Update app.py
Browse files
app.py
CHANGED
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@@ -6,207 +6,443 @@ import aiohttp
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import pandas as pd
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import numpy as np
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from aiohttp import web
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from sklearn.ensemble import
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# --- CONFIGURATION ---
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SYMBOL_KRAKEN = "BTC/USD"
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PORT = 7860
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BROADCAST_RATE = 1.0
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PREDICTION_HORIZON = 100
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MAX_HISTORY = 5000
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TRAIN_INTERVAL = 300
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logging.basicConfig(level=logging.INFO, format='%(asctime)s - %(message)s')
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market_state = {
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"ohlc_history": [],
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"ready": False,
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"
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"last_training_time": 0,
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"last_price": 0,
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"price_change": 0
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}
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connected_clients = set()
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def calculate_indicators(candles):
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return None
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df = pd.DataFrame(candles)
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cols = ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume']
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for c in cols:
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df[c] = df[c]
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#
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df['
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df['
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df['
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# RSI
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delta =
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gain =
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loss = (-delta.where(delta < 0, 0)).rolling(window=14).mean()
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rs = gain
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df['rsi'] = 100 - (100 / (1 + rs))
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# MACD
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df['macd'] =
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df['macd_signal'] = df['macd'].ewm(span=9, adjust=False).mean()
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df['macd_hist'] = df['macd'] - df['macd_signal']
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# ATR
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df['tr'] =
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df['atr'] = df['tr'].rolling(window=14).mean()
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# ---
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df['
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df['dist_ema50'] = (df['close'] - df['ema50']) / df['ema50']
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#
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return df
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def train_model(df):
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'dist_ema20', 'dist_ema50',
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'bb_width', 'bb_pos',
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'vol_change', 'log_ret'
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]
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data
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if len(data) < 200:
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logging.warning("Not enough data to train model yet.")
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return None
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return model
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return []
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'dist_ema20', 'dist_ema50',
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'bb_width', 'bb_pos',
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'vol_change', 'log_ret'
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]
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last_row = df.iloc[[-1]][feature_cols]
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return []
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# The model predicts Percentage Returns
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predicted_returns = model.predict(last_row.values)[0]
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future_price = current_price * (1 + pct_change)
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def process_market_data():
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if not market_state['ready'] or not market_state['ohlc_history']:
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return {"error": "Initializing..."}
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# 1. Calculate Indicators
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df = calculate_indicators(market_state['ohlc_history'])
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if df is None or len(df) <
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return {"error": "Not enough data"}
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# 2. Train Model
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try:
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except Exception as e:
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logging.error(f"Training failed: {e}")
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predictions = []
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try:
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predictions = get_prediction(df, market_state['
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except Exception as e:
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logging.error(f"Prediction failed: {e}")
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# 4. Prepare Data
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# Clean NaNs for JSON
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df_clean = df.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan)
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df_clean = df_clean.astype(object).where(pd.notnull(df_clean), None)
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last_close = float(df['close'].iloc[-1]) if len(df) > 0 else 0
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first_close = float(df['close'].iloc[0]) if len(df) > 0 else
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price_change = ((last_close - first_close) / first_close * 100) if first_close > 0 else 0
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market_state['last_price'] = last_close
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market_state['price_change'] = price_change
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# Only send last 500 candles to client
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display_data = df_clean.tail(500).to_dict('records')
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return {
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"data": display_data,
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"stats": {
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"price": last_close,
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"change": round(price_change, 2),
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"rsi": round(
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"macd": round(
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"atr": round(
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"volume": round(
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}
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}
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HTML_PAGE = """
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<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html lang="en">
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color: #00ff88;
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}
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.stats-row {
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display: flex;
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gap: 24px;
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color: #bf5af2;
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z-index: 10;
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}
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</style>
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</head>
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<body>
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<div class="logo-section">
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<div class="logo">QuantAI</div>
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<div class="symbol-badge">BTC/USD</div>
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</div>
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<div class="stats-row">
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<span><div class="dot" style="background: #26a69a; opacity: 0.5"></div>Bollinger</span>
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</div>
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<div class="prediction-badge">AI Forecast: 100 candles</div>
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</div>
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<div id="volume-chart" class="chart-wrapper">
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crosshairMarkerVisible: false,
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title: 'Forecast'
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});
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const volumeSeries = volChart.addHistogramSeries({
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priceFormat: { type: 'volume' },
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lineWidth: 2,
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priceScaleId: 'rsi'
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});
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oscChart.priceScale('rsi').applyOptions({
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scaleMargins: { top: 0.1, bottom: 0.1 }
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rsiEl.className = 'stat-value ' + (rsiVal > 70 ? 'negative' : rsiVal < 30 ? 'positive' : 'neutral');
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document.getElementById('atr').textContent = stats.atr;
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}
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if (lastData) {
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if (volData.length > 0) volumeSeries.setData(volData);
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const rsiData = safeMap(d, 'rsi');
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if (rsiData.length > 0)
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const macdData = d
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.filter(x => x && x.time && x.macd_hist !== null && x.macd_hist !== undefined && !isNaN(x.macd_hist))
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if (macdData.length > 0) macdHist.setData(macdData);
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if (payload.prediction && payload.prediction.length > 0) {
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const lastCandle = candleData[candleData.length - 1];
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const predData = [
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...payload.prediction.filter(p => p && p.time && p.value !== null && !isNaN(p.value))
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];
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predLine.setData(predData);
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}
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updateStats(payload.stats, d[d.length - 1]);
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</html>
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"""
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async def fetch_initial_data():
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try:
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async with aiohttp.ClientSession() as session:
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# Although Kraken returns limited data, we set logic to accumulate it over time.
