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Create app.py
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app.py
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| 1 |
+
import pandas as pd
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| 2 |
+
import numpy as np
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| 3 |
+
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
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| 4 |
+
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
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| 5 |
+
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor
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| 6 |
+
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error, r2_score
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| 7 |
+
import tensorflow as tf
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| 8 |
+
from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential
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| 9 |
+
from tensorflow.keras.layers import LSTM, Dense, Dropout
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| 10 |
+
import gradio as gr
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| 11 |
+
import plotly.graph_objects as go
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| 12 |
+
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
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| 13 |
+
import warnings
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| 14 |
+
import logging
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| 15 |
+
import traceback
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| 16 |
+
import yfinance as yf
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| 17 |
+
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| 18 |
+
# Set up logging
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| 19 |
+
logging.basicConfig(level=logging.INFO)
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| 20 |
+
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
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| 21 |
+
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| 22 |
+
class PredictiveSystem:
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| 23 |
+
def __init__(self):
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| 24 |
+
self.scaler = StandardScaler()
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| 25 |
+
self.rf_model = None
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| 26 |
+
self.lstm_model = None
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| 27 |
+
self.feature_importance = None
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| 28 |
+
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| 29 |
+
def convert_dates(self, df):
|
| 30 |
+
"""Convert date columns to datetime"""
|
| 31 |
+
try:
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| 32 |
+
df = df.copy()
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| 33 |
+
# Try to convert 'date' column to datetime
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| 34 |
+
if 'date' in df.columns:
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| 35 |
+
df['date'] = pd.to_datetime(df['date'], errors='coerce')
|
| 36 |
+
|
| 37 |
+
# Extract datetime features
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| 38 |
+
df['month'] = df['date'].dt.month
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| 39 |
+
df['day'] = df['date'].dt.day
|
| 40 |
+
df['day_of_week'] = df['date'].dt.dayofweek
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| 41 |
+
df['is_weekend'] = df['date'].dt.dayofweek.isin([5, 6]).astype(int)
|
| 42 |
+
|
| 43 |
+
# Drop original date column
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| 44 |
+
df = df.drop('date', axis=1)
|
| 45 |
+
|
| 46 |
+
return df
|
| 47 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 48 |
+
logger.error(f"Error converting dates: {str(e)}")
|
| 49 |
+
raise
|
| 50 |
+
|
| 51 |
+
def validate_data(self, df):
|
| 52 |
+
"""Validate input data structure and contents"""
|
| 53 |
+
try:
|
| 54 |
+
# Check if dataframe is empty
|
| 55 |
+
if df.empty:
|
| 56 |
+
raise ValueError("The uploaded file contains no data")
|
| 57 |
+
|
| 58 |
+
# Check minimum number of rows
|
| 59 |
+
if len(df) < 30:
|
| 60 |
+
raise ValueError("Dataset must contain at least 30 rows of data")
|
| 61 |
+
|
| 62 |
+
# Check for minimum number of columns
|
| 63 |
+
if len(df.columns) < 2:
|
| 64 |
+
raise ValueError("Dataset must contain at least 2 columns (features and target)")
|
| 65 |
+
|
| 66 |
+
# First convert date columns
|
| 67 |
+
df = self.convert_dates(df)
|
| 68 |
+
|
| 69 |
+
# Now check for remaining non-numeric columns
|
| 70 |
+
non_numeric_cols = df.select_dtypes(exclude=['number']).columns
|
| 71 |
+
if len(non_numeric_cols) > 0:
|
| 72 |
+
raise ValueError(f"Non-numeric columns found after date processing: {', '.join(non_numeric_cols)}. Please ensure all features are numeric.")
|
| 73 |
+
|
| 74 |
+
return True
|
| 75 |
+
|
| 76 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 77 |
+
logger.error(f"Data validation error: {str(e)}")
|
| 78 |
+
raise
|
| 79 |
+
|
| 80 |
+
def preprocess_data(self, df):
|
| 81 |
+
"""Clean and preprocess the data with error handling"""
|
| 82 |
+
try:
|
| 83 |
+
logger.info("Starting data preprocessing...")
