diff --git a/results/aggregates/live_metadata.json b/results/aggregates/live_metadata.json index e3b2df0499c5b1d7a023cb1ca35b16cb44ea2ea4..2fd05114f14ec7ffe1e1085c77fb3d850d4bf026 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/live_metadata.json +++ b/results/aggregates/live_metadata.json @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ { - "generated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:17.911374+00:00", + "generated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:37.546765+00:00", "scope": "All deduplicated future releases saved up to generation time", "release_deduplication": "One row per model and content fingerprint of the target window plus recent context", "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets", @@ -12,6 +12,6 @@ "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets", "num_models": 10, "num_datasets": 10, - "num_model_releases": 5283, - "num_unique_releases": 675 + "num_model_releases": 5313, + "num_unique_releases": 678 } diff --git a/results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv b/results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv index be00c77b00948b6bde67e8019e8859efbefabe2b..7b851eb35ba1110170b1b1684a524f5f349d10ad 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv +++ b/results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ Rank,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,AverageRank,WinRate,Elo,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release -1,TiRex,2.2772461417525256,0.8517457505980957,0.21315775282535793,0.5023095220875223,40.318420462130454,3.464403331600168,0.6865206768645473,1196.3060287411913,5.9404351937078905,0.2168994581851254,0.1,10,642,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-06-22T09:07:13.339003+00:00 -2,Chronos-2,2.280286796461574,0.8538764469320437,0.1936177604033868,0.516848050165465,39.56998579310276,3.548146741558194,0.6781554575633869,1173.3326511942723,5.941666590644446,0.14061966723676328,0.1,10,651,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-06-22T09:05:43.269479+00:00 -3,Toto-2.0-1B,2.250603045795683,0.8470480261481654,0.181286238827191,0.49459924992096455,38.97639784459872,3.577477995932368,0.6829239658761832,1121.2215773939881,5.951979528143786,0.06147062335302718,0.1,10,648,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:16.543073+00:00,2026-06-22T09:06:55.668558+00:00 -4,Moirai-1.1-Large,2.696877022512567,0.983173815085606,0.326595527169275,0.5351671176951749,26.112617058314605,4.472138425384545,0.5576402549095236,1098.3130885387359,9.666367098771428,0.11568776867498846,0.2,10,627,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:48.486125+00:00,2026-06-22T09:07:44.438710+00:00 -5,TimesFM-2.5,2.1524373386345195,0.8194624041218963,0.1656353104463692,0.6137816150528976,41.72121386174157,4.368037143881881,0.5583728571119272,1043.8352186646553,5.777901882630124,0.052108761432026626,0.1,10,660,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-06-22T09:06:12.307034+00:00 -6,Timer-S1,2.119539111460676,0.8620384537060707,0.20094359465087117,0.5174746544196409,37.159790092015676,4.169325628508335,0.6049872438382248,1033.19707760933,5.720877693245517,0.12626399524291504,0.1,10,607,1.0,2026-06-16T12:08:03.698792+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:11.490552+00:00 -7,ETS,5.381218179527432,1.5638851228813073,0.5057674467167816,1.1480148155067984,-2.141007572132999,6.720059755831381,0.33243428835577055,874.6746394480092,11.363788111652594,0.00029193541321615444,0.4,10,362,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:15.036727+00:00 -8,ARIMA,2.842522466885847,1.212125162858278,0.3912432234338514,0.8549713182575077,-0.11842688277998406,6.683990050754005,0.3290568923506369,865.3491582493906,6.459565387226061,-0.03621428753375934,0.4,10,362,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:14.959612+00:00 -9,Moving-Average,2.7671530161681543,1.1503543215553012,0.3985358884686464,0.8039307658105208,7.0080036342738286,6.480010289126044,0.3481998880479351,848.459714135141,6.279949122090824,-0.02034871623552699,0.3,10,362,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:15.071235+00:00 -10,Seasonal-Naive,3.040508812442946,1.2440588524216694,0.40386765759613075,0.9424839945185022,-7.462497052979708e-16,7.598664453104692,0.22170847508186406,745.3108460252855,6.263394236149717,0.009533526112557889,0.2,10,362,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:15.110484+00:00 +1,TiRex,2.275896086987076,0.8518783632525551,0.21275456235752963,0.5026907999176639,40.29817478623068,3.4701780867504555,0.6855512893959254,1195.1446305907573,5.937774508885349,0.2175198915609465,0.1,10,645,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:29.895611+00:00 +2,Chronos-2,2.278818196704473,0.8538605396266759,0.19330915994787679,0.5171629298958924,39.562108683847484,3.5499222195357754,0.6780343456859831,1173.2235924889121,5.938972016966084,0.14088022212044474,0.1,10,654,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-06-22T09:12:56.966386+00:00 +3,Toto-2.0-1B,2.2495770663713053,0.8472329481172579,0.1810657278493091,0.49452752175901776,38.954968829773534,3.5802295802724506,0.6825931613093674,1120.7158572083376,5.949449053368804,0.062210018326684845,0.1,10,651,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:16.543073+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:12.743729+00:00 +4,Moirai-1.1-Large,2.7020738631990247,0.9853497378767893,0.3254243213155568,0.5363353212664353,25.99829096907058,4.482377999655112,0.5564494575996142,1096.2193860408102,9.66052061435114,0.11697224377177044,0.2,10,630,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:48.486125+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:04.242335+00:00 +5,TimesFM-2.5,2.151015777577118,0.819486731861832,0.16549857495532191,0.6139886481985618,41.71566659905138,4.3707355720587895,0.5580317665695419,1043.8013653291773,5.775488116467993,0.05316910230072096,0.1,10,663,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-06-22T09:13:33.860371+00:00 +6,Timer-S1,2.11928537471591,0.8626442809329072,0.20061343625173705,0.5182973689223221,37.08669094872725,4.1773861315989596,0.6038373423219372,1031.19610161487,5.71775545200371,0.12773336313407452,0.1,10,610,1.0,2026-06-16T12:08:03.698792+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:31.997755+00:00 +7,ETS,5.37539002633907,1.561293890770213,0.5033125614869121,1.146298878008417,-1.8471648007327346,6.702582615235917,0.33457236683909847,877.7163725899613,11.361783556666808,-0.004887458989102011,0.4,10,365,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.516479+00:00 +8,ARIMA,2.837742171406173,1.2101476973947367,0.3882205654695026,0.8526162230323685,0.017849475344583254,6.666210062212421,0.3317823357223561,869.054859697881,6.458095261787024,-0.04007320757286392,0.4,10,365,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.407931+00:00 +9,Moving-Average,2.769045626458017,1.1514974826664104,0.39703305396468624,0.8056263063043447,6.954144039624248,6.4850154169729635,0.34782684408478487,847.7053848952737,6.277036918058971,-0.019630693412113202,0.3,10,365,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.581671+00:00 +10,Seasonal-Naive,3.041070988906644,1.2445723074686872,0.4024209852655737,0.9432293060197571,-7.897322069851981e-16,7.597828095646491,0.22132109047139123,745.2224495440196,6.260698064325277,0.007739216712614691,0.2,10,365,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.608075+00:00 diff --git a/results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv b/results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv index 4e20c609e0ad3f448bcb3eadbcbd1486b549d028..acdfc422b41fcfb5d08e99ee89f53a6c8ef54242 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv +++ b/results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ Rank,model,AverageRank,WinRate,Elo,dataset_pair_matches,shared_releases,pairwise_matches -1,TiRex,3.464403331600168,0.6865206768645473,1196.3060287411913,90,642,4528 -2,Chronos-2,3.548146741558194,0.6781554575633869,1173.3326511942723,90,649,4520 -3,Toto-2.0-1B,3.577477995932368,0.6829239658761832,1121.2215773939881,90,648,4557 -4,Moirai-1.1-Large,4.472138425384545,0.5576402549095236,1098.3130885387359,90,627,4459 -5,TimesFM-2.5,4.368037143881881,0.5583728571119272,1043.8352186646553,90,656,4565 -6,Timer-S1,4.169325628508335,0.6049872438382248,1033.19707760933,90,607,4385 -7,ETS,6.720059755831381,0.33243428835577055,874.6746394480092,90,362,3169 -8,ARIMA,6.683990050754005,0.3290568923506369,865.3491582493906,90,362,3169 -9,Moving-Average,6.480010289126044,0.3481998880479351,848.459714135141,90,362,3169 -10,Seasonal-Naive,7.598664453104692,0.22170847508186406,745.3108460252855,90,362,3169 +1,TiRex,3.4701780867504555,0.6855512893959254,1195.1446305907573,90,645,4555 +2,Chronos-2,3.5499222195357754,0.6780343456859831,1173.2235924889121,90,652,4547 +3,Toto-2.0-1B,3.5802295802724506,0.6825931613093674,1120.7158572083376,90,651,4584 +4,Moirai-1.1-Large,4.482377999655112,0.5564494575996142,1096.2193860408102,90,630,4486 +5,TimesFM-2.5,4.3707355720587895,0.5580317665695419,1043.8013653291773,90,659,4592 +6,Timer-S1,4.1773861315989596,0.6038373423219372,1031.19610161487,90,610,4412 +7,ETS,6.702582615235917,0.33457236683909847,877.7163725899613,90,365,3196 +8,ARIMA,6.666210062212421,0.3317823357223561,869.054859697881,90,365,3196 +9,Moving-Average,6.4850154169729635,0.34782684408478487,847.7053848952737,90,365,3196 +10,Seasonal-Naive,7.597828095646491,0.22132109047139123,745.2224495440196,90,365,3196 diff --git a/results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv b/results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv index 90bb75ff3a894429aacc1239cefc772e4bbc3f77..c94c3f4e26ba55deb03773fbafbba5dec4bf61f5 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv +++ b/results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv @@ -73,6 +73,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:8d5d6a4f21e62b661d8b,2026-06-22T03:52:3 binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:8f74ae7d85b23113cfcd,2026-06-22T07:05:12.056264+00:00,2026-06-22T07:05:12.056264+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.46643355465541936,0.6829594092297282,0.007381940321891388,0.4230501193220511,-24.93178302158316,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:8ff66f39038f226237cc,2026-06-22T05:32:11.946971+00:00,2026-06-22T05:32:11.946971+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.5310149140244973,0.7287077013621424,0.014133618380947349,0.8990435253866421,-30.897014496341257,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:92a4806ac815f993dd1e,2026-06-18T01:24:55.380733+00:00,2026-06-18T01:24:55.380733+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.9884935715031338,0.9942301401099918,0.008400909487868681,0.40094650026371276,6.208416780198206,True +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:9563ed568fd3fd19df04,2026-06-22T09:15:34.329639+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.329639+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.4251101428740129,0.6520047107759367,0.008753925574270212,0.5246400028692486,-25.981313623946313,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:99ace3478d3d4b005d99,2026-06-22T07:57:14.703814+00:00,2026-06-22T07:57:14.703814+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.3728561787400225,0.6106195040612628,0.012296088168976399,0.7977924833057427,-15.056042306128058,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:9dc1fe8d9f166e443189,2026-06-20T22:18:24.072886+00:00,2026-06-20T22:18:24.072886+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.16376177208869958,0.40467489678592566,0.010889659947488672,0.4338276709410496,73.55487316728554,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:a192592375893991f98f,2026-06-22T06:09:59.943679+00:00,2026-06-22T06:09:59.943679+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.5311462894804875,0.7287978385536605,0.014136220510643298,0.8992430863556065,-30.91019618696623,True @@ -137,6 +138,7 @@ noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4ad003ae96af8a702517,202 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4c085357543eb8b68611,2026-06-20T04:09:57.576599+00:00,2026-06-20T04:09:57.576599+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,1.8393717728858734,1.356234409269236,0.46119608064858475,1.0003072351072795,-24.47305415735636,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4c33c3e2779c18d7000c,2026-06-18T03:03:07.581250+00:00,2026-06-18T03:03:07.581250+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,1.5040809633844938,1.2264097860766172,0.6072618183510896,0.9506321716581331,-54.11045155536015,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:530072faacc627e2f2b9,2026-06-17T12:32:01.720406+00:00,2026-06-17T12:32:01.720406+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,2.9217384604133985,1.7093093518767744,0.9382505925474812,1.252332876315674,-67.1783591699684,True +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:556ec678cd51e9c0c055,2026-06-22T09:15:34.370273+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.370273+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,0.03341138649151572,0.18278781822516432,0.08325694031635299,0.1388291184527518,98.51072080634266,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:55e9257e4ffa555eea69,2026-06-22T00:27:28.681943+00:00,2026-06-22T00:27:28.681943+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,1.7731753883614512,1.3316063188350569,0.36744683893419283,1.0072101923896974,13.008149012878253,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:57861bad08869e8da4ba,2026-06-19T14:34:31.738184+00:00,2026-06-19T14:34:31.738184+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,2.6350403433313048,1.6232807346023992,0.8746997678360074,1.174945284355283,-65.58872080340213,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:66d1fe7f9e43465238d0,2026-06-17T13:03:29.161126+00:00,2026-06-17T13:03:29.161126+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,2.967314611080933,1.7225895074221638,1.1746937100245982,1.2661079772273396,-61.53393780572929,True @@ -341,6 +343,7 @@ usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:73be58a569ae731975d3,2026-06-20T04 usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7b19a969ccaa9188694c,2026-06-22T05:43:44.106080+00:00,2026-06-22T05:43:44.106080+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,7.098025712320068,2.664212024655708,0.009819378750414122,1.0464383435643099,-12.404005338537457,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7e662239f40b0c0f2a2f,2026-06-22T02:50:44.958689+00:00,2026-06-22T02:50:44.958689+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,0.8660068792457121,0.9305949060927167,0.010224694996681187,0.5216672998984224,9.105951269072209,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7e807025ce94ae118642,2026-06-17T14:43:31.907462+00:00,2026-06-17T14:43:31.907462+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,1.858218835750209,1.3631650067949255,0.007447979236701453,0.5754707560369237,-7.954343028036267,True +usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:92a2298f9b8c284c0c19,2026-06-22T09:15:34.407931+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.407931+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,0.9020147440991872,0.9497445678176776,0.008328821278571735,0.2803450089464156,17.106217465169312,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:a5b75155a97d72d7c76d,2026-06-22T03:59:20.608886+00:00,2026-06-22T03:59:20.608886+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,0.6902853800043748,0.8308341471102249,0.010932149246638267,0.5688476445696898,-1.7116360281995837,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:a912ad9294a846fb40d8,2026-06-22T07:57:14.885568+00:00,2026-06-22T07:57:14.885568+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,3.5423357378782003,1.8821093852053872,0.011218152888442424,0.6747153312513149,7.670148517862866,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:aa716a8b76e6af28d141,2026-06-19T04:52:57.542806+00:00,2026-06-19T04:52:57.542806+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,0.14646808828573182,0.38271149484400363,0.009829726686069089,0.39517307280076636,-27.312750786247456,True @@ -507,6 +510,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:8ff66f39038f226237cc,2026-06-22T05:27:4 binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:90db76680f4c7b2d394b,2026-06-16T14:14:54.794998+00:00,2026-06-16T14:14:54.794998+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.308177128135186,0.555137035456279,0.006366109594568105,0.3497645507167184,82.78978570639316,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:92a4806ac815f993dd1e,2026-06-18T01:06:46.726872+00:00,2026-06-18T01:06:46.726872+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.6989192841142611,0.8360139257896732,0.010928102254771898,0.3631010678913708,23.122905456319366,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:94312c012fb494290c10,2026-06-16T12:34:58.626595+00:00,2026-06-16T12:34:58.626595+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.2654053036385137,0.515175022335627,0.005303638810094773,0.343399899763928,88.34584566492146,True +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:9563ed568fd3fd19df04,2026-06-22T09:12:40.797324+00:00,2026-06-22T09:12:40.797324+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.12084413944829628,0.34762643663607673,0.0031810897408339057,0.27162875760546384,34.78672544607818,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:968c596974b25d67f719,2026-06-16T12:58:42.197232+00:00,2026-06-16T12:58:42.197232+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.2715710605297483,0.5211248032187187,0.005466935930646159,0.34771708481854596,88.09312283192438,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:99528930601692af7f63,2026-06-17T04:27:01.218606+00:00,2026-06-17T04:27:01.218606+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.07462372014820873,0.2731734250402274,0.004775799759540351,0.19953460705548642,56.29241619995047,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:99ace3478d3d4b005d99,2026-06-22T07:51:40.154352+00:00,2026-06-22T07:51:40.154352+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.11299105496155017,0.3361414210738542,0.003074520636066488,0.25022565169385474,41.796873554513525,True @@ -635,6 +639,7 @@ noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4ad003ae96af8a702517,202 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4c085357543eb8b68611,2026-06-20T04:06:24.790037+00:00,2026-06-20T04:06:24.790037+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,0.11165854699634406,0.33415347820476754,0.10859629569827148,0.14742152011394666,81.8107254943315,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4c33c3e2779c18d7000c,2026-06-18T03:00:52.638649+00:00,2026-06-18T03:00:52.638649+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,0.20221743647155774,0.4496859309246374,0.20672854270237603,0.16602928523035662,37.787711067248075,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:530072faacc627e2f2b9,2026-06-17T12:30:11.128726+00:00,2026-06-17T12:30:11.128726+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,0.011410411631389176,0.10681952832412796,0.05927643877767883,0.0614253058422583,96.09918342397386,True +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:556ec678cd51e9c0c055,2026-06-22T09:12:47.879913+00:00,2026-06-22T09:12:47.879913+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,0.189851073676405,0.4357190306566894,0.22389178192036774,0.18641152475210307,91.82268584454656,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:55e9257e4ffa555eea69,2026-06-22T00:24:23.678410+00:00,2026-06-22T00:24:23.678410+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,0.0660188036084646,0.2569412454404014,0.0781527259368784,0.129718065479699,94.42759504759076,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:57861bad08869e8da4ba,2026-06-19T14:30:28.641922+00:00,2026-06-19T14:30:28.641922+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,0.13357350114012526,0.3654770870247891,0.1967132051755349,0.15142425366619333,60.78091402706792,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:66a02e0489ba2d11e101,2026-06-16T12:52:50.991904+00:00,2026-06-16T12:52:50.991904+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24,Chronos-2,0.08078850841821944,0.2842331937304639,2.308239334443233,0.19693194012201917,98.20387794375384,True @@ -983,6 +988,7 @@ 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usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:a912ad9294a846fb40d8,2026-06-22T07:52:02.059252+00:00,2026-06-22T07:52:02.059252+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-2,2.897911062477075,1.7023251929279186,0.015387577382716141,1.5314981536453542,17.54172816193829,True @@ -1086,6 +1092,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:8d5d6a4f21e62b661d8b,2026-06-22T03:52:3 binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:8f74ae7d85b23113cfcd,2026-06-22T07:05:12.184646+00:00,2026-06-22T07:05:12.184646+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.08236123321860327,0.28698646870297434,0.0026977511120767667,0.13517007218931115,54.57546788097149,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:8ff66f39038f226237cc,2026-06-22T05:32:12.023576+00:00,2026-06-22T05:32:12.023576+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.07927031965833443,0.2815498528828144,0.002524755326780806,0.13275014826543108,55.91231927114782,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:92a4806ac815f993dd1e,2026-06-18T01:24:55.596431+00:00,2026-06-18T01:24:55.596431+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,1.52493404914945,1.234882200515276,0.01615466775972307,0.901376347386726,-15.337803445378743,True +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:9563ed568fd3fd19df04,2026-06-22T09:15:34.458413+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.458413+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.08858191618206092,0.29762714288529013,0.0024585701367137547,0.14263682750930448,47.63886423687591,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:99ace3478d3d4b005d99,2026-06-22T07:57:14.929831+00:00,2026-06-22T07:57:14.929831+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.08601800795948134,0.2932882676812718,0.002529605187118591,0.1373266456999535,52.38304469293369,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:9dc1fe8d9f166e443189,2026-06-20T22:18:24.422301+00:00,2026-06-20T22:18:24.422301+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.2283117051615205,0.4778197412848495,0.006883111818745745,0.2727691240368534,64.9574018926414,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:a192592375893991f98f,2026-06-22T06:10:00.195817+00:00,2026-06-22T06:10:00.195817+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.07941240687974518,0.28180207039648447,0.00252739701301171,0.13281666858841917,55.849222065350254,True @@ -1150,6 +1157,7 @@ noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4ad003ae96af8a702517,202 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4c085357543eb8b68611,2026-06-20T04:09:57.718578+00:00,2026-06-20T04:09:57.718578+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,3.4240105048206755,1.850408199511847,0.6408973246361458,1.3731204522637173,-50.834394633502214,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4c33c3e2779c18d7000c,2026-06-18T03:03:07.709677+00:00,2026-06-18T03:03:07.709677+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,2.1621093452321616,1.470411284380041,0.7325497197885055,1.1230358960996962,-65.6801270889089,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:530072faacc627e2f2b9,2026-06-17T12:32:01.813140+00:00,2026-06-17T12:32:01.813140+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,3.9906806297418087,1.997668798810706,1.1039175837251725,1.4551535456837819,-74.86507097647464,True +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:556ec678cd51e9c0c055,2026-06-22T09:15:34.486542+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.486542+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,1.0997805905189113,1.0487042435877292,0.4705556160460496,0.7239404994821231,60.391744164525576,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:55e9257e4ffa555eea69,2026-06-22T00:27:28.855055+00:00,2026-06-22T00:27:28.855055+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,1.2917098476760107,1.136534138368052,0.3160907550726471,0.8429891380178085,28.14216340421504,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:57861bad08869e8da4ba,2026-06-19T14:34:31.901923+00:00,2026-06-19T14:34:31.901923+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,3.672333793134464,1.9163334243117673,1.044946522508511,1.391004217113533,-74.04730365490019,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:66d1fe7f9e43465238d0,2026-06-17T13:03:29.312563+00:00,2026-06-17T13:03:29.312563+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,3.888780496794364,1.9719991117630769,1.3525847806017244,1.4387081286652172,-69.24714349375687,True @@ -1354,6 +1362,7 @@ 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usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:aa716a8b76e6af28d141,2026-06-19T04:52:57.615144+00:00,2026-06-19T04:52:57.615144+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ETS,0.1279411744696333,0.35768865577431064,0.004096435068827991,0.2914153121770781,-20.94746710091022,True @@ -1518,6 +1527,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:8ff66f39038f226237cc,2026-06-22T05:31:3 binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:90db76680f4c7b2d394b,2026-06-16T14:17:41.743441+00:00,2026-06-16T14:17:41.743441+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.8270494231030998,0.9094225767502695,0.008620175904766271,0.41052242175312575,59.65809838399978,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:92a4806ac815f993dd1e,2026-06-18T01:19:10.596605+00:00,2026-06-18T01:19:10.596605+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,1.258706057230816,1.1219207000634297,0.014332196555005445,0.5511940055457373,-5.859737153222071,True 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noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4c33c3e2779c18d7000c,2026-06-18T03:03:07.736721+00:00,2026-06-18T03:03:07.736721+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,0.3046452490502733,0.551946780994575,0.23441644854916352,0.4491034777746277,19.03290734003885,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:530072faacc627e2f2b9,2026-06-17T12:32:01.880799+00:00,2026-06-17T12:32:01.880799+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,0.5290523287056806,0.727359834405008,0.399910558389244,0.6178570757725471,4.0414750575065055,True +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:556ec678cd51e9c0c055,2026-06-22T09:15:34.563749+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.563749+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,4.3918309095886565,2.0956695611638434,1.131005392242083,1.9303503646250926,0.6972956734929054,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:55e9257e4ffa555eea69,2026-06-22T00:27:28.929506+00:00,2026-06-22T00:27:28.929506+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,2.3080100774369807,1.5192136378524848,0.4515845573592255,1.1539933501988713,-0.09841432426247028,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:57861bad08869e8da4ba,2026-06-19T14:34:31.958578+00:00,2026-06-19T14:34:31.958578+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,0.5112806254914734,0.7150388978870124,0.39328329035363413,0.6005252469435624,3.429276202523929,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:66d1fe7f9e43465238d0,2026-06-17T13:03:29.356642+00:00,2026-06-17T13:03:29.356642+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,0.6740142814970688,0.8209837279124774,0.5748840079466693,0.6604243033216282,2.3606833746587257,True @@ -2343,6 +2357,7 @@ 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noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:66a02e0489ba2d11e101,2026-06-16T12:53:10.321350+00:00,2026-06-16T12:53:10.321350+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.42178089061988694,0.6494466033631148,5.1130546829006756,0.5324663831860182,90.96526560790939,True @@ -4604,6 +4630,7 @@ usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7bc042fd89f90fe2a0be,2026-06-17T22 usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7e662239f40b0c0f2a2f,2026-06-22T02:48:24.542742+00:00,2026-06-22T02:48:24.542742+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.00016619230310660016,0.012891559374513238,0.0002628411187065972,0.24532899938098765,99.96803040444242,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7e807025ce94ae118642,2026-06-17T14:40:40.084258+00:00,2026-06-17T14:40:40.084258+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,1.5172511177991164,1.2317674771640614,0.010293107889250306,1.059939695668348,2.164388362756337,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7fd722683416e4ab6d89,2026-06-16T22:26:21.853610+00:00,2026-06-16T22:26:21.853610+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,12.568604744386134,3.5452228060287174,0.018718288339161285,3.3707263184352834,-6.830338620330694,True +usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:92a2298f9b8c284c0c19,2026-06-22T09:13:33.860371+00:00,2026-06-22T09:13:33.860371+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.6196801703255346,0.7871976691565686,0.01155054307433448,0.7311299567334905,34.563177735204995,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:9cf60a3ba4c0b587aa2d,2026-06-17T11:57:26.860782+00:00,2026-06-17T11:57:26.860782+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.025299327212488475,0.159057622302386,0.0021941067879660083,0.23557632371375295,81.6487246341539,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:a5b75155a97d72d7c76d,2026-06-22T03:57:31.643213+00:00,2026-06-22T03:57:31.643213+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,8.773511258176665e-05,0.00936670233229212,5.902184380425347e-05,0.11393297840364353,99.97369815740541,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:a912ad9294a846fb40d8,2026-06-22T07:54:15.282188+00:00,2026-06-22T07:54:15.282188+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,2.8474792972320198,1.6874475687356985,0.014756273710172635,1.6237698387483974,18.391187759820152,True @@ -4781,6 +4808,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:8ff66f39038f226237cc,2026-06-22T05:29:5 binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:90db76680f4c7b2d394b,2026-06-16T14:16:24.859894+00:00,2026-06-16T14:16:24.859894+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.22062829912336054,0.46971086758064323,0.005172697798222388,0.3496375546187674,87.37022139930278,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:92a4806ac815f993dd1e,2026-06-18T01:12:05.113811+00:00,2026-06-18T01:12:05.113811+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7181355681112898,0.847428798254632,0.011075570644802699,0.3762716617230856,21.835300940095294,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:94312c012fb494290c10,2026-06-16T12:35:49.984225+00:00,2026-06-16T12:35:49.984225+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.21831953054350547,0.4672467555195065,0.004471478159496428,0.3359503945841351,90.31327874428789,True +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:9563ed568fd3fd19df04,2026-06-22T09:14:00.718661+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:00.718661+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.12482278447901363,0.35330268110929136,0.002950244450347183,0.22881361615194853,33.35511359027015,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:968c596974b25d67f719,2026-06-16T12:59:40.549057+00:00,2026-06-16T12:59:40.549057+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2204427670542951,0.46951333000703516,0.0045576628419427756,0.3382272945864986,90.22525370564951,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:99528930601692af7f63,2026-06-17T04:27:42.322551+00:00,2026-06-17T04:27:42.322551+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.06866327727967265,0.2620367861191872,0.003987254554610826,0.18672941102880733,59.069020838433964,True binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:99ace3478d3d4b005d99,2026-06-22T07:54:42.969622+00:00,2026-06-22T07:54:42.969622+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.14251681064897329,0.3775139873554002,0.0034942276513249344,0.24818934690002625,31.775913905290142,True @@ -4908,6 +4936,7 @@ noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4ad003ae96af8a702517,202 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4c085357543eb8b68611,2026-06-20T04:07:45.573299+00:00,2026-06-20T04:07:45.573299+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2988101046418863,0.5466352574083438,0.19595633756601233,0.22922780750115831,57.7621348405435,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:4c33c3e2779c18d7000c,2026-06-18T03:02:00.380615+00:00,2026-06-18T03:02:00.380615+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-2.0-1B,0.01887805984265922,0.13739745209667906,0.06867670529451099,0.12796582999664075,91.91083046849062,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:530072faacc627e2f2b9,2026-06-17T12:31:00.145788+00:00,2026-06-17T12:31:00.145788+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-2.0-1B,0.000759193186507951,0.027553460517836068,0.014446585095806019,0.01840853438035105,99.73564574077776,True +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:556ec678cd51e9c0c055,2026-06-22T09:14:07.285058+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:07.285058+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-2.0-1B,0.14599170066243206,0.3820886031569537,0.1995841686736322,0.1705665707729598,93.6518458180601,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:55e9257e4ffa555eea69,2026-06-22T00:25:50.354977+00:00,2026-06-22T00:25:50.354977+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-2.0-1B,0.011914509583060283,0.10915360545149337,0.05563040296920239,0.12661573912306387,98.97084042074151,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:57861bad08869e8da4ba,2026-06-19T14:31:50.405655+00:00,2026-06-19T14:31:50.405655+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-2.0-1B,0.07172686900204354,0.2678187241438573,0.1430842236292956,0.14015529463670798,76.83686465284764,True noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|window:66a02e0489ba2d11e101,2026-06-16T12:53:41.592217+00:00,2026-06-16T12:53:41.592217+00:00,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.002780845400717887,0.05273372166572247,0.16018969944703157,0.07104457582160363,99.93763434281122,True @@ -5252,6 +5281,7 @@ usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7bc042fd89f90fe2a0be,2026-06-17T22 usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7e662239f40b0c0f2a2f,2026-06-22T02:49:04.612206+00:00,2026-06-22T02:49:04.612206+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-2.0-1B,8.971275738528692e-07,0.0009471681866769329,7.078382703993055e-06,0.14912261142854244,99.99982739654179,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7e807025ce94ae118642,2026-06-17T14:41:19.529142+00:00,2026-06-17T14:41:19.529142+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-2.0-1B,1.7013587281187583,1.304361425418108,0.011196621008086624,0.46778566889938905,-3.5601164014092057,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:7fd722683416e4ab6d89,2026-06-16T22:29:20.002358+00:00,2026-06-16T22:29:20.002358+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-2.0-1B,12.612547892186464,3.551414914113312,0.018796341443593247,1.69357224638384,-7.004011864804818,True +usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:92a2298f9b8c284c0c19,2026-06-22T09:14:12.743729+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:12.743729+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7428409027522416,0.8618821861207259,0.013426850238059812,0.41168769974851305,26.347142492193473,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:9cf60a3ba4c0b587aa2d,2026-06-17T11:57:46.548264+00:00,2026-06-17T11:57:46.548264+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0001178359621423732,0.010855227410900852,0.0003333733095760233,0.04976244057198798,99.90593491181717,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:a5b75155a97d72d7c76d,2026-06-22T03:58:00.152207+00:00,2026-06-22T03:58:00.152207+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-2.0-1B,8.348156830169733e-07,0.000913682484792706,7.650587293836805e-06,0.1504270209897503,99.99974970054161,True usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short|window:a912ad9294a846fb40d8,2026-06-22T07:55:12.151396+00:00,2026-06-22T07:55:12.151396+00:00,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-2.0-1B,2.9281286278902936,1.7111775559217381,0.015409393639907109,1.474522193799516,17.038566382264573,True diff --git a/results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv b/results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv index 8e722ba207c4ee05bde05e9ef2d8986a156905d4..4139cd8ed360a0c45828490b22d158742d9549d5 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv +++ b/results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv @@ -1,101 +1,101 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stability,Improvement,Improvement_pvalue,n_releases,MAPE_coverage,first_release,last_release -ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.6060819866423923,0.7463333622531811,0.009517729405475196,0.5106050446716586,0.5308918619792988,0.3888781692616368,-0.2416052416052416,0.00017068127022444495,111,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:14.915893+00:00 +ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.604466166608746,0.7454911421507059,0.009510909728410868,0.5107303567984227,0.29417574156924886,0.3874999999816016,-0.23970398970398968,0.0001792663586338059,112,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.329639+00:00 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.6722840427898185,1.1136149807343625,0.1122826628431276,0.8751386039730832,-54.27242992293919,1.7954987859166085,0.4666666666666666,0.2722222222222222,6,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:29.867986+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:45.438713+00:00 -ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,2.0135134635492373,1.3244669239173998,2.0959177940505755,1.0343408832182222,-0.38834494820722365,1.2787839378046402,0.04386317907444668,0.5884830054663914,71,0.9295774647887324,2026-06-17T12:10:12.335728+00:00,2026-06-22T09:00:48.765955+00:00 +ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.986012045812325,1.3086102696716742,2.0658780798157363,1.0219032198187017,0.9852531872726347,1.2910119068208916,0.014866979655712048,0.8534428623693923,72,0.9305555555555556,2026-06-17T12:10:12.335728+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.370273+00:00 