Update core/external_scoring.py
Browse files- core/external_scoring.py +102 -252
core/external_scoring.py
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,20 +1,12 @@
|
|
| 1 |
# core/external_scoring.py
|
| 2 |
from __future__ import annotations
|
| 3 |
-
from typing import Dict, Any, List, Tuple
|
| 4 |
import pandas as pd
|
| 5 |
import math
|
| 6 |
-
import re
|
| 7 |
|
| 8 |
-
__all__ = [
|
| 9 |
-
"get_external_template_df",
|
| 10 |
-
"fill_missing_with_external",
|
| 11 |
-
"score_external_from_df",
|
| 12 |
-
"score_external", # UI からはこれを呼べばOK(薄いラッパー)
|
| 13 |
-
]
|
| 14 |
|
| 15 |
-
# ===== 入力テンプレ(外部評価で UI から埋める想定) =====
|
| 16 |
_TEMPLATE_ROWS: List[Tuple[str, str]] = [
|
| 17 |
-
# 経営者能力
|
| 18 |
("経営者能力", "予実達成率_3年平均(%)"),
|
| 19 |
("経営者能力", "監査・内部統制の重大な不備 件数(過去3年)"),
|
| 20 |
("経営者能力", "重大コンプライアンス件数(過去3年)"),
|
|
@@ -26,7 +18,7 @@ _TEMPLATE_ROWS: List[Tuple[str, str]] = [
|
|
| 26 |
("経営者能力", "倒産歴の有無(TRUE/FALSE)"),
|
| 27 |
("経営者能力", "倒産からの経過年数"),
|
| 28 |
("経営者能力", "重大事件・事故件数(過去10年)"),
|
| 29 |
-
|
| 30 |
("成長率", "売上_期3(最新期)"),
|
| 31 |
("成長率", "売上_期2"),
|
| 32 |
("成長率", "売上_期1(最古期)"),
|
|
@@ -35,7 +27,7 @@ _TEMPLATE_ROWS: List[Tuple[str, str]] = [
|
|
| 35 |
("成長率", "営業利益_期1(最古期)"),
|
| 36 |
("成長率", "主力商品数"),
|
| 37 |
("成長率", "成長中主力商品数"),
|
| 38 |
-
|
| 39 |
("安定性", "自己資本比率(%)"),
|
| 40 |
("安定性", "利益剰余金(円)"),
|
| 41 |
("安定性", "支払遅延件数(直近12ヶ月)"),
|
|
@@ -52,7 +44,7 @@ _TEMPLATE_ROWS: List[Tuple[str, str]] = [
|
|
| 52 |
("安定性", "主要顧客の平均信用スコア(0-100)"),
|
| 53 |
("安定性", "不良債権件数(直近12ヶ月)"),
|
| 54 |
("安定性", "業歴(年)"),
|
| 55 |
-
|
| 56 |
("公平性・総合世評", "有価証券報告書提出企業か(TRUE/FALSE)"),
|
| 57 |
("公平性・総合世評", "決算公告や官報での公開あり(TRUE/FALSE)"),
|
| 58 |
("公平性・総合世評", "HP/IRサイトで財務資料公開あり(TRUE/FALSE)"),
|
|
@@ -60,133 +52,77 @@ _TEMPLATE_ROWS: List[Tuple[str, str]] = [
|
|
| 60 |
]
|
| 61 |
|
| 62 |
def get_external_template_df() -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 63 |
-
"""
|
| 64 |
-
return pd.DataFrame([(c, i, "") for c, i in _TEMPLATE_ROWS],
|
| 65 |
-
columns=["カテゴリー", "入力項目", "値"])
|
| 66 |
|
| 67 |
def fill_missing_with_external(df: pd.DataFrame, company: str = "", country: str = "") -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 68 |
-
|
| 69 |
-
将来:外部DBやLLMで不足値を補完する場所。
|
| 70 |
-
いまは何もしないでそのまま返す。
|
| 71 |
-
"""
|
| 72 |
return df.copy()
|
| 73 |
|
| 74 |
-
# ===== スコア計算(
|
| 75 |
-
|
| 76 |
_WEIGHTS = {
|
| 77 |
-
# 経営者能力
|
| 78 |
("経営者能力", "経営姿勢"): 8,
|
| 79 |
("経営者能力", "事業経験"): 5,
|
| 80 |
("経営者能力", "資産担保力"): 6,
|
| 81 |
("経営者能力", "減点事項"): 7,
|
| 82 |
-
|
| 83 |
("成長率", "売上高伸長性"): 10,
|
| 84 |
("成長率", "利益伸長性"): 10,
|
| 85 |
("成長率", "商品"): 6,
|
| 86 |
-
|
| 87 |
("安定性", "自己資本"): 8,
|
| 88 |
("安定性", "決済振り"): 10,
|
| 89 |
("安定性", "金融取引"): 6,
|
| 90 |
("安定性", "資産担保余力"): 6,
|
| 91 |
("安定性", "取引先"): 6,
|
| 92 |
("安定性", "業歴"): 4,
|
| 93 |
-
|
| 94 |
("公平性・総合世評", "ディスクロージャー"): 8,
