AlanRex commited on
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8fffdff
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1 Parent(s): 63a564e

Update model_predictor.py

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  1. model_predictor.py +151 -54
model_predictor.py CHANGED
@@ -1,3 +1,4 @@
 
1
  import xgboost as xgb
2
  import pandas as pd
3
  import numpy as np
@@ -27,72 +28,168 @@ class XGBoostModel:
27
  except Exception as e:
28
  raise FileNotFoundError(f"無法在本地找到或載入模型檔案 '{filename}':{e}")
29
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
30
  def predict(self, model_name, input_df):
31
  # 如果請求的模型名稱與目前載入的不同,則動態載入
32
  if model_name != self.current_model_name:
33
  self.model = self._load_model(model_name)
34
  self.current_model_name = model_name
35
 
36
- # 進行預測
37
- predictions = self.model.predict(input_df)
38
-
39
- # 調試:印出預測結果的形狀和內容
40
- print(f"預測結果形狀: {predictions.shape}")
41
- print(f"預測結果類型: {type(predictions)}")
42
- print(f"預測結果內容: {predictions}")
43
-
44
- # 處理不同的輸出格式
45
  try:
46
- # 情況1: 如果是二維陣列且有4個預測值 (原始期望格式)
47
- if len(predictions.shape) == 2 and predictions.shape[1] == 4:
48
- result = {
49
- 'Close_t0_pred': float(predictions[0][0]),
50
- 'Close_t5_pred': float(predictions[0][1]),
51
- 'Close_t10_pred': float(predictions[0][2]),
52
- 'Close_t20_pred': float(predictions[0][3])
53
- }
54
-
55
- # 情況2: 如果是一維陣列且有4個預測值
56
- elif len(predictions.shape) == 1 and len(predictions) == 4:
57
- result = {
58
- 'Close_t0_pred': float(predictions[0]),
59
- 'Close_t5_pred': float(predictions[1]),
60
- 'Close_t10_pred': float(predictions[2]),
61
- 'Close_t20_pred': float(predictions[3])
62
- }
63
-
64
- # 情況3: 如果只有一個預測值(單一輸出模型)
65
- elif len(predictions.shape) == 1 and len(predictions) == 1:
66
- # 假設這個預測值代表最近期的預測,其他用相同值
67
- pred_value = float(predictions[0])
68
- result = {
69
- 'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
70
- 'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
71
- 'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
72
- 'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
73
- }
74
-
75
- # 情況4: 如果是標量(單一數值)
76
- elif np.isscalar(predictions):
77
- pred_value = float(predictions)
78
- result = {
79
- 'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
80
- 'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
81
- 'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
82
- 'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
83
- }
84
-
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
85
  else:
86
- # 其他情況:嘗試使用第一個預測值
87
- pred_value = float(predictions.flatten()[0])
88
  result = {
89
  'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
90
  'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
91
  'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
92
  'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
93
  }
94
-
95
- except (IndexError, TypeError) as e:
96
- raise ValueError(f"無法解析模型輸出格式。預測結果: {predictions}, 錯誤: {e}")
97
 
98
- return result
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # 修正後的 model_predictor.py
2
  import xgboost as xgb
3
  import pandas as pd
4
  import numpy as np
 
28
  except Exception as e:
29
  raise FileNotFoundError(f"無法在本地找到或載入模型檔案 '{filename}':{e}")
30
 
