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import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import matplotlib
matplotlib.use("Agg")
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import matplotlib.patches as mpatches
import io
import re
from datetime import datetime
# ββ VADER sentiment (graceful fallback if not installed) ββββββββββββββββββββββ
try:
from vaderSentiment.vaderSentiment import SentimentIntensityAnalyzer
_analyzer = SentimentIntensityAnalyzer()
def vader_score(text):
return _analyzer.polarity_scores(str(text))
except ImportError:
def vader_score(text):
text = text.lower()
pos = sum(w in text for w in ["good","strong","growth","positive","gain","profit"])
neg = sum(w in text for w in ["breach","hack","lawsuit","strike","loss","fine","shut","miss","fraud","attack"])
compound = round((pos - neg) / max(pos + neg, 1), 3)
return {"neg": neg / max(pos+neg,1), "neu": 0.5, "pos": pos / max(pos+neg,1), "compound": compound}
# ββ Styling constants βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
PALETTE = {
"critical response": "#C0392B",
"escalate": "#E67E22",
"review": "#2980B9",
"monitor": "#27AE60",
}
BG = "#0D0F14"
CARD_BG = "#141720"
ACCENT = "#4F8EF7"
TEXT = "#E8EAF0"
CRISIS_ICONS = {
"cybersecurity": "π",
"legal": "βοΈ",
"operations": "π",
"labor": "π·",
"financial": "π",
}
# βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
# HELPERS
# βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def infer_crisis_type(text):
text = text.lower()
if any(w in text for w in ["hack","breach","cyber","ransomware","malware","data leak","phishing"]):
return "cybersecurity"
if any(w in text for w in ["lawsuit","antitrust","regulator","fine","court","SEC","penalty","sanction"]):
return "legal"
if any(w in text for w in ["factory","supply chain","shutdown","production","recall","outage"]):
return "operations"
if any(w in text for w in ["strike","worker","protest","union","layoff","walkout"]):
return "labor"
if any(w in text for w in ["profit warning","earnings miss","downgrade","revenue","loss","debt","bankruptcy"]):
return "financial"
return "general"
SEVERITY_BASE = {
"cybersecurity": 4, "legal": 4, "operations": 3,
"labor": 3, "financial": 5, "general": 3,
}
URGENCY_BASE = {
"cybersecurity": 5, "legal": 4, "operations": 4,
"labor": 3, "financial": 5, "general": 3,
}
MARKET_BASE = {
"cybersecurity": -2.8, "legal": -2.1, "operations": -1.8,
"labor": -1.2, "financial": -3.0, "general": -1.5,
}
def assign_priority(severity, urgency):
score = severity + urgency
if score >= 9: return "critical response"
if score >= 7: return "escalate"
if score >= 5: return "review"
return "monitor"
def sentiment_label(compound):
if compound >= 0.05: return "Positive π’"
if compound <= -0.05: return "Negative π΄"
return "Neutral βͺ"
# βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
# TAB 1 β Single headline analyser
# βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def analyse_headline(headline: str):
if not headline.strip():
return "β οΈ Please enter a headline.", None
scores = vader_score(headline)
compound = round(scores["compound"], 3)
crisis = infer_crisis_type(headline)
severity = SEVERITY_BASE[crisis]
urgency = URGENCY_BASE[crisis]
market = round(MARKET_BASE[crisis] + np.random.normal(0, 0.4), 2)
priority = assign_priority(severity, urgency)
sent_label = sentiment_label(compound)
icon = CRISIS_ICONS.get(crisis, "π°")
color = PALETTE.get(priority, "#888")
# ββ bar chart βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
fig, axes = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(9, 3.5))
fig.patch.set_facecolor(BG)
# sentiment bars
ax = axes[0]
ax.set_facecolor(CARD_BG)
cats = ["Negative", "Neutral", "Positive"]
vals = [scores["neg"], scores["neu"], scores["pos"]]
colors = ["#C0392B", "#7F8C8D", "#27AE60"]
bars = ax.barh(cats, vals, color=colors, height=0.5)
ax.set_xlim(0, 1)
ax.set_title("Sentiment Breakdown", color=TEXT, fontsize=11, pad=8)
ax.tick_params(colors=TEXT, labelsize=9)
for spine in ax.spines.values(): spine.set_visible(False)
ax.xaxis.label.set_color(TEXT)
ax.set_xlabel("Score", color=TEXT, fontsize=8)
for bar, val in zip(bars, vals):
ax.text(val + 0.01, bar.get_y() + bar.get_height()/2,
f"{val:.2f}", va="center", color=TEXT, fontsize=8)
# severity / urgency gauge
ax2 = axes[1]
ax2.set_facecolor(CARD_BG)
metrics = ["Severity", "Urgency"]
mvals = [severity, urgency]
mcols = [ACCENT, color]
b2 = ax2.barh(metrics, mvals, color=mcols, height=0.5)
ax2.set_xlim(0, 5)
ax2.set_title("Risk Scores (out of 5)", color=TEXT, fontsize=11, pad=8)
ax2.tick_params(colors=TEXT, labelsize=9)
for spine in ax2.spines.values(): spine.set_visible(False)
ax2.set_xlabel("Score", color=TEXT, fontsize=8)
ax2.xaxis.label.set_color(TEXT)
for bar, val in zip(b2, mvals):
ax2.text(val + 0.05, bar.get_y() + bar.get_height()/2,
str(val), va="center", color=TEXT, fontsize=9, fontweight="bold")
plt.tight_layout(pad=1.5)
# ββ markdown result card βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
md = f"""
### {icon} Analysis Result
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| **Crisis Type** | `{crisis.upper()}` |
| **Sentiment** | {sent_label} (compound: `{compound}`) |
| **Severity Score** | `{severity} / 5` |
| **Response Urgency** | `{urgency} / 5` |
| **Est. Market Impact** | `{market:+.2f}%` |
| **Priority Action** | <span style='color:{color};font-weight:bold'>{priority.upper()}</span> |
---
**Recommended Response:** {"π¨ Immediate leadership escalation and cross-team crisis coordination required." if priority == "critical response" else "β‘ Escalate to risk and communications teams for coordinated response." if priority == "escalate" else "π Schedule a structured review in the next reporting cycle." if priority == "review" else "ποΈ Routine monitoring β flag if coverage increases."}
"""
return md, fig
# βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
# TAB 2 β CSV Dashboard
# βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def build_dashboard(file):
if file is None:
return "β οΈ Please upload **crisis_news_enriched.csv** (output of Notebook 1).", None
try:
df = pd.read_csv(file.name)
except Exception as e:
return f"β Could not read file: {e}", None
required = {"crisis_type", "priority_action", "severity_score",
"estimated_market_impact_pct", "company"}
missing = required - set(df.columns)
if missing:
return f"β Missing columns: {missing}. Please upload `crisis_news_enriched.csv`.", None
# ββ 4-panel figure ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
fig, axes = plt.subplots(2, 2, figsize=(13, 9))
fig.patch.set_facecolor(BG)
fig.suptitle("Crisis Intelligence Dashboard", color=TEXT,
fontsize=16, fontweight="bold", y=0.98)
# 1. Crisis type distribution
ax = axes[0, 0]
ax.set_facecolor(CARD_BG)
ct = df["crisis_type"].value_counts()
bar_colors = [ACCENT] * len(ct)
bars = ax.bar(ct.index, ct.values, color=bar_colors, width=0.6)
ax.set_title("Headlines by Crisis Type", color=TEXT, fontsize=11)
ax.tick_params(colors=TEXT, labelsize=8)
ax.set_xlabel("Crisis Type", color=TEXT, fontsize=9)
ax.set_ylabel("Count", color=TEXT, fontsize=9)
for spine in ax.spines.values(): spine.set_color("#2A2D3A")
for bar in bars:
ax.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width()/2, bar.get_height() + 0.3,
str(int(bar.get_height())), ha="center", color=TEXT, fontsize=8)
# 2. Priority action distribution (donut)
ax2 = axes[0, 1]
ax2.set_facecolor(CARD_BG)
pa = df["priority_action"].value_counts()
cols = [PALETTE.get(k, "#888") for k in pa.index]
wedges, texts, autotexts = ax2.pie(
pa.values, labels=pa.index, colors=cols,
autopct="%1.0f%%", startangle=140,
wedgeprops=dict(width=0.55),
textprops={"color": TEXT, "fontsize": 8}
)
for at in autotexts: at.set_color(BG); at.set_fontweight("bold")
ax2.set_title("Priority Action Distribution", color=TEXT, fontsize=11)
# 3. Avg market impact by crisis type
ax3 = axes[1, 0]
ax3.set_facecolor(CARD_BG)
mi = df.groupby("crisis_type")["estimated_market_impact_pct"].mean().sort_values()
bar_c = ["#C0392B" if v < -2.5 else "#E67E22" if v < -1.5 else "#2980B9" for v in mi.values]
bars3 = ax3.barh(mi.index, mi.values, color=bar_c, height=0.5)
ax3.axvline(0, color=TEXT, linewidth=0.5, alpha=0.4)
ax3.set_title("Avg Market Impact % by Crisis Type", color=TEXT, fontsize=11)
ax3.tick_params(colors=TEXT, labelsize=8)
ax3.set_xlabel("Est. Impact (%)", color=TEXT, fontsize=9)
for spine in ax3.spines.values(): spine.set_color("#2A2D3A")
for bar, val in zip(bars3, mi.values):
ax3.text(val - 0.05, bar.get_y() + bar.get_height()/2,
f"{val:.2f}%", va="center", ha="right", color=TEXT, fontsize=8)
# 4. Severity heatmap (crisis type Γ priority)
ax4 = axes[1, 1]
ax4.set_facecolor(CARD_BG)
pivot = df.groupby(["crisis_type", "priority_action"])["severity_score"].mean().unstack(fill_value=0)
im = ax4.imshow(pivot.values, cmap="RdYlGn_r", aspect="auto", vmin=1, vmax=5)
ax4.set_xticks(range(len(pivot.columns)))
ax4.set_yticks(range(len(pivot.index)))
ax4.set_xticklabels(pivot.columns, color=TEXT, fontsize=7, rotation=20, ha="right")
ax4.set_yticklabels(pivot.index, color=TEXT, fontsize=8)
ax4.set_title("Avg Severity: Crisis Type Γ Priority", color=TEXT, fontsize=11)
for i in range(pivot.shape[0]):
for j in range(pivot.shape[1]):
val = pivot.values[i, j]
if val > 0:
ax4.text(j, i, f"{val:.1f}", ha="center", va="center",
color="white", fontsize=8, fontweight="bold")
cbar = fig.colorbar(im, ax=ax4, fraction=0.03)
cbar.ax.tick_params(colors=TEXT, labelsize=7)
plt.tight_layout(rect=[0, 0, 1, 0.96])
# ββ summary stats βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
n = len(df)
n_critical = (df["priority_action"] == "critical response").sum()
top_type = df["crisis_type"].value_counts().idxmax()
top_co = df["company"].value_counts().idxmax()
avg_impact = df["estimated_market_impact_pct"].mean()
md = f"""
### π Dataset Summary
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total headlines | `{n}` |
| Critical response alerts | `{n_critical}` ({100*n_critical/n:.0f}%) |
| Most common crisis type | `{top_type.upper()}` |
| Most exposed company | `{top_co}` |
| Avg estimated market impact | `{avg_impact:+.2f}%` |
Upload `crisis_news_enriched.csv` (generated by Notebook 1) to refresh.