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url = "https://api.kraken.com/0/public/OHLC?pair=XBTUSD&interval=1"
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async with session.get(url, timeout=aiohttp.ClientTimeout(total=30)) as response:
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| 817 |
if response.status == 200:
|
|
@@ -838,7 +1167,9 @@ async def fetch_initial_data():
|
|
| 838 |
logging.error(f"Initial data fetch error: {e}")
|
| 839 |
return False
|
| 840 |
|
|
|
|
| 841 |
async def kraken_rest_worker():
|
|
|
|
| 842 |
await fetch_initial_data()
|
| 843 |
|
| 844 |
while True:
|
|
@@ -861,26 +1192,22 @@ async def kraken_rest_worker():
|
|
| 861 |
'close': float(c[4]),
|
| 862 |
'volume': float(c[6])
|
| 863 |
}
|
| 864 |
-
for c in raw[-
|
| 865 |
]
|
| 866 |
|
| 867 |
-
# Intelligent Merge to keep history
|
| 868 |
if market_state['ohlc_history']:
|
| 869 |
existing_times = {c['time'] for c in market_state['ohlc_history']}
|
| 870 |
for nc in new_candles:
|
| 871 |
if nc['time'] in existing_times:
|
| 872 |
-
# Update existing (in case close price changed)
|
| 873 |
for i, ec in enumerate(market_state['ohlc_history']):
|
| 874 |
if ec['time'] == nc['time']:
|
| 875 |
market_state['ohlc_history'][i] = nc
|
| 876 |
break
|
| 877 |
else:
|
| 878 |
-
# Append new
|
| 879 |
market_state['ohlc_history'].append(nc)
|
| 880 |
|
| 881 |
market_state['ohlc_history'].sort(key=lambda x: x['time'])
|
| 882 |
|
| 883 |
-
# Keep MAX_HISTORY (5000)
|
| 884 |
if len(market_state['ohlc_history']) > MAX_HISTORY:
|
| 885 |
market_state['ohlc_history'] = market_state['ohlc_history'][-MAX_HISTORY:]
|
| 886 |
|
|
@@ -891,7 +1218,9 @@ async def kraken_rest_worker():
|
|
| 891 |
|
| 892 |
await asyncio.sleep(5)
|
| 893 |
|
|
|
|
| 894 |
async def broadcast_worker():
|
|
|
|
| 895 |
while True:
|
| 896 |
if connected_clients and market_state['ready']:
|
| 897 |
payload = process_market_data()
|
|
@@ -906,7 +1235,9 @@ async def broadcast_worker():
|
|
| 906 |
connected_clients.difference_update(disconnected)
|
| 907 |
await asyncio.sleep(BROADCAST_RATE)
|
| 908 |
|
|
|
|
| 909 |
async def websocket_handler(request):
|
|
|
|
| 910 |
ws = web.WebSocketResponse()
|
| 911 |
await ws.prepare(request)
|
| 912 |
connected_clients.add(ws)
|
|
@@ -919,17 +1250,22 @@ async def websocket_handler(request):
|
|
| 919 |
logging.info(f"Client disconnected. Total: {len(connected_clients)}")
|
| 920 |
return ws
|
| 921 |
|
|
|
|
| 922 |
async def handle_index(request):
|
| 923 |
return web.Response(text=HTML_PAGE, content_type='text/html')
|
| 924 |
|
|
|
|
| 925 |
async def handle_health(request):
|
| 926 |
return web.json_response({
|
| 927 |
"status": "ok",
|
| 928 |
"ready": market_state['ready'],
|
| 929 |
"candles": len(market_state['ohlc_history']),
|
| 930 |
-
"clients": len(connected_clients)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 931 |
})
|
| 932 |
|
|
|
|
| 933 |
async def main():
|
| 934 |
app = web.Application()
|
| 935 |
app.router.add_get('/', handle_index)
|
|
@@ -948,6 +1284,7 @@ async def main():
|
|
| 948 |
|
| 949 |
await asyncio.Event().wait()
|
| 950 |
|
|
|
|
| 951 |
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 952 |
try:
|
| 953 |
asyncio.run(main())
|
|
|
|
| 6 |
import pandas as pd
|
| 7 |
import numpy as np
|
| 8 |
from aiohttp import web
|
| 9 |
+
from sklearn.ensemble import GradientBoostingRegressor
|
| 10 |
+
from sklearn.preprocessing import RobustScaler
|
| 11 |
+
import warnings
|
| 12 |
+
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')
|
| 13 |
|
| 14 |
# --- CONFIGURATION ---
|
| 15 |
SYMBOL_KRAKEN = "BTC/USD"
|
| 16 |
PORT = 7860
|
| 17 |
BROADCAST_RATE = 1.0
|
| 18 |
+
PREDICTION_HORIZON = 100
|
| 19 |
+
MAX_HISTORY = 5000
|
| 20 |
+
TRAIN_INTERVAL = 300
|
| 21 |
+
MIN_TRAINING_SAMPLES = 300
|
| 22 |
|
| 23 |
logging.basicConfig(level=logging.INFO, format='%(asctime)s - %(message)s')
|
| 24 |
|
| 25 |
+
# Feature columns for ML model
|
| 26 |
+
FEATURE_COLS = [
|
| 27 |
+
'rsi_norm', 'rsi_slope',
|
| 28 |
+
'macd_hist_norm', 'macd_slope',
|
| 29 |
+
'atr_pct',
|
| 30 |
+
'dist_ema20', 'dist_ema50', 'ema_cross',
|
