Upload SIR_model.py
Browse files- SIR_model.py +236 -0
SIR_model.py
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| 1 |
+
"""
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| 2 |
+
Example of ModECI MDF - SIR model
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| 3 |
+
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| 4 |
+
An SIR model is an epidemiological model that computes the theoretical number of people infected with a contagious illness in a closed population over time. The name of this class of models derives from the fact that they involve coupled equations relating the number of susceptible people S(t), number of people infected I(t), and number of people who have recovered R(t).
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| 5 |
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"""
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| 6 |
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| 7 |
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| 8 |
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from modeci_mdf.mdf import*
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| 9 |
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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| 10 |
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import os
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| 11 |
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import sys
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| 12 |
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| 13 |
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def main(mode=None):
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| 14 |
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# Initialize the Model
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| 15 |
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sir_model = Model(id="SIR_Model")
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| 16 |
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| 17 |
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# Create a Graph within the Model
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| 18 |
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sir_graph = Graph(id="SIR_Graph")
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| 19 |
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sir_model.graphs.append(sir_graph)
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| 20 |
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# Parameters for the model
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| 22 |
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total_population = 1000
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initial_infected = 1
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initial_recovered = 0
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beta = 0.3 # Infection rate
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gamma = 0.1 # Recovery rate
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| 27 |
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initial_susceptible = total_population - initial_infected - initial_recovered
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| 28 |
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| 29 |
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| 30 |
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# SIR equation Node
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| 31 |
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sir_node = Node(id="id")
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| 32 |
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| 33 |
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| 34 |
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total_population = Parameter(id="total_population", value=total_population)
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| 35 |
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gamma = Parameter(id="gamma", value=gamma)
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| 36 |
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beta = Parameter(id="beta", value=beta)
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| 37 |
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susceptible_population = Parameter(id="susceptible_population",
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default_initial_value=initial_susceptible,
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| 40 |
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time_derivative="-beta*susceptible_population*infected_population/total_population"
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| 41 |
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)
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| 42 |
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infected_population = Parameter(id="infected_population",
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| 43 |
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default_initial_value=initial_infected,
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| 44 |
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time_derivative="beta*susceptible_population*infected_population/total_population - gamma*infected_population"
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| 45 |
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)
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| 46 |
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recovered_population = Parameter(id="recovered_population",
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| 47 |
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default_initial_value=initial_recovered,
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| 48 |
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time_derivative="gamma*infected_population"
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| 49 |
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)
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| 50 |
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infected_output1 = OutputPort(id="out_port1",value=susceptible_population.id)
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| 51 |
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infected_output2 = OutputPort(id="out_port2",value=infected_population.id)
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| 52 |
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infected_output3 = OutputPort(id="out_port3",value=recovered_population.id)
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| 53 |
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| 54 |
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| 55 |
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sir_node.parameters.append(gamma)
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| 56 |
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sir_node.parameters.append(beta)
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| 57 |
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sir_node.parameters.append(total_population)
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| 58 |
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sir_node.parameters.append(susceptible_population)
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| 59 |
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sir_node.parameters.append(infected_population)
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| 60 |
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sir_node.parameters.append(recovered_population)
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| 61 |
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sir_node.output_ports.append(infected_output1)
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| 62 |
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sir_node.output_ports.append(infected_output2)
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| 63 |
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sir_node.output_ports.append(infected_output3)
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| 64 |
+
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| 65 |
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| 66 |
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# Recovered Node
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| 67 |
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recovered_node = Node(id="Recovered")
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| 68 |
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recovered_input = InputPort(id="input_port")
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| 69 |
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recovered_output = OutputPort(id="out_port",value=recovered_input.id)
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| 70 |
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recovered_node.input_ports.append(recovered_input)
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| 71 |
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recovered_node.output_ports.append(recovered_output)
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| 72 |
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| 73 |
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#Infected Node
