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Streaming Intent Tracker with HMM belief updating and SPRT stopping rules.
Maintains rolling text window, debounce logic, and statistically-principled
decision rules using Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT).
Key features:
- Log-space HMM belief filtering (numerical stability)
- SPRT-based escalation decisions (explicit error rate bounds)
- Near-miss tracking for operational monitoring
- Ablation support for comparing decision strategies
"""
import time
import math
from dataclasses import dataclass, field
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Callable, Any, Tuple
from collections import deque
from enum import Enum
import numpy as np
from .config import StreamingConfig
from .belief import BeliefUpdater, EmissionTransform
from .metrics import MetricsCounter
class DecisionMode(Enum):
"""Decision rule strategies for ablation studies."""
K_CONSECUTIVE = "k_consecutive" # Original: K steps above threshold
SPRT = "sprt" # Sequential Probability Ratio Test
HYBRID = "hybrid" # SPRT + K-consecutive fallback
@dataclass
class Chunk:
"""Input chunk from STT system."""
text: str
is_final: bool = False
timestamp_ms: Optional[int] = None
@dataclass
class Decision:
"""Output decision from tracker."""
current_belief: Dict[str, float]
top_intent: str
top_intent_prob: float
should_escalate: bool
should_commit: bool
committed_intent: Optional[str]
escalation_reason: Optional[str] = None
step_latency_ms: float = 0.0
step_count: int = 0
window_text: str = ""
# SPRT diagnostics
sprt_llr: Optional[float] = None # Log-likelihood ratio
sprt_upper_bound: Optional[float] = None # Upper decision boundary
sprt_lower_bound: Optional[float] = None # Lower decision boundary
class StreamingIntentTracker:
"""
Streaming intent classifier with HMM-style belief updating and SPRT decisions.
Features:
- Rolling window of recent text (max_tokens configurable)
- Debounce logic to prevent thrashing on partial updates
- SPRT-based decision rules with explicit error rate bounds
- Near-miss tracking for operational monitoring
- Ablation support (use_hmm, decision_mode, emission_transform)
SPRT (Sequential Probability Ratio Test):
Tests H0: P(ESCALATION) = p0 vs H1: P(ESCALATION) = p1
- Upper boundary A = log((1-beta)/alpha) → decide H1 (escalate)
- Lower boundary B = log(beta/(1-alpha)) → decide H0 (don't escalate)
- Continue if B < LLR < A
Usage:
tracker = StreamingIntentTracker(model_fn=my_inference)
for chunk in stt_stream:
decision = tracker.update(chunk)
if decision.should_escalate:
handle_escalation()
elif decision.should_commit:
handle_intent(decision.committed_intent)
"""
def __init__(
self,
config: Optional[StreamingConfig] = None,
model_fn: Optional[Callable[[str], Dict[str, float]]] = None,
config_path: Optional[str] = None,
use_hmm: bool = True,
decision_mode: DecisionMode = DecisionMode.HYBRID,
emission_transform: EmissionTransform = EmissionTransform.POWER,
# SPRT parameter overrides (None = use config values)
sprt_alpha: Optional[float] = None,
sprt_beta: Optional[float] = None,
sprt_p0: Optional[float] = None,
sprt_p1: Optional[float] = None,
):
"""
Initialize streaming intent tracker.
Args:
config: StreamingConfig instance (loads default if None)
model_fn: Function that takes text and returns intent probabilities.
config_path: Path to config YAML (used if config is None)
use_hmm: If False, bypass HMM filtering (ablation mode).
decision_mode: K_CONSECUTIVE, SPRT, or HYBRID.
emission_transform: How to transform neural outputs.
sprt_alpha: Target false escalation rate (overrides config).
sprt_beta: Target missed escalation rate (overrides config).
sprt_p0: Null hypothesis escalation probability (overrides config).
sprt_p1: Alternative hypothesis escalation probability (overrides config).