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,36;72,5.873196574490357,2.1736233480914118,0.1271166197373372,1.5480661484330134,14.626498032393629,5.379135649270143,0.374455732946299,7.555381730625809e-05,53,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.398268+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:14.959612+00:00 ARIMA,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,11.603441946197801,1.4628303294876153,0.04131478236371122,1.2252719863710946,25.91196113851635,50.21612223722089,0.09090909090909091,0.5770090763883768,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.433031+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.267180+00:00 ARIMA,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.2626751022802716,0.9697971576538799,0.48689855820195865,0.7159553574305773,5.098416175352373,1.6226608021014008,-0.5324675324675324,0.00033098553301186956,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.456148+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.301904+00:00 ARIMA,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.9005610764184702,1.3194243231586797,0.1561671170088032,1.0334864042780552,-68.40086778960607,1.3942141582397196,-0.316017316017316,0.041288634586930426,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:39:00.859383+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.339693+00:00 ARIMA,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.1032865050079756,1.0248333666484024,0.6810283685247857,0.5171150238252843,13.855460440489697,0.4904479062010192,-0.5238095238095238,0.0004255921399794888,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.513260+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.387423+00:00 -ARIMA,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.4625862548847584,1.0420179764341038,0.01373019322608942,0.6175030383054915,10.329770479893542,1.654153668305199,0.2758620689655172,0.036490702034769895,29,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.165483+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:45.605148+00:00 +ARIMA,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.4439005378585728,1.0389421961468894,0.013550147494505498,0.6062644373268555,10.555652046069403,1.6286026141786052,0.26436781609195403,0.04121914632952683,30,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.165483+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.407931+00:00 ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,0.9275977165973884,0.9443098602037467,0.18845840897665014,0.47223069206859825,51.52437570432775,0.37575855793936136,0.0,1.0,4,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.582752+00:00,2026-06-20T17:12:56.741396+00:00 -Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.35000251750695943,0.5429729406985978,0.0077528083236163454,0.3005940688040586,32.771281307788755,0.44779288668056416,0.03905604719764012,0.38215059544360896,226,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-06-22T09:05:37.744315+00:00 +Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.3489930092335732,0.5421123834119788,0.007732668594176775,0.30046646831419693,32.78015991632748,0.4470599028942834,0.032396397801255306,0.4675034323543431,227,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-06-22T09:12:40.797324+00:00 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.38439341544285544,0.5096604914177981,0.058325125078410194,0.28505879583543775,17.06313580145981,0.5327950855857294,0.04761904761904762,1.0,7,1.0,2026-06-17T05:11:12.972050+00:00,2026-06-22T08:41:56.270195+00:00 -Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.23623880123115257,0.3614658270526618,0.6050487178550655,0.1933754853157481,76.22489173657624,0.3783006159323588,0.3396825396825397,1.6910237646503257e-08,126,0.9523809523809523,2026-06-16T12:06:44.487655+00:00,2026-06-22T08:58:13.683072+00:00 +Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.23587354353387105,0.36205049794718164,0.601898660533291,0.19332065098060133,76.34770901301695,0.376818915497265,0.34008248968878885,1.423116689007871e-08,127,0.952755905511811,2026-06-16T12:06:44.487655+00:00,2026-06-22T09:12:47.879913+00:00 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,24;36;72,4.664436818304224,1.8429394270810004,0.11283339661504982,1.0843433221682492,21.330082477862476,5.493499917746911,0.4422880490296221,8.360126917983939e-10,89,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:47.974062+00:00,2026-06-22T09:05:43.269479+00:00 Chronos-2,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,11.560886685688041,1.5385015160624471,0.041591834184863896,1.1345372820780362,44.656603048477585,44.229485363232726,0.0030030030030030034,0.9791315050883376,37,1.0,2026-06-16T13:12:22.165146+00:00,2026-06-22T08:33:00.563133+00:00 Chronos-2,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,3.1307495703958033,1.2968811439464019,0.35748699823514174,0.7651314868060455,25.769173989650145,5.2652018143191075,-0.240398293029872,0.03361566923176865,38,1.0,2026-06-16T13:12:26.984109+00:00,2026-06-22T08:33:05.212784+00:00 Chronos-2,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.14812055186450881,0.36909298131279794,0.04127526809256948,0.18292635316305378,22.922319267404724,0.08777297115340098,0.12280701754385966,0.2709770075414829,39,1.0,2026-06-16T13:12:32.541423+00:00,2026-06-22T08:33:09.557107+00:00 Chronos-2,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,0.8210011315816704,0.8787745345817032,0.6294046635947881,0.47627231798586284,26.922563651777022,0.4166926751563849,-0.12091038406827881,0.28524458155149335,38,1.0,2026-06-16T13:12:36.348072+00:00,2026-06-22T08:33:24.218278+00:00 -Chronos-2,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.3614340616408203,0.8443899861179206,0.009193852281126508,0.536528845528809,37.73694741000194,2.474636611034648,0.10638297872340427,0.29160732184235016,47,1.0,2026-06-16T12:40:50.960167+00:00,2026-06-22T08:42:29.928158+00:00 +Chronos-2,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.3481228300404766,0.8445067994563403,0.009278044777240342,0.5398600776580912,37.52648043246978,2.449905558472399,0.11524822695035462,0.247908142173201,48,1.0,2026-06-16T12:40:50.960167+00:00,2026-06-22T09:12:56.966386+00:00 Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,0.14560441095970342,0.3540856210491078,0.07326493977323648,0.2097125439693489,90.30285924002887,0.09048796560262945,0.6666666666666669,0.3333333333333333,4,1.0,2026-06-17T09:43:59.015450+00:00,2026-06-21T17:41:22.192896+00:00 -ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.6197660788327847,0.6422009159928952,0.00826196938559361,0.4337544265052734,30.82252843961268,0.7396563023283208,-0.2632268632268632,4.2169677233268504e-05,111,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:15.014045+00:00 +ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.6150233630948316,0.6391243644472916,0.008210153320871466,0.4311551622285235,30.972674294945385,0.7380257104600294,-0.2606177606177606,4.6320613981455206e-05,112,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.458413+00:00 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,4.193642063640152,1.70700061723835,0.18382238509451362,1.3185644060092472,-65.46663134536205,4.668455202355313,0.4666666666666666,0.2722222222222222,6,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.268230+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:45.656371+00:00 -ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,2.6436181790249202,1.4872077297565442,2.099121871192942,1.127266314692104,-8.046708101789722,1.973076438409866,0.006841046277665997,0.9327529502598634,71,0.9295774647887324,2026-06-17T12:10:12.697348+00:00,2026-06-22T09:00:48.835874+00:00 +ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,2.6221759902956703,1.4811174035597554,2.0748149121608987,1.1216645672586318,-7.096174042535343,1.9675625711521372,-0.00782472613458529,0.9225477612539458,72,0.9305555555555556,2026-06-17T12:10:12.697348+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.486542+00:00 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,36;72,6.756430117220774,2.2255992249481595,0.12035509641389162,1.5109879499229686,14.620225242312822,7.122405738101803,0.41944847605224966,9.264401943380004e-06,53,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.728630+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:15.036727+00:00 ETS,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,11.446292573871212,1.2770455043875908,0.036536714455273074,1.023194838652093,32.05873664256347,50.914553547753535,0.0303030303030303,0.8672669832921104,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.747284+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.468712+00:00 ETS,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,12.164687222431683,2.353467766261404,1.2469283434354574,1.9074454776268401,-28.521370408559964,29.78936689025968,-0.33333333333333337,0.030888793762969845,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.763932+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.493800+00:00 ETS,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,12.676564654452308,3.0099427081825714,0.3575051389084524,2.464628650975449,-81.52671377283565,16.239477238444664,-0.33333333333333337,0.030888793762969845,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:39:01.037191+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.515403+00:00 ETS,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.1610640011711395,1.0282329364984346,0.7827089623343685,0.5504416299454165,15.733697774593985,0.6833010126705074,-0.40259740259740256,0.00832364836208073,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.797899+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.536027+00:00 -ETS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.1145870540224938,0.8918350349859889,0.012396961917836697,0.5937406209090599,23.592741447969875,1.389718214915521,0.07881773399014777,0.5641495892267511,29,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.324923+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:45.714764+00:00 +ETS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.0824904266060773,0.8750895916174367,0.01220688471590666,0.5847822576354649,25.430489247385434,1.3768171241836618,0.03908045977011494,0.7772097145495372,30,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.324923+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.516479+00:00 ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,1.0355298506068462,1.016318790561134,0.21003702402948732,0.5501238398295335,45.32341836016455,0.11787053128673673,0.3333333333333334,0.75,4,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.836543+00:00,2026-06-20T17:12:56.912547+00:00 -Moirai-1.1-Large,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.5843915714207671,0.7088818133447513,0.009710715048915136,0.35616473259720555,10.500451381069885,0.5272113774226046,-0.0051771228241816476,0.9086031690602263,222,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:48.486125+00:00,2026-06-22T09:07:38.755702+00:00 +Moirai-1.1-Large,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.5823765044851253,0.707350803069552,0.00967926893117388,0.3555952995341974,10.587073385599535,0.5268826164476813,-0.012644931927443136,0.7786820709130101,223,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:48.486125+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:54.814529+00:00 Moirai-1.1-Large,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3235258835545044,0.47393691049756115,0.05442627592530945,0.2674452891067937,24.621656950720755,0.42714303657338565,-0.04761904761904762,1.0,7,1.0,2026-06-17T05:16:48.534000+00:00,2026-06-22T08:45:37.830253+00:00 -Moirai-1.1-Large,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,1.565629590189842,0.997858458656341,1.8427463462429343,0.5158715044115268,27.16500166130739,2.279443775805695,0.37503278258589035,6.532504061871058e-10,124,0.9596774193548387,2026-06-16T12:07:52.741323+00:00,2026-06-22T09:00:19.484568+00:00 +Moirai-1.1-Large,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,1.5587513106599893,0.9965967558811638,1.8304751246470052,0.5143920435564271,27.52878767464734,2.271535964887337,0.36903225806451606,1.0388567414412227e-09,125,0.96,2026-06-16T12:07:52.741323+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:59.099729+00:00 Moirai-1.1-Large,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,24;36;72,8.629351925757856,1.9991725587842202,0.11451542054813141,1.03185712875787,20.992433583261274,40.75538770472048,0.4744720662924351,7.652562116031033e-11,87,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:56.991709+00:00,2026-06-22T09:07:44.438710+00:00 Moirai-1.1-Large,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,8.526680819400736,1.2985225777576186,0.0428259252032579,0.8500211116181168,25.324240784869453,40.79378231761284,0.03787878787878788,0.7702447556690514,33,1.0,2026-06-16T13:15:24.752398+00:00,2026-06-22T08:36:14.587712+00:00 Moirai-1.1-Large,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,2.85949250848259,1.3022351387482787,0.39652458032204246,0.7708422343384826,17.68504221738426,4.8693791383559715,-0.4084033613445378,0.0005586212128640889,35,1.0,2026-06-16T13:15:30.361270+00:00,2026-06-22T08:36:18.986185+00:00 Moirai-1.1-Large,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.1461224986526336,0.3644687027179351,0.04000174659003947,0.18883890718537297,26.636178567402773,0.10422026386800408,0.23492063492063495,0.04381123566827405,36,1.0,2026-06-16T13:15:35.504692+00:00,2026-06-22T08:36:24.140581+00:00 Moirai-1.1-Large,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.2291650064839987,1.070662263624402,0.6918291289108818,0.5046246947433685,7.15547743133448,0.8469490677466079,-0.2916666666666667,0.016908203982859246,33,1.0,2026-06-16T13:15:41.040444+00:00,2026-06-22T08:36:31.891858+00:00 -Moirai-1.1-Large,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,2.955238862052517,1.2576435791249598,0.012561389289968283,0.6805717595249352,10.848629503869422,5.947908814839515,0.12077294685990339,0.2366035303976659,46,1.0,2026-06-16T12:43:22.358427+00:00,2026-06-22T08:45:57.280951+00:00 +Moirai-1.1-Large,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,3.016100615382592,1.2821955200871693,0.013151998466456257,0.6943026891556477,9.25496059355957,5.897680542529921,0.14708603145235896,0.14481240328335773,47,1.0,2026-06-16T12:43:22.358427+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:04.242335+00:00 Moirai-1.1-Large,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,0.14917155913022517,0.3583561475999906,0.06081374361126981,0.18543381466807804,90.19705850192639,0.11224549076916283,0.6666666666666669,0.3333333333333333,4,1.0,2026-06-17T09:46:01.162798+00:00,2026-06-21T19:13:08.416535+00:00 -Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.5651491783057001,0.6559190481712271,0.008879823148852975,0.45246680059298217,22.967527233011932,0.6258104730255473,-0.5911547911547911,3.676340231949411e-20,111,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:15.056209+00:00 +Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.560913439073976,0.652752283504001,0.008826563684354883,0.4497517156360592,23.17942790636314,0.6245958034313865,-0.5981338481338481,8.862019329433153e-21,112,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.538531+00:00 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.5771568279001095,0.6879752348246028,0.07614787084783309,0.4629729837909748,-31.399820120235017,0.5548948988033838,0.6,0.1361111111111111,6,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.400278+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:45.735147+00:00 -Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,2.3051318233589684,1.364061274083776,2.148565279584608,1.185559927244782,5.6032316854011075,1.9188107479439827,0.3295774647887324,4.7988640125330525e-05,71,0.9295774647887324,2026-06-17T12:10:12.867076+00:00,2026-06-22T09:00:48.871105+00:00 +Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,2.334113755112158,1.3742225002932216,2.1333778185794956,1.1959042388750636,5.535093685235714,1.921055551087091,0.338810641627543,2.555516272805477e-05,72,0.9305555555555556,2026-06-17T12:10:12.867076+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.563749+00:00 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,36;72,6.257258626137698,2.273155449248228,0.12769665164583674,1.5176088605508928,9.33573165138399,5.309552011410372,0.34687953555878087,0.000245800725106162,53,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.884991+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:15.071235+00:00 Moving-Average,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,12.707413021552158,1.7993143311009376,0.06682594475396418,1.4868494962654113,15.216502436905389,50.524174142889514,0.09090909090909091,0.5770090763883768,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.895547+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.556979+00:00 Moving-Average,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.0095431839867446,0.900199655023513,0.46512338467962056,0.6443933792150458,5.815987231928214,1.3373368634443579,-0.09090909090909091,0.5770090763883768,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.904026+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.564477+00:00 Moving-Average,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.5863805650829136,0.7534252109139925,0.08456828807948534,0.49570578207735494,-34.762694001780595,0.2117823333994972,-0.5497835497835497,0.00019663282712487727,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:39:01.095906+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.576368+00:00 Moving-Average,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.0449025253904412,0.9965460099802942,0.7821568044528728,0.5232184234706754,16.640459395546486,0.4658814006668225,-0.5064935064935064,0.0006916982505690321,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.921461+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.587454+00:00 -Moving-Average,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.5423214627947028,1.0363806066000543,0.013791561195366682,0.7087658109630767,16.934866691604498,1.75059944345211,0.16748768472906403,0.21085097172082742,29,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.359102+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:45.770728+00:00 +Moving-Average,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.5365013731718657,1.0408177561689296,0.014003936625375708,0.7180919892279564,16.25250807192288,1.7204472695846291,0.17241379310344826,0.18842793761423912,30,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.359102+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.581671+00:00 Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,1.0762729471721073,1.0365663956063864,0.21160327629802392,0.5617661939340133,43.728244138972286,0.1006489058726523,0.0,1.0,4,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.956394+00:00,2026-06-20T17:12:56.975490+00:00 -Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.686514248670358,0.7720241886692216,0.010469078076737142,0.4304358412418915,2.4616921840235985e-16,0.5879418771325364,-0.6324324324324324,7.622070137159298e-23,111,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:15.094138+00:00 +Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.6826147281393229,0.7695933289071913,0.010419159550269471,0.4296538126877711,2.43971278952339e-16,0.5867406215652385,-0.6389961389961389,1.7286861731888217e-23,112,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.590417+00:00 