 0.13656615843730407, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0059054474770667015, "David Brooks": 0.9848680695536994, "Maureen Dowd": 0.005763975608328317, "Paul Krugman": 0.0034625073609055703 } }, { "text": "- The author asked readers if they found a purpose in life.\n- The author asked readers how they found that purpose.\n- Thousands of people wrote answers.\n- The author was surprised by the answers.\n- Ma...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5657625490683597, "true_author_prob": 0.3289792108425526, "entropy": 1.407672717179614, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.08554718348177309, "David Brooks": 0.3289792108425526, "Maureen Dowd": 0.5657625490683597, "Paul Krugman": 0.019711056607314537 } }, { "text": "- Martin Luther King Jr. gave a speech called “I Have a Dream” 50 years ago.\n- Kerry Bentivolio is a member of Congress from Michigan.\n- Kerry Bentivolio wants to remove the president from office.\n- T...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9137177075015002, "true_author_prob": 0.9137177075015002, "entropy": 0.55841743150397, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.021326454506964982, "David Brooks": 0.0338616413216491, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9137177075015002, "Paul Krugman": 0.031094196669885693 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- On Friday night, there was a warning about tornadoes in the nation’s capital.\n- The author says this was...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.3904608449051901, "true_author_prob": 0.3904608449051901, "entropy": 1.8534308068807615, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.2060819152597367, "David Brooks": 0.3035815366088566, "Maureen Dowd": 0.3904608449051901, "Paul Krugman": 0.09987570322621653 } }, { "text": "- The person says they are not a supporter of kings or queens.\n- The person used the words \"faith and begorrah\" in their statement.\n\n- Harry and Meghan left the royal family.\n- They moved to a place c...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9947838080342961, "true_author_prob": 0.9947838080342961, "entropy": 0.05520624739294606, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0021356280039452765, "David Brooks": 0.0013759836709337624, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9947838080342961, "Paul Krugman": 0.001704580290824995 } }, { "text": "- Some college teachers and administrators notice changes in students.\n- Students today are seen as more skilled or successful than students in the past.\n- Students today are also seen as more easily ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.963797650006338, "true_author_prob": 0.963797650006338, "entropy": 0.2769074843388434, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.01444174081664593, "David Brooks": 0.963797650006338, "Maureen Dowd": 0.016610410558127564, "Paul Krugman": 0.005150198618888343 } }, { "text": "- The person met Patti Smith at the Metropolitan Opera.\n- The event was the start of the “Ring” cycle.\n- The meeting happened last fall.\n- The meeting was very short.\n\n- She wore a black jacket with s...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9928852552763208, "true_author_prob": 0.9928852552763208, "entropy": 0.0693505142432768, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.004399429886929612, "David Brooks": 0.0023545626107322123, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9928852552763208, "Paul Krugman": 0.0003607522260173366 } }, { "text": "- The author is worried about the Supreme Court.\n\n- Some people think the justices do not know that most Americans say “gay” instead of “homosexual.”\n- Chief Justice John Roberts thinks some people wa...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.40318603138550135, "true_author_prob": 0.40318603138550135, "entropy": 1.766944875996, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05080933619362987, "David Brooks": 0.2948080223394792, "Maureen Dowd": 0.40318603138550135, "Paul Krugman": 0.2511966100813896 } }, { "text": "- The author says the 2016 election was a big change in how people live and think.\n- The author says the election was a sign that people should think about right and wrong.\n- The author says the elect...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9667245817488299, "true_author_prob": 0.9667245817488299, "entropy": 0.2536892413985425, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.020968064767763996, "David Brooks": 0.9667245817488299, "Maureen Dowd": 0.004309753888947344, "Paul Krugman": 0.00799759959445863 } }, { "text": "- The text talks about a play called “Hamlet.”\n- “Hamlet” is a story about revenge.\n- The story takes place in a kingdom that is described as unhealthy or broken.\n- The person writing this tried to un...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.475356445150375, "true_author_prob": 0.475356445150375, "entropy": 1.7895607034679823, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.15539725305983576, "David Brooks": 0.25336510811984553, "Maureen Dowd": 0.475356445150375, "Paul Krugman": 0.11588119366994366 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- The author says their rice is better.\n- The author is comparing their rice to other rice.\n\n- Democrats a...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.6301134860409577, "true_author_prob": 0.14768979325638987, "entropy": 1.5178878573359378, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.6301134860409577, "David Brooks": 0.07864325959063749, "Maureen Dowd": 0.14768979325638987, "Paul Krugman": 0.14355346111201484 } }, { "text": "- Hollywood held an event for Hillary Clinton.\n- Hillary Clinton visited with her daughter, Chelsea.\n- The visit happened on a Friday.\n- Some people in Hollywood seemed to support the visit.\n- One per...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8419743134400893, "true_author_prob": 0.8419743134400893, "entropy": 0.8695324926829222, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.04299515849378725, "David Brooks": 0.07576982945835148, "Maureen Dowd": 0.8419743134400893, "Paul Krugman": 0.03926069860777202 } }, { "text": "- Some people trick others to get money or things.\n- These people have existed for a long time.\n\n- A character named Huckleberry Finn met dishonest people on a riverboat in a story.\n- In the musical “...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6976239170761536, "true_author_prob": 0.6976239170761536, "entropy": 1.0770238737777915, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.017503831067043247, "David Brooks": 0.2669896720721144, "Maureen Dowd": 0.6976239170761536, "Paul Krugman": 0.017882579784688917 } }, { "text": "- Many people sent sad messages on Tuesday night.\n- Some friends and family felt very upset.\n- Some people said the event helped white supremacy.\n- Some people said the event helped hatred of women.\n-...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9524177408103899, "true_author_prob": 0.9524177408103899, "entropy": 0.3493778353947885, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.02090392412540276, "David Brooks": 0.9524177408103899, "Maureen Dowd": 0.011389894673895019, "Paul Krugman": 0.015288440390312338 } }, { "text": "- Someone asked what the person would do with $500 million.\n- The person thought about giving money to help candidates run for Congress.\n- The person wants to support candidates who are not from the D...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9768740425186769, "true_author_prob": 0.9768740425186769, "entropy": 0.1828943098128937, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0028590880248288457, "David Brooks": 0.9768740425186769, "Maureen Dowd": 0.01745880100076078, "Paul Krugman": 0.002808068455733472 } }, { "text": "- Hillary Clinton lost the 2016 election.\n- Some Democrats said the party had a problem after the loss.\n- The party lost support from white workers without college degrees.\n- More than 60 percent of A...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.713058989987294, "true_author_prob": 0.713058989987294, "entropy": 1.2594476728193396, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.08380269180743133, "David Brooks": 0.713058989987294, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03965332513545553, "Paul Krugman": 0.1634849930698191 } }, { "text": "- The author thinks it is a good time for people who follow conservative ideas.\n- The Republican Party has followed Reagan’s ideas for many years.\n- Reagan’s ideas were popular in the 1980s.\n- The aut...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.992949387208131, "true_author_prob": 0.992949387208131, "entropy": 0.07163522509013932, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0025294624638027745, "David Brooks": 0.992949387208131, "Maureen Dowd": 0.002564392203936291, "Paul Krugman": 0.001956758124129944 } }, { "text": "- Some people thought America would become calmer after Donald Trump left the White House.\n- The text says that is not happening.\n- There are more signs that people who support Donald Trump are becomi...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.952568653377373, "true_author_prob": 0.952568653377373, "entropy": 0.3417307111698582, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.014628815659469082, "David Brooks": 0.952568653377373, "Maureen Dowd": 0.0067573732860350694, "Paul Krugman": 0.026045157677122777 } }, { "text": "- Some Republican politicians act like conservative ideas have not changed since Barack Obama won against Mitt Romney.\n- People who study conservative policies say things have changed.\n- Some conserva...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9945854927008563, "true_author_prob": 0.9945854927008563, "entropy": 0.05706567740332688, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0017434445646396705, "David Brooks": 0.9945854927008563, "Maureen Dowd": 0.001538363641287194, "Paul Krugman": 0.0021326990932167304 } }, { "text": "- The writer’s mom spelled “I Street” as “Eye Street” when writing addresses.\n- The mom did this to avoid confusion.\n\n- The street called Eye Street had a lot of people on Saturday night.\n- The buildi...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8985546665917435, "true_author_prob": 0.8985546665917435, "entropy": 0.5572683862811527, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.08427227757676169, "David Brooks": 0.008243206576308388, "Maureen Dowd": 0.8985546665917435, "Paul Krugman": 0.008929849255186398 } }, { "text": "- People think about big choices in life, like what job to do, which school to go to, who to marry, and where to live.\n- Some people say buying a house is one of the hardest choices to make.\n\n- It can...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9447442553607387, "true_author_prob": 0.9447442553607387, "entropy": 0.393454078804173, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.021613544200135202, "David Brooks": 0.9447442553607387, "Maureen Dowd": 0.021443719745988795, "Paul Krugman": 0.012198480693137406 } }, { "text": "- There is a statue called the Phoenix Sphinx.\n- The statue is described as blocking the way.\n- People must solve a riddle to move forward.\n- The riddle is compared to the one from the original Sphinx...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9707307227791563, "true_author_prob": 0.9707307227791563, "entropy": 0.2357349844882442, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.006870939785425316, "David Brooks": 0.012932956010058819, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9707307227791563, "Paul Krugman": 0.009465381425359728 } }, { "text": "- The war in Ukraine involves fighting between armies.\n- Some people say the war is also about ideas.\n- Ukrainians are continuing to fight in the war.\n- Ukrainians are motivated by a belief they think...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8546856980165232, "true_author_prob": 0.8546856980165232, "entropy": 0.7976866037218852, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0616626345473861, "David Brooks": 0.8546856980165232, "Maureen Dowd": 0.015013071484966375, "Paul Krugman": 0.06863859595112441 } }, { "text": "- Carl von Clausewitz said war is a way to continue politics.\n- The author says the Russian invasion of Ukraine is about identity politics.\n- The author believes the invasion is a different way to fig...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.48965055399348645, "true_author_prob": 0.48965055399348645, "entropy": 1.7744687662539884, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.24005481411426535, "David Brooks": 0.48965055399348645, "Maureen Dowd": 0.11449050060784936, "Paul Krugman": 0.15580413128439882 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Savannah, Georgia.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- The person did not think black was a pretty color when they were young.\n\n- Nuns in black clothes ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.972838060494364, "true_author_prob": 0.972838060494364, "entropy": 0.21446015558906373, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.017825562206487844, "David Brooks": 0.0042872857355936425, "Maureen Dowd": 0.972838060494364, "Paul Krugman": 0.005049091563554473 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- Marissa Mayer became the leader of Yahoo last summer.\n- Some people said she was a good example for wome...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6052980572314224, "true_author_prob": 0.6052980572314224, "entropy": 1.5562024759018418, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0862043491355923, "David Brooks": 0.1989347589758031, "Maureen Dowd": 0.6052980572314224, "Paul Krugman": 0.10956283465718235 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump is described as seeming to understand women better now.\n\n- The person is described as thinking like it is still 1959.\n- The person is compared to someone from an old movie.\n- The person...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9869966169676456, "true_author_prob": 0.9869966169676456, "entropy": 0.12056628777740319, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.004060366250509271, "David Brooks": 0.0038431029811569293, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9869966169676456, "Paul Krugman": 0.005099913800688271 } }, { "text": "- Snow is falling in Toronto.\n- The snow is falling softly.\n\n- The person is thinking quickly.\n- The person’s thoughts are described as sad or serious.\n\n- The person feels something they have never fe...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7929540254449794, "true_author_prob": 0.7929540254449794, "entropy": 1.0219616506724274, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.060838491124286985, "David Brooks": 0.11710046693026771, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7929540254449794, "Paul Krugman": 0.029107016500465738 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump said the author treated him very badly.