Update scripts/app.py
Browse files- scripts/app.py +215 -125
scripts/app.py
CHANGED
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@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
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# scripts/app.py
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import gradio as gr
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import pandas as pd
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import numpy as np
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@@ -10,38 +12,10 @@ import os
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import sys
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import json
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import torch
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import
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import
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# --- Fix YFinance Cache Lock ---
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try:
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cache_dir = "/tmp/pytz_cache"
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if os.path.exists(cache_dir): shutil.rmtree(cache_dir)
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os.makedirs(cache_dir, exist_ok=True)
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yf.set_tz_cache_location(cache_dir)
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except: pass
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# --- Add project root to sys.path ---
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try:
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script_dir = os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__))
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project_root = os.path.dirname(script_dir)
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if project_root not in sys.path:
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sys.path.insert(0, project_root)
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except NameError:
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project_root = os.getcwd()
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if project_root not in sys.path:
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sys.path.insert(0, project_root)
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print(f"Project Root set to: {project_root}")
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# --- Imports ---
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from scripts.fetch_market_data import fetch_market_data, ASSETS, FRED_IDS
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# Import the new analysis function instead of RAG tools
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from scripts.llm_analysis_rag import analyze_agent_decision, analyze_historical_segment, setup_rag_chain
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from stable_baselines3 import SAC
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from scripts.environment import PortfolioEnv
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# Import baseline functions
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from scripts.evaluate_baselines import buy_and_hold, equally_weighted_rebalanced
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# --- Configuration ---
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# Initialize data at startup
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try:
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setup_rag_chain() # Initialize RAG components if needed
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initialize_dashboard_data()
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except Exception as e:
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print(f"Warning: Data initialization failed. Error: {e}")
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@@ -114,7 +87,7 @@ def evaluate_agent_pro(env, model):
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"""
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obs, info = env.reset()
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terminated, truncated = False, False
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portfolio_values = [env.
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while not (terminated or truncated):
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action, _states = model.predict(obs, deterministic=True)
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@@ -173,11 +146,6 @@ def calculate_feature_importance(model, obs):
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"""
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# Convert observation to torch tensor and enable gradient tracking
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obs_tensor = torch.as_tensor(obs, dtype=torch.float32, device=model.device)
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# Ensure batch dimension exists
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if obs_tensor.dim() == 1:
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obs_tensor = obs_tensor.unsqueeze(0)
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obs_tensor.requires_grad_()
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# Get the policy network (actor)
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action_mean = actor(scaled_input)
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# We need a scalar output to calculate gradients against.
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target_output = action_mean.sum()
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# Calculate gradients of the target output with respect to the input features
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grad = torch.autograd.grad(outputs=target_output, inputs=scaled_input)[0]
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grads.append(grad)
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#
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avg_grads = (
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avg_grads = avg_grads.mean(dim=0)
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# Calculate Integrated Gradients: (input - baseline) * average_gradients
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integrated_grads = (obs_tensor - baseline) * avg_grads
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# Detach, move to cpu,
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importance_scores = integrated_grads.detach().cpu().numpy().flatten()
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# Feature Names mapping
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feature_names = []
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for i in range(WINDOW_SIZE):
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for asset in ASSETS:
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yaxis={'categoryorder':'total ascending'},
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coloraxis_showscale=False,
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margin=dict(l=10, r=10, t=40, b=10),
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height=300
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# Style the hover labels for readability
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hoverlabel=dict(
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bgcolor="white",
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font_size=14,
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font_family="Roboto",
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font_color="black"
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)
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)
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return fig
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# =========================================
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# Tab 4 Logic: Historical Simulation
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# =========================================
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def run_historical_simulation(start_date_str, end_date_str):
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if DASHBOARD_DATA_DF is None:
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return go.Figure(), "Data not initialized. Please restart app.",
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status_msg = "Preparing simulation..."
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yield go.Figure(), status_msg,
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try:
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try:
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start_date = pd.to_datetime(start_date_str)
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end_date = pd.to_datetime(end_date_str)
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except ValueError:
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yield go.Figure(), "Error: Invalid date format. Use YYYY-MM-DD.",
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return
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if start_date < DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.index.min() or end_date > DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.index.max():
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avail_start = DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.index.min().date()
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avail_end = DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.index.max().date()
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yield go.Figure(), f"Error:
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return
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df_slice = DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.loc[start_date:end_date].copy()
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asset_cols_only = [c for c in ASSETS if c in df_slice.columns]
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if len(df_slice) < WINDOW_SIZE + 10:
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yield go.Figure(), "Error: Time period too short.",
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return
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status_msg = "Running RL Agent simulation..."