|
| 95 |
}
|
| 96 |
_WEIGHT_NORM = 100.0 / float(sum(_WEIGHTS.values()))
|
| 97 |
|
| 98 |
-
def _clamp(v
|
| 99 |
-
return max(a, min(b, v))
|
| 100 |
-
|
| 101 |
-
def _add(items: List[Dict[str, Any]], cat: str, name: str,
|
| 102 |
-
raw: float, weight: float, reason: str):
|
| 103 |
-
items.append({
|
| 104 |
-
"category": cat,
|
| 105 |
-
"name": name,
|
| 106 |
-
"raw": None if raw is None else round(raw, 2),
|
| 107 |
-
"weight": round(weight * _WEIGHT_NORM, 2),
|
| 108 |
-
"score": 0.0 if raw is None else round((raw / 10.0) * weight * _WEIGHT_NORM, 2),
|
| 109 |
-
"reason": reason
|
| 110 |
-
})
|
| 111 |
-
|
| 112 |
-
# ---- 数値パーサ(日本語単位に強い) ----
|
| 113 |
-
_UNIT = {"兆": 1e12, "億": 1e8, "万": 1e4}
|
| 114 |
-
def _to_float(x) -> Optional[float]:
|
| 115 |
-
if x is None:
|
| 116 |
-
return None
|
| 117 |
-
s = str(x).strip()
|
| 118 |
-
if s == "":
|
| 119 |
-
return None
|
| 120 |
|
| 121 |
-
|
| 122 |
-
|
| 123 |
-
|
| 124 |
-
# 兆/億/万/千 の単位
|
| 125 |
-
mul = 1.0
|
| 126 |
-
for k, v in _UNIT.items():
|
| 127 |
-
if k in s:
|
| 128 |
-
mul *= v
|
| 129 |
-
# 「千円」「3千万円」等
|
| 130 |
-
if "千" in s:
|
| 131 |
-
mul *= 1e3
|
| 132 |
-
|
| 133 |
-
# 数字のみ抽出
|
| 134 |
-
s_num = re.sub(r"[^\d\.]", "", s)
|
| 135 |
-
if not s_num:
|
| 136 |
-
return None
|
| 137 |
try:
|
| 138 |
-
return
|
| 139 |
except Exception:
|
| 140 |
-
try:
|
| 141 |
-
return sign * float(s_num)
|
| 142 |
-
except Exception:
|
| 143 |
-
return None
|
| 144 |
-
|
| 145 |
-
def _to_bool(x) -> Optional[bool]:
|
| 146 |
-
if x is None:
|
| 147 |
return None
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 148 |
s = str(x).strip().lower()
|
| 149 |
-
if s in ("true",
|
| 150 |
-
|
| 151 |
-
if s in ("false", "f", "0", "no", "n", "無", "なし", "×"):
|
| 152 |
-
return False
|
| 153 |
return None
|
| 154 |
|
| 155 |
-
def _ratio(a
|
| 156 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 157 |
return None
|
| 158 |
-
|
| 159 |
-
|
| 160 |
-
def _ramp(x: Optional[float], good: float, bad: float,
|
| 161 |
-
lo: float = 0.0, hi: float = 10.0, neutral: Optional[float] = None) -> float:
|
| 162 |
-
"""
|
| 163 |
-
x が good 側に近いほど高得点(10)、bad 側ほど低得点(0)。
|
| 164 |
-
欠損は neutral(指定なければ 5)。
|
| 165 |
-
"""
|
| 166 |
if x is None:
|
| 167 |
-
return neutral if neutral is not None else (lo
|
| 168 |
if good > bad:
|
| 169 |
if x <= bad: return lo
|
| 170 |
if x >= good: return hi
|
| 171 |
-
return lo + (hi
|
| 172 |
else:
|
| 173 |
if x >= bad: return lo
|
| 174 |
if x <= good: return hi
|
| 175 |
-
return lo + (hi
|
| 176 |
|
| 177 |
-
# ===== メイン:DataFrame からスコア作成 =====
|
| 178 |
def score_external_from_df(df: pd.DataFrame) -> Dict[str, Any]:
|
| 179 |
-
"""
|
| 180 |
-
df: カラム ["カテゴリー","入力項目","値"] を前提。
|
| 181 |
-
値は '億', '万', '千円', '▲' などを含んでもOK(自動正規化)。
|
| 182 |
-
"""
|
| 183 |
def ref(label: str):
|
| 184 |
-
m = df["入力項目"].eq(label)
|
