Spaces:
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Update model_predictor.py
Browse files- model_predictor.py +151 -54
model_predictor.py
CHANGED
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import xgboost as xgb
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import pandas as pd
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import numpy as np
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@@ -27,72 +28,168 @@ class XGBoostModel:
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except Exception as e:
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raise FileNotFoundError(f"無法在本地找到或載入模型檔案 '{filename}':{e}")
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def predict(self, model_name, input_df):
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# 如果請求的模型名稱與目前載入的不同,則動態載入
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if model_name != self.current_model_name:
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self.model = self._load_model(model_name)
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self.current_model_name = model_name
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# 進行預測
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predictions = self.model.predict(input_df)
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# 調試:印出預測結果的形狀和內容
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print(f"預測結果形狀: {predictions.shape}")
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print(f"預測結果類型: {type(predictions)}")
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print(f"預測結果內容: {predictions}")
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# 處理不同的輸出格式
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try:
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else:
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#
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pred_value = float(predictions
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result = {
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'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
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}
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except (IndexError, TypeError) as e:
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raise ValueError(f"無法解析模型輸出格式。預測結果: {predictions}, 錯誤: {e}")
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# 修正後的 model_predictor.py
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import xgboost as xgb
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import pandas as pd
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import numpy as np
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except Exception as e:
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raise FileNotFoundError(f"無法在本地找到或載入模型檔案 '{filename}':{e}")
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def _prepare_features(self, input_df):
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"""
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將 yfinance 的數據格式轉換為模型期望的格式
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"""
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# 創建新的 DataFrame 來存放轉換後的特徵
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features_df = pd.DataFrame()
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# 基本價格和交易量特徵(轉換為小寫)
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if 'Close' in input_df.columns:
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features_df['close'] = input_df['Close']
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if 'Volume' in input_df.columns:
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features_df['volume'] = input_df['Volume']
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# 計算技術指標(如果不存在的話)
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if len(input_df) >= 14: # 確保有足夠的數據計算指標
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# RSI
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delta = input_df['Close'].diff()
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gain = (delta.where(delta > 0, 0)).rolling(window=14).mean()
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loss = (-delta.where(delta < 0, 0)).rolling(window=14).mean()
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rs = gain / loss
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features_df['RSI'] = 100 - (100 / (1 + rs))
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# MACD
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exp1 = input_df['Close'].ewm(span=12).mean()
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exp2 = input_df['Close'].ewm(span=26).mean()
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features_df['MACD'] = exp1 - exp2
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features_df['MACDsign'] = features_df['MACD'].ewm(span=9).mean()
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features_df['MACDvol'] = features_df['MACD'] - features_df['MACDsign']
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# KD指標
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if len(input_df) >= 9:
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low_min = input_df['Low'].rolling(window=9).min()
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high_max = input_df['High'].rolling(window=9).max()
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rsv = (input_df['Close'] - low_min) / (high_max - low_min) * 100
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features_df['K'] = rsv.ewm(com=2).mean()
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features_df['D'] = features_df['K'].ewm(com=2).mean()
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# DMI指標
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up_move = input_df['High'] - input_df['High'].shift(1)
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down_move = input_df['Low'].shift(1) - input_df['Low']
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plus_dm = np.where((up_move > down_move) & (up_move > 0), up_move, 0)
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minus_dm = np.where((down_move > up_move) & (down_move > 0), down_move, 0)
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tr = np.max([input_df['High'] - input_df['Low'],
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abs(input_df['High'] - input_df['Close'].shift(1)),
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abs(input_df['Low'] - input_df['Close'].shift(1))], axis=0)
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plus_dm_series = pd.Series(plus_dm, index=input_df.index)
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minus_dm_series = pd.Series(minus_dm, index=input_df.index)
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tr_series = pd.Series(tr, index=input_df.index)
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features_df['+DI'] = (plus_dm_series.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean() /
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tr_series.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean()) * 100
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features_df['-DI'] = (minus_dm_series.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean() /
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tr_series.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean()) * 100
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dx = abs(features_df['+DI'] - features_df['-DI']) / (features_df['+DI'] + features_df['-DI']) * 100