"""
if config is None:
self.config = StreamingConfig.from_yaml(config_path)
else:
self.config = config
self.model_fn = model_fn
self.use_hmm = use_hmm
self.decision_mode = decision_mode
# Initialize belief updater with ablation options
self.belief_updater = BeliefUpdater(
self.config,
use_hmm=use_hmm,
emission_transform=emission_transform,
)
self.metrics = MetricsCounter()
# SPRT parameters (use config values, allow overrides)
self.sprt_alpha = sprt_alpha if sprt_alpha is not None else self.config.sprt_alpha
self.sprt_beta = sprt_beta if sprt_beta is not None else self.config.sprt_beta
self.sprt_p0 = sprt_p0 if sprt_p0 is not None else self.config.sprt_p0
self.sprt_p1 = sprt_p1 if sprt_p1 is not None else self.config.sprt_p1
# Compute SPRT boundaries (Wald's approximation)
# A = log((1-beta)/alpha) - upper boundary → escalate
# B = log(beta/(1-alpha)) - lower boundary → don't escalate
self.sprt_upper_bound = math.log((1 - self.sprt_beta) / self.sprt_alpha)
self.sprt_lower_bound = math.log(self.sprt_beta / (1 - self.sprt_alpha))
# State
self._text_buffer: List[str] = []
self._window_text: str = ""
self._top_intent_history: deque = deque(maxlen=self.config.K + 5)
self._escalation_history: deque = deque(maxlen=self.config.K + 5)
self._last_update_ms: int = 0
self._last_text_hash: int = 0
self._committed: bool = False
self._committed_intent: Optional[str] = None
self._escalated: bool = False
# SPRT state
self._sprt_llr: float = 0.0 # Cumulative log-likelihood ratio
# Near-miss tracking
self._peak_escalation_prob: float = 0.0
self._near_miss_threshold: float = self.config.theta_med
def reset(self) -> None:
"""Reset tracker state for new conversation."""
# Track near-miss BEFORE reset (only if we actually processed data)
had_data = self.belief_updater.step_count > 0
if had_data:
if self._peak_escalation_prob >= self._near_miss_threshold and not self._escalated:
self.metrics.record_near_miss(self._peak_escalation_prob)
# Now reset all state
self.belief_updater.reset()
self._text_buffer = []
self._window_text = ""
self._top_intent_history.clear()
self._escalation_history.clear()
self._last_update_ms = 0
self._last_text_hash = 0
self._committed = False
self._committed_intent = None
self._escalated = False
# Reset SPRT state
self._sprt_llr = 0.0
self._peak_escalation_prob = 0.0
self.metrics.start_session()
def update(self, chunk: Chunk) -> Decision:
"""
Process a chunk and return decision.
Args:
chunk: Input chunk with text, is_final flag, and optional timestamp.
Returns:
Decision with current belief, escalation status, and commitment status.
"""
start_time = time.perf_counter()
# Get current timestamp
current_ms = chunk.timestamp_ms or int(time.time() * 1000)
# Check debounce conditions
if not self._should_update(chunk, current_ms):
# Return current state without update
top_intent, top_prob = self.belief_updater.get_top_intent()
return Decision(
current_belief=self.belief_updater.get_belief_dict(),
top_intent=top_intent,
top_intent_prob=top_prob,
should_escalate=self._escalated,
should_commit=self._committed,
committed_intent=self._committed_intent,
step_latency_ms=0.0,
step_count=self.belief_updater.step_count,
window_text=self._window_text,
)
# Update text buffer and window
self._update_text_buffer(chunk)
# Run model inference
if self.model_fn is None:
raise ValueError("model_fn must be set before calling update()")
drivehealthbert_probs = self.model_fn(self._window_text)
# Update belief state
self.belief_updater.update(drivehealthbert_probs)
# Track history
top_intent, top_prob = self.belief_updater.get_top_intent()
self._top_intent_history.append(top_intent)
escalation_prob = self.belief_updater.get_intent_prob("ESCALATION")
self._escalation_history.append(escalation_prob)
# Update timestamps
self._last_update_ms = current_ms
self._last_text_hash = hash(self._window_text)
# Make decisions
should_escalate, escalation_reason = self._check_escalation()
should_commit, committed_intent = self._check_commitment(top_intent, top_prob)
# Update metrics
self.metrics.record_step()
if should_escalate and not self._escalated:
self.metrics.record_escalation()
self._escalated = True
if should_commit and not self._committed:
self.metrics.record_commitment(committed_intent)
self._committed = True
self._committed_intent = committed_intent
# Check gray zone
if not should_escalate and not should_commit:
self.metrics.record_gray_zone()
elapsed_ms = (time.perf_counter() - start_time) * 1000
return Decision(
current_belief=self.belief_updater.get_belief_dict(),
top_intent=top_intent,
top_intent_prob=top_prob,
should_escalate=should_escalate or self._escalated,
should_commit=should_commit or self._committed,
committed_intent=self._committed_intent if (should_commit or self._committed) else None,
escalation_reason=escalation_reason,
step_latency_ms=elapsed_ms,
step_count=self.belief_updater.step_count,
window_text=self._window_text,
# SPRT diagnostics
sprt_llr=self._sprt_llr,
sprt_upper_bound=self.sprt_upper_bound,
sprt_lower_bound=self.sprt_lower_bound,
)
def _should_update(self, chunk: Chunk, current_ms: int) -> bool:
"""Check if we should process this chunk (debounce logic)."""
