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AJAY KASU commited on
Commit ·
c3aab0c
1
Parent(s): cafdd88
Feat: Max Weight Constraint & NLP Logic
Browse files- .DS_Store +0 -0
- ai/ai_reporter.py +4 -2
- ai/prompts.py +25 -10
- analytics/__pycache__/attribution.cpython-39.pyc +0 -0
- analytics/attribution.py +29 -5
- api/static/index.html +19 -0
- core/__pycache__/schema.cpython-39.pyc +0 -0
- core/schema.py +3 -2
- data/optimizer.py +7 -2
- debug_attribution_logic.py +68 -0
- debug_output.txt +21 -0
- main.py +2 -1
.DS_Store
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Binary file (8.2 kB). View file
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ai/ai_reporter.py
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@@ -36,6 +36,8 @@ class AIReporter:
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# Get current date in a specific format (e.g., "February 03, 2026")
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current_date = datetime.now().strftime("%B %d, %Y")
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# Format the user prompt
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# We assume ATTRIBUTION_PROMPT_TEMPLATE handles the rest, but we force the date in context
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user_prompt = f"""
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@@ -46,8 +48,8 @@ INSTRUCTION: Start your commentary exactly with the header: "Market Commentary -
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total_active_return=attribution_report.total_active_return * 100, # Convert to %
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allocation_effect=attribution_report.allocation_effect * 100,
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selection_effect=attribution_report.selection_effect * 100,
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top_contributors=
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top_detractors=
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current_date=current_date # Pass date to template
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)
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# Get current date in a specific format (e.g., "February 03, 2026")
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current_date = datetime.now().strftime("%B %d, %Y")
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import json
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# Format the user prompt
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# We assume ATTRIBUTION_PROMPT_TEMPLATE handles the rest, but we force the date in context
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user_prompt = f"""
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total_active_return=attribution_report.total_active_return * 100, # Convert to %
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allocation_effect=attribution_report.allocation_effect * 100,
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selection_effect=attribution_report.selection_effect * 100,
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top_contributors=json.dumps(attribution_report.top_contributors, indent=2),
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top_detractors=json.dumps(attribution_report.top_detractors, indent=2),
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current_date=current_date # Pass date to template
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)
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ai/prompts.py
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@@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
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# System Prompt for the Portfolio Manager Persona
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SYSTEM_PROMPT = """You are a Senior Portfolio Manager at a top-tier Asset Management firm (e.g., Goldman Sachs, BlackRock).
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Your goal is to write a concise, professional, and insightful performance commentary for a High Net Worth Application.
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Your tone should be:
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@@ -6,6 +7,14 @@ Your tone should be:
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2. Mathematically precise (cite the numbers).
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3. Explanatory (explain 'why' something happened).
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Avoid generic financial advice. Focus strictly on the attribution data provided.
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"""
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## Brinson-Fachler Attribution Data (Trailing 30 Days)
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- Total Active Return (Alpha): {total_active_return:.2f}%
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- Allocation Effect (Impact of
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- Selection Effect (Impact of Stock Picking): {selection_effect:.2f}%
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## Attribution Detail
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-
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-
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## Guidelines for the Narrative:
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1. **Timeframe**: Use the EXACT date provided
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2. **Ticker Validation
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3. **Attribution Logic**:
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- If a sector is excluded (
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-
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-
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Write a professional, concise 3-paragraph commentary.
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"""
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# System Prompt for the Portfolio Manager Persona
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# System Prompt for the Portfolio Manager Persona
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SYSTEM_PROMPT = """You are a Senior Portfolio Manager at a top-tier Asset Management firm (e.g., Goldman Sachs, BlackRock).
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Your goal is to write a concise, professional, and insightful performance commentary for a High Net Worth Application.
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Your tone should be:
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2. Mathematically precise (cite the numbers).
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3. Explanatory (explain 'why' something happened).