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features_df['ADX'] = dx.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean()
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# 計算報酬率
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if 'Close' in input_df.columns:
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features_df['rate'] = input_df['Close'].pct_change()
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# 模擬缺失的外部數據(使用合理的預設值或簡單的代理值)
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# 這些值在實際部署時應該來自真實的數據源
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features_df['DJI'] = 0.0 # 道瓊工業指數變化率的代理值
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features_df['NAS'] = 0.0 # 納斯達克指數變化率的代理值
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features_df['SOX'] = 0.0 # 費城半導體指數變化率的代理值
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features_df['S&P_500'] = 0.0 # S&P 500指數變化率的代理值
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features_df['TSM_ADR'] = 0.0 # 台積電ADR變化率的代理值
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features_df['NEWS'] = 0.0 # 新聞情緒分數的代理值
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features_df['business_climate'] = 25.0 # 景氣燈號的代理值
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features_df['PMI'] = 50.0 # PMI指標的代理值
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# 確保所有必要的欄位都存在,並填充缺失值
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required_columns = [
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'close', 'volume', 'rate', 'DJI', 'NAS', 'SOX', 'S&P_500', 'TSM_ADR',
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'NEWS', 'RSI', 'MACD', 'MACDsign', 'MACDvol', 'K', 'D', '+DI', '-DI',
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'ADX', 'business_climate', 'PMI'
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]
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for col in required_columns:
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if col not in features_df.columns:
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features_df[col] = 0.0 # 用0填充缺失的欄位
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# 只保留模型需要的欄位,並確保順序正確
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features_df = features_df[required_columns]
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# 填充任何剩餘的NaN值
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features_df = features_df.fillna(method='ffill').fillna(0)
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return features_df.tail(1) # 只返回最後一行用於預測
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def predict(self, model_name, input_df):
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# 如果請求的模型名稱與目前載入的不同,則動態載入
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if model_name != self.current_model_name:
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self.model = self._load_model(model_name)
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self.current_model_name = model_name
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try:
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# 轉換輸入特徵格式
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prepared_features = self._prepare_features(input_df)
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print(f"準備的特徵形狀: {prepared_features.shape}")
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print(f"特徵欄位: {list(prepared_features.columns)}")
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# 進行預測
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predictions = self.model.predict(prepared_features)
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print(f"原始預測結果: {predictions}")
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print(f"預測結果形狀: {predictions.shape if hasattr(predictions, 'shape') else 'scalar'}")
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print(f"預測結果類型: {type(predictions)}")
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# 處理不同的輸出格式
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if hasattr(predictions, 'shape'):
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if len(predictions.shape) == 2 and predictions.shape[1] == 4:
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# 情況1: 二維陣列,4個預測值
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result = {
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'Close_t0_pred': float(predictions[0][0]),
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'Close_t5_pred': float(predictions[0][1]),
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'Close_t10_pred': float(predictions[0][2]),
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'Close_t20_pred': float(predictions[0][3])
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}
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elif len(predictions.shape) == 1 and len(predictions) == 4:
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# 情況2: 一維陣列,4個預測值
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result = {
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'Close_t0_pred': float(predictions[0]),
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'Close_t5_pred': float(predictions[1]),
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'Close_t10_pred': float(predictions[2]),
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'Close_t20_pred': float(predictions[3])
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}
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elif len(predictions.shape) == 1 and len(predictions) == 1:
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# 情況3: 一維陣列,1個預測值(使用同一個值代表所有時期)
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pred_value = float(predictions[0])
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result = {
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'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
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}
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else:
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# 其他情況:嘗試使用第一個值
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pred_value = float(predictions.flatten()[0])
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result = {
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'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
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}
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else:
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# 標量值
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pred_value = float(predictions)
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result = {
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'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
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'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
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}
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print(f"最終結果: {result}")
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return result
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except Exception as e:
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print(f"預測過程中發生錯誤: {e}")
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import traceback
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traceback.print_exc()
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raise e
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