| 31 |
+
'bb_width', 'bb_pos',
|
| 32 |
+
'vol_zscore',
|
| 33 |
+
'ret_1', 'ret_5', 'ret_10', 'ret_20',
|
| 34 |
+
'volatility_ratio',
|
| 35 |
+
'candle_body', 'upper_wick', 'lower_wick',
|
| 36 |
+
'trend_strength'
|
| 37 |
+
]
|
| 38 |
+
|
| 39 |
+
# Key horizons to predict (reduces noise vs predicting all 100)
|
| 40 |
+
KEY_HORIZONS = [1, 3, 5, 10, 20, 35, 50, 75, 100]
|
| 41 |
+
|
| 42 |
market_state = {
|
| 43 |
"ohlc_history": [],
|
| 44 |
"ready": False,
|
| 45 |
+
"models": {}, # Dictionary of models for each horizon
|
| 46 |
+
"scaler": None,
|
| 47 |
"last_training_time": 0,
|
| 48 |
"last_price": 0,
|
| 49 |
+
"price_change": 0,
|
| 50 |
+
"training_metrics": {}
|
| 51 |
}
|
| 52 |
|
| 53 |
connected_clients = set()
|
| 54 |
|
| 55 |
+
|
| 56 |
+
def safe_divide(a, b, default=0.0):
|
| 57 |
+
"""Safe division that handles zeros and NaN"""
|
| 58 |
+
with np.errstate(divide='ignore', invalid='ignore'):
|
| 59 |
+
result = np.where(b != 0, a / b, default)
|
| 60 |
+
result = np.where(np.isfinite(result), result, default)
|
| 61 |
+
return result
|
| 62 |
+
|
| 63 |
+
|
| 64 |
def calculate_indicators(candles):
|
| 65 |
+
"""Calculate technical indicators with robust normalization"""
|
| 66 |
+
if len(candles) < 60:
|
| 67 |
return None
|
| 68 |
|
| 69 |
+
df = pd.DataFrame(candles).copy()
|
| 70 |
cols = ['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume']
|
| 71 |
for c in cols:
|
| 72 |
+
df[c] = pd.to_numeric(df[c], errors='coerce')
|
| 73 |
+
|
| 74 |
+
df = df.dropna(subset=['open', 'high', 'low', 'close'])
|
| 75 |
+
if len(df) < 60:
|
| 76 |
+
return None
|
| 77 |
|
| 78 |
+
close = df['close']
|
| 79 |
+
high = df['high']
|
| 80 |
+
low = df['low']
|
| 81 |
+
volume = df['volume'].fillna(0)
|
| 82 |
+
|
| 83 |
+
# --- EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGES ---
|
| 84 |
+
df['ema20'] = close.ewm(span=20, adjust=False).mean()
|
| 85 |
+
df['ema50'] = close.ewm(span=50, adjust=False).mean()
|
| 86 |
|
| 87 |
+
# --- BOLLINGER BANDS ---
|
| 88 |
+
df['sma20'] = close.rolling(window=20).mean()
|
| 89 |
+
df['std20'] = close.rolling(window=20).std()
|
| 90 |
+
df['bb_upper'] = df['sma20'] + (df['std20'] * 2)
|
| 91 |
+
df['bb_lower'] = df['sma20'] - (df['std20'] * 2)
|
| 92 |
|
| 93 |
+
# --- RSI ---
|
| 94 |
+
delta = close.diff()
|
| 95 |
+
gain = delta.where(delta > 0, 0).rolling(window=14).mean()
|
| 96 |
loss = (-delta.where(delta < 0, 0)).rolling(window=14).mean()
|
| 97 |
+
rs = safe_divide(gain.values, loss.values, 1.0)
|
| 98 |
df['rsi'] = 100 - (100 / (1 + rs))
|
| 99 |
+
df['rsi'] = df['rsi'].fillna(50).clip(0, 100)
|
| 100 |
+
|
| 101 |
+
# Normalized RSI (centered at 0, range -1 to 1)
|
| 102 |
+
df['rsi_norm'] = (df['rsi'] - 50) / 50
|
| 103 |
+
df['rsi_slope'] = df['rsi'].diff(5).fillna(0) / 50 # 5-period RSI change
|
| 104 |
|
| 105 |
+
# --- MACD ---
|
| 106 |
+
ema12 = close.ewm(span=12, adjust=False).mean()
|
| 107 |
+
ema26 = close.ewm(span=26, adjust=False).mean()
|
| 108 |
+
df['macd'] = ema12 - ema26
|
| 109 |
df['macd_signal'] = df['macd'].ewm(span=9, adjust=False).mean()
|
| 110 |
df['macd_hist'] = df['macd'] - df['macd_signal']
|
| 111 |
+
|
| 112 |
+
# Normalize MACD by ATR to make it price-independent
|
| 113 |
+
atr_for_norm = close.rolling(20).std().replace(0, 1)
|
| 114 |
+
df['macd_hist_norm'] = df['macd_hist'] / atr_for_norm
|
| 115 |
+
df['macd_hist_norm'] = df['macd_hist_norm'].clip(-5, 5)
|
| 116 |
+
df['macd_slope'] = df['macd_hist_norm'].diff(3).fillna(0)
|
| 117 |
|
| 118 |
+
# --- ATR (Average True Range) ---
|
| 119 |
+
tr1 = abs(high - low)
|
| 120 |
+
tr2 = abs(high - close.shift())
|
| 121 |
+
tr3 = abs(low - close.shift())
|
| 122 |
+
df['tr'] = pd.concat([tr1, tr2, tr3], axis=1).max(axis=1)
|
| 123 |
df['atr'] = df['tr'].rolling(window=14).mean()
|
| 124 |
+
|
| 125 |
+
# ATR as percentage of price (volatility measure)
|
| 126 |
+
df['atr_pct'] = safe_divide(df['atr'].values, close.values) * 100
|
| 127 |
|
| 128 |
+
# --- NORMALIZED PRICE FEATURES ---
|
| 129 |
+
|
| 130 |
+
# Distance from EMAs (percentage)
|
| 131 |
+
df['dist_ema20'] = safe_divide((close - df['ema20']).values, df['ema20'].values) * 100
