Parity families and a kernel-averaged L-function for near-Ramanujan signings

For a signing σ of a d-regular graph, the spectrum of A_σ depends only on the signs of cycles. We study the affine mathbb F_2 family of signings making every short even cycle unbalanced, and show that averaging over it converts the sign problem of the Bilu-Linial conjecture into a counting problem: a master identity expresses the family-averaged trace as a parity-weighted sum over wrap classes confined to the span W of the constraint cycles, and the family-averaged Ihara L-function diagonalizes so that every prime whose parity escapes W contributes the Ramanujan rate d-1 automatically. Uniform averaging over all signings, by contrast, provably cannot certify a spectral radius below the Kesten profile. We prove matched upper and lower bounds for the confined walk counts, a doubling injection from below, and from above an ear-decomposition encoding in which the number of fresh runs of a non-backtracking walk equals the cycle rank of its support, combined with a window lemma for bicycle-free graphs and a rank bound via the Moore bound for irregular graphs. Consequences include varepsilon-versions of the Bilu-Linial conjecture: every d-regular graph that is subcritical at scale log n, and every d-regular graph bicycle-free at radius Cloglog n/δ, admits a signing in the parity family with ρ(A_σ)le2d-1(1+Cδlog(1/δ))(1+o(1)). We further identify the necessary hypotheses exactly (K_d-trapping; tree-burst gadgets), give an exact certificate on the hypercube, and record a decisive obstruction to two-sided interlacing: mathbb E_σdet(xI-A_σ^2) is not real-rooted, already for the quadrilateral, where it equals (x^2-4x+2)^2+4.