Comparative Analysis of Multilingual Pre-trained Models for Nepali Automatic Speech Recognition

Multilingual pretrained models nominally support Nepali, yet no controlled benchmark has compared them under a single fine-tuning protocol. We fine-tune six pretrained models (XLSR-53, IndicWav2Vec, MMS-1B, Whisper-Medium, Whisper-Large-v3-Turbo, and Conformer-Hi) spanning CTC self-supervised, autoregressive encoder-decoder, and hybrid Conformer-CTC architectures, on the OpenSLR SLR54 Nepali corpus (~165 hours) using identical preprocessing, splits, optimizer, and family-matched learning-rate schedules. We evaluate Word Error Rate (WER), Character Error Rate (CER), and Real-Time Factor (RTF) on three independent test sets (OpenSLR, FLEURS, Common Voice). Whisper-Large-v3-Turbo (14.76% WER) and IndicWav2Vec (14.89% WER) tie at the top despite a 9x parameter gap and 40x pretraining-data gap, providing direct empirical evidence that language-family proximity in pretraining can substitute for raw scale for in-domain Nepali. CTC decoders run up to 29x faster than autoregressive Whisper at the same accuracy, flipping the practical deployment preference toward CTC under any latency budget. Massively multilingual pretraining (MMS-1B) yields the smallest out-of-domain degradation on FLEURS (+12.55 pp), indicating that scale buys robustness rather than peak in-domain accuracy. The resulting benchmark provides the first standardized, multi-model, efficiency-aware reference numbers for Nepali ASR.