|
| 132 |
+
df['dist_ema50'] = safe_divide((close - df['ema50']).values, df['ema50'].values) * 100
|
| 133 |
|
| 134 |
+
# EMA cross strength
|
| 135 |
+
df['ema_cross'] = safe_divide((df['ema20'] - df['ema50']).values, df['ema50'].values) * 100
|
|
|
|
| 136 |
|
| 137 |
+
# --- BOLLINGER BAND FEATURES ---
|
| 138 |
+
bb_range = df['bb_upper'] - df['bb_lower']
|
| 139 |
+
bb_range_safe = bb_range.replace(0, np.nan).fillna(close * 0.01) # Fallback to 1% of price
|
| 140 |
+
|
| 141 |
+
df['bb_width'] = safe_divide(bb_range.values, df['sma20'].values) * 100
|
| 142 |
+
df['bb_pos'] = safe_divide((close - df['bb_lower']).values, bb_range_safe.values)
|
| 143 |
+
df['bb_pos'] = df['bb_pos'].clip(-0.5, 1.5).fillna(0.5) # Allow some overflow
|
| 144 |
+
|
| 145 |
+
# --- VOLUME FEATURES ---
|
| 146 |
+
vol_mean = volume.rolling(window=20).mean().replace(0, 1)
|
| 147 |
+
vol_std = volume.rolling(window=20).std().replace(0, 1)
|
| 148 |
+
df['vol_zscore'] = safe_divide((volume - vol_mean).values, vol_std.values)
|
| 149 |
+
df['vol_zscore'] = df['vol_zscore'].clip(-3, 3).fillna(0)
|
| 150 |
+
|
| 151 |
+
# --- RETURN FEATURES (momentum) ---
|
| 152 |
+
df['ret_1'] = close.pct_change(1).fillna(0) * 100
|
| 153 |
+
df['ret_5'] = close.pct_change(5).fillna(0) * 100
|
| 154 |
+
df['ret_10'] = close.pct_change(10).fillna(0) * 100
|
| 155 |
+
df['ret_20'] = close.pct_change(20).fillna(0) * 100
|
| 156 |
|
| 157 |
+
# Clip extreme returns
|
| 158 |
+
for col in ['ret_1', 'ret_5', 'ret_10', 'ret_20']:
|
| 159 |
+
df[col] = df[col].clip(-10, 10)
|
| 160 |
|
| 161 |
+
# --- VOLATILITY FEATURES ---
|
| 162 |
+
vol_short = df['ret_1'].rolling(5).std().fillna(0)
|
| 163 |
+
vol_long = df['ret_1'].rolling(20).std().replace(0, 1)
|
| 164 |
+
df['volatility_ratio'] = safe_divide(vol_short.values, vol_long.values).clip(0, 3)
|
| 165 |
|
| 166 |
+
# --- CANDLESTICK FEATURES ---
|
| 167 |
+
candle_range = (high - low).replace(0, 0.01)
|
| 168 |
+
df['candle_body'] = safe_divide((close - df['open']).values, candle_range.values)
|
| 169 |
+
df['upper_wick'] = safe_divide((high - pd.concat([close, df['open']], axis=1).max(axis=1)).values, candle_range.values)
|
| 170 |
+
df['lower_wick'] = safe_divide((pd.concat([close, df['open']], axis=1).min(axis=1) - low).values, candle_range.values)
|
| 171 |
+
|
| 172 |
+
# --- TREND STRENGTH ---
|
| 173 |
+
# Compare current price to 20-period high/low range
|
| 174 |
+
rolling_high = high.rolling(20).max()
|
| 175 |
+
rolling_low = low.rolling(20).min()
|
| 176 |
+
rolling_range = (rolling_high - rolling_low).replace(0, 1)
|
| 177 |
+
df['trend_strength'] = safe_divide((close - rolling_low).values, rolling_range.values) * 2 - 1 # -1 to 1
|
| 178 |
+
|
| 179 |
+
# Replace any remaining infinities or NaN
|
| 180 |
+
df = df.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan)
|
| 181 |
+
|
| 182 |
return df
|
| 183 |
|
| 184 |
+
|
| 185 |
+
def prepare_training_data(df):
|
| 186 |
+
"""Prepare features and multi-horizon targets for training"""
|
| 187 |
+
data = df.copy()
|
| 188 |
+
|
| 189 |
+
# Create target: future return at each key horizon
|
| 190 |
+
target_cols = []
|
| 191 |
+
for h in KEY_HORIZONS:
|
| 192 |
+
col_name = f'target_{h}'
|
| 193 |
+
future_price = data['close'].shift(-h)
|
| 194 |
+
current_price = data['close']
|
| 195 |
+
# Target is percentage return
|
| 196 |
+
data[col_name] = safe_divide((future_price - current_price).values, current_price.values) * 100
|
| 197 |
+
target_cols.append(col_name)
|
| 198 |
+
|
| 199 |
+
# Drop rows with NaN in features or targets
|
| 200 |
+
required_cols = FEATURE_COLS + target_cols
|
| 201 |
+
data = data.dropna(subset=required_cols)
|
| 202 |
+
|
| 203 |
+
if len(data) < MIN_TRAINING_SAMPLES:
|
| 204 |
+
return None, None
|
| 205 |
+
|
| 206 |
+
X = data[FEATURE_COLS].values
|
| 207 |
+
y_dict = {h: data[f'target_{h}'].values for h in KEY_HORIZONS}
|
| 208 |
+
|
| 209 |
+
return X, y_dict
|
| 210 |
+
|
| 211 |
+
|
| 212 |
def train_model(df):
|
| 213 |
+
"""Train separate models for each prediction horizon"""
|
| 214 |
+
logging.info(f"Training ML Models on {len(df)} candles...")
