Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-30T04:09:03.312729+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:10.035654+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27818,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2740,
+  "num_model_releases": 27830,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2741,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2466,
-      "num_unique_releases": 206,
+      "num_model_releases": 2478,
+      "num_unique_releases": 207,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26591,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2552,
+      "num_model_releases": 26603,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2553,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 5430
+    "prequential-v1": 5442
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,193.64446911942545,3.438028930407185,0.26718939459984553,3.1875944354633323,23.29093504132125,0.6690595882869556,11,2680,13,34.46875,781.2115679067806,-0.32763147756116817,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,193.80401038476273,3.522303943995241,0.34459823764561115,3.2559033603412564,20.059157179010704,0.6672506631965874,11,2671,13,34.46875,781.585389425669,-0.620126536676021,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,193.86412420689712,3.4803583784522645,0.18945546081745926,3.2462041859023487,16.173459040435468,0.6084222193830509,11,2666,13,34.46875,781.8712292744625,-0.620126536676021,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,194.73776743040773,3.563040699148272,0.4832484719803291,3.264389584694608,4.9167401436396725,0.5788853136781448,11,1922,13,29.125,785.0608279292065,-0.24595492912420727,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,193.9935563431534,3.664733345225218,0.35284269070748464,3.414174087094596,-10.616745074348447,0.558456153060992,11,1811,13,31.125,781.190156397884,-0.4681771513464296,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,195.6153930378029,3.662133091914785,0.5027002678033098,3.336756987648861,1.4295223513475743,0.5235332252610707,11,1909,13,29.125,787.8639629390365,-0.912621595790874,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,195.61907059427773,3.5759252361850598,0.32622081962472776,3.2626104178227875,-0.50544522653394,0.5128811622648135,11,2160,13,31.125,788.2283010450695,-0.4222222222222222,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,196.5325100366261,3.744084559932112,0.608353446758644,3.3989703870045345,0.0,0.38680236507990295,11,2511,13,34.46875,791.0377164040988,0.0,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,197.03689281510916,3.7361223640286787,0.599322288789598,3.417406058535502,-17.672406057178254,0.38017701206892834,11,2511,13,34.46875,793.5823143695399,-0.3162277660168379,0.14285714285714285,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,193.88876403961075,3.88343766425971,0.5955451634943991,3.8147299549163565,-27.922723315462864,0.3742819517657104,11,2511,13,34.46875,779.4303448431646,-0.46817715134642945,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,196.248471274055,3.9932778808169798,0.42681688523206013,3.2793610290421396,-15.965265429543447,0.3741511178964434,11,1936,13,29.125,787.3235403312923,-0.15555555555555559,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,196.1893924690447,4.166455453740183,0.7394114310988326,3.8004888510083057,-32.291563407364464,0.36609922805739986,11,2511,13,34.46875,784.0553610248666,-0.5384499882390601,0.14285714285714285,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,193.64446911942545,3.438028930407185,0.26718939459984553,3.1875944354633323,23.29093504132125,0.6690595882869556,11,2681,13,34.46875,781.2115679067806,-0.32763147756116817,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,193.80401038476273,3.522303943995241,0.34459823764561115,3.2559033603412564,20.059157179010704,0.6672506631965874,11,2672,13,34.46875,781.585389425669,-0.620126536676021,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,193.86412420689712,3.4803583784522645,0.18945546081745926,3.2462041859023487,16.173459040435468,0.6084222193830509,11,2667,13,34.46875,781.8712292744625,-0.620126536676021,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,194.73776743040773,3.563040699148272,0.4832484719803291,3.264389584694608,4.9167401436396725,0.5788853136781448,11,1923,13,29.125,785.0608279292065,-0.24595492912420727,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,193.9935563431534,3.664733345225218,0.35284269070748464,3.414174087094596,-10.616745074348447,0.558456153060992,11,1812,13,31.125,781.190156397884,-0.4681771513464296,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,195.6153930378029,3.662133091914785,0.5027002678033098,3.336756987648861,1.4295223513475743,0.5235332252610707,11,1910,13,29.125,787.8639629390365,-0.912621595790874,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,195.61907059427773,3.5759252361850598,0.32622081962472776,3.2626104178227875,-0.50544522653394,0.5128812538914634,11,2161,13,31.125,788.2283010450695,-0.4222222222222222,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,196.5325100366261,3.744084559932112,0.608353446758644,3.3989703870045345,0.0,0.38680236507990295,11,2512,13,34.46875,791.0377164040988,0.0,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,197.03689281510916,3.7361223640286787,0.599322288789598,3.417406058535502,-17.672406057178254,0.38017698152671175,11,2512,13,34.46875,793.5823143695399,-0.3162277660168379,0.14285714285714285,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,193.88876403961075,3.88343766425971,0.5955451634943991,3.8147299549163565,-27.922723315462864,0.3742819212234938,11,2512,13,34.46875,779.4303448431646,-0.46817715134642945,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,196.248471274055,3.9932778808169798,0.42681688523206013,3.2793610290421396,-15.965265429543447,0.3741511178964434,11,1937,13,29.125,787.3235403312923,-0.15555555555555559,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,196.1893924690447,4.166455453740183,0.7394114310988326,3.8004888510083057,-32.291563407364464,0.3660991975151834,11,2512,13,34.46875,784.0553610248666,-0.5384499882390601,0.14285714285714285,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-29T04:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,15.239897859904232,0.901048483104018,0.1548565306026782,0.6622461194917094,22.838300605926754,0.6690595882869556,11,2680,13,34.46875,136.4562248202112,0.019190627922101824,0.23076923076923078,13,2517,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,15.39739734180183,0.9005562656767363,0.1895023703088925,0.6928342270788045,24.53903461278223,0.6672506631965874,11,2671,13,34.46875,139.11264513318267,0.020447371797183016,0.3076923076923077,13,2504,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.291133001124964,0.9005596272483474,0.13700323477956117,0.7406992325742251,23.341632180734337,0.6084222193830509,11,2666,13,34.46875,136.70613360141996,0.02101967941113391,0.23076923076923078,13,2498,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,18.964699125331904,0.9471157619161314,0.24052342246408792,0.6930558742857736,22.199859606845248,0.5788853136781448,11,1922,13,29.125,155.31691524744969,0.06332808667780647,0.23076923076923078,13,1922,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.716132556473227,0.9981454424556762,0.20298864124009625,0.8428840553795296,18.27860198272448,0.558456153060992,11,1811,13,31.125,162.3845507874026,0.04985123682012013,0.23076923076923078,13,1812,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.243386009848898,0.993584447317904,0.27586325396117223,0.7412796604919597,11.5411935730001,0.5235332252610707,11,1909,13,29.125,156.24388833860218,0.022997693694017777,0.15384615384615385,13,1909,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,18.564900214543123,1.0327747006149604,0.22411709154183493,0.7858926738426264,16.044363997604048,0.5128811622648135,11,2160,13,31.125,150.44897504584685,0.0063299929730214095,0.3076923076923077,13,2147,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.15595927072993,1.2560789559232828,0.34098065730172983,0.9805046204472379,0.0,0.38680236507990295,11,2511,13,34.46875,141.62377015477801,0.027201234219787096,0.23076923076923078,13,2338,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,16.892138782232788,1.1615436554645537,0.3164168930654245,0.9356360041893635,2.6850309083573025,0.38017701206892834,11,2511,13,34.46875,141.85276157541333,0.07976284316644308,0.07692307692307693,13,2336,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,16.78545965829615,1.1633283246064934,0.3351722615580132,0.9219099971249531,1.5967004531805107,0.3742819517657104,11,2511,13,34.46875,141.79419447592238,0.0627638992178676,0.15384615384615385,13,2336,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.602590942127947,1.6770921708871616,0.2817679303767769,0.7234731981372372,-19.01389910274924,0.3741511178964434,11,1936,13,29.125,211.3614140331845,-0.011697803640097771,0.23076923076923078,13,1936,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,18.431513752532883,1.4053510594848482,0.3033654302510692,1.1167122642915905,-3.5900164079107237,0.36609922805739986,11,2511,13,34.46875,146.47919370602278,0.08448100378881603,0.15384615384615385,13,2336,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,15.239897859904232,0.901048483104018,0.1548565306026782,0.6622461194917094,22.838300605926754,0.6690595882869556,11,2681,13,34.46875,136.4562248202112,0.019190627922101824,0.23076923076923078,13,2518,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,15.39739734180183,0.9005562656767363,0.1895023703088925,0.6928342270788045,24.53903461278223,0.6672506631965874,11,2672,13,34.46875,139.11264513318267,0.020447371797183016,0.3076923076923077,13,2505,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.291133001124964,0.9005596272483474,0.13700323477956117,0.7406992325742251,23.341632180