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yield go.Figure(), status_msg,
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env = PortfolioEnv(df_slice, WINDOW_SIZE,
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if not os.path.exists(MODEL_PATH):
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raise FileNotFoundError(f"Model not found: {MODEL_PATH}")
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model = SAC.load(MODEL_PATH)
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rl_portfolio_series = evaluate_agent_pro(env, model)
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bnh_portfolio_series = bnh_portfolio_series.loc[rl_portfolio_series.index[0]:]
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bnh_portfolio_series = bnh_portfolio_series / bnh_portfolio_series.iloc[0] * 10000
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eq_portfolio_series = equally_weighted_rebalanced(df_slice[asset_cols_only],
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eq_portfolio_series = eq_portfolio_series.loc[rl_portfolio_series.index[0]:]
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eq_portfolio_series = eq_portfolio_series / eq_portfolio_series.iloc[0] * 10000
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fig = go.Figure()
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fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=rl_portfolio_series.index, y=rl_portfolio_series, mode='lines', name='RL Agent (SAC)', line=dict(color='#10b981', width=3)))
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fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=bnh_portfolio_series.index, y=bnh_portfolio_series, mode='lines', name='Buy & Hold (SPY)', line=dict(color='#6b7280', dash='dash')))
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paper_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)',
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plot_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)',
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hovermode="x unified",
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legend=dict(orientation="h", yanchor="bottom", y=1.02, xanchor="right", x=1)
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hoverlabel=dict(bgcolor="white", font_size=14, font_family="Roboto", font_color="black")
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)
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rl_m = calculate_metrics_pro(rl_portfolio_series)
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bnh_m = calculate_metrics_pro(bnh_portfolio_series)
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eq_m = calculate_metrics_pro(eq_portfolio_series)
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def fmt(val, is_pct=True):
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if pd.isna(val): return "N/A"
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return f"{val:.2%}" if is_pct else f"{val:.2f}"
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}
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metrics_df = pd.DataFrame(metrics_data)
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except Exception as e:
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import traceback
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traceback.print_exc()
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yield go.Figure(), f"Error: {str(e)}",
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# =========================================
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# =========================================
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def run_historical_analysis(selected_assets, period_name):
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if DASHBOARD_DATA_DF is None or not selected_assets:
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return go.Figure(), "Please wait for data initialization or select assets."
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yield go.Figure(), status_html
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try:
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days = TIME_PERIODS.get(period_name, 365)
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cutoff_date = datetime.now() - timedelta(days=days)
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valid_assets = [a for a in selected_assets if a in DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.columns]
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if not valid_assets:
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yield go.Figure(), "Error: Selected assets not found."
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return
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df_filtered = DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.loc[cutoff_date:, valid_assets].copy()
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if df_filtered.empty:
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yield go.Figure(), f"No data found for: {period_name}"
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return
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df_normalized = df_filtered / df_filtered.iloc[0] * 100
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fig = px.line(df_normalized, x=df_normalized.index, y=df_normalized.columns,
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title=f"Performance Comparison: {period_name} (Base=100)",
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color_discrete_sequence=px.colors.qualitative.Bold)
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fig.update_layout(template="plotly_dark", paper_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)', plot_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)',
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yaxis_title="Normalized Price", xaxis_title="Date", legend_title_text="", hovermode="x unified"
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hoverlabel=dict(bgcolor="white", font_size=14, font_family="Roboto", font_color="black"))
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analysis_text = analyze_historical_segment(df_filtered, valid_assets, period_name)
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formatted_analysis = f"### ๐ค AI Analyst Report: {period_name}\n\n{analysis_text}"
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yield fig, formatted_analysis
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except Exception as e:
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import traceback
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traceback.print_exc()
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yield go.Figure(), f"### Error
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# =========================================
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# Tab 2 Logic: Forecast & Analysis
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# =========================================
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def get_latest_data_window(window_size=30):
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print("Fetching prediction data...")
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lookback_days = window_size + 150
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end_date = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
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if not os.path.exists(temp_filename): raise Exception("Failed to fetch market data file.")
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df = pd.read_csv(temp_filename, index_col=0, parse_dates=True)
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df.dropna(inplace=True)
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if len(df) < window_size: raise Exception(f"Not enough clean data fetched.")
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return df.iloc[-window_size:].copy()
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def prepare_observation(data_window):
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norm_prices = price_data / (price_data[0] + 1e-8)
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norm_macro = macro_data / (macro_data[0] + 1e-8)
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obs = np.concatenate([norm_prices, norm_macro], axis=1)
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return obs.flatten().astype(np.float32), obs.astype(np.float32), data_window
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def predict_and_analyze():
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status_msg = "Starting process..."
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loading_html = """<div style="color: #9ca3af;">๐ Fetching data & running prediction...</div>"""
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yield status_msg, None, go.Figure(), loading_html
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try:
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data_window = get_latest_data_window(WINDOW_SIZE)
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flat_obs, raw_obs, df_window_for_analyst = prepare_observation(data_window)
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if not os.path.exists(MODEL_PATH): raise FileNotFoundError(f"Model not found: {MODEL_PATH}")
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model = SAC.load(MODEL_PATH)
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status_msg = "Calculating feature importance..."
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yield status_msg, None, go.Figure(), loading_html
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xai_plot = calculate_feature_importance(model,
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action, _ = model.predict(flat_obs, deterministic=True)
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exp_action = np.exp(np.asarray(action).flatten())
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weights = exp_action / np.sum(exp_action)
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status_msg = "Prediction done. Running AI Risk Analysis..."