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.2565612559835197,0.4676926183925614,0.05397038616447911,0.33518682132279193,-1.4748963430700404e-15,0.24693667351374793,0.2,0.7194444444444444,6,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.473716+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:45.788725+00:00 -Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,2.4193015246904745,1.41321108751258,2.1137369406564246,1.2405871524923442,1.928516241337642e-15,1.9390450513004192,0.3295774647887324,4.7988640125330525e-05,71,0.9295774647887324,2026-06-17T12:10:12.978229+00:00,2026-06-22T09:00:48.908849+00:00 +Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,2.4475544074400566,1.4228933485114013,2.099139924344911,1.250326291100481,1.9017312935412857e-15,1.9402091796960832,0.33724569640062596,2.7846927160226487e-05,72,0.9305555555555556,2026-06-17T12:10:12.978229+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.596763+00:00 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,36;72,6.882305130814302,2.4299038612797847,0.13523074254007814,1.9739440128421613,-2.6789937479354695e-16,5.384154148200929,0.3105950653120465,0.0010268651619496345,53,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.994311+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:15.110484+00:00 Seasonal-Naive,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,12.638809023325724,1.8288886794484898,0.0672222642096219,1.433650801076434,-9.950224139639425e-15,50.134896008139094,0.09090909090909091,0.5770090763883768,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.002812+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.605010+00:00 Seasonal-Naive,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.1763716768161756,0.9756503322480914,0.48329284152684854,0.7728151673897071,-5.37506036661764e-18,1.3546824502225305,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.010113+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.621311+00:00 Seasonal-Naive,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.2887159829480344,0.5250757000348336,0.06075118188782016,0.37980995028357784,3.535411983885864e-17,0.11353997248456828,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:39:01.134217+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.632812+00:00 Seasonal-Naive,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.457276015978245,1.1767290505021415,0.755757064923547,0.9188321704156253,-6.961145674196271e-17,0.7535642760358114,-0.37662337662337664,0.014016594956789027,22,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.024713+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:24.646329+00:00 -Seasonal-Naive,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.8362477790055245,1.1923544285472039,0.014224601828121778,0.6055408747991373,3.4628480216069927e-15,1.726278834577586,0.25123152709359603,0.05764888434676989,29,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.384303+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:45.817343+00:00 +Seasonal-Naive,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.8175161814239615,1.190237577780589,0.014404813360532254,0.6040368797576678,3.0570058919810994e-15,1.6993542435048314,0.23218390804597702,0.07421744084366233,30,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.384303+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:34.608075+00:00 Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,2.762985486197099,1.659058577581784,0.3440214741476295,1.3340371533213518,-1.3673782795539702e-15,0.392903069889937,0.0,1.0,4,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.040774+00:00,2026-06-20T17:12:57.021669+00:00 -TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.3921085387136691,0.5780533721067916,0.008072940959860843,0.32007428718102604,26.296269332209572,0.3429083768291676,0.25,2.5627360385298963e-08,224,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-06-22T09:07:06.999462+00:00 +TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.39148938354307855,0.5777188719488151,0.008059759941191914,0.3198630234441837,26.176716847468924,0.3422681275860839,0.24730158730158733,3.364669470369451e-08,225,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:20.390471+00:00 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3531086312767736,0.4497860921798977,0.05049692526362469,0.24969712003498815,39.985613709223784,0.51022951350609,0.04761904761904762,1.0,7,1.0,2026-06-17T05:15:19.765080+00:00,2026-06-22T08:44:43.807089+00:00 -TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.27931438229631966,0.4001734214869719,0.7985204239995815,0.1970258750156808,73.4252048050807,0.43740645674849343,0.3739354838709677,6.233279720262492e-10,125,0.952,2026-06-16T12:07:37.946365+00:00,2026-06-22T08:59:39.855612+00:00 +TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.2798120540385003,0.40163891523454825,0.7944097882380496,0.19767375476215968,73.5229082661793,0.43568913282358,0.3757460317460317,4.3798155339451757e-10,126,0.9523809523809523,2026-06-16T12:07:37.946365+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:24.840755+00:00 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,24;36;72,4.44855944869756,1.8290885704793671,0.11203136045659506,1.029612275056839,21.51035011445073,5.033082981397197,0.45141065830721006,4.728103779809369e-10,88,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:42.045490+00:00,2026-06-22T09:07:13.339003+00:00 TiRex,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,11.713998131979086,1.498760313880335,0.040090216492029804,1.064803551808894,45.27014581331553,45.052064146321584,0.0380952380952381,0.7437424174128879,36,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:27.889152+00:00,2026-06-22T08:35:32.453632+00:00 TiRex,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,3.087830354511371,1.3171985402146238,0.36039842690258533,0.7581234549608871,26.03401890744055,5.006857317797552,-0.3003003003003003,0.008902487757162575,37,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:34.959433+00:00,2026-06-22T08:35:38.251086+00:00 TiRex,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.17209311856565038,0.3911341677293019,0.04355545730672921,0.20129844018198137,19.037501021268753,0.10810077505160262,0.2716927453769559,0.01633989233292463,38,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:39.480658+00:00,2026-06-22T08:35:42.987753+00:00 TiRex,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,0.8310259719624749,0.8878342703547224,0.6517964158228565,0.478149636247118,24.041965953054117,0.41084313462869126,-0.06984126984126984,0.5489599522157356,36,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:44.379149+00:00,2026-06-22T08:35:47.402773+00:00 -TiRex,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.3801721277306112,0.8496895213926409,0.008950715104693226,0.5358579706128478,35.32170642430314,2.43398702218031,0.10638297872340427,0.29160732184235016,47,1.0,2026-06-16T12:42:39.570887+00:00,2026-06-22T08:45:09.218204+00:00 +TiRex,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.3667930635045271,0.8498846543476374,0.00904262720661097,0.5392341329046272,35.141098688947444,2.4097377471228985,0.11347517730496455,0.25525865328062625,48,1.0,2026-06-16T12:42:39.570887+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:29.895611+00:00 TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,0.11425071179174143,0.31573923615630495,0.05766464594502302,0.18845260977496128,92.26142854095771,0.06887221261822019,1.0,0.08333333333333333,4,1.0,2026-06-17T09:45:42.165364+00:00,2026-06-21T19:06:33.434447+00:00 -Timer-S1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.3343073905708615,0.5139886068105199,0.007025228131940557,0.2785320199808378,41.751695314572416,0.4551918385147712,0.01486093814860938,0.7428933703126082,220,1.0,2026-06-16T12:08:03.698792+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:04.659554+00:00 +Timer-S1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.33331653254372423,0.5131995154708783,0.007006820117279223,0.27811456888682146,41.729394749329295,0.45439495063244667,0.011024269847799261,0.8073091358601465,221,1.0,2026-06-16T12:08:03.698792+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:21.366502+00:00 Timer-S1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3225591397656044,0.48664545608319326,0.054730137587469245,0.24963903130622794,18.218338052650473,0.3997744021151048,-0.23809523809523814,0.5619047619047619,7,1.0,2026-06-17T05:17:34.201964+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:19.644190+00:00 -Timer-S1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.09535856186397135,0.214157196342048,0.5323002724194418,0.11136614307430331,90.65704676300992,0.22463989240947715,0.1410377997561306,0.02124283156661341,122,0.9590163934426229,2026-06-16T12:08:08.243141+00:00,2026-06-22T09:00:46.366323+00:00 +Timer-S1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.09517239416830059,0.2146045673619398,0.5288209346601297,0.11148697463284699,90.70697350980612,0.22372687016239856,0.1456750633080101,0.01687636642928674,123,0.959349593495935,2026-06-16T12:08:08.243141+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:27.189147+00:00 Timer-S1,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,24;36;72,4.770136020865689,1.9256317907421985,0.1209954120845338,1.1921111757642384,15.157018357841574,5.0217883940139245,0.4285714285714286,7.85912160934759e-09,84,1.0,2026-06-16T12:08:12.826217+00:00,2026-06-22T09:08:11.490552+00:00 Timer-S1,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,9.7832628052424,1.4679152355710696,0.05354118237097601,1.0213964271776632,27.099926312215118,43.04701347404342,0.0881720430107527,0.4997789602585872,31,1.0,2026-06-16T13:16:15.782836+00:00,2026-06-22T08:36:58.141086+00:00 Timer-S1,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,3.023114198415784,1.3355870963012428,0.388452985798161,0.7744341682772768,19.15197424754483,4.9861605053178195,-0.2580645161290323,0.03871954915377178,32,1.0,2026-06-16T13:16:21.589465+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:03.814020+00:00 Timer-S1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.12675163124461394,0.3416387883882629,0.03836055050736732,0.17750474067908426,31.72778615528168,0.07593986599739894,0.5340909090909091,4.612427147600899e-06,33,1.0,2026-06-16T13:16:28.640897+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:10.229642+00:00 Timer-S1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,0.9882589370124204,0.980125821361253,0.7169437386647775,0.5389389169322256,15.432495641468122,0.34736786299731903,0.12903225806451615,0.30963276552902624,32,1.0,2026-06-16T13:16:37.448453+00:00,2026-06-22T08:37:21.012626+00:00 -Timer-S1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.5649581021353491,0.9452267467064388,0.01099704008067865,0.6147373585332279,25.075117598835924,2.5246271623922163,0.08970099667774085,0.3966055892323337,43,1.0,2026-06-16T12:43:54.916074+00:00,2026-06-22T08:46:41.248979+00:00 +Timer-S1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.5635977604104994,0.9516267392945561,0.01119320186331088,0.6232611230955126,24.316499984398593,2.4951146601035594,0.10359408033826638,0.32158905086929157,44,1.0,2026-06-16T12:43:54.916074+00:00,2026-06-22T09:15:31.997755+00:00 Timer-S1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,0.18668432749006483,0.40946779875447853,0.08608939886336613,0.21608656247132377,87.32650247673674,0.12627353465371907,0.33333333333333337,1.0,3,1.0,2026-06-17T09:46:15.518954+00:00,2026-06-20T17:12:49.922736+00:00 -TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.34172447001885975,0.5145978389875732,0.007225557546744415,0.36322401277384275,39.88602744657254,0.4118448833686934,0.05538956561709951,0.21212124907005547,229,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-06-22T09:06:05.364737+00:00 +TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.3409739800093484,0.5141484223492246,0.007205381894397227,0.36276556404258087,39.79632825294882,0.41110226213761314,0.05243971900512625,0.23644533849899319,230,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-06-22T09:13:21.206753+00:00 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3659814554277121,0.5236124307799545,0.059495747037476746,0.35459458613334327,11.21682598714913,0.39415876702644365,-0.23809523809523814,0.5619047619047619,7,1.0,2026-06-17T05:12:05.733003+00:00,2026-06-22T08:43:11.592953+00:00 -TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.1154739633817267,0.2563506322722886,0.44699755734188135,0.19079334594204062,82.91725523738582,0.19616608425650223,0.03819354838709677,0.5276008497923624,125,0.952,2026-06-16T12:07:01.390017+00:00,2026-06-22T08:58:45.181986+00:00 +TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.11624079112912764,0.25797115840733836,0.4456054794536607,0.19178593868834096,82.98067523073199,0.19556936026815666,0.048634920634920635,0.4192867527077483,126,0.9523809523809523,2026-06-16T12:07:01.390017+00:00,2026-06-22T09:13:26.119510+00:00 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,24;36;72,4.0427842847520346,1.7248800341531556,0.11722629038605462,1.190600613345923,26.298331839128455,4.865163841380688,0.4666666666666667,7.32071049127315e-11,90,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:07.769114+00:00,2026-06-22T09:06:12.307034+00:00 TimesFM-2.5,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,11.25262521085622,1.5010173314503443,0.04028429273506308,1.2573854027198046,40.500750261091504,43.894608361830336,0.04978662873399716,0.6599250359110042,38,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:08.030961+00:00,2026-06-22T08:33:59.731043+00:00 TimesFM-2.5,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,3.00295572734991,1.2748469437294696,0.31781194434796806,0.898677433667745,27.17518542230977,5.074518089578025,-0.4116059379217274,0.00022465449699957308,39,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:12.832013+00:00,2026-06-22T08:34:07.470823+00:00 TimesFM-2.5,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.11746749791247693,0.3156831217407825,0.0425992008815325,0.2165058843277458,37.633808500311844,0.10207046507528382,0.17073170731707316,0.11584128145600416,41,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:17.753731+00:00,2026-06-22T08:34:20.117416+00:00 TimesFM-2.5,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,0.8238989921391646,0.8855126996722796,0.5543125261243014,0.7184149277450587,25.341464562573485,0.3844275064449912,-0.033738191632928474,0.762330528090645,39,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:22.668298+00:00,2026-06-22T08:34:28.969764+00:00 -TimesFM-2.5,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.317045637609046,0.8326614419264731,0.009350510199683627,0.6558567720949608,35.99365563979545,2.37844518355022,0.09042553191489362,0.36462888029581686,48,1.0,2026-06-16T12:41:30.056174+00:00,2026-06-22T08:43:46.074156+00:00 +TimesFM-2.5,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.3028136892971376,0.8317336098291281,0.009395408829778542,0.6573929595365635,35.96446221317115,2.3556468671483355,0.09353741496598639,0.34303685333792155,49,1.0,2026-06-16T12:41:30.056174+00:00,2026-06-22T09:13:33.860371+00:00 TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,0.14441614689804613,0.36546156650664174,0.06104947786298641,0.291763171778512,90.24883372109772,0.07761564379005298,0.3333333333333334,0.75,4,1.0,2026-06-17T09:44:33.543452+00:00,2026-06-21T18:01:25.705423+00:00 -Toto-2.0-1B,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.30728161191748465,0.5078922656870427,0.007176092625087573,0.292270583915348,37.73475628261919,0.2857850605760775,0.0626984126984127,0.16156705459422205,225,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:16.543073+00:00,2026-06-22T09:06:49.599719+00:00 +Toto-2.0-1B,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,0.30647427197306665,0.5072082409765217,0.00715739418183651,0.29198980087214704,37.71537733265304,0.2854074553839624,0.058092428711897744,0.1936319358499472,226,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:16.543073+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:00.718661+00:00 Toto-2.0-1B,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.4526862423623368,0.5657525073073637,0.06377901282502746,0.3031626192040572,6.6419767449522,0.5775530867943033,-0.04761904761904762,1.0,7,1.0,2026-06-17T05:14:00.045696+00:00,2026-06-22T08:44:17.325728+00:00 -Toto-2.0-1B,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.17866168525881337,0.28111853394754227,0.4746162146224887,0.15273373828534784,84.64385915674772,0.382285437225528,0.29110936270653026,1.6288141138272944e-06,124,0.9516129032258065,2026-06-16T12:07:21.772238+00:00,2026-06-22T08:59:19.682898+00:00 +Toto-2.0-1B,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,24;60,0.17840032538204237,0.28192629450121764,0.47230502095905297,0.1528764009452487,84.71592305003824,0.3807520562880539,0.29496774193548386,1.0695514755987925e-06,125,0.952,2026-06-16T12:07:21.772238+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:07.285058+00:00 Toto-2.0-1B,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,24;36;72,4.379088384070676,1.8338474788607284,0.11490285070545868,1.0530198029210773,19.254517565386443,4.914577047422658,0.3473158551810237,1.2472187882175613e-06,90,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:26.464043+00:00,2026-06-22T09:06:55.668558+00:00 Toto-2.0-1B,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,11.51033463000501,1.4756657620170985,0.039358679806223026,1.0163278409443601,46.98018373943222,44.80416134971819,0.0380952380952381,0.7437424174128879,36,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:56.792655+00:00,2026-06-22T08:34:59.301318+00:00 Toto-2.0-1B,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,3.2226164214271753,1.2819379318573034,0.32212718392414935,0.7596282621746742,33.94733633795122,5.582442607084079,-0.4414414414414415,0.00012045853974286827,37,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:00.702950+00:00,2026-06-22T08:35:06.894733+00:00 Toto-2.0-1B,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.19647220401163107,0.4186321843201908,0.04576638530513154,0.2083754543479648,10.573856634715977,0.12519660223131945,0.02294197031039136,0.8370667917810841,39,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:04.647184+00:00,2026-06-22T08:35:13.027059+00:00 Toto-2.0-1B,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,0.8568420099579209,0.9025556362543606,0.6496336270646061,0.4843968412194905,24.14036062619277,0.39569805157235827,-0.08392603129445235,0.4582434363235117,38,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:10.213066+00:00,2026-06-22T08:35:18.122046+00:00 -Toto-2.0-1B,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.193204529459073,0.7773334775800276,0.007312516172522651,0.44006660032077516,39.42892197942472,2.3201160172078903,0.0921985815602837,0.3553008925496006,48,1.0,2026-06-16T12:42:15.154825+00:00,2026-06-22T08:44:28.599864+00:00 +Toto-2.0-1B,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1.1840134350364846,0.7790589614277971,0.007437298500390757,0.43948743908460647,39.16194688784857,2.2967222555876563,0.10034013605442176,0.30908654982963,49,1.0,2026-06-16T12:42:15.154825+00:00,2026-06-22T09:14:12.743729+00:00 Toto-2.0-1B,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,0.20884273948671156,0.4257444836499963,0.08818982522121456,0.23601075587655068,86.41820937856471,0.131980021605452,0.3333333333333334,0.75,4,1.0,2026-06-17T09:45:14.891814+00:00,2026-06-21T18:43:58.902614+00:00 