734337,0.6084222193830509,11,2667,13,34.46875,136.70613360141996,0.02101967941113391,0.23076923076923078,13,2499,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,18.964699125331904,0.9471157619161314,0.24052342246408792,0.6930558742857736,22.199859606845248,0.5788853136781448,11,1923,13,29.125,155.31691524744969,0.06332808667780647,0.23076923076923078,13,1923,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.716132556473227,0.9981454424556762,0.20298864124009625,0.8428840553795296,18.27860198272448,0.558456153060992,11,1812,13,31.125,162.3845507874026,0.04985123682012013,0.23076923076923078,13,1813,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.243386009848898,0.993584447317904,0.27586325396117223,0.7412796604919597,11.5411935730001,0.5235332252610707,11,1910,13,29.125,156.24388833860218,0.022997693694017777,0.15384615384615385,13,1910,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,18.564900214543123,1.032774700614687,0.22411709154183493,0.7858926738426515,16.044363997604048,0.5128812538914634,11,2161,13,31.125,150.44897504584685,0.0063299929730214095,0.3076923076923077,13,2148,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.15595927072993,1.2560789559232828,0.34098065730172983,0.9805046204472379,0.0,0.38680236507990295,11,2512,13,34.46875,141.62377015477801,0.027201234219787096,0.23076923076923078,13,2339,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,16.892138782232788,1.1615436554645537,0.3164168930654245,0.9356360041893635,2.6850309083573025,0.38017698152671175,11,2512,13,34.46875,141.85276157541333,0.07976284316644308,0.07692307692307693,13,2337,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,16.78545965829615,1.1633283246064934,0.3351722615580132,0.9219099971249531,1.5967004531805107,0.3742819212234938,11,2512,13,34.46875,141.79419447592238,0.0627638992178676,0.15384615384615385,13,2337,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.603104139697532,1.677365790548887,0.2817679303767769,0.7234731989609118,-19.01389910274924,0.3741511178964434,11,1937,13,29.125,211.36132625316623,-0.011351184970238643,0.23076923076923078,13,1937,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,18.431513752532883,1.4053510594848482,0.3033654302510692,1.1167122642915905,-3.5900164079107237,0.3660991975151834,11,2512,13,34.46875,146.47919370602278,0.08448100378881603,0.15384615384615385,13,2337,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T02:20:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,140.61238667145676,1.9343044138710643,0.164446920361167,1.7288297147294374,15.807633203654483,0.6690595882869556,11,2680,13,34.46875,451.4946233781509,-0.17615755240541348,0.09090909090909091,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,141.45727570100632,1.9039586311067225,0.17051072367801082,2.0283690172965128,19.844267223590453,0.6672506631965874,11,2671,13,34.46875,460.2034749826222,-0.11594576824052648,0.09090909090909091,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,140.54427674478487,1.9244555138681192,0.14343516168544027,1.7884667267589165,13.391796693711592,0.6084222193830509,11,2666,13,34.46875,451.5034140569111,-0.20140324458806472,0.09090909090909091,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,140.72683930119527,1.9631859680052548,0.2630927248225825,1.7341127026158951,12.75025227594678,0.5788853136781448,11,1922,13,29.125,451.6875812843316,-0.11018543068303743,0.0,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,140.78892054096073,2.0199345729056217,0.23533229169854022,1.8846251198600148,7.354546089942443,0.558456153060992,11,1811,13,31.125,451.5996749358133,-0.09315029311223505,0.0,11,205,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,140.70895376728242,1.9739597606035524,0.28946345234222365,1.7665494033955995,4.150582304787195,0.5235332252610707,11,1909,13,29.125,451.7544595272939,-0.12453041720113647,0.0,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,140.8817777156987,1.975300599791153,0.26217171812652695,1.7725611678839266,11.449439751983403,0.5128811622648135,11,2160,13,31.125,451.5635898136403,-0.24820886962924452,0.18181818181818182,11,205,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,141.42130897420378,2.1747459027017366,0.40370611074166085,1.793069199174043,0.0,0.38680236507990295,11,2511,13,34.46875,452.00266902106125,-0.11480089900789477,0.09090909090909091,11,205,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,141.29804082848557,2.1747051296133297,0.4248256692782988,1.9700032823486773,-9.762972341078944,0.38017701206892834,11,2511,13,34.46875,451.77239836525496,-0.24660186029998074,0.09090909090909091,11,205,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,141.12747507806617,2.266735075229248,0.34981331201040294,1.9928023240192465,-13.826959012721051,0.3742819517657104,11,2511,13,34.46875,451.5735101268976,-0.018034618076678735,0.09090909090909091,11,205,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,185.37151907491668,2.5533534575271,0.24474230946552197,1.6534870116698535,-25.86441523301397,0.3741511178964434,11,1936,13,29.125,576.8701705883868,-0.13206608278938536,0.09090909090909091,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,142.61734628170217,2.5785629461854858,0.4697530826001883,2.2982323637753477,-20.373724513722344,0.36609922805739986,11,2511,13,34.46875,453.505495842816,-0.03616703152576467,0.0,11,205,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,140.61238667145676,1.9343044138710643,0.164446920361167,1.7288297147294374,15.807633203654483,0.6690595882869556,11,2681,13,34.46875,451.4946233781509,-0.17615755240541348,0.09090909090909091,11,207,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,141.45727570100632,1.9039586311067225,0.17051072367801082,2.0283690172965128,19.844267223590453,0.6672506631965874,11,2672,13,34.46875,460.2034749826222,-0.11594576824052648,0.09090909090909091,11,207,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,140.54427674478487,1.9244555138681192,0.14343516168544027,1.7884667267589165,13.391796693711592,0.6084222193830509,11,2667,13,34.46875,451.5034140569111,-0.20140324458806472,0.09090909090909091,11,207,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,140.72683930119527,1.9631859680052548,0.2630927248225825,1.7341127026158951,12.75025227594678,0.5788853136781448,11,1923,13,29.125,451.6875812843316,-0.11018543068303743,0.0,11,207,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,140.78892054096073,2.0199345729056217,0.23533229169854022,1.8846251198600148,7.354546089942443,0.558456153060992,11,1812,13,31.125,451.5996749358133,-0.09315029311223505,0.0,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,140.70895376728242,1.9739597606035524,0.28946345234222365,1.7665494033955995,4.150582304787195,0.5235332252610707,11,1910,13,29.125,451.7544595272939,-0.12453041720113647,0.0,11,207,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,140.8817777156987,1.9753005997902717,0.26217171812652695,1.772561167884139,11.449439751983403,0.5128812538914634,11,2161,13,31.125,451.5635898136403,-0.24820886962924452,0.18181818181818182,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,141.42130897420378,2.1747459027017366,0.40370611074166085,1.793069199174043,0.0,0.38680236507990295,11,2512,13,34.46875,452.00266902106125,-0.11480089900789477,0.09090909090909091,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,141.29804082848557,2.1747051296133297,0.4248256692782988,1.9700032823486773,-9.762972341078944,0.38017698152671175,11,2512,13,34.46875,451.77239836525496,-0.24660186029998074,0.09090909090909091,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,141.12747507806617,2.266735075229248,0.34981331201040294,1.9928023240192465,-13.826959012721051,0.3742819212234938,11,2512,13,34.46875,451.5735101268976,-0.018034618076678735,0.09090909090909091,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,185.37494285162327,2.555048323056507,0.24474230946552197,1.653487017163294,-25.86441523301397,0.3741511178964434,11,1937,13,29.125,576.8791372360803,-0.13007904054374775,0.09090909090909091,11,207,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,142.61734628170217,2.5785629461854858,0.4697530826001883,2.2982323637753477,-20.373724513722344,0.3660991975151834,11,2512,13,34.46875,453.505495842816,-0.03616703152576467,0.0,11,206,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-23T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,15.20065110905645,0.8937239377360141,0.1595855540811949,0.6573975798558322,23.51782160705088,0.6690595882869556,11,2680,13,34.46875,136.30960528511025,0.03184941741642475,0.23076923076923078,13,2685,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,15.369354212968647,0.8969080505643137,0.19489237513970423,0.6900315782371714,24.80863619706493,0.6672506631965874,11,2671,13,34.46875,138.9674390379394,0.03157193923246989,0.23076923076923078,13,2671,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.254282217764201,0.8936344799467592,0.13715137087264503,0.7355018526881735,23.890806166104504,0.6084222193830509,11,2666,13,34.46875,136.561606207296,0.03261972566597339,0.23076923076923078,13,2666,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,18.964699125331904,0.9471157619161314,0.24052342246408792,0.6930558742857736,22.199859606845248,0.5788853136781448,11,1922,13,29.125,155.31691524744969,0.06332808667780647,0.23076923076923078,13,1922,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.714494432451236,0.9970897979469994,0.20276735827743064,0.841865125037099,18.45123087787983,0.558456153060992,11,1811,13,31.125,162.3831518994619,0.04544584164549416,0.23076923076923078,13,1814,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.243386009848898,0.993584447317904,0.27586325396117223,0.7412796604919597,11.5411935730001,0.5235332252610707,11,1909,13,29.125,156.24388833860218,0.022997693694017777,0.15384615384615385,13,1909,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,18.564239204143057,1.0326603756