31
+ def _prepare_features(self, input_df):
32
+ """
33
+ 將 yfinance 的數據格式轉換為模型期望的格式
34
+ """
35
+ # 創建新的 DataFrame 來存放轉換後的特徵
36
+ features_df = pd.DataFrame()
37
+
38
+ # 基本價格和交易量特徵(轉換為小寫)
39
+ if 'Close' in input_df.columns:
40
+ features_df['close'] = input_df['Close']
41
+ if 'Volume' in input_df.columns:
42
+ features_df['volume'] = input_df['Volume']
43
+
44
+ # 計算技術指標(如果不存在的話)
45
+ if len(input_df) >= 14: # 確保有足夠的數據計算指標
46
+ # RSI
47
+ delta = input_df['Close'].diff()
48
+ gain = (delta.where(delta > 0, 0)).rolling(window=14).mean()
49
+ loss = (-delta.where(delta < 0, 0)).rolling(window=14).mean()
50
+ rs = gain / loss
51
+ features_df['RSI'] = 100 - (100 / (1 + rs))
52
+
53
+ # MACD
54
+ exp1 = input_df['Close'].ewm(span=12).mean()
55
+ exp2 = input_df['Close'].ewm(span=26).mean()
56
+ features_df['MACD'] = exp1 - exp2
57
+ features_df['MACDsign'] = features_df['MACD'].ewm(span=9).mean()
58
+ features_df['MACDvol'] = features_df['MACD'] - features_df['MACDsign']
59
+
60
+ # KD指標
61
+ if len(input_df) >= 9:
62
+ low_min = input_df['Low'].rolling(window=9).min()
63
+ high_max = input_df['High'].rolling(window=9).max()
64
+ rsv = (input_df['Close'] - low_min) / (high_max - low_min) * 100
65
+ features_df['K'] = rsv.ewm(com=2).mean()
66
+ features_df['D'] = features_df['K'].ewm(com=2).mean()
67
+
68
+ # DMI指標
69
+ up_move = input_df['High'] - input_df['High'].shift(1)
70
+ down_move = input_df['Low'].shift(1) - input_df['Low']
71
+ plus_dm = np.where((up_move > down_move) & (up_move > 0), up_move, 0)
72
+ minus_dm = np.where((down_move > up_move) & (down_move > 0), down_move, 0)
73
+ tr = np.max([input_df['High'] - input_df['Low'],
74
+ abs(input_df['High'] - input_df['Close'].shift(1)),
75
+ abs(input_df['Low'] - input_df['Close'].shift(1))], axis=0)
76
+
77
+ plus_dm_series = pd.Series(plus_dm, index=input_df.index)
78
+ minus_dm_series = pd.Series(minus_dm, index=input_df.index)
79
+ tr_series = pd.Series(tr, index=input_df.index)
80
+
81
+ features_df['+DI'] = (plus_dm_series.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean() /
82
+ tr_series.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean()) * 100
83
+ features_df['-DI'] = (minus_dm_series.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean() /
84
+ tr_series.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean()) * 100
85
+ dx = abs(features_df['+DI'] - features_df['-DI']) / (features_df['+DI'] + features_df['-DI']) * 100
86
+ features_df['ADX'] = dx.ewm(com=13, adjust=False).mean()
87
+
88
+ # 計算報酬率
89
+ if 'Close' in input_df.columns:
90
+ features_df['rate'] = input_df['Close'].pct_change()
91
+
92
+ # 模擬缺失的外部數據(使用合理的預設值或簡單的代理值)
93
+ # 這些值在實際部署時應該來自真實的數據源
94
+ features_df['DJI'] = 0.0 # 道瓊工業指數變化率的代理值
95
+ features_df['NAS'] = 0.0 # 納斯達克指數變化率的代理值
96
+ features_df['SOX'] = 0.0 # 費城半導體指數變化率的代理值
97
+ features_df['S&P_500'] = 0.0 # S&P 500指數變化率的代理值
98
+ features_df['TSM_ADR'] = 0.0 # 台積電ADR變化率的代理值
99
+ features_df['NEWS'] = 0.0 # 新聞情緒分數的代理值
100
+ features_df['business_climate'] = 25.0 # 景氣燈號的代理值
101
+ features_df['PMI'] = 50.0 # PMI指標的代理值
102
+
103
+ # 確保所有必要的欄位都存在,並填充缺失值
104
+ required_columns = [
105