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## GOLDMAN RULES (STRICT COMPLIANCE)
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1. **The Exclusion Rule**: If a stock or sector has "Status": "Excluded", NEVER refer to it as a "Holding". We don't own it. Its negative contribution is a "Missed Opportunity" or "Drag from Benchbark Rally".
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2. **The Active Return Rule**: Only call a stock a "Contributor" if its "Active_Contribution" is POSITIVE.
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- If we don't own a stock (Weight = 0%) and it went UP, it is a DETRACTOR (Active Contribution is NEGATIVE).
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- If we don't own a stock and it went DOWN, it is a CONTRIBUTOR (Active Contribution is POSITIVE).
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3. **The GICS Rule**: Adhere strictly to the "Sector" field provided in the input JSON. Do not hallucinate sectors. (e.g. AMZN is Consumer Discretionary, XOM is Energy).
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4. **Data Grounding**: Do not cite any data not present in the provided JSON "Truth Tables".
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Avoid generic financial advice. Focus strictly on the attribution data provided.
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"""
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## Brinson-Fachler Attribution Data (Trailing 30 Days)
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- Total Active Return (Alpha): {total_active_return:.2f}%
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- Allocation Effect (Impact of Sector Weights): {allocation_effect:.2f}%
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- Selection Effect (Impact of Stock Picking): {selection_effect:.2f}%
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## Attribution Detail (The "Truth Tables")
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**Top Active Contributors (JSON)**:
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{top_contributors}
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**Top Active Detractors (JSON)**:
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{top_detractors}
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## Guidelines for the Narrative:
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1. **Timeframe**: Use the EXACT date provided: "{current_date}".
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2. **Ticker Validation**: Use the Ticker symbols exactly as listed.
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3. **Attribution Logic**:
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- If a sector is excluded (Allocation Effect), describe it as a strategic decision.
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- For Detractors that are "Excluded" (e.g. Status: Excluded), say: "The portfolio faced a headwind due to the exclusion of [Sector/Stock], which rallied during the period."
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- DO NOT say "We held [Excluded Stock]".
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4. **Chain of Thought (Mental Check)**:
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- First, scan the JSON. Identify the "Status" of the top movers.
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- Second, match the Sector to the Stock.
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- Third, write the commentary based ONLY on these facts.
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Write a professional, concise 3-paragraph commentary.
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"""
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analytics/__pycache__/attribution.cpython-39.pyc
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Binary files a/analytics/__pycache__/attribution.cpython-39.pyc and b/analytics/__pycache__/attribution.cpython-39.pyc differ
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analytics/attribution.py
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@@ -87,14 +87,38 @@ class AttributionEngine:
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total_interaction = attr_df['interaction'].sum()
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# Calculate Top Contributors/Detractors to active return
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# Active Weight * Asset Return
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# Contribution to Active Return = w_p*r_a - w_b*r_a ...
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df['active_weight'] = df['wp'] - df['wb']
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df['contribution'] = df['active_weight'] * df['ret']
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sorted_contrib = df.sort_values(by='contribution', ascending=False)
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-
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-
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# Narrative skeleton (to be filled by AI)
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narrative_raw = (
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total_interaction = attr_df['interaction'].sum()
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# Calculate Top Contributors/Detractors to active return
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# Active Weight * Asset Return (Truth Table Logic)
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df['active_weight'] = df['wp'] - df['wb']
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df['contribution'] = df['active_weight'] * df['ret']
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# Sort by active contribution
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sorted_contrib = df.sort_values(by='contribution', ascending=False)
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def get_status(row):
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if row['wp'] == 0.0 and row['wb'] > 0.0:
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return "Excluded"
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elif row['wp'] > row['wb']:
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return "Overweight"
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elif row['wp'] < row['wb']:
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return "Underweight"
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else:
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return "Neutral"
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def build_truth_table(dataframe, n=5):
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results = []
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for ticker, row in dataframe.head(n).iterrows():
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results.append({
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"Ticker": ticker,
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"Sector": row['sector'],
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"Status": get_status(row),
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"Active_Contribution": f"{row['contribution']:.4f}",
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"Return": f"{row['ret']:.2%}"
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})
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return results
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# Top 5 Winners (Contributors) & Losers (Detractors)
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top_contributors = build_truth_table(sorted_contrib, 5)
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top_detractors = build_truth_table(sorted_contrib.sort_values(by='contribution', ascending=True), 5)
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# Narrative skeleton (to be filled by AI)
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narrative_raw = (
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api/static/index.html
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@@ -443,10 +443,29 @@
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// For demo, we send "None" effectively.