| 185 |
-
return df.loc[m, "値"].values[0] if m.any() else None
|
| 186 |
|
| 187 |
items: List[Dict[str, Any]] = []
|
| 188 |
|
| 189 |
-
# ---------- 経営者能力 ----------
|
| 190 |
yoy3 = _to_float(ref("予実達成率_3年平均(%)"))
|
| 191 |
audit_bad = _to_float(ref("監査・内部統制の重大な不備 件数(過去3年)"))
|
| 192 |
comp_bad = _to_float(ref("重大コンプライアンス件数(過去3年)"))
|
|
@@ -199,181 +135,95 @@ def score_external_from_df(df: pd.DataFrame) -> Dict[str, Any]:
|
|
| 199 |
bk_years = _to_float(ref("倒産からの経過年数"))
|
| 200 |
incidents = _to_float(ref("重大事件・事故件数(過去10年)"))
|
| 201 |
|
| 202 |
-
|
| 203 |
-
|
| 204 |
-
|
| 205 |
-
s3 = _to_float(ref("売上_期3(最新期)"))
|
| 206 |
-
p1 = _to_float(ref("営業利益_期1(最古期)"))
|
| 207 |
-
p2 = _to_float(ref("営業利益_期2"))
|
| 208 |
-
p3 = _to_float(ref("営業利益_期3(最新期)"))
|
| 209 |
-
prod_all = _to_float(ref("主力商品数"))
|
| 210 |
-
prod_grow = _to_float(ref("成長中主力商品数"))
|
| 211 |
-
|
| 212 |
-
# ---------- 安定性 ----------
|
| 213 |
equity = _to_float(ref("自己資本比率(%)"))
|
| 214 |
-
delay_cnt
|
| 215 |
-
boun_cnt
|
| 216 |
-
delay_days
|
| 217 |
-
mainbank
|
| 218 |
-
lenders
|
| 219 |
-
main_share
|
| 220 |
-
has_line
|
| 221 |
-
sales_m2
|
| 222 |
-
top1
|
| 223 |
-
|
| 224 |
-
|
| 225 |
-
|
| 226 |
-
|
| 227 |
-
|
| 228 |
-
|
| 229 |
-
|
| 230 |
-
|
| 231 |
-
pub_web = _to_bool(ref("HP/IRサイトで財務資料公開あり(TRUE/FALSE)"))
|
| 232 |
-
upd_on = _to_bool(ref("直近更新が定め通りか(TRUE/FALSE)"))
|
| 233 |
-
|
| 234 |
-
# 比率
|
| 235 |
cash_to_ms = _ratio(cash, sales_m2)
|
| 236 |
coll_to_ms = _ratio(collat, sales_m2)
|
| 237 |
|
| 238 |
-
def cagr(v1
|
| 239 |
-
if v1 is None or v3 is None or v1 <= 0:
|
| 240 |
-
return None
|
| 241 |
try:
|
| 242 |
-
return (v3
|
| 243 |
except Exception:
|
| 244 |
return None
|
| 245 |
|
| 246 |
-
s_cagr = cagr(s1, s3)
|
| 247 |
-
p_cagr = cagr(p1, p3)
|
| 248 |
|
| 249 |
-
|
| 250 |
-
|
| 251 |
-
|
| 252 |
-
|
| 253 |
-
|
| 254 |
-
|
| 255 |
-
|
| 256 |
-
|
| 257 |
-
|
| 258 |
-
f"予実{yoy3 or '—'}%/監査{int(audit_bad or 0)}/違反{int(comp_bad or 0)}/社外{indep or '—'}%")
|
| 259 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 260 |
mg_exp = _ramp(exp_years if exp_years is not None else 5.0, 15, 0)
|
| 261 |
-
_add(
|
| 262 |
-
_WEIGHTS[("経営者能力", "事業経験")],
|
| 263 |
-
f"経験{exp_years if exp_years is not None else '不明→中立'}年")
|
| 264 |
-
|
| 265 |
mg_asset = _ramp(cash_to_ms, 1.5, 0.2)
|
| 266 |
-
_add(
|
| 267 |
-
_WEIGHTS[("経営者能力", "資産担保力")],
|
| 268 |
-
f"現預金/月商≈{round(cash_to_ms, 2) if cash_to_ms else '—'}")
|
| 269 |
|
| 270 |
-
if incidents and incidents
|
| 271 |
-
pen
|
| 272 |
elif has_bk:
|
| 273 |
-
pen
|
| 274 |
-
rs = f"倒産歴あり({bk_years or '不明'}年)"
|
| 275 |
else:
|
| 276 |
-
pen
|
| 277 |
-
_add(
|
| 278 |
-
_WEIGHTS[("経営者能力", "減点事項")], rs)
|
| 279 |
-
|
| 280 |
-
# --- 成長率 ---
|
| 281 |
-
_add(items, "成長率", "売上高伸長性",
|
| 282 |
-
_ramp(s_cagr, 0.08, -0.05),
|
| 283 |
-
_WEIGHTS[("成長率", "売上高伸長性")],
|
