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Configuration error
Configuration error
Upload 2 files
Browse files- app.py +32 -61
- fairvalue_xgboost.json +0 -0
app.py
CHANGED
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@@ -18,16 +18,15 @@ def load_data_and_model():
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return None, None
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df = pd.read_csv(df_path)
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# Standardize ALL possible market value names
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# The common ones are market_value_in_eur, market_value_in_eur_x, market_value_in_eur_y
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mv_rename_map = {}
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for col in df.columns:
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if 'market_value' in col.lower()
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mv_rename_map[col] = 'market_value_in_eur'
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if mv_rename_map:
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df.rename(columns=mv_rename_map, inplace=True)
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# Deduplicate
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df = df.loc[:, ~df.columns.duplicated()].copy()
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# Load model
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@@ -38,9 +37,13 @@ def load_data_and_model():
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path = "FairValue_xgboost.json"
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if os.path.exists(path):
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model.load_model(path)
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else:
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return df, f"MODEL_FILE_NOT_FOUND (Checked
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except Exception as e:
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return df, f"LOAD_ERROR: {str(e)}"
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@@ -50,10 +53,9 @@ df, model = load_data_and_model()
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if isinstance(model, str):
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st.error(f"⚠️ {model}")
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st.info("Ensure the model file is uploaded to the root of your Space.")
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st.stop()
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if df is None:
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st.error("⚠️ Data file not found
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st.stop()
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# ======= Sidebar =======
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@@ -68,15 +70,10 @@ if input_mode == "Select Existing Player":
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selected_name = st.sidebar.selectbox("Target Database Player", player_list)
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player_data = df[df[name_col] == selected_name].iloc[0:1].copy()
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else:
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st.sidebar.error("Player names column not found.")
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st.stop()
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st.sidebar.markdown("---")
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st.sidebar.markdown("**Simulation Parameters**")
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contract_default = max(0.5, min(6.0, float(player_data['Contract_Years_Left'].iloc[0])))
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age_default = max(16, min(40, int(player_data['Age'].iloc[0])))
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injury_col = next((c for c in ['Injury_Days_Total_24m', 'Injury_Days'] if c in player_data.columns), None)
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injury_default = 0
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if injury_col:
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@@ -87,43 +84,33 @@ if input_mode == "Select Existing Player":
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injuries = st.sidebar.number_input("Injury missed days (24m)", 0, 500, injury_default)
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else:
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st.sidebar.markdown("---")
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st.sidebar.markdown("**Custom Player Attributes**")
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# MEDIAN fallback to ensure all 20+ columns are filled
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player_data = df.median(numeric_only=True).to_frame().T
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contract_years = st.sidebar.slider("Contract Years Remaining", 0.5, 6.0, 2.0, 0.5)
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age = st.sidebar.slider("Age", 16, 40, 24)
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injuries = st.sidebar.number_input("Injury missed days (24m)", 0, 500, 10)
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mv_col = 'market_value_in_eur'
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if mv_col in player_data.columns:
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m_val = st.sidebar.number_input("Current Market Value Estimation (£m)", 1.0, 200.0, 20.0)
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player_data[
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asking_price = st.sidebar.number_input("Selling Club Asking Price (£m)", 1.0, 300.0, 45.0)
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#
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player_data['Contract_Years_Left'] = contract_years
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player_data['Age'] = age
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player_data[
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# Prepare inference payload
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expected_cols = model.feature_names_in_
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X_infer = player_data.reindex(columns=expected_cols, fill_value=0)
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if st.button("Calculate Prediction", type="primary"):
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#
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st.write("Columns available in player_data:", player_data.columns.tolist())
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log_pv = model.predict(X_infer)[0]
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baseline_pv = np.expm1(log_pv)
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#
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conservative_bound = baseline_pv * 0.85
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risk_discount_pct = 0.0
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if contract_years < 1.5: risk_discount_pct += 0.20
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@@ -142,37 +129,25 @@ if st.button("Calculate Prediction", type="primary"):
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fig = go.Figure(go.Indicator(
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mode="gauge+number+delta",
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value=asking_price,
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delta={'reference': hard_cap_m, 'increasing': {'color': "red"}
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title={'text': "Asking Price vs
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gauge={
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'axis': {'range': [0, max(asking_price, hard_cap_m) * 1.5]},
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'steps': [
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{'range': [0, hard_cap_m], 'color': "rgba(0, 255, 0, 0.3)"},
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{'range': [hard_cap_m, hard_cap_m*1.2], 'color': "rgba(255, 255, 0, 0.3)"},
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],
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'threshold': {'line': {'color': "white", 'width': 4}, 'thickness': 0.75, 'value': hard_cap_m}
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}
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))
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st.plotly_chart(fig, use_container_width=True)
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with col2:
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st.subheader("Metrics Breakdown")
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st.metric("Predicted Market Value (ML Baseline)", f"£{baseline_pv_m:.1f}m")
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if risk_discount_pct > 0:
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st.metric("Risk Penalty Applied", f"-£{discount_val/1_000_000:.1f}m", f"-{risk_discount_pct*100:.0f}% Risk penalty!")