605175,0.22403188464021603,0.7855252616483195,16.177869036676984,0.5128811622648135,11,2160,13,31.125,150.44723331195462,3.3155906953579e-05,0.3076923076923077,13,2162,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.11844033135731,1.2526930578349464,0.3684952179564504,0.9803087909289953,0.0,0.38680236507990295,11,2511,13,34.46875,141.46797704091742,0.03556609747964632,0.3076923076923077,13,2520,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,16.871535126086044,1.1621563925242528,0.34440384104469696,0.9376159102253953,2.7912100643977933,0.38017701206892834,11,2511,13,34.46875,141.7141717913958,0.06665894996018105,0.15384615384615385,13,2511,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,16.780773904823985,1.1679930873184594,0.3469619237383255,0.9256104703923624,1.544820044428646,0.3742819517657104,11,2511,13,34.46875,141.66498910172018,0.04427607444898624,0.15384615384615385,13,2511,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.602590942127947,1.6770921708871616,0.2817679303767769,0.7234731981372372,-19.01389910274924,0.3741511178964434,11,1936,13,29.125,211.3614140331845,-0.011697803640097771,0.23076923076923078,13,1936,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,18.576087402020974,1.4280864485043077,0.3173487402563386,1.1366416142439497,-3.93013373932143,0.36609922805739986,11,2511,13,34.46875,146.5549935171359,0.0500581925005512,0.15384615384615385,13,2511,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,15.20065110905645,0.8937239377360141,0.1595855540811949,0.6573975798558322,23.51782160705088,0.6690595882869556,11,2681,13,34.46875,136.30960528511025,0.03184941741642475,0.23076923076923078,13,2686,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,15.369354212968647,0.8969080505643137,0.19489237513970423,0.6900315782371714,24.80863619706493,0.6672506631965874,11,2672,13,34.46875,138.9674390379394,0.03157193923246989,0.23076923076923078,13,2672,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.254282217764201,0.8936344799467592,0.13715137087264503,0.7355018526881735,23.890806166104504,0.6084222193830509,11,2667,13,34.46875,136.561606207296,0.03261972566597339,0.23076923076923078,13,2667,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,18.964699125331904,0.9471157619161314,0.24052342246408792,0.6930558742857736,22.199859606845248,0.5788853136781448,11,1923,13,29.125,155.31691524744969,0.06332808667780647,0.23076923076923078,13,1923,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.714494432451236,0.9970897979469994,0.20276735827743064,0.841865125037099,18.45123087787983,0.558456153060992,11,1812,13,31.125,162.3831518994619,0.04544584164549416,0.23076923076923078,13,1815,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.243386009848898,0.993584447317904,0.27586325396117223,0.7412796604919597,11.5411935730001,0.5235332252610707,11,1910,13,29.125,156.24388833860218,0.022997693694017777,0.15384615384615385,13,1910,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,18.564239204143057,1.0326603756602528,0.22403188464021603,0.7855252616483439,16.177869036676984,0.5128812538914634,11,2161,13,31.125,150.44723331195462,3.3155906953579e-05,0.3076923076923077,13,2163,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.11844033135731,1.2526930578349464,0.3684952179564504,0.9803087909289953,0.0,0.38680236507990295,11,2512,13,34.46875,141.46797704091742,0.03556609747964632,0.3076923076923077,13,2521,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,16.871535126086044,1.1621563925242528,0.34440384104469696,0.9376159102253953,2.7912100643977933,0.38017698152671175,11,2512,13,34.46875,141.7141717913958,0.06665894996018105,0.15384615384615385,13,2512,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,16.780773904823985,1.1679930873184594,0.3469619237383255,0.9256104703923624,1.544820044428646,0.3742819212234938,11,2512,13,34.46875,141.66498910172018,0.04427607444898624,0.15384615384615385,13,2512,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.603104139697532,1.677365790548887,0.2817679303767769,0.7234731989609118,-19.01389910274924,0.3741511178964434,11,1937,13,29.125,211.36132625316623,-0.011351184970238643,0.23076923076923078,13,1937,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,18.576087402020974,1.4280864485043077,0.3173487402563386,1.1366416142439497,-3.93013373932143,0.3660991975151834,11,2512,13,34.46875,146.5549935171359,0.0500581925005512,0.15384615384615385,13,2512,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6690595882869556,11,2680,13,34.46875
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6672506631965874,11,2671,13,34.46875
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084222193830509,11,2666,13,34.46875
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788853136781448,11,1922,13,29.125
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558456153060992,11,1811,13,31.125
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235332252610707,11,1909,13,29.125
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5128811622648135,11,2160,13,31.125
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680236507990295,11,2511,13,34.46875
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38017701206892834,11,2511,13,34.46875
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3742819517657104,11,2511,13,34.46875
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3741511178964434,11,1936,13,29.125
-12,Official,ETS,0.36609922805739986,11,2511,13,34.46875
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6690595882869556,11,2681,13,34.46875
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6672506631965874,11,2672,13,34.46875
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084222193830509,11,2667,13,34.46875
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788853136781448,11,1923,13,29.125
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558456153060992,11,1812,13,31.125
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235332252610707,11,1910,13,29.125
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5128812538914634,11,2161,13,31.125
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680236507990295,11,2512,13,34.46875
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38017698152671175,11,2512,13,34.46875
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3742819212234938,11,2512,13,34.46875
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3741511178964434,11,1937,13,29.125
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660991975151834,11,2512,13,34.46875

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6690595882869556,11,2680,13,34.46875
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6672506631965874,11,2671,13,34.46875
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084222193830509,11,2666,13,34.46875
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788853136781448,11,1922,13,29.125
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558456153060992,11,1811,13,31.125
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235332252610707,11,1909,13,29.125
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5128811622648135,11,2160,13,31.125
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680236507990295,11,2511,13,34.46875
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38017701206892834,11,2511,13,34.46875
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3742819517657104,11,2511,13,34.46875
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3741511178964434,11,1936,13,29.125
-12,Official,ETS,0.36609922805739986,11,2511,13,34.46875
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6690595882869556,11,2681,13,34.46875
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6672506631965874,11,2672,13,34.46875
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084222193830509,11,2667,13,34.46875
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788853136781448,11,1923,13,29.125
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558456153060992,11,1812,13,31.125
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235332252610707,11,1910,13,29.125
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5128812538914634,11,2161,13,31.125
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680236507990295,11,2512,13,34.46875
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38017698152671175,11,2512,13,34.46875
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3742819212234938,11,2512,13,34.46875
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3741511178964434,11,1937,13,29.125
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660991975151834,11,2512,13,34.46875

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6690595882869556,11,2680,13,34.46875
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6672506631965874,11,2671,13,34.46875
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084222193830509,11,2666,13,34.46875
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788853136781448,11,1922,13,29.125
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558456153060992,11,1811,13,31.125
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235332252610707,11,1909,13,29.125
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5128811622648135,11,2160,13,31.125
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680236507990295,11,2511,13,34.46875
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38017701206892834,11,2511,13,34.46875
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3742819517657104,11,2511,13,34.46875
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3741511178964434,11,1936,13,29.125
-12,Official,ETS,0.36609922805739986,11,2511,13,34.46875
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6690595882869556,11,2681,13,34.46875
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6672506631965874,11,2672,13,34.46875
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084222193830509,11,2667,13,34.46875