| 284 |
-
f"CAGR売上{round((s_cagr or 0)*100,1) if s_cagr is not None else '—'}%")
|
| 285 |
-
|
| 286 |
-
_add(items, "成長率", "利益伸長性",
|
| 287 |
-
_ramp(p_cagr, 0.08, -0.05),
|
| 288 |
-
_WEIGHTS[("成長率", "利益伸長性")],
|
| 289 |
-
f"CAGR営業{round((p_cagr or 0)*100,1) if p_cagr is not None else '—'}%")
|
| 290 |
-
|
| 291 |
-
# 成長中/全体の比率(0〜1)→ スコアへ線形変換
|
| 292 |
-
prod_ratio = None
|
| 293 |
-
if prod_all and prod_all > 0 and prod_grow is not None:
|
| 294 |
-
prod_ratio = max(0.0, min(1.0, prod_grow / prod_all))
|
| 295 |
-
prod_score = None if prod_ratio is None else 10.0 * prod_ratio
|
| 296 |
-
_add(items, "成長率", "商品",
|
| 297 |
-
5.0 if prod_score is None else prod_score,
|
| 298 |
-
_WEIGHTS[("成長率", "商品")],
|
| 299 |
-
f"成長中/主力 ≈ {round(prod_ratio,2) if prod_ratio is not None else '—'}")
|
| 300 |
-
|
| 301 |
-
# --- 安定性 ---
|
| 302 |
-
_add(items, "安定性", "自己資本",
|
| 303 |
-
_ramp(equity, 40, 5),
|
| 304 |
-
_WEIGHTS[("安定性", "自己資本")],
|
| 305 |
-
f"自己資本比率{equity or '—'}%")
|
| 306 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 307 |
if (delay_cnt is not None) or (boun_cnt is not None) or (delay_days is not None):
|
| 308 |
-
sc
|
| 309 |
-
|
| 310 |
-
_ramp(- (boun_cnt or 0), 0, -1) +
|
| 311 |
-
_ramp(- (delay_days or 0), 0, -30)
|
| 312 |
-
) / 3
|
| 313 |
-
rs = f"遅延{int(delay_cnt or 0)}/不渡{int(boun_cnt or 0)}/平均{int(delay_days or 0)}日"
|
| 314 |
else:
|
| 315 |
-
sc
|
| 316 |
-
|
| 317 |
-
_add(items, "安定性", "決済振り",
|
| 318 |
-
sc, _WEIGHTS[("安定性", "決済振り")], rs)
|
| 319 |
|
| 320 |
sc_mb = 5.0
|
| 321 |
sc_mb += 2.0 if mainbank else (-0.5 if mainbank is False else 0)
|
| 322 |
-
sc_mb += 1.0 if has_line else 0
|
| 323 |
-
sc_mb = _clamp(sc_mb,
|
| 324 |
-
_add(
|
| 325 |
-
|
| 326 |
-
|
| 327 |
-
|
| 328 |
-
_add(
|
| 329 |
-
|
| 330 |
-
|
| 331 |
-
f"担保/月商≈{round(coll_to_ms,2) if coll_to_ms else '—'}")
|
| 332 |
-
|
| 333 |
-
_add(items, "安定性", "取引先",
|
| 334 |
-
( _ramp(- (top1 or 50), 0, -80) +
|
| 335 |
-
_ramp(cust_score, 80, 50) +
|
| 336 |
-
_ramp(- (npl_cnt or 1), 0, -3) ) / 3,
|
| 337 |
-
_WEIGHTS[("安定性", "取引先")],
|
| 338 |
-
f"上位1社{top1 or '—'}%/信用{cust_score or '—'}/不良{int(npl_cnt or 0)}")
|
| 339 |
-
|
| 340 |
-
_add(items, "安定性", "業歴",
|
| 341 |
-
_ramp(years, 20, 1),
|
| 342 |
-
_WEIGHTS[("安定性", "業歴")],
|
| 343 |
-
f"{years or '—'}年")
|
| 344 |
-
|
| 345 |
-
# --- 公平性・総合世評 ---
|
| 346 |
sc_dis = 0.0
|
| 347 |
sc_dis += 10.0 if has_sec else (7.0 if (pub_off or pub_web) else 4.0)
|
| 348 |
-
if upd_on:
|
| 349 |
-
|
| 350 |
-
|
| 351 |
-
|
| 352 |
-
|
| 353 |
-
|
| 354 |
-
|
| 355 |
-
total = round(sum(x["score"] for x in items), 1)
|
| 356 |
-
return {
|
| 357 |
-
"name": "企業評価(外部)",
|
| 358 |
-
"external_total": total,
|
| 359 |
-
"items": items,
|
| 360 |
-
"notes": "欠損は中立、連続スコア×重み(自動正規化)/日本語単位を自動解釈"
|
| 361 |
-
}
|
| 362 |
-
|
| 363 |
-
# ===== ラッパー:UI から呼びやすい形 =====
|
| 364 |
-