+ 'close', 'volume', 'rate', 'DJI', 'NAS', 'SOX', 'S&P_500', 'TSM_ADR',
106
+ 'NEWS', 'RSI', 'MACD', 'MACDsign', 'MACDvol', 'K', 'D', '+DI', '-DI',
107
+ 'ADX', 'business_climate', 'PMI'
108
+ ]
109
+
110
+ for col in required_columns:
111
+ if col not in features_df.columns:
112
+ features_df[col] = 0.0 # 用0填充缺失的欄位
113
+
114
+ # 只保留模型需要的欄位,並確保順序正確
115
+ features_df = features_df[required_columns]
116
+
117
+ # 填充任何剩餘的NaN值
118
+ features_df = features_df.fillna(method='ffill').fillna(0)
119
+
120
+ return features_df.tail(1) # 只返回最後一行用於預測
121
+
122
  def predict(self, model_name, input_df):
123
  # 如果請求的模型名稱與目前載入的不同,則動態載入
124
  if model_name != self.current_model_name:
125
  self.model = self._load_model(model_name)
126
  self.current_model_name = model_name
127
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
128
  try:
129
+ # 轉換輸入特徵格式
130
+ prepared_features = self._prepare_features(input_df)
131
+
132
+ print(f"準備的特徵形狀: {prepared_features.shape}")
133
+ print(f"特徵欄位: {list(prepared_features.columns)}")
134
+
135
+ # 進行預測
136
+ predictions = self.model.predict(prepared_features)
137
+
138
+ print(f"原始預測結果: {predictions}")
139
+ print(f"預測結果形狀: {predictions.shape if hasattr(predictions, 'shape') else 'scalar'}")
140
+ print(f"預測結果類型: {type(predictions)}")
141
+
142
+ # 處理不同的輸出格式
143
+ if hasattr(predictions, 'shape'):
144
+ if len(predictions.shape) == 2 and predictions.shape[1] == 4:
145
+ # 情況1: 二維陣列,4個預測值
146
+ result = {
147
+ 'Close_t0_pred': float(predictions[0][0]),
148
+ 'Close_t5_pred': float(predictions[0][1]),
149
+ 'Close_t10_pred': float(predictions[0][2]),
150
+ 'Close_t20_pred': float(predictions[0][3])
151
+ }
152
+ elif len(predictions.shape) == 1 and len(predictions) == 4:
153
+ # 情況2: 一維陣列,4個預測值
154
+ result = {
155
+ 'Close_t0_pred': float(predictions[0]),
156
+ 'Close_t5_pred': float(predictions[1]),
157
+ 'Close_t10_pred': float(predictions[2]),
158
+ 'Close_t20_pred': float(predictions[3])
159
+ }
160
+ elif len(predictions.shape) == 1 and len(predictions) == 1:
161
+ # 情況3: 一維陣列,1個預測值(使用同一個值代表所有時期)
162
+ pred_value = float(predictions[0])
163
+ result = {
164
+ 'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
165
+ 'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
166
+ 'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
167
+ 'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
168
+ }
169
+ else:
170
+ # 其他情況:嘗試使用第一個值
171
+ pred_value = float(predictions.flatten()[0])
172
+ result = {
173
+ 'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
174
+ 'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
175
+ 'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
176
+ 'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
177
+ }
178
  else:
179
+ # 標量值
180
+ pred_value = float(predictions)
181
  result = {
182
  'Close_t0_pred': pred_value,
183
  'Close_t5_pred': pred_value,
184
  'Close_t10_pred': pred_value,
185
  'Close_t20_pred': pred_value
186
  }
 
 
 
187
 
188
+ print(f"最終結果: {result}")
189
+ return result
190
+
191
+ except Exception as e:
192
+ print(f"預測過程中發生錯誤: {e}")
193
+ import traceback
194
+ traceback.print_exc()
195
+ raise e