Spaces:
Sleeping
Sleeping
Feature: Added MD Risk Checklist & Yield Sensitivity
Browse files
main.py
CHANGED
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@@ -232,13 +232,72 @@ def generate_advisory(signals, macro, fundamentals, last_private_price):
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except:
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pass
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# 4.
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final_text = (
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f"<b>Market Conditions:</b> {window_status} ({macro['vix']:.1f} VIX). "
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f"{advice_text}<br><br>"
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f"<b>Strategic Recommendation:</b> Based on current implied volatility and peer multiples (Avg {avg_ev_rev:.1f}x EV/Rev), "
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f"we recommend an initial pricing range of <b>${low_px:.2f} - ${high_px:.2f}</b> per share."
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)
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return {
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'low': round(low_px, 2),
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@@ -246,7 +305,8 @@ def generate_advisory(signals, macro, fundamentals, last_private_price):
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'sentiment': window_status,
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'color': window_color,
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'commentary': final_text,
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'avg_ev_rev': avg_ev_rev
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}
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# ==============================================================================
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except:
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pass
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# 4. YIELD SENSITIVITY (New)
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yield_impact = "Neutral"
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if macro['tnx'] > 4.5:
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yield_impact = "Negative (High Rates)"
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elif macro['tnx'] < 3.5:
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yield_impact = "Positive (Low Rates)"
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# 5. RISK CHECKLIST GENERATION
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risk_matrix = []
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# Risk 1: Volatility
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req_vix = "π’" if macro['vix'] < 20 else ("π΄" if macro['vix'] > 25 else "π‘")
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risk_matrix.append({
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"factor": "Market Volatility (VIX)",
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"status": f"{req_vix} {macro['vix']:.2f}",
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"impact": "Constructive" if macro['vix'] < 20 else "Dislocated"
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})
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# Risk 2: Valuation Gap (Down-Round)
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if last_private_price:
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try:
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lpp = float(last_private_price)
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gap_pct = ((high_px - lpp) / lpp) * 100
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if gap_pct < 0:
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icon = "π΄"
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impact_text = "Down-Round Risk"
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elif gap_pct < 15:
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icon = "π‘"
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impact_text = "Flat/Small Uplift"
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else:
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icon = "π’"
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impact_text = "Accretive IPO"
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risk_matrix.append({
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"factor": "Valuation Step-Up",
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"status": f"{icon} {gap_pct:+.1f}%",
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"impact": impact_text
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})
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except:
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pass
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# Risk 3: Yield Environment
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risk_matrix.append({
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"factor": "Yield Environment (10Y)",
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"status": f"{'π΄' if macro['tnx'] > 4.2 else 'π’'} {macro['tnx']:.2f}%",
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"impact": "Valuation Drag" if macro['tnx'] > 4.2 else "Supportive"
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})
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# Risk 4: Sector Health (Rule of 40)
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avg_r40 = np.mean([f['rule_40'] for f in fundamentals]) if fundamentals else 0
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risk_matrix.append({
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"factor": "Sector Health (Rule of 40)",
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"status": f"{'π’' if avg_r40 >= 40 else 'π‘'} {avg_r40:.0f}",
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"impact": "Premium Multiples" if avg_r40 >= 40 else "Discount Applied"
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})
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# 6. FORMATTING (Restore V1 Style + Yield Note)
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final_text = (
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f"<b>Market Conditions:</b> {window_status} ({macro['vix']:.1f} VIX). "
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f"{advice_text}<br><br>"
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f"<b>Strategic Recommendation:</b> Based on current implied volatility and peer multiples (Avg {avg_ev_rev:.1f}x EV/Rev), "
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f"we recommend an initial pricing range of <b>${low_px:.2f} - ${high_px:.2f}</b> per share."
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)
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if macro['tnx'] > 4.2:
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final_text += " <br><i>Note: Valuation pressured by rising 10yr yields (>4.2%).</i>"
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return {
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'low': round(low_px, 2),
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'sentiment': window_status,
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'color': window_color,
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'commentary': final_text,
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'avg_ev_rev': avg_ev_rev,
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'risk_matrix': risk_matrix
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}
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# ==============================================================================
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