diff --git a/results/aggregates/metadata.json b/results/aggregates/metadata.json index 0ed73ddd33a26cb5a3de6bf8659b8524335e06b5..cf907b61dd2f1b8b6bca8b386bd211dcdc00f963 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/metadata.json +++ b/results/aggregates/metadata.json @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ { - "generated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:15.273559+00:00", + "generated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:34.730554+00:00", "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive", "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric", "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations", diff --git a/results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv b/results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv index db5b672ecd1ed6b84d06dd2fe9379ab45d47f557..46084ade71b10b2f03936c2024cf10f2d4d5ea8d 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv +++ b/results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv @@ -9,16 +9,16 @@ Air Quality,ARIMA,0.5561188328394827,0.6832085027786479,7.0,1,1,1.0 Air Quality,Moving-Average,0.9074499942012024,0.8868031162078837,8.0,1,1,1.0 Air Quality,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9.0,1,1,1.0 Air Quality,ETS,2.2737662667380385,1.47304955463974,10.0,1,1,1.0 -Finance,ETS,0.35401397783456945,0.39119086060037755,1.0,1,1,1.0 -Finance,Moving-Average,0.362616403917463,0.39694245338249823,2.0,1,1,1.0 -Finance,Timer-S1,0.46124142500577175,0.5849991073286694,3.0,1,1,1.0 -Finance,TimesFM-2.5,0.6778865048015845,0.6051733731195553,4.0,1,1,1.0 -Finance,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.43551020236005195,0.7169778987576494,5.0,1,1,1.0 -Finance,Toto-2.0-1B,0.49998378823229295,0.7217539363414738,6.0,1,1,1.0 -Finance,TiRex,1.0134914053229345,0.7779917462288098,7.0,1,1,1.0 -Finance,Chronos-2,0.4822592633450355,0.9198237732174475,8.0,1,1,1.0 +Finance,ETS,0.3546568583670111,0.3918104787836991,1.0,1,1,1.0 +Finance,Moving-Average,0.3633227747807656,0.39756273260557046,2.0,1,1,1.0 +Finance,Timer-S1,0.46173965452941357,0.585641000203594,3.0,1,1,1.0 +Finance,TimesFM-2.5,0.6770755350184058,0.6042085422763734,4.0,1,1,1.0 +Finance,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4997550121287017,0.7214920938796475,5.0,1,1,1.0 +Finance,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.5406283921061844,0.7312458301003786,6.0,1,1,1.0 +Finance,TiRex,1.0121339673330954,0.7777363672683719,7.0,1,1,1.0 +Finance,Chronos-2,0.4838256463171559,0.9205041480264352,8.0,1,1,1.0 Finance,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9.0,1,1,1.0 -Finance,ARIMA,1.7046492215596993,1.367148588123737,10.0,1,1,1.0 +Finance,ARIMA,1.7020203923087107,1.3683401010826648,10.0,1,1,1.0 Hazards,Chronos-2,0.4136596946659232,0.5345901917433449,1.0,1,1,1.0 Hazards,ARIMA,0.5432760421688894,0.5776776160614547,2.0,1,1,1.0 Hazards,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4662773488307613,0.5798657798469744,3.0,1,1,1.0 @@ -29,26 +29,26 @@ Hazards,Timer-S1,0.6391912737012315,0.6268352184211023,7.0,1,1,1.0 Hazards,Moving-Average,0.5702117639842561,0.6598492186989494,8.0,1,1,1.0 Hazards,TimesFM-2.5,0.5411734718351203,0.7858169613760544,9.0,1,1,1.0 Hazards,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1663100491266594,0.2641199180748358,1.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,Chronos-2,0.11939509690002996,0.2736597699001843,2.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.26460729670505084,0.29747747744181274,3.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,ETS,0.1179521842724271,0.3760825900646457,4.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,TiRex,0.2056258125459309,0.4538730381662943,5.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,TimesFM-2.5,0.14704115308638288,0.4588114280375935,6.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,ARIMA,0.3663069568168997,0.48418074024507635,7.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,Timer-S1,0.8378624115208751,0.7685958559231877,8.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9.0,1,1,1.0 -Hydrology,Moving-Average,1.0900041209334121,1.341085960408398,10.0,1,1,1.0 -Ocean,Toto-2.0-1B,0.024751927509159156,0.19633861098752775,2.5,2,2,1.0 -Ocean,TimesFM-2.5,0.04368972889748047,0.2050506359378875,3.0,2,2,1.0 -Ocean,Chronos-2,0.0618364739162754,0.2181267338247318,4.0,2,2,1.0 -Ocean,ETS,0.07467193571940348,0.23769630742446157,4.0,2,2,1.0 -Ocean,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.32016156297415416,0.39251827279906787,4.5,2,2,1.0 -Ocean,TiRex,0.04937348995468433,0.2763533263371993,5.5,2,2,1.0 -Ocean,ARIMA,0.36590605430787376,0.5854679100558388,6.0,2,2,1.0 -Ocean,Timer-S1,0.14230325386282466,0.2845346349351327,6.5,2,2,1.0 -Ocean,Moving-Average,0.9434552560037696,0.977958903324605,9.5,2,2,1.0 -Ocean,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9.5,2,2,1.0 +Hydrology,ETS,0.11903652923168467,0.4817489038139427,1.0,1,1,1.0 +Hydrology,ARIMA,0.7078512510190643,0.5188487546090704,2.0,1,1,1.0 +Hydrology,Toto-2.0-1B,0.582940429478706,0.6283976668853771,3.0,1,1,1.0 +Hydrology,TiRex,0.5791235429996524,0.9563479942388654,4.0,1,1,1.0 +Hydrology,Chronos-2,0.5669740477020649,0.9571289062500002,5.0,1,1,1.0 +Hydrology,TimesFM-2.5,0.48629070274754016,0.9754046102282341,6.0,1,1,1.0 +Hydrology,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7.0,1,1,1.0 +Hydrology,Timer-S1,1.18112158955447,1.3626299679856955,8.0,1,1,1.0 +Hydrology,Moving-Average,1.073310000339944,1.4548679420440118,9.0,1,1,1.0 +Hydrology,Moirai-1.1-Large,4.563871887336905,2.0089639041409493,10.0,1,1,1.0 +Ocean,Toto-2.0-1B,0.11000674694662334,0.27143290201545756,2.5,2,2,1.0 +Ocean,ARIMA,0.05630004753038995,0.2157265177007415,3.0,2,2,1.0 +Ocean,ETS,0.12814486930631847,0.2795947317198041,4.5,2,2,1.0 +Ocean,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.24331757727572148,0.3354558310606518,4.5,2,2,1.0 +Ocean,Timer-S1,0.11887405891880001,0.24464180599145863,4.5,2,2,1.0 +Ocean,Chronos-2,0.19937168105788175,0.3409064600409369,5.0,2,2,1.0 +Ocean,TimesFM-2.5,0.17073628707358895,0.36783679266022423,5.0,2,2,1.0 +Ocean,TiRex,0.25099308887927196,0.41873287835873146,7.0,2,2,1.0 +Ocean,Moving-Average,0.9389862107038942,0.9743739591028687,9.0,2,2,1.0 +Ocean,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10.0,2,2,1.0 Weather,Moirai-1.1-Large,1.8633231406119035,0.6402102600161373,1.6666666666666667,3,3,1.0 Weather,Chronos-2,0.8419984820277944,0.54675499241387,2.0,3,3,1.0 Weather,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,5.0,3,3,1.0 diff --git a/results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv b/results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv index 6fd5e95696ffd6585e6c0b5342fb4221e465f3ea..4c6a94ad8c4ad98c1f096c23f2134382142ac020 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv +++ b/results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv @@ -9,16 +9,16 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage 10min,Timer-S1,0.8685175210218393,0.8272988444529976,8.0,1,1,1.0 10min,Moving-Average,0.8940774893558482,0.9561567448925141,9.0,1,1,1.0 10min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1663100491266594,0.2641199180748358,1.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,Chronos-2,0.11939509690002996,0.2736597699001843,2.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.26460729670505084,0.29747747744181274,3.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,ETS,0.1179521842724271,0.3760825900646457,4.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,TiRex,0.2056258125459309,0.4538730381662943,5.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,TimesFM-2.5,0.14704115308638288,0.4588114280375935,6.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,ARIMA,0.3663069568168997,0.48418074024507635,7.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,Timer-S1,0.8378624115208751,0.7685958559231877,8.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9.0,1,1,1.0 -15min,Moving-Average,1.0900041209334121,1.341085960408398,10.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,ETS,0.11903652923168467,0.4817489038139427,1.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,ARIMA,0.7078512510190643,0.5188487546090704,2.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,Toto-2.0-1B,0.582940429478706,0.6283976668853771,3.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,TiRex,0.5791235429996524,0.9563479942388654,4.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,Chronos-2,0.5669740477020649,0.9571289062500002,5.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,TimesFM-2.5,0.48629070274754016,0.9754046102282341,6.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,Timer-S1,1.18112158955447,1.3626299679856955,8.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,Moving-Average,1.073310000339944,1.4548679420440118,9.0,1,1,1.0 +15min,Moirai-1.1-Large,4.563871887336905,2.0089639041409493,10.0,1,1,1.0 1D,Timer-S1,0.07964128523181596,0.2055042777744156,1.0,1,1,1.0 1D,TiRex,0.06236664013921311,0.21782916134449717,2.0,1,1,1.0 1D,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.11794628922452742,0.23000093954870818,3.0,1,1,1.0 @@ -29,23 +29,23 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage 1D,Moving-Average,0.38618712314162434,0.4712489129758434,8.0,1,1,1.0 1D,ETS,0.3873993036241395,0.47189926034862223,9.0,1,1,1.0 1D,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10.0,1,1,1.0 -1h,Moirai-1.1-Large,1.045144480214437,0.6187595921758353,2.8333333333333335,6,6,1.0 -1h,Chronos-2,0.6502814676319417,0.5974551224814938,3.1666666666666665,6,6,1.0 -1h,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6182179151010863,0.7925379888835962,4.5,6,6,1.0 -1h,TiRex,0.9559845057917065,0.8242608409500455,5.0,6,6,1.0 -1h,Timer-S1,0.8519321468929477,0.7368786141672553,5.0,6,6,1.0 -1h,Moving-Average,0.8641942018965754,0.8320695873211975,5.833333333333333,6,6,1.0 -1h,TimesFM-2.5,0.7207515083865069,0.8333865038386004,6.0,6,6,1.0 +1h,Moirai-1.1-Large,1.0834937669954405,0.6207950093038423,3.0,6,6,1.0 +1h,Chronos-2,0.6506330123055704,0.5975287540114457,3.1666666666666665,6,6,1.0 +1h,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6181707600861411,0.7924900613135603,4.333333333333333,6,6,1.0 +1h,TiRex,0.9557709840861014,0.8242157402845709,5.0,6,6,1.0 +1h,Timer-S1,0.8520854530253053,0.7370133098222953,5.0,6,6,1.0 +1h,Moving-Average,0.8644745471484304,0.8322861509355426,5.833333333333333,6,6,1.0 +1h,TimesFM-2.5,0.7206077283531864,0.8331649112330172,6.0,6,6,1.0 1h,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7.166666666666667,6,6,1.0 -1h,ETS,2.4451855514311283,1.2439728083537982,7.666666666666667,6,6,1.0 -1h,ARIMA,2.127179828961931,1.3361331625766704,7.833333333333333,6,6,1.0 -6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.0031184128116036286,0.058693559491819265,1.0,1,1,1.0 -6min,Chronos-2,0.004100843612794803,0.060601665679864095,2.0,1,1,1.0 -6min,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0016596068926783248,0.072569881545405,3.0,1,1,1.0 -6min,TiRex,0.00297176582326837,0.0966474743260501,4.0,1,1,1.0 -6min,Timer-S1,0.023315840578693774,0.09786059659154873,5.0,1,1,1.0 -6min,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.2744089045809139,0.2709154818943178,6.0,1,1,1.0 -6min,ETS,0.08385251303033173,0.2713459453939737,7.0,1,1,1.0 -6min,ARIMA,0.31689385932517644,0.5403698063093074,8.0,1,1,1.0 -6min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9.0,1,1,1.0 -6min,Moving-Average,0.9955600388982282,1.0002581916622653,10.0,1,1,1.0 +1h,ETS,2.4459250580470875,1.2443009857406562,7.666666666666667,6,6,1.0 +1h,ARIMA,2.126632737993834,1.3363271724763632,7.833333333333333,6,6,1.0 +6min,Timer-S1,0.01627030145253109,0.07234340243559083,1.0,1,1,1.0 +6min,ARIMA,0.007502260772657189,0.0733655112751081,2.0,1,1,1.0 +6min,Toto-2.0-1B,0.032781273811890894,0.1386979255895443,3.0,1,1,1.0 +6min,Chronos-2,0.04262954675799049,0.1480257364570912,4.0,1,1,1.0 +6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.047624077018283514,0.1888767674861613,5.0,1,1,1.0 +6min,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.1584917950895044,0.19787218828407382,6.0,1,1,1.0 +6min,TiRex,0.07679809684069848,0.22188872843914925,7.0,1,1,1.0 +6min,ETS,0.24694697374726066,0.37543644957044436,8.0,1,1,1.0 +6min,Moving-Average,0.9861506573969205,0.9929382575076912,9.0,1,1,1.0 +6min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10.0,1,1,1.0 diff --git a/results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv b/results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv index f748e9a29913eb8fdb99ce29429eef9cccd02726..42e5107e86d280a2409d6dc48c05bf763ae53f36 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv +++ b/results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv @@ -9,26 +9,26 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage 7,Moving-Average,0.38618712314162434,0.4712489129758434,8.0,1,1,1.0 7,ETS,0.3873993036241395,0.47189926034862223,9.0,1,1,1.0 7,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10.0,1,1,1.0 -24,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.8589173993772192,0.5572931175171335,2.857142857142857,7,7,1.0 -24,Chronos-2,0.5104369535052221,0.5343960528273272,3.0,7,7,1.0 -24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5124849830478305,0.6774011896193052,4.0,7,7,1.0 -24,TiRex,0.7675590943375701,0.7569131597200589,5.0,7,7,1.0 -24,Timer-S1,0.8499078112125501,0.7413282261456895,5.428571428571429,7,7,1.0 -24,TimesFM-2.5,0.5743341079827217,0.7652725639759226,6.0,7,7,1.0 -24,Moving-Average,0.8933337605502629,0.8907862424448934,6.428571428571429,7,7,1.0 -24,ETS,1.585715507101814,1.0485584645288084,7.142857142857143,7,7,1.0 -24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7.428571428571429,7,7,1.0 -24,ARIMA,1.6545016343840722,1.155772299171514,7.714285714285714,7,7,1.0 -60,TimesFM-2.5,0.0031184128116036286,0.058693559491819265,1.0,1,1,1.0 -60,Chronos-2,0.004100843612794803,0.060601665679864095,2.0,1,1,1.0 -60,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0016596068926783248,0.072569881545405,3.0,1,1,1.0 -60,TiRex,0.00297176582326837,0.0966474743260501,4.0,1,1,1.0 -60,Timer-S1,0.023315840578693774,0.09786059659154873,5.0,1,1,1.0 -60,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.2744089045809139,0.2709154818943178,6.0,1,1,1.0 -60,ETS,0.08385251303033173,0.2713459453939737,7.0,1,1,1.0 -60,ARIMA,0.31689385932517644,0.5403698063093074,8.0,1,1,1.0 -60,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9.0,1,1,1.0 -60,Moving-Average,0.9955600388982282,1.0002581916622653,10.0,1,1,1.0 +24,Chronos-2,0.6379653732596049,0.6391297611296008,3.4285714285714284,7,7,1.0 +24,Moirai-1.1-Large,1.3305821926969974,0.7341905266088499,4.0,7,7,1.0 +24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6130104062847154,0.7666544208313189,4.142857142857143,7,7,1.0 +24,TiRex,0.8897553543897393,0.8419104708193123,4.857142857142857,7,7,1.0 +24,Timer-S1,0.8927748153500573,0.804644921341537,5.428571428571429,7,7,1.0 +24,TimesFM-2.5,0.6812374180023838,0.8521383094970795,6.0,7,7,1.0 +24,Moving-Average,0.8916140841680134,0.9014108839335414,6.285714285714286,7,7,1.0 +24,ETS,1.5882014584974475,1.0865590758385655,6.714285714285714,7,7,1.0 +24,ARIMA,1.8173661097245997,1.16739222456396,7.0,7,7,1.0 +24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7.142857142857143,7,7,1.0 +60,Timer-S1,0.01627030145253109,0.07234340243559083,1.0,1,1,1.0 +60,ARIMA,0.007502260772657189,0.0733655112751081,2.0,1,1,1.0 +60,Toto-2.0-1B,0.032781273811890894,0.1386979255895443,3.0,1,1,1.0 +60,Chronos-2,0.04262954675799049,0.1480257364570912,4.0,1,1,1.0 +60,TimesFM-2.5,0.047624077018283514,0.1888767674861613,5.0,1,1,1.0 +60,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.1584917950895044,0.19787218828407382,6.0,1,1,1.0 +60,TiRex,0.07679809684069848,0.22188872843914925,7.0,1,1,1.0 +60,ETS,0.24694697374726066,0.37543644957044436,8.0,1,1,1.0 +60,Moving-Average,0.9861506573969205,0.9929382575076912,9.0,1,1,1.0 +60,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10.0,1,1,1.0 72,ETS,0.06649649226452849,0.2082195644426936,1.0,1,1,1.0 72,Toto-2.0-1B,0.36915845440358697,0.5311962668754363,2.0,1,1,1.0 72,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.37354263908673,0.5687035432743016,3.0,1,1,1.0 diff --git a/results/aggregates/results_overall.csv b/results/aggregates/results_overall.csv index ac73a82bb55378ec3a63c5451001f6cbd8559922..4e390aa994a14a1eaeee75bb8be773a0b70004b3 100644 --- a/results/aggregates/results_overall.csv +++ b/results/aggregates/results_overall.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage -Overall,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.5781070249654184,0.4755580226134719,3.2,10,10,1.0 -Overall,Chronos-2,0.2788830173254995,0.4130678946170561,3.4,10,10,1.0 -Overall,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2378158890129204,0.4769056643454906,3.7,10,10,1.0 -Overall,TiRex,0.34496280875207147,0.5463070189779805,4.8,10,10,1.0 -Overall,Timer-S1,0.46915577504998657,0.5384141806137627,5.2,10,10,1.0 -Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.28090302908939896,0.5316270370968404,5.4,10,10,1.0 -Overall,ETS,0.7474894316894691,0.7194560550006663,6.7,10,10,1.0 -Overall,Moving-Average,0.8304885772508015,0.8515901075687443,7.2,10,10,1.0 -Overall,ARIMA,1.045742843336168,0.9126491347215787,7.3,10,10,1.0 -Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,8.1,10,10,1.0 +Overall,Toto-2.0-1B,0.36329014679668514,0.5548702220736345,3.8,10,10,1.0 +Overall,Chronos-2,0.41200673821389144,0.5119349352653944,3.9,10,10,1.0 +Overall,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.7434167119091429,0.5589412651240098,4.0,10,10,1.0 +Overall,Timer-S1,0.4684363579963398,0.5532369948980794,4.8,10,10,1.0 +Overall,TiRex,0.5295622449685158,0.6395656817617142,5.0,10,10,1.0 +Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.4157568745295632,0.6442458532705964,5.8,10,10,1.0 +Overall,ARIMA,0.7680604307371113,0.7527055084274935,6.2,10,10,1.0 +Overall,ETS,0.8336620681438114,0.7619527960357579,6.5,10,10,1.0 +Overall,Moving-Average,0.8285819453216384,0.8580569793468493,7.0,10,10,1.0 +Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,8.0,10,10,1.0 diff --git a/results/arima/all_results.csv b/results/arima/all_results.csv index e33bc4f9ec783fc07fdd3257607e77cbc5e3400f..ec794597f791ca85aadcc3d027b822a69e9ce67f 100644 --- a/results/arima/all_results.csv +++ b/results/arima/all_results.