\n- Donald Trump called the author on Friday night.\n- Donald Trump was driving to a rally in Colorado when he called.\n- Donald Trump agreed to talk...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9250304506715477, "true_author_prob": 0.9250304506715477, "entropy": 0.45909757890482195, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05792818339933413, "David Brooks": 0.009356269917000663, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9250304506715477, "Paul Krugman": 0.007685096012117657 } }, { "text": "- The text asks if the reader feels like things need big changes.\n- The text asks if the reader thinks current systems are not working well.\n- The author wants to look at what happened a hundred years...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9653481055073815, "true_author_prob": 0.9653481055073815, "entropy": 0.26864898214626426, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.017831972059835742, "David Brooks": 0.9653481055073815, "Maureen Dowd": 0.008662242970047201, "Paul Krugman": 0.008157679462735377 } }, { "text": "- People in prison are not whipped.\n- People in prison are not put in devices that squeeze their thumbs.\n- People in prison are not pulled on a rack to hurt them.\n- Some people in prison stay alone in...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7181331826271831, "true_author_prob": 0.7181331826271831, "entropy": 1.3010330306148354, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.07759556261085425, "David Brooks": 0.7181331826271831, "Maureen Dowd": 0.10815844537537639, "Paul Krugman": 0.09611280938658621 } }, { "text": "- The person has worked at The Times since 2003.\n- The person has visited the White House during the terms of four presidents.\n- The White House rooms look mostly the same each time.\n- The White House...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7093876960633572, "true_author_prob": 0.7093876960633572, "entropy": 1.296747570749104, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.08454670630695271, "David Brooks": 0.7093876960633572, "Maureen Dowd": 0.05636333404122759, "Paul Krugman": 0.14970226358846267 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump was added to the World Wrestling Entertainment Hall of Fame in 2013.\n- He had been connected to professional wrestling for more than 25 years.\n- At first, he was interested in wrestling...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9226757591977193, "true_author_prob": 0.9226757591977193, "entropy": 0.49641124203697257, "all_probs": { "Bret 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"David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8913886852738024, "true_author_prob": 0.8913886852738024, "entropy": 0.6479900198893851, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.058218791774564925, "David Brooks": 0.8913886852738024, "Maureen Dowd": 0.014845703891365051, "Paul Krugman": 0.03554681906026756 } }, { "text": "- President Obama gave a speech when he started his second term as president.\n- Some people think this was a time when a big agreement about money and taxes was expected.\n- During Obama’s first term, ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8801793045655716, "true_author_prob": 0.8801793045655716, "entropy": 0.6884141671894056, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.058815242838446, "David Brooks": 0.8801793045655716, "Maureen Dowd": 0.010220306056502239, "Paul Krugman": 0.05078514653948014 } }, { "text": "- This time has not been good for people saying what they think.\n- Fewer opinions are seen as okay to share.\n- Some journalists and experts lost their jobs.\n- They lost their jobs because they said th...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.6229861391566325, "true_author_prob": 0.221112172693115, "entropy": 1.4667333970688785, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1050797835831811, "David Brooks": 0.221112172693115, "Maureen Dowd": 0.6229861391566325, "Paul Krugman": 0.05082190456707134 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Chicago.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- The title asks if a thing called \"Tiny Dancer\" can help a city called \"Big Shoulders.\"\n- \"Tiny Dancer\" is t...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.4710845604150653, "true_author_prob": 0.4710845604150653, "entropy": 1.6353826627936645, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.10585788479368823, "David Brooks": 0.3604697855873893, "Maureen Dowd": 0.4710845604150653, "Paul Krugman": 0.06258776920385721 } }, { "text": "- The Sidney Awards happen every year.\n- The author chooses some long essays to recommend.\n- People can download these essays to read.\n- The author suggests reading them during holidays.\n- This year, ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6384746454187592, "true_author_prob": 0.6384746454187592, "entropy": 1.2968261980796618, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05747938135393298, "David Brooks": 0.6384746454187592, "Maureen Dowd": 0.2791062374769371, "Paul Krugman": 0.024939735750370663 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- President Obama responded to the Supreme Court.\n- Someone thinks he should not have done that.\n- The per...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5573096365712239, 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the building looked.\n- The...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6940729489995536, "true_author_prob": 0.6940729489995536, "entropy": 1.1872465124631846, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.029686248959939387, "David Brooks": 0.6940729489995536, "Maureen Dowd": 0.23875551093884503, "Paul Krugman": 0.037485291101662085 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called San Francisco.\n\n- Some people think certain modern things might be harmful.\n- Women sometimes take medicines that change their body chemistry.\n- People wait a long t...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5080563907052609, "true_author_prob": 0.22692379348327646, "entropy": 1.749649295531314, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1538858767851163, "David Brooks": 0.5080563907052609, "Maureen Dowd": 0.22692379348327646, "Paul Krugman": 0.11113393902634632 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- A person named W. made a choice.\n- Someone thinks W. should have waited.\n- Twitter is a place where peop...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.3146056725700961, "true_author_prob": 0.23927638513125166, "entropy": 1.9789095935022933, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.251602272150382, "David Brooks": 0.3146056725700961, "Maureen Dowd": 0.23927638513125166, "Paul Krugman": 0.1945156701482703 } }, { "text": "- The person was a socialist when they were in college.\n- The person read magazines called The Nation and The New Masses.\n- The person wanted to be a playwright like Clifford Odets.\n- Clifford Odets w...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8647824335503826, "true_author_prob": 0.8647824335503826, "entropy": 0.7724597898203156, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03349119181320432, "David Brooks": 0.8647824335503826, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03226507518874069, "Paul Krugman": 0.06946129944767235 } }, { "text": "- The person likes a character named Ted Lasso.\n- Ted Lasso is a soccer coach in a TV show.\n- Ted Lasso says coaching is about helping young players.\n- He wants young players to be their best selves.\n...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9514129925866078, "true_author_prob": 0.9514129925866078, "entropy": 0.3386278677250475, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.008312017127442116, "David Brooks": 0.9514129925866078, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03355859023087967, "Paul Krugman": 0.006716400055070199 } }, { "text": "- Afghanistan has a complex way of thinking about time.\n- America has a complex way of thinking about getting back at people.\n\n- A sad event happened between two things that are said to be true.\n\n- Af...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5518354937651757, "true_author_prob": 0.5518354937651757, "entropy": 1.6443352735402361, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.23368374814531903, "David Brooks": 0.0801919073816703, "Maureen Dowd": 0.5518354937651757, "Paul Krugman": 0.13428885070783492 } }, { "text": "- People seemed to group into more types of ideas 30 years ago than they do now.\n- Some people called themselves paleoconservatives.\n- Some people called themselves neoconservatives.\n- Some people cal...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9972045365243363, "true_author_prob": 0.9972045365243363, "entropy": 0.03211850490703897, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0008225609843209871, "David Brooks": 0.9972045365243363, "Maureen Dowd": 0.0008246331096399812, "Paul Krugman": 0.001148269381702813 } }, { "text": "- The author sometimes felt jealous of other people’s photos on Instagram.\n- The author saw pictures of people traveling in fancy ways.\n- The author noticed friends who seemed to have very good lives....", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9725870002372468, "true_author_prob": 0.9725870002372468, "entropy": 0.21413834956534966, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0038353007874040385, "David Brooks": 0.018931518773689267, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9725870002372468, "Paul Krugman": 0.004646180201659746 } }, { "text": "- The author says they miss treating Liz Cheney in a hurtful way.\n- Liz Cheney is a person who was mentioned in the text.\n- The text was written in Washington.\n\n- The person is described as small and ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7439474313373057, "true_author_prob": 0.7439474313373057, "entropy": 1.1580641107448042, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.15762823694648595, "David Brooks": 0.033696316847489305, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7439474313373057, "Paul Krugman": 0.06472801486871912 } }, { "text": "- The writer still feels concerned about Steve Bannon.\n- Steve Bannon appears in photos from the White House.\n- The writer says Steve Bannon does not look as energetic or mischievous as before.\n\n- The...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.3313764781742991, "true_author_prob": 0.3313764781742991, "entropy": 1.9549158521260184, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.24967924607419129, "David Brooks": 0.3313764781742991, "Maureen Dowd": 0.2599596573126498, "Paul Krugman": 0.15898461843885972 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump’s grandfather, Friedrich, moved to the United States in 1885 when he was 16 years old.\n- Friedrich traveled to the western part of the country to try to make money.\n- Friedrich settled ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6778290063034594, "true_author_prob": 0.6778290063034594, "entropy": 1.4004459158807865, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.14912936565187815, "David Brooks": 0.6778290063034594, "Maureen Dowd": 0.08295572610671675, "Paul Krugman": 0.0900859019379457 } }, { "text": "- In 2005, a writer named Binyavanga Wainaina wrote an essay.\n- The essay was published in a magazine called Granta.\n- The essay was titled “How to Write About Africa.”\n- The essay used sarcasm to giv...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.4313737196809665, "true_author_prob": 0.4313737196809665, "entropy": 1.8460815679010494, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.17783410997878207, "David Brooks": 0.4313737196809665, "Maureen Dowd": 0.2687745298275374, "Paul Krugman": 0.12201764051271408 } }, { "text": "- The text asks a question about whether women are needed.\n- The question is part of an opinion piece.\n- The piece is written about women.\n- The location mentioned is Washington.\n\n- Ava is mentioned i...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9673523525009975, "true_author_prob": 0.9673523525009975, "entropy": 0.25549393910333673, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.01396316421813918, "David Brooks": 0.013556818944247742, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9673523525009975, "Paul Krugman": 0.005127664336615567 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- The title asks if being a vice president can help journalism.\n- The text is from a person sharing their ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5334065480345795, "true_author_prob": 0.27928241409050875, "entropy": 1.6140000947675441, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1321514344390061, "David Brooks": 0.5334065480345795, "Maureen Dowd": 0.27928241409050875, "Paul Krugman": 0.0551596034359056 } }, { "text": "- The author does not usually suggest books by left-wing French thinkers.\n- The author thinks Pierre Bourdieu’s writing might be useful now.\n- Pierre Bourdieu was born in 1930.\n- His father worked as ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8974671205915874, "true_author_prob": 0.8974671205915874, "entropy": 0.6340213341194967, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.04764712837581989, "David Brooks": 0.8974671205915874, "Maureen Dowd": 0.02763545897659619, "Paul Krugman": 0.02725029205599649 } }, { "text": "- Some people like the documentary called “Most Likely to Succeed.”\n- The documentary says the K-12 school system has big problems.\n\n- A documentary by Greg Whiteley says the American school system wa...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8233321300121452, "true_author_prob": 0.8233321300121452, "entropy": 0.9217890181050621, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.022688884744935293, "David Brooks": 0.8233321300121452, "Maureen Dowd": 0.08883402627411124, "Paul Krugman": 0.06514495896880809 } }, { "text": "- Hurricanes are big storms with strong winds.\n- Storms can bring heavy rain and wind.\n- Floods happen when water covers land that is usually dry.\n- The text asks if people can learn something from th...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9644712593520869, "true_author_prob": 0.9644712593520869, "entropy": 0.2695098629212359, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.02139051943622294, "David Brooks": 0.9644712593520869, "Maureen Dowd": 0.008602278487541493, "Paul Krugman": 0.005535942724148712 } }, { "text": "- A person says social science is as important as sunshine.\n- Kevin Lewis works for National Affairs magazine.\n- Kevin Lewis collects recent social science research every morning.\n- Kevin Lewis sends ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5994559357707695, "true_author_prob": 0.5994559357707695, "entropy": 1.5630170341574332, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.07824456547910572, "David Brooks": 0.5994559357707695, "Maureen Dowd": 0.20311145697306138, "Paul Krugman": 0.11918804177706328 } }, { "text": "- The writer asked students a question about who their heroes are.