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}
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const payload = {
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"client_id": "Web_User",
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"excluded_sectors": excluded,
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"excluded_tickers": excludedTickers,
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"initial_investment": 100000
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};
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// For demo, we send "None" effectively.
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}
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// Extract Max Weight (e.g. "limit to 2%", "max weight 5%")
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let maxWeight = null;
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// Matches: "limit... 2%" or "weight... 0.05"
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// Simple Regex: Search for number followed optionally by %
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const weightMatch = lowerInput.match(/(?:limit|max|weight).*?(\d+(?:\.\d+)?)\s*%/);
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if (weightMatch) {
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const val = parseFloat(weightMatch[1]);
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if (val > 0) {
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maxWeight = val / 100.0; // Convert 2% -> 0.02
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}
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} else {
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// Try decimal "0.05"
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const decimalMatch = lowerInput.match(/(?:limit|max|weight).*?(\d+\.\d+)/);
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if (decimalMatch) {
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maxWeight = parseFloat(decimalMatch[1]);
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}
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}
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const payload = {
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"client_id": "Web_User",
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"excluded_sectors": excluded,
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"excluded_tickers": excludedTickers,
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"max_weight": maxWeight,
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"initial_investment": 100000
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};
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core/__pycache__/schema.cpython-39.pyc
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Binary files a/core/__pycache__/schema.cpython-39.pyc and b/core/__pycache__/schema.cpython-39.pyc differ
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core/schema.py
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@@ -26,6 +26,7 @@ class OptimizationRequest(BaseModel):
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initial_investment: float = 100000.0
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excluded_sectors: List[str] = Field(default_factory=list, description="List of sectors to exclude (e.g., ['Energy'])")
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excluded_tickers: List[str] = Field(default_factory=list, description="List of specific tickers to exclude (e.g., ['AMZN'])")
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benchmark: str = "^GSPC"
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class Config:
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allocation_effect: float
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selection_effect: float
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total_active_return: float
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top_contributors: List[
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top_detractors: List[
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narrative: str
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initial_investment: float = 100000.0
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excluded_sectors: List[str] = Field(default_factory=list, description="List of sectors to exclude (e.g., ['Energy'])")
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excluded_tickers: List[str] = Field(default_factory=list, description="List of specific tickers to exclude (e.g., ['AMZN'])")
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max_weight: Optional[float] = Field(None, description="Maximum weight for any single asset (e.g., 0.05)")
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benchmark: str = "^GSPC"
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class Config:
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allocation_effect: float
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selection_effect: float
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total_active_return: float
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top_contributors: List[Dict]
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top_detractors: List[Dict]
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narrative: str
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data/optimizer.py
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benchmark_weights: pd.DataFrame,
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sector_map: Dict[str, str],
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excluded_sectors: List[str],
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excluded_tickers: List[str] = None
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"""
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Solves the tracking error minimization problem.
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min_avg_weight = 1.0 / n_active
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dynamic_max = max(0.20, min_avg_weight * 1.5)
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-
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logger.info(f"DEBUG: Active Assets={n_active}, Min Avg={min_avg_weight:.4f}, Dynamic Max Limit={MAX_WEIGHT_LIMIT:.4f}")
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constraints = [
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benchmark_weights: pd.DataFrame,
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sector_map: Dict[str, str],
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excluded_sectors: List[str],
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excluded_tickers: List[str] = None,
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max_weight: float = None) -> OptimizationResult:
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"""
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Solves the tracking error minimization problem.