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788853136781448,11,1923,13,29.125
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558456153060992,11,1812,13,31.125
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235332252610707,11,1910,13,29.125
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5128812538914634,11,2161,13,31.125
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680236507990295,11,2512,13,34.46875
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38017698152671175,11,2512,13,34.46875
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3742819212234938,11,2512,13,34.46875
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3741511178964434,11,1937,13,29.125
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660991975151834,11,2512,13,34.46875

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6690595882869556,11,2680,13,34.46875
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6672506631965874,11,2671,13,34.46875
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084222193830509,11,2666,13,34.46875
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788853136781448,11,1922,13,29.125
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558456153060992,11,1811,13,31.125
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235332252610707,11,1909,13,29.125
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5128811622648135,11,2160,13,31.125
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680236507990295,11,2511,13,34.46875
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38017701206892834,11,2511,13,34.46875
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3742819517657104,11,2511,13,34.46875
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3741511178964434,11,1936,13,29.125
-12,Official,ETS,0.36609922805739986,11,2511,13,34.46875
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6690595882869556,11,2681,13,34.46875
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6672506631965874,11,2672,13,34.46875
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084222193830509,11,2667,13,34.46875
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788853136781448,11,1923,13,29.125
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558456153060992,11,1812,13,31.125
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5235332252610707,11,1910,13,29.125
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5128812538914634,11,2161,13,31.125
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680236507990295,11,2512,13,34.46875
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38017698152671175,11,2512,13,34.46875
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3742819212234938,11,2512,13,34.46875
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3741511178964434,11,1937,13,29.125
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660991975151834,11,2512,13,34.46875

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -824,6 +824,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.673102
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.297471+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.293201+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.838613+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.011653+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.275161+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.3880011251222865,0.6228973632327292,0.013148519636055941,1.013878300279442,47.85408585379946,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.306015+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.648707627946901,1.6274850622807269,0.9382846148183809,1.3361968292042887,-57.62050898713552,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.125719+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,10.766549208297496,3.281242022207063,0.06866333112410687,4.407317699317828,-15.14928692480103,True
@@ -3391,6 +3392,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.679428
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.369270+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.311067+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.843585+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.112569+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.309926+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.08840222683743608,0.29732511975518666,0.002894309814063975,0.23711727370139674,85.12419877071518,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.374573+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.45977595237140084,0.6780678080925246,0.3768093863886116,0.317077301486555,21.535592228583816,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.136000+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,13.986967567004351,3.739915449178544,0.056835984085615326,3.1788172321893966,-27.61496262379821,True
@@ -5776,6 +5778,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.687287
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.409356+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.328057+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.849828+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.140564+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.351013+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.11153683757844951,0.3339713125081996,0.003286516186645731,0.3480450087587948,81.58959830360641,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.446161+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.149160427977145,1.0719890055299752,0.7225899381707932,0.7551790395914987,-23.47803863246875,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.142836+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,16.22318519132153,4.027801533258749,0.06120989760075588,3.7762967698654837,-34.31571510962345,True
@@ -7929,6 +7932,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.694949
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.455925+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.354048+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.857753+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.182552+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.388668+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.3060415695641366,0.5532102399306583,0.005197272549176861,0.3795445986299186,56.47181876704745,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.501268+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.9471627325905954,1.9867467711287705,1.093901831475573,1.5931754493656851,-69.43078273901705,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.159553+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,19.519813222769404,4.418123269304446,0.06625208016859745,4.289063487552823,-42.20313460415537,True
@@ -10199,6 +10203,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.703568
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.511668+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.369988+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.862651+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.218542+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.412006+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.041368999272813435,0.20339370509633142,0.0020072584256065804,0.2680244057618259,92.75184408515521,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.541179+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.21071851244567247,0.45904086141178374,0.18847755987266376,0.27914268248551194,54.3344626130847,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.166988+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,8.611487418564591,2.9345335947241415,0.04343118072589767,2.6156080295471473,-4.097158310485699,True
@@ -12362,6 +12367,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.710643
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.536254+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.424202+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.868044+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.260703+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.442977+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.28461553657808564,0.5334937080960614,0.005851715447702549,0.411294999789852,58.892883041306014,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.584113+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6204793079201304,0.7877050894339394,0.5442385414599794,0.6158708200999508,6.879570569984553,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.173760+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.818648293600191,2.7961845957662006,0.04100556380501932,2.638094278203508,0.7298023850679932,True
@@ -14875,6 +14881,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.717597
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.603257+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.443935+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.873426+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.302531+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.463187+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.1001351228470366,1.0488732634818358,0.009642350863508157,0.6703551354178896,0.0,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.619159+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7121591081998273,0.84389519977295,0.6917057877730343,0.7013329836645075,0.0,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.185819+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.933608640406611,2.816666228080035,0.041830510183504734,2.322699227766776,0.0,True
@@ -17253,6 +17260,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.724801