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates -binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ARIMA,273756.919858899,351243.706091925,561.4133213028532,0.5324494793245688,0.008748404904403713,0.0087906567823578,7.361885557430419,523.2178512425766,0.00816267222047319,0.008758556137026313,0.007380869045862277,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ARIMA,273302.01389934745,351703.3663765832,561.7712314591032,0.5327889245587825,0.008753925574270212,0.008796233103835108,7.3754633667989635,522.7829510412016,0.00815584231991257,0.008764091435113497,0.007386411956070371,Finance,1 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,ARIMA,19.1308456539274,19.48401046878373,3.638323523891899,2.1387789721229815,0.13189873835322471,0.14539244478687063,73.83604227544598,4.3738822176560035,0.1674613979614854,0.1392993028224734,0.136688715894918,Weather,1 -noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ARIMA,0.2621331491270768,0.25690682110831564,0.44912228795166764,1.2483131064745445,0.5930649518995615,0.41933073148168803,47.99356736677498,0.5119894033347534,0.5187504305604493,0.4550531294822348,0.4520669255871841,Ocean,1 +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ARIMA,0.006519429140958797,0.006200487409613414,0.06629978300679258,0.18167642478263288,0.08325694031635299,0.08243511666843852,5.612584186379848,0.08074298199198984,0.08593335757634443,0.07056171099702463,0.06754232195205503,Ocean,1 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,ARIMA,0.03426934673228055,0.04414599991898535,0.18530938961138815,2.0711056107844152,0.1130004981799772,0.12155892535271266,22.775001964935203,0.1851198172327332,0.11630563814034478,0.11642474119912496,0.09652343153151048,Ocean,1 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ARIMA,0.013211326232993167,0.014696177089586232,0.11807048172534129,0.0861304452591067,0.008434758671165441,0.008472420553441919,1.617357959552699,0.11494053346401854,0.00821492824126364,0.008438629137637882,0.008464120923479876,Weather,1 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ARIMA,100.43367229088744,98.82102830111478,8.646701731289596,0.7473256913331058,0.5013709366174554,0.3663828947551148,11.519065254210147,10.021660156425554,0.46120775408286346,0.39793066452722975,0.3596764194419382,Air Quality,1 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,ARIMA,9.790511960264231,9.701088276586786,2.9220612611350325,1.5715963729021754,0.12519233945620245,0.11677609555756246,33.51592789986558,3.1289793799678884,0.13146973308587165,0.12277569373625297,0.11295378742135138,Weather,1 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,ARIMA,13.310263033137787,12.618585377241923,2.845261982810276,0.5426724841386487,0.4707017371003568,0.34425642776408116,3.2504879696741598,3.6483233180651338,0.4513389671833155,0.3519911731311682,0.27590227035145887,Hazards,1 -usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,ARIMA,932.5564608963573,360.9472713001125,18.906986504982797,0.44270017182398735,0.008262987848823884,0.008273708990772803,5.053585420241461,30.537787426340458,0.013335278352113736,0.008256325984708645,0.0072445044043219714,Hydrology,1 +usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,ARIMA,1483.5382469274555,361.44580163232126,18.91948096164515,0.2882968527488785,0.008328821278571735,0.008317206374590082,3.697676078504266,38.51672684597506,0.016967721077522053,0.008334573110856894,0.006879253862199374,Hydrology,1 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,ARIMA,2599.5201170151004,2216.5686908570165,40.432826615787135,0.8381357911778606,0.1818877265305847,0.16515149789232947,7.202835508742811,50.98548927896152,0.20266804369831382,0.1607210598015389,0.1217255860630082,Web,1 diff --git a/results/arima/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json b/results/arima/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json index dc317cebf93435c5f90ca45a51945e3ceee4666c..4089cf667908300cfa4bbd741e08f4673738044c 100644 --- a/results/arima/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +++ b/results/arima/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ { "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "model": "ARIMA", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:14.915893+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:34.329639+00:00", "freq": "1h", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24, @@ -127,7 +127,7 @@ 63989.94921875, 64211.19140625, 64165.98828125, - 64178.0 + 64186.58984375 ], "p50": [ 63559.76652689737, diff --git a/results/arima/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json b/results/arima/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json index 355d5827405ddade98a195d110760b1aa15845d6..f544bd5e5461d117cdeb34c337e97cdf0b13c4cb 100644 --- a/results/arima/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json +++ b/results/arima/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json @@ -1,14 +1,11 @@ { "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short", "model": "ARIMA", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:00:48.765955+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:34.370273+00:00", "freq": "6min", "context_length": 240, "prediction_length": 60, "context": [ - 1.4980000257492065, - 1.4709999561309814, - 1.4429999589920044, 1.406000018119812, 1.3730000257492065, 1.3509999513626099, @@ -245,12 +242,12 @@ 1.7879999876022339, 1.7730000019073486, 1.7519999742507935, - 1.7350000143051147 - ], - "actuals": [ + 1.7350000143051147, 1.7120000123977661, 1.6779999732971191, - 1.6399999856948853, + 1.6399999856948853 + ], + "actuals": [ 1.6150000095367432, 1.5870000123977661, 1.5720000267028809, @@ -307,820 +304,820 @@ 0.6579999923706055, 0.6729999780654907, 0.6890000104904175, - 0.699999988079071 + 0.699999988079071, + 0.7149999737739563, + 0.7289999723434448, + 0.7440000176429749 ], "p50": 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"2026-06-23 04:25:00", + "2026-06-23 04:40:00" ] } diff --git a/results/arima/online_meta.json b/results/arima/online_meta.json index cb2742cec3be4f407846857bc5a7ab05c2d68717..9fe478f5e8a4c63a0d3eed498e426a039c5a757b 100644 --- a/results/arima/online_meta.json +++ b/results/arima/online_meta.json @@ -1,19 +1,25 @@ { "model": "ARIMA", "api_model_id": "baseline/arima", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:14.980838+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:34.425676+00:00", "datasets": [ { "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260621t090000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24 }, { - "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260621t084000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", - "context_length": 75, - "prediction_length": 72 + "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260622t030600z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 240, + "prediction_length": 60 + }, + { + "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260622t065000z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 96, + "prediction_length": 24 } ], "failed_datasets": [] diff --git a/results/baseline_rank_history_daily.csv b/results/baseline_rank_history_daily.csv index e97c6650c3641e844133251714b08468879720aa..dc3fdf2c273356a5fe58b7dbeec918ece3b95145 100644 --- a/results/baseline_rank_history_daily.csv +++ b/results/baseline_rank_history_daily.csv @@ -13,4 +13,4 @@ date,model,MSE_Rank,CRPS_Rank,MASE_Rank,MAE_Rank,RMSE_Rank,sMAPE_Rank,MSIS_Rank, 2026-06-19,Chronos-2,5.000,4.600,5.200,5.200,5.000,5.200,4.500,5.200,5.000,5.200 2026-06-20,Chronos-2,5.300,4.900,5.000,5.000,5.300,5.000,4.800,5.000,5.300,5.200 2026-06-21,Chronos-2,4.600,5.100,4.400,4.400,4.600,5.000,4.100,4.900,4.700,5.000 -2026-06-22,Chronos-2,3.900,3.400,4.100,4.100,3.900,4.000,3.200,4.100,3.900,4.000 +2026-06-22,Chronos-2,3.900,3.900,4.500,4.500,3.900,4.400,3.500,4.500,3.900,4.400 diff --git a/results/baseline_rank_history_weekly.csv b/results/baseline_rank_history_weekly.csv index 11b558ce953aba33b63fb5934ef286f154be51f3..16ffdae61466d6fe5be83347d5891ff8f0a5346d 100644 --- a/results/baseline_rank_history_weekly.csv +++ b/results/baseline_rank_history_weekly.csv @@ -1,4 +1,4 @@ week,model,MSE_Rank,CRPS_Rank,MASE_Rank,MAE_Rank,RMSE_Rank,sMAPE_Rank,MSIS_Rank,ND_Rank,NRMSE_Rank,MAPE_Rank 2026-W24,Chronos-Bolt-Mini,,2.751,3.064,3.077,2.902,3.077,2.505,3.077,2.918,3.103 2026-W25,Chronos-Bolt-Mini,4.967,4.229,4.414,4.414,4.414,4.529,3.857,4.486,4.429,4.529 -2026-W26,Chronos-Bolt-Mini,3.9,3.4,4.1,4.1,3.9,4.0,3.2,4.1,3.9,4.0 +2026-W26,Chronos-Bolt-Mini,3.9,3.9,4.5,4.5,3.9,4.4,3.5,4.5,3.9,4.4 diff --git a/results/chronos_2/all_results.csv b/results/chronos_2/all_results.csv index 9abc1af459019d8fc921e3dee84d0a9f3ada28e6..15fe9e219327a5a7fa6f885898318408bd2017bc 100644 --- a/results/chronos_2/all_results.csv +++ b/results/chronos_2/all_results.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates -binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-2,77448.08071772258,77448.08071772258,203.22298177083334,0.19273851674833176,0.0031755426819090418,0.003173744775197091,2.132980924999326,278.29495273490426,0.004341653241364502,0.0031704625213435826,0.004965882183081646,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-2,77690.32857195537,77690.32857195537,203.58089192708334,0.19307796198254537,0.0031810897408339057,0.0031793211986676814,2.132980924999326,278.72984872803875,0.004348413986246857,0.0031760286952693603,0.00496895679605903,Finance,1 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Chronos-2,2.497550541067085,2.497550541067085,1.2721631526947021,0.747837783590668,0.04766756886485387,0.04945338284173386,4.501600541318299,1.5803640533329923,0.060506881641877015,0.048706894558197364,0.04314103090472548,Weather,1 -noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-2,0.0033921990555093964,0.0033921990555093964,0.0555352658033371,0.15435751472060927,0.062149843626796986,0.060037042847654806,1.0423032741504845,0.058242587987737945,0.059011704927493476,0.05626863145824524,0.05069862965969846,Ocean,1 +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-2,0.03704487458138169,0.03704487458138169,0.1611425886551539,0.4415671976496126,0.22389178192036774,0.2729580844391245,1.8800037141294155,0.19247045119025852,0.2048429683542485,0.1715012667361589,0.13627659339119316,Ocean,1 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Chronos-2,0.07563045005932029,0.07563045005932029,0.24944272140661874,2.787890138529888,0.15298831668475993,0.16820859150482712,22.635533737482564,0.2750099090202393,0.17278108547020224,0.1567179318040681,0.11946780024066246,Ocean,1 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.001187205124930794,0.001187205124930794,0.019123554229736328,0.013950313547254243,0.0013708302139713309,0.0013677734912727606,0.24103188607759907,0.034455843117398736,0.002462597572598497,0.0013667817694997606,0.0012273285270418043,Weather,1 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Chronos-2,114.67329518501508,114.67329518501508,9.08779207865397,0.785448684241672,0.484136577592821,0.3609414242934359,9.358477979181531,10.70856177014519,0.49281971713036343,0.41823012442511087,0.2979110071627848,Air Quality,1 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Chronos-2,2.769349754908035,2.769349754908035,1.4567599296569824,0.783501240062586,0.060707408659793106,0.05845952627060202,4.944057882414795,1.6641363390383719,0.06992170089472421,0.061208405638058926,0.038255889659189475,Weather,1 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Chronos-2,10.13466251931512,10.13466251931512,2.540318727493286,0.48451112153514336,0.3981449060707443,0.3144030831389152,3.349585491458312,3.1834984716998247,0.3938348624783288,0.3142662343290663,0.25532345984809585,Hazards,1 -usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Chronos-2,303.96001752465963,303.96001752465963,9.816497802734375,0.22984970464939022,0.0043348061538467314,0.004305559116981417,1.5252131764481707,17.43444916034515,0.0076132965765699345,0.0042866802632027835,0.0040946060913619,Hydrology,1 +usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Chronos-2,1188.2831083089113,1188.2831083089113,29.912394205729168,0.45580791170634916,0.013235092094590667,0.013119783327940435,14.377146887400793,34.47148253714817,0.015185675126496991,0.013177266169924743,0.012690273738642621,Hydrology,1 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Chronos-2,622.5729710326663,622.5729710326663,21.40478515625,0.43196852437804456,0.09646219551586514,0.09093249304966737,2.761189469192312,24.95141220517721,0.10043696689835566,0.08616072230807936,0.07001796725093194,Web,1 diff --git a/results/chronos_2/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json b/results/chronos_2/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json index 9a1c815ce4fe9adeae4318ee958e0f902c1b10a3..3f2517ae400afab2b637b8ddff746e63aae2a86d 100644 --- a/results/chronos_2/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +++ b/results/chronos_2/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ { "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "model": "Chronos-2", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:05:37.744315+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:40.797324+00:00", "freq": "1h", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24, @@ -127,7 +127,7 @@ 63989.94921875, 64211.19140625, 64165.98828125, - 64178.0 + 64186.58984375 ], "p50": [ 64220.76953125, diff --git a/results/chronos_2/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json b/results/chronos_2/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json index e3495acb19fd8f84fd973f1eb28686fa18968b38..7b1ecacced454fb29767a81291a549958e8b37db 100644 --- a/results/chronos_2/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json +++ b/results/chronos_2/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json @@ -1,14 +1,11 @@ { "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short", "model": "Chronos-2", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T08:58:13.683072+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:47.879913+00:00", "freq": "6min", "context_length": 240, "prediction_length": 60, "context": [ - 1.4980000257492065, - 1.4709999561309814, - 1.4429999589920044, 1.406000018119812, 1.3730000257492065, 1.3509999513626099, @@ -245,12 +242,12 @@ 1.7879999876022339, 1.7730000019073486, 1.7519999742507935, - 1.7350000143051147 - ], - "actuals": [ + 1.7350000143051147, 1.7120000123977661, 1.6779999732971191, - 1.6399999856948853, + 1.6399999856948853 + ], + "actuals": [ 1.6150000095367432, 1.5870000123977661, 1.5720000267028809, @@ -307,820 +304,820 @@ 0.6579999923706055, 0.6729999780654907, 0.6890000104904175, - 0.699999988079071 + 0.699999988079071, + 0.7149999737739563, + 0.7289999723434448, + 0.7440000176429749 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"task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260621t090000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24 }, { - "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260621t084000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", - "context_length": 75, - "prediction_length": 72 + "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260622t030600z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 240, + "prediction_length": 60 + }, + { + "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260622t065000z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 96, + "prediction_length": 24 } ], "failed_datasets": [] diff --git a/results/ets/all_results.csv b/results/ets/all_results.csv index 28b2b5ee3fb4d11fc50c6ee8c1e6086942eb8a62..8c1e89b23fa847e82c3c85833fcd67cc8a7a175c 100644 --- a/results/ets/all_results.csv +++ b/results/ets/all_results.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates -binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ETS,56852.62101625535,58061.600228229974,156.82126824964567,0.14873071132827434,0.0024530043207872604,0.002449107432691033,1.5901409095116936,238.43787663929433,0.0037198467661796837,0.0024465537765592797,0.0021119346785795612,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ETS,56949.043661833515,58149.314136778055,157.17917840589567,0.14907015656248793,0.0024585701367137547,0.002454683890035184,1.5901409095116936,238.63998755831662,0.003722979308860696,0.0024521239502909124,0.0021150250604449732,Finance,1 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,ETS,32.39177742140628,33.69505757693249,4.948184759453103,2.9087774751754467,0.18090961892732116,0.2057518238437371,76.28154801369023,5.691377462566183,0.21790390750818858,0.18944953154998356,0.17644111021048067,Weather,1 -noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ETS,0.06936241475195351,0.07060844050409104,0.2359186235041781,0.6557241038400475,0.29113458523104535,0.24268477065075802,21.248673965155643,0.2633674519600961,0.2668453257236282,0.23903402438195287,0.2270047768631014,Ocean,1 +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ETS,0.2145957526279418,0.21292394826544034,0.332028213910686,0.9098325227410858,0.4705556160460496,0.7055104147088522,32.52699512740448,0.46324480852778244,0.49302342809870875,0.35337187861419983,0.34563719530742215,Ocean,1 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,ETS,0.00539360571134979,0.0054063230129162,0.058247909586160024,0.6510062583085945,0.036284958313663566,0.036444894193115196,5.624940705819337,0.07344117177271745,0.04614104787096902,0.036595543340681075,0.03168393905331839,Ocean,1 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ETS,0.041530136874713776,0.025924841856423752,0.13371634873384108,0.097543844037657,0.009555058764547703,0.009620871030268987,3.5858861185712922,0.20378944250062067,0.014565058957150165,0.00955685671909778,0.009612000946955896,Weather,1 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ETS,410.63650898792156,396.966571671127,17.640341867499895,1.5246369183496193,0.9815689226274881,0.5922574727270641,42.07843529871153,20.264168105005485,0.9325791649475199,0.8118278136529193,0.7754897477395999,Air Quality,1 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,ETS,5.741651186328572,5.29285525516557,2.0046699734408815,1.0781882300105547,0.08551273672540483,0.0818536023311514,19.681703521452356,2.396174281292697,0.10067960025738941,0.08422983801709771,0.07666889684869269,Weather,1 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,ETS,11.5856329330337,13.102981345623908,3.011480923836809,0.5743751695794709,0.4945327382752764,0.36114625806363737,4.863575766919172,3.4037674616568183,0.4210846344317713,0.3725543410932135,0.2927302356436956,Hazards,1 -usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,ETS,300.28660246022065,280.2445679460258,12.804769985489733,0.29981900453829613,0.005575421944327981,0.005601672238295278,11.398748733115028,17.328779601005394,0.007567152664194495,0.005591602613750975,0.005627096977738224,Hydrology,1 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03:40:00", + "2026-06-23 03:55:00", + "2026-06-23 04:10:00", + "2026-06-23 04:25:00", + "2026-06-23 04:40:00" ] } diff --git a/results/ets/online_meta.json b/results/ets/online_meta.json index 57b4e46b9efeb0e62f8372b62b8f2de6a57476e1..8bf1c160720ad088d1f6fa3c40bde211b3847157 100644 --- a/results/ets/online_meta.json +++ b/results/ets/online_meta.json @@ -1,19 +1,25 @@ { "model": "ETS", "api_model_id": "baseline/ets", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:15.045955+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:34.527773+00:00", "datasets": [ { "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260621t090000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24 }, { - "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260621t084000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", - "context_length": 75, - "prediction_length": 72 + "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260622t030600z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 240, + "prediction_length": 60 + }, + { + "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260622t065000z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 96, + "prediction_length": 24 } ], "failed_datasets": [] diff --git a/results/eval_history.jsonl b/results/eval_history.jsonl index c0d953cd6ba00a6aa1c60f6b89ee307d36910ff2..648bfbcf40231b40c4a5c8893273f11980165619 100644 --- a/results/eval_history.jsonl +++ b/results/eval_history.jsonl @@ -1767,3 +1767,6 @@ {"evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:00:52.166492+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level", "prediction_length": 60} {"evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:17.913085+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close", "prediction_length": 24} {"evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:17.913085+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height", "prediction_length": 72} +{"evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:37.548579+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close", "prediction_length": 24} +{"evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:37.548579+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level", "prediction_length": 60} +{"evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:37.548579+00:00", "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060", "prediction_length": 24} diff --git a/results/moirai_1_1_large/all_results.csv b/results/moirai_1_1_large/all_results.csv index 0c467e7c6d4529d6dbc4daa8c8e8ec266fd351d3..90ee9f90d9383e73ae92e89561a8b59928a874ac 100644 --- a/results/moirai_1_1_large/all_results.csv +++ b/results/moirai_1_1_large/all_results.