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analysing_html = """<div style="color: #9ca3af;">๐ค Running Qwen-2.5-3B Risk Analysis...</div>"""
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yield status_msg, alloc_df, xai_plot, analysing_html
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allocations_for_llm = {k: float(v) for k, v in allocations_dict.items()}
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risk = analysis_result.get('risk_level', 'N/A').upper()
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just = analysis_result.get('justification', 'N/A')
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conf = analysis_result.get('confidence_score', 'N/A')
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report_html = f"""
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<div style="background-color: #1f2937; padding: 20px; border-radius: 12px 12px 0 0; border: 1px solid #374151; border-bottom: none;">
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</div>"""
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else:
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report_html = f"""<div style="padding: 20px; background-color: #7f1d1d; color: #fca5a5; border-radius: 12px;"><h3>โ Analysis Failed to Parse</h3><p>{str(analysis_result)}</p></div>"""
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yield status_msg, alloc_df, xai_plot, report_html
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except Exception as e:
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import traceback
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traceback.print_exc()
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# =========================================
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# Tab 1 Logic: Live Dashboard (DUMMY DATA)
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# =========================================
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def get_dashboard_metrics():
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return "$135,400", "+3.07%"
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def get_portfolio_history_plot():
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dates = pd.date_range(start="2023-01-01", periods=100)
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np.random.seed(42)
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fig = go.Figure()
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fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=dates, y=rl_value, mode='lines', name='RL Agent', line=dict(color='#10b981', width=3)))
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fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=dates, y=bnh_value, mode='lines', name='Benchmark', line=dict(color='#6b7280', dash='dash')))
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fig.update_layout(title="Portfolio Net Worth (Live)", template="plotly_dark", paper_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)', plot_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)',
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return fig
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def get_current_allocation_plot():
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return fig
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def get_recent_transactions():
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# =========================================
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# Gradio Interface
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# =========================================
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custom_css = """
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.metric-box { background-color: #1f2937; padding: 20px; border-radius: 12px; border: 1px solid #374151; text-align: center; }
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.metric-label { font-size: 1.1em; color: #9ca3af; margin-bottom: 5px; }
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.disclaimer-box { background-color: #374151; padding: 15px; border-radius: 8px; border-left: 4px solid #f59e0b; color: #d1d5db; font-size: 0.9em; margin-bottom: 20px; }
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"""
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#
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gr.Markdown("# ๐ง Deep RL & LLM Portfolio Manager")
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with gr.Tabs():
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gr.HTML(f"<div class='metric-box'><div>Net Worth</div><div class='metric-value'>{nw}</div></div>")
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gr.HTML(f"<div class='metric-box'><div>Change</div><div class='metric-value' style='color:#10b981'>{ch}</div></div>")
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with gr.Row():
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with gr.Row():
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with gr.Column():
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btn = gr.Button("๐ Run Analysis", variant="primary")
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stat = gr.Textbox(label="Status", interactive=False)
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with gr.Row():
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with gr.Column(scale=2):
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with gr.Column(scale=3):
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with gr.Row():
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with gr.TabItem("๐ Simulation"):
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with gr.Row():
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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demo.queue().launch(server_name="0.0.0.0", server_port=7860, debug=True, share=True)
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|
| 1 |
# scripts/app.py
|
| 2 |
|
| 3 |
+
# scripts/app.py
|
| 4 |
+
|
| 5 |
import gradio as gr
|
| 6 |
import pandas as pd
|
| 7 |
import numpy as np
|
|
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|
| 12 |
import sys
|
| 13 |
import json
|
| 14 |
import torch
|
| 15 |
+
from fetch_market_data import fetch_market_data, ASSETS, FRED_IDS
|
| 16 |
+
from llm_analysis_rag import analyze_agent_decision, analyze_historical_segment
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| 17 |
from stable_baselines3 import SAC
|
| 18 |
+
from environment import PortfolioEnv
|
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|
| 19 |
from scripts.evaluate_baselines import buy_and_hold, equally_weighted_rebalanced
|
| 20 |
|
| 21 |
# --- Configuration ---
|
|
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|
| 72 |
|
| 73 |
# Initialize data at startup
|
| 74 |
try:
|
|
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|
| 75 |
initialize_dashboard_data()
|
| 76 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 77 |
print(f"Warning: Data initialization failed. Error: {e}")
|
|
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|
| 87 |
"""
|
| 88 |
obs, info = env.reset()
|
| 89 |
terminated, truncated = False, False
|
| 90 |
+
portfolio_values = [env.initial_amount]
|
| 91 |
|
| 92 |
while not (terminated or truncated):
|
| 93 |
action, _states = model.predict(obs, deterministic=True)
|
|
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|
| 146 |
"""
|
| 147 |
# Convert observation to torch tensor and enable gradient tracking
|
| 148 |
obs_tensor = torch.as_tensor(obs, dtype=torch.float32, device=model.device)
|
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|
| 149 |
obs_tensor.requires_grad_()
|
| 150 |
|
| 151 |
# Get the policy network (actor)
|
|
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|
| 166 |
action_mean = actor(scaled_input)
|
| 167 |
|
| 168 |
# We need a scalar output to calculate gradients against.
|
| 169 |
+
# Here we sum, representing overall sensitivity of the action vector.
|
| 170 |
target_output = action_mean.sum()
|
| 171 |
|
| 172 |
# Calculate gradients of the target output with respect to the input features
|
| 173 |
grad = torch.autograd.grad(outputs=target_output, inputs=scaled_input)[0]
|
| 174 |
grads.append(grad)
|
| 175 |
|
| 176 |
+
# Average the gradients using the trapezoidal rule approximation
|
| 177 |
+
avg_grads = (grads[:-1] + grads[1:]) / 2.0
|
| 178 |
+
avg_grads = torch.stack(avg_grads).mean(dim=0)
|
|
|
|
| 179 |
|
| 180 |
# Calculate Integrated Gradients: (input - baseline) * average_gradients
|
| 181 |
integrated_grads = (obs_tensor - baseline) * avg_grads
|
| 182 |
|
| 183 |
+
# Detach, move to cpu, and convert to numpy array
|
| 184 |
importance_scores = integrated_grads.detach().cpu().numpy().flatten()
|
| 185 |
|
| 186 |
# Feature Names mapping
|
| 187 |
+
num_assets = len(ASSETS)
|
| 188 |
+
num_macro = len(MACRO_COLS)
|
| 189 |
+
|
| 190 |
+
# Create feature names based on the observation structure
|
| 191 |
feature_names = []
|
| 192 |
for i in range(WINDOW_SIZE):
|
| 193 |
for asset in ASSETS:
|
|
|
|
| 225 |
yaxis={'categoryorder':'total ascending'},
|
| 226 |
coloraxis_showscale=False,
|
| 227 |
margin=dict(l=10, r=10, t=40, b=10),
|
| 228 |
+
height=300 # Keep it compact
|
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|
| 229 |
)
|
| 230 |
|
| 231 |
return fig
|
| 232 |
|
| 233 |
# =========================================
|
| 234 |
+
# Tab 4 Logic: Historical Simulation (UPDATED)
|
| 235 |
# =========================================
|
| 236 |
|
| 237 |
def run_historical_simulation(start_date_str, end_date_str):
|
| 238 |
+
"""
|
| 239 |
+
Runs the RL agent on historical data and compares to baselines using professional metrics.