def score_external(fin: Dict[str, Any] | None = None,
|
| 365 |
-
external_df: Optional[pd.DataFrame] = None,
|
| 366 |
-
company: str = "",
|
| 367 |
-
country: str = "") -> Dict[str, Any]:
|
| 368 |
-
"""
|
| 369 |
-
UI 側では基本この関数を呼ぶ想定。
|
| 370 |
-
- `external_df` が未指定ならテンプレを自動生成して中立値扱いで採点(ばらつきは小さくなる)
|
| 371 |
-
- 値が入った DataFrame を渡せば、上の `score_external_from_df` で定量スコア化
|
| 372 |
-
"""
|
| 373 |
-
if external_df is None or external_df.empty:
|
| 374 |
-
tmpl = get_external_template_df()
|
| 375 |
-
filled = fill_missing_with_external(tmpl, company=company, country=country)
|
| 376 |
-
return score_external_from_df(filled)
|
| 377 |
-
else:
|
| 378 |
-
filled = fill_missing_with_external(external_df, company=company, country=country)
|
| 379 |
-
return score_external_from_df(filled)
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
# core/external_scoring.py
|
| 2 |
from __future__ import annotations
|
| 3 |
+
from typing import Dict, Any, List, Tuple
|
| 4 |
import pandas as pd
|
| 5 |
import math
|
|
|
|
| 6 |
|
| 7 |
+
__all__ = ["get_external_template_df", "fill_missing_with_external", "score_external_from_df"]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 8 |
|
|
|
|
| 9 |
_TEMPLATE_ROWS: List[Tuple[str, str]] = [
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
("経営者能力", "予実達成率_3年平均(%)"),
|
| 11 |
("経営者能力", "監査・内部統制の重大な不備 件数(過去3年)"),
|
| 12 |
("経営者能力", "重大コンプライアンス件数(過去3年)"),
|
|
|
|
| 18 |
("経営者能力", "倒産歴の有無(TRUE/FALSE)"),
|
| 19 |
("経営者能力", "倒産からの経過年数"),
|
| 20 |
("経営者能力", "重大事件・事故件数(過去10年)"),
|
| 21 |
+
|
| 22 |
("成長率", "売上_期3(最新期)"),
|
| 23 |
("成長率", "売上_期2"),
|
| 24 |
("成長率", "売上_期1(最古期)"),
|
|
|
|
| 27 |
("成長率", "営業利益_期1(最古期)"),
|
| 28 |
("成長率", "主力商品数"),
|
| 29 |
("成長率", "成長中主力商品数"),
|
| 30 |
+
|
| 31 |
("安定性", "自己資本比率(%)"),
|
| 32 |
("安定性", "利益剰余金(円)"),
|
| 33 |
("安定性", "支払遅延件数(直近12ヶ月)"),
|
|
|
|
| 44 |
("安定性", "主要顧客の平均信用スコア(0-100)"),
|
| 45 |
("安定性", "不良債権件数(直近12ヶ月)"),
|
| 46 |
("安定性", "業歴(年)"),
|
| 47 |
+
|
| 48 |
("公平性・総合世評", "有価証券報告書提出企業か(TRUE/FALSE)"),
|
| 49 |
("公平性・総合世評", "決算公告や官報での公開あり(TRUE/FALSE)"),
|
| 50 |
("公平性・総合世評", "HP/IRサイトで財務資料公開あり(TRUE/FALSE)"),
|
|
|
|
| 52 |
]
|
| 53 |
|
| 54 |
def get_external_template_df() -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 55 |
+
return pd.DataFrame([(c, i, "") for c, i in _TEMPLATE_ROWS], columns=["カテゴリー", "入力項目", "値"])
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 56 |
|
| 57 |
def fill_missing_with_external(df: pd.DataFrame, company: str = "", country: str = "") -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 58 |
+
# 将来: 外部DBと突合。今はスルー。
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 59 |
return df.copy()
|
| 60 |
|
| 61 |
+
# ===== スコア計算(堅牢化) =====
|
|
|
|
| 62 |
_WEIGHTS = {
|
|
|
|
| 63 |
("経営者能力", "経営姿勢"): 8,
|
| 64 |
("経営者能力", "事業経験"): 5,
|
| 65 |
("経営者能力", "資産担保力"): 6,
|
| 66 |
("経営者能力", "減点事項"): 7,
|
| 67 |
+
|
| 68 |
("成長率", "売上高伸長性"): 10,
|
| 69 |
("成長率", "利益伸長性"): 10,
|
| 70 |
("成長率", "商品"): 6,
|
| 71 |
+
|
| 72 |
("安定性", "自己資本"): 8,
|
| 73 |
("安定性", "決済振り"): 10,
|
| 74 |
("安定性", "金融取引"): 6,
|
| 75 |
("安定性", "資産担保余力"): 6,
|
| 76 |
("安定性", "取引先"): 6,
|
| 77 |
("安定性", "業歴"): 4,
|
| 78 |
+
|
| 79 |
("公平性・総合世評", "ディスクロージャー"): 8,
|
| 80 |
}
|
| 81 |
_WEIGHT_NORM = 100.0 / float(sum(_WEIGHTS.values()))
|
| 82 |
|
| 83 |
+
def _clamp(v, a, b): return max(a, min(b, v))
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 84 |
|
| 85 |
+
def _to_float(x):
|
| 86 |
+
if x is None: return None
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 87 |
try:
|
| 88 |
+
return float(str(x).replace(",", "").replace("▲", "-").replace("△", "-"))
|
| 89 |
except Exception:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 90 |
return None
|
| 91 |
+
|
| 92 |
+
def _to_bool(x):
|
| 93 |
+
if x is None: return None
|
| 94 |
s = str(x).strip().lower()
|
| 95 |
+
if s in ("true","t","1","yes","y","有","あり"): return True
|
| 96 |
+
if s in ("false","f","0","no","n","無","なし"): return False
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 97 |
return None
|
| 98 |
|
| 99 |
+
def _ratio(a,b):
|
| 100 |
+
a = _to_float(a); b = _to_float(b)
|
| 101 |
+
if a is None or b in (None, 0): return None
|
| 102 |
+
try:
|
| 103 |
+
return a/b
|
| 104 |
+
except Exception:
|
| 105 |
return None
|
| 106 |
+
|
| 107 |
+
def _ramp(x, good, bad, lo=0.0, hi=10.0, neutral=None):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 108 |
if x is None:
|
| 109 |
+
return neutral if neutral is not None else (lo+hi)/2.0
|
| 110 |
if good > bad:
|
| 111 |
if x <= bad: return lo
|
| 112 |
if x >= good: return hi
|
| 113 |
+
return lo + (hi-lo) * (x-bad)/(good-bad)
|
| 114 |
else:
|
| 115 |
if x >= bad: return lo
|
| 116 |
if x <= good: return hi
|
| 117 |
+
return lo + (hi-lo) * (x-good)/(bad-good)
|
| 118 |
|
|
|
|
| 119 |
def score_external_from_df(df: pd.DataFrame) -> Dict[str, Any]:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 120 |
def ref(label: str):
|
| 121 |
+
m = df["item"].eq(label) if "item" in df.columns else df["入力項目"].eq(label)
|
| 122 |
+
return df.loc[m, "value" if "value" in df.columns else "値"].values[0] if m.any() else None
|
| 123 |
|
| 124 |
items: List[Dict[str, Any]] = []
|
| 125 |
|
|
|
|
| 126 |
yoy3 = _to_float(ref("予実達成率_3年平均(%)"))
|
| 127 |
audit_bad = _to_float(ref("監査・内部統制の重大な不備 件数(過去3年)"))
|
| 128 |
comp_bad = _to_float(ref("重大コンプライアンス件数(過去3年)"))
|
|
|
|
| 135 |
bk_years = _to_float(ref("倒産からの経過年数"))
|
| 136 |
incidents = _to_float(ref("重大事件・事故件数(過去10年)"))
|
| 137 |
|
| 138 |
+
s1=_to_float(ref("売上_期1(最古期)")); s2=_to_float(ref("売上_期2")); s3=_to_float(ref("売上_期3(最新期)"))
|
| 139 |
+
p1=_to_float(ref("営業利益_期1(最古期)")); p2=_to_float(ref("営業利益_期2")); p3=_to_float(ref("営業利益_期3(最新期)"))
|
| 140 |