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.642247+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.2085183913691496e-16,2.0514673751656763e-08,,1.883146393924609e-08,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.466980+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.663218247688461e-16,2.1594485980658258e-08,,2.0554192155190725e-08,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.881944+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.4582988638174604e-16,1.8596501993163823e-08,,1.995220426900504e-08,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.344519+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.669820315261013e-16,2.160976704007013e-08,,2.0383004328005392e-08,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.493005+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.43940921848010617,0.6628794901640163,0.00670277050266713,0.36061415587718176,42.91697787654241,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.660103+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0125586988931861,0.11206560084694188,0.08524912523844198,0.11725824551628532,96.53418233406973,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.192495+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,8.031348567068475,2.833963402563356,0.042953336192225466,2.6135641126788416,-0.6122154002147951,True
@@ -19288,6 +19296,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.732666
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.695463+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.473971+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.886812+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.400544+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.528013+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.04662496458872861,0.21592814681909492,0.0022534985397917894,0.1884641380555748,91.8684012288943,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.690156+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7061982821265689,1.3062152510695046,0.6808927845420564,1.0376794424149394,-41.103898782825475,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.198849+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.848370865152388,3.1382114118001017,0.047245674356382494,3.098336172204298,-10.767992529443555,True
@@ -21421,6 +21430,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.747556
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.760321+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.504223+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.897552+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.499531+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.727210+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1811241352567867,0.42558681283233707,0.004129277017311939,0.3872796310787302,71.72716854747443,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.758156+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.020927269230607372,0.14466260481066753,0.0729340464928351,0.20021144616625358,94.2906402642591,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.230744+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.413055568521152,3.068070333046678,0.046046696497706985,2.5977167109407793,-8.528711401199073,True
@@ -24092,6 +24102,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.740202
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.734065+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.486916+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.892264+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.448552+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.550129+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.05812463634081555,0.24109051482962898,0.003137198117540541,0.20632353111651106,89.96345407327775,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.723991+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07476233641990312,0.27342702210992814,0.2893079068172445,0.22646631474101778,80.99878026426613,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.204638+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,11.153888601409475,3.339743792779541,0.054066511470720065,3.1008125160617546,-16.8711482715922,True
@@ -26469,6 +26480,7 @@ future-1181e9f911508e00b965,2026-07-21T13:24:00+00:00,2026-07-21T13:36:00.754771
 future-11a4cfc38ecb272f5f2d,2026-07-27T14:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T17:42:39.829301+00:00,2026-07-28T14:22:27.338912+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,8.984850971594579e-05,0.009478845378839439,,0.00026623618215563947,-100.0,False
 future-139a65bc2c084866b2d3,2026-07-26T16:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:30:24.529949+00:00,2026-07-28T01:37:12.611331+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0006371931319497955,0.025242684721514776,,0.0002738998487647795,-100.0,False
 future-149e386010b2561f1d07,2026-07-15T01:55:00+00:00,2026-07-16T03:29:32.903260+00:00,2026-07-16T03:11:25.344174+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0104125040130319e-05,0.0031786986394010865,,0.0002714473387775932,-100.0,False
+future-15266e5c29a057842130,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00,2026-07-30T04:21:30.542676+00:00,2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.4003554093644355,1.8440052628353412,,0.0002803600718801101,-100.0,False
 future-162c5d588c33ce9246a2,2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T02:20:01.772992+00:00,2026-07-25T02:15:07.111204+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1553566973471284,0.39415313946121044,0.00301073494351038,0.2741903561954342,75.25165917479222,True
 future-16dd60637d63c2d6c9d1,2026-07-24T15:36:00+00:00,2026-07-24T17:08:21.812149+00:00,2026-07-24T09:42:15.834334+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.9412324229837236,0.9701713369213314,0.23518448858135324,0.40325497511584313,-13.854753121900787,True
 future-176481bb8032642d1a3f,2026-07-19T08:55:00+00:00,2026-07-19T09:19:29.237688+00:00,2026-07-19T02:55:14.567572+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.785084398515818,2.7901764099274833,0.0413940629691793,2.4357662831252562,0.9448892571603694,True

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stabili
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.02822259565676,1.2607522900906072,0.014571734778297322,1.1925931902558862,10.143224515706287,2.1229014708247815,0.03247200689061154,0.4776408470740481,216,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1.261258169978178,0.011845155708664644,1.1042089583487873,17.948263157190265,1.7646338660449543,-0.19354838709677422,0.12407814866273859,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.430981811646138,0.370766603909224,,0.15157022461471686,-31.79656459177291,72.46141093454932,0.06469677557379651,0.14045294103659456,274,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.78682891212804e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,549,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.78682891212804e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.5791580618185917e-30,0.0,1.0,550,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0379265364760504,1.341938783720677,0.0882364325192599,1.0492572016487152,-61.32015971705557,1.2999471724338816,-0.011494252873563218,0.9436180468092228,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2135106327932361,0.9712651511810751,1.3212275657763966,0.7610550085867495,5.3417241438102065,1.1904303507160816,0.07900550267100453,0.02029582628627477,387,0.9974160206718347,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6278568825194553,1.4251075897774492,0.13227878922346972,1.0387696251664715,11.737236632404167,3.378824238756953,-0.12978633877226614,0.000924387813090632,293,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.125765698900247
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6055445263155645,1.0685216089542688,0.010035766414845054,0.7725357896096103,28.64677212786545,1.8942544003343063,0.0748271092669433,0.083652494132501,241,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5811863431219901,1.070465590173461,0.008323636090464196,0.7421514556711728,36.369387975458395,2.0049073075588306,-0.056818181818181816,0.6556644947844955,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.199376212562263,0.3189154656903312,,0.1405568707576083,-31.07087368448362,71.13837868797852,0.03825623679811225,0.37245335864247076,285,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653316e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,5.782873679137055e-34,0.0,1.0,569,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.729686274365332e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.3561627471096824e-09,0.0,1.927621582784852e-34,0.0,1.0,570,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.295371688844987,0.4728719138176587,0.03169250099185042,0.32183935593940316,8.73042977853834,0.361298836217281,-0.3517241379310345,0.005952597596458611,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3267718045769036,0.47674721226781136,0.4838424912974793,0.31330482436095664,50.890842667274356,0.4210806576917784,-0.05406555981268625,0.10372205381864447,406,0.9975369458128078,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.78083175102839,1.4836897221770533,0.1467397909358067,1.0114377175893885,7.288724509866297,3.4550091462980164,-0.048859934853420196,0.20091018335726885,308,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.355122965615315,0.9893754829852162,0.00988390797377136,0.721848209508366,22.557693183794793,1.5826891667916059,0.21423639445107023,2.0647156106623688e-05,179,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.4539380254510008,1.0171651602630492,0.00866256496836003,0.694295550748422,34.41538763559448,1.694495727681373,0.021645021645021644,0.9112884689584274,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,8.826375411993522,0.4479282125373743,,0.1799181940014753,-24.557373638805046,84.83848421033936,0.04157062428158732,0.41770124491616134,200,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.0218528142709515e-28,0.0,1.0,427,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,2.021847269745433e-28,0.0,1.0,428,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.33646790118188474,0.46932795303124963,0.03148247055252711,0.3285493541758667,10.269454068402935,0.5551840161623731,-0.2553846153846154,0.07039249318951525,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3337502092040887,1.0487941809007166,1.1407968302349951,0.7041582531046675,7.112516468924779,1.0731097727140144,0.006361007847996695,0.8762120172150925,270,0.9962962962962963,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.011961547015877,1.562904984130352,0.14097602774054388,1.073538135241004,-1.0208813336356009,3.7398179683984893,-0.07342657342657344,0.1143260371287455,209,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.58882279