|
| 84 |
+
|
| 85 |
+
# Convert dates first
|
| 86 |
+
df_processed = self.convert_dates(df)
|
| 87 |
+
|
| 88 |
+
# Handle missing values
|
| 89 |
+
missing_count = df_processed.isnull().sum().sum()
|
| 90 |
+
if missing_count > 0:
|
| 91 |
+
logger.info(f"Handling {missing_count} missing values")
|
| 92 |
+
df_processed = df_processed.fillna(method='ffill').fillna(method='bfill')
|
| 93 |
+
|
| 94 |
+
# Remove any remaining non-numeric columns
|
| 95 |
+
numeric_cols = df_processed.select_dtypes(include=[np.number]).columns
|
| 96 |
+
df_processed = df_processed[numeric_cols]
|
| 97 |
+
|
| 98 |
+
logger.info("Data preprocessing completed successfully")
|
| 99 |
+
return df_processed
|
| 100 |
+
|
| 101 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 102 |
+
logger.error(f"Error in preprocessing data: {str(e)}")
|
| 103 |
+
raise
|
| 104 |
+
|
| 105 |
+
def feature_selection(self, X, y):
|
| 106 |
+
"""Select important features using Random Forest with error handling"""
|
| 107 |
+
try:
|
| 108 |
+
logger.info("Starting feature selection...")
|
| 109 |
+
|
| 110 |
+
rf = RandomForestRegressor(n_estimators=100, random_state=42)
|
| 111 |
+
rf.fit(X, y)
|
| 112 |
+
|
| 113 |
+
self.feature_importance = pd.DataFrame({
|
| 114 |
+
'feature': X.columns,
|
| 115 |
+
'importance': rf.feature_importances_
|
| 116 |
+
}).sort_values('importance', ascending=False)
|
| 117 |
+
|
| 118 |
+
selected_features = self.feature_importance['feature'].head(
|
| 119 |
+
min(10, len(X.columns))
|
| 120 |
+
)
|
| 121 |
+
|
| 122 |
+
logger.info(f"Selected {len(selected_features)} features")
|
| 123 |
+
return X[selected_features]
|
| 124 |
+
|
| 125 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 126 |
+
logger.error(f"Error in feature selection: {str(e)}")
|
| 127 |
+
raise
|
| 128 |
+
|
| 129 |
+
def train_models(self, X, y):
|
| 130 |
+
"""Train both Random Forest and LSTM models with error handling"""
|
| 131 |
+
try:
|
| 132 |
+
logger.info("Starting model training...")
|
| 133 |
+
|
| 134 |
+
# Split data
|
| 135 |
+
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
|
| 136 |
+
|
| 137 |
+
# Scale data
|
| 138 |
+
X_train_scaled = self.scaler.fit_transform(X_train)
|
| 139 |
+
X_test_scaled = self.scaler.transform(X_test)
|
| 140 |
+
|
| 141 |
+
# Train Random Forest
|
| 142 |
+
logger.info("Training Random Forest model...")
|
| 143 |
+
self.rf_model = RandomForestRegressor(n_estimators=100, random_state=42)
|
| 144 |
+
self.rf_model.fit(X_train_scaled, y_train)
|
| 145 |
+
|
| 146 |
+
# Train LSTM
|
| 147 |
+
logger.info("Training LSTM model...")
|
| 148 |
+
X_train_lstm = X_train_scaled.reshape((X_train_scaled.shape[0], 1, X_train_scaled.shape[1]))
|
| 149 |
+
|
| 150 |
+
self.lstm_model = Sequential([
|
| 151 |
+
LSTM(50, activation='relu', input_shape=(1, X_train_scaled.shape[1]), return_sequences=True),
|
| 152 |
+
Dropout(0.2),
|
| 153 |
+
LSTM(50, activation='relu'),
|
| 154 |
+
Dense(1)
|
| 155 |
+
])
|
| 156 |
+
|
| 157 |
+
self.lstm_model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mse')
|
| 158 |
+
|
| 159 |
+
# Use early stopping
|
| 160 |
+
early_stopping = tf.keras.callbacks.EarlyStopping(
|
| 161 |
+
monitor='loss',
|
| 162 |
+
patience=5,
|
| 163 |
+
restore_best_weights=True
|
| 164 |
+
)
|
| 165 |
+
|
| 166 |
+
self.lstm_model.fit(
|
| 167 |
+
X_train_lstm,
|
| 168 |
+
y_train,
|
| 169 |
+
epochs=50,
|
| 170 |
+
batch_size=32,
|
| 171 |
+
verbose=0,
|
| 172 |
+
callbacks=[early_stopping]
|
| 173 |
+