|
| 240 |
+
"""
|
| 241 |
if DASHBOARD_DATA_DF is None:
|
| 242 |
+
return go.Figure(), "Data not initialized. Please restart app.", gr.update(visible=False)
|
| 243 |
|
| 244 |
status_msg = "Preparing simulation..."
|
| 245 |
+
yield go.Figure(), status_msg, gr.update(visible=False)
|
| 246 |
|
| 247 |
try:
|
| 248 |
+
# 1. Validate and Slice Data
|
| 249 |
try:
|
| 250 |
start_date = pd.to_datetime(start_date_str)
|
| 251 |
end_date = pd.to_datetime(end_date_str)
|
| 252 |
except ValueError:
|
| 253 |
+
yield go.Figure(), "Error: Invalid date format. Use YYYY-MM-DD.", gr.update(visible=False)
|
| 254 |
return
|
| 255 |
|
| 256 |
if start_date < DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.index.min() or end_date > DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.index.max():
|
| 257 |
avail_start = DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.index.min().date()
|
| 258 |
avail_end = DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.index.max().date()
|
| 259 |
+
yield go.Figure(), f"Error: Selected dates outside available range ({avail_start} to {avail_end}).", gr.update(visible=False)
|
| 260 |
return
|
| 261 |
|
| 262 |
df_slice = DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.loc[start_date:end_date].copy()
|
| 263 |
asset_cols_only = [c for c in ASSETS if c in df_slice.columns]
|
| 264 |
|
| 265 |
if len(df_slice) < WINDOW_SIZE + 10:
|
| 266 |
+
yield go.Figure(), "Error: Time period too short for simulation.", gr.update(visible=False)
|
| 267 |
return
|
| 268 |
|
| 269 |
+
# 2. Setup Environment and Agent
|
| 270 |
status_msg = "Running RL Agent simulation..."
|
| 271 |
+
yield go.Figure(), status_msg, gr.update(visible=False)
|
| 272 |
|
| 273 |
+
env = PortfolioEnv(df_slice, WINDOW_SIZE, initial_amount=10000)
|
| 274 |
|
| 275 |
if not os.path.exists(MODEL_PATH):
|
| 276 |
raise FileNotFoundError(f"Model not found: {MODEL_PATH}")
|
| 277 |
model = SAC.load(MODEL_PATH)
|
| 278 |
|
| 279 |
+
# 3. Run Simulation Loop & Get Values using Pro Function
|
| 280 |
rl_portfolio_series = evaluate_agent_pro(env, model)
|
| 281 |
|
| 282 |
+
# 4. Calculate Baselines using Pro Functions
|
| 283 |
+
status_msg = "Calculating baselines and metrics..."
|
| 284 |
+
yield go.Figure(), status_msg, gr.update(visible=False)
|
| 285 |
|
| 286 |
+
# Pass only asset columns to baseline functions
|
| 287 |
+
bnh_portfolio_series = buy_and_hold(df_slice[asset_cols_only], initial_amount=10000)
|
| 288 |
+
# Realign B&H index to match RL agent's start date
|
| 289 |
bnh_portfolio_series = bnh_portfolio_series.loc[rl_portfolio_series.index[0]:]
|
| 290 |
+
# Normalize B&H starting value to match RL agent's start
|
| 291 |
bnh_portfolio_series = bnh_portfolio_series / bnh_portfolio_series.iloc[0] * 10000
|
| 292 |
|
| 293 |
+
eq_portfolio_series = equally_weighted_rebalanced(df_slice[asset_cols_only], initial_amount=10000)
|
| 294 |
eq_portfolio_series = eq_portfolio_series.loc[rl_portfolio_series.index[0]:]
|
| 295 |
eq_portfolio_series = eq_portfolio_series / eq_portfolio_series.iloc[0] * 10000
|
| 296 |
|
| 297 |
+
# 5. Generate Plot
|
| 298 |
fig = go.Figure()
|
| 299 |
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=rl_portfolio_series.index, y=rl_portfolio_series, mode='lines', name='RL Agent (SAC)', line=dict(color='#10b981', width=3)))
|
| 300 |
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=bnh_portfolio_series.index, y=bnh_portfolio_series, mode='lines', name='Buy & Hold (SPY)', line=dict(color='#6b7280', dash='dash')))
|
|
|
|
| 308 |
paper_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)',
|
| 309 |
plot_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)',
|
| 310 |
hovermode="x unified",
|
| 311 |
+
legend=dict(orientation="h", yanchor="bottom", y=1.02, xanchor="right", x=1)
|
|
|
|
| 312 |
)
|
| 313 |
|
| 314 |
+
# 6. Calculate Professional Metrics Table
|
| 315 |
rl_m = calculate_metrics_pro(rl_portfolio_series)
|
| 316 |
bnh_m = calculate_metrics_pro(bnh_portfolio_series)
|
| 317 |
eq_m = calculate_metrics_pro(eq_portfolio_series)
|
| 318 |
|
| 319 |
+
# Helper to format based on metric type
|
| 320 |
def fmt(val, is_pct=True):
|
| 321 |
if pd.isna(val): return "N/A"
|
| 322 |
return f"{val:.2%}" if is_pct else f"{val:.2f}"
|
|
|
|
| 329 |
}
|
| 330 |
metrics_df = pd.DataFrame(metrics_data)
|
| 331 |
|
| 332 |
+
# Format the dataframe as a markdown table for cleaner display
|
| 333 |
+
metrics_md = metrics_df.to_markdown(index=False)
|
| 334 |
+
final_metrics_display = f"### ๐ Professional Performance Metrics\n\n{metrics_md}"
|
| 335 |
+
|
| 336 |
+
yield fig, "Simulation Complete.", final_metrics_display
|
| 337 |
|
| 338 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 339 |
import traceback
|
| 340 |
traceback.print_exc()
|
| 341 |
+
yield go.Figure(), f"Error during simulation: {str(e)}", gr.update(visible=False)
|
| 342 |
|
| 343 |
|
| 344 |
# =========================================
|
|
|
|
| 346 |
# =========================================
|
| 347 |
|
| 348 |
def run_historical_analysis(selected_assets, period_name):
|
| 349 |
+
"""Backend for Tab 3."""
