How Fragile Is Your Watermark? Training-Free Structural Removal of Neural Audio Watermarks

Neural audio watermarks are increasingly used to attribute and detect AI-generated speech, so their practical value rests on how cheaply an adversary can remove them. Robustness is usually measured by running a fixed battery of distortions blindly against every scheme. We instead make removal diagnostic: from a few clean/watermarked pairs we compute cheap structural probes that reveal where a watermark sits in the signal (its embedding domain), then apply a single domain-matched attack rather than a blind sweep. We further summarize each scheme with one threshold-free fragility score, the area under its accuracy-versus-quality trade-off, which an accuracy-only benchmark cannot provide. Across ten watermarking schemes the probes separate fragile from robust marks: for magnitude and carrier-domain watermarks a single matched attack erases the payload (WavMark, SilentCipher, audiowmark) or removes the detection flag (AudioSeal) at high objective quality (PESQ >= 3.6), whereas latent-domain marks (VoiceMark, WMCodec, AlignMark, AWARE) resist every training-free attack we apply. The same pair-only probe signatures also identify which watermarking scheme is present (84% over ten schemes).