\n- The students were at the University of Chicago.\n- The writer asks this same question to students in other places too.\n- After the q...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9810078686262234, "true_author_prob": 0.9810078686262234, "entropy": 0.16577241550854988, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.006797522475808252, "David Brooks": 0.9810078686262234, "Maureen Dowd": 0.006488450931947567, "Paul Krugman": 0.005706157966020656 } }, { "text": "- In early 2017, a person named Chris Lambert rented a school building in a poor part of Detroit.\n- The building was going to be empty soon.\n- He paid $1 to rent the building.\n- He planned to spend $5...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8775927408278191, "true_author_prob": 0.8775927408278191, "entropy": 0.6494105690526298, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0976158727795315, "David Brooks": 0.8775927408278191, "Maureen Dowd": 0.01467385652803893, "Paul Krugman": 0.01011752986461036 } }, { "text": "- The article talks about something Donald Trump said.\n- The writer asks if what he said was unfair to women.\n- The writer also asks if his behavior was just bad.\n- The article uses the word \"toad\" to...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9568360277250224, "true_author_prob": 0.9568360277250224, "entropy": 0.3153598186246222, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.026115877276667792, "David Brooks": 0.007823148957609072, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9568360277250224, "Paul Krugman": 0.009224946040700654 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- In 2008, Barack Obama was running for president.\n- The economy was in bad shape.\n- There were serious pr...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5127586153703422, "true_author_prob": 0.5127586153703422, "entropy": 1.6685142446003607, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.10722288012967401, "David Brooks": 0.29094164813754253, "Maureen Dowd": 0.5127586153703422, "Paul Krugman": 0.08907685636244128 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump is compared to a bad guy from a comic book.\n- The author says Donald Trump likes to create scary or bad situations.\n- The author believes Donald Trump became popular by making people fe...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8690991090856922, "true_author_prob": 0.8690991090856922, "entropy": 0.7269698622347751, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05363468013857602, "David Brooks": 0.06855566911594808, "Maureen Dowd": 0.8690991090856922, "Paul Krugman": 0.008710541659783754 } }, { "text": "- Shirley Temple wrote a book called “Child Star.”\n- In the book, she said she went with her mother to meet new bosses.\n- The bosses worked at a company called Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer.\n- She left her old ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.981827911103077, "true_author_prob": 0.981827911103077, "entropy": 0.15661351286420316, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.007228681886012883, "David Brooks": 0.008733543515111509, "Maureen Dowd": 0.981827911103077, "Paul Krugman": 0.0022098634957986203 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- The beach ball hit the person on the head two times.\n- After the second hit, the person felt like doing ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5337472334127596, "true_author_prob": 0.5337472334127596, "entropy": 1.4331816920606721, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.030527645034620257, "David Brooks": 0.36706711674876796, "Maureen Dowd": 0.5337472334127596, "Paul Krugman": 0.06865800480385224 } }, { "text": "- A TV show called “The Honeymooners” was compared to a TV show called “Family Ties.”\n- A character named Ed Norton was compared to a character named Alex Keaton.\n- A vice-presidential debate happened...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4251997560649292, "true_author_prob": 0.4189929735117925, "entropy": 1.5480302907408676, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.01773975313269292, "David Brooks": 0.4189929735117925, "Maureen Dowd": 0.4251997560649292, "Paul Krugman": 0.1380675172905853 } }, { "text": "- The person’s mom got older and was in her 80s.\n- The mom had medical problems sometimes.\n- The mom passed out sometimes.\n- The mom fell down sometimes.\n- The mom broke bones sometimes.\n\n- She went t...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6873195802746321, "true_author_prob": 0.6873195802746321, "entropy": 1.33964811277654, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.13699462144593214, "David Brooks": 0.03900086220496195, "Maureen Dowd": 0.6873195802746321, "Paul Krugman": 0.1366849360744738 } }, { "text": "- In 1978, a man named Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn spoke at Harvard University.\n- He was from Russia and disagreed with his government.\n- He said people in the West, including America, had less courage.\n- ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9027250032633785, "true_author_prob": 0.9027250032633785, "entropy": 0.5898036593387467, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05943494083366668, "David Brooks": 0.9027250032633785, "Maureen Dowd": 0.013679467270317379, "Paul Krugman": 0.024160588632637495 } }, { "text": "- Smartphones can be used to look at pictures.\n- Gwen Ifill died on a Monday.\n- The person who wrote this used a phone after hearing about her death.\n- The person looked at photos on the phone.\n\n- The...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.550041395866926, "true_author_prob": 0.08962991532656955, "entropy": 1.586047764089157, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.2836090361236188, "David Brooks": 0.08962991532656955, "Maureen Dowd": 0.550041395866926, "Paul Krugman": 0.07671965268288555 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump became president this week.\n- The event happened in Washington.\n\n- The person became president.\n- After becoming president, he stopped trying to act like a normal president.\n- He chose ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5958815270402107, "true_author_prob": 0.5958815270402107, "entropy": 1.3968347568548898, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.3048951047865624, "David Brooks": 0.05435724836052875, "Maureen Dowd": 0.5958815270402107, "Paul Krugman": 0.044866119812698224 } }, { "text": "- People do not hear much about police officers who do good things.\n\n- Some people’s stories are not heard.\n- There are reports of police officers using force too quickly.\n- Some police officers are d...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9602162985675657, "true_author_prob": 0.9602162985675657, "entropy": 0.2936015827372182, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.010586804630309792, "David Brooks": 0.0243000493426502, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9602162985675657, "Paul Krugman": 0.004896847459474204 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- The person does not want closure.\n- The person says closure does not happen after a very sad event.\n\n- T...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6219343010768459, "true_author_prob": 0.6219343010768459, "entropy": 1.3784507135775512, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.2752341255208714, "David Brooks": 0.048429266470802125, "Maureen Dowd": 0.6219343010768459, "Paul Krugman": 0.05440230693148053 } }, { "text": "- Over the last few decades, people in politics often stayed loyal to their party.\n- Members of the House of Representatives usually followed their party leaders.\n- Members of the Senate also often fo...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9625900744672043, "true_author_prob": 0.9625900744672043, "entropy": 0.28876096704926363, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.01555492524003971, "David Brooks": 0.9625900744672043, "Maureen Dowd": 0.011345282751911306, "Paul Krugman": 0.010509717540844725 } }, { "text": "- Hillary Clinton is said to be wrong about the Benghazi committee.\n- The text is giving an opinion about Hillary Clinton.\n- The Benghazi committee is mentioned in the text.\n\n- The Hillary campaign sa...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7034376923889212, "true_author_prob": 0.7034376923889212, "entropy": 1.243635446998034, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.199977883347474, "David Brooks": 0.04799537217523707, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7034376923889212, "Paul Krugman": 0.048589052088367765 } }, { "text": "- The text asks if American institutions will stay strong.\n- The institutions include laws, government, and social rules.\n- The author says Donald Trump broke normal rules.\n- The author calls this bre...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.43660626601748304, "true_author_prob": 0.43660626601748304, "entropy": 1.797237537327736, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.17423038851091774, "David Brooks": 0.43660626601748304, "Maureen Dowd": 0.09146392404494938, "Paul Krugman": 0.29769942142664996 } }, { "text": "- The person gives speeches about people feeling alone and disconnected.\n- The speeches happen in different places across the country.\n- Sometimes, a parent talks to the person after a speech.\n- One p...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9915050682369095, "true_author_prob": 0.9915050682369095, "entropy": 0.08297986769881205, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0036580153397250442, "David Brooks": 0.9915050682369095, "Maureen Dowd": 0.003603627765360959, "Paul Krugman": 0.0012332886580045158 } }, { "text": "- The phrase \"when pigs fly\" is used.\n- The phrase means something is very unlikely to happen.\n\n- Thursday at the Capitol was described as strange.\n- Donald Trump is said to have changed his political...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.571526440149184, "true_author_prob": 0.571526440149184, "entropy": 1.5219014878025665, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05761074547083817, "David Brooks": 0.2831478522018619, "Maureen Dowd": 0.571526440149184, "Paul Krugman": 0.08771496217811593 } }, { "text": "- Paul Ryan and Donald Trump met at a building in Washington, D.C.\n- The meeting happened at a place used by the Republican Party.\n- They talked about who leads the Republican Party.\n- They talked abo...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9643385733406666, "true_author_prob": 0.9643385733406666, "entropy": 0.2699285193002727, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.02030120582174621, "David Brooks": 0.01134657222155407, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9643385733406666, "Paul Krugman": 0.004013648616033055 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- President Obama talked about issues that affect women.\n- He shared ideas to help women during his time a...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.30348820583882524, "true_author_prob": 0.234883971951389, "entropy": 1.986550982257648, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.2522378240226485, "David Brooks": 0.2093899981871374, "Maureen Dowd": 0.234883971951389, "Paul Krugman": 0.30348820583882524 } }, { "text": "- Bill Drayton created the term “social entrepreneur.”\n- Bill Drayton started an organization called Ashoka.\n- Ashoka supports 3,500 social entrepreneurs.\n- These social entrepreneurs live in 93 count...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9181764065942727, "true_author_prob": 0.9181764065942727, "entropy": 0.525837893097534, "all_probs": { "Bret 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"predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9786804066958376, "true_author_prob": 0.9786804066958376, "entropy": 0.1786277579971848, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.005301684916337658, "David Brooks": 0.9786804066958376, "Maureen Dowd": 0.003758029129572436, "Paul Krugman": 0.012259879258252256 } }, { "text": "- The person offered to help Chris Christie get ready for a debate.\n- Chris Christie was going to debate Donald Trump.\n\n- Christie helped prepare Trump for the 2016 election.\n- Christie said he acted ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9899753672647696, "true_author_prob": 0.9899753672647696, "entropy": 0.09452983025620701, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.006027146106620156, "David Brooks": 0.0015445793429735139, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9899753672647696, "Paul Krugman": 0.002452907285636692 } }, { "text": "- The author says they felt something big when they were a young child.\n- The author remembers this feeling from when they were very young.\n\n- The person did not know that the light on top of the buil...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9338804594033723, "true_author_prob": 0.9338804594033723, "entropy": 0.43667847866214665, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.02739181705283786, "David Brooks": 0.03401258076552486, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9338804594033723, "Paul Krugman": 0.004715142778264898 } }, { "text": "- A psychologist named Sheena Iyengar did a study.\n- She asked 100 college students from the U.S. and Japan to write on paper.\n- On one side of the paper, students wrote decisions they wanted to make ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8463670866443231, "true_author_prob": 0.8463670866443231, "entropy": 0.793833430126183, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.10868533606589174, "David Brooks": 0.8463670866443231, "Maureen Dowd": 0.014718693324352156, "Paul Krugman": 0.030228883965432916 } }, { "text": "- The person taught at Yale a few years ago.\n- The person told a class something.\n- The person said office hours would be canceled that day.\n- The person had personal things to deal with.\n- A friend w...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9705108421038005, "true_author_prob": 0.9705108421038005, "entropy": 0.22565756445680052, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0030441747124970615, "David Brooks": 0.9705108421038005, "Maureen Dowd": 0.02084122439343152, "Paul Krugman": 0.005603758790270837 } }, { "text": "- Sometimes life gives you clear choices.\n- Sometimes life gives you very hard situations.\n- In hard situations, you have to choose between two good things.\n- You might have to give up part of one goo...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9588670987218013, "true_author_prob": 0.9588670987218013, "entropy": 0.3044989865444496, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.021769741335665033, "David Brooks": 0.9588670987218013, "Maureen Dowd": 0.0050322253208025585, "Paul Krugman": 0.014330934621731153 } }, { "text": "- It was expected to be hard to put Obamacare into action.