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9691708971324284,1.1575471479868784,0.01032869270950729,0.9014951212668394,24.880194886412095,2.6280741403124965,0.10396210163652023,0.022998670359794266,216,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1374607267848178,0.00888958251994685,0.8481888404956763,28.643717831168455,1.8085885112023488,-0.08064516129032259,0.5301288877477086,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.448610013695132,0.3655620746407916,,0.14735320466255647,-31.76389710666277,72.51570891716871,0.08663633723273328,0.04838218992159158,274,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.78682891212804e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,549,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.78682891212804e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.5791580618185917e-30,0.0,1.0,550,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.632064283514427,2.2241017917224624,0.15885787001642346,1.7941800506233858,-79.9671220048645,3.8344178607315382,0.043678160919540236,0.7502215453736768,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9105349595384657,1.2282957327708113,1.4858643816039663,0.934047642181641,-11.664144025054568,1.7105004040905394,0.08824356348154394,0.009536233792891072,387,0.9974160206718347,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.8314847093947915,1.9009997211706162,0.18412655871109107,1.5184719108617473,-4.838827377004714,11.985049737781578,-0.18490813034737483,2.3645322036176374e-06,293,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3214317074080382,0.9444742060603264,0.008945844717584457,0.6913555595328206,31.764157657944974,1.6383145538047237,0.30254500310366234,1.6402639183159967e-09,180,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646346,1.1324285203842483,0.009484338375650726,0.7276927535003623,29.188919734540207,1.7734024748178494,-0.05627705627705628,0.7380940484479567,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,8.783192011683383,0.44571420460790684,,0.17734146672732806,-24.55020247971262,84.63450992331303,0.02501136575246573,0.6251649968625166,201,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.4882488390014493e-07,,4.10051518034354e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,428,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.1005151803435396e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,429,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.32783875148011027,0.4861314501111893,0.032171503433641925,0.3331142593364293,2.7413565787529137,0.5308169063111237,-0.28615384615384615,0.04171775347628058,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7109392826076268,0.7091589360164084,0.8808127165131181,0.46979335294352825,38.72315606262861,0.8622416836804444,0.045018450184501846,0.26937195838536865,271,0.996309963099631,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.863091468404272,1.5096376464858068,0.13622918673225815,1.0172514731538336,3.358732957085348,3.6646981441787014,-0.02974497856014444,0.5203721458013295,211,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -67,7 +67,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3257669497
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.588404821188794,1.354568434366223,0.012697141539093938,1.1313318417427036,13.4942823676864,2.90216611858017,-0.004565030146425495,0.9204803447870819,216,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685407324,1.5349643437810503,0.012371122286664232,1.296030600804856,16.041236998369264,3.389151169692855,-0.07661290322580645,0.5514777322263826,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.486869850934467,0.38944453399639717,,0.17021273119641145,-32.576055885899514,72.52407598131104,0.08043613226078328,0.0668483138802308,274,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.78682891212804e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,549,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526528e-15,9.78682891212804e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.5791580618185917e-30,0.0,1.0,550,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9224463856199253,0.9010670399481847,0.0645836248358115,0.6869453492193306,-43.08462326691053,0.6586811407632233,-0.04827586206896552,0.7235302654564064,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4246661740983064,1.037002799245903,2.1205320381876667,0.9065763542590775,5.406634171579568,1.5863252968339965,0.16252292779585223,1.804161960363586e-06,387,0.9974160206718347,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.618646975514632,1.4302841198111884,0.141224289786264,1.133222556737405,11.492529596110773,3.484868083809825,-0.09663845902099212,0.013642638654681776,293,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.023478
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.1003155095690036,1.5168685917459,0.013697042456024787,1.0289876490781864,0.0,3.1850467167144214,-0.006890611541774331,0.8802243736907243,216,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.8803486777886427,1.7234750348172114,0.013600798681791645,1.164368059063642,0.0,3.667874600129973,-0.14919354838709678,0.23861491183733988,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.811335081565297,0.43849587908926135,,0.1712725693119828,0.0,72.42921511885002,0.1446980539063893,0.002566009667765918,275,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,550,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,551,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3838835766683514,0.5349065407917174,0.037747810105515,0.3810075120009519,0.0,0.46585943829990095,-0.3701149425287356,0.00369749418816167,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.495276068607949,1.07432376499679,2.1502358843152636,0.9444179065849289,0.0,1.610377470138945,0.18039905165294756,1.1191374486892663e-07,388,0.9974226804123711,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0594168823220187,1.5771760883130423,0.1492407580046367,1.2784702577477862,0.0,3.5772402034239623,-0.09224304056093426,0.018353224893709753,294,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.865413
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.313904975839161,1.3621776427279877,0.013947536011837357,1.071876260690525,3.9064310868544183,2.0744315059367833,-0.16782341563317782,0.0006267563530803425,188,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,1.2510649627495094,0.010353811211048837,0.9577149267740791,30.624585259542382,2.167796226333411,-0.18153846153846157,0.20324965345831253,26,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.44563563661902,0.4023153498699733,,0.15607592136044882,-31.008922991964166,77.93776874428441,0.036615890724451115,0.4012781553845268,237,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.62050674057468e-16,2.326352291337468e-08,,2.0229734023504894e-08,0.0,1.3877933503032533e-15,0.0,1.0,480,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.616451259440971e-16,2.326008475147592e-08,,2.0230052672786597e-08,0.0,1.386375509942261e-15,0.0,1.0,481,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.2989915504083323,0.4810597675775045,0.031935842024323965,0.32229608362516915,5.478488539646862,0.35359595910756725,-0.41798941798941797,0.001494389653163529,28,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.39056853891979787,0.5410626441743579,0.819400674653941,0.3572785188468581,53.36337450840049,0.3881711741054812,0.03886314251100898,0.2973948199712074,323,0.9969040247678018,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.19548685710466,1.6500781195800127,0.1649509866713147,1.2268800008203813,-4.85419317378813,3.52800630664717,-0.10166632935303244,0.018022954716784046,244,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3116635320842
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.288056428948168,0.9650539502864618,0.009405708052795354,0.8277417774560242,24.250171582126555,1.5132279052561872,0.2981197262640356,5.222422594836484e-09,174,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6897087292640207,1.09329092186638,0.009593598242124572,0.9474734246730254,30.125180199747636,1.9526605060946605,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.054946600619552,0.4613115864804278,,0.182834724017508,-24.84934326033105,85.92649130173157,0.04225375766985575,0.41823512484673353,195,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,413,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,414,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3499836747388939,0.4967729072984653,0.03265549655192607,0.39498106583018344,3.657192499155621,0.493990451889389,-0.2934472934472935,0.032513093519389046,27,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9782348153880248,0.8761527007632791,0.9556428937490422,0.713837980502079,22.505255355891645,0.8942909883123211,0.0,1.0,252,0.996031746031746,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.89178649768332,1.5102029945429798,0.13527004554698432,1.2764680720002513,3.151821276070372,3.7559270189862373,-0.03707121981233657,0.4379864082099799,198,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.33052701666
