File size: 10,589 Bytes
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
baaf546
98b6743
323306f
7add2a4
d2c1dba
 
 
c27f8bf
baaf546
323306f
 
 
34dca54
 
 
c27f8bf
323306f
 
 
c27f8bf
323306f
 
 
b56a840
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
 
323306f
 
 
 
b56a840
323306f
34dca54
 
323306f
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
34dca54
 
 
 
323306f
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
 
323306f
 
 
34dca54
 
323306f
34dca54
 
323306f
 
 
34dca54
 
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
34dca54
 
323306f
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
34dca54
 
323306f
34dca54
323306f
34dca54
323306f
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
34dca54
 
323306f
34dca54
323306f
 
 
34dca54
 
 
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
34dca54
 
c27f8bf
 
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
 
323306f
 
34dca54
 
 
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
34dca54
 
323306f
 
 
c27f8bf
323306f
 
 
34dca54
b56a840
 
34dca54
 
b56a840
 
 
 
34dca54
 
 
 
 
323306f
baaf546
 
323306f
baaf546
 
 
 
 
323306f
 
baaf546
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
 
 
34dca54
 
323306f
34dca54
 
baaf546
323306f
34dca54
323306f
34dca54
323306f
 
 
 
34dca54
 
323306f
34dca54
323306f
 
 
34dca54
323306f
 
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
from fastapi import FastAPI, HTTPException
from pydantic import BaseModel
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import tensorflow as tf
from yahoo_fin.stock_info import get_data
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
from transformers import AutoTokenizer, AutoModelForSequenceClassification
from pytorch_forecasting import TemporalFusionTransformer
from bs4 import BeautifulSoup
import requests
from dotenv import load_dotenv
import os
from fastapi.middleware.cors import CORSMiddleware

os.environ["CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES"] = "-1"

import torch

device = torch.device('cuda' if torch.cuda.is_available() else 'cpu')

MODEL_PATH = "lib/20_lstm_model.h5"
model = tf.keras.models.load_model(MODEL_PATH)

model_name_news = "mrm8488/distilroberta-finetuned-financial-news-sentiment-analysis"
tokenizer = AutoTokenizer.from_pretrained(model_name_news)
sentiment_model = AutoModelForSequenceClassification.from_pretrained(
    model_name_news).to(device)

best_model_path = 'lib/tft_pred.ckpt'

best_tft = TemporalFusionTransformer.load_from_checkpoint(best_model_path).to(device)

app = FastAPI()

app.add_middleware(
    CORSMiddleware,
    allow_origins=["*"],
    allow_credentials=True,
    allow_methods=["GET", "POST", "PUT", "DELETE"],
    allow_headers=["*"],
)


class TickerRequest(BaseModel):
    ticker: str
    start_date: str
    end_date: str
    interval: str = "1d"

def fetch_and_process_ticker_data(ticker, start_date, end_date, interval="1d"):
    df = pd.DataFrame()
    try:
        temp = get_data(ticker, start_date=start_date,
                        end_date=end_date, index_as_date=True, interval=interval)
        temp = temp.drop(columns="close")
        temp["revenue"] = temp["adjclose"] * temp["volume"]
        temp["daily_profit"] = temp["adjclose"] - temp["open"]
        df = pd.concat([df, temp], axis=0)

    except Exception as error:
        raise HTTPException(
            status_code=500, detail=f"Error processing ticker {ticker}: {error}")
    return df


def ticker_encoded(df):
    label_map = {'ATOM': 0, 'HBIO': 1, 'IBEX': 2, 'MYFW': 3, 'NATH': 4}

    ticker_encoded = []

    for i in df.iloc():

        ticker_name = i['ticker']

        encoded_ticker = label_map[ticker_name]

        ticker_encoded.append(encoded_ticker)
    df['ticker_encoded'] = ticker_encoded

    return df


def normalize(df):
    price_scaler = MinMaxScaler()
    volume_revenue_scaler = MinMaxScaler()
    profit_scaler = MinMaxScaler()

    df[["open", "high", "low", "adjclose"]] = price_scaler.fit_transform(
        df[["open", "high", "low", "adjclose"]])
    df[["volume", "revenue"]] = volume_revenue_scaler.fit_transform(
        df[["volume", "revenue"]])
    df[["daily_profit"]] = profit_scaler.fit_transform(df[["daily_profit"]])

    return df, price_scaler


def create_sequence(dataset):
    sequences = []
    labels = []
    dates = []
    stock = []

    df_copy = dataset.drop(columns=["date"])

    start_idx = 0
    for stop_idx in range(20, len(dataset)):
        set_ = set(dataset.iloc[start_idx:stop_idx]["ticker_encoded"].values)
        target_day_ticker_class = dataset.iloc[stop_idx]["ticker_encoded"]

        if len(set_) == 1 and target_day_ticker_class == list(set_)[0]:
            sequences.append(df_copy.iloc[start_idx:stop_idx].values)
            labels.append(df_copy.iloc[stop_idx][["open", "adjclose"]])
            date_string = dataset.iloc[stop_idx]["date"].strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
            dates.append(date_string)
            stock.append(str(dataset.iloc[stop_idx]["ticker_encoded"]))

        start_idx += 1

    return np.array(sequences), np.array(labels), dates, stock


def scaling_predictions(price_scaler, combined_dataset_prediction):

    price_scaler.min_ = np.array([price_scaler.min_[0], price_scaler.min_[3]])

    price_scaler.scale_ = np.array(
        [price_scaler.scale_[0], price_scaler.scale_[3]])

    combined_dataset_prediction_inverse = price_scaler.inverse_transform(
        combined_dataset_prediction)

    return combined_dataset_prediction_inverse


def storing_predictions(df, dates, stock, combined_dataset_prediction_inverse):

    df['pred_open'] = np.nan

    df['pred_closing'] = np.nan

    for idx, row in df.iterrows():

        current_row_date = row.date.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')

        current_row_ticker = str(row.ticker_encoded)

        for i in range(len(dates)):

            if current_row_date == dates[i] and stock[i] == current_row_ticker:

                opening_price = combined_dataset_prediction_inverse[i][0]
                closing_price = combined_dataset_prediction_inverse[i][1]
                df.loc[idx, 'pred_open'] = opening_price
                df.loc[idx, 'pred_closing'] = closing_price

                break
    df = df.dropna(subset=['pred_open', 'pred_closing']).reset_index(drop=True)

    return df


def scrape_news(ticker_name):

    columns = ['datatime', 'title', 'source',
               'link', 'top_sentiment', 'sentiment_score']
    df = pd.DataFrame(columns=columns)

    for i in range(1, 3):

        url = f'https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/{ticker_name}-stock?p={i}'
        response = requests.get(url)
        html = response.text
        soup = BeautifulSoup(html, 'lxml')

        articles = soup.find_all('div', class_='latest-news__story')

        for article in articles:
            datatime = article.find(
                'time', class_='latest-news__date').get('datetime')

            title = article.find('a', class_='news-link').text

            source = article.find('span', class_='latest-news__source').text

            link = article.find('a', class_='news-link').get('href')

            top_sentiment = ''

            sentiment_score = 0

            temp = pd.DataFrame(
                [[datatime, title, source, link, top_sentiment, sentiment_score]], columns=df.columns)

            df = pd.concat([temp, df], axis=0)

    return df


def add_recent_news(main_df, news_df, lookback_days=10):

    news_df.drop(columns=['top_sentiment', 'sentiment_score'], inplace=True)

    main_df['date'] = pd.to_datetime(main_df['date'])
    news_df['datatime'] = pd.to_datetime(news_df['datatime'])

    news_list = []
    last_available_news = ''

    for _, row in main_df.iterrows():
        current_date = row['date']
        current_ticker = row['ticker']
        news_articles = ''

        for _, news_row in news_df.iterrows():
            extracted_date = news_row['datatime']

            if (current_date - extracted_date).days <= lookback_days and extracted_date < current_date:
                news_articles += news_row['title'] + " "

        if not news_articles.strip():
            for _, news_row in news_df[::-1].iterrows():
                if news_row['datatime'] < current_date:
                    news_articles = news_row['title']
                    break

        last_available_news = news_articles.strip() or last_available_news
        news_list.append(last_available_news)

    main_df['news'] = news_list

    return main_df


def news_sentiment(df):

    news_column_name = 'news'
    texts = df[news_column_name].tolist()

    inputs = tokenizer(texts, padding=True,
                       truncation=True, return_tensors="pt")
    inputs = {key: val.to(device) for key, val in inputs.items()} 


    with torch.no_grad():
        outputs = sentiment_model(**inputs)

    logits = outputs.logits
    probs = torch.softmax(logits, dim=-1)

    labels = ["negative", "neutral", "positive"]

    predictions = torch.argmax(probs, dim=-1)

    df['predicted_sentiment'] = pd.Series(
        [labels[pred] for pred in predictions], index=df[df[news_column_name].notna()].index)

    sentiment_map = {
        'positive': 1,
        'neutral': 0,
        'negative': -1
    }

    df['sentiment_score'] = df['predicted_sentiment'].map(sentiment_map)

    df = df.drop(columns=['news'])

    return df


def get_tft_predictions(df):
    for i in range(1, 21):
        df[f'open_lag_{i}'] = df.groupby('ticker')['open'].shift(i)
        df[f'adjclose_lag_{i}'] = df.groupby('ticker')['adjclose'].shift(i)

    lag_columns = [f'open_lag_{i}' for i in range(
        1, 21)] + [f'adjclose_lag_{i}' for i in range(1, 21)]

    df.dropna(subset=lag_columns, inplace=True)

    predictions = best_tft.predict(df.to(device), mode="quantiles")

    return predictions


@app.get("/fetch-ticker-data/{ticker_name}/{start_date}/{end_date}/{interval}")
async def fetch_ticker_data(ticker_name: str, start_date: str, end_date: str, interval: str):
    try:
        result_df = fetch_and_process_ticker_data(
            ticker=ticker_name,
            start_date=start_date,
            end_date=end_date,
            interval=interval
        )
        return result_df.to_dict(orient="records")
    except Exception as e:
        raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=str(e))


@app.get("/predict-prices/{ticker_name}/{start_date}/{end_date}/{interval}")
async def predict_prices(ticker_name: str, start_date: str, end_date: str, interval: str):
    try:
        result_df = fetch_and_process_ticker_data(
            ticker=ticker_name,
            start_date=start_date,
            end_date=end_date,
            interval=interval
        )

        raw_data = result_df.tail(60)
        raw_data = raw_data.reset_index()

        raw_data.rename(columns={"index": "date"}, inplace=True)
        raw_data = ticker_encoded(raw_data)

        temp_df = raw_data.copy()

        normalized_data, scaler = normalize(raw_data)
        normalized_data = normalized_data.drop(columns=['ticker'])

        sequences, _, dates, stock = create_sequence(normalized_data)
        combined_dataset_prediction = model.predict(sequences)
        combined_dataset_prediction_inverse = scaling_predictions(
            scaler, combined_dataset_prediction)

        lstm_pred_df = storing_predictions(
            temp_df, dates, stock, combined_dataset_prediction_inverse)
        news_df = scrape_news(ticker_name=ticker_name)

        combined_with_news_df = add_recent_news(lstm_pred_df, news_df)
        sentiment_df = news_sentiment(combined_with_news_df)

        sentiment_df['time_idx'] = range(1, len(sentiment_df) + 1)

        predicted_values = get_tft_predictions(sentiment_df)

        final_pred_open_price = predicted_values[0].item()
        final_pred_closing_price = predicted_values[1].item()

        return {"open": final_pred_open_price, 'close': final_pred_closing_price}

    except Exception as e:
        raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=str(e))