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4.51 kB
| import gradio as gr | |
| import pandas as pd | |
| from prophet import Prophet | |
| import matplotlib.pyplot as plt | |
| def forecast_sales(file): | |
| # Load the sales data | |
| sales_data = pd.read_csv(file.name) | |
| # Convert date column to datetime | |
| sales_data['date'] = pd.to_datetime(sales_data['date']) | |
| # Prepare the data for Prophet with additional regressors | |
| prophet_data = sales_data[['date', 'sales', 'orders', 'goog_upper_spend', 'fb_upper', 'search_spend', 'brand_spend', 'shopping_spend', 'fb_spend', 'pinterest_spend', 'tiktok', 'RTB_Spend', 'venta_buen_fin', 'venta_hot_sale']].rename(columns={'date': 'ds', 'sales': 'y'}) | |
| # Fill missing values with the mean of the respective columns | |
| prophet_data.fillna(prophet_data.mean(), inplace=True) | |
| # Initialize the Prophet model with additional regressors | |
| model = Prophet() | |
| # Add additional regressors | |
| regressors = ['orders', 'goog_upper_spend', 'fb_upper', 'search_spend', 'brand_spend', 'shopping_spend', 'fb_spend', 'pinterest_spend', 'tiktok', 'RTB_Spend', 'venta_buen_fin', 'venta_hot_sale'] | |
| for regressor in regressors: | |
| model.add_regressor(regressor) | |
| # Fit the model | |
| model.fit(prophet_data) | |
| # Create a dataframe for future dates with additional regressors | |
| future = model.make_future_dataframe(periods=30) | |
| future = future.merge(sales_data[['date'] + regressors].set_index('date'), left_on='ds', right_index=True, how='left') | |
| future.fillna(future.mean(), inplace=True) | |
| # Predict the future sales | |
| forecast = model.predict(future) | |
| # Plot the forecast | |
| fig1, ax1 = plt.subplots() | |
| model.plot(forecast, ax=ax1) | |
| ax1.set_title('Sales Forecast with Additional Regressors') | |
| ax1.set_xlabel('Date') | |
| ax1.set_ylabel('Sales') | |
| # Merge the forecasted sales with the actual sales data for comparison | |
| comparison_df = pd.merge(forecast[['ds', 'yhat']], prophet_data, left_on='ds', right_on='ds', how='left') | |
| comparison_df.rename(columns={'yhat': 'forecasted_sales', 'y': 'actual_sales'}, inplace=True) | |
| # Resample the comparison dataframe to monthly frequency and calculate the mean sales for each month | |
| monthly_comparison_df = comparison_df.resample('M', on='ds').mean() | |
| # Filter the monthly comparison dataframe to show only the last 12 months | |
| last_12_months_df = monthly_comparison_df.tail(12) | |
| # Calculate the percentage difference between actual and forecasted sales for the last 12 months | |
| last_12_months_df['percentage_difference'] = ((last_12_months_df['actual_sales'] - last_12_months_df['forecasted_sales']) / last_12_months_df['actual_sales']) * 100 | |
| # Drop rows with NaN values in 'actual_sales' | |
| last_12_months_df = last_12_months_df.dropna(subset=['actual_sales']) | |
| # Plot the monthly comparison with bar charts and the percentage difference on top | |
| fig2, ax2 = plt.subplots(figsize=(14, 7)) | |
| bar_width = 15 # Set the bar width | |
| # Plot actual sales bars | |
| bars_actual = ax2.bar(last_12_months_df.index, last_12_months_df['actual_sales'], | |
| width=bar_width, label='Actual Sales', color='black', alpha=0.7) | |
| # Plot forecasted sales bars | |
| bars_forecasted = ax2.bar(last_12_months_df.index + pd.DateOffset(days=15), | |
| last_12_months_df['forecasted_sales'], width=bar_width, | |
| label='Forecasted Sales', color='blue', alpha=0.7) | |
| # Add the percentage difference on top of the bars | |
| for bar, diff in zip(bars_actual, last_12_months_df['percentage_difference']): | |
| height = bar.get_height() | |
| ax2.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width() / 2.0, height, f'{diff:.2f}%', ha='center', va='bottom', color='red') | |
| ax2.set_title('Monthly Actual vs Forecasted Sales with Percentage Difference (Last 12 Months)') | |
| ax2.set_xlabel('Date') | |
| ax2.set_ylabel('Sales') | |
| ax2.legend() | |
| # Save the comparison dataframe to a CSV | |
| last_12_months_df.to_csv('forecast_comparison.csv') | |
| return fig1, fig2, 'forecast_comparison.csv' | |
| # Define the Gradio interface | |
| interface = gr.Interface( | |
| fn=forecast_sales, | |
| inputs=gr.File(label="Upload CSV File"), | |
| outputs=[ | |
| gr.Plot(label="Sales Forecast"), | |
| gr.Plot(label="Monthly Comparison"), | |
| gr.File(label="Comparison CSV") | |
| ], | |
| title="Sales Forecasting with Prophet", | |
| description="Upload a CSV file with sales data to forecast future sales and compare with actual sales." | |
| ) | |
| # Launch the interface | |
| interface.launch(debug=True) | |