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 141 |
equity = _to_float(ref("自己資本比率(%)"))
|
| 142 |
+
delay_cnt=_to_float(ref("支払遅延件数(直近12ヶ月)"))
|
| 143 |
+
boun_cnt=_to_float(ref("不渡り件数(直近12ヶ月)"))
|
| 144 |
+
delay_days=_to_float(ref("平均支払遅延日数"))
|
| 145 |
+
mainbank=_to_bool(ref("メインバンク明確か(TRUE/FALSE)"))
|
| 146 |
+
lenders=_to_float(ref("借入先数"))
|
| 147 |
+
main_share=_to_float(ref("メインバンク借入シェア(%)"))
|
| 148 |
+
has_line=_to_bool(ref("コミットメントライン等の長期与信枠あり(TRUE/FALSE)"))
|
| 149 |
+
sales_m2=_to_float(ref("月商(円)_再掲")) or sales_m
|
| 150 |
+
top1=_to_float(ref("主要顧客上位1社売上比率(%)"))
|
| 151 |
+
cust_score=_to_float(ref("主要顧客の平均信用スコア(0-100)"))
|
| 152 |
+
npl_cnt=_to_float(ref("不良債権件数(直近12ヶ月)"))
|
| 153 |
+
years=_to_float(ref("業歴(年)"))
|
| 154 |
+
has_sec=_to_bool(ref("有価証券報告書提出企業か(TRUE/FALSE)"))
|
| 155 |
+
pub_off=_to_bool(ref("決算公告や官報での公開あり(TRUE/FALSE)"))
|
| 156 |
+
pub_web=_to_bool(ref("HP/IRサイトで財務資料公開あり(TRUE/FALSE)"))
|
| 157 |
+
upd_on=_to_bool(ref("直近更新が定め通りか(TRUE/FALSE)"))
|
| 158 |
+
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 159 |
cash_to_ms = _ratio(cash, sales_m2)
|
| 160 |
coll_to_ms = _ratio(collat, sales_m2)
|
| 161 |
|
| 162 |
+
def cagr(v1, v3):
|
| 163 |
+
if v1 is None or v3 is None or v1 <= 0: return None
|
|
|
|
| 164 |
try:
|
| 165 |
+
return (v3/v1)**(1/2) - 1.0
|
| 166 |
except Exception:
|
| 167 |
return None
|
| 168 |
|
| 169 |
+
s_cagr = cagr(s1, s3); p_cagr = cagr(p1, p3)
|
|
|
|
| 170 |
|
| 171 |
+
def _add(cat, name, raw, weight, reason):
|
| 172 |
+
items.append({
|
| 173 |
+
"category": cat,
|
| 174 |
+
"name": name,
|
| 175 |
+
"raw": round(raw,2) if raw is not None else None,
|
| 176 |
+
"weight": round(weight*_WEIGHT_NORM,2),
|
| 177 |
+
"score": round(((raw if raw is not None else 5.0)/10.0)*weight*_WEIGHT_NORM,2),
|
| 178 |
+
"reason": reason
|
| 179 |
+
})
|
|
|
|
| 180 |
|
| 181 |
+
# 経営者能力
|
| 182 |
+
mg_att = (_ramp(yoy3, 90,50)+_ramp(0 if not audit_bad else -audit_bad,0,-3)+_ramp(0 if not comp_bad else -comp_bad,0,-2)+_ramp(indep,33,0))/4
|
| 183 |
+
_add("経営者能力", "経営姿勢", mg_att, _WEIGHTS[("経営者能力","経営姿勢")], f"予実{yoy3 or '—'}%/監査{audit_bad or 0}/違反{comp_bad or 0}/社外{indep or '—'}%")
|
| 184 |
mg_exp = _ramp(exp_years if exp_years is not None else 5.0, 15, 0)
|
| 185 |
+
_add("経営者能力", "事業経験", mg_exp, _WEIGHTS[("経営者能力","事業経験")], f"経験{exp_years if exp_years is not None else '不明→中立'}年")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 186 |
mg_asset = _ramp(cash_to_ms, 1.5, 0.2)
|
| 187 |
+
_add("経営者能力", "資産担保力", mg_asset, _WEIGHTS[("経営者能力","資産担保力")], f"現預金/月商≈{round(cash_to_ms,2) if cash_to_ms else '—'}")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 188 |
|
| 189 |
+
if incidents and incidents>0:
|
| 190 |
+
pen=0.0; rs=f"重大事故{int(incidents)}件→大幅減点"
|
| 191 |
elif has_bk:
|
| 192 |
+
pen=6.0 if (bk_years and bk_years>=10) else 3.0; rs=f"倒産歴あり({bk_years or '不明'}年)"
