""" Pyro model for online learning of component failure probabilities. """ import pyro import pyro.distributions as dist import torch def failure_model(observations=None): """ Bayesian model for component failure rates. observations: tensor of observed failures (0/1) for each component. """ # Priors for different component types switch_failure_rate = pyro.sample("switch_failure", dist.Beta(1, 10)) server_failure_rate = pyro.sample("server_failure", dist.Beta(1, 20)) service_failure_rate = pyro.sample("service_failure", dist.Beta(1, 5)) # If observations provided, condition on them if observations is not None: with pyro.plate("components", len(observations)): pyro.sample("obs", dist.Bernoulli(probs=...), obs=observations) return { "switch": switch_failure_rate, "server": server_failure_rate, "service": service_failure_rate }