"""
return md, fig
# βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
# BUILD UI
# βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
CUSTOM_CSS = """
body, .gradio-container { background: #0D0F14 !important; color: #E8EAF0 !important; font-family: 'IBM Plex Mono', monospace; }
.gr-button-primary { background: #4F8EF7 !important; border: none !important; color: #0D0F14 !important; font-weight: 700 !important; }
.gr-button-primary:hover { background: #6FA3FA !important; }
h1, h2, h3 { color: #E8EAF0 !important; }
.gr-panel, .gr-box { background: #141720 !important; border-color: #2A2D3A !important; }
textarea, input[type=text] { background: #1C1F2B !important; color: #E8EAF0 !important; border-color: #2A2D3A !important; }
.gr-tab-nav button { color: #9AA0B4 !important; }
.gr-tab-nav button.selected { color: #4F8EF7 !important; border-bottom: 2px solid #4F8EF7 !important; }
"""
ABOUT_MD = """
# π Crisis Monitor β AI-Powered Business Risk Intelligence
## What this app does
This tool is the interactive front-end of an end-to-end crisis monitoring pipeline built for the **AI for Big Data Management** course at ESCP Business School.
It lets you:
- **Analyse any news headline** instantly β detecting crisis type, sentiment (VADER), severity, urgency, estimated market impact, and recommended action
- **Upload your enriched dataset** (`crisis_news_enriched.csv`) for a full visual dashboard
## How the pipeline works
```
Google News RSS βββΊ Notebook 1 βββΊ Enriched CSV βββΊ Notebook 2 βββΊ Analysis
(scraping, (severity, (VADER,
synthetic urgency, ARIMA,
enrichment) market decision
impact, support)
priority)
β
βΌ
This Hugging Face App
(real-time scanning +
dashboard visualisation)
```
## Crisis types monitored
| Type | Signal keywords |
|---|---|
| π Cybersecurity | breach, hack, ransomware, data leak |
| βοΈ Legal | lawsuit, antitrust, regulator, fine |
| π Operations | factory, supply chain, shutdown, recall |
| π· Labor | strike, worker protest, union, layoff |
| π Financial | profit warning, earnings miss, downgrade |
## Priority framework
| Priority | Trigger |
|---|---|
| π΄ Critical Response | Severity + Urgency β₯ 9 |
| π Escalate | Score 7β8 |
| π΅ Review | Score 5β6 |
| π’ Monitor | Score < 5 |
---
*Built with Python Β· Gradio Β· VADER Sentiment Β· Matplotlib*
"""
with gr.Blocks(css=CUSTOM_CSS, title="Crisis Monitor") as demo:
gr.Markdown("""
# π¨ Crisis Monitor
### AI-Powered Business Risk Intelligence Β· ESCP Business School
""")
with gr.Tabs():
# ββ TAB 1 βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
with gr.Tab("π Headline Scanner"):
gr.Markdown("Paste any business news headline to get an instant risk assessment.")
with gr.Row():
with gr.Column(scale=2):
headline_input = gr.Textbox(
label="News Headline",
placeholder="e.g. Apple faces major data breach exposing 50M user records...",
lines=3,
)
scan_btn = gr.Button("β‘ Analyse Headline", variant="primary")
with gr.Column(scale=3):
result_md = gr.Markdown()
result_fig = gr.Plot()
scan_btn.click(
fn=analyse_headline,
inputs=headline_input,
outputs=[result_md, result_fig],
)
gr.Examples(
examples=[
["Tesla hit with major ransomware attack, customer data leaked online"],
["Amazon faces antitrust fine from EU regulators over pricing practices"],
["Boeing factory workers go on strike, halting 737 MAX production"],
["Intel issues profit warning, shares drop 12% after earnings miss"],
["Apple supply chain disruption forces iPhone production cuts in China"],
],
inputs=headline_input,
label="Try an example",
)
# ββ TAB 2 βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
with gr.Tab("π Crisis Dashboard"):
gr.Markdown("Upload `crisis_news_enriched.csv` (generated by Notebook 1) for a full portfolio view.")
with gr.Row():
csv_input = gr.File(label="Upload crisis_news_enriched.csv", file_types=[".csv"])
dash_btn = gr.Button("π Generate Dashboard", variant="primary")
with gr.Row():
dash_md = gr.Markdown()
with gr.Row():
dash_fig = gr.Plot()
dash_btn.click(
fn=build_dashboard,
inputs=csv_input,
outputs=[dash_md, dash_fig],
)
# ββ TAB 3 βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
with gr.Tab("βΉοΈ About"):
gr.Markdown(ABOUT_MD)
demo.launch()
|