\n- Some people who like Obamacare say things are not going as well as they thought.\n\n- The start of the plan was slow.\n- The Obama administrat...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5995291374848405, "true_author_prob": 0.5995291374848405, "entropy": 1.4547670024418968, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05993236032515117, "David Brooks": 0.5995291374848405, "Maureen Dowd": 0.06507927287050429, "Paul Krugman": 0.27545922931950406 } }, { "text": "- There are many people involved in the situation about Google and diversity.\n- The author thinks Sundar Pichai, the CEO of Google, acted the worst.\n\n- The first person mentioned is James Damore.\n- Ja...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.879753365172119, "true_author_prob": 0.879753365172119, "entropy": 0.6606687787908418, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0054347713879920895, "David Brooks": 0.879753365172119, "Maureen Dowd": 0.0324742352095486, "Paul Krugman": 0.08233762823034046 } }, { "text": "- \"Pamela; or Virtue Rewarded\" is a book written a long time ago in Britain.\n- The book is about a rich man who treats a young female worker very badly.\n- The man keeps bothering and hurting the young...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9235505877010093, "true_author_prob": 0.9235505877010093, "entropy": 0.48308128911210824, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.051351703165320894, "David Brooks": 0.0159802408171668, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9235505877010093, "Paul Krugman": 0.009117468316503018 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called Washington.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- People in this place are said to not tell the truth.\n\n- Hamid Karzai arrived.\n- The author says people b...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5370213491513056, "true_author_prob": 0.16769364148418944, "entropy": 1.7270377459951183, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.5370213491513056, "David Brooks": 0.13496703155287407, "Maureen Dowd": 0.16769364148418944, "Paul Krugman": 0.16031797781163087 } }, { "text": "- The Supreme Court is described as great.\n- The text is about the Supreme Court in Washington.\n\n- The text says this is the biggest group of complaints ever seen on the high court.\n- A group of conse...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5069510787924095, "true_author_prob": 0.5069510787924095, "entropy": 1.735989667181574, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.23403196795492204, "David Brooks": 0.09303344082994099, "Maureen Dowd": 0.5069510787924095, "Paul Krugman": 0.16598351242272746 } }, { "text": "- Fighting Superman is described as very difficult.\n\n- Ben Affleck is acting as Batman in a new movie being filmed in Detroit.\n- In the movie, Batman fights Superman.\n- Ben Affleck is also in another ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.809644626555374, "true_author_prob": 0.809644626555374, "entropy": 0.9490630282967057, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.12207623605014531, "David Brooks": 0.03810991791185386, "Maureen Dowd": 0.809644626555374, "Paul Krugman": 0.030169219482626842 } }, { "text": "- The text says the writers share opinions about world events.\n- The writers say they give helpful tips for daily life.\n- The tips are described as very valuable.\n- The writers claim the tips come fro...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.46812753056990225, "true_author_prob": 0.46812753056990225, "entropy": 1.7394265830577047, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1578710564394352, "David Brooks": 0.46812753056990225, "Maureen Dowd": 0.29629656955601613, "Paul Krugman": 0.07770484343464633 } }, { "text": "- The 2024 election might be between Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders.\n- Some people think Donald Trump is not acceptable to many Americans.\n- Some people think Bernie Sanders is not acceptable to many...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7141971521467457, "true_author_prob": 0.7141971521467457, "entropy": 1.2730906041951713, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.12979984112708423, "David Brooks": 0.7141971521467457, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03851464774782755, "Paul Krugman": 0.11748835897834266 } }, { "text": "- The person checks emails when they are supposed to be working.\n- The person sends texts when they should be listening to people nearby.\n- The person watches videos on YouTube for many hours.\n- The v...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9529882240962328, "true_author_prob": 0.9529882240962328, "entropy": 0.3144100912942733, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.005983409161662896, "David Brooks": 0.9529882240962328, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03816191405082509, "Paul Krugman": 0.0028664526912791023 } }, { "text": "- Jimmy Carter was the president of the United States.\n- The author worked as a clerk at a newspaper called The Washington Star.\n- Pat Oliphant was a cartoonist at the newspaper.\n- Pat Oliphant made c...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7747151716400738, "true_author_prob": 0.7747151716400738, "entropy": 1.0757544908955254, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.02518780871989883, "David Brooks": 0.12332892543008356, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7747151716400738, "Paul Krugman": 0.07676809420994386 } }, { "text": "- Roger Angell goes to a barbershop on 72nd Street and Lexington Avenue.\n- He has gone to this barbershop for 40 years.\n- He takes off his coat, hat, hearing aids, and cane before his haircut.\n- He sa...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7914779674589083, "true_author_prob": 0.7914779674589083, "entropy": 0.9409790745315991, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.16289993850194232, "David Brooks": 0.027398372053460494, "Maureen Dowd": 0.7914779674589083, "Paul Krugman": 0.018223721985688838 } }, { "text": "- The author wonders if people stopped saying they are responsible for their actions.\n\n- Some people are criticized for how they act.\n- After being criticized, some people say they are the ones being ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9351152320261534, "true_author_prob": 0.9351152320261534, "entropy": 0.44012572055654664, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03518715469610061, "David Brooks": 0.017446729892379095, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9351152320261534, "Paul Krugman": 0.012250883385366692 } }, { "text": "- People try to use what they are good at and get better at what they are not good at.\n- It is often a good idea to do both things.\n- The author says the country is not doing this well.\n\n- Some people...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8886446742558798, "true_author_prob": 0.8886446742558798, "entropy": 0.6193161195803434, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.015688417042051872, "David Brooks": 0.8886446742558798, "Maureen Dowd": 0.011261104434844486, "Paul Krugman": 0.08440580426722384 } }, { "text": "- The text says Watergate began with a crime.\n- The crime is described as silly.\n- The text compares this crime to other actions by a president.\n\n- The investigation lasted 675 days.\n- More than 2,800...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.986587700217628, "true_author_prob": 0.986587700217628, "entropy": 0.12011119625376399, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.008113785394539627, "David Brooks": 0.0038526078739501758, "Maureen Dowd": 0.986587700217628, "Paul Krugman": 0.0014459065138822359 } }, { "text": "- A person named George W. Bush was seen in a way that is not often shown.\n- The author says George W. Bush seemed very upset.\n\n- George W. Bush gave a speech at his presidential library in Dallas.\n- ...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9673457392943757, "true_author_prob": 0.9673457392943757, "entropy": 0.2520271610435638, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.014030278381493646, "David Brooks": 0.015432237469171677, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9673457392943757, "Paul Krugman": 0.003191744854958954 } }, { "text": "- Melania Trump appeared at the St. Louis debate.\n- The author felt happy to see her there.\n\n- The writer thought the person from Slovenia might have hidden from people.\n- The writer thought the perso...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.994319559834942, "true_author_prob": 0.994319559834942, "entropy": 0.05865088338429629, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.003105259240780702, "David Brooks": 0.0016072123177189226, "Maureen Dowd": 0.994319559834942, "Paul Krugman": 0.0009679686065583994 } }, { "text": "- The author is excited to read a book that W. will not write.\n- The book does not exist.\n- W. is a person who did not write the book.\n\n- A singer named Beyoncé released a new music album online witho...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9792836275407784, "true_author_prob": 0.9792836275407784, "entropy": 0.1772718079169664, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.009254178788081043, "David Brooks": 0.0048852286772317925, "Maureen Dowd": 0.9792836275407784, "Paul Krugman": 0.006576964993908851 } }, { "text": "- Vladimir Putin is the leader of Russia.\n- Edward Snowden lives in Russia.\n- Some people say Putin controls what Edward Snowden can do.\n- A girl band called Pussy Riot had members who went to jail.\n-...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.753278768407341, "true_author_prob": 0.753278768407341, "entropy": 1.1401116369850295, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.11358604906172799, "David Brooks": 0.11010377128624071, "Maureen Dowd": 0.753278768407341, "Paul Krugman": 0.02303141124469034 } }, { "text": "- People sometimes do things without knowing why.\n- When asked why they made a choice, people make up a reason.\n- The reasons people give may sound okay, but they might not be true.\n- People often do ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9752191130723254, "true_author_prob": 0.9752191130723254, "entropy": 0.19892605926345325, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.012229830110441212, "David Brooks": 0.9752191130723254, "Maureen Dowd": 0.011043979433399752, "Paul Krugman": 0.0015070773838336568 } }, { "text": "- People can see things that are real.\n- People can imagine things that are not real.\n- Seeing something feels different from imagining it.\n- The text says this difference feels clear to people.\n\n- Wh...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6012608719318364, "true_author_prob": 0.6012608719318364, "entropy": 1.4564128921466122, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.13104542347839299, "David Brooks": 0.6012608719318364, "Maureen Dowd": 0.2420500703416087, "Paul Krugman": 0.025643634248161903 } }, { "text": "- A psychologist named Eli Finkel wrote an article two years ago.\n- The article said that today’s best marriages are happier than the best marriages long ago.\n- The article said that today’s worst mar...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9949077264338925, "true_author_prob": 0.9949077264338925, "entropy": 0.05365696096799258, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0011267778563936138, "David Brooks": 0.9949077264338925, "Maureen Dowd": 0.002628921648733194, "Paul Krugman": 0.0013365740609806713 } }, { "text": "- The text suggests a choice for what to do over the next two years.\n- Some people have spent the last two years reacting to things Donald Trump said or did.\n- Donald Trump’s actions are described as ...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9309401886926965, "true_author_prob": 0.9309401886926965, "entropy": 0.42782894232569524, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.004357781539889866, "David Brooks": 0.9309401886926965, "Maureen Dowd": 0.010745293275644809, "Paul Krugman": 0.053956736491769026 } }, { "text": "- People in Washington are waiting for something big to happen.\n- People in Washington seem very excited or nervous.\n\n- The text says someone will cause Donald Trump to lose power.\n- The person or thi...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.43108790930827035, "true_author_prob": 0.20271903323026963, "entropy": 1.8309235026590378, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.43108790930827035, "David Brooks": 0.10026940680716018, "Maureen Dowd": 0.20271903323026963, "Paul Krugman": 0.2659236506542999 } }, { "text": "- People often talk about wanting to be happy in life.\n- When people think about the future, they usually talk about fun times and good experiences.\n- Many people in society talk a lot about happiness...", "true_author": "David Brooks", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9836680348821946, "true_author_prob": 0.9836680348821946, "entropy": 0.1340882579650778, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.013475273931678466, "David Brooks": 0.9836680348821946, "Maureen Dowd": 0.0013322107464774986, "Paul Krugman": 0.0015244804396494446 } }, { "text": "- The text mentions a place called San Francisco.\n- No other information is given in the input.\n\n- Gavin Newsom is described as looking very polished.\n- The author says he looks like someone who could...", "true_author": "Maureen Dowd", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5619513692118827, "true_author_prob": 0.10310666020287915, "entropy": 1.6686127501276706, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1642702223635881, "David Brooks": 0.5619513692118827, "Maureen Dowd": 0.10310666020287915, "Paul Krugman": 0.17067174822165013 } }, { "text": "- People have had a hard time finding a place to live.\n- House prices have gone up a lot in the last two and a half years.\n- Rent prices have also gone up a lot in the last two and a half years.\n\n- Ha...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5446991603836242, "true_author_prob": 0.5446991603836242, "entropy": 1.5036259422934926, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.09343601142992022, "David Brooks": 0.32366459224643707, "Maureen Dowd": 0.038200235940018513, "Paul Krugman": 0.5446991603836242 } }, { "text": "- Some countries in NATO are not sure the United States will help them if needed.\n- These countries feel unsure about trusting the United States as a military partner.\n\n- A report in The Times was pub...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.687387465602465, "true_author_prob": 0.687387465602465, "entropy": 1.3139306226388214, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.687387465602465, "David Brooks": 0.1795811572918426, "Maureen Dowd": 0.09831876659326484, "Paul Krugman": 0.03471261051242754 } }, { "text": "- Robert Zimmer was the president of the University of Chicago starting in 2006.