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.595166827532652,1.070175914874257,0.009870884457193719,0.7742285993349264,30.234309710458177,1.7811512745358207,0.04804741980474199,0.2676742179484297,240,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1.1566950827938647,0.009098519179104744,0.7859114801504872,36.06338252137382,2.012663949949189,-0.12096774193548389,0.34153305448057775,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.21664918520148,0.3153884695136067,,0.14014587341598428,-31.070268224312148,71.26721218054698,-0.00023028225279445822,0.9957258141297903,284,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,568,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041847e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,3.855249119424703e-34,0.0,1.0,569,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.29587531469370065,0.45830202303845324,0.030294215858784057,0.314433562506276,15.912214496004603,0.39335092685640916,-0.3241379310344828,0.011605514320066219,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3906089733185281,0.5211622397971412,0.6221305581827286,0.34835712436166444,46.02616780692926,0.5018211721062746,-0.03479900261509457,0.29498186103749624,406,0.9975369458128078,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8856717472206497,1.5061430132566989,0.14993260120512927,1.0285652740893811,5.934850537302864,3.5828698047326872,-0.14300312959059847,0.0001861443546264914,307,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.284495726475147
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6349860582050633,1.0773573894119468,0.010536085071638973,0.8831090433364557,28.18851240945548,1.8924644328652338,0.06191765409092507,0.15404363753003578,239,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9235807995648218,1.1939238211789782,0.009107697376501547,0.9818204856365835,32.13359881394004,2.2268271082902564,-0.09469696969696971,0.45073160411871227,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.216590414739115,0.31622621128322576,,0.12974211886898387,-28.848395066327843,71.26604187930977,0.11293549361919303,0.009377168452175217,284,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,568,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,569,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.31259224147394643,0.4973346576596029,0.03799042775808872,0.35734743509649297,2.559933492785978,0.33467509116808847,-0.3977011494252874,0.0017234661675702629,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17385337041712254,0.35572580171296164,0.2655397483227165,0.2743964367464691,62.95219919643831,0.20386503496328487,-0.015404269955531536,0.6437735169594563,404,0.9975247524752475,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6897039073550544,1.4679509685853767,0.13240551730985642,1.2284802228783873,7.228439936710899,3.2519409070296725,-0.09880564603691641,0.009820190766037526,307,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00
@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.262893428
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.2678574829266447,1.294191202553444,0.009766191877901266,0.7487831388748828,0.33819418892673314,2.8512982748886015,0.1885131443142493,0.00015782950697466668,182,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645,1.521645487561495,0.010709564244259217,0.8709867168219557,0.5322464158750319,3.5235205419444062,-0.012987012987012986,0.9555771436337516,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.309586159013941,1.4735824726232214,,0.1808331860196804,-87.27438173846481,84.9485693492587,0.0029850746268656717,0.9498199909375991,201,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:15:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.524909426994596,0.3109142981870972,,0.00027574502356909246,-100.0,3.4043174039513278,-0.003610343145226866,0.9109477390362108,430,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5315809953991664,0.3144713537895293,,0.00027575573133779553,-100.0,3.4031762637140384,0.0008956995629417797,0.977837633211838,431,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6586340425895975,0.6335735514017304,0.03023697154965001,0.3095297258176916,-11.611604151595333,1.3086718510560469,-0.2676923076923077,0.057446554888585626,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3112561965760832,0.96372921838034,0.8071101123462269,0.3953518650443914,16.736569923551336,2.461560822879547,0.018853695324283562,0.6424373930669409,273,0.9963369963369964,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T18:48:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,55.16745988667621,5.073150153049318,0.12983393143649136,1.0246742254474148,-64.73943690309451,180.09259376606326,-0.09983169456993535,0.030183564220730433,213,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T18:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-30T04:09:01.032945+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:07.615908+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20045.635248830316,6,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20383.004328005398,6,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,98935169.07064983,271159405.5518995,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,3400355409364.4365,280360071.88010037,12,1,1,1.0
 Web,ARIMA,0.35081770342317864,0.47944164778388026,1,1,1,1.0
 Web,Moirai-2.0,0.40785680526551005,0.5118677129116019,2,1,1,1.0
 Web,Sundial,0.303769640015456,0.5282879649026628,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,1.0,2075.594868502009,4,2,2,1.0
 5min,TiRex,1.0,2413.6848893618544,5,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,1.0,33204.37697699316,6,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,1.0,33482.62681398571,6,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,1.0,252290.1359197037,7,2,2,1.0
 5min,ETS,1.0,252290.1359197037,8,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moving-Average,1.0,252290.1359197037,9,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0459942197556757,461166.5554836744,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1.0,374952.8836038598,11,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,7097631800.349791,274699919.20664704,12,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,1315831479284.881,279321442.6516978,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,Sundial,0.016457870373322452,0.13946785378063345,1,1,1,1.0
 6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.026329674902003237,0.19858377074721575,2,1,1,1.0
 6min,Chronos-2,0.05387490591643252,0.1987726688757729,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -17,11 +17,11 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,TimesFM-2.5,0.883401733927733,0.8936065549864372,4,2,2,1.0
 12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,1427.1372538860771,5,2,2,1.0
 12,TabPFN-TS,0.9139044671265871,0.9447650776752475,6,2,2,1.0
-12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,125.61565887596284,7,2,2,1.0
+12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,126.66830734547548,7,2,2,1.0
 12,ARIMA,0.8639722620545719,438.7361038019728,8,2,2,1.0
 12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
 12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,7905.927236924139,13158.856474297667,11,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,1465681.5433519448,13380.239734553657,11,2,2,1.0
 12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
 24,Chronos-2,0.41726641458067687,0.6755020428874297,1,7,7,1.0
 24,TiRex,0.32980996363298754,0.710747530536114,2,7,7,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 Overall,Chronos-2,0.43268228989411894,2.1361019300883823,1,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TiRex,0.40995577193139365,2.344352317307399,2,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,0.5863450480593485,3.435242453798052,3,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,0.5863450480593485,3.439655607773914,3,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moirai-2.0,0.5286975323240499,5.343807856551616,4,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.4487953726978033,0.7310069040248663,5,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-Bolt,0.5934827454627915,5.853165573506846,6,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,35.48038944170551,14.87316103977667,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,79.23641351751978,14.911385919485305,7,13,13,1.0
 Overall,ARIMA,1.4160569065190673,7.882303531315528,8,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TabPFN-TS,0.8709943017830731,0.9811288865190397,10,13,13,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.706032+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.136177+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.599292+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.011653+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.603558+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:04.960304+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.645763+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.112569+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.675229+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.051118+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.677747+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.140564+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.700331+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.122619+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.698726+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.182552+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.670159+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.029587+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.729966+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.218542+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.694305+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.109060+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.842663+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.260703+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/online_status.json

