{ "best_parameters": { "colsample_bytree": 0.7449721611208636, "learning_rate": 0.020824306666550746, "max_depth": 3, "min_child_weight": 3.2773123153428503, "n_estimators": 300, "reg_alpha": 0.8287375091519293, "reg_lambda": 1.1369027867815908, "subsample": 0.7860370513913187 }, "categorical_features": [ "degradation_condition", "degradation_mechanism", "additives", "degradation_environment", "additive_type_1", "additive_type_2", "additive_type_3", "sample_shape_morphology", "pha_degrading_microbes", "experimental_scale" ], "categorical_levels": { "additive_type_1": [ "crosslinker_polymer_modifier", "filler", "not_applicable", "plasticizer", "reinforcement" ], "additive_type_2": [ "filler", "not_applicable", "nucleating_agent", "plasticizer" ], "additive_type_3": [ "compatibilizer", "crosslinker", "filler", "not_applicable", "reinforcement" ], "additives": [ "no", "yes" ], "degradation_condition": [ "aerobic", "anaerobic" ], "degradation_environment": [ "compost_organic_fertilizer", "laboratory_mineral_media", "marine_aquatic", "soil" ], "degradation_mechanism": [ "hydrolysis", "microbial_enzymatic", "other", "surface" ], "experimental_scale": [ "lab", "large" ], "pha_degrading_microbes": [ "bacteria_dominated", "bacteria_fungi_mixed", "diverse_environmental", "fungi_dominated", "uncategorized" ], "sample_shape_morphology": [ "films", "other", "ribbons", "sheets" ] }, "citation": { "companion_manuscript": "Bibliographic record pending author submission/publication.", "source_corpus": "Kotzabasaki et al. (2026), Polymers 18, 897", "source_doi": "10.3390/polym18070897" }, "descriptive_interval_half_widths": { "0.80": 53.882681316641424, "0.90": 77.78028288264014, "0.95": 85.50717191428235 }, "endpoint": "degradation-induced weight loss / physical mass-loss trajectory (%)", "features": [ "degradation_time_days", "adjusted_hb_ratio_formulation_mol", "adjusted_hv_ratio_formulation_mol", "t_deg", "additive1_percentage_wt", "additive2_percentage_wt", "additive3_percentage_wt", "degradation_condition", "degradation_mechanism", "additives", "degradation_environment", "additive_type_1", "additive_type_2", "additive_type_3", "sample_shape_morphology", "pha_degrading_microbes", "experimental_scale" ], "grouped_cv_macro_study_mae_objective": 27.81102157801946, "inherited_preprocessing": { "other": [ "source-level category coarsening", "zero filling of unreported additive concentrations" ], "temperature_completed_rows": 210, "temperature_completed_studies": 3 }, "intended_use_limits": "Research hypothesis exploration and experiment prioritisation only; not for certification, regulatory or safety decisions, causal inference, or replacement of laboratory testing. Marginal checks do not validate joint scenarios.", "interval_evaluation": { "0.80": { "empirical_coverage": 0.9284253578732108, "mean_width": 79.00438994817615, "median_width": 79.76067915555889 }, "0.90": { "empirical_coverage": 0.9761417859577368, "mean_width": 91.92065079330042, "median_width": 97.01415518198472 }, "0.95": { "empirical_coverage": 0.9904567143830948, "mean_width": 97.05151882369664, "median_width": 100.0 } }, "interval_method": "Post-selection study-grouped cross-validation residual diagnostic; residual-producing folds also informed hyperparameter selection.", "license_scope": "MIT covers project-authored interface code and packaging only; source article, workbook, CSV, and notebooks retain their original rights and are not uploaded.", "limitations": [ "The effective validation sample contains only 16 source studies.", "Leave-one-study-out errors are large and heterogeneous.", "Prediction intervals are often close to the full 0-100% range.", "Inputs outside recorded ranges or categories require caution.", "Predictions are associations from literature-derived data, not causal estimates." ], "model_export_id": "phbv-bm-xgb-2026-07-26-v1", "model_name": "bounded_monotonic_study_weighted", "monotonic_constraint": { "direction": "increasing", "feature": "degradation_time_days" }, "nested_loso_performance": { "macro_curve_mae": 24.15217559047409, "macro_study_mae": 23.5543495445916, "point_mae": 22.061178747043066, "point_r2": 0.1452965158575815, "point_rmse": 30.482867958078305 }, "not_endpoint": "ultimate biodegradation or mineralization", "numeric_features": [ "degradation_time_days", "adjusted_hb_ratio_formulation_mol", "adjusted_hv_ratio_formulation_mol", "t_deg", "additive1_percentage_wt", "additive2_percentage_wt", "additive3_percentage_wt" ], "numeric_ranges": { "additive1_percentage_wt": { "maximum": 70.0, "minimum": 0.0 }, "additive2_percentage_wt": { "maximum": 50.0, "minimum": 0.0 }, "additive3_percentage_wt": { "maximum": 20.0, "minimum": 0.0 }, "adjusted_hb_ratio_formulation_mol": { "maximum": 99.0, "minimum": 28.16 }, "adjusted_hv_ratio_formulation_mol": { "maximum": 19.0, "minimum": 0.5 }, "degradation_time_days": { "maximum": 360.0, "minimum": 0.0 }, "t_deg": { "maximum": 60.0, "minimum": 20.0 } }, "random_seed": 42, "release_date": "2026-07-26", "sample_weighting": "study_balanced", "software": { "numpy": "1.26.4", "optuna": "3.2.0", "pandas": "2.1.4", "python": "3.10.14", "scikit_learn": "1.7.2", "xgboost": "3.0.5" }, "target_transform": { "epsilon": 0.001, "limits": [ 0, 100 ], "prediction_output_clipping": "0-100%", "training_target_clip_count": 3, "type": "bounded_logit" }, "training_curves": 129, "training_population": "Released additive-enriched PHBV modelling corpus: 1,467 observations, 129 curves, and 16 source studies; not a probability sample of PHBV experiments.", "training_rows": 1467, "training_studies": 16 }