\n- An audience in China asked him why the university had so many Nobel Prize winners.\n- The university has won 90 Nobel ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4971137954206592, "true_author_prob": 0.29251414762405303, "entropy": 1.6782547861144, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.29251414762405303, "David Brooks": 0.4971137954206592, "Maureen Dowd": 0.14749237669455648, "Paul Krugman": 0.06287968026073133 } }, { "text": "- New York City had a lot of people get sick with Covid-19.\n- More than 20,000 people in New York City died from Covid-19 in a few months.\n- Some people said New York’s way of living made it more at r...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.932339016534045, "true_author_prob": 0.932339016534045, "entropy": 0.40829708594733455, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.00593433669192935, "David Brooks": 0.057521626352854384, "Maureen Dowd": 0.00420502042117128, "Paul Krugman": 0.932339016534045 } }, { "text": "- The author thinks writing about President Trump’s personality is often not useful.\n- The author believes President Trump has a bad character.\n- The author says President Trump is the worst person to...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.8447432648260856, "true_author_prob": 0.05777550336644053, "entropy": 0.8456643670050743, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05777550336644053, "David Brooks": 0.021928924377362505, "Maureen Dowd": 0.8447432648260856, "Paul Krugman": 0.07555230743011146 } }, { "text": "- Timothy Egan wrote a column for The Times.\n- The column has a title that asks, “Who Will Save the Republic?”\n- The author of the opinion says Donald Trump will save the Republic.\n\n- A person is refe...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.6551202039999596, "true_author_prob": 0.20936879801152497, "entropy": 1.3466872817644393, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.20936879801152497, "David Brooks": 0.020831932396399386, "Maureen Dowd": 0.6551202039999596, "Paul Krugman": 0.11467906559211595 } }, { "text": "- In 1990, V.S. Naipaul gave a well-known talk.\n- The talk was about something called “Our Universal Civilization.”\n- The Berlin Wall came down in 1989.\n- Many people believed liberal democracy was gr...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.9731476010767071, "true_author_prob": 0.019696867258102845, "entropy": 0.20763152915881877, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.019696867258102845, "David Brooks": 0.9731476010767071, "Maureen Dowd": 0.004483959687675986, "Paul Krugman": 0.0026715719775140105 } }, { "text": "- Tom Tugendhat was about 20 years old.\n- He wanted to learn more about North Africa.\n- He traveled from Morocco to Israel.\n- He did not go through Libya because Libya did not allow him in.\n- He walke...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6656614035200957, "true_author_prob": 0.6656614035200957, "entropy": 1.4418268307210624, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.6656614035200957, "David Brooks": 0.11490361469154685, "Maureen Dowd": 0.08629496009564967, "Paul Krugman": 0.13314002169270778 } }, { "text": "- The text talks about freedom on the Fourth of July.\n- The text says people should think about how they feel about freedom.\n- The text mentions freedom in the United States and in other countries.\n\n-...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5859469809145413, "true_author_prob": 0.3254173613169129, "entropy": 1.3548750177691957, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.3254173613169129, "David Brooks": 0.5859469809145413, "Maureen Dowd": 0.01880805637965382, "Paul Krugman": 0.0698276013888919 } }, { "text": "- Some stores in the United States have closed locations.\n- Walgreens said that group theft was one reason it closed stores in San Francisco.\n- A group called the National Retail Federation said that ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5983470184203579, "true_author_prob": 0.0828697209055806, "entropy": 1.43355997061124, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.2812461578256689, "David Brooks": 0.5983470184203579, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03753710284839257, "Paul Krugman": 0.0828697209055806 } }, { "text": "- The story takes place in the early 1980s.\n- The location is the South China Sea.\n- A sailor was on a U.S. Navy ship called the U.S.S. Midway.\n- The sailor saw a small boat that was leaking.\n- The bo...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.47663942046299473, "true_author_prob": 0.26567103765842326, "entropy": 1.7615489327214597, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.26567103765842326, "David Brooks": 0.47663942046299473, "Maureen Dowd": 0.08925369636832559, "Paul Krugman": 0.16843584551025645 } }, { "text": "- People are talking about the midterm elections.\n- Some say Republicans are using a weak economy to gain support.\n- Some say Democrats are telling voters that Republicans want to change social rules ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8819003817514185, "true_author_prob": 0.8819003817514185, "entropy": 0.6834980208741244, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.04877543675610503, "David Brooks": 0.05817192555730124, "Maureen Dowd": 0.011152255935175267, "Paul Krugman": 0.8819003817514185 } }, { "text": "- The article asks if people will celebrate a day for lowering inflation.\n- The article says inflation has gone down.\n- The Federal Reserve’s favorite way to measure prices shows a 2.2% increase in on...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8433646140078794, "true_author_prob": 0.8433646140078794, "entropy": 0.834250184535901, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.06050491761904058, "David Brooks": 0.08222891207378408, "Maureen Dowd": 0.013901556299295867, "Paul Krugman": 0.8433646140078794 } }, { "text": "- Kay Ivey is the governor of Alabama.\n- In July, she talked about Covid-19 vaccines.\n- She said people should get vaccinated.\n- She said vaccines stop the virus.\n- She said people who did not get vac...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4894252243377197, "true_author_prob": 0.3290216980709043, "entropy": 1.6601400950786753, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0851777936795202, "David Brooks": 0.4894252243377197, "Maureen Dowd": 0.09637528391185594, "Paul Krugman": 0.3290216980709043 } }, { "text": "- In 2022, interest rates went up.\n- The Federal Reserve started raising short-term rates in March.\n- Other countries raised their rates later than the U.S.\n- Long-term interest rates rose at the star...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4605449468422596, "true_author_prob": 0.18230569983932102, "entropy": 1.8504788922859061, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.17924506754159464, "David Brooks": 0.17790428577682477, "Maureen Dowd": 0.4605449468422596, "Paul Krugman": 0.18230569983932102 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump says the media is bad and dishonest.\n- Many people in the United States agree with him.\n- These people think of specific examples when they hear his words.\n\n- Some news organizations sa...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.33722582701459247, "true_author_prob": 0.33554675421491975, "entropy": 1.87413104415231, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.33554675421491975, "David Brooks": 0.22830959345706694, "Maureen Dowd": 0.09891782531342085, "Paul Krugman": 0.33722582701459247 } }, { "text": "- Vladimir Putin sent Russian soldiers into Ukraine.\n- Some people thought Russia would win quickly.\n- Russia has a large military.\n- Some people thought Russia would take Kyiv and other big cities in...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5366467035232759, "true_author_prob": 0.5366467035232759, "entropy": 1.5329007860971537, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.131307640412377, "David Brooks": 0.3041206478097025, "Maureen Dowd": 0.027925008254644616, "Paul Krugman": 0.5366467035232759 } }, { "text": "- Kyrsten Sinema agreed to support the bill.\n- Democrats are close to making the bill into law.\n- The bill is called the Inflation Reduction Act.\n- The bill might lower prices for things people buy.\n-...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.41543573592541666, "true_author_prob": 0.41543573592541666, "entropy": 1.859156684909563, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.24343515700751192, "David Brooks": 0.23319783133563857, "Maureen Dowd": 0.10793127573143287, "Paul Krugman": 0.41543573592541666 } }, { "text": "- The story about China has changed quickly.\n- China was once seen as very strong and hard to stop.\n- Now, some people see China as weak and unable to help itself.\n- The text asks how this change happ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.8408825924551205, "true_author_prob": 0.08787786622593233, "entropy": 0.8612364761317683, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03680695336221781, "David Brooks": 0.8408825924551205, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03443258795672941, "Paul Krugman": 0.08787786622593233 } }, { "text": "- It is not clear if the United States will join Israel in attacking Iran.\n- President Trump said he might do it or might not do it.\n- A third U.S. aircraft carrier is moving toward the area.\n- Presid...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.8740041231666144, "true_author_prob": 0.09635056478055523, "entropy": 0.6748900612979402, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.09635056478055523, "David Brooks": 0.01652393909406387, "Maureen Dowd": 0.013121372958766517, "Paul Krugman": 0.8740041231666144 } }, { "text": "- President Biden’s plans are not moving forward easily.\n- Joe Manchin is mentioned as a reason the plans are stuck.\n- Kyrsten Sinema is also mentioned as someone who may be affecting the plans.\n- It ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.43437084076764015, "true_author_prob": 0.43437084076764015, "entropy": 1.7577818208421518, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.16287937128239693, "David Brooks": 0.32724837188126493, "Maureen Dowd": 0.075501416068698, "Paul Krugman": 0.43437084076764015 } }, { "text": "- Unemployment claims in the U.S. are at their lowest level since 1969.\n- Many people are talking about a possible recession.\n- There is a good chance a recession could happen in the next few years.\n-...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5705328750736801, "true_author_prob": 0.5705328750736801, "entropy": 1.4373401477176568, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.015900148395897942, "David Brooks": 0.2978890775801676, "Maureen Dowd": 0.1156778989502543, "Paul Krugman": 0.5705328750736801 } }, { "text": "- On February 3, a train carrying dangerous materials came off the tracks in East Palestine, Ohio.\n- Some of the materials on the train caught fire right away.\n- Three days later, workers let out and ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.517029104657038, "true_author_prob": 0.517029104657038, "entropy": 1.6957456879512955, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.08871128245255039, "David Brooks": 0.26057398751208466, "Maureen Dowd": 0.13368562537832696, "Paul Krugman": 0.517029104657038 } }, { "text": "- Apple said it will bring back $274 billion it has stored outside the U.S.\n- The U.S. government will receive $38 billion in taxes from this move.\n- Apple plans to hire 20,000 new workers in the Unit...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5198210208377843, "true_author_prob": 0.18114596076293812, "entropy": 1.7412609910406402, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.18114596076293812, "David Brooks": 0.10939442279495638, "Maureen Dowd": 0.18963859560432128, "Paul Krugman": 0.5198210208377843 } }, { "text": "- The Consumer Price Index did not change in July.\n- Prices for things people buy stayed the same in July.\n- The Producer Price Index went down.\n- Prices that businesses pay for goods and materials lo...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6354149637303333, "true_author_prob": 0.6354149637303333, "entropy": 1.268735577847913, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.030298411381225108, "David Brooks": 0.29596773736342447, "Maureen Dowd": 0.038318887525017144, "Paul Krugman": 0.6354149637303333 } }, { "text": "- In October 1939, a war started in the world.\n- Adolf Hitler was a leader during the war.\n- Benito Mussolini was a leader during the war.\n- Joseph Stalin was a leader during the war.\n- A man named Ab...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.3195757353398635, "true_author_prob": 0.31622461317717904, "entropy": 1.9453453965704428, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.31622461317717904, "David Brooks": 0.19186567959426234, "Maureen Dowd": 0.3195757353398635, "Paul Krugman": 0.17233397188869498 } }, { "text": "- The Dow Jones industrial average went above 40,000 last week.\n- This had never happened before.\n\n- The author does not think the stock market is the best way to tell how the economy is doing.\n- The ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.747504113100129, "true_author_prob": 0.747504113100129, "entropy": 1.149438432788278, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03054308485158437, "David Brooks": 0.07024099234159294, "Maureen Dowd": 0.15171180970669357, "Paul Krugman": 0.747504113100129 } }, { "text": "- The text asks what things would be like with a president who says things others find rude.\n- Donald Trump is often called a president who says rude things.\n- The author says Donald Trump does not us...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.3376889066987787, "true_author_prob": 0.12051336831670972, "entropy": 1.907487815661617, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.12051336831670972, "David Brooks": 0.3144568517177517, "Maureen Dowd": 0.3376889066987787, "Paul Krugman": 0.22734087326675984 } }, { "text": "- In 2021, Time magazine named Elon Musk its Person of the Year.\n- Being named Person of the Year does not mean the magazine approves of the person.\n- Time magazine’s articles about Elon Musk in 2021 ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.3693537978353482, "true_author_prob": 0.3424698127808165, "entropy": 1.8148168124481652, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.07434764548025179, "David Brooks": 0.2138287439035835, "Maureen Dowd": 0.3693537978353482, "Paul Krugman": 0.3424698127808165 } }, { "text": "- Argentina chose Javier Milei as its new president three weeks ago.\n- Javier Milei promised big changes to how the country’s money works.\n- He wants to stop using Argentina’s money, called the peso.\n...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5431844702666501, "true_author_prob": 0.1860442397152956, "entropy": 1.6908926792284957, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.17823385090209282, "David Brooks": 0.5431844702666501, "Maureen Dowd": 0.09253743911596146, "Paul Krugman": 0.1860442397152956 } }, { "text": "- The text asks if people are in a better situation now than four years ago.\n- The author did not expect Republicans to use a saying from Ronald Reagan.\n- The Republican Party’s plan for 2024 relies o...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9668848492014709, "true_author_prob": 0.9668848492014709, "entropy": 0.2535854999508953, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0034912870374265545, "David Brooks": 0.019209953059772116, "Maureen Dowd": 0.010413910701330364, "Paul Krugman": 0.9668848492014709 } }, { "text": "- Gov. Ron DeSantis had 50 Venezuelan refugees flown to Martha’s Vineyard.\n- The refugees did not know they were being sent there.\n- Some people said this action was not a good way to treat immigrants...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4048099492335005, "true_author_prob": 0.08989870336383154, "entropy": 1.7845495428977944, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.08989870336383154, "David Brooks": 0.4048099492335005, "Maureen Dowd": 0.15243136555890074, "Paul Krugman": 0.3528599818437672 } }, { "text": "- Seventeen people were killed at a high school in Florida on Wednesday.\n- The person accused of doing it is named Nikolas Cruz.\n- The author says that if the person had said a specific phrase during ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4172786288217484, "true_author_prob": 0.35571409199994447, "entropy": 1.7009391882998808, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.35571409199994447, "David Brooks": 0.1841189523845914, "Maureen Dowd": 0.0428883267937157, "Paul Krugman": 0.4172786288217484 } }, { "text": "- Israel celebrated its 75th birthday on Sunday.\n- The mood during the celebration was described as unhappy.\n\n- The government is made up of several groups, including some with extreme views.\n- Some p...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.6582438483105152, "true_author_prob": 0.07157196367368181, "entropy": 1.2848346523422471, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.07157196367368181, "David Brooks": 0.6582438483105152, "Maureen Dowd": 0.020674164108767264, "Paul Krugman": 0.24951002390703575 } }, { "text": "- Barbara Boxer speaks clearly about a group of people who support Bernie Sanders.\n- This group is sometimes called the \"Bernie Bros.\"\n- The group wants to change the Democratic Party.\n- The group wan...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5427165727210482, "true_author_prob": 0.11303057859443942, "entropy": 1.5289427836439506, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.11303057859443942, "David Brooks": 0.5427165727210482, "Maureen Dowd": 0.3086065503944909, "Paul Krugman": 0.03564629829002146 } }, { "text": "- The person has arthritis that is controlled with medicine.\n- The person takes medicine every day to reduce pain.\n- The person usually buys a cheaper version of acetaminophen.\n- Some people buy Tylen...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5206592014186558, "true_author_prob": 0.2494544941270146, "entropy": 1.6751178995677094, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0650552847316724, "David Brooks": 0.16483101972265707, "Maureen Dowd": 0.5206592014186558, "Paul Krugman": 0.2494544941270146 } }, { "text": "- Some people are very interested in a government report about jobs.\n- A job report was released on Tuesday.\n- The report did not have new or surprising information.\n- Over the past few months, there ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.843563626476206, "true_author_prob": 0.843563626476206, "entropy": 0.8635539976278602, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.07463861870126308, "David Brooks": 0.04302393476052279, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03877382006200821, "Paul Krugman": 0.843563626476206 } }, { "text": "- The White House Council of Economic Advisers shared a note about inflation in seven rich countries.\n- These countries count how much prices rise in different ways.\n- The United States counts housing...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4557392445681407, "true_author_prob": 0.3644222850915387, "entropy": 1.6320643676580375, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.04114106850922986, "David Brooks": 0.4557392445681407, "Maureen Dowd": 0.13869740183109075, "Paul Krugman": 0.3644222850915387 } }, { "text": "- Some people on the hard right strongly disagree with the war in Ukraine.\n- The hard right says things that sound similar to what the hard left used to say.\n- The hard right and hard left used to dis...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4039560632889113, "true_author_prob": 0.22711908131840852, "entropy": 1.8705990639330645, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.22711908131840852, "David Brooks": 0.25760744092811577, "Maureen Dowd": 0.11131741446456452, "Paul Krugman": 0.4039560632889113 } }, { "text": "- American Jews knew that antisemitism was becoming more common before October 7, 2023.\n- A violent attack happened on October 7, 2023.\n- Some people believe antisemitism was already a problem in Jewi...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.40795609047186226, "true_author_prob": 0.40795609047186226, "entropy": 1.7127188247509495, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.40795609047186226, "David Brooks": 0.2699282783875145, "Maureen Dowd": 0.2906841365897499, "Paul Krugman": 0.031431494550873344 } }, { "text": "- Two years after a Democratic president started office, Republicans won control of the House of Representatives.\n- Republicans do not have enough votes to cancel the president’s laws.\n- U.S. law says...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.637685591601713, "true_author_prob": 0.637685591601713, "entropy": 1.3960672858912517, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.11061796221525952, "David Brooks": 0.22265562317627371, "Maureen Dowd": 0.029040823006753747, "Paul Krugman": 0.637685591601713 } }, { "text": "- Volodymyr Zelensky is going to Washington this week.\n- He will say thank you to the United States for help given to Ukraine.\n- He will ask for $24 billion more in help.\n- The Biden administration wa...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.48010371345956854, "true_author_prob": 0.48010371345956854, "entropy": 1.6399864857455866, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.48010371345956854, "David Brooks": 0.18967019732877122, "Maureen Dowd": 0.031191659074980636, "Paul Krugman": 0.29903443013667963 } }, { "text": "- In August 1941, Franklin Roosevelt met with Winston Churchill on warships.\n- The meeting happened in Placentia Bay, Newfoundland.\n- The two leaders agreed on a document called the Atlantic Charter.\n...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.4693265754166198, "true_author_prob": 0.4693265754166198, "entropy": 1.5661561662092809, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.4693265754166198, "David Brooks": 0.06543688805062925, "Maureen Dowd": 0.3957596924257309, "Paul Krugman": 0.06947684410702006 } }, { "text": "- The article talked about how the U.S. economy got better after the Covid pandemic.\n- The author compared today’s economy to the economy in late 1988.\n- George H.W. Bush won a big election in 1988.\n-...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9676861932671003, "true_author_prob": 0.9676861932671003, "entropy": 0.2539031213807598, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0062214694332154855, "David Brooks": 0.015876010387621296, "Maureen Dowd": 0.010216326912062926, "Paul Krugman": 0.9676861932671003 } }, { "text": "- In 2023, prices stopped rising as quickly as before.\n- This happened faster than many experts thought it would.\n- Many experts thought lowering price increases would cause many people to lose their ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7403989354598758, "true_author_prob": 0.7403989354598758, "entropy": 1.1868268872531773, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.14581385719974677, "David Brooks": 0.07640061459303596, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03738659274734149, "Paul Krugman": 0.7403989354598758 } }, { "text": "- A book called “America in Retreat” was published in 2014.\n- The book’s subtitle says there is a new focus on staying out of world affairs and that this might cause global problems.\n- One chapter of ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.42497941266508, "true_author_prob": 0.29210720118693706, "entropy": 1.8335230652098415, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.29210720118693706, "David Brooks": 0.11353419744106306, "Maureen Dowd": 0.42497941266508, "Paul Krugman": 0.16937918870691987 } }, { "text": "- The White House shared a new budget plan on Thursday.\n- Republicans did not share their own specific plan.\n- Some Republicans are supporting a plan made by Russell Vought.\n- Russell Vought was Donal...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6970761142183299, "true_author_prob": 0.6970761142183299, "entropy": 1.0541444510443392, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.009552354734181355, "David Brooks": 0.2726318648234211, "Maureen Dowd": 0.020739666224067664, "Paul Krugman": 0.6970761142183299 } }, { "text": "- The writer wrote a column about California.\n- Some people thought California’s policies would hurt its economy.\n- California’s economy did not get worse.\n- California’s economy grew.\n- California’s ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6848854981177901, "true_author_prob": 0.6848854981177901, "entropy": 1.1270697857066851, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.021286256098569475, "David Brooks": 0.27102612362792106, "Maureen Dowd": 0.022802122155719497, "Paul Krugman": 0.6848854981177901 } }, { "text": "- The letter is addressed to two senators named Manchin and Sinema.\n- The text is part of an opinion piece.\n- The writer is writing to these two senators.\n\n- The person who takes the car keys away is ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5675622830559016, "true_author_prob": 0.09921509765855807, "entropy": 1.4946298047313626, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.09921509765855807, "David Brooks": 0.5675622830559016, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03841578198787814, "Paul Krugman": 0.29480683729766216 } }, { "text": "- The people who will lead the House of Representatives for the next two years are mentioned.\n- Kevin McCarthy is not expected to have real power as speaker.\n- Kevin McCarthy may be called speaker, bu...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9008235462059052, "true_author_prob": 0.9008235462059052, "entropy": 0.5714555843572344, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.017879221029848402, "David Brooks": 0.07334310606040542, "Maureen Dowd": 0.007954126703840918, "Paul Krugman": 0.9008235462059052 } }, { "text": "- There are two main questions about the U.S. economy right now.\n- One question is why the economy is performing strongly.\n- Another question is why many Americans say the economy is doing poorly.\n\n- ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4121657567172519, "true_author_prob": 0.39047918805027604, "entropy": 1.6752603928575702, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.15027366728600225, "David Brooks": 0.4121657567172519, "Maureen Dowd": 0.047081387946469704, "Paul Krugman": 0.39047918805027604 } }, { "text": "- A person touched a secretary on her bottom at work.\n- The person says they will not say they didn’t know it was wrong.\n- The person says they will not say that people thought differently in the past...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.6682480128520499, "true_author_prob": 0.12954887751284172, "entropy": 1.3710111807006236, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.12954887751284172, "David Brooks": 0.6682480128520499, "Maureen Dowd": 0.16733008932918733, "Paul Krugman": 0.03487302030592095 } }, { "text": "- A member of Congress made a statement.\n- The statement is described as very silly.\n\n- The writer is not talking about a comment made by Marjorie Taylor Greene about Nancy Pelosi.\n- Marjorie Taylor G...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6957106664734084, "true_author_prob": 0.6957106664734084, "entropy": 1.3497834560461464, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.0670719849123067, "David Brooks": 0.09749761146851318, "Maureen Dowd": 0.1397197371457718, "Paul Krugman": 0.6957106664734084 } }, { "text": "- On Saturday, armed group members showed three very thin Israeli people in a video.\n- The Israeli people were made to say thank you to their captors in the video.\n- The Israeli people were later give...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.36729254756612373, "true_author_prob": 0.36729254756612373, "entropy": 1.80431820826569, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.36729254756612373, "David Brooks": 0.258940267740929, "Maureen Dowd": 0.060252134764469, "Paul Krugman": 0.31351504992847823 } }, { "text": "- The U.S. is trying to lower prices that are going up too fast.\n- The Federal Reserve can change interest rates to help with this.\n- Higher interest rates make people borrow and spend less money.\n- M...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7789911312336232, "true_author_prob": 0.7789911312336232, "entropy": 1.0434680522018027, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.044542097507388696, "David Brooks": 0.1441406977775132, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03232607348147485, "Paul Krugman": 0.7789911312336232 } }, { "text": "- American history includes many big protests.\n- These protests usually fit into two kinds.\n\n- Some people protest to ask for change.\n- These people still believe America can be fair.\n- They believe A...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.7123386248216764, "true_author_prob": 0.11660280445117643, "entropy": 1.232679200466021, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.11660280445117643, "David Brooks": 0.7123386248216764, "Maureen Dowd": 0.019251134071220147, "Paul Krugman": 0.15180743665592691 } }, { "text": "- The writer does not know if the State of the Union speech will have unexpected parts.\n- The situation around the speech is different from what most experts thought a few months ago.\n\n- Joe Biden was...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4367478915696676, "true_author_prob": 0.2841083227830318, "entropy": 1.7890029948809842, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.20202741901598556, "David Brooks": 0.4367478915696676, "Maureen Dowd": 0.07711636663131499, "Paul Krugman": 0.2841083227830318 } }, { "text": "- Moscow’s government is described as focusing heavily on its leader’s strong, tough image.\n- Tehran’s government is described as treating women unfairly in many rules.