# Always update on final segments
if chunk.is_final:
return True
# Check time-based debounce
elapsed = current_ms - self._last_update_ms
if elapsed < self.config.debounce_ms:
return False
# Check if text changed significantly
new_text = self._compute_window_text(chunk.text)
text_change = abs(len(new_text) - len(self._window_text))
if text_change < self.config.min_change_chars:
# Also check hash for content changes
if hash(new_text) == self._last_text_hash:
return False
return True
def _update_text_buffer(self, chunk: Chunk) -> None:
"""Update text buffer and compute rolling window."""
if chunk.is_final:
# Final segment - append to buffer
self._text_buffer.append(chunk.text)
else:
# Partial - replace last entry if buffer not empty, otherwise append
if self._text_buffer:
self._text_buffer[-1] = chunk.text
else:
self._text_buffer.append(chunk.text)
self._window_text = self._compute_window_text()
def _compute_window_text(self, pending_text: str = "") -> str:
"""Compute rolling window text (last N tokens)."""
# Combine buffer with pending text
full_text = " ".join(self._text_buffer)
if pending_text:
full_text = full_text + " " + pending_text if full_text else pending_text
# Simple token approximation: split on whitespace
tokens = full_text.split()
# Keep last max_tokens
max_tokens = min(self.config.max_tokens, self.config.max_tokens_limit)
if len(tokens) > max_tokens:
tokens = tokens[-max_tokens:]
return " ".join(tokens)
def _update_sprt(self, escalation_prob: float) -> None:
"""
Update SPRT log-likelihood ratio.
LLR_n = LLR_{n-1} + log(P(x|H1) / P(x|H0))
For continuous probability observations, we use a Bernoulli likelihood
where the observation is treated as a soft indicator:
LLR contribution = p * log(p1/p0) + (1-p) * log((1-p1)/(1-p0))
This is equivalent to expected log-likelihood ratio under the
observed probability distribution.
"""
eps = 1e-10
# Bernoulli log-likelihood ratio with soft observation
# This correctly handles the full [0,1] range of escalation_prob
log_ratio_escalate = math.log((self.sprt_p1 + eps) / (self.sprt_p0 + eps))
log_ratio_no_escalate = math.log((1 - self.sprt_p1 + eps) / (1 - self.sprt_p0 + eps))
# Expected LLR contribution = p * log(p1/p0) + (1-p) * log((1-p1)/(1-p0))
llr_contribution = (
escalation_prob * log_ratio_escalate +
(1 - escalation_prob) * log_ratio_no_escalate
)
self._sprt_llr += llr_contribution
def _check_escalation_sprt(self) -> Tuple[bool, Optional[str]]:
"""
Check escalation using SPRT (Sequential Probability Ratio Test).