)
|
| 174 |
+
|
| 175 |
+
# Calculate metrics
|
| 176 |
+
rf_pred = self.rf_model.predict(X_test_scaled)
|
| 177 |
+
lstm_pred = self.lstm_model.predict(
|
| 178 |
+
X_test_scaled.reshape((X_test_scaled.shape[0], 1, X_test_scaled.shape[1]))
|
| 179 |
+
)
|
| 180 |
+
|
| 181 |
+
metrics = {
|
| 182 |
+
'rf_rmse': np.sqrt(mean_squared_error(y_test, rf_pred)),
|
| 183 |
+
'rf_r2': r2_score(y_test, rf_pred),
|
| 184 |
+
'lstm_rmse': np.sqrt(mean_squared_error(y_test, lstm_pred)),
|
| 185 |
+
'lstm_r2': r2_score(y_test, lstm_pred)
|
| 186 |
+
}
|
| 187 |
+
|
| 188 |
+
logger.info("Model training completed successfully")
|
| 189 |
+
return metrics
|
| 190 |
+
|
| 191 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 192 |
+
logger.error(f"Error in model training: {str(e)}")
|
| 193 |
+
raise
|
| 194 |
+
|
| 195 |
+
def generate_predictions(self, X):
|
| 196 |
+
"""Generate predictions using both models"""
|
| 197 |
+
try:
|
| 198 |
+
X_scaled = self.scaler.transform(X)
|
| 199 |
+
|
| 200 |
+
rf_pred = self.rf_model.predict(X_scaled)
|
| 201 |
+
lstm_pred = self.lstm_model.predict(
|
| 202 |
+
X_scaled.reshape((X_scaled.shape[0], 1, X_scaled.shape[1]))
|
| 203 |
+
)
|
| 204 |
+
|
| 205 |
+
# Combine predictions (ensemble)
|
| 206 |
+
final_pred = (rf_pred + lstm_pred.flatten()) / 2
|
| 207 |
+
|
| 208 |
+
return final_pred
|
| 209 |
+
|
| 210 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 211 |
+
logger.error(f"Error generating predictions: {str(e)}")
|
| 212 |
+
raise
|
| 213 |
+
|
| 214 |
+
def fetch_real_time_data(ticker):
|
| 215 |
+
"""Fetch real-time stock data using yfinance"""
|
| 216 |
+
try:
|
| 217 |
+
stock = yf.Ticker(ticker)
|
| 218 |
+
data = stock.history(period="1d")
|
| 219 |
+
return data
|
| 220 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 221 |
+
logger.error(f"Error fetching real-time data for {ticker}: {str(e)}")
|
| 222 |
+
raise
|
| 223 |
+
|
| 224 |
+
def create_gradio_interface(predictor):
|
| 225 |
+
def process_and_predict(file, ticker):
|
| 226 |
+
try:
|
| 227 |
+
# Read data
|
| 228 |
+
logger.info("Reading uploaded file...")
|
| 229 |
+
df = pd.read_csv(file.name)
|
| 230 |
+
|
| 231 |
+
# Show initial data info
|
| 232 |
+
logger.info(f"Columns in uploaded file: {', '.join(df.columns)}")
|
| 233 |
+
logger.info(f"Data types: {df.dtypes}")
|
| 234 |
+
|
| 235 |
+
# Validate and process data
|
| 236 |
+
predictor.validate_data(df)
|
| 237 |
+
df_processed = predictor.preprocess_data(df)
|
| 238 |
+
|
| 239 |
+
# Separate features and target
|
| 240 |
+
y = df_processed.iloc[:, -1] # Assume last column is target
|
| 241 |
+
X = df_processed.iloc[:, :-1]
|
| 242 |
+
|
| 243 |
+
# Feature selection and model training
|
| 244 |
+
X_selected = predictor.feature_selection(X, y)
|
| 245 |
+
metrics = predictor.train_models(X_selected, y)
|
| 246 |
+
|
| 247 |
+
# Generate predictions
|
| 248 |
+
predictions = predictor.generate_predictions(X_selected)
|
| 249 |
+
|
| 250 |
+
# Fetch real-time stock data
|
| 251 |
+
real_time_data = fetch_real_time_data(ticker)
|
| 252 |
+
|
| 253 |
+
# Create visualization
|
| 254 |
+
fig = go.Figure()
|
| 255 |
+
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(y=y, name='Actual', line=dict(color='blue')))
|
| 256 |
+
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(y=predictions, name='Predicted', line=dict(color='red')))
|
| 257 |
+
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(y=real_time_data['Close'], name='Real-Time Data', line=dict(color='green')))