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| 74 |
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infected_node = Node(id="Infected")
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| 75 |
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infected_input = InputPort(id="input_port")
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| 76 |
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infected_output = OutputPort(id="out_port",value=infected_input.id)
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| 77 |
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infected_node.input_ports.append(infected_input)
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| 78 |
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infected_node.output_ports.append(infected_output)
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| 79 |
+
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| 80 |
+
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| 81 |
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#Infected Node
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| 82 |
+
susceptible_node = Node(id="Susceptible")
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| 83 |
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susceptible_input = InputPort(id="input_port")
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| 84 |
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susceptible_output = OutputPort(id="out_port",value=susceptible_input.id)
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| 85 |
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susceptible_node.input_ports.append(susceptible_input)
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| 86 |
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susceptible_node.output_ports.append(susceptible_output)
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| 87 |
+
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| 88 |
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# Add nodes to the graph
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| 89 |
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sir_graph.nodes.append(sir_node)
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| 90 |
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sir_graph.nodes.append(recovered_node)
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| 91 |
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sir_graph.nodes.append(infected_node)
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| 92 |
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sir_graph.nodes.append(susceptible_node)
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| 93 |
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| 94 |
+
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| 95 |
+
# Infected to Recovered transition
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| 96 |
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sir_to_rec_edge = Edge(
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| 97 |
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id="sir_to_rec",
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| 98 |
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sender=sir_node.id,
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| 99 |
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sender_port="out_port3",
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| 100 |
+
receiver=recovered_node.id,
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| 101 |
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receiver_port="input_port",
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| 102 |
+
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| 103 |
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)
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| 104 |
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| 105 |
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sir_to_inf_edge = Edge(
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| 106 |
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id="sir_to_inf",
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| 107 |
+
sender=sir_node.id,
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| 108 |
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sender_port="out_port2",
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| 109 |
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receiver=infected_node.id,
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| 110 |
+
receiver_port="input_port",
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| 111 |
+
)
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| 112 |
+
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| 113 |
+
sir_to_sus_edge = Edge(
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| 114 |
+
id="sir_to_sus",
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| 115 |
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sender=sir_node.id,
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| 116 |
+
sender_port="out_port1",
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| 117 |
+
receiver=susceptible_node.id,
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| 118 |
+
receiver_port="input_port",
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| 119 |
+
)
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| 120 |
+
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| 121 |
+
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| 122 |
+
# Add edges to the graph
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| 123 |
+
sir_graph.edges.append(sir_to_rec_edge)
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| 124 |
+
sir_graph.edges.append(sir_to_inf_edge)
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| 125 |
+
sir_graph.edges.append(sir_to_sus_edge)
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| 126 |
+
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| 127 |
+
if mode=="run":
|
| 128 |
+
|
| 129 |
+
from modeci_mdf.execution_engine import EvaluableGraph
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| 130 |
+
eg = EvaluableGraph(sir_graph, verbose=False)
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| 131 |
+
eg.evaluate()
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| 132 |
+
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| 133 |
+
dt = 1
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| 134 |
+
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| 135 |
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duration = 100
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| 136 |
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t = 0
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| 137 |
+
times = []
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| 138 |
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s = []
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| 139 |
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i = []
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| 140 |
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r = []
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| 141 |
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while t <= duration:
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| 142 |
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times.append(t)
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| 143 |
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print("====== Evaluating at t = %s ======" % (t))
|
| 144 |
+
if t == 0:
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| 145 |
+
eg.evaluate()
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| 146 |
+
else:
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| 147 |
+
eg.evaluate(time_increment=dt)
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| 148 |
+
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| 149 |
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s.append(eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port1"].curr_value)
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| 150 |
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i.append(eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port2"].curr_value)
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| 151 |
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r.append(eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port3"].curr_value)
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| 152 |
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| 153 |
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t += dt
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| 154 |
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print('Susceptible polution: %s'%eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port1"].curr_value)
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| 155 |
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print('Infected polution: %s'%eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port2"].curr_value)
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| 156 |
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print('Recovered polution: %s'%eg.enodes["id"].evaluable_outputs["out_port3"].curr_value)
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| 157 |