|
| 215 |
+
|
| 216 |
+
X, y_dict = prepare_training_data(df)
|
| 217 |
|
| 218 |
+
if X is None:
|
| 219 |
+
logging.warning("Not enough training data")
|
| 220 |
+
return None, None
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 221 |
|
| 222 |
+
logging.info(f"Training data: {len(X)} samples, {len(FEATURE_COLS)} features")
|
| 223 |
|
| 224 |
+
# Robust scaling handles outliers better than StandardScaler
|
| 225 |
+
scaler = RobustScaler()
|
| 226 |
+
X_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(X)
|
| 227 |
|
| 228 |
+
models = {}
|
| 229 |
+
metrics = {}
|
| 230 |
+
|
| 231 |
+
for h in KEY_HORIZONS:
|
| 232 |
+
y = y_dict[h]
|
| 233 |
+
|
| 234 |
+
# Gradient Boosting with regularization to prevent overfitting
|
| 235 |
+
model = GradientBoostingRegressor(
|
| 236 |
+
n_estimators=150,
|
| 237 |
+
max_depth=4,
|
| 238 |
+
learning_rate=0.05,
|
| 239 |
+
min_samples_split=30,
|
| 240 |
+
min_samples_leaf=15,
|
| 241 |
+
subsample=0.8,
|
| 242 |
+
max_features='sqrt',
|
| 243 |
+
validation_fraction=0.15,
|
| 244 |
+
n_iter_no_change=10,
|
| 245 |
+
random_state=42,
|
| 246 |
+
verbose=0
|
| 247 |
+
)
|
| 248 |
+
|
| 249 |
+
model.fit(X_scaled, y)
|
| 250 |
+
models[h] = model
|
| 251 |
|
| 252 |
+
# Calculate training R² score
|
| 253 |
+
train_score = model.score(X_scaled, y)
|
| 254 |
+
metrics[h] = {'r2': round(train_score, 3)}
|
| 255 |
+
|
| 256 |
+
logging.info(f" Horizon {h:3d}: R² = {train_score:.3f}")
|
| 257 |
+
|
| 258 |
+
# Log feature importance (from longest horizon model)
|
| 259 |
+
if 100 in models:
|
| 260 |
+
importance = dict(zip(FEATURE_COLS, models[100].feature_importances_))
|
| 261 |
+
top_5 = sorted(importance.items(), key=lambda x: x[1], reverse=True)[:5]
|
| 262 |
+
logging.info(f"Top features: {[f'{k}:{v:.3f}' for k,v in top_5]}")
|
| 263 |
+
|
| 264 |
+
market_state['training_metrics'] = metrics
|
| 265 |
+
logging.info("Model training complete")
|
| 266 |
+
|
| 267 |
+
return models, scaler
|
| 268 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 269 |
|
| 270 |
+
def interpolate_predictions(horizon_preds, target_horizon):
|
| 271 |
+
"""Interpolate between key horizon predictions for smooth curve"""
|
| 272 |
+
horizons = sorted(horizon_preds.keys())
|
| 273 |
+
|
| 274 |
+
if target_horizon <= horizons[0]:
|
| 275 |
+
return horizon_preds[horizons[0]]
|
| 276 |
+
if target_horizon >= horizons[-1]:
|
| 277 |
+
return horizon_preds[horizons[-1]]
|
| 278 |
+
|
| 279 |
+
# Find surrounding horizons
|
| 280 |
+
lower_h = max([h for h in horizons if h <= target_horizon])
|
| 281 |
+
upper_h = min([h for h in horizons if h >= target_horizon])
|
| 282 |
+
|
| 283 |
+
if lower_h == upper_h:
|
| 284 |
+
return horizon_preds[lower_h]
|
| 285 |
+
|
| 286 |
+
# Cubic interpolation weight for smoother curves
|
| 287 |
+
t = (target_horizon - lower_h) / (upper_h - lower_h)
|
| 288 |
+
t_smooth = t * t * (3 - 2 * t) # Smoothstep function
|
| 289 |
+
|
| 290 |
+
return horizon_preds[lower_h] + (horizon_preds[upper_h] - horizon_preds[lower_h]) * t_smooth
|
| 291 |
|
| 292 |
+
|
| 293 |
+
def apply_trend_smoothing(predictions, window=5):
|
| 294 |
+
"""Apply exponential moving average smoothing to predictions"""
|
| 295 |
+
if len(predictions) < window:
|
| 296 |
+
return predictions
|
| 297 |
+
|
| 298 |
+
smoothed = []
|
| 299 |
+
alpha = 2 / (window + 1)
|
| 300 |
+
|
| 301 |
+
# Initialize with first value
|
| 302 |
+
ema = predictions[0]
|
| 303 |
+
smoothed.append(ema)
|
| 304 |
+
|
| 305 |
+
for i in range(1, len(predictions)):
|
| 306 |
+
ema = alpha * predictions[i] + (1 - alpha) * ema
|
| 307 |
+
smoothed.append(ema)
|
| 308 |
|
| 309 |
+
return smoothed
|
|
|
|
| 310 |
|
| 311 |
+
|
| 312 |
+
def get_prediction(df, models, scaler):
|
| 313 |
+
"""Generate price predictions for the next N candles"""
|
| 314 |
+
if not models or scaler is None:
|
| 315 |
return []
|
| 316 |
|
| 317 |
+
# Check if we have valid features
|
| 318 |
+
last_row = df.iloc[-1:].copy()
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 319 |
|
| 320 |
+
# Validate features
|
| 321 |
+
missing_features = [col for col in FEATURE_COLS if col not in last_row.columns]
|
| 322 |
+
if missing_features:
|
| 323 |
+
logging.error(f"Missing features: {missing_features}")
|
| 324 |
return []
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 325 |
|
| 326 |
+
feature_values = last_row[FEATURE_COLS]
|
| 327 |
+
if feature_values.isnull().values.any():
|
| 328 |
+
logging.warning("NaN in prediction features")
|
| 329 |
+
return []
|
| 330 |
|
| 331 |
+
try:
|
| 332 |
+
X = feature_values.values
|
| 333 |
+
X_scaled = scaler.transform(X)
|
|
|
|