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates -binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,69940.44877815247,58322.58473126093,156.776611328125,0.14868835829939223,0.0024542556356529723,0.002448196175108123,1.8272806222617206,264.46256592975965,0.004125855482841836,0.0024458570881495034,0.0038707716377561477,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,86811.43246078491,80377.99699465434,191.46598307291666,0.18158807268583968,0.002996424580838776,0.0029882552678603194,1.756945454953348,294.6377987644914,0.004596591039213013,0.002987026192150415,0.0039473248924053565,Finance,1 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"2026-06-23 03:40:00", + "2026-06-23 03:55:00", + "2026-06-23 04:10:00", + "2026-06-23 04:25:00", + "2026-06-23 04:40:00" ] } diff --git a/results/moirai_1_1_large/online_meta.json b/results/moirai_1_1_large/online_meta.json index 55459c565d4a05b4d039676fe9a0318033ed7df1..fe5c0e0e9c4a52f415f688532332c2613ceaa9e9 100644 --- a/results/moirai_1_1_large/online_meta.json +++ b/results/moirai_1_1_large/online_meta.json @@ -1,19 +1,25 @@ { "model": "Moirai-1.1-Large", "api_model_id": "Salesforce/moirai-1.1-R-large", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:07:47.946311+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:06.371818+00:00", "datasets": [ { "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260621t090000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24 }, { - "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260621t084000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", - "context_length": 75, - "prediction_length": 72 + "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260622t030600z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 240, + "prediction_length": 60 + }, + { + "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260622t065000z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 96, + "prediction_length": 24 } ], "failed_datasets": [] diff --git a/results/moving_average/all_results.csv b/results/moving_average/all_results.csv index b34c66a0a34b078b688055fb7e9feed16aee719a..496ad0c3fcbd3bcbffb9ae73fdbbf1a79f41fcff 100644 --- a/results/moving_average/all_results.csv +++ b/results/moving_average/all_results.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates -binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Moving-Average,58234.12146689474,57082.86277346543,186.27164427997073,0.17666171472318726,0.0029091985265032676,0.0029084374628974134,1.5705342040062311,241.31747028943997,0.0037647710344141734,0.00290600630810865,0.0021429859874853474,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Moving-Average,58340.5736451787,57180.60621471922,186.62955443622073,0.17700115995740084,0.002914763125066416,0.002914013919009308,1.5705342040062311,241.53793417427977,0.0037681896501777696,0.0029115739432317373,0.0021460761977832687,Finance,1 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Moving-Average,6.515449648564218,6.7803991656933915,2.1180077483207227,1.2450653179012066,0.07820458479476648,0.08103448001915808,18.137880619109865,2.5525378838646486,0.09772818313582761,0.0810914699520931,0.07041852511819074,Weather,1 -noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moving-Average,0.823522704722648,0.8281688808765324,0.8380167005409588,2.329225822884143,1.0778937223168483,0.6350247480758172,88.00920530794075,0.9074815175653155,0.9194651781784305,0.8490830501392937,0.8368040557013041,Ocean,1 +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moving-Average,0.856960258785027,0.8608796541025788,0.8705959252452004,2.3856300572306797,1.131005392242083,0.6666532689621442,90.3477401544349,0.9257214801359138,0.9852293413750084,0.9265601678672967,0.9141264648945658,Ocean,1 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Moving-Average,0.07251963658166208,0.07378923305647676,0.25270274142782256,2.824325668166805,0.15547270717755296,0.1703493800936292,34.26415162529534,0.2692947021047055,0.1691903797459221,0.15876611181301728,0.14549455096440472,Ocean,1 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Moving-Average,0.0008842489813567677,0.003533977819402824,0.05263157894736873,0.03839385817000309,0.003765577802069255,0.00375652906882649,0.545522893439121,0.029736324274475614,0.002125288292230123,0.0037616377029639028,0.0033647964099130724,Weather,1 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Moving-Average,163.88320257493845,155.75261208211904,10.941672099427407,0.9456776607032561,0.6317270879462447,0.4348173611749074,19.23942308606874,12.801687489348366,0.5891476505165115,0.5035477092737445,0.4668591920187868,Air Quality,1 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Moving-Average,5.3006208091612415,4.734428893934204,1.9570063858087565,1.052552928506624,0.08410384992341452,0.0799983765572301,17.430547779131118,2.302307713830026,0.09673562649744377,0.08222716609665354,0.07472812570171473,Weather,1 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Moving-Average,13.970188217614274,16.770159531236924,3.4346307385229538,0.655081889201729,0.5925639255261261,0.3986237030560247,4.863575766919172,3.737671496749584,0.46239235011335056,0.4249027717760355,0.3151479172239713,Hazards,1 -usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Moving-Average,2774.968824542979,2864.000942597752,50.635964912281,1.1856225930680429,0.022170765746609825,0.021898393513530512,22.765254313513253,52.677972859089586,0.023003481597855716,0.022111775070865064,0.02006586040955546,Hydrology,1 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100644 --- a/results/online_status.json +++ b/results/online_status.json @@ -1,8 +1,8 @@ { "status": "ok", - "started_at": "2026-06-22T09:05:00.184955+00:00", - "finished_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:17.912680+00:00", - "task_count": 2, + "started_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:19.305479+00:00", + "finished_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:37.548083+00:00", + "task_count": 3, "data_source": "ts_bench", "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml", "ts_bench_root": "/Users/bytedance/Desktop/TSFM_Bench/space/vendor/ts_bench", @@ -10,19 +10,25 @@ "Chronos-2": { "model": "Chronos-2", "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:05:46.037285+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:13:00.870360+00:00", "datasets": [ { "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260621t090000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24 }, { - "dataset": 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-binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,160594.28320884705,160594.28320884705,312.6866861979167,0.2965548855724301,0.004883781908991243,0.004885640203058559,3.6445091884203014,400.7421654990239,0.006251940628789016,0.00487819542295436,0.0053987321568255316,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,160575.05252838135,160575.05252838135,312.3287760416667,0.2962154403382165,0.004878203112358007,0.004880063740867301,3.6445091884203014,400.71817094858744,0.006251531750359005,0.004872584777858147,0.005398081917080484,Finance,1 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,1.7532413112009333,1.7532413112009333,1.0474998156229656,0.6157700282135944,0.04044207999607503,0.04177599314334709,12.361503750354183,1.3241001892609687,0.050695390890872924,0.04010528284930056,0.03495354683521942,Weather,1 -noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.8271954202119528,0.8271954202119528,0.8378500014543533,2.328762491047293,1.076543445549801,0.6348583522864057,87.36843446837108,0.9095028423330808,0.9215131953575969,0.848914149723802,0.836588055640587,Ocean,1 +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.8689952720277963,0.8689952720277963,0.8771333346764246,2.403544040036377,1.1357368477849448,0.6695252754371451,90.46654458216435,0.9321991589932895,0.9921234228144431,0.9335178195221749,0.9206277006478272,Ocean,1 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.08111113124423912,0.08111113124423912,0.2500000380807453,2.794118973955808,0.15391380970525456,0.1706019394628306,96.04877458225316,0.2848001601899815,0.17893202828590085,0.157068078386965,0.15216600389171592,Ocean,1 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.001666679382348472,0.001666679382348472,0.016666730244954426,0.01215810146646707,0.0011947630530262632,0.0011947477041458399,0.6124011958921997,0.040824984780750036,0.002917807237509723,0.0011911898166164312,0.004656874153387603,Weather,1 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,180.59750247637535,180.59750247637535,11.658333460489908,1.0076179778035526,0.5810377902209306,0.4234008244752612,37.06845065402002,13.438657019076548,0.6184616844829092,0.5365292484213956,0.5264519074032505,Air Quality,1 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,4.707498308818231,4.707498308818231,1.9749996662139893,1.0622304033075771,0.08273438978499788,0.07887373430275015,27.327197590640793,2.16967700564352,0.09116290718970291,0.08298318634637454,0.07613522380954246,Weather,1 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,24.5,24.5,3.9166666666666665,0.747019867549669,0.5813219188219189,0.4394500643449022,27.92582794914142,4.949747468305833,0.6123398929862885,0.4845360824742268,0.4776059564719358,Hazards,1 -usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Seasonal-Naive,2545.8333333333335,2545.8333333333335,49.583333333333336,1.1609756097560975,0.021650955495703478,0.02141090106602078,4.047804872163215,50.456251677402015,0.022033297675721403,0.021652110625909753,0.014962396894711278,Hydrology,1 +usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Seasonal-Naive,2095.8333333333335,2095.8333333333335,44.583333333333336,0.6793650793650793,0.019630947800436064,0.01943014271853917,2.611428568996313,45.78027231606791,0.020167520844082777,0.019640234948604993,0.013258688203622105,Hydrology,1 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Seasonal-Naive,7551.857142857143,7551.857142857143,73.85714285714286,1.530991524558358,0.3288908310812257,0.29127747091684864,55.43516014261311,86.90142198409151,0.34543438608099974,0.2935831913685406,0.2867184049466844,Web,1 diff --git a/results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json b/results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json index 2cef4504f11b49e10c56b7735df3f3fc623cfbb7..2a81c2575a9b449a6b8e31eb5cb80dde0cd9ba26 100644 --- a/results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +++ b/results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ { "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "model": "Seasonal-Naive", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:15.094138+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:34.590417+00:00", "freq": "1h", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24, @@ -127,7 +127,7 @@ 63989.94921875, 64211.19140625, 64165.98828125, - 64178.0 + 64186.58984375 ], "p50": [ 63674.69921875, diff --git a/results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json b/results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json index 15f5f3f1fbac64a7cfa716313b4a3c256d09b6c1..a63c96f5b63dd63b5660ca905969ad187232efff 100644 --- a/results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json +++ b/results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json @@ -1,14 +1,11 @@ { "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short", "model": "Seasonal-Naive", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:00:48.908849+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:34.596763+00:00", "freq": "6min", "context_length": 240, "prediction_length": 60, "context": [ - 1.4980000257492065, - 1.4709999561309814, - 1.4429999589920044, 1.406000018119812, 1.3730000257492065, 1.3509999513626099, @@ -245,12 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2346.0, + 2346.0, + 2346.0, + 2346.0, + 2346.0, + 2346.0, 2346.0, 2346.0, 2346.0, @@ -470,10 +470,6 @@ ] }, "timestamps": [ - "2026-06-21 21:55:00", - "2026-06-21 22:10:00", - "2026-06-21 22:25:00", - "2026-06-21 22:40:00", "2026-06-21 22:55:00", "2026-06-21 23:10:00", "2026-06-21 23:25:00", @@ -589,6 +585,10 @@ "2026-06-23 02:55:00", "2026-06-23 03:10:00", "2026-06-23 03:25:00", - "2026-06-23 03:40:00" + "2026-06-23 03:40:00", + "2026-06-23 03:55:00", + "2026-06-23 04:10:00", + "2026-06-23 04:25:00", + "2026-06-23 04:40:00" ] } diff --git a/results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json b/results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json index 9b0d9da1c14bbbdb04f75353128f945913c20e0e..0f6d659f4d92ea2f9fab53436aabae3687fa7300 100644 --- a/results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json +++ b/results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json @@ -1,19 +1,25 @@ { "model": "Seasonal-Naive", "api_model_id": "baseline/seasonal-naive", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:15.117599+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:34.612601+00:00", "datasets": [ { "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260621t090000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24 }, { - "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260621t084000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", - "context_length": 75, - "prediction_length": 72 + "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260622t030600z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 240, + "prediction_length": 60 + }, + { + "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260622t065000z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 96, + "prediction_length": 24 } ], "failed_datasets": [] diff --git a/results/timer_s1/all_results.csv b/results/timer_s1/all_results.csv index 64141ee94e0249dce3c15037ede3d78494388e70..c7bafb75b748279e7faa2c82046a9298b256fbb9 100644 --- a/results/timer_s1/all_results.csv +++ b/results/timer_s1/all_results.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates -binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Timer-S1,74072.7360350291,74072.7360350291,188.61897786458334,0.17888794715747933,0.002951489063333656,0.002944167541005318,1.4219367035746255,272.16306883012084,0.004245990300411945,0.0029426268373925753,0.003158253492449568,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Timer-S1,74143.86928049724,74143.86928049724,188.97688802083334,0.17922739239169294,0.0029570568917857676,0.0029497440000935717,1.4219367035746255,272.2937187679827,0.004248005086147616,0.0029481942701766128,0.0031613380930999467,Finance,1 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Timer-S1,2.948132588207803,2.948132588207803,1.3634288311004639,0.8014880740524629,0.05065711783745042,0.052752069341342016,8.482682852042041,1.717012693082903,0.06573870342017786,0.05220115373830001,0.047538391949436994,Weather,1 -noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Timer-S1,0.01928675654508757,0.01928675654508757,0.12906980613867441,0.3587431195807739,0.1642644068176949,0.14800624235857052,2.9648095554032285,0.13887676747781671,0.14071069138291803,0.130774225151324,0.08186900622635167,Ocean,1 +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Timer-S1,0.0141388150367165,0.0141388150367165,0.08413814802964528,0.23055758599227688,0.12173841682061218,0.10801263465667092,3.089464525109737,0.11890674933205642,0.12655039430679,0.08954677399901073,0.06660134024131842,Ocean,1 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Timer-S1,0.07044643863552362,0.07044643863552362,0.22918887601958382,2.5615235582447937,0.13954369776375256,0.1535465900100198,51.512828296937904,0.265417479898223,0.1667544287511675,0.14399300344281402,0.12588675918464695,Ocean,1 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Timer-S1,0.0018490645722219294,0.0018490645722219294,0.03197685877482096,0.023326584629931063,0.0022889520036521527,0.0022842537275364915,0.5362358375011574,0.04300075083323464,0.0030733116662109675,0.002285421794204641,0.004745106922906084,Weather,1 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Timer-S1,181.80156042655122,181.80156042655122,10.917394558588663,0.9435793773861011,0.591296333226563,0.4072398058384949,3.8565467472939203,13.48338089748084,0.6205199262503167,0.5024304303089702,0.3134233353020373,Air Quality,1 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Timer-S1,3.2506474497859017,3.2506474497859017,1.5170040130615234,0.8159028136458231,0.06311044586184357,0.060499743456144534,4.722747064005053,1.8029551990512414,0.07575442660395028,0.06373966986303418,0.04028797048827417,Weather,1 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Timer-S1,15.660186205680171,15.660186205680171,3.282435099283854,0.6260538467508279,0.5673376945975213,0.3855954210444253,4.840622645498112,3.9572953144389125,0.48956230694089636,0.40607444527222936,0.29938023404430547,Hazards,1 -usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Timer-S1,2133.058055996895,2133.058055996895,36.8570556640625,0.8629944740853658,0.016182094494226546,0.01597804666171554,11.496452934451218,46.18504147445247,0.020168140381856974,0.016094784132778383,0.011500036247953057,Hydrology,1 +usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Timer-S1,2475.43399810791,2475.43399810791,44.3876953125,0.6763839285714286,0.01962815851649673,0.01938893360560066,20.112689732142858,49.75373350923436,0.021917944277195754,0.01955405079845815,0.01806668588243392,Hydrology,1 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Timer-S1,601.4396087442126,601.4396087442126,20.576241629464285,0.4265268100460789,0.08696922486299981,0.08228666870448333,3.0116496437187275,24.52426571264087,0.09748430436597733,0.08179085258730835,0.05892185873320082,Web,1 diff --git a/results/timer_s1/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json b/results/timer_s1/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json index 50cb2de2f2c81ed8c847a53a226d8d2fadf15dd0..87204afce85dd598168d58a4b80d0005d9802053 100644 --- a/results/timer_s1/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +++ b/results/timer_s1/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ { "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "model": "Timer-S1", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:04.659554+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:21.366502+00:00", "freq": "1h", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24, @@ -127,7 +127,7 @@ 