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min_avg_weight = 1.0 / n_active
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dynamic_max = max(0.20, min_avg_weight * 1.5)
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if max_weight and max_weight > min_avg_weight:
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logger.info(f"Applying User-Defined Max Weight: {max_weight}")
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MAX_WEIGHT_LIMIT = max_weight
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else:
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MAX_WEIGHT_LIMIT = dynamic_max
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logger.info(f"DEBUG: Active Assets={n_active}, Min Avg={min_avg_weight:.4f}, Dynamic Max Limit={MAX_WEIGHT_LIMIT:.4f}")
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constraints = [
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debug_attribution_logic.py
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import pandas as pd
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from analytics.attribution import AttributionEngine
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def test_attribution_logic():
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print("Testing Attribution Logic...")
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# Mock Data
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# Scenario:
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# - AAPL: Overweight (Held 5%, Bench 4%). Return +10%. Should be Contributor.
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# - MSFT: Excluded (Held 0%, Bench 6%). Return +10%. Should be Detractor (Missed Rally).
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# - GOOG: Neutral (Held 2%, Bench 2%). Return -5%. Active Contrib 0.
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portfolio_weights = {"AAPL": 0.05, "MSFT": 0.0, "GOOG": 0.02}
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benchmark_weights = {"AAPL": 0.04, "MSFT": 0.06, "GOOG": 0.02}
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# Returns for the period
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returns_data = {"AAPL": 0.10, "MSFT": 0.10, "GOOG": -0.05}
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asset_returns = pd.Series(returns_data)
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sector_map = {
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"AAPL": "Technology",
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"MSFT": "Technology",
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+
"GOOG": "Communication Services"
|
| 24 |
+
}
|
| 25 |
+
|
| 26 |
+
engine = AttributionEngine()
|
| 27 |
+
report = engine.generate_attribution_report(
|
| 28 |
+
portfolio_weights,
|
| 29 |
+
benchmark_weights,
|
| 30 |
+
asset_returns,
|
| 31 |
+
sector_map
|
| 32 |
+
)
|
| 33 |
+
|
| 34 |
+
print("\n--- Attribution Report Generated ---")
|
| 35 |
+
print(f"Total Active Return: {report.total_active_return:.4f}")
|
| 36 |
+
|
| 37 |
+
print("\n[Top Contributors]")
|
| 38 |
+
for item in report.top_contributors:
|
| 39 |
+
print(item)
|
| 40 |
+
|
| 41 |
+
print("\n[Top Detractors]")
|
| 42 |
+
for item in report.top_detractors:
|
| 43 |
+
print(item)
|
| 44 |
+
|
| 45 |
+
# Validation Logic
|
| 46 |
+
# MSFT Active Weight = 0 - 0.06 = -0.06
|
| 47 |
+
# MSFT Active Contrib = -0.06 * 0.10 = -0.006 (Detractor)
|
| 48 |
+
|
| 49 |
+
msft = next((x for x in report.top_detractors if x['Ticker'] == 'MSFT'), None)
|
| 50 |
+
if msft:
|
| 51 |
+
if msft['Status'] == "Excluded" and float(msft['Active_Contribution']) < 0:
|
| 52 |
+
print("\nSUCCESS: MSFT correctly identified as Excluded Detractor.")
|
| 53 |
+
else:
|
| 54 |
+
print(f"\nFAILURE: MSFT status/logic wrong: {msft}")
|
| 55 |
+
else:
|
| 56 |
+
print("\nFAILURE: MSFT not found in detractors.")