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else:
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st.metric("Risk Penalty Applied", f"£0m", "0% Risk")
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st.metric("Recommended Hard Cap", f"£{hard_cap_m:.1f}m")
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if asking_price > hard_cap_m:
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st.error(f"Winner's Curse Risk:
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# SHAP / Diagnostics
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with st.expander("Show Model Input Diagnostics"):
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st.write("X_infer Payload:", X_infer)
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st.subheader("Algorithmic Interpretability (SHAP)")
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try:
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explainer = shap.TreeExplainer(model)
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@@ -180,13 +155,9 @@ if st.button("Calculate Prediction", type="primary"):
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shap_df = pd.DataFrame({'Feature': X_infer.columns, 'Impact': shap_values.values[0]}).sort_values(by='Impact', ascending=False)
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st.dataframe(shap_df.head(10), use_container_width=True)
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except:
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st.
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imp_df = pd.DataFrame({'Feature': expected_cols, 'Weight': model.feature_importances_}).sort_values(by='Weight', ascending=False)
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st.dataframe(imp_df.head(10), use_container_width=True)
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st.markdown("---")
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st.subheader("Model Performance Assessment")
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st.markdown(f"**Training Set Size:** `{len(df):,}`
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st.markdown(
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st.markdown("**Validation MAE (Mean Absolute Error):** `~£23,980,000` *(Statistical Range)*")
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st.caption("Training occurred utilizing a 5-Folds RandomizedSearchCV across 40 hyperparameter iterations.")
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return None, None
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df = pd.read_csv(df_path)
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# Standardize ALL possible market value names
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mv_rename_map = {}
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for col in df.columns:
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if 'market_value' in col.lower():
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mv_rename_map[col] = 'market_value_in_eur'
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if mv_rename_map:
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df.rename(columns=mv_rename_map, inplace=True)
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# Deduplicate
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df = df.loc[:, ~df.columns.duplicated()].copy()
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# Load model
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path = "FairValue_xgboost.json"
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if os.path.exists(path):
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# Check file size to catch corrupted uploads
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filesize = os.path.getsize(path)
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if filesize < 100:
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return df, f"CORRUPTED_MODEL (Size: {filesize} bytes. Is too small!)"
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model.load_model(path)
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else:
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return df, f"MODEL_FILE_NOT_FOUND (Checked root for {path})"
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except Exception as e:
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return df, f"LOAD_ERROR: {str(e)}"
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if isinstance(model, str):
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st.error(f"⚠️ {model}")
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st.stop()
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if df is None:
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st.error("⚠️ Data file not found.")