Decision boundaries (Wald's approximation):
- Upper: A = log((1-beta)/alpha) → decide H1 (escalate)
- Lower: B = log(beta/(1-alpha)) → decide H0 (don't escalate)
Returns:
(should_escalate, reason)
"""
if self._sprt_llr >= self.sprt_upper_bound:
return True, f"sprt_upper_bound_crossed_llr_{self._sprt_llr:.3f}"
# Note: we don't use lower bound to "commit" to non-escalation
# because safety requires we keep checking until conversation ends
return False, None
def _check_escalation_k_consecutive(self, escalation_prob: float) -> Tuple[bool, Optional[str]]:
"""
Check escalation using K-consecutive rule (original method).
Rules:
1. Immediate if belief[ESCALATION] >= theta_hi
2. Escalate if belief[ESCALATION] >= theta_med for K consecutive steps
Returns:
(should_escalate, reason)
"""
# Rule 1: Immediate escalation
if escalation_prob >= self.config.theta_hi:
return True, f"immediate_high_prob_{escalation_prob:.3f}"
# Rule 2: Consecutive steps above theta_med
if len(self._escalation_history) >= self.config.K:
recent = list(self._escalation_history)[-self.config.K:]
if all(p >= self.config.theta_med for p in recent):
return True, f"consecutive_{self.config.K}_steps_above_theta_med"
return False, None
def _check_escalation(self) -> Tuple[bool, Optional[str]]:
"""
Check escalation decision rules based on decision_mode.
Modes:
- K_CONSECUTIVE: Original threshold-based rules
- SPRT: Sequential Probability Ratio Test only
- HYBRID: SPRT with K-consecutive as fast-path fallback
Returns:
(should_escalate, reason)
"""
if self._escalated:
return True, "previously_escalated"
escalation_prob = self.belief_updater.get_intent_prob("ESCALATION")
# Track peak for near-miss detection
self._peak_escalation_prob = max(self._peak_escalation_prob, escalation_prob)
# Update SPRT state
self._update_sprt(escalation_prob)
if self.decision_mode == DecisionMode.K_CONSECUTIVE:
return self._check_escalation_k_consecutive(escalation_prob)
elif self.decision_mode == DecisionMode.SPRT:
return self._check_escalation_sprt()
elif self.decision_mode == DecisionMode.HYBRID:
# Fast-path: immediate high probability (K-consecutive rule 1)
if escalation_prob >= self.config.theta_hi:
return True, f"hybrid_immediate_high_prob_{escalation_prob:.3f}"
# SPRT for statistical rigor
sprt_result, sprt_reason = self._check_escalation_sprt()
if sprt_result:
return True, f"hybrid_{sprt_reason}"
# Fallback: K-consecutive as safety net
k_result, k_reason = self._check_escalation_k_consecutive(escalation_prob)
if k_result:
return True, f"hybrid_{k_reason}"
return False, None
# Default fallback
return self._check_escalation_k_consecutive(escalation_prob)
def _check_commitment(self, top_intent: str, top_prob: float) -> Tuple[bool, Optional[str]]:
"""
Check non-escalation intent commitment rules.
Rules:
- Commit only if top_prob >= theta_lock AND stable top intent for K steps
Returns:
(should_commit, committed_intent)
"""
if self._committed:
return True, self._committed_intent
# Don't commit to ESCALATION through this path
if top_intent == "ESCALATION":
return False, None
# Check probability threshold
if top_prob < self.config.theta_lock:
return False, None
# Check stability: same top intent for K steps
if len(self._top_intent_history) < self.config.K:
return False, None
recent = list(self._top_intent_history)[-self.config.K:]
if all(intent == top_intent for intent in recent):
return True, top_intent
return False, None
def get_metrics(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""Get current metrics."""
return self.metrics.get_summary()
def set_model_fn(self, model_fn: Callable[[str], Dict[str, float]]) -> None:
"""Set or update the model inference function."""
self.model_fn = model_fn
@property
def window_text(self) -> str:
"""Current rolling window text."""
return self._window_text
@property
def belief(self) -> Dict[str, float]:
"""Current belief state."""
return self.belief_updater.get_belief_dict()
@property
def is_committed(self) -> bool:
"""Whether a final intent has been committed."""
return self._committed
@property
def is_escalated(self) -> bool:
"""Whether escalation has been triggered."""
return self._escalated
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