|
| 350 |
if DASHBOARD_DATA_DF is None or not selected_assets:
|
| 351 |
return go.Figure(), "Please wait for data initialization or select assets."
|
| 352 |
|
|
|
|
| 354 |
yield go.Figure(), status_html
|
| 355 |
|
| 356 |
try:
|
| 357 |
+
# 1. Filter Data by Time Period
|
| 358 |
days = TIME_PERIODS.get(period_name, 365)
|
| 359 |
cutoff_date = datetime.now() - timedelta(days=days)
|
| 360 |
valid_assets = [a for a in selected_assets if a in DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.columns]
|
| 361 |
if not valid_assets:
|
| 362 |
+
yield go.Figure(), "Error: Selected assets not found in available data."
|
| 363 |
return
|
| 364 |
df_filtered = DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.loc[cutoff_date:, valid_assets].copy()
|
| 365 |
if df_filtered.empty:
|
| 366 |
+
yield go.Figure(), f"No data found for the selected period: {period_name}"
|
| 367 |
return
|
| 368 |
|
| 369 |
+
# 2. Generate Normalized Price Plot
|
| 370 |
df_normalized = df_filtered / df_filtered.iloc[0] * 100
|
| 371 |
fig = px.line(df_normalized, x=df_normalized.index, y=df_normalized.columns,
|
| 372 |
title=f"Performance Comparison: {period_name} (Base=100)",
|
| 373 |
color_discrete_sequence=px.colors.qualitative.Bold)
|
| 374 |
fig.update_layout(template="plotly_dark", paper_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)', plot_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)',
|
| 375 |
+
yaxis_title="Normalized Price", xaxis_title="Date", legend_title_text="", hovermode="x unified")
|
|
|
|
| 376 |
|
| 377 |
+
# 3. Run AI Analysis
|
| 378 |
analysis_text = analyze_historical_segment(df_filtered, valid_assets, period_name)
|
| 379 |
formatted_analysis = f"### ๐ค AI Analyst Report: {period_name}\n\n{analysis_text}"
|
| 380 |
yield fig, formatted_analysis
|
|
|
|
| 382 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 383 |
import traceback
|
| 384 |
traceback.print_exc()
|
| 385 |
+
yield go.Figure(), f"### Error during analysis\n\n{str(e)}"
|
| 386 |
|
| 387 |
|
| 388 |
# =========================================
|
| 389 |
+
# Tab 2 Logic: Forecast & Analysis (XAI)
|
| 390 |
# =========================================
|
| 391 |
|
| 392 |
def get_latest_data_window(window_size=30):
|
| 393 |
+
"""Fetches latest data needed for prediction."""
|
| 394 |
print("Fetching prediction data...")
|
| 395 |
lookback_days = window_size + 150
|
| 396 |
end_date = datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
|
|
|
|
| 400 |
if not os.path.exists(temp_filename): raise Exception("Failed to fetch market data file.")
|
| 401 |
df = pd.read_csv(temp_filename, index_col=0, parse_dates=True)
|
| 402 |
df.dropna(inplace=True)
|
| 403 |
+
if len(df) < window_size: raise Exception(f"Not enough clean data fetched for prediction.")
|
| 404 |
return df.iloc[-window_size:].copy()
|
| 405 |
|
| 406 |
def prepare_observation(data_window):
|
|
|
|
| 409 |
norm_prices = price_data / (price_data[0] + 1e-8)
|
| 410 |
norm_macro = macro_data / (macro_data[0] + 1e-8)
|
| 411 |
obs = np.concatenate([norm_prices, norm_macro], axis=1)
|
| 412 |
+
# Return both flattened obs for model and raw obs for XAI
|
| 413 |
return obs.flatten().astype(np.float32), obs.astype(np.float32), data_window
|
| 414 |
|
| 415 |
def predict_and_analyze():
|
| 416 |
+
"""Main function for Forecast Tab."""
|
| 417 |
status_msg = "Starting process..."
