File size: 9,636 Bytes
a2cbcac
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
from __future__ import annotations

import sys
from pathlib import Path

from src.backtesting import (
    run_backtest,
    PrimoAgentStrategy,
    BuyAndHoldStrategy,
)
from src.backtesting.data import load_stock_data, load_all_data, list_available_stocks
from src.backtesting.plotting import plot_single_stock, plot_returns_bar_chart
from src.backtesting.reporting import generate_markdown_report


def _prompt(prompt: str) -> str:
    try:
        return input(prompt)
    except EOFError:
        return ""


def yes_no(question: str, default: bool = True) -> bool:
    suffix = "[Y/n] " if default else "[y/N] "
    while True:
        ans = _prompt(f"{question} {suffix}").strip().lower()
        if ans == "" and default is not None:
            return default
        if ans in {"y", "yes"}:
            return True
        if ans in {"n", "no"}:
            return False
        print("Please enter 'y' for yes or 'n' for no.")


def choose_mode() -> str:
    print("\nSelect backtest mode:")
    print("  1) Single stock")
    print("  2) Multiple stocks")
    print("  q) Quit")
    while True:
        choice = _prompt("> ").strip().lower()
        if choice in {"1", "2", "q"}:
            return choice
        print("Invalid selection. Enter 1, 2 or q.")


def choose_symbol(available: list[str]) -> str | None:
    print("\nAvailable symbols:")
    for i, s in enumerate(available, 1):
        print(f"  {i:>2}) {s}")
    print("Enter index or symbol (blank to cancel):")
    while True:
        val = _prompt("> ").strip()
        if val == "":
            return None
        if val.isdigit():
            idx = int(val)
            if 1 <= idx <= len(available):
                return available[idx - 1]
        else:
            up = val.upper()
            if up in available:
                return up
        print("Invalid input. Try again.")


def choose_symbols_multi(available: list[str]) -> list[str] | None:
    print("\nAvailable symbols:")
    for i, s in enumerate(available, 1):
        print(f"  {i:>2}) {s}")
    if yes_no("Run for ALL symbols in the list?", default=True):
        return available
    print("Enter comma-separated indices (e.g. 1,3,5), or blank to cancel:")
    while True:
        val = _prompt("> ").strip()
        if val == "":
            return None
        try:
            idxs = [int(x) for x in val.split(",") if x.strip()]
            picked = []
            for i in idxs:
                if 1 <= i <= len(available):
                    picked.append(available[i - 1])
            if picked:
                # Ukloni duplikate uz očuvanje redoslijeda
                seen = set()
                uniq = []
                for s in picked:
                    if s not in seen:
                        seen.add(s)
                        uniq.append(s)
                return uniq
        except ValueError:
            pass
        print("Invalid input. Try again.")


def pick_paths() -> tuple[Path, Path]:
    # Determine data dir: prefer ./output/csv, fallback to ./data, then ./tests/data
    preferred = Path("output/csv")
    if preferred.exists():
        data_dir = preferred
    else:
        alt1 = Path("data")
        alt2 = Path("tests/data")
        if alt1.exists():
            print("'output/csv' not found. Using 'data/'.")
            data_dir = alt1
        elif alt2.exists():
            print("'output/csv' and 'data/' not found. Using 'tests/data/'.")
            data_dir = alt2
        else:
            print("No data directory found. Expected one of: output/csv, data, tests/data.")
            raise SystemExit(1)

    # Output directory (default: output/backtests)
    default_output = Path("output/backtests")
    use_default = yes_no(f"Use the default output directory '{default_output}'?", default=True)
    if use_default:
        output_dir = default_output
    else:
        # allow user to enter custom path
        while True:
            entered = _prompt("Enter output directory path: ").strip()
            if entered:
                output_dir = Path(entered)
                break
            print("Path cannot be empty.")

    output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
    return data_dir, output_dir


def run_single_interactive(data_dir: Path, output_dir: Path) -> int:
    available = list_available_stocks(str(data_dir))
    if not available:
        print(f"No CSV files available in '{data_dir}'.")
        return 1

    symbol = choose_symbol(available)
    if not symbol:
        print("Cancelled.")
        return 0

    printlog = yes_no("Enable detailed strategy logs?", default=False)

    ohlc_data, signals_df = load_stock_data(symbol, str(data_dir))
    if ohlc_data is None or signals_df is None:
        return 1

    print(f"\nPRIMOAGENT SINGLE STOCK BACKTEST - {symbol}")
    print("=" * 60)

    primo_results, primo_cerebro = run_backtest(
        ohlc_data, PrimoAgentStrategy, "PrimoAgent", signals_df=signals_df, printlog=printlog
    )
    buyhold_results, buyhold_cerebro = run_backtest(
        ohlc_data, BuyAndHoldStrategy, "Buy & Hold"
    )