\n- Some people say women started...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6175678378750998, "true_author_prob": 0.6175678378750998, "entropy": 1.494302324563341, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.6175678378750998, "David Brooks": 0.18047543801213276, "Maureen Dowd": 0.1578109865172536, "Paul Krugman": 0.044145737595513934 } }, { "text": "- Some people for a long time did not believe truth is the same for everyone.\n- These people thought truth depends on who is speaking.\n- These people thought truth depends on the story being told.\n- A...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.6530479423066657, "true_author_prob": 0.10568611560402796, "entropy": 1.4793265813613352, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.10568611560402796, "David Brooks": 0.6530479423066657, "Maureen Dowd": 0.11171177269770062, "Paul Krugman": 0.12955416939160558 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump said something about himself.\n- The author believes that part of what he said.\n- Donald Trump also said something about the economy.\n- The author thinks that part is mostly true.\n\n- Tru...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.662496375543146, "true_author_prob": 0.10714596661453829, "entropy": 1.4570611039487305, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1148721884814849, "David Brooks": 0.662496375543146, "Maureen Dowd": 0.11548546936083073, "Paul Krugman": 0.10714596661453829 } }, { "text": "- President Biden is described as having done a good job as president.\n- The author says President Biden has been treated very unfairly.\n- The author says people pay close attention to small mistakes ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4810426291480525, "true_author_prob": 0.2005547766454579, "entropy": 1.798189421715962, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.20426837347374002, "David Brooks": 0.4810426291480525, "Maureen Dowd": 0.11413422073274979, "Paul Krugman": 0.2005547766454579 } }, { "text": "- In 2021, the U.S. economy grew a lot.\n- In 2020, some experts thought the economy would recover slowly.\n- In 2020, some experts thought many people would still be out of work for a long time.\n- By 2...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7314208306286942, "true_author_prob": 0.7314208306286942, "entropy": 1.164403310603348, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.037261648169435765, "David Brooks": 0.18406074915927412, "Maureen Dowd": 0.04725677204259589, "Paul Krugman": 0.7314208306286942 } }, { "text": "- The author wrote a post about a way to measure prices that do not include food, energy, used cars, or housing.\n- The post was shared on X, which used to be called Twitter.\n- The post got a lot of co...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8936484381614171, "true_author_prob": 0.8936484381614171, "entropy": 0.6308481787867655, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.009458114695538701, "David Brooks": 0.053928063013533985, "Maureen Dowd": 0.042965384129510203, "Paul Krugman": 0.8936484381614171 } }, { "text": "- Joe Biden wants to return to a nuclear agreement from 2015.\n- The agreement was made during Barack Obama’s time as president.\n- Biden wants to add new rules to the agreement.\n- He hopes to make the ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6970623847245393, "true_author_prob": 0.6970623847245393, "entropy": 1.3226498508494733, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.6970623847245393, "David Brooks": 0.16599519398645032, "Maureen Dowd": 0.07028676783422001, "Paul Krugman": 0.06665565345479038 } }, { "text": "- A nexus is a place where people go to talk with others.\n- A nexus can be real or online.\n- People visit a nexus because they want to meet others.\n- If the experience gets worse, people may stop comi...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.8984044725477418, "true_author_prob": 0.029758039742955083, "entropy": 0.6242667424688679, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05161717845950172, "David Brooks": 0.8984044725477418, "Maureen Dowd": 0.020220309249801453, "Paul Krugman": 0.029758039742955083 } }, { "text": "- In February 2016, Peggy Noonan wrote a column in The Wall Street Journal.\n- She talked about two groups of people.\n- One group is called the “protected.”\n- The “protected” are people who have money,...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.6561121979536958, "true_author_prob": 0.13614087696192523, "entropy": 1.4289434815278876, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.13614087696192523, "David Brooks": 0.6561121979536958, "Maureen Dowd": 0.05122287307294106, "Paul Krugman": 0.15652405201143804 } }, { "text": "- The war in Ukraine changed some people’s views about war.\n- Some Republicans now want to avoid war more than before.\n- Some Democrats now support using force more than before.\n- The change in views ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.8900137940680383, "true_author_prob": 0.004307845158824866, "entropy": 0.6192488988869321, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.004307845158824866, "David Brooks": 0.031714811169068935, "Maureen Dowd": 0.07396354960406794, "Paul Krugman": 0.8900137940680383 } }, { "text": "- ABC stopped Jimmy Kimmel’s TV show for a short time.\n- The government put pressure on ABC to do this.\n- Some people say ABC gave in to that pressure.\n- After the show was stopped, many people on the...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5995165141745393, "true_author_prob": 0.2733340923244938, "entropy": 1.418510215391894, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.2733340923244938, "David Brooks": 0.0227582330270234, "Maureen Dowd": 0.5995165141745393, "Paul Krugman": 0.10439116047394335 } }, { "text": "- Some Democratic leaders asked for a conservative leader to be removed from office.\n- The reasons they gave were not clear or complete.\n- This made some Democratic leaders stop talking about it.\n- Re...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.40550396988591614, "true_author_prob": 0.40550396988591614, "entropy": 1.8420724454971429, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.40550396988591614, "David Brooks": 0.2891742776800689, "Maureen Dowd": 0.095618793694365, "Paul Krugman": 0.2097029587396499 } }, { "text": "- Political speeches are often seen as not giving new information.\n- Donald Trump gave a speech last week.\n- The speech happened at the Economic Club of New York.\n- The speech was considered important...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8927528088567818, "true_author_prob": 0.8927528088567818, "entropy": 0.6525348902642518, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.023206246046695606, "David Brooks": 0.05258542637531663, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03145551872120592, "Paul Krugman": 0.8927528088567818 } }, { "text": "- A long time ago, in ancient Egypt, there was a king named Thamus.\n- King Thamus met a god named Theuth.\n- Theuth is described as clever.\n- Thamus is described as wise.\n\n- Theuth made many useful thi...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5129253856519883, "true_author_prob": 0.1170870329098559, "entropy": 1.7489488577687067, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1170870329098559, "David Brooks": 0.5129253856519883, "Maureen Dowd": 0.21716920453562974, "Paul Krugman": 0.15281837690252603 } }, { "text": "- The mother says not to worry about her.\n- The mother gets groceries from the child.\n- The mother says she has a Ph.D. in loneliness.\n- A Ph.D. is a very high school degree.\n- Loneliness means feelin...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.653751678156888, "true_author_prob": 0.13670477769729103, "entropy": 1.4230885146008334, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.13670477769729103, "David Brooks": 0.653751678156888, "Maureen Dowd": 0.045025379688744184, "Paul Krugman": 0.16451816445707695 } }, { "text": "- In 1973, prices in America were going up quickly.\n- George Shultz was the person in charge of money for the U.S. government.\n- George Shultz said the price increases would not last long.\n- George Sh...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5288940896520722, "true_author_prob": 0.5288940896520722, "entropy": 1.4687896264636935, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.06210553602375277, "David Brooks": 0.04557833669259885, "Maureen Dowd": 0.3634220376315761, "Paul Krugman": 0.5288940896520722 } }, { "text": "- Oregon passed a law called Measure 110 to help people with drug addiction.\n- The law changed how the state handles drug use.\n- Some people think the law is not working well.\n- The author believes it...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5952305195687433, "true_author_prob": 0.5952305195687433, "entropy": 1.4343455793575073, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.5952305195687433, "David Brooks": 0.2805015558457216, "Maureen Dowd": 0.030902066230017358, "Paul Krugman": 0.09336585835551785 } }, { "text": "- The housing bubble happened in the past.\n- People under 35 probably do not remember it well.\n- Most people under 35 were teenagers when it ended.\n- The housing bubble was a very big event at the tim...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6378727423338468, "true_author_prob": 0.6378727423338468, "entropy": 1.4582736575504147, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.046075801156788665, "David Brooks": 0.14603494314165244, "Maureen Dowd": 0.17001651336771195, "Paul Krugman": 0.6378727423338468 } }, { "text": "- People are asking if things are better now than they were four years ago.\n- This question was first asked by Ronald Reagan.\n- Some people think this question supports putting Donald Trump back in po...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.47780746150627235, "true_author_prob": 0.47780746150627235, "entropy": 1.3602450666891257, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05444918780708137, "David Brooks": 0.44980549693435096, "Maureen Dowd": 0.01793785375229539, "Paul Krugman": 0.47780746150627235 } }, { "text": "- Economics uses a lot of math.\n- Other social sciences, like sociology and political science, use less math.\n- Economists are not necessarily smarter than people in other social sciences.\n- It is pos...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8561353549934313, "true_author_prob": 0.8561353549934313, "entropy": 0.8135385836086308, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03183642523731651, "David Brooks": 0.0657642708946256, "Maureen Dowd": 0.04626394887462656, "Paul Krugman": 0.8561353549934313 } }, { "text": "- In June 1967, Arab leaders said they wanted to destroy Israel.\n- Jewish people decided they would not let that happen.\n- Israel fought to protect itself.\n- Some people today still blame Israel for d...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5749303012247572, "true_author_prob": 0.5749303012247572, "entropy": 1.324415036868364, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.5749303012247572, "David Brooks": 0.3560025633125008, "Maureen Dowd": 0.038087998354912965, "Paul Krugman": 0.03097913710782904 } }, { "text": "- Russia started a war with Ukraine.\n- Many people thought Russia would win the war.\n- Russia has a large military.\n- Russia spends more money on its military than Ukraine does.\n- The author says some...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5766840614537682, "true_author_prob": 0.12061468743815944, "entropy": 1.5477618828223492, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.5766840614537682, "David Brooks": 0.25090177753527915, "Maureen Dowd": 0.051799473572793256, "Paul Krugman": 0.12061468743815944 } }, { "text": "- The author has written many articles saying China will weaken.\n- This week, the author says China’s weakening is clear.\n- The author thinks China’s path ahead will be difficult.\n- The author thinks ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5618628140330382, "true_author_prob": 0.5618628140330382, "entropy": 1.4444104189411844, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.5618628140330382, "David Brooks": 0.3322300245480335, "Maureen Dowd": 0.05361277483619487, "Paul Krugman": 0.052294386582733415 } }, { "text": "- The Trump administration worked to help make peace in the Middle East.\n- Some experts did not like how the administration did this.\n- Some of those criticisms were seen as fair.\n- Bahrain agreed to ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4767686481939678, "true_author_prob": 0.17819651599739167, "entropy": 1.7919509055236615, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.17819651599739167, "David Brooks": 0.23706562412197693, "Maureen Dowd": 0.10796921168666362, "Paul Krugman": 0.4767686481939678 } }, { "text": "- A long time ago, people in the U.S. government and news media worried a lot about money deficits.\n- This worry led to less money being spent to help the economy after the 2008 financial crisis.\n- Be...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7556362720215942, "true_author_prob": 0.7556362720215942, "entropy": 1.0422203651196995, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.02225008524376588, "David Brooks": 0.18996908223915787, "Maureen Dowd": 0.032144560495482095, "Paul Krugman": 0.7556362720215942 } }, { "text": "- The case of Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia is considered very bad.\n- Some people think this case is worse than other bad things from this group in charge.\n\n- A man from El Salvador who works with meta...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.587343264709836, "true_author_prob": 0.10059179127629378, "entropy": 1.5469664511048538, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.10059179127629378, "David Brooks": 0.24273357953781896, "Maureen Dowd": 0.587343264709836, "Paul Krugman": 0.06933136447605134 } }, { "text": "- The economy was not doing well.\n- Some people thought Democrats would lose many elections in the midterm.\n- The expected big loss for Democrats did not happen.\n\n- It is not yet known which group wil...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8563868060160383, "true_author_prob": 0.8563868060160383, "entropy": 0.7954883755777764, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.07839324327233048, "David Brooks": 0.044219524267974326, "Maureen Dowd": 0.021000426443656815, "Paul Krugman": 0.8563868060160383 } }, { "text": "- An emperor liked to wear new and stylish clothes.\n- Two tailors told the emperor they could make a special suit.\n- The tailors said the suit was made from a special fabric.\n- The tailors claimed the...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.45565151485284466, "true_author_prob": 0.37343840316803406, "entropy": 1.6349646112990226, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.11850252402264469, "David Brooks": 0.45565151485284466, "Maureen Dowd": 0.05240755795647675, "Paul Krugman": 0.37343840316803406 } }, { "text": "- Inflation has gone down a lot.