| """ |
| Example of ModECI MDF - SIR model |
| |
| An SIR model is an epidemiological model that computes the theoretical number of people infected with a contagious illness in a closed population over time. The name of this class of models derives from the fact that they involve coupled equations relating the number of susceptible people S(t), number of people infected I(t), and number of people who have recovered R(t). |
| """ |
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| from modeci_mdf.mdf import* |
| import matplotlib.pyplot as plt |
| import os |
| import sys |
| from matplotlib.animation import FuncAnimation |
| import imageio |
| import numpy as np |
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| def main(total_population=1000, initial_infected=1, initial_recovered=0, beta=0.3, gamma=0.1, mode=None): |
| |
| sir_model = Model(id="SIR_Model") |
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| sir_graph = Graph(id="SIR_Graph") |
| sir_model.graphs.append(sir_graph) |
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| initial_susceptible = total_population - initial_infected - initial_recovered |
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| sir_node = Node(id="id") |
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| total_population = Parameter(id="total_population", value=total_population) |
| gamma = Parameter(id="gamma", value=gamma) |
| beta = Parameter(id="beta", value=beta) |
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| susceptible_population = Parameter(id="susceptible_population", |
| default_initial_value=initial_susceptible, |
| time_derivative="-beta*susceptible_population*infected_population/total_population" |
| ) |
| infected_population = Parameter(id="infected_population", |
| default_initial_value=initial_infected, |
| time_derivative="beta*susceptible_population*infected_population/total_population - gamma*infected_population" |
| ) |
| recovered_population = Parameter(id="recovered_population", |
| default_initial_value=initial_recovered, |
| time_derivative="gamma*infected_population" |
| ) |
| infected_output1 = OutputPort(id="out_port1",value=susceptible_population.id) |
| infected_output2 = OutputPort(id="out_port2",value=infected_population.id) |
| infected_output3 = OutputPort(id="out_port3",value=recovered_population.id) |
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| sir_node.parameters.append(gamma) |
| sir_node.parameters.append(beta) |
| sir_node.parameters.append(total_population) |
| sir_node.parameters.append(susceptible_population) |
| sir_node.parameters.append(infected_population) |
| sir_node.parameters.append(recovered_population) |
| sir_node.output_ports.append(infected_output1) |
| sir_node.output_ports.append(infected_output2) |
| sir_node.output_ports.append(infected_output3) |
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| recovered_node = Node(id="Recovered") |
| recovered_input = InputPort(id="input_port") |
| recovered_output = OutputPort(id="out_port",value=recovered_input.id) |
| recovered_node.input_ports.append(recovered_input) |
| recovered_node.output_ports.append(recovered_output) |
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| infected_node = Node(id="Infected") |
| infected_input = InputPort(id="input_port") |
| infected_output = OutputPort(id="out_port",value=infected_input.id) |
| infected_node.input_ports.append(infected_input) |
| infected_node.output_ports.append(infected_output) |
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| susceptible_node = Node(id="Susceptible") |
| susceptible_input = InputPort(id="input_port") |
| susceptible_output = OutputPort(id="out_port",value=susceptible_input.id) |
| susceptible_node.input_ports.append(susceptible_input) |
| susceptible_node.output_ports.append(susceptible_output) |
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| sir_graph.nodes.append(sir_node) |
| sir_graph.nodes.append(recovered_node) |
| sir_graph.nodes.append(infected_node) |
| sir_graph.nodes.append(susceptible_node) |
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| sir_to_rec_edge = Edge( |
| id="sir_to_rec", |
| sender=sir_node.id, |
| sender_port="out_port3", |
| receiver=recovered_node.id, |
| receiver_port="input_port", |
| |
| ) |
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| sir_to_inf_edge = Edge( |
| id="sir_to_inf", |
| sender=sir_node.id, |
| sender_port="out_port2", |
| receiver=infected_node.id, |
| receiver_port="input_port", |
| ) |
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| sir_to_sus_edge = Edge( |
| id="sir_to_sus", |
| sender=sir_node.id, |
| sender_port="out_port1", |
| receiver=susceptible_node.id, |
| receiver_port="input_port", |
| ) |