@@ -2,14 +2,14 @@
     "status": "ok",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "started_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:53.128610+00:00",
-    "finished_at": "2026-07-30T04:09:03.325207+00:00",
+    "started_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:25.477386+00:00",
+    "finished_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:10.048725+00:00",
     "data_source": "ts_bench",
     "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
     "task_count": 2,
-    "issued_tasks": 0,
-    "issued_forecasts": 0,
-    "resolved_forecasts": 0,
+    "issued_tasks": 1,
+    "issued_forecasts": 12,
+    "resolved_forecasts": 12,
     "pending_tasks": 13,
     "failed_forecasts": [],
     "models": {
@@ -19,8 +19,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702481+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:04.960304+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.112569+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TiRex": {
             "model": "TiRex",
@@ -28,8 +38,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702489+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:04.996318+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.499531+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TimesFM-2.5": {
             "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
@@ -37,8 +57,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:04.999752+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.448552+00:00",
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Toto-1.0": {
             "model": "Toto-1.0",
@@ -46,8 +76,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.007806+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.542676+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moirai-2.0": {
             "model": "Moirai-2.0",
@@ -55,8 +95,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702493+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.029587+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.218542+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Chronos-Bolt": {
             "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
@@ -64,8 +114,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702494+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.051118+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.140564+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TabPFN-TS": {
             "model": "TabPFN-TS",
@@ -73,8 +133,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702495+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.077987+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.400544+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Sundial": {
             "model": "Sundial",
@@ -82,8 +152,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702496+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.101349+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.344519+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moving-Average": {
             "model": "Moving-Average",
@@ -91,8 +171,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702496+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.109060+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.260703+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ETS": {
             "model": "ETS",
@@ -100,8 +190,18 @@
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             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702497+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.122619+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.182552+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ARIMA": {
             "model": "ARIMA",
@@ -109,8 +209,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702498+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.136177+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.011653+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Seasonal-Naive": {
             "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
@@ -118,8 +228,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:08:58.702499+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.139978+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.302531+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         }
     },
     "skipped_models": [],
@@ -142,7 +262,5 @@
         "live_overall_30d": "aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv",
         "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
     },
-    "push_status": "ok",
-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-30T04:10:22.927276+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-15266e5c29a057842130.json

@@ -253,7 +253,23 @@
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+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.597458+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-28T14:45:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00"
 }

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+}

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.711247+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.139978+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.873937+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.302531+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,0.5744148584995696,0.6041999836841437,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,0.020980244564637807,0.0447908708599997,nan,nan,0.0023348485467426807,nan,nan,0.14484558869581707,nan,nan,0.15634843776673438,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,4.308665199870628e-15,4.368388469776477e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,6.564042351989077e-08,nan,nan,5.50010332296457e-08,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,1.855110777680568e-15,4.737952208080654e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,4.3070996943193317e-08,nan,nan,2.0045635248830304e-08,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,4.669820315261013e-16,5.319034083293874e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.160976704007013e-08,nan,nan,2.0383004328005392e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.007462810791272632,0.007313073714600876,nan,nan,0.005713939241843377,nan,nan,0.08638756155415334,nan,nan,0.06652789445951113,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.014273445331285125,0.010514970384056218,nan,nan,0.4269581489580643,nan,nan,0.11947152519025245,nan,nan,0.10787460446045638,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,0.455449352894169,0.4215686071985852,nan,nan,0.07230696430994983,nan,nan,0.6748698784907865,nan,nan,0.46479075300054645,Ocean,1,72

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.691261+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.101349+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.894741+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.344519+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.679392+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.077987+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.917798+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.400544+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.650362+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:04.999752+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:18.978686+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.448552+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.634852+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:04.996318+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.012700+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.499531+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.513275611439859,0.4076828043578129,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.2672091214948127,0.013642740360327242,nan,nan,0.0013252159503021489,nan,nan,1.1257038338278913,nan,nan,0.23265817163880909,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.509185738969756,5.221383248232232e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.7135725183677942,nan,nan,0.00027828666115628606,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,9.893516907064967e-05,3.840114504725015e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.009946615960750152,nan,nan,0.0002711594055519392,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,3.4003554093644355,8.594060727242924e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.8440052628353412,nan,nan,0.0002803600718801101,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.017530445854179618,0.01764616520390966,nan,nan,0.008785844686044004,nan,nan,0.13240259005842603,nan,nan,0.11551832043051283,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.2852684839871745,0.3055337240821889,nan,nan,0.8744574033188778,nan,nan,0.5341053117009552,nan,nan,0.2987742990667882,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,3.3259539967087863,0.30345495021080043,nan,nan,0.06209504057138796,nan,nan,1.8237198240707881,nan,nan,0.6046549544627093,Ocean,1,72

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T03:10:42.652559+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-30T04:24:05.007806+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-4da7fb25d09be4aa5d8a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:28.321392+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.037464+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T14:35:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-15266e5c29a057842130",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-30T03:08:19.402283+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T04:21:30.542676+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T15:40:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }