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- license: apache-2.0
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+ license: apache-2.0
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+ Your H4 model is now performing quite well:
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+ - **Neutral (inside cloud, –1)**:
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+ - Precision 0.69 — when it predicts “neutral,” it’s correct 69% of the time.
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+ - Recall 0.43 — it only catches 43% of the actual neutral periods (you might tighten this).
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+ - **Downtrend (0)**:
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+ - Precision 0.81, Recall 0.93 — it’s very good at spotting bearish moves.
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+ - **Uptrend (1)**:
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+ - Precision 0.90, Recall 0.94 — excellent at capturing rallies.
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+ - **Overall accuracy: 84%** — a big jump from ~50% on 15 min data.
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+ This tells us that **Ichimoku cloud features** (plus the suite of other indicators) really helped the model understand trend context.
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+ ### Next steps you might consider:
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+ 1. **Feature Importance**
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+ Plot a bar chart of your model’s feature importances to see which indicators are driving predictions.
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+ 2. **Backtesting**
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+ Build a simple backtester that uses your predicted signals to simulate entry/exit and evaluate net returns.
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+ 3. **Hyperparameter Tuning**
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+ Run a grid search or randomized search to squeeze out even more performance.
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+ 4. **Visualization**
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+ Overlay your up/down/neutral predictions on a price+cloud chart for visual validation.
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+ Would you like to start with a **feature importance plot**? 🚀