63989.94921875, 64211.19140625, 64165.98828125, - 64178.0 + 64186.58984375 ], "p50": [ 64269.484375, diff --git a/results/timer_s1/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json b/results/timer_s1/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json index ebdc87c7c6543167a47e945fe655869be04923d6..01fe479d3515e3434bcd14f0677bd871bab4919e 100644 --- a/results/timer_s1/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json +++ b/results/timer_s1/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json @@ -1,14 +1,11 @@ { "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short", "model": "Timer-S1", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:00:46.366323+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:27.189147+00:00", "freq": "6min", "context_length": 240, "prediction_length": 60, "context": [ - 1.4980000257492065, - 1.4709999561309814, - 1.4429999589920044, 1.406000018119812, 1.3730000257492065, 1.3509999513626099, @@ -245,12 +242,12 @@ 1.7879999876022339, 1.7730000019073486, 1.7519999742507935, - 1.7350000143051147 - ], - "actuals": [ + 1.7350000143051147, 1.7120000123977661, 1.6779999732971191, - 1.6399999856948853, + 1.6399999856948853 + ], + "actuals": [ 1.6150000095367432, 1.5870000123977661, 1.5720000267028809, @@ -307,820 +304,820 @@ 0.6579999923706055, 0.6729999780654907, 0.6890000104904175, - 0.699999988079071 + 0.699999988079071, + 0.7149999737739563, + 0.7289999723434448, + 0.7440000176429749 ], 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+ 2381.330078125 ] }, "timestamps": [ - "2026-06-21 21:55:00", - "2026-06-21 22:10:00", - "2026-06-21 22:25:00", - "2026-06-21 22:40:00", "2026-06-21 22:55:00", "2026-06-21 23:10:00", "2026-06-21 23:25:00", @@ -589,6 +585,10 @@ "2026-06-23 02:55:00", "2026-06-23 03:10:00", "2026-06-23 03:25:00", - "2026-06-23 03:40:00" + "2026-06-23 03:40:00", + "2026-06-23 03:55:00", + "2026-06-23 04:10:00", + "2026-06-23 04:25:00", + "2026-06-23 04:40:00" ] } diff --git a/results/timer_s1/online_meta.json b/results/timer_s1/online_meta.json index 84025f98fb15a35a3d99320fff32425c8038cd13..50c99383263c696b6319ad6c0dbffca95cd08050 100644 --- a/results/timer_s1/online_meta.json +++ b/results/timer_s1/online_meta.json @@ -1,19 +1,25 @@ { "model": "Timer-S1", "api_model_id": "bytedance-research/Timer-S1", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:14.719175+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:15:34.120565+00:00", "datasets": [ { "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260621t090000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24 }, { - "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260621t084000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", - "context_length": 75, - "prediction_length": 72 + "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260622t030600z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 240, + "prediction_length": 60 + }, + { + "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260622t065000z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 96, + "prediction_length": 24 } ], "failed_datasets": [] diff --git a/results/timesfm_2_5/all_results.csv b/results/timesfm_2_5/all_results.csv index ab1e4380fc7ce35120a0b429faef8dd6991c63df..8d668a002fbbf8744ce4553f53b7ebaea6fff04b 100644 --- a/results/timesfm_2_5/all_results.csv +++ b/results/timesfm_2_5/all_results.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates -binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,108864.69733556111,70551.9927666982,165.49267578125,0.1569547527786965,0.0025907403816770335,0.0025840334295530727,7.461109517165525,329.94650677884306,0.00514746425170646,0.002581835585470292,0.0032671689499151526,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,108721.4396012624,70499.16327031453,165.134765625,0.1566153075444829,0.002585157506890987,0.002578456968958918,7.447531707796981,329.7293429485195,0.005144047876811036,0.002576237628428463,0.003261567206207638,Finance,1 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,3.589577484540617,5.182956781815695,1.962128718694051,1.153432237838048,0.07326675305609733,0.07700515387793742,13.585066502014532,1.8946180313035705,0.07253862091768065,0.07512338052600165,0.05341888644170538,Weather,1 -noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.0025795367960888883,0.008184100762093038,0.07730124394098918,0.21485497056584993,0.1043506693721147,0.11372407337641043,0.5184543359154593,0.0507891405330794,0.05145983168347676,0.0783220381438791,0.04910233081388622,Ocean,1 +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.04138509776357601,0.053640790231950716,0.21098803132772445,0.5781550024020432,0.2799482107554116,0.3477891894647062,10.660216226901841,0.2034332759495752,0.2165105129116519,0.22455090824132548,0.17388518415657908,Ocean,1 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.04964843371650613,0.06510982501530845,0.22367233203517067,2.4998680467663026,0.13637388962516894,0.1492665058243769,43.89287638637039,0.22281928488464847,0.13999116629368605,0.14052711211887314,0.1090057552670041,Ocean,1 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.001357357448834288,0.003351685954612549,0.05373191833496094,0.03919653738333867,0.0038405477833299995,0.0038475526851823733,1.2786855194396514,0.03684233229363049,0.00263316261819604,0.00384028018736594,0.0038981637585095955,Weather,1 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,71.56567019081938,44.08221255285374,5.2100919882456465,0.45030298465540386,0.27815704781247413,0.23527862069548697,29.61956095685405,8.459649531205141,0.38932231783110904,0.2397741279346031,0.3575228647923106,Air Quality,1 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,2.722533531895048,1.8014171689367988,1.247358798980713,0.6708772982480986,0.052116359746950815,0.05071552361415397,32.471654660640446,1.6500101611490299,0.06932816395787986,0.05241003805080707,0.06173748337228765,Weather,1 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,13.258750059960448,10.919653097137939,2.6516929070154824,0.5057533491526218,0.4208541104641775,0.32582464503030734,21.776197185895303,3.641256659446083,0.4504647413747731,0.32804448334212155,0.37531086144988074,Hazards,1 -usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TimesFM-2.5,374.34226889908314,254.34291165322065,10.453786214192709,0.24477157964939023,0.004604937876434345,0.004582570519498529,16.52071670160061,19.34792673386694,0.008448876302998664,0.004564972145935681,0.00686491868612779,Hydrology,1 +usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TimesFM-2.5,1019.1842645083865,896.1101985226074,26.10906982421875,0.39785249255952376,0.01155054307433448,0.01146357790405327,18.87632781498016,31.92466545648343,0.01406372927598389,0.011501792874105176,0.012932585599391724,Hydrology,1 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,TimesFM-2.5,587.0931736621008,474.79592066065277,18.537806919642858,0.37411023011109457,0.07661461844080557,0.0753195920209184,14.19238810506537,24.230005647174348,0.09753308771145512,0.07462026937176539,0.08000017268140815,Web,1 diff --git a/results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json b/results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json index 579aa4247202266dd2146331ac7a5350f70beab0..ef2a69bef2a578f5267ced06fa1d3cfc3bf66b72 100644 --- a/results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +++ b/results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ { "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "model": "TimesFM-2.5", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:06:05.364737+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:13:21.206753+00:00", "freq": "1h", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24, @@ -127,7 +127,7 @@ 63989.94921875, 64211.19140625, 64165.98828125, - 64178.0 + 64186.58984375 ], "p50": [ 64191.68359375, diff --git a/results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json b/results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json index 07bb181d6053630286ab46fb5d7c1ed6cea985d8..e6ee0cd20a3e3e491d048ee6758d39fb7056ed42 100644 --- a/results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json +++ b/results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json @@ -1,14 +1,11 @@ { "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short", "model": "TimesFM-2.5", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T08:58:45.181986+00:00", + "evaluated_at": 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"2026-06-21 22:55:00", "2026-06-21 23:10:00", "2026-06-21 23:25:00", @@ -589,6 +585,10 @@ "2026-06-23 02:55:00", "2026-06-23 03:10:00", "2026-06-23 03:25:00", - "2026-06-23 03:40:00" + "2026-06-23 03:40:00", + "2026-06-23 03:55:00", + "2026-06-23 04:10:00", + "2026-06-23 04:25:00", + "2026-06-23 04:40:00" ] } diff --git a/results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json b/results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json index dceb9abf3113025d29a7da4fa9d45c5fccbc6ee4..87ab97d0a6e7711139a0f9847f5ca6eb16d80e7e 100644 --- a/results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json +++ b/results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json @@ -1,19 +1,25 @@ { "model": "TimesFM-2.5", "api_model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:06:16.139113+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:13:36.955563+00:00", "datasets": [ { "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260621t090000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24 }, { - "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260621t084000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", - "context_length": 75, - "prediction_length": 72 + "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260622t030600z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 240, + "prediction_length": 60 + }, + { + "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260622t065000z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 96, + "prediction_length": 24 } ], "failed_datasets": [] diff --git a/results/tirex/all_results.csv b/results/tirex/all_results.csv index 3024036e5b31bbd8ad9d56b1e080b58b9112ea67..cbd25def0d4edff5276837097ca0c9cc7b9e97f8 100644 --- a/results/tirex/all_results.csv +++ b/results/tirex/all_results.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates -binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TiRex,162760.92577616373,162760.92577616373,326.9052734375,0.31003992250542994,0.00511281704429374,0.005093255488725986,1.951304710781546,403.43639619667897,0.006293973067130075,0.0051000182579346446,0.004200169058110321,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TiRex,162523.46497027078,162523.46497027078,326.54736328125,0.30970047727121636,0.00510721175935206,0.005087679063341808,1.951304710781546,403.1419910779213,0.006289345330062218,0.005094406387202908,0.0041982846204072395,Finance,1 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,TiRex,9.855665422515358,9.855665422515358,2.683756430943807,1.5776392019867505,0.0983396143140401,0.10510877462090051,21.196612720606296,3.139373412404991,0.12019616308877151,0.10275210473198959,0.08458840255714449,Weather,1 -noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TiRex,0.0024582310789500756,0.0024582310789500756,0.040773158272107445,0.1133269695778493,0.05119727599949338,0.05090947504206928,1.8559039954386918,0.04958055141837448,0.05023528266050817,0.04131158432420893,0.08085412262900385,Ocean,1 +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TiRex,0.06673718305529987,0.06673718305529987,0.22723861436049145,0.6226852812677214,0.30524413261575245,0.3933680783659819,2.6906515602174603,0.25833540805569,0.27494190141853797,0.24184612236553726,0.20427690986260416,Ocean,1 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,TiRex,0.06653551569700787,0.06653551569700787,0.22390677862697178,2.5024883330492953,0.13642105495248172,0.14961616359802637,39.19388498747145,0.25794479195558084,0.16205954652416096,0.14067440839907083,0.12024209074861769,Ocean,1 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TiRex,0.0007746638807475392,0.0007746638807475392,0.013559341430664062,0.009891313203583635,0.0009725444803751204,0.0009707526039097048,0.42435232854230015,0.02783278427947048,0.001989240163758214,0.0009691012691059768,0.003851659211862866,Weather,1 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TiRex,133.3880115150232,133.3880115150232,9.908097902933756,0.8563468875434106,0.5412946912289779,0.3903887963688126,3.861661712882494,11.549372775827404,0.5315147586190944,0.455981495053519,0.29591832878719926,Air Quality,1 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,TiRex,3.7497860801574157,3.7497860801574157,1.7519033749898274,0.9422406800395482,0.07337537121172476,0.07030094667196302,7.467422826068543,1.9364364384501278,0.08136288252030824,0.07360939179615623,0.04675074139057303,Weather,1 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,TiRex,12.003952168420634,12.003952168420634,2.8113903204600015,0.5362121935711791,0.452394219575321,0.34293256775737907,3.367137537570979,3.4646720145521184,0.4286192182951074,0.3478008643868043,0.2786722931528691,Hazards,1 -usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TiRex,523.4890477731824,523.4890477731824,13.283152262369791,0.3110201505335366,0.0058625972914637635,0.005811881970555289,9.973224561737805,22.879883036702402,0.009991215299870045,0.00580050317134052,0.006791028536852558,Hydrology,1 +usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TiRex,1213.7464255367715,1213.7464255367715,30.199737548828125,0.46018647693452386,0.013362495996745041,0.013244727280739882,14.865785435267858,34.83886372338758,0.01534751705876105,0.013303849140452918,0.012679919869772547,Hydrology,1 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,TiRex,470.9839568113176,470.9839568113176,18.29669407435826,0.3692443480559426,0.07939229194969974,0.07648632261901081,1.7100045810649784,21.702164795506405,0.08735776513429835,0.07364971737809535,0.062455629691568246,Web,1 diff --git a/results/tirex/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json b/results/tirex/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json index 8db3591bd9cfe5ce0d8d14f0d28a5df0ebe0f05a..ab314690b8221a5e0d9e2ea701ea2a91707445a7 100644 --- a/results/tirex/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +++ b/results/tirex/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ { "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "model": "TiRex", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:07:06.999462+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:14:20.390471+00:00", "freq": "1h", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24, @@ -127,7 +127,7 @@ 63989.94921875, 64211.19140625, 64165.98828125, - 64178.0 + 64186.58984375 ], "p50": [ 64252.4375, diff --git a/results/tirex/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json b/results/tirex/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json index a6a6fa9f4ab0f052c6abc5f18ebed4e45c117ad5..e6a4f24fabb8e266f96928ba5bb819bdeabd0319 100644 --- a/results/tirex/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json +++ b/results/tirex/forecasts/noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level__6min__short.json @@ -1,14 +1,11 @@ { "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short", "model": "TiRex", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T08:59:39.855612+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:14:24.840755+00:00", "freq": "6min", "context_length": 240, 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"2026-06-21 22:40:00", "2026-06-21 22:55:00", "2026-06-21 23:10:00", "2026-06-21 23:25:00", @@ -589,6 +585,10 @@ "2026-06-23 02:55:00", "2026-06-23 03:10:00", "2026-06-23 03:25:00", - "2026-06-23 03:40:00" + "2026-06-23 03:40:00", + "2026-06-23 03:55:00", + "2026-06-23 04:10:00", + "2026-06-23 04:25:00", + "2026-06-23 04:40:00" ] } diff --git a/results/tirex/online_meta.json b/results/tirex/online_meta.json index 406f465a2da07eec69e1b50eca29ae41896e6b35..d880787e8d513687548907a012e2c672cb119f3e 100644 --- a/results/tirex/online_meta.json +++ b/results/tirex/online_meta.json @@ -1,19 +1,25 @@ { "model": "TiRex", "api_model_id": "NX-AI/TiRex-1.1-gifteval", - "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:07:16.783675+00:00", + "evaluated_at": "2026-06-22T09:14:31.880254+00:00", "datasets": [ { "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260621t090000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", "context_length": 96, "prediction_length": 24 }, { - "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260621t084000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", - "context_length": 75, - "prediction_length": 72 + "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260622t030600z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 240, + "prediction_length": 60 + }, + { + "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260622t065000z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 96, + "prediction_length": 24 } ], "failed_datasets": [] diff --git a/results/toto_2_0_1b/all_results.csv b/results/toto_2_0_1b/all_results.csv index 24fb7ab912e9bfba9ba97c52405282ed56e5b9af..40c4632feef8c68913439852cb291fd035971a16 100644 --- a/results/toto_2_0_1b/all_results.csv +++ b/results/toto_2_0_1b/all_results.csv @@ -1,11 +1,11 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates -binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-2.0-1B,80294.53808720906,80294.53808720906,188.83203125,0.17909000891809124,0.0029558265387583907,0.002947429122859467,1.716241124358697,283.36290880637335,0.004420717944797145,0.0029459506631116105,0.0038965561854421116,Finance,1 +binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-2.0-1B,80248.18732388814,80248.18732388814,188.47412109375,0.17875056368387762,0.002950244450347183,0.0029418526618415985,1.716241124358697,283.2811100724652,0.004419417391786243,0.0029403506942283306,0.0038946734252882456,Finance,1 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-2.0-1B,2.798250478824381,2.798250478824381,1.3657325903574626,0.8028423329091442,0.05059441203952603,0.052515978918996044,5.544524686492617,1.6727972019418196,0.0640458393718159,0.05228935701551365,0.046814282234150885,Weather,1 -noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-2.0-1B,0.001372819220975785,0.001372819220975785,0.031840093930562335,0.08849796064714309,0.03586433254433423,0.03501126046474057,1.439990050302152,0.03705157514837642,0.03754085618954926,0.03226055525365049,0.060711096100138175,Ocean,1 +noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-2.0-1B,0.02848677195358184,0.02848677195358184,0.1468047151962916,0.40227817631563584,0.1995841686736322,0.23544236581549063,1.2162981274298095,0.16878024752198298,0.179629894813265,0.1562417162906846,0.1276891523201256,Ocean,1 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"task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260621t084000z", - "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:04:59.515938Z", - "context_length": 75, - "prediction_length": 72 + "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260622t030600z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 240, + "prediction_length": 60 + }, + { + "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260622t065000z", + "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-22T09:12:18.670914Z", + "context_length": 96, + "prediction_length": 24 } ], "failed_datasets": []