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| sir_graph.edges.append(sir_to_rec_edge) |
| sir_graph.edges.append(sir_to_inf_edge) |
| sir_graph.edges.append(sir_to_sus_edge) |
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| if mode=="run": |
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| from modeci_mdf.execution_engine import EvaluableGraph |
| eg = EvaluableGraph(sir_graph, verbose=False) |
| eg.evaluate() |
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| dt = 1 |
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| duration = 100 |
| t = 0 |
| times = [] |
| s = [] |
| i = [] |
| r = [] |
| while t <= duration: |
| times.append(t) |
| print("====== Evaluating at t = %s ======" % (t)) |
| if t == 0: |
| eg.evaluate() |
| else: |
| eg.evaluate(time_increment=dt) |
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| s.append(eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port1"].curr_value) |
| i.append(eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port2"].curr_value) |
| r.append(eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port3"].curr_value) |
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| t += dt |
| print('Susceptible polution: %s'%eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port1"].curr_value) |
| print('Infected polution: %s'%eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port2"].curr_value) |
| print('Recovered polution: %s'%eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port3"].curr_value) |
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| fig1, axs = plt.subplots(1, 3, figsize=(15, 5),sharey=True) |
| |
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| axs[0].plot(times, s, label='Susceptible', color='blue') |
| axs[0].set_xlabel('Time') |
| axs[0].set_ylabel('Susceptible Population') |
| axs[0].set_title('Susceptible Population over Time') |
| axs[0].legend() |
| axs[0].grid(True) |
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| axs[1].plot(times, i, label='Infected', color='orange') |
| axs[1].set_xlabel('Time') |
| axs[1].set_ylabel('Infected Population') |
| axs[1].set_title('Infected Population over Time') |
| axs[1].legend() |
| axs[1].grid(True) |
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| axs[2].plot(times, r, label='Recovered', color='green') |
| axs[2].set_xlabel('Time') |
| axs[2].set_ylabel('Recovered Population') |
| axs[2].set_title('Recovered Population over Time') |
| axs[2].legend() |
| axs[2].grid(True) |
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| plt.tight_layout() |
| plt.show() |
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| frames = [] |
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| for frame in range(len(times)): |
| fig, ax = plt.subplots() |
| ax.plot(times[:frame+1], s[:frame+1], label='Susceptible', color='blue') |
| ax.plot(times[:frame+1], i[:frame+1], label='Infected', color='orange') |
| ax.plot(times[:frame+1], r[:frame+1], label='Recovered', color='green') |
| ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(plt.MaxNLocator(6)) |
| ax.xaxis.set_major_formatter(plt.FuncFormatter(lambda x, _: '{:.1f}'.format(x))) |
| ax.set_xlabel('Time') |
| ax.set_ylabel('Population') |
| ax.set_title('Population over time') |
| ax.legend() |
| ax.grid(True) |
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| fig.canvas.draw() |
| image = np.frombuffer(fig.canvas.tostring_rgb(), dtype='uint8') |
| image = image.reshape(fig.canvas.get_width_height()[::-1] + (3,)) |
| frames.append(image) |
| plt.close(fig) |
| gif_path = 'animated_plot.gif' |
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| imageio.mimsave(gif_path, frames, fps=20) |
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| return [fig1, gif_path] |
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| elif mode=="graph": |
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| sir_model.to_graph_image( |
| engine="dot", |
| output_format="png", |
| view_on_render=False, |
| level=3, |
| filename_root="sir_model", |
| is_horizontal=True |
| ) |
|
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| from IPython.display import Image |
| Image(filename="sir_model.png") |
| image_path = "sir_model.png" |
| return image_path |
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| return sir_graph |
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| if __name__ == "__main__": |
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| if len(sys.argv) > 1: |
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| mode_arg = sys.argv[1] |
| if mode_arg == "-run": |
| main(mode="run") |
| elif mode_arg == "-graph": |
| main(mode="graph") |
| else: |
| print("Invalid argument. Please use '-run' or '-graph'.") |
| else: |
| print("No arguments provided. Please specify '-run' or '-graph'.") |
| |