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st.stop()
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# ======= Sidebar =======
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selected_name = st.sidebar.selectbox("Target Database Player", player_list)
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player_data = df[df[name_col] == selected_name].iloc[0:1].copy()
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else:
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st.stop()
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contract_default = max(0.5, min(6.0, float(player_data['Contract_Years_Left'].iloc[0])))
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age_default = max(16, min(40, int(player_data['Age'].iloc[0])))
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injury_col = next((c for c in ['Injury_Days_Total_24m', 'Injury_Days'] if c in player_data.columns), None)
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injury_default = 0
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if injury_col:
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injuries = st.sidebar.number_input("Injury missed days (24m)", 0, 500, injury_default)
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else:
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player_data = df.median(numeric_only=True).to_frame().T
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contract_years = st.sidebar.slider("Contract Years Remaining", 0.5, 6.0, 2.0, 0.5)
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age = st.sidebar.slider("Age", 16, 40, 24)
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injuries = st.sidebar.number_input("Injury missed days (24m)", 0, 500, 10)
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if 'market_value_in_eur' in player_data.columns:
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m_val = st.sidebar.number_input("Current Market Value Estimation (£m)", 1.0, 200.0, 20.0)
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player_data['market_value_in_eur'] = (m_val * 1_000_000) / 0.85
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asking_price = st.sidebar.number_input("Selling Club Asking Price (£m)", 1.0, 300.0, 45.0)
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# Build X_infer
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expected_cols = model.feature_names_in_
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player_data['Contract_Years_Left'] = contract_years
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player_data['Age'] = age
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if 'Injury_Days_Total_24m' in player_data.columns:
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player_data['Injury_Days_Total_24m'] = injuries
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X_infer = player_data.reindex(columns=expected_cols, fill_value=0)
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if st.button("Calculate Prediction", type="primary"):
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# Debugging Visibility
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raw_preds = model.predict(X_infer)
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log_pv = raw_preds[0]
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baseline_pv = np.expm1(log_pv)
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# UI logic
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conservative_bound = baseline_pv * 0.85
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risk_discount_pct = 0.0
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if contract_years < 1.5: risk_discount_pct += 0.20
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fig = go.Figure(go.Indicator(
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mode="gauge+number+delta",
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value=asking_price,
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delta={'reference': hard_cap_m, 'increasing': {'color': "red"}},
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title={'text': "Asking Price vs Hard Cap (£m)"},
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gauge={'axis': {'range': [0, max(asking_price, 100)]}, 'threshold': {'line': {'color': "white", 'width': 4}, 'value': hard_cap_m}}
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))
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st.plotly_chart(fig, use_container_width=True)
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with col2:
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st.subheader("Metrics Breakdown")
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st.metric("Predicted Market Value (ML Baseline)", f"£{baseline_pv_m:.1f}m")
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st.metric("Recommended Hard Cap", f"£{hard_cap_m:.1f}m")
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if asking_price > hard_cap_m:
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st.error(f"Winner's Curse Risk: £{asking_price - hard_cap_m:.1f}m Overpay.")
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with st.expander("🔬 Technical Diagnostics (FOR DEBUGGING)"):
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st.write("Raw Log-Prediction from Model:", log_pv)
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st.write("Input Feature Vector (X_infer):", X_infer)
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if log_pv == 0 and X_infer['market_value_in_eur'].iloc[0] > 0:
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st.error("CRITICAL: The model is receiving data but returning exactly 0.0. This means the uploaded model file is likely empty or corrupted.")
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st.subheader("Algorithmic Interpretability (SHAP)")
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try:
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explainer = shap.TreeExplainer(model)
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shap_df = pd.DataFrame({'Feature': X_infer.columns, 'Impact': shap_values.values[0]}).sort_values(by='Impact', ascending=False)
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st.dataframe(shap_df.head(10), use_container_width=True)
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except:
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st.warning("SHAP Error. Model file/version mismatch.")
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st.markdown("---")
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st.subheader("Model Performance Assessment")
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st.markdown(f"**Training Set Size:** `{len(df):,}` transfers | **Features:** `{len(expected_cols)}` cols")
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st.markdown("**Validation MAE:** `~£23,980,000` | **Engine:** XGBoost + SHAP")
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fairvalue_xgboost.json
CHANGED
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The diff for this file is too large to render.
See raw diff
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