    print("\nPerformance comparison")
    print("-" * 65)
    metrics = [
        "Cumulative Return [%]",
        "Annual Volatility [%]",
        "Max Drawdown [%]",
        "Sharpe Ratio",
        "Total Trades",
    ]
    print(f"{'Metric':<22} {'PrimoAgent':>12} {'Buy & Hold':>12} {'Difference':>12}")
    for m in metrics:
        pv, bv = primo_results[m], buyhold_results[m]
        diff = pv - bv
        if "[%]" in m or "Ratio" in m:
            print(f"{m:<22} {pv:>12.2f} {bv:>12.2f} {diff:>+12.2f}")
        else:
            print(f"{m:<22} {pv:>12.0f} {bv:>12.0f} {diff:>+12.0f}")

    rel = primo_results["Cumulative Return [%]"] - buyhold_results["Cumulative Return [%]"]
    if rel > 0:
        print(f"\nPrimoAgent OUTPERFORMED Buy & Hold by {rel:+.2f}%!")
    else:
        print(f"\nPrimoAgent underperformed Buy & Hold by {abs(rel):.2f}%")

    chart_path = plot_single_stock(symbol, primo_cerebro, buyhold_cerebro, str(output_dir))
    print(f"Chart saved: {chart_path}")
    return 0


def run_multi_interactive(data_dir: Path, output_dir: Path) -> int:
    available = list_available_stocks(str(data_dir))
    if not available:
        print(f"No CSV files available in '{data_dir}'.")
        return 1

    symbols = choose_symbols_multi(available)
    if not symbols:
        print("Cancelled.")
        return 0

    printlog = yes_no("Enable detailed strategy logs?", default=False)

    print("\nPRIMOAGENT MULTI-STOCK BACKTEST")
    print("=" * 50)
    print(f"Selected: {', '.join(symbols)}")

    all_results = {}
    for symbol in symbols:
        print(f"\n{'=' * 60}\nProcessing {symbol}\n{'=' * 60}")
        ohlc_data, signals_df = load_stock_data(symbol, str(data_dir))
        if ohlc_data is None or signals_df is None:
            print(f"Skipping {symbol} (no data)")
            continue
        try:
            primo_results, primo_cerebro = run_backtest(
                ohlc_data, PrimoAgentStrategy, f"{symbol} PrimoAgent", signals_df=signals_df, printlog=printlog
            )
            buyhold_results, buyhold_cerebro = run_backtest(
                ohlc_data, BuyAndHoldStrategy, f"{symbol} Buy & Hold"
            )
            all_results[symbol] = {"primo": primo_results, "buyhold": buyhold_results}

            # individual chart
            _ = plot_single_stock(symbol, primo_cerebro, buyhold_cerebro, str(output_dir), f"backtest_results_{symbol}.png")

            # quick comparison
            primo_return = primo_results["Cumulative Return [%]"]
            buyhold_return = buyhold_results["Cumulative Return [%]"]
            rel = primo_return - buyhold_return
            if rel > 0:
                print(f"{symbol}: PrimoAgent +{rel:.2f}% ( {primo_return:.2f}% vs {buyhold_return:.2f}% )")
            else:
                print(f"{symbol}: PrimoAgent -{abs(rel):.2f}% ( {primo_return:.2f}% vs {buyhold_return:.2f}% )")
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"Error for {symbol}: {e}")

    if not all_results:
        print("No successful backtests.")
        return 1

    # aggregate chart and report
    bar_chart_path = output_dir / "returns_comparison.png"
    plot_returns_bar_chart(all_results, bar_chart_path)
    print(f"Returns comparison chart saved: {bar_chart_path}")

    report_path = output_dir / "backtest_analysis_report.md"
    generate_markdown_report(all_results, report_path)
    print(f"Report saved: {report_path}")

    total = len(all_results)
    wins = sum(1 for r in all_results.values() if r["primo"]["Cumulative Return [%]"] > r["buyhold"]["Cumulative Return [%]"])
    avg_primo = sum(r["primo"]["Cumulative Return [%]"] for r in all_results.values()) / total
    avg_bh = sum(r["buyhold"]["Cumulative Return [%]"] for r in all_results.values()) / total
    print("\nCOMPLETE")
    print("=" * 50)
    print(f"Stocks: {total}")
    print(f"PrimoAgent wins: {wins}/{total} ({wins/total*100:.1f}%)")
    print(f"Avg PrimoAgent return: {avg_primo:.2f}% | Buy & Hold: {avg_bh:.2f}%")
    print(f"Relative: {avg_primo - avg_bh:+.2f}%")
    print(f"Outputs: {output_dir.resolve()}")
    return 0


def main() -> int:
    print("PrimoAgent Backtest (interactive mode)")
    data_dir, output_dir = pick_paths()

    mode = choose_mode()
    if mode == "q":
        print("Goodbye.")
        return 0
    if mode == "1":
        return run_single_interactive(data_dir, output_dir)
    if mode == "2":
        return run_multi_interactive(data_dir, output_dir)
    return 0


if __name__ == "__main__":
    raise SystemExit(main())