| 334 |
|
| 335 |
+
current_price = float(df.iloc[-1]['close'])
|
| 336 |
+
current_time = int(df.iloc[-1]['time'])
|
| 337 |
+
|
| 338 |
+
# Get predictions at key horizons
|
| 339 |
+
horizon_preds = {}
|
| 340 |
+
for h in KEY_HORIZONS:
|
| 341 |
+
if h in models:
|
| 342 |
+
pred_return = models[h].predict(X_scaled)[0]
|
| 343 |
+
# Clip extreme predictions
|
| 344 |
+
pred_return = np.clip(pred_return, -15, 15) # Max ±15% move
|
| 345 |
+
horizon_preds[h] = pred_return
|
| 346 |
+
|
| 347 |
+
if not horizon_preds:
|
| 348 |
+
return []
|
| 349 |
+
|
| 350 |
+
# Interpolate for all time steps
|
| 351 |
+
raw_returns = []
|
| 352 |
+
for i in range(1, PREDICTION_HORIZON + 1):
|
| 353 |
+
pct_return = interpolate_predictions(horizon_preds, i)
|
| 354 |
+
raw_returns.append(pct_return)
|
| 355 |
+
|
| 356 |
+
# Apply trend smoothing
|
| 357 |
+
smoothed_returns = apply_trend_smoothing(raw_returns, window=7)
|
| 358 |
+
|
| 359 |
+
# Convert to prices with momentum continuation
|
| 360 |
+
predictions = []
|
| 361 |
+
prev_price = current_price
|
| 362 |
+
|
| 363 |
+
for i, pct_return in enumerate(smoothed_returns):
|
| 364 |
+
# Price = current * (1 + cumulative_return%)
|
| 365 |
+
future_price = current_price * (1 + pct_return / 100)
|
| 366 |
+
|
| 367 |
+
# Add slight momentum continuation (reduces jumps)
|
| 368 |
+
if i > 0:
|
| 369 |
+
momentum = (future_price - prev_price) * 0.1
|
| 370 |
+
future_price = future_price + momentum
|
| 371 |
+
|
| 372 |
+
predictions.append({
|
| 373 |
+
"time": current_time + ((i + 1) * 60),
|
| 374 |
+
"value": round(float(future_price), 2)
|
| 375 |
+
})
|
| 376 |
+
prev_price = future_price
|
| 377 |
+
|
| 378 |
+
return predictions
|
| 379 |
+
|
| 380 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 381 |
+
logging.error(f"Prediction error: {e}")
|
| 382 |
+
return []
|
| 383 |
+
|
| 384 |
|
| 385 |
def process_market_data():
|
| 386 |
+
"""Process market data and generate predictions"""
|
| 387 |
if not market_state['ready'] or not market_state['ohlc_history']:
|
| 388 |
return {"error": "Initializing..."}
|
| 389 |
|
| 390 |
# 1. Calculate Indicators
|
| 391 |
df = calculate_indicators(market_state['ohlc_history'])
|
| 392 |
+
if df is None or len(df) < 60:
|
| 393 |
return {"error": "Not enough data"}
|
| 394 |
|
| 395 |
+
# 2. Train Model Periodically
|
| 396 |
+
current_time = time.time()
|
| 397 |
+
should_train = (
|
| 398 |
+
market_state['models'] is None or
|
| 399 |
+
len(market_state['models']) == 0 or
|
| 400 |
+
(current_time - market_state['last_training_time'] > TRAIN_INTERVAL)
|
| 401 |
+
)
|
| 402 |
+
|
| 403 |
+
if should_train:
|
| 404 |
try:
|
| 405 |
+
models, scaler = train_model(df)
|
| 406 |
+
if models:
|
| 407 |
+
market_state['models'] = models
|
| 408 |
+
market_state['scaler'] = scaler
|
| 409 |
+
market_state['last_training_time'] = current_time
|
| 410 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 411 |
logging.error(f"Training failed: {e}")
|
| 412 |
+
import traceback
|
| 413 |
+
traceback.print_exc()
|
| 414 |
|
| 415 |
+
# 3. Generate Predictions
|
| 416 |
predictions = []
|
| 417 |
try:
|
| 418 |
+
predictions = get_prediction(df, market_state['models'], market_state['scaler'])
|
| 419 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 420 |
logging.error(f"Prediction failed: {e}")
|
| 421 |
|
| 422 |
+
# 4. Prepare Display Data
|
|
|
|
| 423 |
df_clean = df.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan)
|
| 424 |
df_clean = df_clean.astype(object).where(pd.notnull(df_clean), None)
|
| 425 |
|
| 426 |
+
# Calculate stats
|
| 427 |
last_close = float(df['close'].iloc[-1]) if len(df) > 0 else 0
|
| 428 |
+
first_close = float(df['close'].iloc[0]) if len(df) > 0 else last_close
|
| 429 |
price_change = ((last_close - first_close) / first_close * 100) if first_close > 0 else 0
|
| 430 |
|
| 431 |
market_state['last_price'] = last_close
|
| 432 |
market_state['price_change'] = price_change
|
| 433 |
|
| 434 |
+
# Only send last 500 candles to client
|
| 435 |
display_data = df_clean.tail(500).to_dict('records')
|
| 436 |
+
|
| 437 |
+
# Extract last row stats safely
|
| 438 |
+
last_row = df.iloc[-1]
|
| 439 |
+
|
| 440 |
+
def safe_get(series, key, default=0):
|
| 441 |
+
try:
|
| 442 |
+
val = series[key] if key in series.index else default
|
| 443 |
+
return float(val) if pd.notna(val) and np.isfinite(val) else default
|
| 444 |
+
except:
|
| 445 |
+
return default
|
| 446 |
|
| 447 |
return {
|
| 448 |
"data": display_data,
|
|
|
|
| 450 |
"stats": {
|
| 451 |
"price": last_close,
|
| 452 |
"change": round(price_change, 2),
|
| 453 |
+