|
|
|
|
| 193 |
else:
|
| 194 |
+
pen=10.0; rs="事故/倒産なし"
|
| 195 |
+
_add("経営者能力","減点事項",pen,_WEIGHTS[("経営者能力","減点事項")],rs)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 196 |
|
| 197 |
+
# 成長率
|
| 198 |
+
_add("成長率","売上高伸長性", _ramp(s_cagr,0.08,-0.05), _WEIGHTS[("成長率","売上高伸長性")], f"CAGR売上{round((s_cagr or 0)*100,1) if s_cagr is not None else '—'}%")
|
| 199 |
+
_add("成長率","利益伸長性", _ramp(p_cagr,0.08,-0.05), _WEIGHTS[("成長率","利益伸長性")], f"CAGR営業{round((p_cagr or 0)*100,1) if p_cagr is not None else '—'}%")
|
| 200 |
+
_add("成長率","商品", 5.0, _WEIGHTS[("成長率","商品")], "不明→中立")
|
| 201 |
+
|
| 202 |
+
# 安定性
|
| 203 |
+
_add("安定性","自己資本", _ramp(equity,40,5), _WEIGHTS[("安定性","自己資本")], f"自己資本比率{equity or '—'}%")
|
| 204 |
if (delay_cnt is not None) or (boun_cnt is not None) or (delay_days is not None):
|
| 205 |
+
sc=( _ramp(- (delay_cnt or 0),0,-6) + _ramp(- (boun_cnt or 0),0,-1) + _ramp(- (delay_days or 0),0,-30) )/3
|
| 206 |
+
rs=f"遅延{int(delay_cnt or 0)}/不渡{int(boun_cnt or 0)}/平均{int(delay_days or 0)}日"
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 207 |
else:
|
| 208 |
+
sc=_ramp(cash_to_ms,1.0,0.2); rs=f"代理:現預金/月商≈{round(cash_to_ms,2) if cash_to_ms else '—'}"
|
| 209 |
+
_add("安定性","決済振り", sc, _WEIGHTS[("安定性","決済振り")], rs)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 210 |
|
| 211 |
sc_mb = 5.0
|
| 212 |
sc_mb += 2.0 if mainbank else (-0.5 if mainbank is False else 0)
|
| 213 |
+
sc_mb += 1.0 if has_line else 0
|
| 214 |
+
sc_mb = _clamp(sc_mb,0,10)
|
| 215 |
+
_add("安定性","金融取引", sc_mb, _WEIGHTS[("安定性","金融取引")], f"メイン{'有' if mainbank else '無' if mainbank is False else '—'}/与信枠{'有' if has_line else '無' if has_line is False else '—'}")
|
| 216 |
+
|
| 217 |
+
_add("安定性","資産担保余力", _ramp(coll_to_ms,4.0,0.0), _WEIGHTS[("安定性","資産担保余力")], f"担保/月商≈{round(coll_to_ms,2) if coll_to_ms else '—'}")
|
| 218 |
+
_add("安定性","取引先", ( _ramp(- (top1 or 50),0,-80) + _ramp(cust_score,80,50) + _ramp(- (npl_cnt or 1),0,-3) )/3, _WEIGHTS[("安定性","取引先")], f"上位1社{top1 or '—'}%/信用{cust_score or '—'}/不良{int(npl_cnt or 0)}")
|
| 219 |
+
_add("安定性","業歴", _ramp(years,20,1), _WEIGHTS[("安定性","業歴")], f"{years or '—'}年")
|
| 220 |
+
|
| 221 |
+
# 公平性
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 222 |
sc_dis = 0.0
|
| 223 |
sc_dis += 10.0 if has_sec else (7.0 if (pub_off or pub_web) else 4.0)
|
| 224 |
+
if upd_on: sc_dis += 1.0
|
| 225 |
+
sc_dis = _clamp(sc_dis,0,10)
|
| 226 |
+
_add("公平性・総合世評","ディスクロージャー", sc_dis, _WEIGHTS[("公平性・総合世評","ディスクロージャー")], f"{'有報' if has_sec else '公開あり' if (pub_off or pub_web) else '公開乏しい'} / 更新{'◯' if upd_on else '—'}")
|
| 227 |
+
|
| 228 |
+
total = round(sum(x["score"] for x in items),1)
|
| 229 |
+
return {"name":"企業評価(外部・定量化)","external_total": total, "items": items, "notes":"欠損は中立、連続スコア×重み(自動正規化)"}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|