|
| 418 |
loading_html = """<div style="color: #9ca3af;">๐ Fetching data & running prediction...</div>"""
|
| 419 |
+
# Update to yield an empty plot for the XAI chart initially
|
| 420 |
yield status_msg, None, go.Figure(), loading_html
|
| 421 |
|
| 422 |
try:
|
| 423 |
data_window = get_latest_data_window(WINDOW_SIZE)
|
| 424 |
+
# Get flattened obs for prediction and raw obs for XAI
|
| 425 |
flat_obs, raw_obs, df_window_for_analyst = prepare_observation(data_window)
|
| 426 |
|
| 427 |
if not os.path.exists(MODEL_PATH): raise FileNotFoundError(f"Model not found: {MODEL_PATH}")
|
| 428 |
model = SAC.load(MODEL_PATH)
|
| 429 |
|
| 430 |
+
# --- XAI: Calculate Feature Importance ---
|
| 431 |
status_msg = "Calculating feature importance..."
|
| 432 |
yield status_msg, None, go.Figure(), loading_html
|
| 433 |
+
xai_plot = calculate_feature_importance(model, raw_obs)
|
| 434 |
|
| 435 |
+
# --- Prediction ---
|
| 436 |
action, _ = model.predict(flat_obs, deterministic=True)
|
| 437 |
exp_action = np.exp(np.asarray(action).flatten())
|
| 438 |
weights = exp_action / np.sum(exp_action)
|
|
|
|
| 443 |
|
| 444 |
status_msg = "Prediction done. Running AI Risk Analysis..."
|
| 445 |
analysing_html = """<div style="color: #9ca3af;">๐ค Running Qwen-2.5-3B Risk Analysis...</div>"""
|
| 446 |
+
# Yield XAI plot along with other outputs
|
| 447 |
yield status_msg, alloc_df, xai_plot, analysing_html
|
| 448 |
|
| 449 |
allocations_for_llm = {k: float(v) for k, v in allocations_dict.items()}
|
|
|
|
| 455 |
risk = analysis_result.get('risk_level', 'N/A').upper()
|
| 456 |
just = analysis_result.get('justification', 'N/A')
|
| 457 |
conf = analysis_result.get('confidence_score', 'N/A')
|
| 458 |
+
if 'HIGH' in risk:
|
| 459 |
+
risk_css = "color: #ef4444; font-weight: bold;"
|
| 460 |
+
status_bg = "#7f1d1d"
|
| 461 |
+
status_border = "#ef4444"
|
| 462 |
+
status_icon = "โ"
|
| 463 |
+
status_text = "TRADE BLOCKED: High Risk Detected"
|
| 464 |
+
else:
|
| 465 |
+
risk_css = "color: #10b981; font-weight: bold;"
|
| 466 |
+
status_bg = "#064e3b"
|
| 467 |
+
status_border = "#10b981"
|
| 468 |
+
status_icon = "๐"
|
| 469 |
+
status_text = "TRADE APPROVED"
|
| 470 |
|
| 471 |
report_html = f"""
|
| 472 |
<div style="background-color: #1f2937; padding: 20px; border-radius: 12px 12px 0 0; border: 1px solid #374151; border-bottom: none;">
|
|
|
|
| 481 |
</div>"""
|
| 482 |
else:
|
| 483 |
report_html = f"""<div style="padding: 20px; background-color: #7f1d1d; color: #fca5a5; border-radius: 12px;"><h3>โ Analysis Failed to Parse</h3><p>{str(analysis_result)}</p></div>"""
|
| 484 |
+
# Final yield with all outputs including XAI plot
|
| 485 |
yield status_msg, alloc_df, xai_plot, report_html
|
| 486 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 487 |
import traceback
|
| 488 |
traceback.print_exc()
|
| 489 |
+
status_msg = f"Error: {str(e)}"
|
| 490 |
+
error_html = f"""<div style="padding: 20px; background-color: #7f1d1d; color: #fca5a5; border-radius: 12px;"><h3>โ Process Error</h3><p>{str(e)}</p></div>"""
|
| 491 |
+
# Final yield in case of error
|
| 492 |
+
yield status_msg, None, go.Figure(), error_html
|
| 493 |
+
|
| 494 |
|
| 495 |
# =========================================
|
| 496 |
# Tab 1 Logic: Live Dashboard (DUMMY DATA)
|
| 497 |
# =========================================
|
| 498 |
def get_dashboard_metrics():
|
| 499 |
return "$135,400", "+3.07%"
|
| 500 |
+
|
| 501 |
def get_portfolio_history_plot():
|
| 502 |
dates = pd.date_range(start="2023-01-01", periods=100)
|
| 503 |
np.random.seed(42)
|
| 504 |
+
rl_returns = np.random.normal(0.001, 0.01, 100)
|
| 505 |
+
bnh_returns = np.random.normal(0.0005, 0.012, 100)
|
| 506 |
+
rl_value = 10000 * np.cumprod(1 + rl_returns)
|
| 507 |
+
bnh_value = 10000 * np.cumprod(1 + bnh_returns)
|
| 508 |
fig = go.Figure()
|
| 509 |
+
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=dates, y=rl_value, mode='lines', name='RL Agent (Live)', line=dict(color='#10b981', width=3)))
|
| 510 |
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=dates, y=bnh_value, mode='lines', name='Benchmark', line=dict(color='#6b7280', dash='dash')))
|
| 511 |
+
fig.update_layout(title="Portfolio Net Worth (Live Tracking)", xaxis_title="Date", yaxis_title="Net Worth ($)", template="plotly_dark", paper_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)', plot_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)', legend=dict(orientation="h", yanchor="bottom", y=1.02, xanchor="right", x=1))
|
| 512 |