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| 158 |
+
# Create subplots
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| 159 |
+
fig1, axs = plt.subplots(1, 3, figsize=(15, 5),sharey=True)
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| 160 |
+
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| 161 |
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# Plotting Susceptible population
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| 162 |
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axs[0].plot(times, s, label='Susceptible', color='blue')
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| 163 |
+
axs[0].set_xlabel('Time')
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| 164 |
+
axs[0].set_ylabel('Susceptible Population')
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| 165 |
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axs[0].set_title('Susceptible Population over Time')
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| 166 |
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axs[0].legend()
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| 167 |
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axs[0].grid(True)
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| 168 |
+
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| 169 |
+
# Plotting Infected population
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| 170 |
+
axs[1].plot(times, i, label='Infected', color='orange')
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| 171 |
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axs[1].set_xlabel('Time')
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| 172 |
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axs[1].set_ylabel('Infected Population')
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| 173 |
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axs[1].set_title('Infected Population over Time')
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| 174 |
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axs[1].legend()
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| 175 |
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axs[1].grid(True)
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| 176 |
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| 177 |
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# Plotting Recovered population
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| 178 |
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axs[2].plot(times, r, label='Recovered', color='green')
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| 179 |
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axs[2].set_xlabel('Time')
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| 180 |
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axs[2].set_ylabel('Recovered Population')
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| 181 |
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axs[2].set_title('Recovered Population over Time')
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| 182 |
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axs[2].legend()
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| 183 |
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axs[2].grid(True)
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| 184 |
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| 185 |
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plt.tight_layout() # Adjust layout to prevent overlap
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| 186 |
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plt.show()
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| 187 |
+
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| 188 |
+
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| 189 |
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# Plotting
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| 190 |
+
fig2 = plt.figure(figsize=(10, 5))
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| 191 |
+
plt.plot(times, s, label='Susceptible')
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| 192 |
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plt.plot(times, i, label='Infected')
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| 193 |
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plt.plot(times, r, label='Recovered')
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| 194 |
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plt.xlabel('Time')
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| 195 |
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plt.ylabel('Population')
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| 196 |
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plt.title('Population over time')
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| 197 |
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plt.legend()
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| 198 |
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plt.grid(True)
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| 199 |
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plt.show()
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| 200 |
+
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| 201 |
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return [fig1, fig2]
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| 202 |
+
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| 203 |
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elif mode=="graph":
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| 204 |
+
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| 205 |
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sir_model.to_graph_image(
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| 206 |
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engine="dot",
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| 207 |
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output_format="png",
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| 208 |
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view_on_render=False,
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| 209 |
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level=3,
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| 210 |
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filename_root="sir_model",
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| 211 |
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is_horizontal=True
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| 212 |
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)
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| 213 |
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| 214 |
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from IPython.display import Image
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| 215 |
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Image(filename="sir_model.png")
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| 216 |
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image_path = "sir_model.png"
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| 217 |
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return image_path
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| 218 |
+
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| 219 |
+
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| 220 |
+
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| 221 |
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return sir_graph
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| 222 |
+
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| 223 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
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| 224 |
+
# Check if there are any command line arguments
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| 225 |
+
if len(sys.argv) > 1:
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| 226 |
+
# Assuming the second argument is the mode (e.g., '-run' or '-graph')
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| 227 |
+
mode_arg = sys.argv[1]
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| 228 |
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if mode_arg == "-run":
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| 229 |
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main(mode="run")
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| 230 |
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elif mode_arg == "-graph":
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| 231 |
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main(mode="graph")
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| 232 |
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else:
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| 233 |
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print("Invalid argument. Please use '-run' or '-graph'.")
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| 234 |
+
else:
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| 235 |
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print("No arguments provided. Please specify '-run' or '-graph'.")
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| 236 |
+
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