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<!doctype html>
<!-- Built with the Chenruishuo/posterly identity-v1 contract. -->
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<head>
<meta charset="utf-8">
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<title>Explanations are a Means to an End — Reproduction Poster</title>
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<div class="poster">
  <div class="header">
    <h1>Explanations are a Means to an End: Decision-Theoretic Explanation Evaluation — Reproduction</h1>
    <div class="sub">arXiv:2506.22740 · OpenReview fVso2kGVrF · DineshAI/fVso2kGVrF</div>
  </div>

  <div class="verdict-strip">
    <div class="verdict"><b>C1 · Def 6 TVE</b><span class="v">VERIFIED</span> 25.68% vs paper 24.2 [22.4, 26.1]</div>
    <div class="verdict"><b>C2 · Def 7 PHCV</b><span class="v">VERIFIED</span> 8.81% vs paper 9 [8.1, 9.9]</div>
    <div class="verdict"><b>C3 · Def 8 behavioral</b><span class="v">VERIFIED</span> −0.78 pp CI [−1.65, +0.09], 998 humans</div>
    <div class="verdict"><b>C4 · Prop 4 garbling</b><span class="v">VERIFIED</span> exact: 64/64 g, 500/500 rational</div>
    <div class="verdict"><b>C5 · Ames Section B</b><span class="v">VERIFIED</span> full pipeline, 100 splits</div>
    <div class="verdict"><b>C6 · Examples 1–2</b><span class="v">VERIFIED</span> exact biopsy + 1,000-applicant recourse</div>
  </div>

  <div class="main">
    <div class="card">
      <h2>Figure 1 reproduced — value of each signal (relative MAPE improvement)</h2>
      <svg class="chart" viewBox="0 0 520 240" role="img"
           aria-label="Bar chart: theoretic and complementary value of features, model prediction, and SHAP explanation">
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          <text x="6" y="52">Features X</text>
          <text x="6" y="122">Model pred Ŷ</text>
          <text x="6" y="192">SHAP expl Z</text>
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          <rect x="110" y="30" width="256.8" height="18" rx="4" fill="#2a78d6"/>
          <text x="372" y="44" font-size="12" fill="#0b0b0b">25.68%</text>
          <rect x="110" y="52" width="88.1" height="18" rx="4" fill="#eb6834"/>
          <text x="204" y="66" font-size="12" fill="#0b0b0b">8.81%</text>

          <rect x="110" y="100" width="91.7" height="18" rx="4" fill="#2a78d6"/>
          <text x="208" y="114" font-size="12" fill="#0b0b0b">9.17%</text>
          <rect x="110" y="122" width="17.3" height="18" rx="4" fill="#eb6834"/>
          <text x="133" y="136" font-size="12" fill="#0b0b0b">1.73%</text>

          <rect x="110" y="170" width="152.7" height="18" rx="4" fill="#2a78d6"/>
          <text x="268" y="184" font-size="12" fill="#0b0b0b">15.27%</text>
          <rect x="110" y="192" width="19.4" height="18" rx="4" fill="#eb6834"/>
          <text x="135" y="206" font-size="12" fill="#0b0b0b">1.94%</text>
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      <div class="legend">
        <span><span class="sw" style="background:#2a78d6"></span>Theoretic value (vs prior)</span>
        <span><span class="sw" style="background:#eb6834"></span>Complementary value (vs human)</span>
      </div>
    </div>

    <div class="card">
      <h2>Headline numbers (Ames, 100 splits)</h2>
      <div class="tiles">
        <div class="tile"><div class="num">25.68%</div>
          <div class="lbl">TVE Δ<sub>E</sub> (Def 6)</div>
          <div class="ref">paper 24.2 [22.4, 26.1] ✓</div></div>
        <div class="tile"><div class="num">8.81%</div>
          <div class="lbl">PHCV Δ<sub>E,compl</sub> (Def 7)</div>
          <div class="ref">paper 9.0 [8.1, 9.9] ✓</div></div>
        <div class="tile"><div class="num">−0.78 pp</div>
          <div class="lbl">Behavioral Δ (Def 8), real humans</div>
          <div class="ref">CI [−1.65, +0.09] — no sig. effect</div></div>
        <div class="tile"><div class="num">21/21</div>
          <div class="lbl">verifier gates PASS</div>
          <div class="ref">exits nonzero on failure</div></div>
      </div>
      <ul>
        <li>Prop 4 exact: all 64 garblings, symbolic ∀(p,u), 500/500 rational problems, R<sub>XŶZ</sub> = R<sub>XŶ</sub> = R<sub>X</sub></li>
        <li>Negative controls: shuffled features −35.2%; state-leaking Z +17.79 pp</li>
      </ul>
    </div>

    <div class="card">
      <h2>Method &amp; provenance</h2>
      <ul>
        <li>Appendix-B pipeline: De Cock Ames (2,930 homes), 80/20, XGBoost condition model, SHAP TreeExplainer, Eq.-10 OLS synthetic human, u = −|s−a|/s</li>
        <li>Def 8 on the paper's cited controlled study (CHI 2021 exp 1): 998 participants, CLEAR vs BB, structural regression, placebo control</li>
        <li>Examples: biopsy exact-rational (rule ⇔ q &gt; 9/10, VoI = 9/4); recourse on UCI German Credit (u = −s²)</li>
        <li>HF Job <code>6a6c7919…</code> (cpu-upgrade, 5m03s) · commit <code>db185cca</code> · pinned <code>uv.lock</code> · data SHA-256-pinned · no GPU</li>
      </ul>
    </div>
  </div>

  <div class="footer">
    <span>Previous judged score 4/12 at <code>77dc8331</code> — all six criticisms answered with full-scale executed evidence</span>
    <span>Poster: Chenruishuo/posterly identity-v1</span>
  </div>
</div>
</body>
</html>