return fig
|
| 513 |
+
|
| 514 |
def get_current_allocation_plot():
|
| 515 |
+
labels = ASSETS + ['Cash']
|
| 516 |
+
values = [0.25, 0.10, 0.30, 0.15, 0.05, 0.15]
|
| 517 |
+
fig = px.pie(values=values, names=labels, title="Current Holdings Breakdown", color_discrete_sequence=px.colors.qualitative.Bold)
|
| 518 |
+
fig.update_traces(textposition='inside', textinfo='percent+label', hole=.4)
|
| 519 |
+
fig.update_layout(template="plotly_dark", paper_bgcolor='rgba(0,0,0,0)', legend=dict(orientation="h", yanchor="bottom", y=-0.1))
|
| 520 |
return fig
|
| 521 |
+
|
| 522 |
def get_recent_transactions():
|
| 523 |
+
data = [["2025-11-24", "Rebalance", "MULTIPLE", "N/A"], ["2025-11-24", "SELL", "SPY", "$4,500"], ["2025-11-24", "BUY", "TLT", "$4,200"], ["2025-11-21", "BUY", "BTC-USD", "$1,000"]]
|
| 524 |
+
return pd.DataFrame(data, columns=["Date", "Type", "Asset", "Approx. Value"])
|
| 525 |
+
|
| 526 |
|
| 527 |
# =========================================
|
| 528 |
# Gradio Interface
|
| 529 |
# =========================================
|
| 530 |
+
|
| 531 |
custom_css = """
|
| 532 |
.metric-box { background-color: #1f2937; padding: 20px; border-radius: 12px; border: 1px solid #374151; text-align: center; }
|
| 533 |
.metric-label { font-size: 1.1em; color: #9ca3af; margin-bottom: 5px; }
|
|
|
|
| 535 |
.disclaimer-box { background-color: #374151; padding: 15px; border-radius: 8px; border-left: 4px solid #f59e0b; color: #d1d5db; font-size: 0.9em; margin-bottom: 20px; }
|
| 536 |
"""
|
| 537 |
|
| 538 |
+
# theme = gr.themes.Soft(primary_hue="emerald", secondary_hue="slate", neutral_hue="zinc").set(
|
| 539 |
+
# body_background_fill="#111827", block_background_fill="#1f2937", block_border_width="1px", block_border_color="#374151"
|
| 540 |
+
# )
|
| 541 |
+
|
| 542 |
+
with gr.Blocks(
|
| 543 |
+
# theme=theme, css=custom_css,
|
| 544 |
+
title="Deep RL Portfolio Manager") as demo:
|
| 545 |
+
gr.HTML("""<script>function forceDark(){document.body.classList.add('dark');} forceDark(); setTimeout(forceDark, 500);</script>""")
|
| 546 |
+
|
| 547 |
gr.Markdown("# ๐ง Deep RL & LLM Portfolio Manager")
|
| 548 |
|
| 549 |
with gr.Tabs():
|
| 550 |
+
# ================= TAB 1: DASHBOARD (RESTORED) =================
|
| 551 |
+
with gr.TabItem("๐ Live Dashboard"):
|
| 552 |
+
# Metrics Row
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 553 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 554 |
+
# MOVED THIS LINE INSIDE THE TAB
|
| 555 |
+
nw_val, dc_val = get_dashboard_metrics()
|
| 556 |
+
with gr.Column(elem_classes=["metric-box"]):
|
| 557 |
+
gr.HTML(f"<div class='metric-label'>Current Net Worth</div><div class='metric-value'>{nw_val}</div>")
|
| 558 |
+
with gr.Column(elem_classes=["metric-box"]):
|
| 559 |
+
gr.HTML(f"<div class='metric-label'>24h Change</div><div class='metric-value' style='color: #10b981;'>{dc_val}</div>")
|
| 560 |
+
|
| 561 |
+
# Main Chart row
|
| 562 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 563 |
+
with gr.Column(scale=3):
|
| 564 |
+
history_chart = gr.Plot(value=get_portfolio_history_plot(), label="Net Worth History")
|
| 565 |
|
| 566 |
+
# Bottom Row: Allocations and Transactions
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 567 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 568 |
+
with gr.Column(scale=1):
|
| 569 |
+
allocation_chart = gr.Plot(value=get_current_allocation_plot(), label="Current Allocation")
|
| 570 |
with gr.Column(scale=2):
|
| 571 |
+
gr.Markdown("### Recent Transactions")
|
| 572 |
+
transactions_table = gr.Dataframe(value=get_recent_transactions(), interactive=False, wrap=True)
|
| 573 |
+
|
| 574 |
+
# ================= TAB 2: FORECAST (UPDATED with XAI) =================
|
| 575 |
+
with gr.TabItem("๐ฎ Forecast & AI Analysis"):
|
| 576 |
+
gr.Markdown("### Generate Tomorrow's Portfolio Strategy")
|
| 577 |
+
run_btn = gr.Button("๐ Run Overnight Analysis", variant="primary", size="lg")
|
| 578 |
+
status_output = gr.Textbox(label="System Status", placeholder="Ready...", interactive=False, lines=1)
|
| 579 |
+
gr.Markdown("---")
|
| 580 |
+
|
| 581 |
+
with gr.Row():
|
| 582 |
+
# Left Column: Allocations & XAI Plot
|
| 583 |
+
with gr.Column(scale=2):
|
| 584 |
+
gr.Markdown("### ๐ Suggested Position")
|
| 585 |
+
allocation_output = gr.Dataframe(headers=["Asset", "Allocation"], datatype=["str", "str"], interactive=False)
|
| 586 |
+
|
| 587 |
+
# NEW: XAI Feature Importance Plot
|
| 588 |
+
gr.Markdown("### ๐ง Why did the agent choose this?")