\n- Gas prices are lower than when they were $5 a gallon.\n- Grocery prices went up a lot last year.\n- Grocery prices are going down now.\n- Grocery prices might go down m...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8425964363116482, "true_author_prob": 0.8425964363116482, "entropy": 0.7749922025921202, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.012482844821431333, "David Brooks": 0.12488127592833947, "Maureen Dowd": 0.02003944293858094, "Paul Krugman": 0.8425964363116482 } }, { "text": "- Joe Biden said he wants to be president again.\n- Some people were not surprised by this news.\n- The author feels unhappy about the upcoming election talk.\n- The author thinks there will be a lot of ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.9498181827306529, "true_author_prob": 0.9498181827306529, "entropy": 0.3516992117415471, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.007148610321152585, "David Brooks": 0.03228775888021835, "Maureen Dowd": 0.010745448067976159, "Paul Krugman": 0.9498181827306529 } }, { "text": "- A terrorist attack happened at a Hanukkah event in Sydney on Sunday.\n- At least 15 people died in the attack.\n- Many other people were hurt.\n- A man named Ahmed al-Ahmed is described in news reports...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.6434923306771505, "true_author_prob": 0.6434923306771505, "entropy": 1.452626984592451, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.6434923306771505, "David Brooks": 0.14667605301225795, "Maureen Dowd": 0.048975454748458984, "Paul Krugman": 0.1608561615621327 } }, { "text": "- A movie called “Donnie Brasco” has a scene in a hospital.\n- A man named Lefty Ruggiero walks up and down the hallway.\n- Lefty Ruggiero’s son is in the hospital.\n- Lefty Ruggiero’s son took too many ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.8061326958168251, "true_author_prob": 0.05711495492115495, "entropy": 1.013145475121763, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.05711495492115495, "David Brooks": 0.057183724424363515, "Maureen Dowd": 0.8061326958168251, "Paul Krugman": 0.07956862483765642 } }, { "text": "- A lecture was given at a dinner event in Sydney, Australia.\n- The dinner happened on Saturday, September 23.\n- The event was called the Lowy Institute Media Award dinner.\n- The award is given for go...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.7420356019135835, "true_author_prob": 0.1154176603969147, "entropy": 1.1357568214813425, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1154176603969147, "David Brooks": 0.7420356019135835, "Maureen Dowd": 0.1314628504052808, "Paul Krugman": 0.011083887284221038 } }, { "text": "- A story about an event at Smith College in 2018 was read by people who like The Times newspaper.\n- The story talked about problems between race and money.\n- The author says the story is unusual and ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.38719442769516715, "true_author_prob": 0.19986755711078813, "entropy": 1.8996345381730226, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.19986755711078813, "David Brooks": 0.38719442769516715, "Maureen Dowd": 0.1368878138785029, "Paul Krugman": 0.2760502013155418 } }, { "text": "- Ukraine is fighting against Russia’s military attack.\n- Russia tried to take over cities quickly with fewer soldiers.\n- Ukraine’s people are putting up strong resistance.\n- Russia is sending more ta...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5348894661421868, "true_author_prob": 0.08723471982145824, "entropy": 1.5351159577818005, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.32723675991460094, "David Brooks": 0.5348894661421868, "Maureen Dowd": 0.05063905412175412, "Paul Krugman": 0.08723471982145824 } }, { "text": "- Some people in Congress are thinking about whether to remove Donald Trump from office.\n- The author suggests they should think about how Donald Trump and Mike Pence got along.\n\n- In December 2015, M...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.7363786019919548, "true_author_prob": 0.1628400544556995, "entropy": 1.1759755992245586, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1628400544556995, "David Brooks": 0.7363786019919548, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03196301003071286, "Paul Krugman": 0.06881833352163282 } }, { "text": "- People in Washington, D.C. are acting in a way that seems careful and smart.\n- This behavior is noticed by the writer.\n- The writer finds this behavior unusual.\n\n- The media talked about President B...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.4193531868436538, "true_author_prob": 0.4193531868436538, "entropy": 1.7567050762628051, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.17448278357598937, "David Brooks": 0.3386994232981693, "Maureen Dowd": 0.06746460628218758, "Paul Krugman": 0.4193531868436538 } }, { "text": "- Financial markets often let rich and stable countries borrow more money.\n- The United States can spend more than it earns without quick problems.\n- Britain can also spend more than it earns without ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8617145200788842, "true_author_prob": 0.8617145200788842, "entropy": 0.7958544175130935, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.03910058745265534, "David Brooks": 0.057598419262035086, "Maureen Dowd": 0.041586473206425396, "Paul Krugman": 0.8617145200788842 } }, { "text": "- Donald Trump talks a lot about the price of bacon.\n- He uses bacon prices to measure how much things cost overall.\n- Some people say his claims about bacon prices are not true.\n- He says things abou...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.3649808929340718, "true_author_prob": 0.29532314180323194, "entropy": 1.849547716105898, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.3649808929340718, "David Brooks": 0.2581960539465231, "Maureen Dowd": 0.08149991131617307, "Paul Krugman": 0.29532314180323194 } }, { "text": "- Janet Yellen said the Fed might raise interest rates if the economy gets too hot.\n- Some people think her comment was hard to explain to the public.\n- The author wonders who does not agree with rais...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.3523139386903159, "true_author_prob": 0.28133320583537774, "entropy": 1.9026522723913968, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.25303797025447883, "David Brooks": 0.11331488521982765, "Maureen Dowd": 0.3523139386903159, "Paul Krugman": 0.28133320583537774 } }, { "text": "- The United States will stop sending 3,500 bombs to Israel for a time.\n- President Biden says this is to help protect Palestinian civilians.\n- Hamas is using the city of Rafah as a place to fight in ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5575812120031465, "true_author_prob": 0.5575812120031465, "entropy": 1.6465782283118924, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.5575812120031465, "David Brooks": 0.13290461051058958, "Maureen Dowd": 0.08760644452650385, "Paul Krugman": 0.2219077329597602 } }, { "text": "- College students are going back to school.\n- The author hopes a university president will talk to students.\n- The talk would be about how the school will deal with protests in the future.\n\n- The tex...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5373999949950972, "true_author_prob": 0.31115530004070047, "entropy": 1.5049797809956362, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.31115530004070047, "David Brooks": 0.5373999949950972, "Maureen Dowd": 0.020651196627194397, "Paul Krugman": 0.13079350833700798 } }, { "text": "- Some people who call themselves conservatives have said the criminal justice system does not put dangerous people in prison enough.\n- These people believe breaking the law should lead to being punis...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.3252854910490026, "true_author_prob": 0.2887979459299223, "entropy": 1.870483264952921, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.2887979459299223, "David Brooks": 0.29964021083360826, "Maureen Dowd": 0.08627635218746674, "Paul Krugman": 0.3252854910490026 } }, { "text": "- Tariffs are taxes on goods brought into the U.S.\n- Some people say tariffs make things more expensive for buyers in the U.S.\n- The author says there is no disagreement about this.\n\n- Not everyone ag...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5085760198844536, "true_author_prob": 0.3463949737999866, "entropy": 1.5745171347241365, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.06794731473721274, "David Brooks": 0.5085760198844536, "Maureen Dowd": 0.07708169157834707, "Paul Krugman": 0.3463949737999866 } }, { "text": "- It has been almost two years since someone started trying to get people to notice a difference between how people feel about the economy and what the economy is actually doing.\n- At that time, many ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.44206775061750053, "true_author_prob": 0.44206775061750053, "entropy": 1.5885966124781046, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.09023150374013678, "David Brooks": 0.4134632294660586, "Maureen Dowd": 0.054237516176303915, "Paul Krugman": 0.44206775061750053 } }, { "text": "- Ben & Jerry’s said it will stop selling ice cream in East Jerusalem and the West Bank.\n- Ben & Jerry’s will still sell ice cream in other parts of Israel.\n- The company’s founders, Bennett Cohen and...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.4245738314820312, "true_author_prob": 0.19587476507023063, "entropy": 1.8928573387326402, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.19587476507023063, "David Brooks": 0.4245738314820312, "Maureen Dowd": 0.20825633654072553, "Paul Krugman": 0.17129506690701257 } }, { "text": "- John McCain gave a speech on Monday.\n- The speech was at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia.\n- John McCain spoke about a type of nationalism.\n- He said this nationalism was not well th...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Maureen Dowd", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.46402379878704286, "true_author_prob": 0.21814350052831866, "entropy": 1.667276742461246, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.21814350052831866, "David Brooks": 0.2862291753293236, "Maureen Dowd": 0.46402379878704286, "Paul Krugman": 0.0316035253553151 } }, { "text": "- The American Anthropological Association voted to avoid working with schools in Israel.\n- The group said it does not have a similar boycott against any other country’s schools.\n- The group mentioned...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.4740856228518206, "true_author_prob": 0.4740856228518206, "entropy": 1.6945141484917765, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.4740856228518206, "David Brooks": 0.31723842548086684, "Maureen Dowd": 0.06506998758315125, "Paul Krugman": 0.14360596408416146 } }, { "text": "- The author does not know what happened at a party in Maryland in the early 1980s.\n- The party involved Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey Ford.\n\n- The author thinks you do not know what happened a...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.47016241323683483, "true_author_prob": 0.47016241323683483, "entropy": 1.6987442962957315, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.47016241323683483, "David Brooks": 0.10474428342243557, "Maureen Dowd": 0.09250048367941309, "Paul Krugman": 0.33259281966131654 } }, { "text": "- President Biden appeared on a TV show called “Late Night With Seth Meyers.”\n- People who have talked to President Biden say he seems clear-minded and knows a lot.\n- President Biden made some people ...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7385161308914294, "true_author_prob": 0.7385161308914294, "entropy": 1.2383060109450459, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.07870775352574619, "David Brooks": 0.10767655211501297, "Maureen Dowd": 0.07509956346781137, "Paul Krugman": 0.7385161308914294 } }, { "text": "- This is the first article written by Bret Stephens.\n\n- Someone who is 55 percent correct is considered to be doing well.\n- It is not needed to argue with someone who is 55 percent correct.\n- Someone...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.8741374042595139, "true_author_prob": 0.8741374042595139, "entropy": 0.7306433607846927, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.8741374042595139, "David Brooks": 0.06364596394364765, "Maureen Dowd": 0.039622669877494916, "Paul Krugman": 0.022593961919343486 } }, { "text": "- A person started reporting on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict many years ago.\n- The person met a Palestinian journalist who was very good at their job.\n- The journalist is only called by his first ...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "Bret Stephens", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.7990792722225247, "true_author_prob": 0.7990792722225247, "entropy": 0.9867080425958629, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.7990792722225247, "David Brooks": 0.12258595692590729, "Maureen Dowd": 0.023561150031607542, "Paul Krugman": 0.054773620819960386 } }, { "text": "- John McCain was held prisoner for five and a half years in North Vietnam.\n- He was hurt and treated badly while he was a prisoner.\n- His captors offered to let him go early.\n- He said no to the earl...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.5558584687514253, "true_author_prob": 0.13673298263420125, "entropy": 1.5164421740401004, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.13673298263420125, "David Brooks": 0.5558584687514253, "Maureen Dowd": 0.2810163531273865, "Paul Krugman": 0.02639219548698691 } }, { "text": "- Inflation has not gone down much lately.\n- Two reports came out this week from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.\n- One report is from a survey about what people think will happen to prices.\n- Th...", "true_author": "Paul Krugman", "predicted_author": "Paul Krugman", "is_correct": true, "confidence": 0.5325607149526371, "true_author_prob": 0.5325607149526371, "entropy": 1.5825635066635564, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.1549154643199935, "David Brooks": 0.277798875344746, "Maureen Dowd": 0.03472494538262337, "Paul Krugman": 0.5325607149526371 } }, { "text": "- A speech was given at Yeshiva University.\n- The event was a Hanukkah dinner.\n- The dinner happened in New York.\n- The speech was delivered on a Sunday.\n- The person who spoke received an honorary do...", "true_author": "Bret Stephens", "predicted_author": "David Brooks", "is_correct": false, "confidence": 0.7359332620639796, "true_author_prob": 0.18863973870171175, "entropy": 1.1251210668496026, "all_probs": { "Bret Stephens": 0.18863973870171175, "David Brooks": 0.7359332620639796, "Maureen Dowd": 0.054394146083587246, "Paul Krugman": 0.021032853150721415 } } ] }