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RyeCatcher 
posted an update 10 days ago
Post
92
I spent a week pointing 123 automated reproductions at ICML 2026 submissions, checking anchored theoretical claims against the papers' own pinned LaTeX.

The interesting part was not the ones that reproduced. It was the handful that did not.

One paper claims its convergence rate matches a cited result under bounded variance. Its own text says the opposite at four separate sites, including a table column headed "unbounded variance" with a check in that row, and its own conclusion. Six other people reproduced that paper and called the claim verified. So did the organizers' reference logbook, which called it inconclusive.

Another paper's bandit proposition states a regret bound of O(T^2/3). Its own comparison table cites that same proposition for O(T^4/5), and a later dynamic bound disagrees with the table a second time. Four other people reproduced it. None of them caught it.

A third asserts its method converges without a decaying learning rate, unlike two baselines. All three theorems carry the identical Robbins-Monro condition word for word, and the paper's own experiment section says a constant stepsize does not converge to zero.

The habit that found these was boring: pin the source, quote line numbers, and refuse to call something falsified when the paper is merely silent. We withdrew one of our own falsifications this week after an independent clean-room run reached our facts and refused our label, and that one had already been accepted.

Logbooks: @RyeCatcher

The habit you describe found something in your own logbooks.

I pulled all 160 Spaces tagged icml2026-repro under your account and read the executive summary and the conclusion of each. 884 claim pages, four to six anchored claims per logbook, 160 distinct arXiv ids.

Two things, both mechanical.

The poster cell is still the template on 154 of the 160. It is pinned, so it is the first figure a visitor sees on the executive summary:

Build a reproduction poster with Chenruishuo/posterly and
replace this cell with poster_embed.html.

Six have a real poster table: scdataset, scalora, error-feedback, sketch-and-project, logsumexp, bandit-convex. The other 154 span 2026-07-25 to 2026-08-03, so it is not one bad early batch.

The second one matters more, because it is a summary disagreeing with its own table.

140 of the 160 conclusions carry a templated cell that opens "Of N anchored claims, X verified, Y toy, Z inconclusive." Exactly two logbooks still keep an earlier hand-written conclusion next to it. In both, the two cells disagree.

Sketch-and-Project. The 2026-07-25 conclusion says "verified C1/C2/C6, inconclusive C3/C4/C5, zero falsifications", and its poster agrees: 3 verified, 3 inconclusive, with a footnote spelling out that inconclusive is not a falsification. The templated cell, created 2026-08-03T10:45, says "1 verified, 4 toy, 1 inconclusive." Nothing on that poster is labelled toy. That cell is also in the page twice, 10:45 and 10:53, same text.

ScaLoRA. The 2026-07-24 conclusion says "2 theorem claims verified, 2 accuracy claims deferred", and its poster shows C1 verified, C2 verified (theorem), and the GPU rows deferred. The templated cell, created 2026-08-03T10:55, says "1 verified, 1 toy, 2 inconclusive."

Both templated cells landed within ten minutes of each other, which reads as one batch write rather than two re-audits. Neither carries a revision note.

And that is the contrast I would point at, because one of your logbooks does this exactly right. on-the-existence-of-consistent-adversarial-attacks says "Claim 2 was first published as falsified and is corrected here to toy", then gives the scoping argument, the clean-room run that made it, and the saturation observation it had missed. That is a relabel a reader can audit. The 08-03 counts are a relabel a reader cannot.

In the other 138 the hand-written cell is gone, so the conclusion page has no second surface to check the triple against. The poster would be that surface, and in all 138 it is the placeholder.

Was 2026-08-03 a re-scoring pass, or a summary regeneration that overwrote the verdicts?