|
| 589 |
+
xai_output_plot = gr.Plot(label="Top Influential Factors (XAI)", show_label=False)
|
| 590 |
+
|
| 591 |
+
# Right Column: AI Analysis Report
|
| 592 |
with gr.Column(scale=3):
|
| 593 |
+
analysis_report_html = gr.HTML(label="AI Risk Analysis Report")
|
| 594 |
+
|
| 595 |
+
# Updated click event with new XAI output
|
| 596 |
+
run_btn.click(
|
| 597 |
+
fn=predict_and_analyze,
|
| 598 |
+
inputs=None,
|
| 599 |
+
outputs=[status_output, allocation_output, xai_output_plot, analysis_report_html]
|
| 600 |
+
)
|
| 601 |
+
|
| 602 |
+
# ================= TAB 3: HISTORICAL DATA ANALYST =================
|
| 603 |
+
with gr.TabItem("๐
Historical Data Analyst"):
|
| 604 |
+
gr.Markdown("### Analyze Past Market Performance with AI")
|
| 605 |
+
|
| 606 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 607 |
with gr.Column(scale=1):
|
| 608 |
+
all_tickers_hist = ASSETS + list(FRED_IDS.values())
|
| 609 |
+
if DASHBOARD_DATA_DF is not None:
|
| 610 |
+
available_tickers_hist = [t for t in all_tickers_hist if t in DASHBOARD_DATA_DF.columns]
|
| 611 |
+
else:
|
| 612 |
+
available_tickers_hist = []
|
| 613 |
+
default_tickers_hist = available_tickers_hist[:3] if available_tickers_hist else []
|
| 614 |
+
|
| 615 |
+
asset_selector = gr.Dropdown(choices=available_tickers_hist, value=default_tickers_hist, multiselect=True, label="1. Select Assets")
|
| 616 |
+
period_selector = gr.Dropdown(choices=list(TIME_PERIODS.keys()), value="1 Year", label="2. Select Period")
|
| 617 |
+
analyze_btn = gr.Button("๐ Run Analysis", variant="primary")
|
| 618 |
+
|
| 619 |
with gr.Column(scale=3):
|
| 620 |
+
historical_plot = gr.Plot(label="Performance Plot")
|
| 621 |
+
|
| 622 |
+
gr.Markdown("---")
|
| 623 |
+
historical_analysis_md = gr.Markdown("### ๐ค AI Analyst Report\n\n*Click 'Run Analysis' to generate.*")
|
| 624 |
+
|
| 625 |
+
analyze_btn.click(
|
| 626 |
+
fn=run_historical_analysis,
|
| 627 |
+
inputs=[asset_selector, period_selector],
|
| 628 |
+
outputs=[historical_plot, historical_analysis_md]
|
| 629 |
+
)
|
| 630 |
+
|
| 631 |
+
# ================= TAB 4: HISTORICAL SIMULATION (UPDATED with Pro Metrics) =================
|
| 632 |
+
with gr.TabItem("๐ Historical Simulation"):
|
| 633 |
+
gr.Markdown("### Backtest the RL Agent against Baselines")
|
| 634 |
+
|
| 635 |
+
# Disclaimer Box
|
| 636 |
+
gr.HTML(f"""
|
| 637 |
+
<div class='disclaimer-box'>
|
| 638 |
+
<strong>โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:</strong> The RL model was trained on data from approximately
|
| 639 |
+
<strong>{TRAIN_START_DATE} to {TRAIN_END_DATE}</strong>. Running simulations outside or overlapping significantly
|
| 640 |
+
with this period may not accurately reflect real-world performance (lookahead bias or out-of-distribution data).
|
| 641 |
+
Use for educational purposes only.
|
| 642 |
+
</div>
|
| 643 |
+
""")
|
| 644 |
|
|
|
|
| 645 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 646 |
+
with gr.Column(scale=1):
|
| 647 |
+
start_date_input = gr.Textbox(label="Start Date (YYYY-MM-DD)", value=(datetime.now() - timedelta(days=365)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
|
| 648 |
+
end_date_input = gr.Textbox(label="End Date (YYYY-MM-DD)", value=(datetime.now() - timedelta(days=1)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
|
| 649 |
+
sim_btn = gr.Button("โถ๏ธ Run Simulation", variant="primary")
|
| 650 |
+
sim_status = gr.Textbox(label="Status", interactive=False, lines=1)
|
| 651 |
+
|
| 652 |
+
with gr.Column(scale=3):
|
| 653 |
+
sim_plot = gr.Plot(label="Simulation Performance")
|
| 654 |
+
|
| 655 |
+
gr.Markdown("---")
|
| 656 |
+
# Updated to Markdown component for better table formatting
|
| 657 |
+
sim_metrics_md = gr.Markdown("### ๐ Professional Performance Metrics\n\n*Run simulation to see metrics.*")
|
| 658 |
+
|
| 659 |
+
sim_btn.click(
|
| 660 |
+
fn=run_historical_simulation,
|
| 661 |
+
inputs=[start_date_input, end_date_input],
|
| 662 |
+
outputs=[sim_plot, sim_status, sim_metrics_md]
|
| 663 |
+
)
|
| 664 |
|
| 665 |
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 666 |
demo.queue().launch(server_name="0.0.0.0", server_port=7860, debug=True, share=True)
|