"rsi": round(safe_get(last_row, 'rsi'), 1),
|
| 454 |
+
"macd": round(safe_get(last_row, 'macd'), 2),
|
| 455 |
+
"atr": round(safe_get(last_row, 'atr'), 2),
|
| 456 |
+
"volume": round(safe_get(last_row, 'volume'), 2),
|
| 457 |
+
"candles": len(market_state['ohlc_history']),
|
| 458 |
+
"model_ready": len(market_state.get('models', {})) > 0
|
| 459 |
}
|
| 460 |
}
|
| 461 |
|
| 462 |
+
|
| 463 |
+
# --- FRONTEND HTML ---
|
| 464 |
HTML_PAGE = """
|
| 465 |
<!DOCTYPE html>
|
| 466 |
<html lang="en">
|
|
|
|
| 519 |
color: #00ff88;
|
| 520 |
}
|
| 521 |
|
| 522 |
+
.model-badge {
|
| 523 |
+
background: rgba(191, 90, 242, 0.1);
|
| 524 |
+
border: 1px solid rgba(191, 90, 242, 0.3);
|
| 525 |
+
padding: 4px 10px;
|
| 526 |
+
border-radius: 12px;
|
| 527 |
+
font-size: 11px;
|
| 528 |
+
color: #bf5af2;
|
| 529 |
+
}
|
| 530 |
+
|
| 531 |
+
.model-badge.ready {
|
| 532 |
+
background: rgba(0, 255, 136, 0.1);
|
| 533 |
+
border-color: rgba(0, 255, 136, 0.3);
|
| 534 |
+
color: #00ff88;
|
| 535 |
+
}
|
| 536 |
+
|
| 537 |
.stats-row {
|
| 538 |
display: flex;
|
| 539 |
gap: 24px;
|
|
|
|
| 706 |
color: #bf5af2;
|
| 707 |
z-index: 10;
|
| 708 |
}
|
| 709 |
+
|
| 710 |
+
.candle-count {
|
| 711 |
+
position: absolute;
|
| 712 |
+
bottom: 12px;
|
| 713 |
+
right: 16px;
|
| 714 |
+
font-size: 10px;
|
| 715 |
+
color: #444;
|
| 716 |
+
z-index: 10;
|
| 717 |
+
}
|
| 718 |
</style>
|
| 719 |
</head>
|
| 720 |
<body>
|
|
|
|
| 722 |
<div class="logo-section">
|
| 723 |
<div class="logo">QuantAI</div>
|
| 724 |
<div class="symbol-badge">BTC/USD</div>
|
| 725 |
+
<div id="model-status" class="model-badge">Model: Training...</div>
|
| 726 |
</div>
|
| 727 |
|
| 728 |
<div class="stats-row">
|
|
|
|
| 786 |
<span><div class="dot" style="background: #26a69a; opacity: 0.5"></div>Bollinger</span>
|
| 787 |
</div>
|
| 788 |
<div class="prediction-badge">AI Forecast: 100 candles</div>
|
| 789 |
+
<div id="candle-count" class="candle-count">Candles: --</div>
|
| 790 |
</div>
|
| 791 |
|
| 792 |
<div id="volume-chart" class="chart-wrapper">
|
|
|
|
| 878 |
crosshairMarkerVisible: false,
|
| 879 |
title: 'Forecast'
|
| 880 |
});
|
| 881 |
+
|
| 882 |
+
// Prediction confidence band (optional visual)
|
| 883 |
+
const predUpper = mainChart.addLineSeries({
|
| 884 |
+
color: 'rgba(191, 90, 242, 0.15)',
|
| 885 |
+
lineWidth: 1,
|
| 886 |
+
lineStyle: LightweightCharts.LineStyle.Dotted,
|
| 887 |
+
crosshairMarkerVisible: false
|
| 888 |
+
});
|
| 889 |
+
|
| 890 |
+
const predLower = mainChart.addLineSeries({
|
| 891 |
+
color: 'rgba(191, 90, 242, 0.15)',
|
| 892 |
+
lineWidth: 1,
|
| 893 |
+
lineStyle: LightweightCharts.LineStyle.Dotted,
|
| 894 |
+
crosshairMarkerVisible: false
|
| 895 |
+
});
|
| 896 |
|
| 897 |
const volumeSeries = volChart.addHistogramSeries({
|
| 898 |
priceFormat: { type: 'volume' },
|
|
|
|
| 907 |
lineWidth: 2,
|
| 908 |
priceScaleId: 'rsi'
|
| 909 |
});
|
| 910 |
+
|
| 911 |
+
// RSI overbought/oversold lines
|
| 912 |
+
const rsiUpper = oscChart.addLineSeries({
|
| 913 |
+
color: 'rgba(239, 83, 80, 0.3)',
|
| 914 |
+
lineWidth: 1,
|
| 915 |
+
lineStyle: LightweightCharts.LineStyle.Dashed,
|
| 916 |
+
priceScaleId: 'rsi'
|
| 917 |
+
});
|
| 918 |
+
|
| 919 |
+
const rsiLower = oscChart.addLineSeries({
|
| 920 |
+
color: 'rgba(38, 166, 154, 0.3)',
|
| 921 |
+
lineWidth: 1,
|
| 922 |
+
lineStyle: LightweightCharts.LineStyle.Dashed,
|
| 923 |
+
priceScaleId: 'rsi'
|
| 924 |
+
});
|
| 925 |
+
|
| 926 |
oscChart.priceScale('rsi').applyOptions({
|
| 927 |
scaleMargins: { top: 0.1, bottom: 0.1 }
|
| 928 |
});
|
|
|
|
| 975 |
rsiEl.className = 'stat-value ' + (rsiVal > 70 ? 'negative' : rsiVal < 30 ? 'positive' : 'neutral');
|
| 976 |
|
| 977 |
document.getElementById('atr').textContent = stats.atr;
|
| 978 |
+
|
| 979 |
+
// Update model status
|
| 980 |
+
const modelBadge = document.getElementById('model-status');
|
| 981 |
+
if (stats.model_ready) {
|
| 982 |
+
modelBadge.textContent = 'Model: Active';
|
| 983 |
+
modelBadge.className = 'model-badge ready';
|
| 984 |
+
} else {
|
| 985 |
+
modelBadge.textContent = 'Model: Training...';
|
| 986 |
+
modelBadge.className = 'model-badge';
|
| 987 |
+
}
|
| 988 |
+
|
| 989 |
+
// Update candle count
|
| 990 |
+
document.getElementById('candle-count').textContent = 'Candles: ' + (stats.candles || '--');
|
| 991 |
}
|
| 992 |
|
| 993 |
if (lastData) {
|
|
|
|
| 1069 |
if (volData.length > 0) volumeSeries.setData(volData);
|
| 1070 |
|
| 1071 |
const rsiData = safeMap(d, 'rsi');
|
| 1072 |
+
if (rsiData.length > 0) {
|
| 1073 |
+
rsi.setData(rsiData);
|
| 1074 |
+
// Set RSI reference lines
|
| 1075 |
+
const times = rsiData.map(x => x.time);