|
| 258 |
+
fig.update_layout(
|
| 259 |
+
title='Actual vs Predicted vs Real-Time Values',
|
| 260 |
+
xaxis_title='Time',
|
| 261 |
+
yaxis_title='Value',
|
| 262 |
+
template='plotly_white'
|
| 263 |
+
)
|
| 264 |
+
|
| 265 |
+
# Format output
|
| 266 |
+
output = f"""
|
| 267 |
+
Model Performance Metrics:
|
| 268 |
+
Random Forest RMSE: {metrics['rf_rmse']:.4f}
|
| 269 |
+
Random Forest R²: {metrics['rf_r2']:.4f}
|
| 270 |
+
LSTM RMSE: {metrics['lstm_rmse']:.4f}
|
| 271 |
+
LSTM R²: {metrics['lstm_r2']:.4f}
|
| 272 |
+
|
| 273 |
+
Data Processing Summary:
|
| 274 |
+
- Total records processed: {len(df)}
|
| 275 |
+
- Features selected: {len(X_selected.columns)}
|
| 276 |
+
- Date features created: month, day, day_of_week, is_weekend
|
| 277 |
+
- Training completed successfully
|
| 278 |
+
|
| 279 |
+
Real-Time Data Summary:
|
| 280 |
+
- Ticker: {ticker}
|
| 281 |
+
- Last Close Price: {real_time_data['Close'].iloc[-1]:.2f}
|
| 282 |
+
"""
|
| 283 |
+
|
| 284 |
+
logger.info("Analysis completed successfully")
|
| 285 |
+
return fig, output
|
| 286 |
+
|
| 287 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 288 |
+
error_msg = f"""
|
| 289 |
+
Error occurred during processing:
|
| 290 |
+
{str(e)}
|
| 291 |
+
|
| 292 |
+
Please ensure your data:
|
| 293 |
+
1. Is in CSV format
|
| 294 |
+
2. Contains a 'date' column (will be automatically processed)
|
| 295 |
+
3. Contains numeric feature columns
|
| 296 |
+
4. Has at least 30 rows of data
|
| 297 |
+
5. Has both feature columns and a target column
|
| 298 |
+
6. Has no corrupted values
|
| 299 |
+
|
| 300 |
+
Technical details for debugging:
|
| 301 |
+
{traceback.format_exc()}
|
| 302 |
+
"""
|
| 303 |
+
logger.error(f"Process failed: {str(e)}")
|
| 304 |
+
return None, error_msg
|
| 305 |
+
|
| 306 |
+
interface = gr.Interface(
|
| 307 |
+
fn=process_and_predict,
|
| 308 |
+
inputs=[
|
| 309 |
+
gr.File(label="Upload CSV file"),
|
| 310 |
+
gr.Textbox(label="Stock Ticker (e.g., AAPL)")
|
| 311 |
+
],
|
| 312 |
+
outputs=[
|
| 313 |
+
gr.Plot(label="Predictions Visualization"),
|
| 314 |
+
gr.Textbox(label="Analysis Results", lines=10)
|
| 315 |
+
],
|
| 316 |
+
title="Predictive & Prescriptive Analytics System",
|
| 317 |
+
description="""
|
| 318 |
+
Upload your CSV file containing historical data and enter a stock ticker to fetch real-time data.
|
| 319 |
+
Required format: Furtur Any contact Anupam Joshi 91-9878255748 @ joshianupam32@gmail.com
|
| 320 |
+
- A 'date' column in any standard date format
|
| 321 |
+
- Numeric feature columns
|
| 322 |
+
- A target column (last column)
|
| 323 |
+
- At least 30 rows of data
|
| 324 |
+
|
| 325 |
+
The system will automatically:
|
| 326 |
+
- Process the date column into useful features
|
| 327 |
+
- Handle any missing values
|
| 328 |
+
- Select the most important features
|
| 329 |
+
- Train and evaluate the models
|
| 330 |
+
- Fetch and display real-time stock data
|
| 331 |
+
""",
|
| 332 |
+
examples=[["sample_sales_data.csv", "AAPL"]]
|
| 333 |
+
)
|
| 334 |
+
|
| 335 |
+
return interface
|
| 336 |
+
|
| 337 |
+
# Initialize and launch
|
| 338 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 339 |
+
try:
|
| 340 |
+
predictor = PredictiveSystem()
|
| 341 |
+
interface = create_gradio_interface(predictor)
|
| 342 |
+
interface.launch(share=True)
|
| 343 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 344 |
+
logger.error(f"Failed to launch interface: {str(e)}")
|
| 345 |
+
raise
|