|
| 57 |
+
|
| 58 |
+
# AAPL Active Weight = 0.05 - 0.04 = +0.01
|
| 59 |
+
# AAPL Active Contrib = +0.01 * 0.10 = +0.001 (Contributor)
|
| 60 |
+
aapl = next((x for x in report.top_contributors if x['Ticker'] == 'AAPL'), None)
|
| 61 |
+
current_return = float(aapl['Active_Contribution']) if aapl else 0
|
| 62 |
+
if aapl and current_return > 0:
|
| 63 |
+
print("SUCCESS: AAPL correctly identified as Overweight Contributor.")
|
| 64 |
+
else:
|
| 65 |
+
print(f"FAILURE: AAPL logic wrong. {aapl}")
|
| 66 |
+
|
| 67 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 68 |
+
test_attribution_logic()
|
debug_output.txt
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
/opt/anaconda3/lib/python3.9/site-packages/pandas/core/computation/expressions.py:21: UserWarning: Pandas requires version '2.8.4' or newer of 'numexpr' (version '2.8.1' currently installed).
|
| 2 |
+
from pandas.core.computation.check import NUMEXPR_INSTALLED
|
| 3 |
+
/opt/anaconda3/lib/python3.9/site-packages/pandas/core/arrays/masked.py:60: UserWarning: Pandas requires version '1.3.6' or newer of 'bottleneck' (version '1.3.4' currently installed).
|
| 4 |
+
from pandas.core import (
|
| 5 |
+
Testing Attribution Logic...
|
| 6 |
+
|
| 7 |
+
--- Attribution Report Generated ---
|
| 8 |
+
Total Active Return: -0.0045
|
| 9 |
+
|
| 10 |
+
[Top Contributors]
|
| 11 |
+
{'Ticker': 'AAPL', 'Sector': 'Technology', 'Status': 'Overweight', 'Active_Contribution': '0.0010', 'Return': '10.00%'}
|
| 12 |
+
{'Ticker': 'GOOG', 'Sector': 'Communication Services', 'Status': 'Neutral', 'Active_Contribution': '-0.0000', 'Return': '-5.00%'}
|
| 13 |
+
{'Ticker': 'MSFT', 'Sector': 'Technology', 'Status': 'Excluded', 'Active_Contribution': '-0.0060', 'Return': '10.00%'}
|
| 14 |
+
|
| 15 |
+
[Top Detractors]
|
| 16 |
+
{'Ticker': 'MSFT', 'Sector': 'Technology', 'Status': 'Excluded', 'Active_Contribution': '-0.0060', 'Return': '10.00%'}
|
| 17 |
+
{'Ticker': 'GOOG', 'Sector': 'Communication Services', 'Status': 'Neutral', 'Active_Contribution': '-0.0000', 'Return': '-5.00%'}
|
| 18 |
+
{'Ticker': 'AAPL', 'Sector': 'Technology', 'Status': 'Overweight', 'Active_Contribution': '0.0010', 'Return': '10.00%'}
|
| 19 |
+
|
| 20 |
+
SUCCESS: MSFT correctly identified as Excluded Detractor.
|
| 21 |
+
SUCCESS: AAPL correctly identified as Overweight Contributor.
|
main.py
CHANGED
|
@@ -101,7 +101,8 @@ class QuantScaleSystem:
|
|
| 101 |
benchmark_weights=benchmark_weights,
|
| 102 |
sector_map=sector_map,
|
| 103 |
excluded_sectors=request.excluded_sectors,
|
| 104 |
-
excluded_tickers=request.excluded_tickers
|
|
|
|
| 105 |
)
|
| 106 |
|
| 107 |
if opt_result.status != "optimal":
|
|
|
|
| 101 |
benchmark_weights=benchmark_weights,
|
| 102 |
sector_map=sector_map,
|
| 103 |
excluded_sectors=request.excluded_sectors,
|
| 104 |
+
excluded_tickers=request.excluded_tickers,
|
| 105 |
+
max_weight=request.max_weight
|
| 106 |
)
|
| 107 |
|
| 108 |
if opt_result.status != "optimal":
|