|
| 1076 |
+
rsiUpper.setData(times.map(t => ({time: t, value: 70})));
|
| 1077 |
+
rsiLower.setData(times.map(t => ({time: t, value: 30})));
|
| 1078 |
+
}
|
| 1079 |
|
| 1080 |
const macdData = d
|
| 1081 |
.filter(x => x && x.time && x.macd_hist !== null && x.macd_hist !== undefined && !isNaN(x.macd_hist))
|
|
|
|
| 1086 |
}));
|
| 1087 |
if (macdData.length > 0) macdHist.setData(macdData);
|
| 1088 |
|
| 1089 |
+
// Handle predictions with confidence bands
|
| 1090 |
if (payload.prediction && payload.prediction.length > 0) {
|
| 1091 |
const lastCandle = candleData[candleData.length - 1];
|
| 1092 |
const predData = [
|
|
|
|
| 1094 |
...payload.prediction.filter(p => p && p.time && p.value !== null && !isNaN(p.value))
|
| 1095 |
];
|
| 1096 |
predLine.setData(predData);
|
| 1097 |
+
|
| 1098 |
+
// Add confidence bands (±1% expanding over time)
|
| 1099 |
+
const upperBand = predData.map((p, i) => ({
|
| 1100 |
+
time: p.time,
|
| 1101 |
+
value: p.value * (1 + 0.002 * Math.sqrt(i))
|
| 1102 |
+
}));
|
| 1103 |
+
const lowerBand = predData.map((p, i) => ({
|
| 1104 |
+
time: p.time,
|
| 1105 |
+
value: p.value * (1 - 0.002 * Math.sqrt(i))
|
| 1106 |
+
}));
|
| 1107 |
+
predUpper.setData(upperBand);
|
| 1108 |
+
predLower.setData(lowerBand);
|
| 1109 |
}
|
| 1110 |
|
| 1111 |
updateStats(payload.stats, d[d.length - 1]);
|
|
|
|
| 1136 |
</html>
|
| 1137 |
"""
|
| 1138 |
|
| 1139 |
+
|
| 1140 |
async def fetch_initial_data():
|
| 1141 |
+
"""Fetch initial OHLC data from Kraken"""
|
| 1142 |
try:
|
| 1143 |
async with aiohttp.ClientSession() as session:
|
|
|
|
| 1144 |
url = "https://api.kraken.com/0/public/OHLC?pair=XBTUSD&interval=1"
|
| 1145 |
async with session.get(url, timeout=aiohttp.ClientTimeout(total=30)) as response:
|
| 1146 |
if response.status == 200:
|
|
|
|
| 1167 |
logging.error(f"Initial data fetch error: {e}")
|
| 1168 |
return False
|
| 1169 |
|
| 1170 |
+
|
| 1171 |
async def kraken_rest_worker():
|
| 1172 |
+
"""Background worker to fetch and update OHLC data"""
|
| 1173 |
await fetch_initial_data()
|
| 1174 |
|
| 1175 |
while True:
|
|
|
|
| 1192 |
'close': float(c[4]),
|
| 1193 |
'volume': float(c[6])
|
| 1194 |
}
|
| 1195 |
+
for c in raw[-20:] # Get last 20 candles for merging
|
| 1196 |
]
|
| 1197 |
|
|
|
|
| 1198 |
if market_state['ohlc_history']:
|
| 1199 |
existing_times = {c['time'] for c in market_state['ohlc_history']}
|
| 1200 |
for nc in new_candles:
|
| 1201 |
if nc['time'] in existing_times:
|
|
|
|
| 1202 |
for i, ec in enumerate(market_state['ohlc_history']):
|
| 1203 |
if ec['time'] == nc['time']:
|
| 1204 |
market_state['ohlc_history'][i] = nc
|
| 1205 |
break
|
| 1206 |
else:
|
|
|
|
| 1207 |
market_state['ohlc_history'].append(nc)
|
| 1208 |
|
| 1209 |
market_state['ohlc_history'].sort(key=lambda x: x['time'])
|
| 1210 |
|
|
|
|
| 1211 |
if len(market_state['ohlc_history']) > MAX_HISTORY:
|
| 1212 |
market_state['ohlc_history'] = market_state['ohlc_history'][-MAX_HISTORY:]
|
| 1213 |
|
|
|
|
| 1218 |
|
| 1219 |
await asyncio.sleep(5)
|
| 1220 |
|
| 1221 |
+
|
| 1222 |
async def broadcast_worker():
|
| 1223 |
+
"""Broadcast market data to connected clients"""
|
| 1224 |
while True:
|
| 1225 |
if connected_clients and market_state['ready']:
|
| 1226 |
payload = process_market_data()
|
|
|
|
| 1235 |
connected_clients.difference_update(disconnected)
|
| 1236 |
await asyncio.sleep(BROADCAST_RATE)
|
| 1237 |
|
| 1238 |
+
|
| 1239 |
async def websocket_handler(request):
|
| 1240 |
+
"""Handle WebSocket connections"""
|
| 1241 |
ws = web.WebSocketResponse()
|
| 1242 |
await ws.prepare(request)
|
| 1243 |
connected_clients.add(ws)
|
|
|
|
| 1250 |
logging.info(f"Client disconnected. Total: {len(connected_clients)}")
|
| 1251 |
return ws
|
| 1252 |
|
| 1253 |
+
|
| 1254 |
async def handle_index(request):
|
| 1255 |
return web.Response(text=HTML_PAGE, content_type='text/html')
|
| 1256 |
|
| 1257 |
+
|
| 1258 |
async def handle_health(request):
|
| 1259 |
return web.json_response({
|
| 1260 |
"status": "ok",
|
| 1261 |
"ready": market_state['ready'],
|
| 1262 |
"candles": len(market_state['ohlc_history']),
|
| 1263 |
+
"clients": len(connected_clients),
|
| 1264 |
+
"model_ready": len(market_state.get('models', {})) > 0,
|
| 1265 |
+
"training_metrics": market_state.get('training_metrics', {})
|
| 1266 |
})
|
| 1267 |
|
| 1268 |
+
|
| 1269 |
async def main():
|
| 1270 |
app = web.Application()
|
| 1271 |
app.router.add_get('/', handle_index)
|
|
|
|
| 1284 |
|
| 1285 |
await asyncio.Event().wait()
|
| 1286 |
|
| 1287 |
+
|
| 1288 |
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 1289 |
try:
|
| 1290 |
asyncio.run(main())
|